Ejercicios Estadistica Inferencial II

INSTITUTO TECNOLGICO SUPERIOR DE PEROTE
ESTADSTICA
INFERENCIAL II
EJERCICIOS

FRANCISCO JAVIER ALFONSO ARROYO 1002E011
19/12/2013

ESPECIALIDAD: ING. INDUSTRIAL

NOMBRE DEL DOCENTE: SUBDIRECTOR MEDINA

SEMESTRE Y GRUPO: 7 501 A

PEROTE, VER. DICIEMBRE / 2013


FCO. JAVIER ALFONSO ARROYO
2

Ejercicio 1.1
Pureza (%) Hidrocarburos (%)
86,91 1,02
89,85 1,11
90,28 1,43
86,34 1,11
92,58 1,01
87,33 0,95
86,29 1,11
91,86 0,87
95,61 1,43
89,86 1,02
96,73 1,46
99,42 1,55
98,66 1,55
96,07 1,55
93,65 1,40
87,31 1,15
95,00 1,01
96,85 0,99
85,20 0,95
90,56 0,98


3
(%) is statistically significant (p < 0,05).
The relationship between Pureza (%) and Hidrocarburos
> 0,5 0,1 0,05 0
No Yes
P = 0,003
for by the regression model.
35,52%of the variation in Pureza (%) can be accounted
100% 0%
R-sq (adj) = 35,52%
increase.
Hidrocarburos (%) increases, Pureza (%) also tends to
The positive correlation (r = 0,62) indicates that when
1 0 -1
0,62
1,6 1,4 1,2 1,0
100
95
90
85
Hidrocarburos (%)
P
u
r
e
z
a

(
%
)
causes Y.
A statistically significant relationship does not imply that X
a desired value or range of values for Pureza (%).
find the settings for Hidrocarburos (%) that correspond to
to predict Pureza (%) for a value of Hidrocarburos (%), or
If the model fits the data well, this equation can be used
Y = 77,86 + 11,80 X
relationship between Y and X is:
The fitted equation for the linear model that describes the
Y: Pureza (%)
X: Hidrocarburos (%)
Is there a relationship between Y and X?
Fitted Line Plot for Linear Model
Y = 77,86 + 11,80 X
Comments
Regression for Pureza (%) vs Hidrocarburos (%)
Summary Report
%of variation accounted for by model
Correlation between Yand X
Negative No correlation Positive

Ejercicio 1.2
Radio Viscocidad
1,0 0,45
0,9 0,20
0,8 0,34
0,7 0,58
0,6 0,70
0,5 0,57
0,4 0,55
0,3 0,44


4
statistically significant (p > 0,05).
The relationship between Radio and Viscocidad is not
> 0,5 0,1 0,05 0
No Yes
P = 0,248
the regression model.
8,38%of the variation in Radio can be accounted for by
100% 0%
R-sq (adj) = 8,38%
statistically significant (p > 0,05).
The correlation between Radio and Viscocidad is not
1 0 -1
-0,46
0,6 0,4 0,2
1,0
0,8
0,6
0,4
Viscocidad
R
a
d
i
o
causes Y.
or range of values for Radio.
settings for Viscocidad that correspond to a desired value
to predict Radio for a value of Viscocidad, or find the
Y = 0,9968 - 0,7243 X
Y: Radio
X: Viscocidad
Is there a relationship between Yand X?
Y = 0,9968 - 0,7243 X
Comments
Regression for Radio vs Viscocidad
Summary Report

Ejercicio 1.3
Estudiante Evaluacin a medio
semestre
Calificacin final
1 82 76
2 73 83
3 95 89
4 66 76
5 84 79
6 89 73
7 51 62
8 82 89
9 75 77
10 90 85
11 60 48


5
12 81 69
13 34 51
14 49 25
15 87 74
and Calificacin final is statistically significant (p < 0,05).
The relationship between Evaluacin a medio semestre
> 0,5 0,1 0,05 0
No Yes
P = 0,001
can be accounted for by the regression model.
56,80%of the variation in Evaluacin a medio semestre
100% 0%
R-sq (adj) = 56,80%
also tends to increase.
Calificacin final increases, Evaluacin a medio semestre
1 0 -1
0,77
80 60 40 20
100
80
60
40
Calificacin final
E
v
a
l
u
a
c
i
n

a

m
e
d
i
o

s
e
m
e
s
t
r
e
causes Y.
Evaluacin a medio semestre.
that correspond to a desired value or range of values for
Calificacin final, or find the settings for Calificacin final
to predict Evaluacin a medio semestre for a value of
Y = 18,09 + 0,7828 X
Y: Evaluacin a medio semestre
X: Calificacin final
Y = 18,09 + 0,7828 X
Comments
Regression for Evaluacin a medio semestre vs Calificacin final
Summary Report

Ejercicio 1.4


6
statistically significant (p > 0.05).
The relationship between ndice and Das is not
> 0.5 0.1 0.05 0
No Yes
P = 0.127
9.84%of the variation in ndice can be accounted for by
100% 0%
R-sq (adj) = 9.84%
statistically significant (p > 0.05).
The correlation between ndice and Das is not
1 0 -1
0.40
100 80 60 40
18
17
16
Das
n
d
i
c
e
causes Y.
for ndice.
Das that correspond to a desired value or range of values
to predict ndice for a value of Das, or find the settings for
Y = 16.59 + 0.01036 X
Y: ndice
X: Das
Y = 16.59 + 0.01036 X
Comments
Regression for ndice vs Das
Summary Report


7
Ejercicio 1.5
significant (p < 0,05).
The relationship between WT and TL is statistically
> 0,5 0,1 0,05 0
No Yes
P = 0,000
89,19%of the variation in WT can be accounted for by
100% 0%
R-sq (adj) = 89,19%
TL increases, WT also tends to increase.
1 0 -1
0,95
400 300 200 100
1200
800
400
0
TL
W
T
causes Y.
WT.
that correspond to a desired value or range of values for
to predict WT for a value of TL, or find the settings for TL
Y = - 595,6 + 3,567 X
Y: WT
X: TL
Y = - 595,6 + 3,567 X
Comments
Regression for WT vs TL
Summary Report

Ejercicio 1.6


8
Promesas hechas is statistically significant (p < 0,05).
The relationship between promesas no cumplidas and
> 0,5 0,1 0,05 0
No Yes
P = 0,001
be accounted for by the regression model.
74,82%of the variation in promesas no cumplidas can
100% 0%
R-sq (adj) = 74,82%
tends to decrease.
Promesas hechas increases, promesas no cumplidas
The negative correlation (r = -0,88) indicates that when
1 0 -1
-0,88
60 50 40 30 20
6
4
2
Promesas hechas
p
r
o
m
e
s
a
s

n
o

c
u
m
p
l
i
d
a
s
causes Y.
promesas no cumplidas.
correspond to a desired value or range of values for
hechas, or find the settings for Promesas hechas that
to predict promesas no cumplidas for a value of Promesas
Y = 9,268 - 0,1180 X
Y: promesas no cumplidas
X: Promesas hechas
Y = 9,268 - 0,1180 X
Comments
Regression for promesas no cumplidas vs Promesas hechas
Summary Report

Ejercicio 1.11
Regression Analysis: Peso final Y versus Peso Inicial; Alimento Con

The regression equation is
Peso final Y = - 23,0 + 1,40 Peso Inicial X1 + 0,218 Alimento Consumido X2

Predictor Coef SE Coef T P
Constant -22,99 17,76 -1,29 0,237
Peso Inicial X1 1,3957 0,5825 2,40 0,048
Alimento Consumido X2 0,21761 0,05777 3,77 0,007


9

S = 6,05079 R-Sq = 87,3% R-Sq(adj) = 83,7%

Analysis of Variance

Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 2 1764,22 882,11 24,09 0,001
Residual Error 7 256,28 36,61
Total 9 2020,50

Source DF Seq SS
Peso Inicial X1 1 1244,66
Alimento Consumido X2 1 519,56

Ejercicio 1.12
Regression Analysis: Y versus X1; X2; X3; X4

Y = - 162 + 0,600 X1 + 9,56 X2 + 1,71 X3 + 0,222 X4

Constant -161,9 179,3 -0,90 0,397
X1 0,6002 0,3138 1,91 0,097
X2 9,558 4,534 2,11 0,073


10
X3 1,714 1,445 1,19 0,274
X4 0,2224 0,6987 0,32 0,760

S = 14,5781 R-Sq = 77,7% R-Sq(adj) = 64,9%


Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 4 5168,6 1292,2 6,08 0,020
Residual Error 7 1487,6 212,5
Total 11 6656,3

Source DF Seq SS
X1 1 3758,9
X2 1 1109,4
X3 1 278,8
X4 1 21,5

Unusual Observations

Obs X1 Y Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid
9 75,0 267,00 287,83 10,96 -20,83 -2,17R

R denotes an observation with a large standardized residual.

Ejercicio 1.13

Regression Analysis: Y versus X1, X2, X3, X4, X5



11
Y = - 6.51 + 2.00 X1 - 3.68 X2 + 2.52 X3 + 5.16 X4 + 14.4 X5

Constant -6.5122 0.9336 -6.98 0.000
X1 1.999 2.573 0.78 0.449
X2 -3.675 2.774 -1.32 0.204
X3 2.524 6.347 0.40 0.696
X4 5.158 3.660 1.41 0.178
X5 14.401 4.856 2.97 0.009

S = 0.703452 R-Sq = 96.3% R-Sq(adj) = 95.2%


Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 5 208.007 41.601 84.07 0.000
Residual Error 16 7.918 0.495
Total 21 215.925

Source DF Seq SS
X1 1 199.145
X2 1 0.127
X3 1 4.120
X4 1 0.263
X5 1 4.352


Obs X1 Y Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid
2 1.55 2.900 3.860 0.529 -0.960 -2.07R
18 1.72 6.360 7.621 0.390 -1.261 -2.15R


Ejercicio 1.14


12

Regression Analysis: Q3 versus P1, P2, P3, Q1, Q2

Q3 = 89.0 - 0.079 P1 + 0.090 P2 - 1.29 P3 + 0.403 Q1 + 1.04 Q2

Constant 88.97 32.53 2.74 0.011
P1 -0.0786 0.3544 -0.22 0.826
P2 0.0896 0.4197 0.21 0.833
P3 -1.2852 0.2977 -4.32 0.000
Q1 0.4035 0.3751 1.08 0.292
Q2 1.0369 0.5140 2.02 0.055

S = 13.6522 R-Sq = 59.1% R-Sq(adj) = 50.9%


Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 5 6737.7 1347.5 7.23 0.000
Total 30 11397.2

Source DF Seq SS
P1 1 99.2
P2 1 533.2
P3 1 5024.7
Q1 1 322.1
Q2 1 758.5


Obs P1 Q3 Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid
9 41.0 68.49 40.66 5.36 27.83 2.22R
14 49.0 10.70 34.99 9.01 -24.29 -2.37R
15 59.0 77.24 50.60 6.67 26.64 2.24R



13

Ejercicio 1.15

Regression Analysis: All versus Energy, trans, Med

All = - 3.82 - 0.346 Energy + 1.35 trans + 0.0449 Med

Constant -3.818 1.535 -2.49 0.018
Energy -0.34637 0.08043 -4.31 0.000
trans 1.3462 0.1316 10.23 0.000
Med 0.04491 0.03892 1.15 0.257

S = 1.11641 R-Sq = 99.9% R-Sq(adj) = 99.9%


Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 3 56279 18760 15051.66 0.000
Residual Error 31 39 1
Total 34 56318

Source DF Seq SS
Energy 1 51848
trans 1 4430
Med 1 2


Obs Energy All Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid
15 38 49.300 46.544 0.250 2.756 2.53R
16 42 53.800 51.177 0.223 2.623 2.40R
35 105 148.200 150.219 0.595 -2.019 -2.14R



14

Ejercicio 1.16

Welcome to Minitab, press F1 for help.

Regression Analysis: Iron versus Phos

Iron = 0.171 - 0.0273 Phos

Constant 0.17124 0.02574 6.65 0.000
Phos -0.02732 0.03181 -0.86 0.406

S = 0.0659626 R-Sq = 5.4% R-Sq(adj) = 0.0%


Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 1 0.003209 0.003209 0.74 0.406
Residual Error 13 0.056564 0.004351
Total 14 0.059773


Obs Phos Iron Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid
1 0.05 0.3300 0.1699 0.0246 0.1601 2.62R
15 2.00 0.1700 0.1166 0.0475 0.0534 1.17 X

X denotes an observation whose X value gives it large leverage.


15

Ejercicio 1.17
Regression Analysis: y versus t

y = 1.98 + 1.39 t

Constant 1.9800 0.8590 2.30 0.033
t 1.39432 0.07730 18.04 0.000

S = 1.99334 R-Sq = 94.8% R-Sq(adj) = 94.5%


Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 1 1292.8 1292.8 325.37 0.000
Total 19 1364.4


Obs t y Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid
20 19.0 32.425 28.472 0.859 3.953 2.20R



16

Ejercicio 1.18

Regression Analysis: Perdida de Peso y versus Mes despues de Producido x

Perdida de Peso y = - 0.422 + 2.88 Mes despues de Producido x

Constant -0.4220 0.5184 -0.81 0.439
Mes despues de Producido x 2.8778 0.3342 8.61 0.000

S = 0.758866 R-Sq = 90.3% R-Sq(adj) = 89.0%


Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 1 42.703 42.703 74.15 0.000
Total 9 47.310


17
Ejercicio 1.19

Regression Analysis: Y versus X

Y = 12.3 - 0.0308 X

Constant 12.2909 0.7491 16.41 0.000
X -0.030773 0.003571 -8.62 0.000

S = 0.749146 R-Sq = 89.2% R-Sq(adj) = 88.0%


Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 1 41.666 41.666 74.24 0.000
Total 10 46.717


18
Ejercicio 1.20

Regression Analysis: Carbonatacin y versus Temperaturas X1, Presin X2

Carbonatacin y = - 140 + 1.38 Temperaturas X1 + 4.67 Presin X2

Constant -139.75 23.38 -5.98 0.000
Temperaturas X1 1.3812 0.8061 1.71 0.121
Presin X2 4.6730 0.2986 15.65 0.000

S = 1.03173 R-Sq = 97.2% R-Sq(adj) = 96.6%


Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 2 332.61 166.30 156.23 0.000
Total 11 342.19

Source DF Seq SS
Temperaturas X1 1 71.83
Presin X2 1 260.78


19

EJERCICIO 3.1

Factor Type Levels Values
Quimico fixed 5 Q1. Q2. Q3. Q4. Q5

Analysis of Variance for Prenda, using Adjusted SS for Tests

Source DF Seq SS Adj SS Adj MS F P
Quimico 4 14,00 14,00 3,50 0,30 0,876
Error 15 177,75 177,75 11,85


20
Total 19 191,75

S = 3,44238 R-Sq = 7,30% R-Sq(adj) = 0,00%

Unusual Observations for Prenda

Obs Prenda Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid
6 67,0000 73,2500 1,7212 -6,2500 -2,10 R


EJERCICIO 3.2

SOLUCIN fixed 3 S1. S2. S3

Analysis of Variance for DAS, using Adjusted SS for Tests

SOLUCIN 2 703,5 703,5 351,8 2,73 0,118
Error 9 1158,8 1158,8 128,8
Total 11 1862,3

S = 11,3468 R-Sq = 37,78% R-Sq(adj) = 23,95%


21
EJERCICIO 3.4
Distancia (ft) fixed 4 D10. D4. D6. D8

Analysis of Variance for Sujeto, using Adjusted SS for Tests

Distancia (ft) 3 67,600 67,600 22,533 2,66 0,083
Error 16 135,600 135,600 8,475
Total 19 203,200

S = 2,91119 R-Sq = 33,27% R-Sq(adj) = 20,76%

Unusual Observations for Sujeto

Obs Sujeto Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid
1 17,0000 8,2000 1,3019 8,8000 3,38 R


EJERCICIO 3.5

LUGAR fixed 3 L1A. L2B. L3C

Analysis of Variance for RENDIMIENTO, using Adjusted SS for Tests

LUGAR 2 24,50 24,50 12,25 0,52 0,613
Error 9 213,50 213,50 23,72
Total 11 238,00

S = 4,87055 R-Sq = 10,29% R-Sq(adj) = 0,00%


22
EJERCICIO 3.6

ESTUDIANTE Y MATERIA fixed 5 E1. E2. E3. E4. E5

Analysis of Variance for CALIFICACIN, using Adjusted SS for Tests

ESTUDIANTE Y MATERIA 4 1618,70 1618,70 404,67 5,26 0,008
Error 15 1154,25 1154,25 76,95
Total 19 2772,95

S = 8,77211 R-Sq = 58,37% R-Sq(adj) = 47,27%

EJERCICIO 3.7

CURSO fixed 4 A. B. C. D

Analysis of Variance for CALIFICACIN, using Adjusted SS for Tests

CURSO 3 723,50 723,50 241,17 2,85 0,082
Error 12 1014,50 1014,50 84,54
Total 15 1738,00

S = 9,19465 R-Sq = 41,63% R-Sq(adj) = 27,04%

Unusual Observations for CALIFICACIN

Obs CALIFICACIN Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid
16 97,0000 80,5000 4,5973 16,5000 2,07 R


EJERCICIO 3.8

Trabajador fixed 5 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Analysis of Variance for C2, using Adjusted SS for Tests

Trabajador 4 12.434 12.434 3.109 2.22 0.104
Error 20 28.052 28.052 1.403
Total 24 40.486


23
S = 1.18431 R-Sq = 30.71% R-Sq(adj) = 16.86%

EJERCICIO 3.9

DIA 4 15,440 15,440 3,860 0,40 0,804
Error 20 191,200 191,200 9,560
Total 24 206,640

S = 3,09192 R-Sq = 7,47% R-Sq(adj) = 0,00%

EJERCICIO 3.10

Analysis of Variance for EFECTO, using Adjusted SS for Tests

DIA 4 15,440 15,440 3,860 0,40 0,804
Error 20 191,200 191,200 9,560
Total 24 206,640

UNIDAD 4
4.1 General Linear Model: RENDIMIENTO versus TEMPERATURA, HORNO


24

TEMPERATURA fixed 3 t1, t2, t3
HORNO fixed 4 H1, H2, H3, H4

Analysis of Variance for RENDIMIENTO, using Adjusted SS for Tests

TEMPERATURA 2 5194.1 5194.1 2597.0 8.13 0.006
HORNO 3 4963.1 4963.1 1654.4 5.18 0.016
TEMPERATURA*HORNO 6 3126.3 3126.3 521.0 1.63 0.222
Error 12 3833.5 3833.5 319.5
Total 23 17117.0

S = 17.8734 R-Sq = 77.60% R-Sq(adj) = 57.07%

4.2 General Linear Model: TIEMPO versus MARCA, SEMANA

MARCA fixed 3 M1, M2, M3
SEMANA fixed 3 S0, S3, S7

Analysis of Variance for TIEMPO, using Adjusted SS for Tests

MARCA 2 32.752 32.752 16.376 1.74 0.195
SEMANA 2 227.212 227.212 113.606 12.04 0.000
MARCA*SEMANA 4 17.322 17.322 4.330 0.46 0.765
Error 27 254.702 254.702 9.433
Total 35 531.988

S = 3.07139 R-Sq = 52.12% R-Sq(adj) = 37.94%

Unusual Observations for TIEMPO

Obs TIEMPO Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid
5 56.0000 50.5000 1.5357 5.5000 2.07 R
15 42.8000 48.6500 1.5357 -5.8500 -2.20 R


4.4 General Linear Model: Rendimiento versus Recover, Humedad

Recover fixed 3 R1, R2, R3
Humedad fixed 3 H1, H2, H3

Analysis of Variance for Rendimiento, using Adjusted SS for Tests


25
Recover 2 1535021 1535021 767511 6.87 0.002
Humedad 2 1020639 1020639 510320 4.57 0.016
Recover*Humedad 4 1089990 1089990 272497 2.44 0.061
Error 45 5028397 5028397 111742
Total 53 8674047

S = 334.279 R-Sq = 42.03% R-Sq(adj) = 31.72%

Unusual Observations for Rendimiento

Obs Rendimiento Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid
5 1236.00 536.33 136.47 699.67 2.29 R
7 130.00 888.50 136.47 -758.50 -2.49 R
9 1595.00 888.50 136.47 706.50 2.32 R


4.5 General Linear Model: Rendimiento versus Temperatura, Catalizador

Temperatura fixed 4 t1, t2, t3, t4
Catalizador fixed 5 c1, c2, c3, c4, c5


Temperatura 3 430.48 430.48 143.49 10.85 0.000
Catalizador 4 2466.65 2466.65 616.66 46.63 0.000
Temperatura*Catalizador 12 326.15 326.15 27.18 2.06 0.074
Error 20 264.50 264.50 13.23
Total 39 3487.78

S = 3.63662 R-Sq = 92.42% R-Sq(adj) = 85.21%


23 70.0000 62.5000 2.5715 7.5000 2.92 R
24 55.0000 62.5000 2.5715 -7.5000 -2.92 R
29 73.0000 67.0000 2.5715 6.0000 2.33 R
30 61.0000 67.0000 2.5715 -6.0000 -2.33 R


4.6 General Linear Model: Rendimiento versus A, C, B


26
A fixed 2 a1, a2
C fixed 3 c1, c2, c3
B fixed 3 b1, b2, b3


A 1 2.241 2.241 2.241 0.51 0.478
C 2 17.651 17.651 8.826 2.02 0.146
B 2 56.318 56.318 28.159 6.44 0.004
A*B 2 31.471 31.471 15.736 3.60 0.037
A*C 2 31.203 31.203 15.601 3.57 0.037
C*B 4 21.561 21.561 5.390 1.23 0.312
Error 40 174.839 174.839 4.371
Total 53 335.284

S = 2.09068 R-Sq = 47.85% R-Sq(adj) = 30.91%


3 22.1000 17.4481 1.0645 4.6519 2.59 R
4 11.3000 15.7852 1.0645 -4.4852 -2.49 R
49 19.2000 13.4648 1.0645 5.7352 3.19 R
52 7.8000 11.6352 1.0645 -3.8352 -2.13 R

4.7 General Linear Model: potencia versus temperatura, estado, dureza

temperatura fixed 3 t1, t2, t3
estado fixed 3 e1, e2, e3
dureza fixed 3 d1, d2, d3

Analysis of Variance for potencia, using Adjusted SS for Tests

temperatura 2 0.166169 0.166169 0.083084 12.03 0.000
estado 2 0.078252 0.078252 0.039126 5.67 0.005
dureza 2 0.019469 0.019469 0.009734 1.41 0.250
temperatura*estado 4 0.128454 0.128454 0.032113 4.65 0.002
temperatura*dureza 4 0.062804 0.062804 0.015701 2.27 0.067
estado*dureza 4 0.126437 0.126437 0.031609 4.58 0.002
Error 89 0.614449 0.614449 0.006904
Total 107 1.196032

S = 0.0830898 R-Sq = 48.63% R-Sq(adj) = 38.24%

Unusual Observations for potencia

Obs potencia Fit SE Fit Residual St Resid


27
15 0.580000 0.427685 0.034851 0.152315 2.02 R
18 0.430000 0.588796 0.034851 -0.158796 -2.11 R
49 0.310000 0.474352 0.034851 -0.164352 -2.18 R
52 0.660000 0.474352 0.034851 0.185648 2.46 R
75 0.780000 0.575185 0.034851 0.204815 2.72 R
79 0.740000 0.578796 0.034851 0.161204 2.14 R
103 0.740000 0.556296 0.034851 0.183704 2.44 R


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