[)_3)!.-_'((___)_3!l_5_/(]](]) 7 _s'__-/_/7) __'_[](;_ _5s- 3- - 7- -[^_/((;(;_-){;_7 ]_) ]/ 7 _3 ^ 3( 73 ) _ )! /(],,,,),y ] (,,,,j,) (](() \,),, ],g g,,,,),,),,(\]) (],,_ ],_ ],],) ],,,_,) ],,)(]]]) ) ]-__(_)!7_))_)s]_) _ )!s !'_)!_-/]_-_)[(_]__/___ `/[]_s)_) ^__']__[_]__9][)_3)s_) 1) __,Q[_ =]{_[,Q](zyjpyznin,,kr) ,) __,Q[_ ]{(jinnlyznin,,kr) ) __,Q[_ [(g_niyznin,,kr) 4) __,Q[_ ]_(jpprkyznin,,kr) @[___y__g\]__{\ Feasibility Study on the Vinh Thinh Bridge Construction Project 1. Introduction 2. Objectives 3. Work Scope 4. Results of the Feasibility Study 5. Conclusion _] ,) ]_ |) _ ) 9 _ ) }0|0,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}0| A(,__7_ 1. Introduction The project road is located in the north- west region of Hanoi City, which is divid- ed by Hong River. The insufficient bridge infrastructure across the river hinders brisk inter-regional activities in the region. And traffi c congesti on i n/around Hanoi Ci ty reaches to serious situations as all vehicles across t he ri ver shal l pass t hrough t he roads i n/around Hanoi Ci t y due t o t he road network shape in which radial corri- dors (National Highway No.2 and No. 32) a re domi nant . Accordi ng t o t he Hanoi Capital Regional Plan (No.490/QD-TTG) approved by the minister of Ministry of Transport on 5 May 2008, Ha Tay and Vinh Phuc provinces were planned to be devel- oped as centers for hi gh-technol ogi cal , industrial, tourism and residential activities. However, wi t h t he current i nsuffi ci ent bridges passing over Hong River, it is like- ly to be hard to achieve such development goals. Thereon, the construction of the Vi nh Thinh Bridge as a section of Ring Road No.V, whi ch wi l l be a ci rcul ar road net- work around Hanoi City, is set to be one of the top priorities in the road network construction plan of the Vietnamese gov- ernment. Besides the Vinh Thinh Bridge project is already included into the infra- structure development plans such as the Decision No.162/2002/QD/TTg 1) and the Decision No.1290/QD-TTg 2) announced by t he Pr i me Mi ni st er of Vi e t na m on 15 November 2003 and 26 September 2007, respectively. 2. Objectives Objectives of this project is to increase the accessibility for residents; to reduce vehicle travel times and vehicle operating costs; and to al l evi ate traffi c congesti on in/around the Hanoi Ci ty by l i nki ng Ha Tay and Vi nh Phuc provi nces wi t h t he Vinh Thinh Bridge. It also focuses on reducing logistic costs, encouragi ng l ower povert y rat i o i n t he region, and improving living conditions by activating exchanges in people and goods bet ween t he t wo provi nces. It wi l l al so promote the growth of industrial complex- es located in Vinh Phuc, Yen Bai and Puc Yen. 3. Work Scope The proj ect area i s l ocat ed i n around *_= }0,0,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}0, wwwyooshincokr y __[_ _{]_ J__ ] 40km northwest from the Hanoi City cen- ter and the work scope of the Feasibility Study (FS) Project is as follows: Direct influenced area : wi thi n 10 km radius around the project section Indirect influenced are a : northwest region of Vietnam The base year of the FS analyses is the year 2008, and the target year is the year 2032 that will be after 20 years from the openi ng year (2013) of the Vi nh Thi nh Br i dge ( The cons t r uct i on per i od i s assumed as 3 years.). The scope of work of the FS comprises of two main parts. They are as follows: t o conduct a feasi bi l i t y st udy for about 9. 05km connecti ng Ha Ta y provi nce and Vi nh Phuc provi nce considering engineering, economic, social, road safety and environmen- t a l a s pect s ba s ed on t he Pre - Feasibility Study conducted by MOT, 2005. to supply necessary information for t he EDCF l oan apprai sal mi ssi on after the FS by collecting and ana- lyzing relevant data. The FS was carri ed out for 3 months from 30 Apri l to 29 Jul y 2008 i n accor- da nc e wi t h EDCF Feasi bi l i t y St udy Guideline, Korea EXIMBank, 2007 . }0,0,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}0, A(A__7_ *_= 4. Results of the Feasibility Study 4.1 Selection of the Best Alignment Three al ternati ves were suggested and compared in considerations of i) to avoid t he maj or hi s t or i cal s i t e, Doung Lam Hi s t or i cal Monument , i i ) t o mi ni mi ze adverse impacts for residential areas and cultural assets, iii) to be linked to the corri- dor of Ring Road No. V , and iv) to con- nect directly to Son Tay Bypass section. Finally, Alternative 1 was selected as the best alignment under the agreement of rel- evant organizations in Vietnam. Comparison of Alignment Alternatives Category Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Length Road 4.45km 3.25km 3.37km Bridge 4.60km 4.60km 4.04km Total 9.05km 7.85km 7.41km Construction Cost 81.4 million USD 80.1 million USD 72.7 million USD Intersection 3 3 3 Advantage & Disadvantage Good vertical and horizontal alignment Good Connection with Son Tay Bypass sec- tion Good living condition by ending point avoid- ing residential area Highest project cost Fair vertical and hori- zontal alignment Good Connection with Son Tay Bypass sec- tion Excessive affection to residential area located at the end of project road Normal project cost Good vertical and hori- zontal alignment Not Suitable for con- nection with Son Tay Bypass section Affection to Doung Lam Historical Monument Lowest project cost }0}0,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}0} wwwyooshincokr y __[_ _{]_ J__ ] 4.2 Traffic Demand Forecast Statistical data, road network data, and origin-destination data of The Study on t he Nat i onal Tr ans por t Devel opment St r at egy i n t he Soci al i s t Republ i c of Vietnam, JICA, 2000 we re used as t he basic data for traffic demand forecast i n this project. Because no substantial data or i nformat i on was avai l abl e i n t he Pre - Feasibility Study about the traffic demand forecast for the proposed construction pro- ject. The future traffic demand is forecasted as 5, 552 pcu/day in 2013 and as 33, 716 pcu/day in 2032. Annual traffic growth rate is expected at around 10%. The future traf- fic volumes are summarized as the table bel ow. <Forecast Future Traffic volume> (Unit : pcu/day) Year Car Bus Truck Motorcycle Sum 2013 1,381 1,717 1,351 1,103 5,552 2014 1,594 1,877 1,470 1,163 6,104 2015 1,833 2,053 1,600 1,226 6,712 2016 2,102 2,246 1,741 1,293 7,382 2017 2,402 2,456 1,895 1,363 8,116 2018 2,740 2,687 2,062 1,437 8,926 2019 3,117 2,939 2,244 1,515 9,814 2020 3,538 3,214 2,442 1,597 10,792 2021 4,009 3,515 2,658 1,684 11,866 2022 4,536 3,845 2,892 1,775 13,048 2023 5,188 4,176 3,126 1,859 14,348 2024 5,918 4,535 3,377 1,946 15,776 2025 6,735 4,926 3,650 2,037 17,348 2026 7,648 5,349 3,944 2,133 19,074 2027 8,669 5,810 4,262 2,233 20,974 2028 9,810 6,310 4,606 2,338 23,064 2029 11,082 6,853 4,977 2,447 25,360 2030 12,502 7,443 5,379 2,562 27,886 2031 14,083 8,084 5,813 2,683 30,662 2032 15,847 8,779 6,281 2,809 33,716 Growth rate 13.7% 9.0% 8.4% 5.0% 10.0% }00,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}0 A((__7_ *_= It i s reques t ed t hat t he proj ect roa d shoul d be wi dened to a 4-l ane road by 2028 when the traffic volume will be over the highway capacity of a 2-lane road. 4.3 Preliminary Engineering Design Design Standard The design standards of the project road are based on the Class III of the highway classification shown in TCVN 4054 : 2005 Highway-Specifications for Design of the Vietnamese government. The design speed of the Class III road is 80km/h as shown in the table below. Specifications Unit Highway Classification Class II Class III Class IV Design Speed km/h 100 80 60 Number of Lane - 4 2 2 Lane Width m 3.75 3.5 3.5 Shoulder Width m 3.0 2.5 1.0 Paved Shoulder Width m 2.5 2.0 0.5 Median Width m 1.5 - - Road Width m 22.5 12.0 9.0 Stop Sight distance m 150 100 75 Minimum Radius m 400 250 125 Minimum Radius(Recommendation) m 700 400 250 Minimum Radius(Omissible super-elevation) m 4,000 2,500 1,500 Max. Grade % 4 5 6 Minimum Length of vertical curve m 85 70 50 Crest Curve Min. Radius m 6,000 4,000 2,500 Min. Radius(Recommendation) m 10,000 5,000 4,000 Sag Curve Min. Radius m 3,000 2,000 1,000 Min. Radius(Recommendation) m 5,000 3,000 1,500 Maximum Super-elevation % 8 8 7 Standard Super-elevation % 2 2 2 Minimum Clearance m 4.75 4.75 4.75 }0(0,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}0( wwwyooshincokr y __[_ _{]_ J__ ] Typical Cross Section The typical cross section of the 4-lane Class III road on TCVN 4054 : 2005 Highway - Specifications for Design has the width of 19.0m as shown in the picture bel ow. Typical Cross Section of Earthwork(B=19m, 4-lanes) However, the cross sections of the pro- j ect roa d we re f i na l l y de t e rmi ne d a s shown in the picture below in considera- tions of harmonization with the present & planned road sections in Ha Tay province (urban area) and Vinh Phuc province(rural area). At the meeti ng on 17 Jul y 2008, Vietnam Road Administration(VRA) and PMU Thang Long requested that the cross sections of the project road shoul d have t he 21m wi dt h i n Ha Tay sect i on, t he 16.5m width in the bridge section, and the 12m width in the Vinh Phuc section Typical Cross Section of Earthwork (B=12m, 2-lanes) Typical Cross Section of Earthwork (B=21m, 4-lanes) }00,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}0 A((__7_ *_= Bridge The selected alignment runs over Hong River at around 100m downstream from the Vinh Thinh ferry station. It is planned with considerations of : i ) Minimization of the bridge length and construction costs; ii) St ruct ural saf et y and durabi l i t y & Future traffic volumes; and iv) Technical specifications requested by the Vietnam regulations - Width of the bridge = 16.5m - Span of the main bridge = 120m con- t i nuous pre-stres s ed concret e box gi rder usi ng t he bal ance f re e c a n- tilever casting method - Span of the supporting bridge = 40m Super T girder - Clearance for river(class I) = 80m(W) 10m(H) Cross Section of the Main Bridge(PSC Box Girder, B=16.5, 4-lanes) Cross Section of the Supporting Bridge(Super T-Beam, B=16.5, 4-lanes) }0;0,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}0; wwwyooshincokr y __[_ _{]_ J__ ] 4.4 Cost Estimation Ori gi nal l y, the proj ect costs were esti- mated for three (3) different construction alternatives - Alternative 1, 2, and 3. Two additional alternatives, Alternatives 2-1 and 3-1, were al so anal yzed as requested by MOT5). Therefore, the project costs for 5 alternatives were calculated with consider- i ng economi c efficiency, financial condi- tions of government and requests of MOT. Those are shown in the table below. <Alternatives by Construction Method> Note : Alternative 1-1was not considered due to its excessive construction cost and the request of MOT, Vietnam. Construction Method Section Phased Construction (Phase 1 Phase 2) Excluding Son Tay Bypass section Alternative 1 (Phased Construction) - Ha Taysection - Bridge section - Vinh Phuc section 12.0m 21.0m 12.0m 24.0m 12.0m 21.0m Alternative 2 (4-lanes construction) - Ha Taysection - Bridge section - Vinh Phuc section 21.0m 16.5m 21.0m Alternative 3 (Phased Construction) - Ha Taysection - Bridge section - Vinh Phuc section 21.0m 16.5m 12.0m 21.0m Including Son Tay Bypass section Alternative 1-1* Alternative 2-1 (4-lanes construction) - Son Tay Bypass section - Ha Taysection - Bridge section - Vinh Phuc section 21.0m 21.0m 16.5m 21.0m Alternative 3-1 (Phased Construction) - Son Tay Bypass section - Ha Taysection - Bridge section - Vinh Phuc section 21.0m 21.0m 16.5m 12.0m 21.0m }0;0,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}0; A1(__7_ *_= As mentioned above, five alternatives is shown as the diagram below. The project costs by alternative are summarized as the table below. Typical Cross Section of Earthwork(2-lanes, 12m) Typical Cross Section of Earthwork(4-lanes, 21m) Cross Section of Main Bridge(4-lanes, 16.5m) Cross Section of Supporting Bridge(4-lanes, 16.5m) Diagram on Alternatives by Construction Method }|00,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}|0 wwwyooshincokr y __[_ _{]_ J__ ] <Project Costs by Alternative excluding the Son Tay Bypasssection> (Unit : 1,000 USD) Description Excluding Son TayBypass Section Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Phase 1 (2 lane) Phase 2 (Widening to 4lane) 4 lane construc- tion Phase 1 (2 lane) Phase 2 (Widening to 4lane) 1. Civil Works 64,727,128 62,913,835 81,965,763 78,638,382 3,034,589 A. Earth Works 1,629,592 1,007,774 2,856,902 1,629,592 1,007,774 B. Pavement 1,481,304 916,069 2,596,933 1,481,304 916,069 C. Drainage 163,747 82,471 169,950 163,747 82,471 D. Miscellaneous 198,879 147,390 201,892 198,879 147,390 E. Soft Soil 1,374,360 880,885 2,349,584 1,374,360 880,885 F. Bridge 59,879,246 59,879,246 73,790,500 73,790,500 0 2. Consulting Services 5,808,560 5,706,285 7,106,360 7,031,600 270,078 3. Direct Cost(1+2) 70,535,688 68,620,120 89,072,123 85,669,982 3,304,667 4. Vale Added Tax (VAT : 10% of 3) 7,053,569 6,862,012 8,907,212 8,566,998 330,467 5. Contingencies 23,448,179 22,811,386 29,237,924 28,121,172 1,072,761 5-1. Physical Contingency (10%of3) 7,053,569 6,862,012 8,907,212 8,566,998 330,467 5-2. Price Contingency (20.42~21.13% of(3+5-1)) 16,394,610 15,949,374 20,330,712 19,554,173 742,294 6. Project Management Cost(1% of 3) 705,357 1,372,402 890,721 856,700 33,047 7. Land Acquisition & Compensation 2,326,880 2,039,217 3,630,956 2,863,853 767,103 8. Service charge(0.1% of EDCF) 200,260 195,126 267,937 258,572 10,628 9. Total (3+4+5+6+7+8) 104,269,933 101,900,263 132,006,873 126,337,277 5,518,673 }||0,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}|| A1,__7_ *_= (Unit : 1,000 USD) <Project Costs by Alternative including the Son Tay Bypass'section> Note :1. ( ) means the construction costs of the Son Tay Bypass'section. 2. Phase 2'of Alternative 3-1'is widening the road in Vinh Phuc Province till the year 2027. Description Excluding Son TayBypass Section Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Phase 1 (2 lane) Phase 2 (Widening to 4lane) 4 lane construc- tion Phase 1 (2 lane) Phase 2 (Widening to 4lane) 1. Civil Works 64,727,128 62,913,835 81,965,763 78,638,382 3,034,589 A. Earth Works 1,629,592 1,007,774 2,856,902 1,629,592 1,007,774 B. Pavement 1,481,304 916,069 2,596,933 1,481,304 916,069 C. Drainage 163,747 82,471 169,950 163,747 82,471 D. Miscellaneous 198,879 147,390 201,892 198,879 147,390 E. Soft Soil 1,374,360 880,885 2,349,584 1,374,360 880,885 F. Bridge 59,879,246 59,879,246 73,790,500 73,790,500 0 2. Consulting Services 5,808,560 5,706,285 7,106,360 7,031,600 270,078 3. Direct Cost(1+2) 70,535,688 68,620,120 89,072,123 85,669,982 3,304,667 4. Vale Added Tax (VAT : 10% of 3) 7,053,569 6,862,012 8,907,212 8,566,998 330,467 5. Contingencies 23,448,179 22,811,386 29,237,924 28,121,172 1,072,761 5-1. Physical Contingency (10%of3) 7,053,569 6,862,012 8,907,212 8,566,998 330,467 5-2. Price Contingency (20.42~21.13% of(3+5-1)) 16,394,610 15,949,374 20,330,712 19,554,173 742,294 6. Project Management Cost(1% of 3) 705,357 1,372,402 890,721 856,700 33,047 7. Land Acquisition & Compensation 2,326,880 2,039,217 3,630,956 2,863,853 767,103 8. Service charge(0.1% of EDCF) 200,260 195,126 267,937 258,572 10,628 9. Total (3+4+5+6+7+8) 104,269,933 101,900,263 132,006,873 126,337,277 5,518,673 }|,0,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}|, wwwyooshincokr y __[_ _{]_ J__ ] 4.5 Economic Analysis The economi c anal ysi s for the project was conduct ed accordi ng to the EDCF gui del i nes usi ng i nternati onal l y accepted met hods . The res ul t of t he economi c analysis shows that all the alternatives are economi cal l y feasi bl e because t he B/C ratios for all the alternatives are over 1.0. Alternat i ve 3 has the hi ghest EIRR, 17.65%, and is estimated as the best alter- nat i ve as f ar as economi c f eas i bi l i t y. However, it is evaluated that any alterna- tive among Alternative 1, 2, 2-1 and 3-1 can be sel ected i n vi ew of the pol i ci es because the EIRRs of the alternatives are almost the same (within 1% point differ- ence). Alternative B/C NPV EIRR Excluding Son TayBypass Section Alternative 1 (Phase construction) 1.70 58,341,540 16.37% Alternative 2 (4lane construction) 1.94 84,285,863 17.42% Alternative 3 (Phase construction) 1.99 85,799,725 17.65% Including Son TayBypass Section Alternative 2-1 (4lane construction) 1.80 77,343,011 16.75% Alternative 3-1 (Phase construction) 1.84 78,745,405 16.94% Financial analysis was not conducted in the FS because the project road is not a toll road. 4.6 Environmental Analysis Environmental impact analysis in the FS on the Vi nh Thi nh Bri dge constructi on project was followed by EDCF Feasibility Study Guidelines, Korea EximBank, 2007 . According to the Guidelines, the project is cl as s i f i ed as Cat egor y B Theref ore Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) for the project is not necessary. Accordi ng to Vi etnamese regul ati ons, however, EIA for the project should be conducted in the stage of Feasibility Study . In the situation, it was conclude during t he 2nd Fi el d Survey and t he MOT Meeting on 4 June 2008 that the environ- mental impact analysis for the FS on the Vinh Thinh Bridge construction project do follow the EDCF guidelines. At the same meeting, it is also concluded that EIA fol- lowed by Vietnam regulations will be con- ducted by TEDI, a local engineering com- pany, for acqui ri ng approval of the FS from relevant central ministries. It is analyzed that the project produces no s er i ous f a ct or s t o ca us e nega t i ve }|,0,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}|, A1A__7_ *_= impacts on its surroundings or residential area because the selected route alignment passes mostly farm lands with a little resi- dential areas. And appropriate mitigation measures on expected negati ve i mpacts was suggest ed for mi ni mi zi ng negat i ve impacts 4.7 Resettlement Plan The resettlement plan in the FS on the Vi nh Thi nh Bri dge constructi on proj ect was conducted based on EDCF Feasibility Study Guidelines, Korea EximBank, 2007 . Duri ng the 2nd Fi el d Survey and t he MOT Meeting on 4 June 2008 , the work for establishing the resettlement plan fol- l owe d by Vi e t na m re g ul a t i ons wa s assigned to TEDI in order to get approval on the Vinh Thinh project from rel evant ministries. Quantities of land acquisition and com- pensat i on affect ed by t he proj ect were roughly estimated using the updated topo- graphi c map(1: 5, 000) and uni t val ues of land acquisition and compensation costs. In the case of Alternative 3 , total land acquisition and compensation cost is esti- mated as USD 2,862,853. 4.8 Financial Plan of the Vietnamese Government Taking into account financial resources of the Vietnamese Government and uncer- tainty of private invested projects, this pro- j ect was cl assi fi ed t o be fi nanced wi t h Korea EDCF loan. 4.9 Project Implementation Plan Det ai l ed Des i gn and Land Acquisition : 2009 Construction Period : 2010 ~ 2012 (3 years) Item 2009 2010 2011 2012 3 6 9 12 3 6 9 12 3 6 9 12 3 6 9 12 Selection of Consultant Detailed Design Land Acquisition Selection of Contractor Construction Construction Supervision }|}0,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}|} wwwyooshincokr _A1 5. Conclusion []](;__5s 3 7 -'=_3s _s_) _5[ ] _')_ /7__'j)_3'_ ) ' _7 _{ j j_; __ 5__'/s-) i__si__ (,,,,,),,y)]__(,,,@,,,y)]_ ______)) /^5_/_-/ 7s-)i__5 /_!s7_'/ 5 _s_' 5=_;) [ ] - )! 7- ___!_!) 7)-/_-_7_/ l- . l7) 5s 7- _ _ ]((] 7_// 7___!_) ' jQF]; @ _]_ {__ j ;] q7_ __ [])!_-/_-__ ___-_)_3 _s[]/ _+/s'_]-/7 ]_^-] -__};__ ) "' [^/_' _^)_}; _'//_7]`/ ^_) ' [7_( _7_(]_)(P_ { j_ ]_( j ]_{3; _ _- __) _3!'))_3!'/s _) "' ,_)_ 3)-/_'/i_ _)['[)_3_'_^_3 _3___^) !' __/_-3___ _-_____/_ ) -/!'3_ 3_ [_ _ _ l _) -/!'i(_ 3_3'(; _) y __[_ _{]_ J__ ] }|0,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}| A1(__7_ *_= Reference 1. The Study on the National Transport Development Strategy in the Socialist Republic of Vietnam, JICA, 2000 2. The Pl anni ng on Cons t r uct i on of Hanoi Capital Region up to 2020 with a Vision toward 2050, MOC, 2008 3. The Comprehensive Urban Develop- ment Program in Hanoi Capital City of t he Soci al i st Republ i c of Vi et nam, JICA, 2007 4. Pre-Feasibility Study for Vinh Thinh Br i dge- Nat i onal Hi ghway No. 2C Project, MOT, 2005 5. NH2C Vi nh Yen-Son Tay: Feasi bi l i ty Study Report, SMEC, 2006 6. NH2C Vinh Yen-Son Tay: Resettlement Action Plan, SMEC, 2006 7. NH2C Vi nh Yen-Son Tay : Envi ron- mental Management Plan, SMEC, 2006 8. GMS Southern Coastal Corridor Project Final Report, ADB, 2006 9. EDCF Feasi bi l i ty Study Gui del i nes, Korea Eximbank, 2007
1) The Vi nh Thi nh br i dge proj ect i s
i ncl uded i n The Deci si on No. 162/ 2002/QD/TTg dated on 15 November 2003 issued by Prime Minister about t he a pproval of Pl an of Road Development of Vietnam to 2010 and toward 2020. 2) The Vinh Thinh bridge project is one of national items attracting FDI in the periods 2006-2010 with The Decision No 1290/QD- TTg dat ed on 26 Sept ember 2007 i s s ued by Pr i me Minister about the approval of issuing nati onal i tems attracti ng FDI i n the periods 2006-2010. }|(0,,,) .; ,00;.|,., ,|, [ }P7}|(