Time Warner Cable News/Siena College Poll

September 4, 7-9, 2014

609 Likely Voters Congressional District 19
MOE +/- 4.0%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Right track 23% 40% 14% 17% 27% 19% 41% 13% 28% 20% 19% 22% 24% 21% 17% 34% 45% 25% 6%
Wrong direction 64% 45% 77% 68% 63% 65% 42% 79% 59% 65% 68% 68% 61% 70% 69% 51% 38% 59% 90%
Don't know/No opinion 13% 15% 10% 14% 10% 16% 17% 8% 13% 14% 13% 10% 16% 10% 15% 15% 17% 16% 4%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Favorable 21% 38% 11% 15% 23% 19% 44% 10% 22% 26% 15% 19% 22% 14% 19% 32% 40% 23% 6%
Unfavorable 22% 14% 26% 26% 26% 19% 10% 31% 24% 15% 25% 27% 19% 26% 23% 18% 13% 18% 35%
Don't know/No opinion 57% 48% 63% 59% 51% 62% 46% 59% 54% 58% 60% 55% 59% 60% 58% 50% 46% 59% 59%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Favorable 57% 37% 76% 57% 57% 56% 21% 81% 50% 52% 69% 58% 55% 59% 69% 41% 28% 62% 75%
Unfavorable 24% 42% 9% 24% 29% 21% 54% 7% 30% 22% 19% 25% 24% 25% 13% 36% 51% 20% 10%
Don't know/No opinion 19% 20% 15% 19% 14% 23% 25% 11% 20% 26% 12% 17% 21% 16% 17% 23% 20% 18% 15%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Favorable 40% 70% 16% 36% 38% 42% 77% 17% 43% 36% 39% 33% 45% 30% 34% 58% 76% 45% 9%
Unfavorable 56% 27% 80% 61% 58% 55% 19% 81% 51% 61% 60% 65% 50% 67% 62% 39% 20% 52% 90%
Don't know/No opinion 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 2% 6% 3% 1% 1% 5% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 2%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Favorable 27% 19% 39% 22% 25% 28% 18% 34% 26% 26% 27% 28% 25% 29% 31% 18% 17% 27% 34%
Unfavorable 61% 69% 48% 65% 68% 54% 73% 53% 63% 55% 61% 58% 62% 56% 55% 75% 75% 60% 51%
Don't know/No opinion 13% 12% 13% 13% 7% 18% 9% 14% 10% 18% 12% 14% 12% 15% 15% 8% 8% 13% 15%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Favorable 24% 10% 36% 24% 30% 18% 6% 36% 23% 22% 25% 26% 22% 31% 24% 16% 6% 19% 43%
Unfavorable 32% 43% 23% 32% 30% 33% 42% 26% 30% 25% 41% 29% 34% 30% 27% 41% 46% 31% 23%
Don't know/No opinion 44% 47% 41% 44% 40% 49% 52% 38% 47% 53% 34% 45% 44% 39% 50% 43% 48% 49% 35%
Q2. Sean Eldridge
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q1. Is the United States on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q4. Barack Obama
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q3. Chris Gibson
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q6. Rob Astorino
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q5. U.S. House of Representatives
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
I'm going to read a series of names of people and institutions in public life and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each person or institution I name. [Q2-Q7 ROTATED]
CD190914 Crosstabs 1 of 7
Time Warner Cable News/Siena College Poll
September 4, 7-9, 2014
609 Likely Voters Congressional District 19
MOE +/- 4.0%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Favorable 34% 49% 24% 30% 29% 39% 48% 26% 38% 33% 30% 29% 38% 35% 30% 37% 44% 42% 18%
Unfavorable 60% 45% 72% 64% 65% 55% 46% 71% 57% 60% 64% 68% 54% 60% 64% 57% 51% 52% 78%
Don't know/No opinion 6% 6% 4% 7% 6% 6% 6% 3% 6% 6% 5% 3% 8% 5% 6% 6% 5% 7% 3%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Andrew Cuomo on the Democratic, Working
Families and Independence Party lines
39% 63% 20% 36% 34% 44% 64% 26% 43% 38% 35% 33% 44% 37% 35% 47% 58% 49% 15%
Rob Astorino on the Republican and
Conservative Party lines
36% 11% 62% 37% 41% 32% 3% 60% 32% 43% 37% 43% 31% 44% 45% 20% 6% 28% 71%
Howie Hawkins on the Green Party line 12% 15% 5% 15% 15% 9% 21% 5% 11% 9% 15% 13% 10% 7% 8% 20% 19% 9% 6%
Vol: Someone else 3% 4% 1% 4% 3% 3% 5% 1% 5% 2% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2% 6% 7% 3% 0%
Don't know/No opinion 10% 7% 12% 8% 7% 12% 7% 8% 9% 9% 12% 10% 10% 11% 10% 7% 10% 11% 8%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Sean Eldridge on the Democratic and
Working Families Party lines
33% 70% 7% 25% 31% 35% 39% 37% 23% 28% 37% 21% 26% 53% 73% 33% 6%
Chris Gibson on the Republican,
Conservative and Independence Party lines
57% 25% 88% 60% 59% 55% 52% 56% 64% 62% 53% 72% 65% 32% 21% 55% 89%
Don't know/No opinion 10% 6% 6% 15% 10% 11% 9% 8% 14% 10% 10% 6% 9% 15% 6% 12% 6%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Absolutely certain; theres no chance I will
change my mind
50% 47% 61% 44% 52% 49% 45% 53% 49% 48% 54% 45% 54% 48% 53% 50% 49% 40% 64%
Fairly certain; its unlikely I will change my
mind
38% 39% 31% 44% 38% 38% 42% 36% 39% 38% 37% 44% 34% 39% 38% 36% 40% 49% 25%
Not very certain; I very well may change my
mind
8% 8% 5% 10% 6% 9% 8% 8% 7% 11% 6% 8% 8% 10% 5% 8% 5% 9% 8%
Not certain at all; theres a good chance I
will change my mind
3% 6% 2% 2% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 1% 4% 6% 5% 2% 2%
Don't know/No opinion 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0%
Q8. If the 2014 election for Governor was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q7. Andrew Cuomo
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q10. How likely would you say you are to vote for [CANDIDATE NAME]?
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q9. If the election for Member of Congress from the 19th Congressional District was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Region Age Religion Political View
CD190914 Crosstabs 2 of 7
Time Warner Cable News/Siena College Poll
September 4, 7-9, 2014
609 Likely Voters Congressional District 19
MOE +/- 4.0%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Support it 44% 20% 62% 49% 42% 45% 22% 59% 41% 43% 49% 48% 40% 47% 53% 30% 15% 43% 67%
Oppose it 45% 66% 29% 42% 47% 43% 70% 29% 49% 41% 42% 40% 48% 42% 34% 59% 73% 43% 26%
Neither support it nor oppose it 11% 14% 9% 9% 10% 12% 7% 10% 10% 16% 9% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 12% 14% 8%
Refused 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Support it 64% 76% 58% 60% 64% 64% 78% 56% 67% 57% 64% 62% 65% 53% 64% 78% 83% 64% 52%
Oppose it 21% 11% 29% 22% 25% 18% 6% 30% 19% 22% 24% 21% 21% 31% 22% 9% 6% 22% 32%
Neither support it nor oppose it 14% 13% 11% 15% 9% 17% 15% 12% 13% 18% 11% 17% 11% 15% 13% 12% 10% 13% 16%
Refused 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Support it 67% 80% 57% 65% 69% 65% 81% 57% 71% 62% 66% 66% 68% 65% 62% 75% 83% 73% 48%
Oppose it 16% 10% 23% 16% 21% 12% 4% 24% 15% 16% 17% 15% 17% 19% 18% 10% 4% 13% 30%
Neither support it nor oppose it 16% 8% 19% 18% 10% 22% 13% 18% 13% 22% 15% 18% 15% 14% 19% 15% 12% 14% 22%
Refused 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Support it 71% 57% 73% 82% 73% 69% 62% 75% 67% 73% 74% 71% 70% 74% 69% 66% 55% 74% 79%
Oppose it 16% 27% 13% 10% 18% 14% 23% 13% 20% 12% 14% 15% 17% 14% 15% 20% 26% 13% 11%
Neither support it nor oppose it 13% 16% 15% 7% 9% 17% 15% 12% 13% 15% 12% 14% 13% 12% 15% 13% 18% 13% 10%
Refused 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Support it 67% 89% 53% 62% 63% 71% 88% 52% 69% 58% 73% 61% 72% 61% 63% 78% 90% 71% 45%
Oppose it 21% 6% 37% 22% 27% 16% 3% 35% 22% 24% 18% 25% 18% 28% 26% 10% 5% 17% 40%
Neither support it nor oppose it 11% 5% 10% 16% 9% 13% 9% 12% 9% 17% 10% 14% 9% 11% 11% 12% 5% 12% 15%
Refused 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Q11. Repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act known as Obamacare
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
For each of the following proposals that some have made, tell me whether you support it, oppose it, or neither support it nor oppose it at this time. [Q11-Q15 ROTATED]
Q13. Enact the Buffet Rule which would apply a minimum income tax rate of 30 percent on individuals making more than a million dollars a year
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q12. Pass comprehensive Immigration Reform that would include a pathway to citizenship for those already here as well increased border security
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q15. Enact legislation that would change the federal minimum wage from $7.25 per hour to $10.10 per hour
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q14. Amend the U.S. Constitution to limit the number of terms for members of both houses of Congress - the House of Representatives and the Senate
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
CD190914 Crosstabs 3 of 7
Time Warner Cable News/Siena College Poll
September 4, 7-9, 2014
609 Likely Voters Congressional District 19
MOE +/- 4.0%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
The United States should do more both
politically and militarily in countries in the
Middle East including Syria and Iraq in order
to combat the spread of terrorism
42% 43% 49% 37% 48% 37% 35% 49% 48% 36% 39% 41% 43% 43% 44% 41% 40% 40% 51%
The United States has had successes in the
war on terror but we cannot continue to
involve ourselves in countries in the Middle
East. We should concentrate on our
problems and let those countries figure out
their own
47% 44% 43% 51% 44% 49% 49% 44% 43% 51% 48% 50% 44% 46% 48% 46% 45% 51% 43%
Don't know/No opinion 11% 12% 9% 12% 8% 14% 15% 7% 9% 12% 13% 9% 13% 10% 9% 14% 15% 10% 6%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Increasing 32% 20% 44% 31% 36% 28% 13% 46% 33% 30% 30% 26% 36% 40% 36% 18% 15% 25% 55%
Keeping the same 46% 46% 42% 50% 44% 48% 48% 43% 43% 50% 47% 51% 42% 42% 48% 50% 46% 56% 33%
Lessening 18% 28% 10% 16% 16% 19% 32% 9% 18% 17% 19% 20% 16% 14% 14% 25% 32% 15% 10%
Refused 4% 7% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 3% 6% 2% 4% 3% 6% 4% 3% 7% 7% 4% 2%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Seen or heard Eldridge commercial 15% 10% 13% 21% 14% 15% 15% 15% 16% 12% 16% 16% 14% 16% 13% 16% 14% 14% 15%
Been contacted by the Eldridge campaign 7% 13% 2% 6% 7% 7% 13% 5% 9% 8% 4% 5% 9% 6% 8% 9% 17% 6% 3%
Both 10% 17% 5% 8% 13% 7% 15% 7% 13% 7% 7% 7% 11% 9% 9% 10% 14% 10% 6%
Neither 66% 58% 77% 63% 64% 68% 55% 71% 62% 71% 70% 71% 63% 69% 67% 62% 53% 68% 74%
Don't know/Refused 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% 1% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Seen or heard Gibson commercial 29% 29% 28% 32% 28% 30% 30% 30% 24% 27% 37% 30% 28% 33% 25% 29% 24% 34% 27%
Been contacted by the Gibson campaign 9% 10% 12% 5% 8% 9% 8% 9% 9% 12% 5% 3% 13% 5% 12% 8% 9% 8% 9%
Both 15% 13% 21% 12% 18% 13% 10% 19% 13% 14% 19% 14% 16% 18% 17% 11% 12% 16% 17%
Neither 46% 48% 38% 50% 45% 47% 52% 41% 53% 46% 37% 53% 41% 43% 45% 51% 53% 42% 44%
Don't know/Refused 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 2%
Q17. And specifically, thinking about the size of the U.S. military and the state of world affairs, are you in favor of increasing the number of active duty American troops, keeping the number of troops about the same, or lessening the
number of active duty American soldiers?
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q16. Which of the following two positions is closer to your view? [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q19. Have you seen or heard any commercials for Chris Gibson or been contacted by the Gibson campaign?
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
[Q18-Q19 ROTATED] Q18. Have you seen or heard any commercials for Sean Eldridge or been contacted by the Eldridge campaign?
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
CD190914 Crosstabs 4 of 7
Time Warner Cable News/Siena College Poll
September 4, 7-9, 2014
609 Likely Voters Congressional District 19
MOE +/- 4.0%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Health care 15% 12% 12% 21% 11% 18% 14% 17% 13% 20% 14% 18% 13% 16% 12% 17% 13% 15% 17%
Jobs 33% 41% 29% 30% 35% 31% 37% 31% 38% 26% 31% 40% 27% 37% 26% 35% 35% 35% 29%
Taxes 13% 7% 16% 14% 13% 13% 12% 14% 12% 11% 15% 15% 11% 11% 13% 14% 12% 12% 15%
Wars/Turmoil in the Mideast 8% 10% 10% 5% 10% 6% 6% 9% 8% 10% 7% 8% 9% 9% 11% 4% 5% 9% 10%
Immigration 7% 6% 9% 7% 7% 7% 5% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 5% 8% 6% 10%
Social Security and Medicare 17% 14% 22% 14% 17% 16% 15% 17% 15% 16% 20% 9% 23% 15% 21% 15% 19% 17% 13%
Vol: Something else 3% 6% 0% 5% 2% 5% 6% 2% 4% 4% 3% 2% 4% 2% 4% 5% 6% 2% 3%
Don't know/No opinion 4% 4% 3% 4% 5% 3% 5% 2% 4% 6% 2% 2% 5% 1% 4% 6% 3% 5% 3%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Sean Eldridge 33% 62% 10% 29% 36% 30% 76% 10% 38% 30% 28% 34% 32% 22% 27% 52% 68% 32% 9%
Chris Gibson 42% 19% 66% 41% 43% 41% 3% 71% 36% 41% 52% 42% 42% 55% 48% 23% 11% 38% 74%
Don't know/No opinion 25% 19% 24% 30% 20% 29% 20% 19% 26% 29% 20% 24% 26% 23% 25% 26% 21% 30% 17%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Sean Eldridge 21% 46% 6% 14% 22% 20% 59% 3% 23% 27% 15% 19% 22% 13% 14% 37% 53% 18% 3%
Chris Gibson 50% 28% 71% 53% 55% 46% 12% 78% 48% 42% 61% 57% 46% 60% 60% 32% 22% 47% 79%
Don't know/No opinion 28% 26% 24% 33% 23% 34% 29% 19% 30% 31% 24% 24% 32% 27% 27% 31% 25% 35% 18%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Sean Eldridge 29% 56% 9% 23% 30% 28% 74% 6% 34% 28% 22% 29% 29% 19% 23% 46% 63% 28% 7%
Chris Gibson 48% 24% 71% 51% 50% 46% 6% 78% 42% 44% 59% 50% 46% 62% 53% 27% 16% 48% 75%
Don't know/No opinion 23% 20% 21% 25% 20% 26% 20% 16% 24% 28% 19% 21% 25% 19% 24% 27% 20% 24% 17%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Sean Eldridge 28% 54% 8% 23% 27% 28% 71% 5% 31% 29% 22% 27% 28% 16% 22% 47% 66% 24% 5%
Chris Gibson 49% 27% 71% 50% 54% 44% 8% 80% 44% 47% 57% 53% 46% 60% 56% 31% 15% 48% 80%
Don't know/No opinion 23% 19% 21% 27% 19% 28% 21% 16% 25% 25% 21% 20% 26% 25% 22% 22% 19% 28% 15%
On each of the following issues, Id like you to tell me who you think would do a better job representing you in the United States Congress - Sean Eldridge or Chris Gibson. [Q21-Q26 ROTATED]
Q20. Of the following issues, which SINGLE issue is the most important one you want your Member of Congress to be working on in Washington: [CHOICES ROTATED]
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q22. Wars and Political Turmoil in the Middle East
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q21. Health Care
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q24. Taxes
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q23. Jobs
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
CD190914 Crosstabs 5 of 7
Time Warner Cable News/Siena College Poll
September 4, 7-9, 2014
609 Likely Voters Congressional District 19
MOE +/- 4.0%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Sean Eldridge 26% 55% 7% 21% 29% 24% 70% 4% 32% 27% 18% 24% 28% 17% 20% 43% 61% 25% 5%
Chris Gibson 48% 23% 69% 52% 51% 45% 6% 78% 41% 44% 61% 54% 43% 59% 54% 31% 19% 46% 76%
Don't know/No opinion 26% 22% 24% 27% 20% 30% 25% 18% 27% 29% 21% 22% 28% 24% 25% 27% 21% 29% 20%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Sean Eldridge 30% 56% 9% 27% 34% 26% 70% 9% 33% 27% 27% 29% 30% 19% 22% 49% 64% 29% 7%
Chris Gibson 46% 23% 68% 47% 49% 44% 7% 76% 43% 43% 54% 49% 44% 60% 55% 24% 15% 45% 76%
Don't know/No opinion 24% 21% 23% 25% 17% 30% 23% 16% 24% 29% 20% 22% 25% 21% 23% 27% 21% 26% 17%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Sean Eldridge 27% 57% 7% 21% 28% 27% 72% 6% 33% 30% 18% 27% 28% 16% 22% 45% 60% 26% 9%
Chris Gibson 51% 27% 74% 53% 56% 46% 9% 80% 45% 46% 62% 54% 48% 63% 57% 31% 21% 51% 77%
Don't know/No opinion 22% 16% 19% 26% 16% 27% 19% 14% 21% 24% 21% 19% 24% 20% 21% 24% 19% 23% 15%
Total Dem Rep
Ind/
Other M F Eldridge Gibson
Ulster/
Dutchess
Sullivan/Broome/
Delaware/Otsego
Montgomery/Schoharie/
Greene/Columbia/Rennselaer
Under
55
55 and
older Cath Prot Other Lib Mod Conserv
Republicans 48% 13% 83% 47% 52% 44% 5% 75% 46% 48% 49% 55% 42% 60% 58% 22% 10% 43% 84%
Democrats 43% 82% 10% 38% 41% 44% 88% 16% 47% 37% 41% 35% 48% 33% 32% 66% 85% 44% 9%
Don't know/No opinion 10% 4% 7% 15% 7% 12% 7% 9% 7% 15% 10% 10% 10% 6% 10% 11% 4% 13% 7%
Age Religion Political View
Q25. Immigration
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q28. Currently the Republicans have a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives. Every seat is up for election in November. Would you like to see the Republicans retain control of the House or would you prefer to see the Democrats
take control of the house?
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q27. Representing the interests of our community in Washington
Party Gender Vote Choice Region Age Religion Political View
Q26. Social Security and Medicare
Party Gender Vote Choice Region
CD190914 Crosstabs 6 of 7
Time Warner Cable News/Siena College Poll
September 4, 7-9, 2014
609 Likely Voters Congressional District 19
MOE +/- 4.0%
Party
Democrat 31%
Republican 32%
Independent/Other 33%
Political View
Liberal 23%
Moderate 41%
Conservative 32%
Region
Ulster/Dutchess 43%
Sullivan/Broome/Delaware/Otsego 25%
Montgomery/Schoharie/Greene/
Columbia/Rennselaer
32%
Religion
Catholic 35%
Protestant 32%
Other 30%
Age
Under 55 43%
55 and older 57%
Gender
Male 47%
Female 53%
Nature of the Sample
New York State Likely Voters
Congressional District 19
CD190914 Crosstabs 7 of 7