Bharat Infrastructure Limited Transaction Overview Hitarth scratched his head and took another sip of coffee. He listened to the rain splashing against the glass building and sighed. Had he got access to the groups CFO, Hitarth wondered, he would have received enough information to prepare a reasonable bid. Instead he was procrastinating by checking his messages and studying the weather map of Mumbai. If only Neil were not on vacation, Hitarth mused. An alumnus of IIM Calcutta, Hitarths conviction on Indian growth story had made him turn down a job offer in a London based bank during final placements in order to accept an M&A banking profile in Mumbai. Unlike some of his less fortunate classmates, Hitarths career weathered the post- Lehman crisis well. Having worked on over $1 billion worth of cross-border M&A deals, Hitarth joined Firestorm Capital, an offshore private equity fund focused on India, in 2010. Firestorm Capital was one of the best performing private equity firms in India, and Hitarth was part of its core investment team. Hitarths current assignment involved evaluating a potential investment in Bharat Infrastructure Limited (BIL), a large Indian infrastructure conglomerate. Two days ago, Neil, a partner in Firestorm Capital, had forwarded some information on the group and had requested Hitarth to prepare a presentation on a potential private equity transaction in BIL. The transaction entailed a primary investment of $25million in the group and a secondary purchase of 5% stake of an existing financial investor. Hitarths primary focus was to determine fair equity value of the company for the purpose of the transaction as the deadline to bid for the transaction was nearing. Hitarth picked up the phone and called his mentor, Prof. A. Mukherjee of IIM Calcutta. The Indian Infrastructure Industry The Indian Infrastructure Industry evolved from being only government funded to a public-private partnership (PPP) model after the government opened up the sector for private investors in the eleventh five year plan (2007-2012). This wave ended up with almost every large corporate house in India having a significant exposure to infrastructure industry and a new crop of infrastructure funds being raised. The twelfth five year plan (2012-2017) envisaged a requirement of USD 1 trillion of investments (Exhibits 1 and 2) in the physical infrastructure of the country, out of which almost 50% was planned to be funded by the private sector. The share of private investment in the total investment in infrastructure rose from 22% in the Tenth Plan (2002-2007) to 38% in the Eleventh Plan as large pools of foreign flows funded the balance sheets of Indian infrastructure companies (Exhibit 3). However, as Indias GDP growth moved from 8-9% in 2009-2010 to sub-5% in FY2013 and FY2014, inflation rose and the Indian rupee depreciated, the effect of implementation issues in infrastructure projects and lack of required reforms in the sector magnified and eroded returns of most private equity infrastructure funds. Equity investments in infrastructure dipped sharply thereafter leaving most companies with fractured balance sheets Bharat Infrastructure Limited SOTP Valuation Case Study 2 and unfinished projects resulting in highest number of corporate debt restructuring cases in 2013. The Indian Infrastructure sector soon became the synonym of crony capitalism. But in 2014, as the new Modi government began laying the groundwork for structural reforms across sectors, the infrastructure sector got rerated overnight and started witnessing huge foreign flows into listed infrastructure companies. After a dismal performance of private equity investments in infrastructure companies during the last wave, it was dj vu for Hitarth when he received an email from Neil with information on BIL. Company Background Bharat Infrastructure Ltd (BIL) is a unique player in the Indian infrastructure space. The group was founded by a few premier financial institutions in 1978. Over the years, the group diversified its shareholder base to include other prominent Indian and international entities. BIL, having pioneered the concept of public-private partnership model, evolved into an end-to-end solution provider in various infrastructure segments such as transportation, energy, ports and urban infrastructure. While the group is a sponsor and developer of projects in a wide array of infrastructure sectors, its financial services arm continues to play an important role in the financing of infrastructure projects. In addition, BIL is also playing an active role in the social infrastructure sectors such as education, environment and employment generating schemes. Exhibit 4 contains a brief presentation on the group. Business Model The group started its operations with two main verticals: financial services and infrastructure. As the infrastructure segment developed across various sectors, projects were initially domiciled in individual special purpose vehicles (SPVs). As an increasing number of projects came into its fold, the management decided to restructure these projects into sector verticals. After a period of time, such sector verticals, having achieved meaningful scale and critical mass, were spun off into independent legal entities in the form of sector holding companies e.g. most road SPVs were grouped under a road company and most energy SPVs were housed under a power holding company. This was an on- going restructuring exercise and some of the sector projects were still held by BIL at present. Exhibit 5 contains the holding structure details and BILs shareholding in underlying companies. Exhibit 6 contains the abridged financial statements of the company. The groups strategic investments into projects and sector platforms are available in Exhibit 7. On closer scrutiny of BILs FY2014 annual report, Hitarth found that the group also owns an office complex and a retail mall, from which it generates a rental income of INR 532mn and INR 657mn respectively. In addition, BIL recently started the practice of charging royalty for its brand from its operating subsidiaries and generated an income of INR 875mn from it in FY2014. Roads Sector: Bharat Roads Limited Bharat Roads Limited (BRL) is one of the largest BOT road operators in India with 6,000 km under its management worth INR 150bn across 20 projects, 35% of which are operational, while the majority of the remaining projects are expected to be operational in the next 2-3 years. Each project is Bharat Infrastructure Limited SOTP Valuation Case Study 3 housed in an independent SPV. The company charges 3-4% of project cost for project advisory and management services, which is paid by the SPV developing the project. BRL has a good mix of annuity and toll projects, which positions it well to benefit from any upside in toll collection due to accelerated economic growth; at the same time, the company is able to enjoy stable cash flows from annuity projects. The momentum in road project awards is expected to pick up, given the ambitious target of 25 km/day of road construction set by the government. BRL is expected to be a key beneficiary of this. BRL is listed on Indian bourses with a market capitalization of INR 58 billion as of July 31, 2014. A road analyst had mentioned to Hitarth that the SOTP valuation of the companys BOT projects coupled with the value of its engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) services business (8xFY16E P/E) estimates the companys intrinsic value range from INR 75 to 82 billion. The following is a summary of consensus estimates of the companys valuation parameters.
Exhibit 8 contains the consensus valuation estimates of BRLs peers. Power Sector: Bharat Energy Limited BIL created Bharat Energy Ltd (BEL) to house all energy related activities and investments to build a platform that can be deployed to quickly agglomerate power generation capacities to become a significant player in the Indian power market. BEL is engaged in development of a number of power projects across the country on a variety of fuel sources.
The status update of projects as of July 31, 2014 is mentioned in Exhibit 9. Each power project is housed in a separate SPV and BEL acts as a holding company of all SPVs. BEL also provides project advisory, bidding and development services in the power sector from which BEL generated revenue of INR 500mn in FY2014, of which 70% is attributable to projects of its own SPVs. BEL had a debt of INR 20bn in its stand-alone balance sheet as of March 31, 2014 and is looking to improve its debt-equity ratio in order to achieve financial closure for remaining projects. The company is in the process of raising funds at the holding company level as well as at the SPV level. The management of BEL told Hitarth that the company has already received bids from several private equity players valuing the company between INR 25bn-30bn and the transaction is nearing closure. Hitarth noted that it may be useful to compare valuation parameters of the companys peers listed on Indian bourses mentioned in Exhibit 10. Financial Services Sector: Bharat Finance Limited Bharat Finance Limited (BFL) is a financial services company engaged in brokerage services, project debt syndication, structured finance and corporate advisory services. BFL acts as a nodal agency for BIL group for financing of all its infrastructure projects. Exhibit 11 contains key financials of BFL and Exhibit 12 contains its peer comparison matrix. Hitarth wondered how he could use the given information to value BFL. Ports Sector: Bharat Ports Ltd Bharat Ports Ltd (BPL) has been set up with the objective of consolidating existing port segment assets in the group and to create a port sector platform. BPL is creating a diversified portfolio of assets, services and strategic alliances through development and implementation of port Bharat Infrastructure Limited SOTP Valuation Case Study 5 infrastructure assets. As per Maritime Agenda 2020, the traffic at Indian ports is expected to grow at a CAGR of around 14% in the next 10 years due to strong demand led by infrastructure and trade growth. Exhibit 13 contains the investments in the port sector made by BPL. BPL had total assets of INR 4.1bn, net worth of INR 1.2bn and borrowings of 2.7bn as of March 31, 2014. By the time Hitarth finished the phone call with Prof Mukherjee, he had formulated a framework to value BIL. He opened his laptop and began examining the comps sheet for the infrastructure sector prepared by a leading research house (Exhibit 14).
Bharat Infrastructure Limited SOTP Valuation Case Study 6 Exhibit 1: Projected Investment in Infrastructure during the Twelfth Five Year Plan
Exhibit 2: Sector-wise Investment Pattern: Eleventh and Twelfth Plan (INR Billion at current prices)
Source: Planning Commission Exhibit 3: FDI in infrastructure over past few years (INR billion)
Bharat Infrastructure Limited SOTP Valuation Case Study 7 Exhibit 4: Investment Presentation
Bharat Infrastructure Limited SOTP Valuation Case Study 8
Exhibit 5: Holding Structure of BIL Group Company Sector BILs Stake BILs Investment (INR mn) BEL Power 90% 7,500 BFL Financial Services 90% 15,000 BRL Roads 45% 5,600 BPL Ports 85% 1,320
Exhibit 6: Abridged Financials of BIL as of Mar 31 , 2014 INR mn Net Assets 3,700 Net Investments 69,680 Current Assets (ex cash) 6,238 Cash and Cash Equivalents 6,764 Net Worth 24,760 Secured Loans 48,325 Unsecured Loans 5,625 Current Liabilities 7,672 Revenue 12,355 PAT 3,245
Bharat Infrastructure Limited SOTP Valuation Case Study 9 Exhibit 7: BILs Strategic Equity Investments Name of Company Sector Cost as of Mar 31, 2014 (INR mn) Bharat Education Ltd. Education 175 Bharat Engineering Ltd Engineering 1495 Bharat Finance Ltd (BFL) Financial Services 10,960 Bharat Brokerage Services Ltd Financial Services 985 Bharat Investments Ltd Financial Services 2,525 Bharat Capital Ltd Financial Services 530 Bharat Consulting Ltd Infra Advisory 125 Bharat Ports Ltd (BPL) Ports 1,320 Supreme Ports Ltd Ports 350 Highpoint Shipyard Ltd Ports 565 Bharat Logistics Ltd Ports 224 Bharat Energy Ltd (BEL) Power 2,560 Bharat Wind Power Ltd Power 965 Global Power Ltd Power 1,850 Gujarat Power Company Ltd Power 1,330 Orissa Power Ltd Power 795 Bharat Roads Ltd (BRL) Roads 4,530 North East Highway Ltd Roads 355 J&K Expressway Ltd Roads 11 Pune Metro Rail Ltd Roads 704 Bharat Technologies Limited Technology 60 Bharat Water Ltd Water 700
Exhibit 8: Peer Valuation Matrix for BRL
Road Company 13 11.6 1 0.9 8.2 8 Hindustan Construction NA NA 2.1 2.3 NA NA IVRCL Infra NA NA 0.6 0.7 NA NA Nagarjuna Construction 36.5 13.9 0.7 0.7 1.9 4.9 Simplex Infrastructure 19.9 11.4 1 0.9 5.3 8.7 AVERAGE 10.7 2.2 1.1 1.1 NA NA
Bharat Infrastructure Limited SOTP Valuation Case Study 10 Exhibit 9: Status of BELs Power Projects Project # Environmental Clearance? PPA Signed? Fuel Source Tied Up? Financial Closure? 1 Y Y Y Y 2 Y N N Y 3 Y N Y N 4 Y N Y N 5 N N N N 6 Y Y Y N 7 Y Y Y Y 8 Y N Y Y 9 N N N N 10 Y Y Y Y 11 Y Y Y Y 12 Y Y Y Y 13 Y Y Y Y 14 Y Y Y Y 15 Y N Y N 16 Y N Y N
Exhibit 10: Peer Valuation Matrix for BEL
Bharat Infrastructure Limited SOTP Valuation Case Study 11 Exhibit 11: Key Financials of BFL INR million FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 Net Worth 6,304.0 6,481.1 7,248.7 8,010.5 YoY growth (%)
Exhibit 13: Investments in Port Sector by BPL SPV Investment (INR million) Stake (%) Highpoint Shipyard Ltd 565 51% Dahej Port Ltd* 125 25% Khambat Port Ltd 1374 100% Dahej SEZ 849 100% *Listed on Indian stock exchange with a market cap of INR 1.2 bn as of July 31, 2014.
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