Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Feb 2003* May 2004* Oct 2006* Aug 2007* Mar 2008* Jul 2009*
Indian Investors
#Source: BlackRock; AUM of BGF – WMF as on Oct 30, 2009; Exchange Rate: USD/INR= 46.96
2
BlackRock Global Funds (BGF)
World Mining Fund
Sectors in which the fund
typically invests in:
• Iron Ore
• Copper
• Aluminum
• Energy Coal
• Metallurgical Coal
• Gold
• Nickel
• Platinum
• Diamonds
3
BGF World Mining Fund: Exposures
China 1%
Nickel 1% Others (including cash) 6% Europe ex UK 3% Asia ex China 0.2%
Aluminum 1% Latin America 3%
Iron 2%
Coal 5% Cash 4%
Australasia 8%
Platinum 7% UK 35%
Source: BlackRock Factsheet, Data as on Oct 30,2009, Percentage Total may exceed 100% due to rounding off
4
BGF - World Mining Fund: Top Ten Stocks
Total 58.4%
Source: BlackRock, Reuters (consensus estimates as at 5th November 2009).* June 2010 year end.
Number of Holdings: 57
Source: Internal as at end October 2009. Indicative only and subject to change.
5
BGF - World Mining Fund: Performance
• Launched in 1997
1400
BGF World Mining Fund HSBC Global Mining Index
• AUM of approx US $11.5 bn (INR 53,769 cr)
1200
• Open Ended SICAV
1000
Normalized Values
• AAA rated – OBSR
800
• AAA rated – S&P Fund Research
600
• Elite rated- Morningstar
400
200
0
Mar-97 Apr-99 Jun-01 Jul-03 Aug-05 Sep-07 Oct-09
Since
CAGR in INR Terms (Oct 30, 2009) 1 Yr 3 Yrs 5 Yrs
Inception
Past performance may or may not be sustained in future and should not be used as basis of comparison with other investments
Source: DataStream. Performance in INR terms, as at end October 2009, Source: DataStream, data to 26th October 2009
6
Introduction To The Investment Theme
7
Growth In Global GDP
4.8%
3.3%
2.5%
Global financial crisis: Biggest shock to World Economy since World War II
PPP= Purchasing Power Parity, Data prior to 1950 excludes Africa, Asia and Former Soviet Union. Source: IMF, Rio Tinto; Oct 15, 2009
8
Commodity Price Movement Of Some Key Metals
Minus 60-70%
Plus 40-120%
After a record decline in 2008, commodity prices have staged a strong recovery
Aluminum consumption – Correlation with GDP growth Copper consumption – Correlation with GDP growth
Aluminum consumption (RHS) World GDP Copper consumption (RHS) World GDP
(%) (%)
(MMT) (MMT)
14 Correlation 14 Correlation
China 69%
37 China 70%
12 12
India 69% 31 India 77% 17
10 10
25
8 8 12
19
6 6
13 7
4 4
2 7
2
2
0 0
1 0
-2 -6 -2 -3
2009E
2010E
2007
2008
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2006
2005
2009E
2010E
2001
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2000
2002
Zinc consumption – Correlation with GDP growth Steel consumption – Correlation with GDP growth
Zinc consumption (RHS) World GDP
Steel consumption (RHS) World GDP
(%) (%)
(MMT) (MMT)
14 Correlation 14
14
China 76% Correlation
12 1350
India 79% 12 China 78%
10 10 10 India 64% 1125
8 8 900
6 6 6 675
4 4 450
2 2 2 225
0 -- 0 0 0
-2 -2 -2 -225
2009E
2010E
2000
2001
2005
2006
2007
2008
2002
2003
2004
2009E
2010E
2008
2000
2001
2002
2003
2005
2006
2007
2004
The BRIC nations are now the largest consumers of commodities across the world
Source: WBMS, Brooke Hunt, AME, JM, Reuters, DataStream, World Steel Org, Heinz Parisar, CRU
11
Global Macro Situation Improving
Outlook
• Global GDP for 2009 forecast at (1.1%)
• Global GDP for 2010 forecast at 3.6%
• Europe and Japan to lag the growth in other regions in 2010
• The OECD leading indicator continues to strongly point to a rapid pick up in Industrial Production
Growth in China is back already close to average since 2000, but elsewhere it remains well below
China
USA
Germany
Japan
China: largest consumer of almost all industrial commodities & is the most important growth market
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Aluminium Copper Zinc Lead Nickel Crude Steel
Source: Macquarie
14
Urbanization in Asia
Urban population in leading Asian nations like India, China, Pakistan will almost double by 2030
Maps show per capita steel consumption (kg/person) in China. Source: WSA, China NBS, Global Insight, RTIO ANalysis
16
Metals Demand to Double Over Next 15-20 Years
Iron Ore
Aluminum
Copper
Note: cf trend of 3-6% for most other metals, Nov 2, 2009. Source: Rio Tinto; Brook Hunt/ CRU Estimates
17
Factors Affecting Commodity Prices
Most of the factors point towards a rise in commodity prices in the short and the long term
Source: DB Research
18
Other Global Demand Drivers For Commodities
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
Sep-04 Mar-05 Sep-05 Mar-06 Sep-06 Mar-07 Sep-07 Mar-08 Sep-08 Mar-09 Sep-09
USA Eurozone China
Source: Macquarie
19
Supply Side Response To The Financial Crisis
Copper (mine)
Copper (smelter)
Lead (mine) *
Lead (refinery)
Zinc (mine) *
Zinc (smelter)
Aluminium
Nickel (mine)
• The events of the last 12 months have sowed the seeds for the next leg of the commodity cycle
• Preference for those that are constrained in their ability to increase supply
• These will benefit first from demand recovery
• Copper, platinum, bulk commodities (iron ore and coking coal)
• Focus on long life, low cost assets in sectors that are supply side constrained
• Less prone to opex inflation
• Most of capex already spent
• Low emphasis on pure play explorer/ developers
• Upside exposure through development activity of established producers
URBANIZATION + INDUSTRIALIZATION
25
DSP BlackRock World Mining Fund:
Scheme Features
26
DSP BlackRock World Mining Fund: Scheme Features
Minimum Investment: Regular Plan: Rs. 5,000/- and multiples of Re 1/- thereafter
Institutional Plan: Rs 5 crore and multiples of Re 1/- thereafter
Load Structure
Recurring expenses: 0.75% of the average weekly net assets of the scheme. Investors shall bear the recurring expenses of the underlying
scheme(s) in which the Scheme will invest, in addition to the recurring expenses of the scheme.
27
Disclaimer
DSP BlackRock Top 100 Equity Fund (DSPBRTEF) is an open ended growth Scheme, seeking to generate capital appreciation, from a portfolio that is substantially constituted of equity
securities and equity related securities of the 100 largest corporates, by market capitalisation, listed in India. DSP BlackRock India T.I.G.E.R Fund (The Infrastructure Growth and
Economic Reforms Fund) (DSPBRITF) is an open ended diversified equity Scheme, seeking to generate capital appreciation, from a portfolio that is substantially constituted of equity
securities and equity related securities of corporates, which could benefit from structural changes brought about by continuing liberalization in economic policies by the Government and/or
from continuing investments in infrastructure, both by the public and private sector. DSP BlackRock Small and Mid Cap fund (DSPBRSMF) is an open ended equity growth scheme, primarily
seeking to generate long term capital appreciation from a portfolio substantially constituted of equity and equity related securities, which are not part of top 100 stocks by market
capitalization. DSP BlackRock World Gold Fund (DSPBRWGF) is an open ended fund of funds scheme, investing in gold mining companies through an international fund, and the primary
investment objective is to seek capital appreciation by investing predominantly in units of BGF - WGF. The Scheme may, at the discretion of the Investment Manager, also invest in the units
of other similar overseas mutual fund schemes, which may constitute a significant part of its corpus. DSP BlackRock Natural Resources and New Energy Fund (DSPBRNRNEF) is an open
ended equity growth scheme, whose primary investment objective is to seek to generate capital appreciation and provide long term growth opportunities by investing in equity and equity
related securities of companies domiciled in India whose predominant economic activity is in the (a) discovery, development, production, or distribution of natural resources, viz., energy,
mining etc; (b) alternative energy and energy technology sectors, with emphasis given to renewable energy, automotive and on-site power generation, energy storage and enabling energy
technologies. The Scheme will also invest a certain portion of its corpus in the equity and equity related securities of companies domiciled overseas, which are principally engaged in the
discovery, development, production or distribution of natural resources and alternative energy and/or the units/shares of BGF - NEF, BGF - WGF and similar other overseas mutual fund
schemes. DSP BlackRock World Energy Fund (DSPBRWEF) is an open ended Fund of Funds Scheme investing in international funds and the primary investment objective of the Scheme is to
seek capital appreciation by investing predominantly in the units of BlackRock Global Funds – World Energy Fund (BGF – WEF) and BlackRock Global Funds – New Energy Fund (BGF – NEF). The
Scheme may, at the discretion of the Investment Manager, also invest in the units of other similar overseas mutual fund schemes, which may constitute a significant part of its corpus. The
Scheme may also invest a certain portion of its corpus in money market securities and/or money market/liquid schemes of DSP BlackRock Mutual Fund (Fund), in order to meet liquidity
requirements from time to time. There is no assurance that the investment objective of the Scheme will be realized.
28
Thank you
29
Appendices
30
Why BlackRock Natural Resources Team?
31
The BlackRock Natural Resources Team Advantage
• Stable team with a long history of managing client’s money in Natural Resources
• Team was formed in 1992
• Current Managing Directors have worked together for 14 years
• Experienced in managing both pooled and segregated institutional accounts
32
BlackRock Natural Resources Team: Fund Range
Long/Short Income
US$0.1bn US$0.5bn
Graham Birch*
Source: Internal as at November 2009. * On sabbatical. ** Also cover the agriculture sector.
34
Why BlackRock for Metals & Mining Equities?
Strength of Research
Strength of Process
Strength of Performance
35
Natural Resources Team – Investment Philosophy
36
BlackRock Metals & Mining Equities – 5 stage Investment Process
Investment Universe
Investment Universe
Initial Screening
Screeningbased
basedon
oncompany
companyspecific
specific
research
research
Top-down
Top-down
- macro
macro overlay
overlay
Portfolio Construction
Portfolio Construction
Sell Disciplines
Disciplines
37
BlackRock Metals & Mining Equities – 5 stage Investment Process
Investment Universe
• Commodity exposure
• Operating status
• Geography
38
BlackRock Metals & Mining Equities – 5 stage Investment Process
Investment Universe
Initial Screening
Screeningbased
basedon
oncompany
companyspecific
specific
research
research
• Asset quality
• Management track record
• Financial strength
• Valuation
39
BlackRock Metals & Mining Equities – 5 stage Investment Process
Investment Universe
Investment Universe
Initial Screening
Screeningbased
basedon
oncompany
companyspecific
specific
research
research
Top-down macro
Top-down macro overlay
overlay
40
BlackRock Metals & Mining Equities – 5 stage Investment Process
Investment Universe
Investment Universe
Initial Screening
Screeningbased
basedon
oncompany
companyspecific
specific
research
research
Top-down macro
Top-down macro overlay
overlay
Portfolio Construction
Portfolio Construction
41
BlackRock Metals & Mining Equities – 5 stage Investment Process
Investment Universe
Investment Universe
Initial Screening
Screeningbased
basedon
oncompany
companyspecific
specific
research
research
Top-down macro
Top-down macro overlay
overlay
Portfolio Construction
Portfolio Construction
Sell Disciplines
Disciplines
• Commodity fundamentals
• Politics
• Operating results
• Management direction
• Valuation
42
Understanding and Controlling Risk in a Mining & Minerals Portfolio
Stock Ideas
BlackRock Solutions (BRS)
BlackRock Natural
Risk and Quantitative
Resources Team
Analysis (RQA)
• Risk management is a core
• Use investment experience to
component of Blackrock’s
capture additional, sector
culture
Portfolio Construction specific risk factors
• Over 380 individuals provide
portfolio managers with in-house
Risk is: For example:
risk systems and models DIVERSIFIED • Geological risk
DELIBERATE • Technical hurdles
• BRS and RQA partner with the
• Political stability
Natural Resources Team to SCALED • Management track-record
improve investment
performance
43
Blackrock Natural Resources Team Biographies (in alphabetical order)
Poppy Allonby, CFA, Director and portfolio manager, is responsible for co-managing the Team’s energy and alternative
energy portfolios. Ms. Allonby's service with the firm dates back to 2000, including her years with Merrill Lynch Investment
Managers (MLIM), which merged with BlackRock in 2006. Prior to working on the Natural Resources team, Ms. Allonby was
an analyst on the US Equity team, responsible for the Basic Materials, Utilities and Energy sectors.
Ms. Allonby earned a BSc degree in physics, from the Imperial College, London in 2000.
Robin Batchelor, Managing Director and portfolio manager, joined the Natural Resources Team in London in 1996 and
worked initially on the gold and mining funds. Mr. Batchelor subsequently developed the Team’s energy capability and
began managing dedicated energy portfolios in January 1999. Mr. Batchelor is responsible for both traditional oil and gas
investment funds as well as alternative energy portfolios.
Mr. Batchelor earned his BSc in applied geology from Glasgow University and Colorado State University, and his MSc in
investment analysis from Stirling University. In 2001 Mr. Batchelor was named "One of the Top Twenty Fund Managers in
the World" by Forbes magazine.
Graham Birch, PhD, Managing Director and portfolio manager, is head of BlackRock's Natural Resources Equity team. Dr.
Birch is also a member of BlackRock's Leadership Committee. Dr. Birch's service with the firm dates back to 1993,
including his years with Mercury Asset Management and Merrill Lynch Investment Managers (MLIM). Prior to joining
Mercury, Dr. Birch worked as a mining equities analyst with Kleinwort Benson Securities (now Dresdner Kleinwort) and Ord
Minnett (now JP Morgan). He began his career as a mining equity analyst with Panmure Gordon in 1984.
Dr. Birch is a Trustee Director of Rothamsted Research, a scientific research centre in the UK. He earned BSc and PhD
degrees in mining geology from Imperial College, London in 1981 and 1984 respectively.
44
Team Biographies (contd.)
Desmond Cheung, Vice President and portfolio manager, is responsible for covering the agriculture sector and China. Prior
to joining BlackRock in 2007, Mr. Cheung worked at Hang Seng Bank Ltd for five years, a major subsidiary of HSBC Group in
Hong Kong, as a credit and relationship manager specialized in financing metal companies in the Greater China region.
Mr. Cheung earned a BA degree in accounting from the Chinese University of Hong Kong in 2000, and an MBA degree from
Judge Business School, Cambridge University in 2006.
Sandy Christie (Alexander), Associate and portfolio manager, is responsible for covering the global energy and energy
technology sectors. Mr. Christie's service with the firm dates back to 2001, including his years with Merrill Lynch Investment
Managers (MLIM). Prior to joining the Natural Resources Team, he was an intern with MLIM's US Equity and European High
Yield Bond teams, and spent a year on the Asset Allocation & Economics Team.
Mr. Christie earned a BA degree in classics, from St. Anne's College, Oxford in 2002.
Richard Davis, Managing Director and portfolio manager, is responsible for managing gold and mining portfolios. He is also
responsible for the team's income products. Mr. Davis' service with the firm dates back to 1994, including his years with
Mercury Asset Management and Merrill Lynch Investment Managers (MLIM). Prior to joining MLIM, he worked as a geologist for
three years in Ireland and worked on mineral exploration and resource evaluation projects in base metals, gold and
diamonds.
Mr. Davis earned a BA degree in geology from Trinity College, Dublin in 1989, and an MSc degree in mineral exploration from
Imperial College, London in 1990.
Joshua Freedman, Associate and portfolio manager, is responsible for covering the global energy and energy technology
sectors. Mr Freedman's service with the firm dates back to 2005, including his time with Merrill Lynch Investment Managers
(MLIM). Prior to joining the team, he worked on MLIM's Emerging Europe team.
45
Team Biographies (contd.)
Evy Hambro, Managing Director and portfolio manager, is responsible for the management of several gold and mining
portfolios. Mr. Hambro's service with the firm dates back to 1994, including his years with Mercury Asset Management and
Merrill Lynch Investment Managers (MLIM).
Mr. Hambro earned a BSc degree in marketing, from Newcastle University.
Thomas Holl, Associate and research analyst, is responsible for research in the mining and agriculture sectors. Mr. Holl
moved to his current role in 2008. His service with the firm dates back to 2005, including his time with Merrill Lynch
Investment Managers (MLIM). At MLIM, Mr. Holl was a member of the Global Equity Team and the Real Estate Team as a
member of the graduate training program.
Mr. Holl earned a BA degree in Land Economy from Cambridge University in 2006.
Catherine Raw, CFA, Vice President and portfolio manager, is responsible for covering the gold and mining sectors. Ms.
Raw's service with the firm dates back to 2003, including her years with Merrill Lynch Investment Managers. Prior to joining
MLIM, she worked at Anglo American Plc. in London and Johannesburg, and at Boliden's Laisvall mine in Sweden as a
geological field assistant underground.
Ms. Raw earned a MA degree in Natural Sciences from Downing College, Cambridge University in 2002, and an MSc degree in
Mineral Project Appraisal from Imperial College, London in 2003.
Malcolm Smith, Associate and product specialist, is responsible for all product specialist functions for the Natural Resources
Equity products. Mr. Smith's service with the firm dates to 2005, including his time with Merrill Lynch Investment Managers
(MLIM). At MLIM, he worked within the retail business, with a particular focus upon the Luxembourg and UK unit trust fund
ranges. He moved to his current role with the Natural Resources Team in 2006. Prior to joining MLIM, he worked on the
European equity team of a global multi-manager.
Mr. Smith earned an MA degree in accountancy from Aberdeen University in 2004.
46
BGF World Mining Fund: Exposures
CAD 9%
ZAR 10%
Source: BlackRock Factsheet, Data as on Oct 30,2009, Percentage Total may exceed 100% due to rounding off
47
Global Trends In Industrialization & Urbanization
Large portions of leading emerging markets such as India and China are yet to urbanize
49