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Official figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics - ABS - on new home approvals have raised questions over whether the building boom is peaking. The ABS figures for June show 15,659 new dwellings were given local government go-ahead that month, down 5 per cent from the month before.
Despite the fall, which was more than twice what economists expected, dwelling approvals are still up by a massive 16 percent on the same time last year. The notoriously volatile apartment approvals figure, which is frequently skewed by large developments, fell 10.5 per cent in June, but still remains more than 23 per cent above last year's level.
Detached house approvals fell a more modest 2.2 per cent at the start of winter, but are also up a more modest 13.1 per cent over the past year. The Housing Industry Association, which represents residential builders, says slow land release is likely to have capped the most recent construction boom.
Despite the downturn in new builds, home prices surged as the real estate market recovered from it's autumn slump. Overall Australia's home price boom shows little sign of slowing, with Sydney and Melbourne again driving price gains after a brief lull :: http://www.renovationplanning.net.au/2014/08/04/building-approval-fall-marks-peak-home-building-boom/
Official figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics - ABS - on new home approvals have raised questions over whether the building boom is peaking. The ABS figures for June show 15,659 new dwellings were given local government go-ahead that month, down 5 per cent from the month before.
Despite the fall, which was more than twice what economists expected, dwelling approvals are still up by a massive 16 percent on the same time last year. The notoriously volatile apartment approvals figure, which is frequently skewed by large developments, fell 10.5 per cent in June, but still remains more than 23 per cent above last year's level.
Detached house approvals fell a more modest 2.2 per cent at the start of winter, but are also up a more modest 13.1 per cent over the past year. The Housing Industry Association, which represents residential builders, says slow land release is likely to have capped the most recent construction boom.
Despite the downturn in new builds, home prices surged as the real estate market recovered from it's autumn slump. Overall Australia's home price boom shows little sign of slowing, with Sydney and Melbourne again driving price gains after a brief lull :: http://www.renovationplanning.net.au/2014/08/04/building-approval-fall-marks-peak-home-building-boom/
Official figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics - ABS - on new home approvals have raised questions over whether the building boom is peaking. The ABS figures for June show 15,659 new dwellings were given local government go-ahead that month, down 5 per cent from the month before.
Despite the fall, which was more than twice what economists expected, dwelling approvals are still up by a massive 16 percent on the same time last year. The notoriously volatile apartment approvals figure, which is frequently skewed by large developments, fell 10.5 per cent in June, but still remains more than 23 per cent above last year's level.
Detached house approvals fell a more modest 2.2 per cent at the start of winter, but are also up a more modest 13.1 per cent over the past year. The Housing Industry Association, which represents residential builders, says slow land release is likely to have capped the most recent construction boom.
Despite the downturn in new builds, home prices surged as the real estate market recovered from it's autumn slump. Overall Australia's home price boom shows little sign of slowing, with Sydney and Melbourne again driving price gains after a brief lull :: http://www.renovationplanning.net.au/2014/08/04/building-approval-fall-marks-peak-home-building-boom/
ABS figures for residential building approvals declined in June following an increase during the previous month, said the Housing Industry Association (HIA), the voice of Australias residential building industry.
During June 2014, a total of 15,659 dwellings were approved, a 5 per cent decline on the previous month. However, approvals were 16.0 per cent higher than the same period twelve months ago. During June, the number of private detached house approvals fell by 2.2 per cent with private multi-unit approvals experiencing a decline of some 10.5 per cent.
New home approvals have recorded falls in seven of the past nine months, HIA Senior Economist, Shane Garrett pointed out. It is thus likely that we have already reached the peak in the home building recovery and that activity is likely to stabilise over the coming year.
Despite Australias inadequate supply of housing, it appears that the usual suspects have brought the upturn in activity to a halt,. These include factors like slow land release and barriers to the development of residential land.
Last weeks HIA Building Better Cities Summit explored issues around so-called NIMBY-ism and its effects on development, added Shane Garrett. Unfortunately, it seems that this culture is catered for too much by aspects of the regulatory mechanisms for new housing.
With interest rates at historic lows, the window of opportunity remains open for the supply of affordable housing to be significantly augmented in the near future, Shane Garrett indicated. A greater push on this front by policymakers could ensure that the housing prospects for this generation of Australians are greatly enhanced, concluded HIA Senior Economist, Shane Garrett.
There was considerable state-by-state variation in approvals during June. Victoria was the only state to record an increase during June, with approvals rising by just 0.3 per cent during the month in seasonally adjusted terms. The largest declines during the month occurred in Queensland (down 10.5 per cent) and Tasmania (down 9.0 per cent). Lower activity also affected South Australia (down 3.6 per cent), Western Australia (down 3.1 per cent) and New South Wales (down 2.1 per cent). In trend terms, approvals rose by 9.2 per cent in the Northern Territory but fell by some 15.2 per cent in the ACT.
For further information please contact: Shane Garrett, Senior Economist 0416 633 261 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 19,000 J u n - 0 4 J u n - 0 5 J u n - 0 6 J u n - 0 7 J u n - 0 8 J u n - 0 9 J u n - 1 0 J u n - 1 1 J u n - 1 2 J u n - 1 3 J u n - 1 4 N u m b e r Monthly Building Approvals - Australia Source: ABS 8731 Seasonally adjusted Trend FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
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