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The presence of international competition and the opening up of protected international markets emphasize the need for effective marketing strategies. Organizations cannot afford to be slow in collecting and processing this information. Intelligent marketing information systems offer a way for marketing managers to share knowledge and expertise.
The presence of international competition and the opening up of protected international markets emphasize the need for effective marketing strategies. Organizations cannot afford to be slow in collecting and processing this information. Intelligent marketing information systems offer a way for marketing managers to share knowledge and expertise.
The presence of international competition and the opening up of protected international markets emphasize the need for effective marketing strategies. Organizations cannot afford to be slow in collecting and processing this information. Intelligent marketing information systems offer a way for marketing managers to share knowledge and expertise.
COMPUTERIZED INTELLIGENCE FOR MARKETING DECISION MAKING
Chandra S. Amaravadi, Subhashish Samaddar and Siddhartha Dutta Intelligent marketing information systems offer a way for marketing managers to share knowledge and expertise Introduction The presence of international competition and the opening up of protected international markets such as the Soviet bloc, China and India emphasize the need for effective marketing strategies. The successful companies in this environment will be those which can sell standardized products at lower prices in global markets !evitt, "#$%&. Such a strateg' re(uires a centrall' coordinated marketing team. It also implies the need for an instantaneous and transparent flow of information between ten points of sale )oS& and the decision makers and the sharing of e*pertise between decision+makers in different regional markets ,iggins et al. "##"&. Information from markets has assumed greater importance as a strategic corporate asset and organizations cannot afford to be slow in collecting and processing this information. Technological and marketing innovations such as universal product code -)C& scanners are reducing traditional barriers such as the time taken for data entr', the cost of collecting market information and the time taken to process these huge volumes of information Customer needs car be met more effectivel' with the assistance of technolog' .c/enna, "##"&. 0or e*ample, 0rito+ !a' has established a decision support s'stem to handle problems created b' an e*panding product line such as slow growth of profit margins increasing competitive pressures and problems in product monitoring and cost control. .arketing managers are more open to information technologies such as electronic data interchange 1DI&, decision support s'stems, and advanced database s'stems, motivated b' the need to remain competitive and the need to manage information resources Carl'le, "#$$&. The combination of marketing information, computer technolog' and changing managerial consciousness for time and cost+effectiveness 2e would like to acknowledge the comments b' professors 3olf ,ackmann, 4im /enn' and Caroline Tripp at 2estern Illinois -niversit'. This pro5ect was funded in part b' a grant from the State 0arm Insurance Compan'. 2e are grateful to our sponsors. forms a d'namic s'stem known as marketing information s'stems ./IS& Schmidt, "##%&. The utilization of ./IS resources is crucial to the success of an organization and should be an integral part of the strategic planning process 3ockart and .orton, "#$6&. In this article, we introduce intelligent ./IS as a decision+making aid for managers. -nlike an ./IS. an I./IS addresses the need to share marketing e*pertise in a competitive marketing environment. It makes use of artificial intelligence technolog' to represent and process assorted marketing knowledge. As an introduction to I./IS, we will first discuss ./IS and its limitations. Key shortcomings of MKIS The concept of an ./IS to process and suppl' information to marketing personnel has been e*tant for some time now Co* and 7ood, "#89&. The general s'stem elements for an' ./IS include a data ac(uisition s'stem, database management s'stem, graphical and statistical anal'sis tools, model base, directories specific data elements:information classification schemes& and retrieval s'stems ;arabba, "#$%&. According to one stud', over three+fourths of the 0ortune ",<<< firms utilize ./IS for decision making .c!eod and 3ogers, "#$=&. ,owever, these s'stems do little more than process information mechanicall' and presumabl' at considerable e*pense ;essen, "##%> Schmidt, "##%&. The large volumes of information implied b' such s'stems do not serve management needs and can overwhelm and confuse potential users. Another stud' in fact showed thatmorganizations rel' on their salesforce for informal feedback rather than on their formal s'stems 1vans and Schlacter, "#$=&. The article cited the comple*it' of present s'stems as a factor in reducing their effectiveness. S'stems with natural language capabilities and filtering capabilities would undoubtedl' contribute towards more effective usage of ../IS. ;ut in order to serve management?s needs, s'stems re(uire a deeper under standing of marketing issues. There have been attempts at enhancing ./IS with decision support and e*pert capabilities. A marketing decision support s'stem ./DSS& is a co+ordinated collection of data, s'stems, tools and techni(ues with supporting software and hardware !ittle, "#$6&. 0or e*ample, @;enema*@ is a ./DSS based on ;rien Stafford and Criss' .ossman models and is used to optimize product features:benefits with target audience characteristics 7reen et al., "#$%&. The ;rien Stafford model has subs'stems for each ingredient of the marketing mi*, namel' product planning and development, pricing, channel:distribution and promotion strategies ;rien and Stafford. "#8$&. The Criss' .ossman model shows how marketing+ mi* subs'stems assist marketers in addressing ma5or planning (uestions Criss' and .ossrnan, "#99&. Current literature suggests that there are ./DSS applicatiors for separate marketing mi* subs'stems although the' do not refer to ./DSS, per se. A ma5or limitation of ./DSS is that the' rel' on limited (uantitative models .c!eod, "##<&. ;eing (uantitativel' oriented, ./DS cannot handle marketing situations where complete information is not available. Since its problem+ solving area is traditionall' more limited than ./IS it is also unable to provide responses in various marketing mi*es. An integrated marketing+ mi* model has alwa's been elusive Schmidt, "##%&. ./IS with e*pert s'stem capabilities have also been limited. 1*pert s'stems 1S& are a branch of artificial intelligence concerned with capturing the e*pertise of human e*perts with thumb+rules of the sortA Bf situation A then action ;@. The' can provide conclusions:recommendations for various situations and have built+in e*planation facilities to e*plain how the' arrived at their conclusions /irsh, "##C&. Schwoerer and 0rappa "#$8& suggested the use of 1S in new product development, media planning and cop' evaluation. /astiel "#$9& proposed using 1S in evaluating consumer and industrial promotion evaluations for direct mail:telemarketing situations. The 1S approach overcomes the (uantitative limitation of ./DSS, 'et it has its own limitations. 0or e*ample, @innovator@ is an 0S that can assess the success potential of new products in the financial services industr' and provide a go:no go:re+ evaluate decision to the user )roctor, "##"&. ,owever, the s'stem has problems in knowledge ac(uisition and knowledge representationA for e*ample the attribute weights are fi*ed and so the s'stem?s fle*ibilit' to respond to different situations is limited. 1S cannot be developed for semistructured problems, such as new product screening, owing to a shortage of e*perts with proven records Durkin, "##6&. Since knowledge in an e*pert s'stem is in the form of rules, onl' well+ defined situations, which lend themselves to rules, can be modelled. 1S are aimed at one problem and cannot function outside their domain area It is also difficult to e*tract knowledge e*cept is the form of a diagnosis, or in the form of reasoning: e*planation or as rules. !astl', it is difficult to develop and maintain 1S because of the interdependence between rules and the procedural step+b'+step& nature of the knowledge ;arr et al., "#$"&. THE DISTINGUISHING FEATURE OF IMKIS IS ITS KNOWLEDGE BASE The e*tent to which e*pert s'stems or decision support s'stems can support management is therefore debatable. .arketing situations re(uire integrated models owing to interdependencies in modem business environments which ./DSS are unable to provide. The' re(uire representation of @soft@, i.e. non+(uantitative situations Durkin, "##6&. 1S are not effective because of their philosoph' of being aimed for a single use and their inabilit' ?to function outside their area. 2e propose the concept of intelligent ./IS I./IS& as a method of supporting marketing decision making. It is an e*tension of the ./IS+./DSS concept in that it uses techni(ues of knowledge representation from the field of artificial intelligence. An I./IS has much the same capabilities as an ./IS+./DSS. It provides marketing personnel with access to online databases and various t'pes of reports for decision making such as product performance, market segment sales promotion, distribution, product mi* positioning, competition, etc. The database and reports are based on considering I./IS as part of an e*isting marketing s'stem. The ./DSS capabilities are geared towards dealing with semistructured problems with the help of built+in models for customer profile anal'sis, sales forecasting, budgeting, order processing, pricing decisions, competitive anal'sis, salesforce anal'sis, inventor' control, etc. ,igb' and 0arah, "##"& The distinguishing feature of I./IS is, however, its knowledge base. In general, the knowledge base contains knowledge about various aspects of marketing. 0or e*ample, )epsiCo C markets @Allsport@, a new product, as a sport drink using celebrities like Sha(uille D? Eeal for national network television advertisements during the Eational ;asketball Association E;A& pla'offs. At the same time, it uses vending machines and retail outlets for national distribution. This knowledge is encoded in the s'stem using an appropriate representation scheme. The ./IS elements such as databases and reports address routine information re(uirements, the ./DSS aspect handles routine decisions, while the knowledge+based aspect handles situations re(uiring knowledge, e*perience. If the essential aspects of marketing situations are captured in a knowledge base, it would serve as a powerful decision aid b' enabling e*pertise to be accessed freel'. Framework for IMKIS .arketing is an ongoing process in which decisions are made and the results of these decisions are monitored continuousl'. .arketing managers have to correct deviations from plans as well as change plans when market conditions change /otler, "#$$> !evitt, "#$%&. Carr'ing out these actions re(uires information about the market and its characteristics, such as information about competition. prospective customers and performance in each segment. This should be reflected in the I./IS design, specificall' the database and reports. .arketing managers also obtain information from product management groups about their customers and product segments. ;ased on this information, the' can plan for domestic and international markets. The' have to take mm consideration issues of product positioning, pricing, promotion which includes advertising& and distribution in their strategic plans owing to the strong interrelationship among these groups. At the same time, marketing managers have to monitor the department costs with respect to the allocated budget. 0or an I./IS to be effective, these relationships must be reflected in its design. 2e will illustrate such relationships with the help of a case stud' of )epsiCo, Inc. adapted from Thompson and Strickland?s "##%&, case number "$ + the details of the case can be found in the Appendi*&A )epsiCo s a diversified firm in the soft drink beverages, concentrates and s'rups& snack foods and restaurant full service, deliver' and carr'+out& business segments. It en5o's a tradition of success based on its cost controls, innovative advertising aggressive promotion and distribution power. It entered the "##<s faced with increased competition for market share from its competitors through ad wars, new product introductions and price discounts. 0aced with strict competition, and the need to remain the best consumer products compan', )epsiCo is resorting to intensive advertisements and sales promotions, new product introductions and cost cuts while strengthening its distribution networks. It is also attempting to transfer e*pertise from its successful segments like 0rito+!a' and )epsi Cola to other segments of the corporation. In the past, C1D 2a'ne Callowa' himself a 0rito+!a' alumnus& has emphasized rotating management personnel from 0rito+!a' to other business units. ,owever. incumbent management personnel take time to ad5ust to new organization cultures and na' not en5o' as much support as in their previous positions. 0igure " illustrates the various groups:sources with which the marketing manager has to interact. These include online databases, domestic planning, promotion, products :price management, public information, international planning, distribution, and cost management. !et us consider these in the conte*t of the e*ample of )epsiCo promoting its Allsport soft drink in the isotonic beverage market sports+drink market&. In such situations, marketing managers have to identif' various distribution channels so that the product reaches the customers. It implies consideration of the impact of promotion on the distribution sector. The cost+efficienc' of promotions has to be evaluated on the basis of some benchmark e.g. previous promotion histor'&. This shows the impact of the cost management group on the marketing manager?s decision. ,owever, consumer goods cannot be promoted unless the' are produced, which brings in the involvement of an interfunctional team of manufacturing, (ualit' control, engineering, research and development, test marketers and pricing strategists. 0inall'. the marketing manager has to provide ade(uate public information about new products to financial institutions, for e*ample, so that investors are aware of how their mone' is being invested. The advantage of promoting this product in international markets, for e*ample in tropical countries, can also be considered b' marketing managers as a part of a long+term strateg'. Thus there are eight ma5or groups within an organization which impact on marketing decisions> online databases, domestic and international planning, product:price management, promotion, % public information. distribution and cost management. Figure 1. IMKIS relationships Online databases Domestic planning Promotion Product/price management Public information International planning Distribution Cost management Intelligent mareting information s!stems "o# to pro$ide immediate conter%information against false accusations lie s!ringes in Diet%Pepsi case& "o# to replicate the success of Pepsi's Me(ican mareting in other )atin *mericn countries& "o# efficient #ould the snac%food channel be in distributing Pepsi soft drins in +urope& "o# cost%efficient are the promotions%distributions of Pepsi products in global marets& Ke!#ord, *sia and drin mi( "o# to get information on research #ors about *sian drin%mi( maret& "o# to increase sales of Pepsi products in the recession%hit stagnant domestic maret& "o# to position *llsport against -atorade and Po#erade in the isotonic be$erages maret& "o# should Pepsi increase its sales $olume b! discount pricing or b! increasing its product lines& A marketing manager should therefore consider these interrelationships before making strategic decisions Dickson, "##6&. If these are reflected in the I./IS the' are included in @database@ and @librar'@ components& it can assist in the successful assimilation of knowledge among the different segments of an organization. 0irms such as )epsiCo can easil' transfer such knowledge from succeFthi" segments of the compan' to the newer segments. An architecture for intelligent MKIS 0igure C shows the essential elements of the proposed I./IS and the manner in which the' interact with one another. The librar' and database components reflect the framework discussed in the preceding section. Input system The input s'stem collects data from the internal and e*ternal environments. The incoming data from the internal environment such as point+of+sale information. inventor'+warehouse reports, purchase, shipment and sales orders, etc. are stored in the database. Sometimes, this information is available online through electronic data interchange. As shown in 0igure %, the input s'stem for )epsiCo includes transaction information from all of its product segments such as )epsi, )izza ,ut, Taco ;ell, /entuck' 0ried Chicken, 0rito+!a', etc. In addition, sales information from its international operations is also a part of its input s'stem. The ./DSS uses the database to carr' out anal'sis. Data received from the e*ternal environment, such as industr' reports, new research reports, news about competition, stock markets, government policies, etc., through online databases are screened through a filter and electronicall' sent to the appropriate personnel Figure .. *rchitecture for IMKIS Information from internal en$ironment MKDSS Intelligent s!stem Inference engine Kno#ledge base Models Measurements Mareting manager International planning )ibrar! Product mi( Pricing Promotion Distribution Maret research Maret intelligence Maret strategies +n$ironment Input s!stem Information from e(ternal en$ironment International planning Distribution Database Sales Product Customer Competition Promotion Distribution Maret /eports Output s!stem Filter Figure 0. Input s!stem IS%* PepsiCo International segments /estaurant segment Snac%food segment Soft%drin segment Pepsi Cola Diet%Pepsi Mountain De# 1e# products Diet Mountain De# Slice Diet Slice *llsport Iced 2ea Sun Chips 2aco products /uffles )a!'s Cheetos Fritos Doritos 1e# products Pacific /im 2aco 3ell Pi44a "ut Kentuc! Fried Chicen Canada )atin *merica Caribbean +urope "*S%* Ke!, Connectors Filter 6 A filter is a mechanism that distinguishes relevant information from irrelevant information .alone et al., l#$9&, It screens and accepts relevant information while ignoring irrelevant information. The relevance of incoming information is identified from the needs of management. 7enerall' the information needs of management are based on its goal structures such as increasing sales, market share, etc. Amaravadi and /umar, "##6&. /e'words are identified for various levels of management based on such goal structures. Incoming F and classified under different sections and sent to relevant personnel in the form of electronic mail messages .alone et al., "#$9&. 0or )epsiCo, information pertaining to competitors such as Coca+Cola Co. soft+drink segment&, Church?s:)ope'e?s 0ried Chicken chicken segment&, Domino?s )izza and !ittle Caesar?s pizza segment&, Chi Chi?s .e*ican segment&, and ;orden and )rocter G 7amble snack+food segment& is incorporated as ke'words into the s'stem. Also included is information from government agencies such as the 1nvironmental )rotection Agenc', 0ederal Trade Commission, -nited States Department of Commerce, etc.> international agencies such as the 7ATT, 2orld ;ank, etc.> and news about consumer interests, tastes, lifest'les, entertainment events, etc. 0or e*ample, managers can use @CIS7@ contract for international sale of goods&, @1urope@ and @drink mi*@ as ke'words to scan new CIS7 regulations on )epsiCo?s soft+drink segment in 1urope. Library The importance, usage and popularit' of the different classes of reports re(uires maintaining an active database of machine+processable reports in the librar'. The automated librarian stores reports filed with various government and financial institutions, and significant news and internal reports from various meetings. Appropriate classification schemes are used se that the' can be retrieved easil'. The librar' can be (ueried for information regarding new measurement techni(ues or models relevant to marketing anal'sts who might select and customize them to their own needs. This can enable rapid access and transfer of information whenever re(uired. Triggers are used tH transfer automaticall' periodic reports to different personnel both within and outside the organization at definite time intervals. At )epsiCo, periodic reports from soft+ drink:snack+fool segments and dail' reports from the restaurant business segment can be automaticall' maintained, updated and forwarded to designated personnel for management control. = Marketing decision support system As alread' stated, ./DSS is a coordinated collection of data, s'stem, tools and techni(ues with supporting software and hardware for making marketing decisions !illis and .cIvor, "#$6&. .anagers interact with the s'stem in a (uestion:answer mode and information obtained from such sessions and from e*ternal databases is anal'zed with various t'pes of models to arrive at decision recmmendations )roctor, "##"&. The s'stem can support @what if@ t'pe anal'sis to allow managers to change interactivel' model parameters b' a trial and error process. The s'stem can draw on te*tual information from the databases and displa' (uantitative results with graphical and descriptive interpretations. 0or )epsiCo, ./DSS will probabl' use product+mi* with distribution models> industrial salesforce transaction and revenue gain forecasting models> product cost optimization and pricing models> market customer, promotion and channel anal'sis models> market share change, simulations and interactive models, to name a few. Output system .anagers can interact with the s'stem through a terminal screen, to review reports and pose (ueries. These (ueries can be conventional database (ueries such as what are the sales in the .idwest region for the last (uarterI@, or (ueries to the knowledge base such as @what are some of the advertising strategies used b' 0rito+!a' in the pastI@ As alread' stated, marketing decisions re(uire interactive sessions, facilitated through a terminal with advanced displa' capabilities and a rapid response time. Intelligent system The intelligent s'stem consists of a knowledge base and an inference engine. The knowledge base contains facts and knowledge about the firm?s goals and strategies In general, knowledge in a knowledge base is represented in the form of rules, frames or semantic networks ;ench+Capon, "##<&. The rule+based scheme represents knowledge in the form of a series of @if+then@ condition+action statements. The scheme is infle*ible owing to the fait that rules are interdependent and therefore difficult to modif'. The frame+based scheme uses a record+like structure to capture properties of ob5ects and their relationship to other ob5ects. 1ach frame represents knowledge about ob5ects with @slots@ or attributes. Slots are filled with values. e.g. a car frame would have, among other things, slots for @t'pe@ and @manufacturer@. 0or a 0ord Thunderbird, these would have the values of @Sports coupJ@ and @0ord@, respectivel'. The frame+based scheme is suitable for declarative knowledge + knowledge that is primaril' factual in nature. The semantic network is a collection of nodes that are connected b' links to relate ob5ects. The links correspond to slots in the frame+based scheme. Continuing with the car e*ample to illustrate a semantic net, the nodes would be @car@, @0ord@ and @Sports coupJ@, with @manufacturer@ and @t'pe@ as links. The problem faced b' the anal'st is to convert fragmented strategic knowledge into usable, machine+processable knowledge. In this regard, the semantic network has an advantage stemming from its associative nature. It associates ob5ects together in much the same wa' as humans do ;ench+ Capon, F##<&. 2e favour using this approach, since marketing strategies are characterized b' relationships and interdependencies more than an'thing else. The inference engine uses the knowledge and processes it to draw conclusions. 2hen knowledge is represented with a semantic network, the inferencing process involves traversing the network to discover relationships. 0or e*ample, to continue with the car e*ample, if the user were to ask, @who manufactures a Sports+coupeI@, we would first identif' the @Sports coupJ@ node and see if it has @manufacturer@ as its attribute. In this case, it does not, so we need to trace the links of @Sports coupJ@ node to see if it has an' @owner@ nodes and see if that node has @manufacturer@ as a link t'pe. It turns out that @Sports coupJ@ does have an owner node, @car@, and it has @manufacturer@ as an attribute link t'pe&. 2e can now draw the conclusion that 0ord manufactures Sports coupJs. Inferencing in a network can become complicated, especiall' if the link t'pes are unrestricted. In the work presented here, we demonstrate our knowledge base b' using onl' four link t'pes. ;etween two ob5ects A and ;, the link t'pes are e*plained as followsA @IS+A@ + A is a t'pe of ; for e*ample, sports car a t'pe of car&> @,AS+A@ + A has a propert':characteristic, ; for e*ample, car has a characteristic of speed&> @C+T@ + A contributes to ; for e*ample, options contribute to the price of a car&> @-+T@ + A uses techni(ue:strateg' ; for e*ample, the power transmission in the car uses an automatic s'stem&. 8 These restricted link t'pes impose a structure on the network, which facilitates inferencing. The choice of link t'pes is a critical decision on the part of the anal'st, reflecting his:her skill and intuition in structuring assorted knowledge gleaned from interviewing marketing managers. In the ne*t section. we will illustrate the knowledge base and e*plain the t'pe of interferences that can be drawn from it. An illustration of the knowledge base As pointed out, the knowledge base is developed using the semantic network scheme restricted to the four link t'pes. There are, however, two node t'pesA goal nodes representing management?s goals such as profitabilit'> productivit', market share, etc., and nodes representing variables such as advertising, testing, etc. -sing this method, we developed the knowledge structure for )epsiCo and its holdings based on published reports from the trade literature. This is illustrated in 0igure 6. 0or e*ample, the article, @2h' ,3 is turning to outsourcing@ see Appendi*, note C<& pointed out that 0rito+!a', among other companies, used outsourcing of emplo'ee hiring to improve efficienc' and to reduce costs. 0rom this and ether articles, we derived the knowledge that @cost reduction@ was an ob5ective and one of the techni(ues used b' )epsiCo to achieve it was through @outsourcing@. In the figure, @reduce costs@ is a goal node with a link to @outsourcing@, one of the factors contributing toe it. Dther factors contributing to cost reduction used b' )epsiCo include @forward integration@ and @la'offs@. These are also shown as nodes with @C+T@ links connecting to the goal node, @reduce costs@. Karious t'pes of (uestions can be posed to the s'stem concerning management?s goals and strategies, factors contributing to these and the techni(ues used to accomplish them. 2e will illustrate these three t'pes of (ueries using the knowledge structure in 0igure 6> "& 2hat are management?s goalsI To answer this (uer', the s'stem searches for the goal nodes, identified with darker ovals in the semantic network as followsA improve productivit'> increase sales> reduce costs. C& 2hat are some strategies to improve productivit'I ,ere the s'stem searches the @productivit'@ node and identifies factors which contribute to it, b' tracing all its @C+T@ links. 0or the )epsiCo case, there are three variables connected to the @productivit'.? node with @C+T@ linksA reduce costs> use information technolog'> improve training. %& 2hat are some techni(ues of advertisingI ,ere the s'stem searches the node @advertising@, and identifies the methods used for it b' tracing all its @-+T@ links uses techni(ue:strateg'&. 0or the )epsiCo case, these areA 9 use celebrities> support social causes, advertise on ma5or events The knowledge base illustrated in 0igure 6 is onl' partial, but can easil' be e*panded to incorporate ether aspects of )epsiCo?s strateg'. )ractical implementations of I./IS will be based on in+ house corporate knowledge. The ke' strength of the approach is that assorted knowledge is converted to a usable form using onl' a limited number of link t'pes. The semantic network is intuitive and can serve as a communication tool between managers and anal'sts. It lends itself well to the strategic decision+making process b' providing knowledge on strategies and goals. Similar knowledge bases can be developed to anal'ze competitor activities. Figure 5. Kno#ledge structure Note , )in t!pes C%2, Contribute to IS%*., Is a t!pe of 6%2 6ses techni7ues/strateg!/method "*S%*, Factor has a characteristic Profits )a!offs Outsource hiring 2raining Information technolog! Distribution For#ard integration *d$ertising Percei$ed $alue Seasonal $ariation Promotion Price cuts Coupons Feedbac Fre7uenc! Celebrities Support causess Ma8or e$ents /ansom testing 1e# product Demographic preferences 3arcode chec Metal detect 9eight chec :ualit! Seal chec Product Price C%2 C%2 C%2 C%2 C%2 C%2 C%2 C%2 C%2 C%2 C%2 6%2 6%2 6%2 6%2 6%2 6%2 6%2 6%2 "*S%* "*S%* "*S%* "*S%* "*S%* "*S%* "*S%* "*S%* "*S%* "*S%* "*S%* $ Implantation of intelligent MKIS I./IS supersedes conventional ./IS s'stems. It provides traditional ./IS reporting and librar' facilities. It can filter information from online databases based on ke'words and automaticall' inform managers about new developments, This increases the relevance of incoming information and reduces information overload to marketing managers. Triggers can be programmed to act when certain trends are detected, for e*ample, if sales fall below a certain level or if a competitor announces a new product. Threats and opportunities from the environment can be identified in this manner. The s'stem uses traditional ./DSS capabilities to anal'ze historical sales data from the product database to identif' which product is in what phase of product life c'cle. The knowledge base distinguishes I./TS from conventional technologies. It enables marketing managers to incorporate e*pertise and 5udgment into the s'stem in a manner that enables it to be freel' (ueried:modified or shared b' other managers. -nlike an ./DSS, it can still provide assistance under environments of partial information. This is fre(uentl' the case in marketing because information about competitors, markets, etc. is often not complete. 0or e*ample we were able to develop the knowledge structure illustrated in 0igure 6 despite not having complete knowledge about )epsiCo. If a marketing s'stem is alread' in place then the onl' other component to be developed is the knowledge base. Developing a knowledge base re(uires skilled anal'sts and managers who can articulate their strategies. The development and maintenance of the knowledge base must be carefull' managed 7reco and ,ogue, "##<&. S'stem securit' is a ma5or issue since the knowledge base represents a blueprint of the organization?s strateg' and could be vulnerable to theft or sabotage. S'stem access must therefore be carefull' monitored and controlled. The advantages of a @well+oiled@ conceptuall' well+designed& marketing s'stem are numerous. It can provide the firm with competitive advantage while simultaneousl' reducing costs of manual information collection and information processing. It will be a valuable tool for promoting and sharing organizational learning and assisting in transferring this (uickl' to other areas of the organization that need it. Conclusion I./IS has the potential to address some of the pressing concerns facing marketers toda'. It could help in anal'zing product features with customer data, evaluating channel and pricing options, creating and testing promotion plans, gaining instant feedback on concepts and plans, and moving marketing plans rapidl' into production. The knowledge+base component of the I./IS enables marketing e*pertise to be accessed and shared easil'. .arketing managers should seriousl' consider the potential of interfacing artificial intelligence with conventional ./IS in order to have a s'stem that supports their strategic decision making. WE WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE TOWARDS A PAPERLESS SOCIETY As technologies proliferate, the future of I./IS will become more e*citing. The current push towards the information superhighwa' and its implementation presents opportunities for direct marketing and impersonal selling This will help marketers to customize their products and enable them to receive almost immediate online feedback about an' product promotion or change in channel effectiveness. A marketing manager can optimize sales presentations and business travel schedules. Kirtual realit' can be used for sales presentations and customer negotiations. The user+friendliness of voice+activated and handwriting+recognition s'stems can help marketing managers to interact better with computer s'stem 2ith the increasing usage of electronic pa'ments, we will eventuall' move towards a paperless societ' in which real+ time decisions and actions will be a necessit'. It implies greater reliance on I./IS s'stems An organization can be at a competitive advantage if it responds to, and e*ploits, these developments. # eferences and further readings Amaravadi, C.S. and /umar, E./. "##6&, @Drganizational perspectives on 1IS design@, working paper, 2estern Illinois -niversit', .acomb, I!. ;arabba, K). "#"""&, @Steel a*es for Stone Age men@, .arketing and the Eew Information:Communication Technologies, ,arvard ;usiness School 9=th Anniversar' Collo(uium, C8+ C# 4ul', ,arvard ;usiness School, ;oston, .A. ;arr, A., Cohen, ).3. and 0eigenbaum, 1.A. "#$"&, The ,andbook of Artificial Intelligence, Addison+ 2esle', 3eading, .A. ;ench+Capon, T.4... "##<&, /nowledge 3epresentationA An Approach to Artificial Intelligence, Academic )ress !imited. San Diego, CA. ;essen, 4. "##%&, 3iding the marketing information wave@, ,arvard ;usiness 3eview, September:Dctober, pp. "=<+8<. ;rien, 3.,. and Stafford, 4.1. "#8$&, @.arketing information s'stemsA a new dimension for marketing research@, 4ournal of .arketing, Autumn, pp. "#+C%. Carl'le, 3.1. "#$$&, @.anaging information s'stems in multinationals@, Datamation, .arch, pp. =6+8<. Co*, D.0, and 7ood, 3.1. "#89&, @,ow to build a marketing information s'stem@, ,arvard ;usiness 3eview, Kol. 6= Eo. %. pp. "6=+=6. Criss', 2.4.1. and .ossman, 0.,. "#99&, @.atri* models for marketing planningA an update and e*pansion@, .S- ;usiness Topics, Autumn, pp. "9+ C8. Curr', ;., .outinho, !. and Davies, 0. "##C&, @Constructing a knowledge base for a marketing e*pert s'stem@, .arketing Intelligence G )lanning, Kol. "<, Eo. "", pp. "C+"<. Dickson, ). 3. "##6&, .arketing .anagement, The Dr'den )ress, Drlando, 0!. Durkin, 4. "##6&, 1*pert S'stemsA Design and Development, .acmillan, Eew Lork, EL. 1isenhart, T. "##<&, @Computer+aided marketingA after ten 'ears of marketing decision support s'stems, where?s the pa'offI@, ;usiness .arketing, 4une. pp. 68+=". 1vans, /.3. and Schlacter, 4.!. "#$=&, @The role of sales managers and salespeople in marketing information s'stems@, 4ournal of )ersonal Selling and Sales .anagement, Eovember, pp. 6#+=$. 0rancis, ;. "#$#&, 0rito la's a new IS bet@, Datamation, "= 0ebruar', pp. 9=+$. 7reco, A. and ,ogue, 4. "##<&, @Developing marketing decision support s'stems in consumer goods firms@, 4ournal of Consumer .arketing, 2inter, pp. ==+86. 7reen, ).1., 7oldberg, S..., .aha5an, K. and /edia, )./. "#$%&, @A decision support s'stem for developing retail promotional strateg'@, 4ournal of 3etailing, Autumn, pp. ""8+6%. ,igb', .. and 0arah, ;. "##"&, @The status of marketing information s'stems, decision support s'stems and e*pert s'stems in the marketing function of -S firms@, 4ournal of Information and .anagement, Kol. C<, pp. C#.%=. ,iggins, !.0., .cint're, S.C. and 3aine, C.7. "##"&, @Design of 7lobal .arketing Information S'stems@, 4ournal of ;usiness and Industrial .arketing, Summer+Autumn, pp. 6#+=$. Source A Marketing Intelligence & Planning, Kol. "%, Eo. C, "##=. pp. 6+"% .C; -niversit' )ress !imited, <C8%+6=<%. 3eproduced with permission of the cop'right owner. 0urther reproduction prohibited without permission. "<