NickAronson

Effi
Algebra2/Period
3/3/14
ProbabilityandStatisticsintheRealWorld
Probability:
Probabilityisanumberfrom0to1thatindicatesthelikelihoodthattheeventwilloccur.Therearethree
typesofprobability:experimental,geometric,andtheoretical(Larson,Boswell,Kanold,andStiff
1067).Tofindthetheoreticalprobabilityofanevent,usethefollowingequation.
Probability(A)= (Larson,Boswell, umberofoutcomesineventA otalnumberofoutcomes N T
Kanold,andStiff1081)
Example:Whatisthechanceofreceivingaspadeoutofadeckofcards?Thereare52cardsinadeck
andofthose13arespades.Thelikelihoodofreceivingaspadeis13/52whichequals.
Statistics:
Statisticsarenumericalvaluesusedtosummarizeandcomparesetsofdata.Thenumericalvaluescan
besummarizedindifferentwayssuchasmeans,medians,modes,ranges,andstandarddeviations
(Larson,Boswell,Kanold,andStiff1078).
Example:Thereare234peopleinCentralPark,210peopleinTimeSquareand213peopleinthe
StatueofLiberty.Therangeofthesepeopleequals:234+210+213 3=219

ProfessionsthatuseProbabilityandStatistics:
1.Meteorology
2.Medicine
4.Economics
5.Agriculture
6.Business
7.Lawenforcement
8.Weatherforecasting
(WhatisStatistics?1)

ExampleofProbabilityinMeteorology:
Intheclassicalapproachtoobjectiveweatherforecasting,apredictionequationrelatingy
t
(the
valueofthepredictandatsomefuturetimet)directlytox
0
(thevaluesofthepredictorvariablesatthe
initialtime)isderivedfrompastobservationaldataandthenappliedtotheforecastingsituationathand.
Theclassicalmethodismostusefulforshortrangeforecasts(012hours)(Allan,andWinkler492).
Thismethodisusefulbecauseitallowsmeteorologiststopredictupcomingweatherinan
educatedmanner.AllanandWinklerstatethatthismethodiscommonlyusedtopredictshortrange
probabilityforecastofseverelocalstorms(i.e.,tornadoesorseverethunderstorms).

SkillsParagraph:
BasicOperations
AlgebraandAlgebra2Skills
EquationsandInequalities
LinearEquationsandFunctions
LinearSystemsandMatrices
QuadraticFunctionsandFactoring
PolynomialsandPolynomialFunctions
RationalExponentsandRadicalFunctions
RationalFunctions

WorksCited
Larson,Ron,LaurieBoswell,TimothyD.Kanold,andLeeStiff.Algebra2.EvanstonIL:McDougal
Littell,2007.Print.
Murphy,Allan,andRobertL.Winkler.ProbabilityForecastinginMeteorology.Journalofthe
AmericanStatisticalAssociation79.387.1984:489509.OnlineArticle.
http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=01621459%28198409%2979%3A387%3C489%3APFIM%3
E2.0.CO%3B2N
WhatisStatistics?TheWorldofStatistics.2014.Website.March18,2014.
http://www.worldofstatistics.org/2012/12/03/whatisstatistics/