Decisions What is Capital Budgeting? It is also known as Capital investment analysis. It is used to describe how managers plan significant investment in projects that have long- term implications such as the purchase of new equipment or the introduction of new products. Capital investment decisions are concerned with the process of planning, setting goals and priorities, arranging financing, and using certain criteria to select long-term assets. Importance of Capital Budgeting: It creates accountability as it is used as a control tool in an entitys operations. It creates measurability. It allows the company to make the best use of its resources.
Riskiness of capital budgeting decisions due to: Uncertainty of outcome Involvement of large amounts of money Entailment of long-term commitment Difficulty and/or irreversibility of capital budgeting decisions already made
Difference between Master Budget and Capital Budget A master budget is recurring and is made on a periodic basis. It is a comprehensive plan of action for an organization for a future period. In contrast, a capital budget is longer term in nature and it is non-recurring. It is an investment and financing plan for a major project or program that has long range effects on operations. The resources specified in the capital budget of the current period are included in the master budget of the period. Classifications of Capital Budgeting Decisions: Cost reduction decisions Expansion decisions Equipment selection decisions Lease or buy decisions Equipment replacement decisions The Capital Budgeting Process: Project proposals are requested from departments, plants, and authorized personnel. Proposals are screened by a capital budget committee. Officers determine which projects are worthy of funding. Board of directors approves capital budget. Steps in Capital Budgeting: 1. Identification of Capital Investment Needs 2. Formal Requests for Capital Investment 3. Preliminary Screening 4. Establishment of Acceptance-Rejection Standard 5. Evaluation of Proposals Categories of capital investment projects: Screening decisions Relate to whether a proposed project is acceptable: whether it passes a present hurdle. Preference decisions Relate to selecting from among several acceptable alternatives. Time Value of Money Concept and Present Value Factors: Since capital budgeting involves long term decisions, the time value of money must be recognized when evaluating investment proposals. Projects that promise earlier returns are preferable to those projects whose returns come later. Types of capital budgeting projects: Independent Cash flows are not affected by the acceptance or non-acceptance of other projects. Mutually exclusive A set of projects where only one can be accepted and the others, rejected. Mutually inclusive A set of projects that are all related and that all must be chosen if the primary project is chosen. Elements of capital budgeting: Project Cost or Net Investment Cost of Capital Annual cash inflow An emphasis on cash flows and not accounting income, because cash is used to pay for capital investments. What comprises cash flows? Cash outflows Initial investment Increased working capital needs Repairs and maintenance Incremental operating costs Cash inflows Incremental revenues Reduction in costs Salvage value Release of working capital What comprises Investment Cost? Investment cost = purchase price of the asset + incidental costs (freight and installation) + installation related costs + required training fees + books or manuals for new equipment +any taxes and fees + working capital requirements to operate at desired level + market value of assets already owned (idle) which will be transferred to the project + any other required outlays *sale of old equipment *sale of old equipment = sales value + tax benefit (loss)
Cost of Capital/Discount rate Review Angel Company has a capital structure of 40% debt and 60% equity. Cost of debt is 10%. The risk free rate is 5%, beta is 1.2 and return on the market is 12%. Tax rate is 40%. Compute for the WACC. Simplifying Assumptions: All cash flows other than the initial investment occur at the end of periods. All cash flows generated by an investment project are immediately reinvested at a rate of return equal to the discount rate. Methods in capital investment analysis: Non-discounted Cash Flow Methods Payback period Payback reciprocal Payback bailout Accounting rate of return or ROI or Simple rate of return Discounted Cash Flow Methods Discounted payback period Discounted payback bailout period Profitability index Net present value Internal rate of return
Non-discounted cash flow methods Payback period Payback reciprocal Payback bailout Accounting rate of return or ROI or Simple rate of return Payback Period The expected time period to recover the initial investment amount. If projects are independent Accept all the projects that fit into the firms acceptable criteria. Otherwise, reject. If projects are mutually exclusive Accept the project with the shortest payback period and that which fits into the firms acceptable criteria. Otherwise, reject. If projects are mutually inclusive Accept the primary and the subsequent secondary projects connected to the former if they fit into the firms acceptable criteria. Otherwise, reject the projects. Payback Period Advantages: It helps control the risks associated with the uncertainty of future cash flows. It helps minimize the impact of an investment on a firms liquidity problems. It helps control the risk of obsolescence. It helps control the effect of the investment on performance measures. Easy to calculate and understand. Disadvantages: Does not take into account time value of money. Ignores salvage value. No concrete decision criteria to indicate if an investment increases the firm value. Does not consider the cash flows occurring after the payback period, consequently ignoring a projects total profitability. Payback Period Equal annual cash flows Payback period = Investment required / Annual net cash inflow SS Shipping is considering an investment of P130,000 in new equipment. The new equipment is expected to last 10 years. It will have a zero salvage value at the end of its useful life. The annual cash inflows are P200,000 and the annual cash outflows are P176,000. What is the payback period? Further assume that at SS, a project is unacceptable if the payback period is longer than 60% of the assets expected useful life. Should the project be accepted? Payback Period Uneven annual cash flows Chen Company proposes an investment in a new website that is estimated to cost P300,000. The net annual cash flows for Years 1 to 5 are P60k, P90k, P90k, P120k, and P100k, respectively. Compute for the payback period. Payback Reciprocal This is the reciprocal of payback period. Payback Reciprocal = 1 / Payback Period Often gives a quick and accurate estimate of the IRR of an investment when: The project life is more than twice the payback period. Cash inflows are uniform every period. If projects are independent If you have two or more projects which fit the firms acceptable criteria, you should accept those projects. If projects are mutually exclusive If you have two or more projects which fit the firms acceptable criteria, accept the project with the highest payback reciprocal. If projects are mutually inclusive If the primary project and all related secondary projects fit the firms acceptable criteria, you should accept the project.
Payback Reciprocal Advantages: It helps control the risks associated with the uncertainty of future cash flows. It helps minimize the impact of an investment on a firms liquidity problems. It helps control the risk of obsolescence. It helps control the effect of the investment on performance measures. It indicates a projects risk and liquidity in percentage terms Easy to calculate and understand. Disadvantages: Does not take into account time value of money. Ignores salvage value. No concrete decision criteria to indicate if an investment increases the firms value. Does not consider the cash flows occurring after the payback period, consequently ignoring a projects total profitability. Payback Reciprocal ABC Company is contemplating three projects, each of which would require an initial investment of P10,000, and each of which is expected to generate cash inflow of P2,000 per year. Project As useful life is 10 years, Project Bs useful life is 15 years, and Project Cs useful life is 20 years. What is the payback reciprocal? Payback Bailout Period The length of time it would take to recover an investment considering accumulated cash returns and terminal (salvage) value. If projects are independent Accept all the projects that fit into the firms acceptable criteria. Otherwise, reject. If projects are mutually exclusive Accept the project with the shortest payback bailout period and that which fits into the firms acceptable criteria. Otherwise, reject. If projects are mutually inclusive Accept the primary and the subsequent secondary projects connected to the former if they fit into the firms acceptable criteria. Otherwise, reject the projects.
Payback Bailout Period Advantages: It helps control the risks associated with the uncertainty of future cash flows. It helps minimize the impact of an investment on a firms liquidity problems. It helps control the risk of obsolescence. It helps control the effect of the investment on performance measures. Considers salvage value Easy to calculate and understand. Disadvantages: Ignores the time value of money. No concrete decision criteria to indicate if an investment increases the firm value. Does not consider the cash flows occurring after the payback bailout period, consequently ignoring a projects total profitability. Payback Bailout Period A project requires an investment of P25,000. Cash returns and salvage value (in pesos) at the end of each year are as follows:
What is the payback bailout period?
Cash Returns Salvage Value Year 1 8,000 12,000 Year 2 6,000 10,000 Year 3 5,000 6,000 Year 4 8,000 2,000 Accounting Rate of Return or Return on Investment or Simple rate of return The second commonly used non-discounting model. Measures the return on a project in terms of income, as opposed to using a projects cash flow. Based or original investment: ARR = Annual incremental net operating income or Average NI after tax / Initial investment or Net investment Based on average investment: ARR = Annual incremental net operating income or Average NI after tax / Average Investment If projects are independent Accept if ARR > or at least = cost of capital If projects are mutually exclusive Accept the project with the highest ARR, provided it is > or at least = cost of capital. If projects are mutually inclusive Accept if the primary project and all related secondary projects overall ARR > or at least = cost of capital
Accounting Rate of Return Advantages: Indicates a projects risk and liquidity. Encourages managers to focus on relationship among sales, expenses, and investment, cost efficiency, and operating asset efficiency. Easy to calculate and understand. Disadvantages: Ignores time value of money. Can produce a narrow focus on divisional profitability at the expense of overall firm profitability. Dependent upon net income, which is most likely to be manipulated by managers. There are two ways of calculating ARR, which causes a problem on comparability. Accounting Rate of Return 1 An investment requires an initial outlay of P100,000 and has a five year life with no salvage value. The yearly cash flows are P50,000, P50,000, P60,000, P50,000, and P70,000. Calculate the accounting rate of return. Would you accept the project if WACC is 20%? Accounting Rate of Return 2 The initial capital expenditure requirements are P100,000 for a machine that will have a 5 year useful life. Depreciation is calculated on a straight line basis. The scrap value of the machine is P10,000 The project is expected to have a P30,000 annual gross profit. Assume that tax is 30%. Calculate the ARR. Assume that an existing machine is to be replaced when the new one is bought. The selling price of the old machine is P8,000. It has a book value of P2,000. Discounted Cash Flow Methods Discounted payback period Discounted payback bailout period Profitability index Net present value Internal rate of return
Discounted Payback Period Refers to the length of time required for the present value of an investments cash flows (discounted at the investments cost of capital) to recover a projects cost. If projects are independent Accept all the projects that fit into the firms acceptable criteria. Otherwise, reject. If projects are mutually exclusive Accept the project with the shortest discounted payback period and that which fits into the firms acceptable criteria. Otherwise, reject. If projects are mutually inclusive Accept the primary and the subsequent secondary projects connected to the former if they fit into the firms acceptable criteria. Otherwise, reject the projects. Discounted Payback Period Advantages: It helps control the risks associated with the uncertainty of future cash flows. It helps minimize the impact of an investment on a firms liquidity problems. It helps control the risk of obsolescence. It helps control the effect of the investment on performance measures. It considers the time value of money. Easy to calculate and understand. Disadvantages: Ignores salvage value. No concrete decision criteria to indicate if an investment increases the firm value. Does not consider the cash flows occurring after the payback period, consequently ignoring a projects total profitability. Discounted Payback Period 1 You have invested in a project that costs P20,000. The estimated annual cash inflows are P5,000. Assuming a cost of capital of 10%, what is the discounted payback period? Discounted Payback Period 2 You have invested in a project that costs P10,000. The estimated annual cash inflows for Years 1 to 3 are P5000, P4,000, and P3,000, respectively. Assuming a cost of capital of 10%, what is the discounted payback period? Discounted Payback Bailout Period The length of time it would take to recover an investment considering discounted accumulated cash returns and terminal (salvage) value, If projects are independent Accept all the projects that fit into the firms acceptable criteria. Otherwise, reject. If projects are mutually exclusive Accept the project with the shortest discounted payback bailout period and that which fits into the firms acceptable criteria. Otherwise, reject. If projects are mutually inclusive Accept the primary and the subsequent secondary projects connected to the former if they fit into the firms acceptable criteria. Otherwise, reject the projects.
Discounted Payback Bailout Period Advantages: It helps control the risks associated with the uncertainty of future cash flows. It helps minimize the impact of an investment on a firms liquidity problems. It helps control the risk of obsolescence. It helps control the effect of the investment on performance measures. Considers salvage value and time value of money. Disadvantages: No concrete decision criteria to indicate if an investment increases the firm value. Does not consider the cash flows occurring after the payback bailout period, consequently ignoring a projects total profitability. Payback Bailout Period vs. Discounted Payback Bailout Period A machine costs P100,000. Annual cash inflows relating to the machine is estimated to be P25,000. Salvage values at the end of 7 years are 60k, 50k, 40k, 30k, 20k, 10k, and zero. Assume that cost of capital is 10%. Compute for the payback bailout period. Compute for the discounted payback bailout period. Profitability Index Also known as profit investment ratio, present value index, value investment ratio, benefit-cost rate, or desirability index. Refers to the ratio of discounted benefits over discounted costs. PI = PV of future cash flows / Initial investment If projects are independent Accept all the projects whose Profitability Index > or at least = 1. Otherwise, reject. If projects are mutually exclusive Accept the project with the highest Profitability Index, provided that the PI > or at least = 1. Otherwise, reject. If a necessity, accept the project with the highest PI. If projects are mutually inclusive Accept if the primary project and all related secondary projects lead to an overall PI > or = 1. Otherwise, reject the projects.
Profitability Index Advantages: Considers all cash flows and time value of money. Tells whether a project will increase or decrease a firms value. Disadvantages: Not in peso amount does not give a direct measure as to the projects contribution to the increase in firm value. It does not consider the size of the project when evaluating projects and may be incorrect when evaluating mutually exclusive projects.
Profitability Index A company invests in a project that costs P5 million. P2 million is expected to be generated for the next 3 years, and P1 million subsequently. The project is expected to last for 5 years. Assuming a cost of capital of 10%, what is the profitability index? Net Present Value The difference between the PV of cash inflows and outflows associated with a project and it measures the profitability of an investment. If projects are independent Accept all the projects with + NPV. Otherwise, reject. If NPV is positive, it means that that (1) initial investment has been recovered, (2) the required rate of return has been recovered, and (3) a return in excess of (1) and (2) has been received. If projects are mutually exclusive Accept the project with the highest + NPV. If the project is a necessity, then accept the project with the highest NPV. If projects are mutually inclusive Accept if the primary project and all related secondary projects lead to an overall + NPV. Otherwise, reject.
Net Present Value Advantages: Gives a direct measure of the peso benefit of the project to the shareholders. Considers all cash flows and the time value of money. Considers the total profitability of the project. Disadvantages: Expressed in terms of pesos, not as a percentage, the latter of which is preferred by business managers. Along with other discounted methods, it requires projections of cost of capital and cash flows . These projections may be difficult to determine with exact precision.
Net Present Value 1 Calculate the NPV of a project which requires an initial investment of P243,000 and is expected to generate cash inflows of P50,000 each month for 12 months. Assume that the cost of capital is 12%. Net Present Value 2 An initial investment of machinery of P8,320,000 is expected to generate cash inflows of P3,411,000, P4,070,000, P5,824,000, and P2,065,000 at the end of each of the next four years. At the end of the fourth year, the machine will be sold for P900,000. If discount rate is 18%, what is the NPV? Net Present Value 3 You have a choice between 2 mutually exclusive investments. If you require a 15% return, which investment should you choose?
Year Cash Flow (Proj. A) Cash Flow (Proj. B) 0 - 100,000 - 125,000 1 20,000 75,000 2 40,000 45,000 3 80,000 40,000 Profitability Index vs. NPV Independent Projects There would not be a conflict between PI and NPV because they yield same accept/reject rules. This is because PI can be greater than 1 only when NPV is positive. Mutually Exclusive Projects There may be a conflict between PI and NPV because the size of the project does not matter for PI but it matters for NPV. Conflict: Profitability Index vs. NPV Project X Project Y PV of cash inflows 200,000 100,000 Initial investment 100,000 40,000 PI NPV In case of conflict, the NPV method must be followed (except under capital rationing) because the NPV reflects the net increase in the firms wealth. Internal Rate of Return The interest rate that sets the present value of a projects cash inflows equal to the present value of the projects cost. It is the interest rate that forces the NPV to be zero, so PV of inflows = PV of outflows. If projects are independent Accept all the projects whose IRR > or at least = WACC. If IRR > than WACC, NPV is positive. If projects are mutually exclusive Accept the project with the highest IRR, provided that the IRR > or at least = WACC. If it is a necessity, accept the project with the highest IRR. If projects are mutually inclusive Accept if the primary project and all related secondary projects overall IRR > or at least = WACC.
Internal Rate of Return Advantages: Tells whether an investment increases value or not. It contains information regarding a projects safety margin. Considers all cash flows and the time value of money. It is more appealing to business managers because it provides a basis (rate of return) for decision making, rather than just a peso amount. Disadvantages: Unrealistic assumption of using IRR as the reinvestment rate whereas using WACC would have been more realistic. IRR cannot rank mutually exclusive projects properly all the time.
Internal Rate of Return 1 Find the IRR of an investment having initial cash outflow of P213,000. The annual cash inflows for 6 years is expected to be P40,000. If WACC is 4%, will you accept this project? Internal Rate of Return 2 Find the IRR of an investment having initial cash outflow of P213,000. The cash inflows for Years 1 to 4 is expected to be P65,200, P98,000, P73,100, and P55,400 respectively. If WACC is 10%, will you accept this project? Factors that complicate capital budgeting: Taxes Proposals with unequal lives Leasing versus purchasing Uncertainty Changes in price levels Qualitative factors Post-audit Must be done by an independent party so that more objective results can be obtained. By evaluating profitability, post audits ensure that resources are used wisely. It enables corrective action to be taken to improve performance. It holds managers accountable for their decisions and force them to make decision that serves the best interests of the firm. Supply feedback to managers that should help them improve future decision making. They are costly so accountability must be qualified to some extent by the impossibility of foreseeing every possible eventuality.
Special Considerations for Advanced Manufacturing Environment Standard Manufacturing Environment Advanced Manufacturing Environment Investment Direct costs of acquisition Direct costs of acquisition Software costs Engineering costs Training costs Implementation costs Estimates of Operating Cash Flows Directly identifiable tangible benefits (direct savings from labor, power, and scrap) Directly identifiable tangible benefits Intangible benefits (greater quality, more reliability, reduced lead time, improved customer satisfaction, enhanced ability to maintain market share., reduction of labor in support areas) Kaizen Budgeting A budgeting technique which takes into account the costs of improving the product. It projects costs on the basis of improvements yet to be implemented rather than upon current conditions. Kaizen is a Japanese term for improvement and refers to the philosophy or practices that focus on continuous improvement of processes in manufacturing, engineering, and business management. Activity-based Budgeting The traditional approach to budgeting which emphasizes the estimation of revenues and costs by organizational units and the use of a single unit-based driver such as direct labor hours. It focuses on the costs of activities necessary for production and sales. In contrast to traditional budgeting which directly budgets costs for functional or spending categories, ABB estimates the costs of performing various activities. Thank you!!!