RE: Pulse Asia Researchs June 2014 Nationwide Survey on the May 2016 Elections
Pulse Asia Research, Inc. is pleased to share with you some findings on the May 2016 Elections from the June 2014 Ulat ng Bayan national survey. We request you to assist us in inf7orming the public by disseminating this information.
The survey fieldwork was conducted from June 24 July 2, 2014 using face-to- face interviews. Various issues preoccupied Filipinos immediately prior to and during the conduct of the field interviews for this survey, among which are the following: (1) The filing of charges of plunder and violation of the Anti-Graft and Corrupt Practices Act before the Sandiganbayan against Senators Juan Ponce Enrile, Jinggoy Estrada, and Ramon Revilla, Jr. on 06 June 2014; the indictment for plunder of Ms. Janet Lim Napoles as well as key members of the respective legislative staffs of Senators Enrile, Estrada and Revilla; the eventual surrender of Senators Revilla and Estrada following the issuance of warrants of arrest for them; and the "not guilty" plea entered by the Sandiganbayan on behalf of Senators Revilla and Estrada; (2) The Office of the Ombudsman's denial of the petition for immunity of Ms. Napoles, former Technology Resource Center (TRC) Chairperson Dennis Cunanan, and two officers of the National Agri-Business Corporation;
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(3) The petition of the Office of the Ombudsman filed before the Supreme Court (SC) for the creation of two special courts to handle cases related to the pork barrel scam, Malacanang's support for the proposal, and the opposition to the petition expressed by the Sandiganbayan and the lawmakers indicted for plunder; (4) The decision issued by the Supreme Court (SC) declaring several acts under the Disbursement Acceleration Program (DAP) as unconstitutional for violating the doctrine of separation of powers and the constitutional provision which prohibits the inter-branch transfer of appropriations; (5) The statement of support for President Benigno S. Aquino III made by House Speaker Feliciano B. Belmonte, Jr. and other pro-administration legislators in response to calls for the President's impeachment and the resignation of Department of Budget and Management (DMB) Secretary Florencio Abad coming from some opposition lawmakers and militant groups following the SC's ruling on the DAP; (6) The creation by the Office of the Ombudsman of a panel that will investigate the realignments in the national budget made by the national administration under the DAP; (7) The Sandiganbayan's order to suspend former President and incumbent Pampanga Representative Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo for 90 days in connection with her reported involvement in the anomalous NBN-ZTE deal; (8) The continued tension between the Philippines and China over disputed territories in the West Philippine Sea with, among other things, the United Nations (UN) Permanent Court of Arbitration directing China to submit by 15 December 2014 its response to the Philippine memorandum concerning the nullification of China's claims to several territories in the area and the United States (US) encouraging China to participate in the arbitration process to defend the legal basis of its territorial claims; (9) The President's call for the Philippine National Police (PNP) to swiftly resolve crime incidents after the recent series of killings involving several high-profile individuals; (10) The confirmation of the appointments of Department of Justice (DOJ) Secretary Leila M. de Lima, Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD) Secretary Corazon J. Soliman, and Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) Secretary Ramon J.P. Paje after being in office for four years; (11) The celebration of the 116th Philippine independence day on 12 June 2014 with President Aquino leading rites in Naga City; (12) The controversial decision of President Aquino to reject the nomination of Ms. Nora Aunor as National Artist for Film; and
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(13) On the economic front, the continued failure of the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) and Bureau of Customs (BOC) to meet their target collections for the month of May 2014 ; the decline in power rates charged by the Manila Electric Company (Meralco) in June 2014; the increase in oil prices due to the continued crisis in Iraq and the hike in the price of rice, garlic and sugar reportedly due to lower supply levels; and the DBM's budget proposal totalling P 2.606 trillion for the year 2015 - 15% higher than the 2014 national budget.
As in our previous surveys, this nationwide survey is based on a sample of 1,200 representative adults 18 years old and above. It has a 3% error margin at the 95% confidence level. Subnational estimates for each of the geographic areas covered in the survey (i.e., Metro Manila, the rest of Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao) have a 6% error margin, also at 95% confidence level. Those interested in further technical details concerning the survey's questionnaire and sampling design may request Pulse Asia Research in writing for fuller details, including copies of the pre-tested questions actually used.
Pulse Asia Researchs pool of academic fellows takes full responsibility for the design and conduct of the survey, as well as for analyses it makes based on the survey data. In keeping with our academic nature, no religious, political, economic, or partisan group influenced any of these processes. Pulse Asia Research undertakes Ulat ng Bayan surveys on its own without any party singularly commissioning the research effort.
For any clarification or questions, kindly contact Dr. Ana Maria Tabunda, Research Director of Pulse Asia Research at 09189436816 or Prof. Ronald D. Holmes, Pulse Asia Research President at 09189335497 or via email (ronald.holmes@gmail.com).
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Pulse Asia Researchs June 2014 Ulat ng Bayan Survey: Selected tables on the May 2016 Elections 21 July 2014
June 24 - July 2, 2014 / Philippines Of the people on this list, whom would you vote for as PRESIDENT OF THE PHILIPPINES if the 2016 elections were held today and they were candidates? You may mention others not included in this list. BINAY, Jejomar " Jojo" 41 44 41 37 42 36 42 40 POE, Grace 12 11 12 15 9 7 12 14 ESTRADA, Joseph " Erap" 9 5 10 6 15 8 7 16 ESCUDERO, Francis " Chiz" 7 7 9 5 7 4 9 5 ROXAS, Manuel " Mar" 7 4 5 11 11 7 8 6 DEFENSOR-SANTIAGO, Miriam 7 8 7 8 3 16 6 4 MARCOS, Ferdinand Jr. " Bongbong" 5 5 6 5 2 4 6 4 CAYETANO, Alan Peter 5 8 5 4 4 5 5 4 REVILLA, Ramon Jr. " Bong" 2 1 2 2 1 4 1 2 DRILON, Franklin " Frank" 1 0 0 3 2 2 1 1 GORDON, Richard " Dick" 1 3 0 0 0 3 1 0 Others 2 1 1 2 4 2 1 2 Dont Know 0.5 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 Refused 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 1 None 1 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 Q33. Sa mga t aong nasa l i st ahang i t o, si no ang i nyong i bobot o bi l ang PRESIDENTE NG PILIPINAS kung ang el eksyon ng 2016 ay gaganapi n ngayon at si l a ay mga kandi dat o? Maaar i kayong magbanggi t ng i ba pa na wal a sa l i st ahan. (ONE ANSWER ONLY) ABC D E Base: Total Interviews, 100% Table 1 2016 ELECTIONS: PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE (In Percent) RP LOCATION CLASS NCR BL VIS MIN
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June 24 - July 2, 2014 / Philippines Of the people on this list, whom would you vote for as VICE-PRESIDENT OF THE PHILIPPINES if the 2016 elections were held today and they were candidates? You may mention others not included in this list. POE, Grace 26 26 27 25 26 24 24 34 ESCUDERO, Francis " Chiz" 22 25 25 14 21 28 23 18 CAYETANO, Alan Peter " Alan" 14 14 14 16 11 16 14 12 MARCOS, Ferdinand Jr. " Bongbong" 8 9 10 9 3 5 10 5 TRILLANES, Antonio IV " Sonny" 6 7 6 5 9 4 8 4 ESTRADA, Jinggoy 5 3 6 3 7 5 4 10 DRILON, Franklin " Frank" 5 3 2 13 6 4 6 4 SANTOS-RECTO, Rosa Vilma " Ate Vi" 4 5 3 7 4 5 4 4 REVILLA, Ramon Jr. " Bong" 4 2 4 3 6 2 4 5 ROBREDO, Leni 1 2 0 0 3 3 1 1 Others 1 0 0 1 2 0 1 1 Don' t know 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 Refused 1 1 0 2 1 0 1 1 None 1 1 1 1 0 4 0 1 Q54. Sa mga t aong nasa l i st ahang i t o, si no ang i nyong i bobot o bi l ang BISE-PRESIDENTE NG PILIPINAS kung ang el eksyon ng 2016 ay gaganapi n ngayon at si l a ay mga kandi dat o? Maaar i kayong magbanggi t ng i ba pa na wal a sa l i st ahan. (ONE ANSWER ONLY) MIN ABC D E Base: Total Interviews, 100% RP LOCATION CLASS NCR BL VIS Table 2 2016 ELECTIONS: VICE-PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE (In Percent)
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Table 3 2016 ELECTIONS: SENATORIAL FILL-UP RATES June 24 - July 2, 2014 / Philippines Page 1 of 2 (Estimated Population Demographic variables Percentage) Mean Median Total Philippines (100%) 10 12 NCR (14%) 9 12 Balance Luzon (44%) 10 12 Urban (17%) 9 12 Rural (27%) 10 12 Visayas (19%) 10 12 Urban (6%) 9 12 Rural (13%) 11 12 Mindanao (22%) 11 12 Urban (9%) 11 12 Rural (14%) 11 12 Total Urban (46%) 10 12 Total Rural (54%) 11 12 Class ABC (10%) 10 12 TOTAL D (65%) 10 12 D1 (owns res' l lot) (46%) 10 12 D2 (does not own res' l lot) (19%) 10 12 E (25%) 10 12 Male (50%) 10 12 Female (50%) 10 12 18-24 years old (18%) 11 12 25-34 (22%) 10 12 35-44 (23%) 10 12 45-54 (18%) 10 12 55-64 (13%) 11 12 65 & up (7%) 10 12 Base: Total Interviews, 100%
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Table 3 2016 ELECTIONS: SENATORIAL FILL-UP RATES June 24 - July 2, 2014 / Philippines Page 2 of 2 (Estimated Population Demographic variables Percentage) Mean Median Total Philippines (100%) 10 12 No formal educ/elem grad (24%) 10 12 Some HS (10%) 10 12 Completed HS (30%) 10 12 Vocational (7%) 10 12 Some college (15%) 10 12 Completed coll/post coll (14%) 10 12 Total Working (59%) 10 12 Government (6%) 10 12 Private (12%) 10 12 Self-employed (28%) 10 12 Farmer/Fisherfolk (13%) 11 12 Not Working (41%) 10 12 Roman Catholic (81%) 10 12 Iglesia Ni Cristo (4%) 10 12 Aglipayan (0.3%) 8 12 Islam (5%) 10 11 Others (10%) 10 12 Tagalog (43%) 10 12 Ilocano (12%) 11 12 Pangasinense (---) --- --- Kapampangan (---) --- --- Bicolano (2%) 9 12 Ilonggo (6%) 9 12 Cebuano (20%) 11 12 Waray (6%) 11 12 Others (10%) 10 11 Base: Total Interviews, 100%
Table 5 2016 ELECTIONS: SENATORIAL PREFERENCES June 24 - July 2, 2014 / Philippines (Multiple Responses, up to 12 names allowed) Base: Total Interviews, 100% PANGILINAN, Francis " Kiko" N. 93 54.7 1-3 SOTTO, Vicente III " Tito" C. 95 53.8 1-3 RECTO, Ralph G. 93 52.7 1-5 LACSON, Panfilo " Ping" M. 94 47.1 3-9 ROXAS, Manuel " Mar" 94 47.0 3-9 GORDON, Dick 91 45.1 4-9 DRILON, Franklin " Frank" M. 95 44.7 4-9 MARCOS, Ferdinand Jr. " Bongbong" R. 94 43.8 4-9 ZUBIRI, Juan Miguel " Migz" F. 91 42.2 4-11 MADRIGAL, Jamby 93 38.2 9-11 OSMEA, Sergio III " Serge" R. 95 37.4 9-14 HONTIVEROS, Risa 83 32.4 11-17 BAUTISTA, Herbert " Bistek" 92 32.3 11-17 CAYETANO, Lino Edgardo S. 74 32.0 11-17 GUINGONA, Teofisto III " TG" 87 30.8 12-17 DE LIMA, Leila M. 95 28.6 12-19 REVILLA, Lani Mercado " Ate Lani" 93 28.4 12-19 PACQUIAO, Manny 97 25.6 16-21 ENRILE, Juan Ponce Jr. " Jack" 91 23.8 16-22 MAGSAYSAY, Mitos 70 23.2 18-23 ATIENZA, Lito 81 22.1 18-25 HAGEDORN, Ed 69 20.1 19-25 PIMENTEL, Gwendolyn " Gwen" 54 18.9 20-26 BIAZON, Rozzano Rufino " Ruffy " B. 69 18.4 21-26 LAPID, Mark 85 18.1 21-26 ROBREDO, Leni 64 15.2 23-28 TOLENTINO, Francis N. 85 12.2 26-31 DANTES, Dingdong 90 11.5 26-31 REMULLA, Gilbert C. 58 11.0 27-31 Q56. Kung ang nas abi ng el ek s yo n s a 2016 ay i s as agawa ngayo n, s i nu- s i no s a mga s umus uno d na per s o nal i dad ang i nyo ng i bo bo t o k ung s ak al i ng s i l a ay k ak andi dat o s a pagk a- SENA DOR? P uwede k ayo ng pumi l i ng hanggang 12 pangal an. M aaar i k ayo ng magbanggi t ng i ba pa na wal a s a l i s t ahan. [ SHOWCA RD] Q57. M ay nar i ni g, nabas a o napano o d na ba k ayo ng k ahi t na ano t ungk o l s a mga s umus uno d? ( SHUFFLE CA RDS) Page 1 of 2 Aware Voting for Rank
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Table 5 2016 ELECTIONS: SENATORIAL PREFERENCES June 24 - July 2, 2014 / Philippines (Multiple Responses, up to 12 names allowed) Base: Total Interviews, 100% BARBERS, Robert " Ace" 67 10.6 27-32 SOLEDAD, Shalani 70 8.9 27-34 VILLANUEVA, Emmanuel " Joel" J. 41 7.4 30-38 LIM, Danilo " Danny" 36 6.5 31-41 QUEZON, Manuel Luis III " Manolo" C. 66 6.4 31-42 RODRIGUEZ, Rufus 23 5.4 32-43 GATCHALIAN, Sherwin " Win" 37 5.0 32-46 ABAD, Florencio " Butch" B. 72 5.0 32-47 ROMUALDEZ, Ferdinand Martin " FM" G. 31 4.8 32-47 RASUL, Amina 28 4.6 33-47 LOZADA, Rodolfo Jr. " Jun" 45 4.3 33-48 TAADA, Lorenzo III " Erin" R. 41 4.2 33-50 DELOS REYES, JC 33 3.9 34-51 DURANO, Ace 33 3.6 35-51 SALCEDA, Joey 25 3.1 36-51 HATAMAN, Mujiv 7 3.0 36-51 FARIAS, Rudy 32 2.9 36-51 ALMENDRAS, Jose Rene D. 21 2.7 37-51 VILLAFUERTE, Luis Raymond Jr. " LRay" 22 2.4 40-51 UMALI, Reynaldo " RU" V. 19 2.2 41-51 COLMENARES, Neri J. 18 2.2 41-51 ROSALES, Loretta Ann " Etta" P. 27 2.1 42-51 REMOTO, Danton 9 0.6 52-52 Others --- 0.6 --- Don't know --- 0.2 --- Refused --- 0.3 --- None --- 1.8 --- Q56. Kung ang nas abi ng el ek s yo n s a 2016 ay i s as agawa ngayo n, s i nu- s i no s a mga s umus uno d na per s o nal i dad ang i nyo ng i bo bo t o k ung s ak al i ng s i l a ay k ak andi dat o s a pagk a- SENA DOR? P uwede k ayo ng pumi l i ng hanggang 12 pangal an. M aaar i k ayo ng magbanggi t ng i ba pa na wal a s a l i s t ahan. [ SHOWCA RD] Q57. M ay nar i ni g, nabas a o napano o d na ba k ayo ng k ahi t na ano t ungk o l s a mga s umus uno d? ( SHUFFLE CA RDS) Page 2 of 2 Aware Voting for Rank