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DHS 2011 2011 DHS Year 6 H2 Math Preliminary Examination Paper 2 [Turn over
Section A: Pure Mathematics [40 marks]

1 (a) A family of curves is given by e 2sin ,
x
y A x B = + + where A and B are arbitrary
constants. Show that
2
2
d d
2(sin cos ).
d
d
y y
x x
x
x
= + [3]

(b) Use the substitution y ux = to find the particular solution of the differential
equation
2 2
d
4 2 ,
d
y
x x y y
x
= + + given that 0 y = when .
8
x
t
= Express your
answer in the form f ( ). y x = [5]


2 (a) Given that the complex numbers w and z satisfy the equations
* 2 i and (1 2i) 3 3i, w z w z + = + = +
find w and z in the form i a b + , where a and b are real. [4]

(b) Solve the equation

3
i 2 2i z = . [3]

Hence deduce the roots of the equation
3
i 2 2i w = + . [2]

[Give all answers exactly in the form
i
e r
u
, where r >0 and . t u t < s ]


3 A curve C has parametric equations
1 1
, , 0. x at y bt t
t t
= = + >
For 1 and 2, a b = =

(i) without finding the cartesian equation of C, find the area enclosed by C, the line
5 x = , the y-axis and the x-axis, giving your answer correct to 2 decimal places,
[4]

(ii) find the value(s) of t for which both x and y have the same rate of change with
respect to t. [3]

For 1 and 1, a b = = the curve C has two oblique asymptotes y x = and y x = .
(iii) By considering the curve of C, sketch the graph of f '( ). y x = [3]










3

DHS 2011 2011 DHS Year 6 H2 Math Preliminary Examination Paper 2 [Turn over
4 (a) Express
3
( 3) r r +
in partial fractions. [1]
Hence find the sum of the series
1 1 1 1
...
4 10 18 ( 3) n n
+ + + +
+
. [3]
Give a reason why the series
1 1 1
...
2 5 9
+ + + is convergent and state its exact value.
[2]

(b) A sequence
1 2 3
, , , ... u u u is such that
1
3
2
u = and
1
1
, for all .
( 1)( 2)
n n
u u n
n n
+
+
= + e
+ +

(i) Find the values of
2 3 4
, and . u u u [2]
(ii) Form a conjecture for
n
u in terms of n. [1]
(iii) Prove your conjecture for
n
u using mathematical induction. [4]


Section B: Statistics [60 marks]

5 In a binomial probability distribution X, there are n trials and the probability of success
for each trial is p. If n =20 and P( 1) 0.8, X s =

determine the value of p. Hence find the
least value of a such that P( ) 0.999 X a < > . [5]


6 Find the number of ways 4 boys and 3 girls can be seated
(i) in a row such that no two girls are next to each other, [2]
(ii) at a round table with 10 identical seats, such that the 4 boys must sit together. [3]


7 [In this question give all answers correct to 3 places of decimals.]

A computer game consists of at most 3 stages. The probability that a player clears the
first stage (i.e. successful) is 0.7. For each subsequent stage,
- the conditional probability that a player clears that stage, given that he cleared the
preceding stage, is half the probability of success at the preceding stage,
- the conditional probability that a player clears that stage, given that he failed at
the preceding stage, is the same as the probability of success at the preceding
stage.
The game ends prematurely if a player fails to clear 2 consecutive stages.
Draw a probability tree diagram to represent the above information. [2]

Find the probability that
(i) the game ends prematurely, [1]
(ii) a player clears exactly 2 stages, [3]
(iii) a player clears the third stage given that he cleared exactly 2 stages. [2]
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DHS 2011 2011 DHS Year 6 H2 Math Preliminary Examination Paper 2 [Turn over
8 (a) Give a reason why it is advisable to plot a scatter diagram before interpreting a
correlation coefficient calculated for a sample drawn from a bivariate distribution.
[1]

(b) Due to urbanisation in a country, the average density of birds (per km
2
) found in
the city, x, and those in the forest, y, have changed over the years from 2000 to
2007. The findings are given in the table.

Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
City bird
density (x)
75 79 86 97 110 125 131 136
Forest bird
density (y)
400 398 395 392 380 351 331 303

According to experts, counting birds in the city is easier than counting those in
the forest. It is desired to determine only the density of birds in the city and use it
to estimate the density of birds in the forest.

(i) Calculate the product moment correlation coefficient between x and y.
Comment on whether a linear model is appropriate. [2]

(ii) Draw a scatter diagram for the data, labelling the axes clearly. [2]

(iii) Another suggested model takes the form
2
y a bx = + where a and b are
constants. Explain whether this model provides a better fit than a linear
model between x and y. [2]

(iv) Given that the city bird density for a particular year is 150, use an
appropriate model to find the forest bird density for that year. Comment on
the reliability of your prediction. [2]

If birds migrate from the forest to the city due to urbanisation, state a reason
why the total bird density in the city and forest for each year from 2000 to
2007, is not a constant number. [1]













5

DHS 2011 2011 DHS Year 6 H2 Math Preliminary Examination Paper 2 [Turn over
9 In a certain junior college, the marks (out of 100) scored by a J C 1 student in a Class
Test, Common Test and Promotional Examination are denoted by C, T and S
respectively. C, T and S may be modelled by normal distributions with means and
standard deviations as shown in the table below.

Type of assessment Mean Standard deviation
Class Test, C 68 o
Common Test, T 65 8
Promotional
Examination, S
70 10

(i) Given that P( 85) 0.05, C > =

determine the value of . o [2]

In a particular year, a student sits for five Class Tests, a Common Test and a
Promotional Examination. The average mark of the five Class Tests constitutes 20% of
the overall assessment mark for the year. The Common Test and Promotional
Examination constitute 20% and 60% of the overall assessment mark for the year
respectively.

For the following parts, assume 10 o = .

(ii) Find the probability that the average mark scored by a student in the five Class
Tests is more than 75. [3]

(iii) Find the probability that a student scores an overall mark of more than 80 for the
year. [4]

(iv) State an assumption used in your calculations for (iii). [1]


10 Based on past data, the mean number of dengue cases per day was reported as 30. The
authorities suspect that the recent hot and wet weather has increased the mean number
of dengue cases per day. A random sample of 60 days is taken and the number of
dengue cases per day, X, is summarised by

( ) ( )
2
8 1400, 8 34800. x x = =



(i) Calculate unbiased estimates of the mean and variance of X. [2]

(ii) Test, at the 5% significance level, whether the mean number of dengue cases per
day has increased. [4]

Explain, in the context of the question, the meaning of the p-value. [1]


6
DHS 2011 2011 DHS Year 6 H2 Math Preliminary Examination Paper 2


(iii) After the authorities have increased surveillance to eliminate mosquito breeding
and stepped up public education, they claimed that the mean number of dengue
cases per day has dropped below 30. The number of dengue cases occurring over
7 randomly selected days are recorded and the unbiased estimate of the
population variance can be assumed to be the same as that obtained in (i).

State suitable null and alternative hypotheses, and also the assumption required
for an appropriate significance test. [2]

Find the range of values for the sample mean x such that there is evidence to
support the authorities claim at the 5% significance level. [2]


11 The number of traffic offences occurring at a particular stretch of road between 7:30am
to 9:30am on any day follows a Poisson distribution with mean . Given that the
probability of at least one traffic offence occurring between 7:30am to 9:30am on any
day is 0.95, show that 3 = , correct to the nearest integer. [2]

For the subsequent parts, use 3. =


(i) Find the probability that there are at least 17 traffic offences occurring between
7:30am to 9:30am during weekdays (i.e. Monday to Friday) in a given week. [2]

(ii) Find the probability that the mean number (taken over a year i.e. 52 weeks) of
traffic offences occurring between 7:30am to 9:30am during weekdays in a week
is at least 13 but not more than 16. [2]

(iii) Find, using a suitable approximation, the probability that there are between 30
and 42 weeks in a year where there are at most 16 traffic offences occurring
between 7:30am to 9:30am during weekdays in a week. [4]

(iv) Explain why it is not appropriate to use a Poisson distribution with mean 36 to
model the number of traffic offences occurring in any one full day. [1]


END OF PAPER