Program

1.3
1.4
2.1
2.2
3.1
3.5
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.4
5.6
6.1
6.2
6.3
7.2
7.4
7.6
8.1
8.3
8.5
8.6
9.1
9.2
10.1
10.2
10.3
11.2
11.4
11.5
11.7
11.8
11.9
11.10
13.1
14.1
14.2
14.3
14.4
15.2
15.3
15.4
15.5
16.4
16.5
17.1

Name
Pritchett Clock Repair Shop
Pritchett Clock Repair Shop
Expected Value and Variance
Binomial Probabilities
Thompson Lumber
Bayes Theorem for Thompson Lumber Example
Triple A Construction Company Sales
Jenny Wilson Realty
Jenny Wilson Realty
MPG Data
MPG Data
Solved Problem 4-2
Wallace Garden Supply Shed Sales
Port of Baltimore
Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand
Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand
Turner Industries
Sumco Pump Company
Brown Manufacturing
Brass Department Store
Flair Furniture
Holiday Meal Turkey Ranch
High note sound company
Win Big Gambling Club
Fifth Avenue Industries
Top Speed Bicycle Company
Goodman Shipping
High note sound company
Manufacturing Example
Executive Furniture Company
Birmingham Plant
Fix-It Shop Assignment
Harrison Electric IP Analysis
Bagwell Chemical Company
Simkin, Simkin and Steinberg
Great Western Appliance
Hospicare Corp
Thermlock Gaskets
Solved Problem 11-1
Crashing General Foundry Problem
Arnold's Muffler Shop
Arnold's Muffler Shop
Golding Recycling, Inc.
Department of Commerce
Harry's Tire Shop
Generating Normal Random Numbers
Port of New Orleans Barge Unloadings
Three Hills Power Company
Three Grocery Example
Accounts Receivable Example
ARCO

Source
Excel QM
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Content
Breakeven Analysis
Goal Seek
Expected Value and Variance
Binomial Probabilities
Decision Table
Bayes Theorem
Regression
Multiple Regression
Dummy Variables - Regression
Linear Regression
Nonlinear Regression
Regression
Weighted Moving Average
Exponential Smoothing
Trend Analysis
Trend Analysis
Regression
EOQ Model
Production Run Model
Quantity Discount Model
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Linear Programming
Transportation
Transportation
Assignment
Integer programming
Integer programming
Integer programming
Nonlinear programming
Nonlinear programming
Nonlinear programming
0-1 programming
Crashing
Single Server (M/M/1) system
Multi-Server (M/M/m) system
Constant Service Rate (M/D/1)
Finite population queue
Simulation (inventory)
Random #s and Frequency
Simulation (waiting line)
Maintenance Simulation
Markov Analysis
Fundamental Matrix & Absorbing States
p-Chart Analysis

Module
M1.1
M5.1

AHP
Matrix Multiplication

Excel
Excel

- Regression

Rate (M/D/1)

rix & Absorbing States

Pritchett Clock Repair Shop

Breakeven Analysis

Cost-volume analysis
Rebuilt Springs
1000
5
10

Fixed cost
Variable cost
Revenue

Results
Breakeven points
Units
Dollars $
Graph
Units

5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
0

Costs

Revenue
1000
3000

200

400

Units

200
2,000.00

Costs
0
400

Data

0
4000

Revenue

600

Pritchett Clock Repair Shop

Breakeven Analysis

Data
Fixed cost
Variable cost
Revenue
Volume (optional)

Rebuilt Springs
1000
5
10.71
250

Results
Breakeven points
Units
Dollars $

175
1,875.00

Volume Analysis@
Costs
Revenue
Profit

250
2,250.00
2,678.57
428.57

Graph
Units

$
$
$

Costs
0
350

Revenue
1000
2750

0
3750

x
10
20
30
40

P(x)
0.2
0.25
0.25
0.3

xP(x)
2
5
7.5
12
26.5
Mean

(x-mean)squared*P(x)
54.45
10.5625
3.0625
54.675
122.75
Variance

The Binomial Distribution

n=
p=
r=
Cumulative probability

5
0.5
4
P(r<_)
P(r)

0.9688
0.1563

Thompson Lumber
Decision Tables

Data

Results

Favorable Unfavorable
Market
Market
Profit
Probability
0.5
0.5
Large Plant
200000
-180000
Small plant
100000
-20000
Do nothing
0
0

EMV

Minimum

coefficient

Maximum
Expected Value of Perfect Information
Column best
200000
0

10000
40000
0
40000

-180000
-20000
0
0

200000
100000
0
200000

Hurwicz
0.8
124000
76000
124000

100000 <-Expected value under certainty

40000 <-Best expected value
60000 <-Expected value of perfect information

Regret
Probability
Large Plant
Small plant
Do nothing

Maximum

Favorable Market
Unfavorable Market
Expected Maximum
0.5
0.5
0
180000
90000
180000
100000
20000
60000
100000
200000
0
100000
200000
Minimum
60000
100000

Bayes Theorem for Thompson Lumber Example

Fill in cells B7, B8, and C7
Probability Revisions Given a Positive Survey
State of Nature
FM
UM

Posterior
P(Sur.Pos.|state of nature) Prior Prob.
Joint Prob. Probability
0.7
0.5
0.35
0.78
0.2
0.5
0.1
0.22
P(Sur.pos.)=
0.45

Probability Revisions Given a Negative Survey

State of Nature
FM
UM

Posterior
P(Sur.Pos.|state of nature) Prior Prob.
Joint Prob. Probability
0.3
0.5
0.15
0.27
0.8
0.5
0.4
0.73
P(Sur.neg.)=
0.55

Triple A Construction Company

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Sales (Y)Payroll (X)
6
3
8
4
9
6
5
4
4.5
2
9.5
5

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.833333
R Square 0.694444
Adjusted R Square
0.618056
Standard Error
1.311011
Observations
6
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

1
4
5

SS
15.625
6.875
22.5

MS
F
Significance F
15.625 9.090909 0.039352
1.71875

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%
Intercept
2 1.742544 1.147747 0.31505 -2.83808
Payroll (X)
1.25 0.414578 3.015113 0.039352 0.098947

Significance F

Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
6.838077 -2.83808 6.838077
2.401053 0.098947 2.401053

SELL PRICE SF
35000
1926
47000
2069
49900
1720
55000
1396
58900
1706
60000
1847
67000
1950
70000
2323
78500
2285
79000
3752
87500
2300
93000
2525
95000
3800
97000
1740

AGE
30
40
30
15
32
38
27
30
26
35
18
17
40
12

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.81968
R Square
0.67188
Adjusted R Square
0.61222
Standard Error 12156.3
Observations
14
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
SF
AGE

2
11
13

SS
MS
F
Significance F
3328484242 1.66E+09 11.26195 0.002179
1625532901 1.48E+08
4954017143

CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
60815.4 12741.04143 4.773193 0.000578 32772.6 88858.29 32772.6 88858.29
21.9097 5.140482535 4.262184 0.001338 10.59556 33.22381 10.59556 33.22381
-1449.34 398.282471 -3.63898 0.003895 -2325.96 -572.729 -2325.96 -572.729

Upper 95.0%

SELL PRICE
SF
35000
1926
47000
2069
49900
1720
55000
1396
58900
1706
60000
1847
67000
1950
70000
2323
78500
2285
79000
3752
87500
2300
93000
2525
95000
3800
97000
1740

AGE
30
40
30
15
32
38
27
30
26
35
18
17
40
12

X3(Exc)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0

X4(Mint)
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1

Condition
Good
Excellent
Excellent
Good
Mint
Mint
Mint
Excellent
Mint
Good
Good
Good
Excellent
Mint

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.947618
R Square
0.89798
Adjusted R Square
0.852637
Standard Error
7493.777
Observations
14
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
SF
AGE
X3(Exc)
X4(Mint)

SS
MS
F
Significance F
4 4.45E+09 1.11E+09 19.80444 0.000174
9 5.05E+08 56156698
13 4.95E+09

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
48329.23 8713.307
5.5466 0.000358 28618.36 68040.1 28618.36 68040.1
28.2138 3.473758 8.121981 1.96E-05 20.35561 36.07199 20.35561 36.07199
-1981.41 298.0139 -6.64872 9.39E-05 -2655.56 -1307.26 -2655.56 -1307.26
16581.32 6089.81 2.722798
0.0235 2805.216 30357.43 2805.216 30357.43
23684.62 5324.635 4.448122 0.001605 11639.46 35729.78 11639.46 35729.78

Upper 95.0%

Automobile Weight vs. MPG

MPG (Y) Weight (X1)
12
4.58
13
4.66
15
4.02
18
2.53
19
3.09
19
3.11
20
3.18
23
2.68
24
2.65
33
1.70
36
1.95
42
1.92

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.86288
R Square 0.74456
Adjusted R Square
0.71902
Standard Error
5.00757
Observations
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 730.909 730.909 29.14802 0.000302
10 250.7577 25.07577
11 981.6667

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Intercept
47.6193 4.813151 9.89359 1.75E-06 36.89498 58.34371
Weight (X1) -8.246 1.527345 -5.39889 0.000302 -11.6491 -4.84283

Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
36.89498 58.34371
-11.6491 -4.84283

Automobile Weight vs. MPG

MPG (Y)
12
13
15
18
19
19
20
23
24
33
36
42

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Weight (X1) WeightSq.(X2) Regression Statistics

4.58
20.98
Multiple R
0.9208
4.66
21.72
R Square
0.8478
4.02
16.16
Adjusted R Square
0.8140
2.53
6.40
Standard Error 4.0745
3.09
9.55
Observations
12
3.11
9.67
3.18
10.11
ANOVA
2.68
7.18
df
SS
MS
F
Significance F
2.65
7.02
Regression
2 832.2557 416.1278 25.0661 0.000209
1.70
2.89
Residual
9 149.411 16.60122
1.95
3.80
Total
11 981.6667
1.92
3.69
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%
Intercept
79.7888 13.5962
5.8685
0.0002 49.0321
Weight (X1) -30.2224
8.9809
-3.3652
0.0083 -50.5386
WeightSq.(X2) 3.4124
1.3811
2.4708
0.0355
0.2881

Significance F

Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
110.5454 49.0321 110.5454
-9.9062 -50.5386
-9.9062
6.5367
0.2881
6.5367

Solved Problem 4-2

Advertising ($100) Y Sales X
11
6
10
6
12

5
3
7
2
8

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.9014
R Square
0.8125
Adjusted R Square
0.7500
Standard Error
1.4142
Observations
5
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Sales X

SS
1
3
4

MS
26
6
32

F
26
2

Significance F
13 0.036618

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
4
1.5242
2.6244
0.0787
-0.8506
8.8506
-0.8506
8.8506
1
0.2774
3.6056
0.0366
0.1173
1.8827
0.1173
1.8827

Upper 95.0%

Wallace Garden Supply Shed Sales

Forecasting

Data
Period
January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December

Weighted moving averages 3 period moving average

Demand

Error analysis
Forecast Error

Weights
10
12
13
16
19
23
26
30
28
18
16
14

Next period 15.3333333

Absolute

Squared

3.833333
4.666667
6
5.5
6.166667
0.5
10.33333
7.333333
4.666667
49
5.444444
MAD
SE

14.69444
21.77778
36
30.25
38.02778
0.25
106.7778
53.77778
21.77778
323.3333
35.92593
MSE
6.796358

1
2
3
12.16667
14.33333
17
20.5
23.83333
27.5
28.33333
23.33333
18.66667
Total
Average

3.833333
4.666667
6
5.5
6.166667
0.5
-10.3333
-7.33333
-4.66667
4.333333
0.481481
Bias

Port of Baltimore
Forecasting

Alpha
Data
Period
Quarter 1
Quarter 2
Quarter 3
Quarter 4
Quarter 5
Quarter 6
Quarter 7
Quarter 8

Exponential smoothing

0.1
Demand
180
168
159
175
190
205
180
182

Next period 178.595856

Error Analysis
Forecast Error
175
5
175.5
-7.5
174.75
-15.75
173.175
1.825
173.3575 16.6425
175.0218 29.97825
178.0196 1.980425
178.2176 3.782382
Total 35.95856
Average 4.49482
Bias

Absolute
5
7.5
15.75
1.825
16.6425
29.97825
1.980425
3.782382
82.45856
10.30732
MAD
SE

Squared
25
56.25
248.0625
3.330625
276.9728
898.6955
3.922083
14.30642
1526.54
190.8175
MSE
15.95065

Midwestern Manufacturing
Time (X)

Demand (Y)
74
79
80
90
105
142
122

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.89491
R Square
0.800863
Adjusted R Square
0.761036
Standard Error
12.43239
Observations
7
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Time (X)

1
5
6

SS
MS
F
Significance F
3108.036 3108.036 20.10837 0.006493
772.8214 154.5643
3880.857

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
56.71429 10.50729
5.39762
10.53571
2.34950
4.48424

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
0.00295 29.70445 83.72412 29.70445 83.72412
0.00649
4.49613 16.57530
4.49613 16.57530

Upper 95.0%

Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand

Forecasting

Regression/Trend analysis

Data
Period
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999

Demand (y) Period(x)

74
1
79
2
80
3
90
4
105
5
142
6
122
7

Intercept
Slope

56.7142857
10.5357143

Next period

141

Error analysis
Forecast Error
67.25
6.75
77.78571 1.214286
88.32143 -8.32143
98.85714 -8.85714
109.3929 -4.39286
119.9286 22.07143
130.4643 -8.46429
Total
0.00
Average
0.00
Bias

Absolute
6.75
1.2142857
8.3214286
8.8571429
4.3928571
22.071429
8.4642857
60.071429
8.5816327
MAD
SE

Squared
45.5625
1.47449
69.24617
78.44898
19.29719
487.148
71.64413
772.8214
110.4031
MSE
12.43239

Correlation

0.89491

Year

Quarter
1
2
3
4
2
1
2
3
4
3
1
2
3
4
1

Sales X1 Time PeriodX2 Qtr 2 X3 Qtr 3 X4 Qtr 4

108
1
0
0
0
125
2
1
0
0
150
3
0
1
0
141
4
0
0
1
116
5
0
0
0
134
6
1
0
0
159
7
0
1
0
152
8
0
0
1
123
9
0
0
0
142
10
1
0
0
168
11
0
1
0
165
12
0
0
1

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99718
R Square 0.99436
Adjusted R Square
0.99114
Standard Error
1.83225
Observations
12
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

4
7
11

SS
MS
F
Significance F
4144.75 1036.188 308.6516 6.03E-08
23.5 3.357143
4168.25

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept
104.104 1.332194 78.14493
X1 Time Period
2.3125 0.16195 14.27913
X2 Qtr 2
15.6875 1.504767 10.4252
X3 Qtr 3
38.7083 1.530688 25.28819
X4 Qtr 4
30.0625 1.572941 19.11228

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
1.48E-11 100.954 107.2543 100.954 107.2543
1.96E-06 1.92955 2.69545 1.92955 2.69545
1.62E-05 12.12929 19.24571 12.12929 19.24571
3.86E-08 35.08883 42.32784 35.08883 42.32784
2.67E-07 26.34308 33.78192 26.34308 33.78192

Sumco Pump Company

Economic Order Quantity Model

Data
Demand rate, D
Setup cost, S
Holding cost, H
Unit Price, P

1000
10
0.5 (fixed amount)
0

Results
Optimal Order Quantity, Q*
Maximum Inventory
Average Inventory
Number of Setups

200
200
100
5

Holding cost
Setup cost

$50.00
$50.00

Unit costs
Total cost, Tc

$0.00
$100.00

COST TABLE

Start at

Cost ($)

Inventory

Inventory: Cost vs Quantity

450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0

Setup cost
Holding cost
Total cost

25

Order Quantity (Q)

25 Increment by

Q
25
40
55
70
85
100
115
130
145
160
175
190
205
220
235
250
265
280
295
310
325

115 205 295

15

Setup cost Holding costTotal cost

400
6.25
406.25
250
10
260
181.8182
13.75 195.5682
142.8571
17.5 160.3571
117.6471
21.25 138.8971
100
25
125
86.95652
28.75 115.7065
76.92308
32.5 109.4231
68.96552
36.25 105.2155
62.5
40
102.5
57.14286
43.75 100.8929
52.63158
47.5 100.1316
48.78049
51.25 100.0305
45.45455
55 100.4545
42.55319
58.75 101.3032
40
62.5
102.5
37.73585
66.25 103.9858
35.71429
70 105.7143
33.89831
73.75 107.6483
32.25806
77.5 109.7581
30.76923
81.25 112.0192

340 29.41176
355 28.16901
370 27.02703

85 114.4118
88.75 116.919
92.5 119.527

Brown Manufacturing
Production Order Quantity Model

Data
Demand rate, D
Setup cost, S
Holding cost, H
Daily production rate, p
Daily demand rate, d
Unit price, P

10000
100
0.5 (fixed amount)
80
60
0

Results
Optimal production quantity, Q*
Maximum Inventory
Average Inventory
Number of Setups

4000
1000
500
2.5

Inventory: Cost vs Quantity

1200
1000
Cost ($)

Inventory

800
600
400
200
0
1000
2666.666667
4333.333333
6000
7666.666667
Order Quantity (Q)

Holding cost
Setup cost

250
250

Unit costs

Total cost, Tc
COST TABLE

500
Start at
Q
1000
1333.333
1666.667
2000
2333.333
2666.667
3000
3333.333
3666.667
4000
4333.333
4666.667
5000
5333.333
5666.667
6000
6333.333
6666.667
7000
7333.333
7666.667
8000

1000 Increment by333.3333

Setup cost
1000
750
600
500
428.5714
375
333.3333
300
272.7273
250
230.7692
214.2857
200
187.5
176.4706
166.6667
157.8947
150
142.8571
136.3636
130.4348
125

Holding costTotal cost

62.5
1062.5
83.33333 833.3333
104.1667 704.1667
125
625
145.8333 574.4048
166.6667 541.6667
187.5 520.8333
208.3333 508.3333
229.1667 501.8939
250
500
270.8333 501.6026
291.6667 505.9524
312.5
512.5
333.3333 520.8333
354.1667 530.6373
375 541.6667
395.8333 553.7281
416.6667 566.6667
437.5 580.3571
458.3333 594.697
479.1667 609.6014
500
625

8333.333
120 520.8333 640.8333
8666.667 115.3846 541.6667 657.0513

s Quantity

Setup cost
Holding cost
Total cost

Brass Department Store

Inventory

Quantity Discount Model

Data
Demand rate, D
Setup cost, S
Holding cost %, I

5000
49
20%
Range 1

Minimum quantity
Unit Price, P

Range 2
0
5

Range 3
1000
4.8

2000
4.75

Results
Range 1
Q* (Square root formula)
Order Quantity
Holding cost
Setup cost

700
700

Range 2
Range 3
714.4345083
718.1848465
1000
2000

$350.00
$350.00

$480.00
$245.00

$950.00
$122.50

Unit costs

$25,000.00

$24,000.00

$23,750.00

Total cost, Tc

$25,700.00

$24,725.00
1000

$24,822.50

Optimal Order Quantity

minimum

$24,725.00

Flair Furniture

Objective function
Carpentry
Painting

70
4
2

Left Hand
Side
50
4100
3
240 <=
1
100 <=

Solution Values

30

40

Tables

Chairs

Right Hand
Side
240
100

Slack
0
0

Holiday Meal Turkey Ranch

Brand 1

Brand 2

Objective function
Ingredient A
Ingredient B
Ingredient C

2
5
4
0.5

3
10
3
0

Solution Values

8.4

4.8

Left Hand
Side
31.2
90 >=
48 >=
4.2 >=

Right Hand
Side
90
48
1.5

Surplus

0
2.7

High note sound company

Value

CD PlayersReceivers
0
20
Total

Profit

50

120

2
3

4
1

2400
Used

Electrician hours
Audio technician hours

Sign
80 <=
20 <=

Available
80
60

Win Big Gambling Club

Solution
Variables
Audience reached per ad
Maximum TV
Maximum Newspaper
Maximum 30-second radio
Maximum 1 min. radio
Cost per ad
Radio dollars
Radio spots

1 minute newspaper 30 second 1 minute

TV spots ads
radio spots radio spots
1.96875
5 6.20689655
0
X1
X2
X3
X4
5000
8500
2400
2800
1
1
1
1
800
925
290
380
290
380
1
1

RHS
67240.302
1.96875
5
6.2068966
0
8000
1800
6.2068966

<=
<=
<=
<=
<=
<=
>=

12
5
25
20
8000
1800
5

Fifth Avenue Industries

Number Selling
Monthly
Monthly
Material
price
minimum demand (yards)
silk
polyester
(X)
6400
6.7
6000
7000
0.125
100%

Variety
All silk
All polyester
Poly-cotton
blend 1
Poly-cotton
blend 2

cotton

14000

3.55

10000

14000

0.08

100%

16000

4.31

13000

16000

0.1

50%

50%

8500

4.81

6000

8500

0.1

30%

70%

Total revenue

202425

2175

1395

Material
Silk
Polyester
Cotton

Cost
21
6
9

800

Available Used
800
800
3000
2175
1600
1395

Total Cost

42405

Total Profit

160020

Top Speed Bicycle Company

Transportation

Data
COSTS
New Orleans
Omaha
Demand

New York Chicago Los Angeles

Supply
2
3
5
20000
3
1
4
15000
10000
8000
15000 33000 \ 35000

Shipments
Shipments
New Orleans
Omaha
Column Total

New York Chicago Los Angeles

Row Total
10000
0
8000
18000
0
8000
7000
15000
10000
8000
15000 33000 \ 33000

Total Cost

96000

Goodman Shipping

Item
1
2
3
4
5
6

Max
Percent percent
loaded
loaded
Value ($)
weight (lbs)
0.333333
1
22500
7500
1
1
24000
7500
0
1
8000
3000
0
1
9500
3500
0
1
11500
4000
0
1
9750
3500
Total

31,500

10000

Weight Capacity

10000

High note sound company

Value

CD PlayersReceivers
0
20
Total

Profit

50

120

2
3

4
1

2400
Used

Electrician hours
Audio technician hours

Sign
80 <=
20 <=

Available
80
60

Manufacturing Example
mower
variable->
profit

blower
100
30

200
Total profit
80
19000
used

labor hours
steel (lbs)
snowblower engines

2
6

4
2
1

1000 <
1000 <
200 <

available
1000
1200
200

Executive Furniture Company

Transportation

Data
COSTS
Albuquerque
Boston
Cleveland Supply
Des Moines
5
4
3
100
Evansville
8
4
3
300
Fort Lauderdale
9
7
5
300
Demand
300
200
200 700 \ 700

Shipments
Shipments
Albuquerque
Boston
Cleveland Row Total
Des Moines
100
0
0
100
Evansville
0
200
100
300
Fort Lauderdale
200
0
100
300
Column Total
300
200
200 700 \ 700
Total Cost

3900

Birmingham Plant
Transportation
Data
COSTS Detroit
Dallas
New York Los Angeles
Supply
Cincinnati
73
103
88
108
15000
Salt Lake
85
80
100
90
6000
Pittsburgh
88
97
78
118
14000
Birmingham
84
79
90
99
11000
Demand
10000
12000
15000
9000 46000 \ 46000
Shipments
Shipments Detroit
Dallas
New York Los Angeles
Column Total
Cincinnati
10000
0
1000
4000
15000
Salt Lake
0
1000
0
5000
6000
Pittsburgh
0
0
14000
0
14000
Birmingham
0
11000
0
0
11000
Column Total 10000
12000
15000
9000 46000 \ 46000
Total Cost 3741000

Fix-It Shop Assignment

Fix-It Shop Assignment
Assignment

Data
COSTS
Adams
Brown
Cooper

Project 1 Project 2 Project 3

11
14
6
8
10
11
9
12
7

Assignments
Shipments
Adams
Brown
Cooper
Column Total

Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Row Total

0
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
3

Total Cost

25

Harrison Electric IP Analysis

Solution

Chandeliers Fans
5

0
Total

Profit

35
Used

wiring hours
assembly hours

2
6

3
5

Sign
10 <
30 <

Limit
12
30

Bagwell Chemical Company

value
profit

xyline (bags) hexall (lbs)

44
20
85

1.5

3770
used

ingredient a
ingredient b
ingredient c

30
18
2

0.5
0.4
0.1

sign
1330 <=
800 <=
90 <=

available
2000
800
200

Simkin, Simkin and Steinberg

Stock
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

Company Name Invest

Trans-Texas Oil
British Petroleum
Dutch Shell
Houston Drilling
Texas Petroleum
San Diego Oil
California Petro

Return
0
0
1
1
1
1
0

Total

Cost
50
80
90
120
110
40
75

480
540
680
1000
700
510
900

360

2890
3000

Limit

Bound
Texas Constraint
Foreign oil constraint
California Constraint

2 >=
1 <=
1=

2
1
1

Great Western Appliance

Number
Profit

Microtoaster
Self-clean Total
0
1000
1000 <
0
271000 $ 271,000.00
used

Hours

0.5

0.4

Sign
400 <

1000

capacity
500

Hospicare Corp
value

x1
x2
6.066259 4.100253

terms
values

x1
x1^2
x1*x2
x2
x2^3
1/x2
6.066259 36.79949 24.87319 4.100253 68.93374 0.243887

revenue
constraint 1
constraint 2
constraint 3

13

6
2

1
8

total
1 248.846

5
4
1
-2

90 <
75 <
40.3296 <

90
75
61

Thermlock Gaskets
value
cost

x1
x2
3.325326 14.67227
5

total
119.3325

constraints
value
Constraint 1
Constraint 2
Constraint 3

x1
x1^2
x1^3
x2
x2^2
3.325326 11.05779 36.77076 14.67227 215.2756 Total
3
0.25
4
0.3 136.0122 >
13
1
80 >
0.7
1
17 >

125
80
17

0-1 integer Program

x1
values

x2
1

x3
1

0
total

maximize

50

45

48

95

constraint 1

19
22
1

27
13
1

34
12
1

46 <
35 <
2<

Limit
80
40
2

Crashing General Foundry Problem

YA YB YC YD YE YF YG YH XST XA XB XC XD XE XF XG XH XFIN
Values
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0 2 3 3 7 7 6 10 12
12
Minimize cost
1000 2000 1000 1000 1000 500 2000 3000
A crash max.
1
B crash max.
1
C crash max.
1
D crash max.
1
E crash max.
1
F crash max.
1
G crash max.
1
H crash max.
1
Due date
1
Start
1
A constraint
1
-1 1
B constraint
1
-1
1
C constraint
1
-1
1
D constraint
1
-1
1
E constraint
1
-1
1
F constraint
1
-1
1
G constraint 1
1
-1
1
G constraint 2
1
-1
1
H constraint 1
1
-1
1
H constraint 2
1
-1 1
Finish constraint
-1
1

Totals
5000
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
12
0
2
3
2
4
4
3
5
5
6
2
0

<
<
<
<
<
<
<
<
<
=
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>

1
2
1
1
2
1
3
1
12
0
2
3
2
4
4
3
5
5
2
2
0

Arnold's Muffler Shop

Waiting Lines

Data
Arrival rate (l)
Service rate (m)

M/M/1 (Single Server Model)

2
3

Results
Average server utilization(r)
Average number of customers in the queue(Lq)
Average number of customers in the system(L)
Average waiting time in the queue(W q)
Average time in the system(W)
Probability (% of time) system is empty (P0)

Probabilities
Number
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Probability
0.333333
0.222222
0.148148
0.098765
0.065844
0.043896
0.029264
0.019509
0.013006
0.008671
0.005781
0.003854
0.002569
0.001713
0.001142
0.000761
0.000507
0.000338
0.000226
0.000150
0.000100

Cumulative Probability
0.333333
0.555556
0.703704
0.802469
0.868313
0.912209
0.941472
0.960982
0.973988
0.982658
0.988439
0.992293
0.994862
0.996575
0.997716
0.998478
0.998985
0.999323
0.999549
0.999699
0.999800

0.666667
1.333333
2
0.666667
1
0.333333

Arnold's Muffler Shop

Waiting Lines

M/M/s

Data
Arrival rate (l)
Service rate (m)
Number of servers(s)

Probabilities
Number

2
3
2

Results
Average server utilization(r)
0.33333
Average number of customers in the queue(Lq) 0.08333
Average number of customers in the system(L)
0.75
Average waiting time in the queue(W q)
0.04167
Average time in the system(W)
0.375
Probability (% of time) system is empty (P0)
0.5

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

Probability
0.500000
0.333333
0.111111
0.037037
0.012346
0.004115
0.001372
0.000457
0.000152
0.000051
0.000017
0.000006
0.000002
0.000001
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000
0.000000

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

(lam/mu)^n/n!
Cumsum(n-1)
term2
1
0.666667
1
0.222222 1.666667
0.049383 1.888889
0.00823 1.938272
0.001097 1.946502
0.000122 1.947599
1.16E-05 1.947721
9.68E-07 1.947733
7.17E-08 1.947734
4.78E-09 1.947734
2.9E-10 1.947734

Computations
n or s

Cumulative Probability
0.500000
0.833333
0.944444
0.981481
0.993827
0.997942
0.999314
0.999771
0.999924
0.999975
0.999992
0.999997
0.999999
1.000000
1.000000
1.000000
1.000000
1.000000
1.000000
1.000000
1.000000

P0(s)
2
0.333333333
0.063492063
0.009876543
0.001266223
0.000137174
1.2835E-05
1.05569E-06
7.74175E-08
5.12021E-09
3.08314E-10

0.33333
0.5
0.5122
0.51331
0.51341
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342

12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

1.61E-11
8.25E-13
3.93E-14
1.75E-15
7.28E-17
2.85E-18
1.06E-19
3.71E-21
1.24E-22
3.92E-24
1.19E-25

1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734
1.947734

1.70369E-11
8.69754E-13
4.12575E-14
1.82758E-15
7.59283E-17
2.96998E-18
1.09751E-19
3.84312E-21
1.27871E-22
4.05276E-24
1.22628E-25

0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342
0.51342

Rho(s)
0.666667
0.333333
0.222222
0.166667
0.133333
0.111111
0.095238
0.083333
0.074074
0.066667
0.060606

Lq(s)
1.333333
0.083333
0.009292
0.001014
0.0001
8.8E-06
6.94E-07
4.93E-08
3.18E-09
1.88E-10
1.02E-11

L(s)
2
0.75
0.675958
0.667681
0.666767
0.666675
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667

Wq(s)
0.666667
0.041667
0.004646
0.000507
5E-05
4.4E-06
3.47E-07
2.46E-08
1.59E-09
9.39E-11
5.11E-12

W(S)
1
0.375
0.337979
0.33384
0.333383
0.333338
0.333334
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333

0.055556
0.051282
0.047619
0.044444
0.041667
0.039216
0.037037
0.035088
0.033333
0.031746
0.030303

5.15E-13
2.41E-14
1.06E-15
4.36E-17
1.69E-18
6.22E-20
2.17E-21
7.17E-23
2.26E-24
6.82E-26
1.97E-27

0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667
0.666667

2.57E-13
1.21E-14
5.3E-16
2.18E-17
8.47E-19
3.11E-20
1.08E-21
3.59E-23
1.13E-24
3.41E-26
9.84E-28

0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333
0.333333

Garcia-Golding Recycling
Waiting Lines

Data
Arrival rate (l)
Service rate (m)

M/D/1 (Constant Service Times)

8
12

Results
Average server utilization(r)
Average number of customers in the queue(Lq)
Average number of customers in the system(L)
Average waiting time in the queue(W q)
Average time in the system(W)
Probability (% of time) system is empty (P0)

Waiting cost/hour
Waiting cost/trip

$ 60.00
$
5.00

0.666667
0.666667
1.333333
0.083333
0.166667
0.333333

Department of Commerce
Waiting Lines

M/M/s with a finite population

Data
Arrival rate (l) per
customer
Service rate (m)
Number of servers
Population size (N)

Results
0.05
0.5
1
5

Average server utilization(r)

Average number of customers in the queue(Lq)
Average number of customers in the system(L)
Average waiting time in the queue(W q)

0.436048
0.203474
0.639522
0.933264
2.933264
0.563952
0.218024

Average time in the system(W)

Probability (% of time) system is empty (P0)
Effective arrival rate

Probabilities
Number, n
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

Probability, Cumulative
P(n)
Probability Number waiting
0.5639522 0.5639522
0.2819761 0.8459283
0.1127904 0.9587187
0.0338371 0.9925558
0.0067674 0.9993233
0.0006767
1

0
0
1
2
3
4

Arrival
rate(n)
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0

31

Term 1

Sum term
1
Term 2
1
1
1
0.5
1.5
0.5
0.2
0.06
0.012
0.0012

1.7732
Sum term Decum
2
term 2
P0(s)
1
0.7732
1.5
0.2732 0.563952
1.7
0.0732
1.76
0.0132
1.772
0.0012
1.7732
0

Harry's Tire Shop

Probability
0.05
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.15

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the ones in the bo

Probability
Range
(Lower)
0
0.05
0.15
0.35
0.65
0.85

Cumulative Tires
Probability Demand
0.05
0.15
0.35
0.65
0.85
1

Day
0
1
2
3
4
5

Results (Frequency table)

Tires
Demanded Frequency Percentage Cum %
0
0
0%
0%
1
0
0%
0%
2
2
20%
20%
3
2
20%
40%
4
3
30%
70%
5
3
30%
100%
10

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Random Simulated
Number
Demand
0.738713
4
0.809414
4
0.858616
5
0.906845
5
0.632865
3
0.871298
5
0.17927
2
0.739672
4
0.527331
3
0.257875
2
Average
3.7

same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.

Generating Normal Random Numbers

Random number
38.56168904
44.12934062
39.09006016
41.6115212
36.8373438
40.58881682
45.16354566
47.41344557
34.57334599
36.0474607
42.1638933
28.29700386
38.14649298
42.23390822
41.85412671
35.95991143
27.93157837
38.54188857
39.04520022
32.56023403
41.69639146
44.43350295
41.85227064
38.45075418
37.38882091
33.02101696
40.6400646
41.17258569
39.96474019
41.03583802
44.60003945
38.06981023
42.90673701
37.07801997
32.84127465
41.80699589
41.67911025
49.24258993
35.01932776
43.61010545
41.81771246
50.80814037
38.77385236
38.47929316
37.71896993
35.92948329
43.44322161
39.95048214
41.89463451

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the o

Value
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
56

Frenquency Percentage
0
0.0%
2
1.0%
3
1.5%
4
2.0%
8
4.0%
18
9.0%
24
12.0%
38
19.0%
37
18.5%
23
11.5%
22
11.0%
11
5.5%
6
3.0%
3
1.5%
1
0.5%
0
0.0%
200

37.76545142
38.09549431
44.33478259
36.13992556
34.12232602
42.03601649
36.71482384
29.13328035
42.92556993
37.50066263
35.02111028
42.33221803
40.24424266
38.8368427
40.98538447
27.67315395
34.09959069
39.24256618
29.58638652
49.5076796
31.74448455
45.69617468
47.35126958
44.46185606
46.56239048
36.10574416
39.36494594
42.12464207
45.0290262
45.91150619
36.42252659
46.13615538
36.04178886
41.97013999
45.60078043
34.70077225
45.39929756
34.11849742
38.70581248
38.747506
50.64820379
45.88826842
36.40261979
41.52208587
46.59614633
49.75444815
48.48194393
38.97037886
40.33469476
35.48822395
41.0830677
41.00359209

42.48147104
43.57190573
41.16914865
51.45406355
45.79309542
37.73215968
37.13860654
40.97192721
39.76302815
44.99998136
48.97407901
35.47674677
38.92208945
37.73568588
37.15233765
39.76609951
46.98934684
33.36900325
41.5515104
45.15152291
31.75704356
39.34025643
41.60487736
36.07407901
38.6140063
36.74786838
33.06146144
42.75324176
42.5026408
32.99124216
33.13558609
42.64159038
42.74632693
35.05647801
39.97289129
39.89324781
40.2956706
38.14531751
41.2648517
39.41162201
43.12350197
40.15107936
34.59976578
48.8346183
47.74501279
52.36157989
41.00668786
40.02543857
40.39739927
38.25853047
38.88513525
38.84859408

34.50344166
41.36399548
39.75417349
42.35035309
39.68634974
41.37830095
33.51514677
47.01137633
36.86512154
46.11033393
43.66033294
44.06863988
41.0921877
38.53390409
40.47577984
36.82718645
42.81969651
37.035601
43.74497596
38.45984057
41.77411443
42.40898258
45.11910123
40.77840551
38.56061648
43.14300434
35.15652821
39.35622989
39.23034706
31.84024945
40.24890939
47.83578473
41.78150918
35.80741397
38.02931441
46.72580016
42.96416483
30.69024827
36.97738421
44.1269921
45.39807655
44.47722189
45.89792101
37.93462946
44.28650007
35.61303521
35.06684899

ay not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.

Port of New Orleans Barge Unloadings

Day
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Previously
delayed
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0

Total to
Random
be
number
Arrivals
unoaded
0.108295
0
0
0.100507
0
0
0.320609
2
2
0.182938
1
1
0.576297
3
3
0.682204
3
3
0.244693
1
1
0.864116
4
4
0.353314
2
4
0.008447
0
0

Barge Arrivals
Demand Probability Lower
CumulativeDemand
0
0.13
0
0.13
0
1
0.17
0.13
0.3
1
2
0.15
0.3
0.45
2
3
0.25
0.45
0.7
3
4
0.2
0.7
0.9
4
5
0.1
0.9
1
5

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be

Random Possibly
Number unloaded Unloaded
0.160394
2
0
0.483036
3
0
0.702392
4
2
0.524397
3
1
0.766404
4
3
0.82367
4
3
0.646211
3
1
0.158178
2
2
0.830843
4
4
0.064438
2
0
Unloading rates
Number
Probability Lower
1
0.05
0
2
0.15
0.05
3
0.5
0.2
4
0.2
0.7
5
0.1
0.9

numbers appearing here may not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.

CumulativeUnloading
0.05
1
0.2
2
0.7
3
0.9
4
1
5

Three Hills Power

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as

Time
Time
Breakdown Random
between
Time of
repairperson Random
Repair
number
number
breakdowns breakdowns is free
Number
Repair time ends
1 0.0529581
1
1
1 0.3852438
2
3
2 0.9245766
3
4
4 0.8913291
3
7
3 0.5936416
2
6
7 0.3614929
2
9
4 0.9111224
3
9
9 0.2881283
2
11
5 0.6038654
2.5
11.5
11.5 0.0588177
1
12.5
6 0.0172306
0.5
12
12.5 0.3399594
2
14.5
7 0.0516984
1
13
14.5 0.0860723
1
15.5
8
0.533433
2
15
15.5 0.8584862
3
18.5
9 0.8751594
3
18
18.5 0.7751288
2
20.5
10 0.3091988
2
20
20.5 0.5317927
2
22.5
Demand Table
Time betweenProbability
breakdownsLower
0.5
0.05
1
0.06
1.5
0.16
2
0.33
2.5
0.21
3
0.19

0
0.05
0.11
0.27
0.6
0.81

Cumulative Demand
0.05
0.5
0.11
1
0.27
1.5
0.6
2
0.81
2.5
1
3

Repair times
Time
Probability
1
0.28
2
0.52
3
0.2

g here may not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.

Lower
0
0.28
0.8

CumulativeLead time
0.28
1
0.8
2
1
3

Three Grocery Example

Time
0
1
2
3
4
5
6

State Probabilities
American Food Store
Food Mart
Atlas Foods
#1
#2
#3
Matrix of Transition Probabilities
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.8
0.1
0.1
0.41
0.31
0.28
0.1
0.7
0.2
0.415
0.314
0.271
0.2
0.2
0.6
0.4176
0.3155
0.2669
0.41901
0.31599
0.265
0.419807
0.316094
0.264099
0.4202748
0.3160663
0.2636589

Accounts Receivable Example

P=

I:0
A:B

I-B=

1
0
0.6
0.4

0
1
0
0.1

0.8
-0.3

-0.2
0.8

F = (I - B) inverse

1.37931 0.344828
0.517241 1.37931

FA =

0.965517 0.034483
0.862069 0.137931

0
0
0.2
0.3

0
0
0.2
0.2

ARCO
Number of samples
Sample size

Quality Control
20
100

Data
Sample 1
Sample 2
Sample 3
Sample 4
Sample 5
Sample 6
Sample 7
Sample 8
Sample 9
Sample 10
Sample 11
Sample 12
Sample 13
Sample 14
Sample 15
Sample 16
Sample 17
Sample 18
Sample 19
Sample 20

Graph information
Sample 1
Sample 2
Sample 3
Sample 4
Sample 5
Sample 6
Sample 7
Sample 8
Sample 9
Sample 10
Sample 11
Sample 12
Sample 13
Sample 14
Sample 15
Sample 16
Sample 17
Sample 18
Sample 19

# Defects
6
5
0
1
4
2
5
3
3
2
6
1
8
7
5
4
11
3
0
4

0.06
0.05
0
0.01
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.06
0.01
0.08
0.07
0.05
0.04
0.11
0.03
0

% Defects
0.06
0.05
0
0.01
0.04
0.02
0.05
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.06
0.01
0.08
0.07
0.05
0.04
0.11 Above UCL
0.03
0
0.04

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Results
Total Sample Size
Total Defects
Percentage defects
Std dev of p-bar

2000
80
0.04
0.019596

Upper Control Limit

Center Line
Lower Control Limit

0.098788
0.04
0

Sample 20

0.04

AHP

n=

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Priority

Sys.1

Sys.1

0.6923

0.7200

0.5625

0.6583

2.0423

3.1025 Lambda

Sys.2

0.3333

Sys.2

0.2308

0.2400

0.3750

0.2819

0.8602

3.0512 CI

Sys.3

0.1111 0.1667

Sys.3

0.0769

0.0400

0.0625

0.0598

0.1799

3.0086 CR

Column Total 1.4444 4.1667

16

Hardware

Software

Wt. sum vector Consistency vector

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Priority

Sys.1

0.5

0.125

Sys.1

0.0909

0.0769

0.0943

0.0874

0.2623

3.0014 Lambda

Sys.2

0.2

Sys.2

0.1818

0.1538

0.1509

0.1622

0.4871

3.0028 CI

Sys.3

Sys.3

0.7273

0.7692

0.7547

0.7504

2.2605

3.0124 CR

Column Total

11

6.5

1.325

Vendor

Wt. sum vector

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Sys.1

Sys.2

Sys.3

Priority

Sys.1

Sys.1

0.4615

0.4286

0.6000

0.4967

1.5330

3.0863 Lambda

Sys.2

Sys.2

0.4615

0.4286

0.3000

0.3967

1.2132

3.0582 CI

0.1667 0.3333

Sys.3

0.0769

0.1429

0.1000

0.1066

0.3216

3.0172 CR

Column Total 2.1667 2.3333

10

Sys.3

Factor

Wt. sum vector

Hard.

Soft.

Vendor

Hardware

Software

Vendor

Priority

Hardware

0.125

0.3333

Hardware

0.0833

0.0857

0.0769

0.0820

0.2460

3.0004 Lambda

Software

Software

0.6667

0.6857

0.6923

0.6816

2.0468

3.0031 CI

Vendor

0.3333

Vendor

0.2500

0.2286

0.2308

0.2364

0.7096

3.0011 CR

Column Total

12

1.4583 4.3333

RI

Hardware

Software

Vendor

Priority

0.00

Sys.1

0.658

0.087

0.497

0.231

0.58

Sys.2

0.282

0.162

0.397

0.227

0.90

Sys.3

0.060

0.750

0.107

0.542

1.12

1.24

1.32

1.41

Wt. sum vector

Consistency vector
3.0541
0.0270
0.0466

3.005543075
0.0028
0.0048

3.0539
0.0269
0.0464

3.0015
0.0008
0.0013

Matrix Multiplication

A=

1
1

2
2

3
0

B=

AxB =

2
1
3

1
1
2

13
4

9
3

-0.5
1

Matrix Inverse
A=

2
4

1
3

A-inverse=

1.5
-2

4
2

det(A)=

-10

Matrix Determinant
A=

3
4