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Age specific fertility rates
o A limitation of GFR is that it does not take account of the age distribution of women from
the age span of 15-44 yrs.
o So instead age specific fertility rates is used and calculated in similar way
o From this calculation total fertility rate is derived
Estimate of the total number of children a woman will produce throughout her
child bearing life.
Total fertility rate of 1910 per 100 women = each woman will produce 1.91
children.
Net reproduction rate
o Mean number of live births of a female that is born to a woman who survives all her
fertile life (15-44 years).
o What extent the female population reproduces itself.
o NRR < 1 = long term tendency is population decline
Unless compensated by net immigration as in Australia
o NRR > 1 = long term tendency is population increase
Mortality rates
Monitors chronic diseases and other health problems
Data derived from information provided on death certificates
ADVANTAGES
o Coverage is universal as deaths must be reported
o Certificates have standard format definitions and data presentations are well
standardized by health authorities and WHO.
Crude mortality rate
o Proportion of a defined population who die in a given period.
o Crude because it takes no account of associated factor like age/sex.
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o Unit of mortality rate is yr
-1
Often the rate is multiplied by 1000 to express deaths per 1000 persons per unit
time.
The unit time is normally a year but the rate will vary depending on the duration
of the period
If the period is very long, the rate will approach unity.
A low figure may indicate that there is a large number of young persons
o Age specific mortality rate of younger people is lower, and if there is many in the
population then they draw the crude rate down.
o In mature countries with more stable populations, there is proportionately more older
people and thus a higher mortality rate.
o To compare mortality rates between countries, mortality rates should be standardized or
age and sex specific rates should be prepared.
Age and sex specific mortality rates
o Derived by restricting the populations to males OR females
o Rates are grouped into 5 year bands
Males or females from 1-4 years, 5-9 years, 10-14 years etc.
o Mortality rate for men is higher than women at all ages and females can expect to live
longer than males.
o Life expectancy increasing in almost all societies mainly due to falling infant mortality
rate
Infant mortality rate (IMR)
o Measure the risk of dying during infancy it is a particular age specific mortality rate
o Infancy defined as between birth to 1 year
o Measures deaths (under 1 year old) as a proportion of number of births
Number of births is the population being assessed
o Varies between 0 and 1 and has no dimensions
o Valid indicator of societys health status and is easy to record.
o Can be subdivided into neonatal mortality rate and post neo natal mortality rate
The sum of which equals IMR
o Neonatal mortality rate = total number of deaths under 28 days of age in a population in
a given period.
Related to congenital factors and prenatal influences
o Post neonatal mortality rate = total number of deaths of infants 28 days to 1 year in a
population during a given period.
Related to environmental factors infection, living conditions
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Potential years of life lost (PYLL)
o Expresses the social cost of a death.
o Homicide and motor accidents have a high social cost as deaths can occur in young
people rather than the elderly
o Young have a greater life expectancy.
Underlying causes of death
o Sometimes reported as many chronic conditions result in debilitation which result in
death from something like pneumonia or influenza.
o Doesnt give good information on chronic disease prevalence in the population
Immigration and emigration
o Significant contributors to population changes
o Exceeded natural growth in 1988-89 but more recently it is less than natural growth
Standardisation
Death rates and disease rates (especially chronic diseases) vary with age.
Need to use age standardization to allow vital statistics to be comparable across populations.
o Allows comparison disease rates of different populations as if the two populationshad
identical age distributions.
o Only meaningful if compared to other rates standardized in the same way and to the
same population.
o After age standardization remaining differences in disease rates between populations
must be explained by factors other than age.
Standard age distribution
o Choose an age distribution to use
o This could be the age distribution of one of the populations concerned or another known
age distribution.
o The choices is arbitrary
Standardised rate
o Standardized rate is the weighted average of the category specific rates.
o Weights are taken from the standard age distribution by dividing it into age categories (0-
9, 10-19 years etc)
The proportion of the standard population falling in each age category comprises
the weight given to that category.
SUMMARY
A situation analysis to be used in the planning of health care should include a demographic
description of the community to be covered by the service.
Can use the measures described above
May need additional measures to be developed depending on the region to be served and
population characteristics
EXAM REVIEW
1. General definitions, HP, HE and differences between them
2. Planning cycle different ones, use the cycle she gave in class
3. Health believe model
4. Precede / Procede model
5. Demographics when undertaking large health promotion campaign need to study area you are
going to target. Summarise under headings, at least one equation