Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
PRECIO (P)
Cantidad
Demandada (Q)
360
320
280
240
200
160
120
80
Ep =
-40
P
Q
Q
P
Ep
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
0
40
80
120
160
200
240
280
320
360
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
no existe
-9.00
-4.00
-2.33
-1.50
-1.00
-0.67
-0.43
-0.25
-0.11
P
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
-40
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
x
-40
-40
-40
-40
-40
-40
-40
-40
-40
-40
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
2 1
2 + 1
x
2 1
2 + 1
Ep =
Ep =
240
4
-40
1
280
3
4
240
+
+
3
280
7
520
-280
520
-0.538
10
40
PRECIO DE VENTA
= +
Pv =
Pv =
Pv =
Pv =
Cu
100
100
125
=
Pv =
Pv =
x
x
x
1+
125
1
1
1.25
+
+
h
0.25
25
125
125
100
0.2
20 %
PRECIO OPTIMO
=
=
=
Q=
Cv =
CF =
U=
U =
= +
160000 50
1500000
P(
-9500000 +
1000 P
160000 210000 P
1000 P)
-
105 soles
50
1000 P*P
1500000
AO
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
X
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
66
n=
11
b=
a =
Para el ao 2014:
X
=
Y =
Y
2003
10
2004
20
Demanda Y
10
20
30
45
70
90
125
150
180
220
270
1210
XY
10
40
90
180
350
540
875
1200
1620
2200
2970
10075
110825
5566
1210
11
2006
45
2007
70
2008
90
2009
125
2010
150
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
100
121
506
100
400
900
2025
4900
8100
15625
22500
32400
48400
72900
208250
79860
4356
30965
1210
25.591
66
11
110
25.591
307.1
66
4356
x
x
1210
11
Y = 43.545
25.591
12
-43.55
2005
30
263.545
2 =
11
11
x
x
10075
506
2 =
110825
5566
2 =
30965
2 =
1210
958831225
1000246500
79860
4356
826650
=
0.9586
2290750
2011
180
2012
220
2013
270
545 25.591
25.590909
307.09091
208250
-43.545
263.545
2
2
2 2
2
1464100
1464100
AO
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
AO
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Invierno
2
5
7
10
13
19
27
26
38
44
51
ESTACION
Invierno
Primavera
Verano
Otoo
Invierno
Primavera
Verano
Otoo
Invierno
Primavera
Verano
Otoo
Invierno
Primavera
Verano
Otoo
Invierno
CUADRO N 1
Primavera
Verano
3
4
6
7
10
10
17
16
20
28
34
34
39
48
44
58
51
70
67
81
79
107
CUADRO DE RESUMEN N2
DEM. ACTUAL
PM
2
3
4
2.5
3.25
1
5
4
6
4.75
7
5
2
5.5
7
6.5
10
7.25
10
7.5
3
8.25
10
10
17
11.5
16
11.25
2
12
13
12.75
Otoo
1
2
3
2
9
3
11
22
21
28
33
Total
10
20
30
45
70
90
125
150
180
220
270
PMC
IE
2.88
3.63
4.38
4.88
5.25
6.00
6.88
7.38
7.88
9.13
10.75
11.38
11.63
12.38
14.25
1.39
0.28
1.14
1.23
1.33
0.33
1.02
1.36
1.27
0.33
0.93
1.49
1.38
0.16
0.91
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Ao
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Total
Promedio
Primavera
Verano
Otoo
Invierno
Primavera
Verano
Otoo
Invierno
Primavera
Verano
Otoo
Invierno
Primavera
Verano
Otoo
Invierno
Primavera
Verano
Otoo
Invierno
Primavera
Verano
Otoo
Invierno
Primavera
Verano
Otoo
20
28
9
19
34
34
3
27
39
48
11
26
44
58
22
38
51
70
21
44
67
81
28
51
79
107
33
CUADRO N3
Invierno
Primavera
1.14
1.02
0.93
0.91
0.82
0.98
0.78
0.87
0.85
0.81
9.105
0.910
1.23
1.36
1.49
1.20
1.46
1.29
1.22
1.13
1.24
1.18
12.803
1.280
15.75
17.5
19
22.5
24
22.5
24.5
25.75
29.25
31.25
31
32.25
34.75
37.5
40.5
42.25
45.25
45
46.5
50.5
53.25
55
56.75
59.75
66.25
67.5
16.63
18.25
20.75
23.25
23.25
23.50
25.13
27.50
30.25
31.13
31.63
33.50
36.13
39.00
41.38
43.75
45.13
45.75
48.50
51.88
54.13
55.88
58.25
63.00
66.88
Verano
1.39
1.33
1.27
1.38
1.53
1.45
1.54
1.49
1.53
1.45
Otoo
0.28
0.33
0.33
0.16
0.43
0.12
0.35
0.53
0.43
0.48
14.361
1.436
3.446
0.345
1.20
1.53
0.43
0.82
1.46
1.45
0.12
0.98
1.29
1.54
0.35
0.78
1.22
1.49
0.53
0.87
1.13
1.53
0.43
0.85
1.24
1.45
0.48
0.81
1.18
3.972
Para invierno:
0.910
4
3.972
0.917
Para primavera:
1.280
4
3.972
1.290
Para Verano:
1.436
4
3.972
1.446
Para Otoo:
0.345
4
3.972
0.347
4.000
Con estos indices reajustados, se puede proyectar la demanda estacional para el ao 2014
Es decir para cada trimestre el promedio sera 263.545/4 = 65.886, luego obtenemos:
Para invierno:
65.886
0.917
60.420
Para primavera:
65.886
1.290
84.961
Para Verano:
65.886
1.446
95.298
Para Otoo:
65.886
0.347
22.867
263.545
PROMEDIOS MOVILES
Pm1 =
Pm1 =
Pm3 =
Pm4 =
Pm5 =
Pm6 =
+
4
+
4
+
4
+
4
+
4
+
4
Pm1 =
Pm3 =
Pm4 =
Pm5 =
Pm6 =
2.5
+
2
3.25
3.25
+
2
+
2
4.75
4.75
+
2
+
2
5.5
5.5
+
2
6.5
5.75
2
2.88
7.25
2
3.63
8.75
2
4.38
9.75
2
4.88
10.50
2
5.25
12.00
2
10
4
2.5
13
4
3.25
16
4
19
4
4.75
20
4
22
4
5.5
INDICES ESTACIONALES
IE 1 =
4
2.88
1.39
IE 2 =
1
3.63
0.28
IE 3 =
5
4.38
1.14
IE 4 =
6
4.88
1.23
IE 5 =
7
5.25
1.33
IE 6 =
2
6.00
0.33
IE 7 =
7
6.88
1.02
263.545
4
65.886
Pm7 =
Pm8 =
Pm9 =
Pm10 =
Pm11 =
Pm12 =
10
10
10
10
10
+
4
+ 10
4
+ 10
4
+
4
+ 10
4
+ 17
4
10
10
10
17
16
26
4
6.5
Pm13 =
29
4
7.25
Pm14 =
30
4
7.5
Pm15 =
33
4
8.25
Pm16 =
40
4
10
Pm17 =
46
4
11.5
Pm18 =
10
17
4
17
16
4
16
2
4
13
4
13
20
4
20
28
4
+ 16
4
+
4
13
+ 13
4
20
+ 20
4
28
+ 28
4
+
4
19
45
4
11.25
Pm19 =
48
4
12
Pm20 =
51
4
12.75
Pm21 =
63
4
15.75
Pm22 =
70
4
17.5
Pm23 =
76
4
19
Pm24 =
28
+ 19
4
34
19
+ 34
4
34
19
34
+ 34
4
34
34
+
4
27
34
+ 27
4
39
27
+ 39
4
48
90
4
96
4
90
4
98
4
103
4
117
4
22.5
Pm25 =
24
Pm26 =
22.5
Pm27 =
24.5
Pm28 =
25.75
Pm29 =
29.25
Pm30 =
27
39
+ 48
4
11
39
48
+ 11
4
26
48
11
+ 26
4
44
11
26
+ 44
4
58
26
44
+ 58
4
22
44
58
+ 22
4
38
125
4
31.25
124
4
31
129
4
32.25
139
4
34.75
150
4
37.5
162
4
40.5
Pm25 =
Pm26 =
Pm27 =
Pm28 =
Pm29 =
Pm30 =
58
22
38
51
70
21
22
38
51
70
21
44
+ 38
4
+ 51
4
+ 70
4
+ 21
4
+ 44
4
+ 67
4
51
70
21
44
67
81
169
4
42.25
Pm25 =
181
4
45.25
Pm26 =
180
4
45
Pm27 =
186
4
46.5
Pm28 =
202
4
50.5
Pm29 =
213
4
53.25
Pm30 =
44
67
4
67
81
4
81
28
4
28
51
4
51
79
4
79
+ 107
4
+ 81
4
28
+ 28
4
51
+ 51
4
79
+ 79
4
+ 107
+ 107 +
4
33
+ 33
4
220
4
55
227
4
56.75
239
4
59.75
265
4
66.25
270
4
67.5
219
4
54.75