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09- MAY.-2014
DAILY MCX NEWSLETTER
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09200009266



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BULLION:
A sharp rise in smuggled gold can damage India's jewellery exports as illicit imports
may be sourced from illegal mines, which attract punitive trade measures from the US
- the market that absorbs nearly 60 per cent of gem and ornaments shipped out of
India.
And if any US importer finds that there is illegal gold in the consignment, then the
Indian supplier will be dragged to the US court," Pankaj Parekh, vice-chairman, Gem &
Jewellery Export Promotion Council.



ENERGY:
The April data on energy and metal imports into China have surpised analysts as a rebound happened
on the strength of a possible stockpiling thatn a seasonal recover.
Barclays in a report observed that Crude Oil imports surged to a fresh record of 6.8 mb in April, a
gain of 23% from March lows and 21% higher on year-on-year basis.
BASE METAL:
Unwrought copper and semi imports rose again to 450Kt in April, up 8% m/m and
52% y/y. The collapse of the import arb that started in early February, as Shanghai
prices increasingly lagged LME prices, would have reduced the appetite for financing-
driven imports at the margins, though some users may have increased bookings ahead
of an expected Q2 pickup, Barclays observed.
Copper concentrate imports climbed 7% m/m to reach 1Mt, 19% higher y/y. This
continues the trend of strong domestic production of refined copper this year, as mine
supply remained robust and term TC/RCs reached the highest in eight years. While
smelters have built concentrate stocks, imports could stay strong due to the economic
incentive as well as new smelting capacity.



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GOLD (5 JUN.)




SILVER (5 JULY.)








BULLION
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 41900, 42200
SUPPORT : - 41200, 40900
STRATEGY : - SELL ON HIGH

OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 28800, 29000
SUPPORT : - 28300, 28100
STRATEGY : - SELL ON HIGH


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CRUDEOIL (19 MAY.)






NATURAL GAS (27 MAY.)








ENERGY
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 280.00, 285.00
SUPPORT : - 271.00, 267.00
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS

OUTLOOK:
TREND : - BEARISH
RESISTANCE : - 6050, 6090
SUPPORT : - 5960, 5920
STRATEGY : - SELL ON HIGH



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COPPER (30 JUN.)






LEAD (30 MAY.)








BASE METAL
OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 127.00, 128.00
SUPPORT : - 124.00, 123.00
STRATEGY : - SELL ON HIGH

OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 413.00, 416.00
SUPPORT : - 405.00, 402.00
STRATEGY : - SELL ON HIGH



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ZINC (30 MAY.)





ALUMINUM (30 MAY.)




NICKEL (30 MAY.)








OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 1177.00, 1188.00
SUPPORT : - 1155.00, 1145.00
STRATEGY : - BUY ON DIPS

OUTLOOK:
TREND : - BEARISH
RESISTANCE : - 105.50, 106.50
SUPPORT : - 103.00, 102.00
STRATEGY : - SELL ON HIGH

OUTLOOK:
TREND : - CONSOLIDATE
RESISTANCE : - 124.00, 125.00
SUPPORT : - 121.00, 120.00
STRATEGY : - SELL ON HIGH



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GOLD 1290.46
SILVER 19.155
COPPER 3.059
CRUDEOIL 100.39
PALLANDIUM 798.20
PLATINUM 1430.10

USDINR 60.1825
EURUSD 01.3837
USDJPY 101.704
USDCHF 00.8806
GBPUSD 01.6925
USDCAD 01.0827



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