FINM2002 Derivatives FINM7041 Applied Derivatives 1 1. Course Overview This course builds upon the knowledge you have developed in Foundations of Finance. The unit provides in-depth coverage of options, futures, forwards and swaps on a range of underlying commodities including stocks, interest rates, foreign exchange as well as more exotic instruments such as weather and electricity derivatives. 2 1. Course Overview At the completion of this unit students are expected to have a good understanding of how derivative instruments are priced, traded and used. 3 2. Lecture Overview In this lecture we will: Recap the basics of forward, futures and options contracts; Revisit the concepts of hedging, speculation and arbitrage; and Discuss the mechanics of futures and forward markets. It would be a good idea to review your Foundations of Finance notes to ensure you are familiar with all of the terminology pertaining to futures, forwards and options contracts. We will only discuss this prerequisite material briefly. 4 2 3. The Nature of Derivatives A derivative is an instrument whose value depends on the values of other more basic underlying variables. Examples of derivative contracts include forward, futures and options contracts.
5 4. In What Ways are Derivatives Used Derivatives can be used to: hedge risks; speculate (take a view on the future direction of the market); lock in an arbitrage profit; change the nature of a liability; and, change the nature of an investment without incurring the costs of selling one portfolio and buying another. 6 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts A futures/forward contract is an agreement to buy or sell an asset at a certain time in the future for a certain price. By contrast in a spot contract there is an agreement to buy or sell the asset immediately (or within a very short period of time). 7 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts The future/forward prices for a particular contract is the price at which you agree to buy or sell the underlying asset. It is determined by supply and demand in the same way as a spot price. 8 3 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts In a forward or futures contracts: The party that has agreed to buy has a long position. They have a final payoff of S t -F. The party that has agreed to sell has a short position. They have a final payoff of F- S t .
9 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts Example of a forward/futures contract: It is January and an investor enters into a long futures contract on COMEX to buy 100 oz of gold @ $1,200 in April If in April the spot price of gold ends up being $1,215 per oz, what is the investors profit? As the investor is the long position, the payoff from the contract is S T -F, which equals ($1215 - $1200) x 100 = $1,500. 10 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts No money changes hands when forward and futures contracts are first negotiated & the contract is settled at maturity. The initial value of the contract is zero. Forward contract are similar to futures except that they trade in the over-the-counter market. Futures contracts on the other hand are exchange traded instruments. In Australia, futures contracts are traded on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). In addition, if you recall from Foundations of Finance, intermediate gains or losses are posted each day during the life of the futures contract. This feature is known as marking to market. The intermediate gains or losses are given by the difference between todays futures price and yesterdays futures price. These monies are transferred between the margin accounts of contract parties. 11 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts The forward/futures price for a contract is the delivery price that would be applicable to the contract if were negotiated today (i.e., it is the delivery price that would make the contract worth exactly zero). In other words, it would make no difference whether you entered into the forward contract to receive the asset in 6 months from now, or bought the asset today and stored it for 6 months. The cost of either strategy would be identical. The forward price may be different for contracts of different maturities. 12 4 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts Examples of futures markets: ASX (http://www.asx.com.au) Chicago Board of Trade Chicago Mercantile Exchange LIFFE (London) Eurex (Europe) BM&F (Sao Paulo, Brazil) TIFFE (Tokyo) 13 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts Profit from a long forward/futures position: 14 Profit Price of Underlying at Maturity 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts Profit from a short forward/futures position: 15 Profit Price of Underlying at Maturity 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts Convergence of Futures to Spot: 16 Time Time (a) (b) Futures Price Futures Price Spot Price Spot Price 5 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts As the delivery month of a futures contract is approached, the futures price converges to the spot price of the underlying asset. When the delivery price is reached, the futures price equals, or is very close to the spot price. If the futures price is above the spot price during the delivery period, traders will have an arbitrage opportunity, and will short the futures contract, buy the asset and make delivery. This will force the futures price to fall and converge to the spot price. 17 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts If the futures price is below the spot price during the delivery period, companies wanting to acquire the asset would enter into a long position in the futures contract and wait for delivery to be made. As they do so, the futures price will tend to rise, until the futures and spot prices converge. 18 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts 19 Private contract between 2 parties Exchange traded Non-standard contract Standard contract Usually 1 specified delivery date Range of delivery dates Settled at maturity Settled daily Delivery or final cash settlement usually occurs Contract usually closed out prior to maturity FORWARDS FUTURES Key Features of Forward/Futures Contracts: 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts As noted previously in the lecture, futures contracts involve a margin account. A margin is cash or marketable securities deposited by an investor with his or her broker. The balance in the margin account is adjusted to reflect daily settlement. Margins minimize the possibility of a loss through a default on a contract. 20 6 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts Closing out a futures position involves entering into an offsetting trade. For example, if you hold a long position in wool, to close it out you would take a short position on wool on the same quantity with the same maturity date. Most futures contracts are closed out before maturity. 21 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts If a contract is not closed out before maturity, it is usually settled by delivering the assets underlying the contract. When there are alternatives about what is delivered, where it is delivered, and when it is delivered, the party with the short position chooses. Some contracts (for example, those on stock indices and Eurodollars) are settled in cash. The terms of the contract will stipulate whether there is physical or cash settlement. 22 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts Some futures terminology: Open interest: the total number of contracts outstanding. equal to number of long positions or number of short positions. Settlement price: the price just before the final bell each day. used for the daily settlement process. Volume of trading: the number of trades in 1 day. 23 5. Forwards and Futures Contracts Regulation of futures markets is designed to protect the public interest.
Regulators try to prevent questionable trading practices by either individuals on the floor of the exchange or outside groups. 24 7 6. Option Contracts A call option is an option to buy a certain asset by a certain date for a certain price (the strike price).
A put option is an option to sell a certain asset by a certain date for a certain price (the strike price).
25 6. Option Contracts The person in the long position of either a call or put option is the holder of the option. They make the choice as to whether the option is exercised or not. For this privilege they must pay an option premium to the writer. The person in the short position of either a call or put option is the writer of the option. They are obliged to fulfil the terms of the option contract if the holder exercises it. In return they receive an option premium from the holder. 26 6. Option Contracts If someone is long in a call option: They have the right, but not the obligation to buy the underlying asset to the person who is short in the call option for a specified price. If they choose to exercise the option, the payoff will be S t -X. If someone is short in a call option: They are obligated to sell the underlying asset for the specified price to the person in the long position if the holder decides to exercise the option. If the option is exercised by the holder, the payoff to the writer is (S t -X). 27 6. Option Contracts If someone is long in a put option: They have the right, but not the obligation to sell the underlying asset to the person who is short in the put option for a specified price. If they choose to exercise the option, the payoff is X-S t .
If someone is short in a put option: They are obligated to buy the underlying asset for the specified price from the person in the long position if the holder decides to exercise the option. If the holder decides to exercise the option, the payoff to the writer will be (X-S t ) 28 8 6. Option Contracts Options can be either exchange traded, or traded on an OTC market. Examples of options exchange markets are: ASX (http://www.asx.com.au) Chicago Board Options Exchange American Stock Exchange Philadelphia Stock Exchange LIFFE (London) Eurex (Europe)
29 6. Option Contracts Another way to distinguish between options is whether they are American or European in nature: An American options can be exercised at any time during its life, up to and including the expiry date; and, A European option can be exercised only at the expiry date. 30 6. Option Contracts Options contracts differ from forward and futures contracts in a number of ways: A futures/forward contract gives the holder the obligation to buy or sell at a certain price; An option gives the holder the right but not the obligation to buy or sell at a certain price; In return for this right, the holder must pay an option premium to the writer; and, Options can be both OTC and exchange traded, whereas forward contracts are OTC and futures contracts are exchange traded instruments. 31 7. Types of Market Traders There are three main types of market participants: Hedgers want to avoid an exposure to adverse movements in the price of an asset. As such, they will have a position in both the derivative, and the underlying asset. Speculators take a position in the market betting that either the price of an asset will go up, or it will go down. If they are correct they will make large gains, but if they are wrong they have the potential to make enormous losses. Some of the largest trading losses in derivatives have occurred because individuals who had a mandate to hedge against risks switched to being speculators. Arbitrageurs are a third important group of participants in derivatives markets. Arbitrage involves locking in a riskless profit by simultaneously entering into transactions in two or more markets. 32 9 7. Types of Market Traders An example of arbitrage: Suppose that: The spot price of gold is US$1090 The quoted 1-year futures price of gold is US$1195 The 1-year US$ interest rate is 5% per annum The cost of storage is 2% per annum. Is there an arbitrage opportunity? 33 7. Types of Market Traders If the spot price of gold is S & the futures price is for a contract deliverable in T years is F, then
F =S (1+r+q ) T
where r is the 1-year (domestic currency) risk-free rate of interest, and q is the cost of storage. In our example, S = 1090, T = 1, r = 0.05 and q = 0.02 so that: F = 1090(1+0.05+0.02) 1 = 1166.30 Here F = 1195 but S0(1 + r+q)T = 1166.30. Hence we should take a short position in the futures contract (which is relatively overvalued) and take a long position in physical commodity (which is relatively undervalued), making an arbitrage profit of $28.70 per ounce. 34 8. Conclusion In todays lecture we have had a broad overview of forward, futures and options contracts. In next weeks lecture, we will focus on forward and futures contracts in greater detail, with a particular emphasis on hedging strategies and the determination of forward and futures prices. 35
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