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=
(5)
Fig.3 Fitting results
V. ANALYSIS OF DURABILITY SERVICE LIFE
Regarding starting of steel corrosion as durability limit
state of concrete structures, the limit state function Z (t)
can be expressed as:
cr,
( ) ( , )
f f
z t C C x t = (6)
Where, C
cr,f
is the threshold of chloride concentration near
steel; C
f
(x,t) is calculated according to the formula(4) and
(5). Exposed to a certain time, the probability of starting
corrosion P
i
(t) and the time T
i
are obtained from the
formula (7) and (8) respectively.
,
( ) [ ( , )]
i cr f f
P t P C C c t = s (7)
] ) ( [
max , i i i
P t P T > =
(8)
The service life of marine concrete exposed in dry-wet
cycles has been forecasted with the aid of Matlab adopting
the Monte Carlo method. This article takes the failure
probability 10% as the predictive value, specific described
as follows.
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
t/years
P
i (
t
)
w=0mm w=0.05mm w=0.1mm w=0.2mm w=0.3mm
Fig 4 Probability of corrosion initiation of
reinforcement in cracked concrete
(1) Choose cover thickness 65 mm, content of fly ash
15% .The life prediction is analyzed under different crack
width, which can be seen from Fig.4. Cracks make the
time of corrosion initiation in advance clearly. When the
crack width is less than 0.2 mm, the time is brought
forward to 70.8%, but still above 35 years; if more than
0.2 mm, less than a decade.
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
t/years
P
i (
t
)
w=0mmc=70mm w=0.2mmc=70mm w=0mmc=65mm
w=0.2mmc=65mm w=0mmc=60mm w=0.2mmc=60mm
Fig.5 Probability of corrosion initiation in
cracked different cover concrete
(2) Choose crack width 0.2mm, content of fly ash
15%.With the development of crack width to 0.20 mm,
and the cover thickness from 70 mm to 60 mm, the
prediction of service life will reduce from 40 years to 25
years, corresponding to failure probability from69.2% to
75.0%.So the minimum cover thickness should kept
65mm when crack width is greater than 0.20 mm and the
design service life is more than 50 years.
International Journal of Computer Trends and Technology (IJCTT) - volume4 Issue5May 2013
ISSN: 2231-2803 http://www.ijcttjournal.org Page 1449
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
t/years
P
i (
t
)
w=0mmf=0% w=0.2mmf=0% w=0mmf=15%
w=0.2mmf=15% w=0mmf=30% w=0.2mmf=30%
Fig.6 Probability of corrosion initiation in
cracked different cover concrete
(3) Choose cover thickness 65 mm, crack width
0.2mm.According to the Fig.6, the right amount of fly ash
(0%~30%), can effectively extend the time of corrosion
initiation.
In order to meet the requirements of durability
performance for marine concrete, some suggestions based
on the prediction results using Monte Carlo method for its
durability design are as follows:1) The least cover
thickness should be more than 60mm; 2) the fly ash
content can be controlled between 15%~30%; 3) the
average crack width should be controlled to 0.2 mm.
VI. CONCLUSIONS
(1) Considering effects of crack, ash and time, the
advanced calculation model of equivalent diffusion
coefficient of chloride ions is achieved.
(2) The service life of concrete structures is predicted
on basis of the Monte Carlo method, regarding steel
corrosion starting as durability limit state of concrete
structures.
(3) The durability life prediction is obtained, which
could provide certain reference for service life assessment
of actual projects.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors are grateful to the finical supports from the
National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.
51278230), China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No.
2012M511215) and High-grade Talent Programof J iangsu
University (No. 11J DG132).
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