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ModelingtheHudsonEstuaryand
NewYorkHarbor:
Whatareourneeds?
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
KristinMarcell
HudsonRiverEstuaryProgram/CornellWRI
Goal: To improve understanding of how
climate change is going to affect the
hydrodynamics of the Hudson River
Estuary and New York Harbor.
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
Objectives:
Understand existing models
Identify characteristics of the models
and priority user needs.
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
Reach agreement on:
key gaps
research, data and monitoring needs that
help fulfill priority user needs
White paper
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
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Key characteristics
Design purpose (i.e. what question does it
seek to answer?)
Model basics (inputs and boundary
conditions, resolution, geographic scope,
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
g g
base model, etc)
What are the outputs / products and how are
they used?
How is the model validated?
What are key assumptions that underlie the
models output? What is still unknown?
Priority user needs
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
y
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
Salt front dynamics now and with
climate change
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
Poughkeepsie Drinking Water Facility
USGS
Salt
Front
data
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Flooding now and under a
changing climate
Kingstons 100-year floodplain Tropical Storm Irene in Kingston
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
Tidal wetland and submerged
aquatic vegetation migration with
climate change
Maps of submerged aquatic vegetation Hudson River tidal wetland
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
Sediment dynamics now and with
climate change
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation August 31, 2011 LANDSAT New York Harbor
Storm dynamics now and with
climate change
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
Tropical Storm Irene
Credit: NASA/NOAA GOES project Storm clouds over Jersey City
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River and tributary ecological
processes now and with climate
change
Monitoring of striped bass Removal of invasive Phragmities
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
To consider:
New data and
studies
Scale and
resolution of
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
resolution of
issues
Time horizon
for planning/
decisionmaking
Thanks to:
NYS Energy Research and
Development Authority (NYSERDA)
EasternResearch Group (ERG)
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
Eastern Research Group (ERG)
Speakers from near and far!
Participants for feedback
Hudson River Foundation
55
Questions?
NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
Kristin Marcell
Hudson River Estuary Program
Phone: (845) 256-3017
Email: kamarcel@gw.dec.state.ny.us
Photo: C. Bowser