Forces in the Histor o! the S"edish #e$!are State !ro% a &o$itica$ Theoretica$ &ers'ective( Internationa$ Master in Socia$ &o$ic and Socia$ #or)( Wilfer David Rodrguez Ortiz 28.10.13 In recent decades the individ*a$ res'onsi+i$it disco*rse has gained territor "ith the conse,*ence o! 'ro%oting targeting-'overt 'rogra%s !ro% the high 'o$ic%a)er s'heres( A$tho*gh. this 'a'er is 'art o! the e/a%ination o! the Internationa$ Master in Socia$ &o$ic and Socia$ #or) its goa$ is a$so to sho" that the S"edish E/'erience sho*$d +e ta)en as an e/a%'$e !or the sha'ing o! a ne" internationa$ societ res'onsi+$e !or it citi0ens "ith an *niversa$istic and de%ocratic !oc*s( There are three 'arts in this 'a'er( The !irst one is a Historica$ evo$*tion o! the S"edish #e$!are State *nti$ recent ears( The second 'art dea$s "ith the %ain actors and driving !orces !orging the distinct #e$!are State %ode$s( Third$. a re!$ection on the o*tco%es o! di!!erent %ode$s and conte%'orar trends( Fina$$. short conc$*sions are stated( Formation and Transformation of the Swedish Model in a Historical Perspective. Before 1932 There are several factors that converge in the beginning of the formation of the welfare state in Sweden. From a main rural population Sweden started to experience a process of industrialization and urbanization in the late 19 th century. In some uropean nations! as the "ismarc#ian $ermany! at the end of the 19 th century the concern about %dangerous classes&! which were those that could threat the social peace of the moment! made those governments to start drawing a draft of a social policy to aim to calm the demands of the wor#ing class and avoid the growing empowerment of a strong 'abor movement. These ideas came soon to Sweden where they were applied in a more inclusive and softer way. ()lsson! 199*+ Farmers! industry wor#ers! urban intellectuals! and the urban upper middle class were also involved in the formation of the first social policy discourse. It was a broad scope of people from very different bac#grounds with the ob,ective of modernizing society with politics rather than economics as their preferred tool. -mong those important intellectuals! -dolf .edin stands out for being a leader and inspiration for a whole generation. -dditionally! important essays appeared by that time as the $ustav /assel0s Socialpolitik and the -dolf .edin0s bill from 1112. These writings had influeces from the French revolution! Scandinavian nationalism and 3topism that deeply influenced the beginning of the Swedish 4elfare State. -long these intellectuals and leaders there was also a good institutional bac#ground fostered with the foundation of the /S-! Centralfrbundet fr socialt arbete! in 19*5 which gathered people from different bac#grounds that loo#ed and critized the situation of poors and destitutes and promoted a change in society ()lsson! 199*+. -longside with the existence of a strong intellectual civil society there was a raise of strong social movements. 6emar#able was the 3ppsala Verdandi movement. It is also important to mention the importance of the rural population on the construction of the welfare state. Sweden at the end of the 19 th century was a rural country on which farmers had a strong representation in the parliament and were one of the largest groups of taxpayers. -lready in 1915 the parliament approved the national pension7s act which was more a sign of willingness rather than a strong economic tool. 1 1 . The new pension system consisted of two parts. The first one was a pension paid by the insured and the second part was an invalid pension financed by the state. The first part reproduced the initial distribution of incomes which did not help for re8distributional purposes 2 The initial welfare state was gender biased and still favoure the male breadwinner model ('undberg 9 :mar#+. From 1932-1970 In 195; the Social <emocratic =arty got the power and #ept it for 22 years and played an important role in the creation of the Folkhemmet and the expansion of 4elfare State. In 1951 the Salts,>baden agreement or "asic -greement was reached between Svens#a -rbetgivaref>reningen (S-F+ and 'andsorganisation (')+ the main representatives of capital and labor respectevely. The state was formally excluded at this stage and soon Salts,>baden became a symbol of the Swedish model. ()lsen! 199?+ In 192? there was a pension reform related to the end of the II44 and the expansion of the Swedish industry due to its neutrality in the war and the new demands of industrial wor#ers. In 19@? was implemented the centralized wage bargaining and the Solidaristic 4age =olicy based on &eAual wage for eAual wor#&. This policy accelerated a process of capital accumulation on dynamic growing firms and at the same time the ban#rupcy of several firms that could not afford to pay the wages reAuired by the Solidaristic 4age =olicy ()lsen! 199?+. -lthough! some people that ,oined the Social <emocratic =arty were considered social engineers they still promoted the male breadwinner and the female housewife model in the sense that the first policies of the 4elfare State were aimed at strengthening the ability of the male breadwinner to support their families. 4omen certainly saw their position improved since the state wanted more children fearing a depopulation of the country due to the increase on the proportion of old people in the population and the low fertility rate that Sweden reached by the time. 4omen saw their role reinforced also by the economic boom of those years that made the industry to want more and cheap labor. ; The government understood the new needs of the wor#ing mothers and expanded the construction of #inder gardens and the entitlements to child allowances and housing benefits (.irdman+. The womenBs empowerment was fostered also by the reduction on the wage dispersion between men and women. There was also a sharp reduction between white and blue collar wor#ers wage dispersion by C2 D between 19?@ and19C@ ()lsen! 199?+. -lready in the 19@*s poverty was a marginal problem in all Scandinavian countries in the sense that strong policies 8 as a progressive tax system! generous benefits! regulation of capitals!8 economic egineering and the reduction 2 -round 192*s and 19@*s the women played a dual role both in the wor#ing world and at home as mothers. From 19@* to 19?@ the number of married wor#ing women increased from 1@.?D to 5?.CD as the economy grew. (.irdman+ 3 of wage dispersion had led to a high standard of living based on %decommodification& as sping8-ndersen mentioned. From 1970 o!ard" In 19C? a centre8right coalition won the elections and soon reduced the tax pressure resulting in an increasing budget deficit. -lthough in the beginning their popularity grew due to the reduction of the tax pressure the unbalance in the budget made soon feel the impact on the economy and the coalition lost its originally gained popularity. In 191; the Social <emocrats won the elections and devaluated the #rona in an attempt to increase the competitiveness of the Swedish conomy. In 1915 the centralized wage bargaining brea#s up when Eer#stadsf>reningen (EF+ ,ump out of the agreement and then it is followed by S-F. -lso during the 1*s Sweden0s credit control over international capitals was deregulated and the tool used to even the business cycle was partially eliminated. ()lsen! 199?+ <ue to the unmanageable economy in 1991 the Social <emocrats were forced out of power. The policies trying to avoid economy overheating were no popular and the Foderates leaded the coalition that won the elections. 3nemployment was high and the situation was considered as a Gational emergency. 'ater on! Sweden ,oint 3 to attract Foreign <irect Investment and they changed the economic priority from full employment policies to inflation targeting. =rivatization started and the efficiency argument was used endlessly to reduce the public sector and the welfare benefits entitlements. The solidaristic wage was intended to give eAual payment to eAual wor#. This policy made the less competitive firms to ban#rupt due to their inability to pay solidaristic wages. )n the other hand! however! it pushed the capital towards the most dynamic side of the economy! towards those firms who had good profits and on which the solidaristic wage was wor#ing as a ceiling avoiding the rise on wages for high productive wor#ers. This policy created concentration on large firms. Technical change brought also changes in the industrial relations and the balance of power was bro#en. "y 191? ?*.?D of Swedish wor#ers wor#ed in firms with @** or more wor#ers showing the concentration of labour on few firms ()lsen! 199?+. <uring the period of the crisis of the 4elfare State the balance of power was bro#en for the side of the capital from a Farxist perspective. This was not only due to the larger power of the local capital but also due to international trends that pushed against the national state and favoured the international mar#ets. Gowadays! the driving forces shaping the Swedish society are no longer industrialization! class struggle and urbanization but globalization! gender and post industrialism. -ctions from both 4 sides of the political spectrum have promoted the policies demanded by the international capital. Key actors and driving forces of the Swedish model and the political theories of welfare state. The most important drivers of the creation of the Swedish 4elfare State are the process of industrialization! the labor movement! the influence from the "ismarc#ian $ermany. 'ater on and after the golden age the #ey drivers are the politics of austerity! the accommodation of the welfare state to new needs as the post industrialism ta#es over! the globalization of the economy and gender issues. There are different theories that tried to explain the evolution of the 4elfare State in different 4estern countries. The main focus of these theories was based mainly on the level of social expenditure as a percentage of the country $<=. This was a bipolar theory that sorted out the different 4elfare regime from the residual model to the institutional model characterized by 3S- and Sweden respectively. ()lsen 9 )0/onnor+ In addition to this theory there are several theories that try to explain the development and actors of the 4elfare State. -mong the most important theories there are two. The industrialism of 4ilens#y according to which impersonal economic and demographic forces are the main responsible for the development of the 4elfare State! especially the population aging after the Second 4orld 4ar. ()lsen 9 ) 0/onnor+ Gevertheless! this thesis lac#ed an important explanation of the role of politics in the determination of the different welfare regimes. -nother important theory that reinforces the role of politics is the one of spiger8-ndersen state in the boo# The Three Worlds of the Welfare Capitalism where he sorts out the different welfare regimes into three categories! i.e.! the Social <emocratic model represented mainly by Scandinavian countries! the corporatist! conservative! /hristian Fodel represented by continental urope and the liberal model represented by the -nglo8Saxon countries! especially 3S-. The main actors for this theory are the 'abor Fovements and the degree of unionization that determines the %decommodification& of human labor or in other words taht frees citizens from depending completely on the labor mar#et for their survival (Fyles 9 Huadagno! ;**;+.This last theory has received several critics for being a simplistic way of categorizing the welfare regimes and for overloo#ing other aspects relevant for the development of 4elfare 6egime as gender and race. (Fyles 9 Huadagno! ;**;+ The feminist theories also critize this theory and want to emphasize the role played by women in the shaping of the welfare state. 4hen the economy started growing and demanding more labor! women went from a dual role as wor#ing mothers to a eAual status with men regarding the labor mar#et. -ll these developments 5 empowered women and gave them an active role in the shaping of the 4elfare State. Gew needs for child care as #inder gardens! and the reliance on the state for caring rather than on the family was liberating for many women that did not depend on the mar#et nor on the family to achieve their professional and motherhood goals (.irdman+. Furthermore! this facts had an effect on the family model used until that time which was the one of male breadwinner and housewife. Gowadays! the rethoric from the functionalist point of view is bac# to the scene as it is again the economy that plays an important role in shaping the different welfare states. -ccording to some research the institutions are #ey elements when determining the effects of the economic globalization on the welfare state regimes. The more committed are the political institutions in the country the more positive effects may the economic globalization have on the most exposed sectors of the national economies. (Swan#+ "eside all these theories there are more theories that try to better reflect reality. Gevertheless every time a new factor is introduced into the analysis this becomes more complex and harder to explain. very theory stress different points of the reality and sheds some light on different factors affecting the development of the 4elfare State. The most influecncial theory is the =ower 6esources Theory. -s Iorpi states! constant fluency of change in political terms depends on the distribution of power among different collectivities and classes (Iorpi! 19C1+. )n one hand! it is true that the 'abor movement played an important role in shaping the 4elfare State as stated above and some neo8Farxist and =6T theories may explain the class struggle that originally created the "asic -greement and the =ension System in Sweden. S-= and ') were #ey actors on the determination of the power relations between capital and labour on the beginning of the Swedish welfare state. It can also be applied the functionalism theory in the sense that the process of industrialization and the demand for new wor#ers including women was a strong driving force for the shaping of the 4elfare State. The need of reconstruction of the contenders of the war made the Swedish economy grow fast and created a demand for social insurance and other social policies that covered those who could not sell their labor on the mar#et. Gevertheless! institutions do matter since the results achieved by the Swedish 4elfare Fodel would have not been possible without the compromise and the bargaining process between capital and labor! i.e. between S-F and '). In the aftermath of the oil crisis two theories may be applied. The power resource theory recognizes the role of different classes and means of production and the functionalism of 4ilens#y emphasizes the economic forces as an 6 influence changing societies. The brea# in the power balance can be one of the main drivers for the crisis and reshaping of the welfare state in an era of austerity. In the words of 6amesh Fishra By providing capital with an exit option, globalization has strengthened the bargaining power of capital very considerably against government as well as labour (Mishra, 1999 The functionalist theory can be brought bac# when trying to explain the change on ruling parties along the Swedish elections .istory. The right8center governments from 19C? and 1991 were short8lived also because of the economic setting on which they were elected! close to an economic recession. There was a moment on time on which new administrative units were created and both S-= and ') loo#ed for conAuering of as much as possible units for their respective bands. -t this moment the balance of power is bro#en also within the public administration (Iorpi 9 TJhlin! ;*1*+. There are other driving forces li#e the international economy that pushes every time more and more. Relationships between distribution policies and outcomes and contemporary trends. From some time ago there has been the need for classifying the different models of welfare state and the different outcomes coming from these distinct models. Following the classification made by Iorpi and =alme! there are five different models of 4elfare StateK The targeted model! the voluntary state8subsidized model! the corporatist model! the basic security model and the encompassing model. There are also important Auestions to be address when trying to assess the outcomes and the Auality of the distinct models. Important Auestions as should be the Social =rograms targeted with means8testing or on the other hand should they be universal. -nd should the benefits be related to income or should they be eAual for all beneficiaries. There is also some literature that points out the fact of universalism being a determinant in the formation of the coalition in the government. The thesis of Iorpi and =alme (Iorpi 9 =alme! 1911+ is that 4elfare Structure Institutions are determined by distinct interest groups operating in society but once this institutions are put in place they played an important role in the formation of citizens coalitions. For example they found out that the corporatist model that foster the segregation in different occupational 7 categories helps to maintain ineAualties and more li#ely avoid the union of wor#ers from different professional bac#grounds and in different situations. In this perspective both the targeted model and the basic security model create a conflict of interests between the poor and the rest of the society. (Iorpi 9 =alme! 1911+ )n the other hand! the encompassing model represented by the Scandinavian countries is more li#ely to promote alliances between the poor and the better8off wor#ers given the fact that all of them participate in the same social protection schemes. )ther important aspect that differs among the different models is the size of the budget to be distributed. The largest budget is li#ely to correspond to the encompassing model where more population is included as payers and as beneficiaries. )n the other hand the model with the smallest budget would be the targeted one. The corporatist model is apparently able to rise a considerable big budget even if it discourage the formation of coalitions between the middle class! the poor and the wor#ers. (Iorpi 9 =alme! 1911+ The smallest income dispersion was found in Finland! Sweden and Gorway. The 3nited States of -merica! basic security model country! has the largest coefficient for wage dispersion according to the study presented by Iorpi and =alme. (Iorpi 9 =alme! 1911+ They also found that $ermany and France representatives of the corporatist model occupied intermediate possitions when tal#ing about income ineAuality. )ther important result is the poverty rates defined in their study as being below the @*D of the median income. -gain the encompassing model countries had the lowest poverty rates and the 3nited States the highest one while the coporatist countries fell into an intermediate position. )ne of the schemes that is prefered to calibrate and analyse the different welfare state models and their outcomes is the pension system. It is used due to the influece received from past incomes in income8related pensions systems and because of the relevance of the public provision in contrast to other social protection schemes. -s Iorpi and =alme found out in their research (Iorpi 9 =alme! 1911+ the encompassing countries have the most ineAual pension systems while the basic security and targeted model countries have a less ineAual pension system. Gevertheless! they noticed that considering the gross income that is influenced by other factors this scenario changes completely. The lowest inequality in total gross income occurs in the four countries with the most unequal public pensions inland, !weden, "ermany and #orway$ %n contrast, &ustralia, with pensions targeted at low groups, has much higher inequality in total gross income among the elderly (Iorpi 9 =alme! 1911+. 8 They also found that the level of expenditures on private alternatives to public pensions is higher in the targeted and the basic security models than in the encompassing and the corporatist model. This is due to the fact that the maximum level of pension is relatively higher in the encompassing and corporatist models which discourage better8off citizens to loo# for private alternatives for their pensions. Furthermore! a process of loo#ing for not only private alternatives but also other sources of income will ma#e ineAuality increase beyond the ineAuality generated only by an income8related pension system as the one implemented in the encompassing model. The main finding of their study is the %paradox of distribution& which states that the more we target benefits at the poor only and the more concerned we are with creating equality via equal public transfers to all, the less li'ely we are to reduce poverty and inequality ()orpi * +alme, ,-../ Gow we are going towards a world based on economics where the ideological discourse is mainly based in efficiency and the social <arwinism is applied as a rule. The individual responsibility will bring the bread to our homes. It is nature! and natural selection that determines who survives and who does not. It is not the society problem if there are some individuals that cannot afford to live. %It0s life& and as in nature the big fish eats the small fish. The economic setting has not helped to this purpose in the sense that fiscal deficit is the new excuse under which governments are determined. Those governments that treat now the deficit as an exogenous variable are the same that made the cutbac#s in the welfare state and the same that pushed away millions of people because they could not find their way in their home countries. The same people that bail out the ban#s. It is the same ideology that has bro#en entire countries and has created the conflict of interest embedded in targeting programs and the capital accumulation. Gowadays! we are facing a democratic gap on which the national governments have no say when facing extraordinary strong forces and large capitals that are able to determine the whole social policy of entire countries. This is also a crisis of principles! of solidarity and a negation of our nature as social animals and our origins in the communities. !onclusions The Swedish 4elfare model has prooved that people7s agency is fundamental in the shaping of their societies. -lso that institutions matter eAual or more than economics and the principles of universalism are the one that brings better results in terms of an eAual! modern and ,ust society. It has shown that is not through the denial of the hard wor# that the society will wor# better but thourgh the inclusion of all citizens rich and poor in a democratic an close8to8the people way. The challenge now is to go bac# to the ethic of the 9 social animals and reshape the global society for the wellbeing of its citizens. 1: Re!erences Hird%an. ;( <n(d(=( State &o$ic and >ender Contracts( The S"edish E/'erience( Kor'i. #( <1978=( The 0or'ing 1lass in 0elfare 1apitalism2 0or', 3nions and +olitics in !weden$ London( Kor'i. #(. ? &a$%e. @( <1988. Oct=( The &arado/ o! Redistri+*tion and Strategies o! E,*a$itA #e$!are States Instit*tions. Ine,*a$it and &overt in the #estern Co*ntries( Vo$ 63 No 5 '' 661-687( Kor'i. T(. ? TBh$in. M( <2:1:=( Changing "or)-$i!e ine,*a$it in S"edenA >$o+a$i0ation and other ca*ses( !wedish %nstitute for !ocial 4esearch( L*nd+erg. U(. ? C%ar). K( <n(d(=( Socia$ Rights and Socia$ Sec*ritA The S"edish #e$!are State. 199:-2:::( !cand$ 5$ 6istory. Edition 26( Mishra. R( <1999=( "lobalization and the welfare !tate$ M$es. @(. ? D*adagno. @( <2::2=( &o$itica$ Theories o! the #e$!are State( !ocial !ervice 4eview. Vo$ 76 No( 1 '' 34-57( O$sen. >( M( <1996=( Re-Mode$ing S"edenA The Rise and De%ise o! the Co%'ro%ise in a >$o+a$ Econo%( !ocial +roblems, 7ol 89, #o$,. 1-2:( O$sen. >( M(. ? OEConnor. @( S( <s(!(=( Introd*ction( Understanding the #e$!are StateA &o"er Reso*rces Theor and Its Critics( O$sson. S( E( <199:=( Fe!ore Socia$ De%ocracA the Ear$ For%ation o! a Socia$ &o$ic Disco*rse in S"eden( In S( E( O$sson. !ocial +olicy and 0elfare !tate in !weden <''( 83-84=( L*ndA Ar)iv( S"an). D( <n(d(=( >$o+a$ Ca'ita$. &o$itica$ Instit*tions and &o$ic Change in Deve$o'ed #e$!are States( 11