Contending For PC Leadership

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President

lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603
FORIMMEDIATERELEASE
PCleadershiphopefulsbringlittletorace
ChowasNDPleaderchangestheequation
TORONTONovember1st,2014Inarandomsamplingofpublicopiniontakenby
theForumPollamong1104Ontariovoters,votesharesfortheProgressive
Conservativepartyarelowerwhenactualleadershipcontendersarenamedthan
whennoleaderisnamed,butwhenOliviaChowisproposedasleaderofthe
OntarioNewDemocrats,thebalanceofprobabilitieschangesconsiderably.
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
HIGHLIGHTS:
Votesharesforthe
ProgressiveConservative
partyarelowerwhenactual
leadershipcontendersare
Liberalswith5pointleadingenerichorserace
namedthanwhennoleader
isnamed.
Inthegenerichorserace,wherenoleadersarenamed,resultsareverysimilartothe
recentelection,and4in10willvoteLiberalifaprovincialelectionwereheldtoday 4in10willvoteLiberalifa
provincialelectionwereheld
(40%),whilejustmorethanathirdwillvotePC(35%).Inthisscenario,theNDPtake
today(40%),whilejustmore
afifthofthevote(19%),andtheGreens(4%)andotherpartiestakefew(2%).
thanathirdwillvotePC
TwoseatmajorityseenforLiberals
(35%).
TheLiberalswouldtakea
Iftheseresultswereprojecteduptoseatsina107seatLegislature,theLiberals
twoseatmajorityof56,to37
wouldtakeatwoseatmajorityof56,to37forthePCs,upfrom28intheelection.
forthePCs,whiletheNDP
Underthisscenario,theNDPwouldtake14seats,welldownfromthe21actually
wouldtake14seats.
heldafterJune12.
Amongthe5current
ElliottisstrongestcontenderforPCs
contendersforthePC
Amongthe5currentcontendersforthePCleadership(andDougFord),Christine
leadership(andDougFord),
Elliottpoststhemostpromisingtrialheats,followedbyFord.Nevertheless,hervote
ChristineElliottpoststhe
shareislowerthanthatrecordedforthePCsinthegenerichorserace.Ifsheis
mostpromisingtrialheats,
leader,theLiberalstakea4in10share(41%)tojustlessthanathirdforthePCs
followedbyFord.
(32%)andalmostaquarterfortheNDP(22%).Ofnote,inalltrialheatscenaria,the WhenOliviaChowis
NDPdobetterthaninthegenerichorserace.LisaMacLeodpoststheleastpositive
proposedasleaderofthe
results,drivingtheLiberalvoteuptoclosetohalf(44%)whilesuppressingthePC
NewDemocrats,thebalance
votebelow3in10(28%).DougFordkeepstheLiberalvotelowerthananyonebut
ofpowershiftsconsiderably,
Elliott(42%),buthasdisappointingresultsamongPCs(27%).Allotherstated
andthehorseraceactually
contendersdoaboutthiswellorslightlylesssuccessfully.
startstolooklikea
horserace.
Chowchangesthearithmetic
WhenOliviaChowisproposedasleaderoftheNewDemocrats,thebalanceof
powershiftsconsiderably,andthehorseraceactuallystartstolooklikeahorserace.
Withhernamedasleader,theNDPtakecloseto3in10votes(28%),tiedwiththe
PCsforsecondplace(29%)rightbehindtheLiberals(33%).
180BloorStreetW.,#1400
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Elliott,Fordare12invoters'hearts
Whenvotersareaskedwhichofthefivecontenders(andDougFord)theyexpectto
wintheleadership,ChristineElliottisfirstamongallvoters(26%)followedbyDoug
Ford(18%)andLisaMacLeod(7%).Fullyonethirddon'thaveanopinion(35%).
AmongPCvoters,however,resultsaremuchmoreclear.OnethirdpreferElliott
(34%),followedcloselybyonequarterwhopreferFord(24%).Amongthisgroup,
theundecidedsarenotasnumerous(26%).Noothercontendersarementionedby
asmanyasaboutonetwentieth.
Wynne'sfavourablesupsharply,Horwathflat
PremierWynne'sfavourableshavebouncedbackfromapostelectionlowandare
nowclosetohalf(46%approve,upfrom41%lastmonth).WhileJimWilsonstill
makeslittleimpressionasinterimPCleader(23%now,18%lastmonth),Andrea
Horwathhasseenherformerlyveryhighapprovallevelsstagnate(31%thismonth
andlast).Intermsofnetfavourablescores(approveminusdisapprove),both
Wynne(+4)andWilson(2)areclosetoneutral,whileHorwathisinnegative
territory(13).
WeallknowChristineElliottiscruisingforacoronation,butDougFordmay
provetobeabumpontheroadtothatevent.Hehaspartisansintheall
important,voterich905,andthat'swherethePCsneedtowinvotestotake
power,"saidForumResearchPresident,Dr.LorneBozinoff.
LorneBozinoff,Ph.D.isthepresidentandfounderofForumResearch.Hecanbe
reachedatlbozinoff@forumresearch.comorat(416)9609603.

416.960.9603
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
HIGHLIGHTS:
Whenvotersareaskedwhich
ofthefivecontenders(and
DougFord)theyexpectto
wintheleadership,Christine
Elliottisfirstamongallvoters
(26%)followedbyDougFord
(18%)andLisaMacLeod
(7%).
PremierWynne'sfavourables
havebouncedbackfroma
postelectionlowandare
nowclosetohalf(46%
approve,upfrom41%last
month).
WeallknowChristineElliott
iscruisingforacoronation,
butDougFordmayproveto
beabumpontheroadto
thatevent.Hehaspartisans
intheallimportant,voterich
905,andthat'swherethe
PCsneedtowinvotestotake
power,"saidForumResearch
President,Dr.LorneBozinoff.
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
Methodology
TheForumPollwasconductedbyForumResearchwiththeresultsbasedonan
interactivevoiceresponsetelephonesurveyof1104randomlyselectedOntarians
18yearsofageandolder.ThepollwasconductedonOctober31standNovember
1st,2014.
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Resultsbasedonthetotalsampleareconsideredaccurate+/3%,19timesoutof
20.Subsampleresultswillbelessaccurate.Marginsoferrorforsubsample(such
asage,gender)resultsareavailableatwww.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp
Whereappropriate,thedatahasbeenstatisticallyweightedbyage,region,and
othervariablestoensurethatthesamplereflectstheactualpopulationaccording
tothelatestCensusdata.
Thisresearchisnotnecessarilypredictiveoffutureoutcomes,butrather,
capturesopinionatonepointintime.ForumResearchconductedthispollasa
publicserviceandtodemonstrateoursurveyresearchcapabilities.Forumhouses
itspollresultsintheDataLibraryoftheDepartmentofPoliticalScienceatthe
UniversityofToronto.
WithofficesacrossCanadaandaroundtheworld,100%CanadianownedForum
Researchisoneofthecountrysleadingsurveyresearchfirms.ThisForum
PollandotherpollsmaybefoundatForum'spollarchive
atwww.forumresearch.com/polls.asp
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
ProvincialElectionVotingPreferenceTrending
[Decided/Leaning]
%
st
November1 ,2014
st
October1 ,2014
st
August2021 ,2014
th
PopularVoteJune7 ,2014
ProvincialElectionResults
th
June11 ,2014
th
June5 ,2014
th
May27 ,2014
th
May20 ,2014
th
May12 ,2014
rd
May23 ,2014
th
April7 ,2014
th
Mar24 ,2014
th
Feb.25 ,2014
th
Jan.2425 ,2014
th
Dec.1718 ,2013
th
Nov.26 ,2013
th
Oct.25 ,2013
nd
Oct.2 ,2013
th
Aug29 ,2013
nd
Jul22 ,2013
th
Jun26 ,2013
th
May28 .2013
rd
May3 ,2013
th
April26 ,2013
th
th
Mar26 to27 2013

th
st
Feb.26 toMar1 ,2013

th
Feb.20 ,2013
th
Jan.23to24 ,2013
th
Dec.17 ,2012
th
th
Nov.27 to28 ,2012

th
st
Oct.30 to31 ,2012

th
Sep.25 ,2012
th
Aug15 ,2012
th
Jun15 ,2012
th
Jun4 ,2012
th
May14 ,2012
th
Apr17 ,2012
th
Mar28 ,2012
th
Mar13 ,2012
th
Feb.15 ,2012
Sample
1104
1013
1229
Con
35
34
32
Lib
40
36
39
NDP
19
23
19
Green
4
6
8
Other
2
1
2
31
39
24
1054
974
882
1136
996
1845
928
908
1014
1222
1044
1126
1049
1093
1019
861
977
881
832
1133
1156
2773
1053
1052
925
1064
1047
796
965
1047
986
1001
1021
1047
995
1127
35
37
36
34
35
38
38
32
35
36
38
38
34
36
35
36
35
34
35
36
35
32
36
32
33
35
37
37
38
38
36
34
34
34
40
36
41
39
36
41
38
33
31
35
32
33
31
32
31
33
32
31
33
38
35
36
32
32
29
27
27
29
22
20
27
26
28
27
28
30
28
32
20
17
20
20
21
22
23
25
26
26
24
23
27
23
26
27
24
21
25
24
26
29
28
35
31
27
32
35
28
30
30
32
31
30
23
26
3
6
7
4
5
6
7
7
6
4
5
6
7
7
6
5
8
6
4
4
5
5
5
5
8
8
7
7
6
5
4
5
5
5
8
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
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OverallSeatDistribution
%
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
Con
Lib
NDP
November1 .2014
37
56
14
st
35
51
21
31
61
15
28
58
21
39
57
11
May27 ,2014
th
42
50
15
May20 ,2014
th
31
63
13
th
26
68
13
45
49
13
49
45
13
Mar24 ,2014
th
29
66
12
th
48
42
17
47
46
14
43
51
13
Nov.26 ,2013
47
44
16
th
41
48
18
Oct.2 ,2013
47
44
16
th
st
October1 ,2014
st
August2021 ,2014
th
ElectionJune12 ,2014
th
June5 ,2014
May12 ,2014
rd
May23 ,2014
th
April7 ,2014
Feb.25 ,2014
th
Jan.2425 ,2014
th
Dec.1718 ,2013
th
Oct.25 ,2013
nd
Aug29 ,2013
36
53
18
Jul22 ,2013
nd
45
46
16
th
42
54
11
37
60
10
36
59
12
April26 ,2013
38
59
10
th
43
50
14
36
53
18
52
39
16
40
40
27
Jun26 ,2013
th
May28 .2013
rd
May3 ,2013
th
th
Mar26 to27 2013

th
st
Feb.26 toMar1 ,2013

th
Feb.20 ,2013
th
Jan.23to24 ,2013
th
Dec.17 ,2012
44
38
25
th
47
41
19
st
58
26
23
Sep.25 ,2012
th
60
23
24
th
55
33
19
58
30
19
52
37
18
48
37
22
Apr17 ,2012
41
43
23
Mar28 ,2012
th
48
44
15
th
Mar13 ,2012
57
33
17
Feb.15 ,2012
th
51
48
th
56
38
13
37
53
17
th
Nov.27 to28 ,2012

th
Oct.30 to31 ,2012

Aug15 ,2012
th
Jun15 ,2012
th
Jun4 ,2012
th
May14 ,2012
th
Jan.18 ,2012
th
PopularVoteOctober6 ,2011
ProvincialElectionResults
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
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forumresearch.com
OntarioProvincialPartyLeaderApprovalRatingTrending(%Approve)
[AllRespondents]
Sample
st
November1 ,2014
st
October1 ,2014
st
August2021 ,2014
rd
July3 ,2014
th
May27 ,2014
th
May20 ,2014
th
May12 ,2014
rd
May23 ,2014
th
April7 ,2014
th
Mar24 ,2014
th
Feb.25 ,2014
th
Jan.2425 ,2014
th
Dec.1718 ,2013
th
Nov.26 ,2013
th
Oct.25 ,2013
nd
Oct.2 ,2013
th
Aug29 ,2013
nd
Jul22 ,2013
th
Jun26 ,2013
th
May28 .2013
rd
May3 ,2013
th
April26 ,2013
th
th
Mar26 to27 2013
th
st
Feb.26 toMar1 ,2013

th
Feb.20 ,2013
1104
1079
1229
810
882
1136
996
1845
928
908
1014
1222
1044
1126
1049
1093
1063
914
1037
918
869
1133
1156
2773
1053
Wynne
46
41
46
41
Wynne
34
38
38
34
34
34
32
40
35
35
33
39
36
35
37
41
42
38
40
34
36
Wilson
23
18
27
Hudak
27
25
23
26
27
23
24
21
28
26
26
25
24
27
26
26
27
27
27
24
27
Horwath
31
31
35
28
Horwath
34
35
35
36
40
38
40
40
41
44
46
41
50
43
43
43
49
43
44
44
49
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
CurrentProvincialPartyPreference
Ifaprovincialelectionwereheldtoday,whichpartyareyoumostlikelyto
votefor?+Eventhoughyoumaynothavemadeupyourmind,whichparty
areyouleaningtowardsatthistime?
[Decided/Leaning]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Total
1834
3544
4554
5564
65+
Male
Female
1072
35
40
19
4
2
48
27
39
23
7
3
85
30
42
25
2
1
199
36
42
15
5
2
287
41
39
17
2
1
453
41
39
15
4
1
503
40
34
20
3
3
569
31
46
17
5
1
Region
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
Total
E.Ont
416
905
GTA
SW.Ont
N.Ont
1072
35
40
19
4
2
156
40
41
14
3
3
189
27
54
13
7
0
297
45
34
18
1
1
486
37
43
16
4
1
244
31
42
20
5
3
186
32
26
32
8
2
PastProvincialPartyPreference
%
Sample
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
1072
Progressive
Conservative
361
35
40
19
4
2
Total
384
New
Democratic
156
93
4
2
1
0
84
7
2
0
Liberal
53
Other
parties
33
10
11
20
18
71
0
1
23
12
49
5
34
24
2
19
Green
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
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F416.960.9602
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
ChristineElliot
voteforiftheProgressiveConservativeleaderwereChristineElliott?+Even
thoughyoumaynothavemadeupyourmind,whichpartywouldyoube
leaningtowardsatthistimeifChristineElliotwereProgressiveConservative
leader?
[Decided/Leaning]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Total
1834
3544
4554
5564
65+
Male
Female
1044
32
41
22
4
2
47
17
49
27
3
4
83
30
39
25
5
1
194
36
39
19
5
1
280
36
37
23
3
1
440
38
39
17
5
1
489
36
37
20
5
2
555
28
45
23
3
1
Region
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
Total
E.Ont
416
905
GTA
SW.Ont
N.Ont
1044
32
41
22
4
2
149
35
39
21
2
2
187
24
55
17
3
1
298
46
33
18
2
1
485
36
42
18
3
1
230
25
44
24
5
2
180
21
31
36
11
2
ProvincialPartyPreference
%
Sample
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
1044
Progressive
Conservative
386
32
41
22
4
2
Total
419
New
Democratic
155
80
8
9
2
2
87
3
1
0
Liberal
50
Other
parties
19
11
10
85
2
0
2
34
55
2
12
18
2
57
Green
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
DougFord
voteforiftheProgressiveConservativeleaderwereDougFord?+Even
leaningtowardsatthistimeifDougFordwereProgressiveConservative
leader?
[Decided/Leaning]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Total
1834
3544
4554
5564
65+
Male
Female
1048
27
42
22
8
2
48
25
33
24
16
2
81
19
43
31
6
0
204
29
43
19
6
2
282
30
44
19
6
1
433
27
47
17
7
2
492
33
36
23
7
2
556
21
48
21
9
1
Region
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
Total
E.Ont
416
905
GTA
SW.Ont
N.Ont
1048
27
42
22
8
2
145
27
47
18
8
0
194
28
48
12
12
0
295
30
41
22
6
2
489
29
44
18
8
1
233
20
44
26
6
3
181
27
26
34
11
2
%
Sample
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
1048
Progressive
Conservative
381
27
42
22
8
2
Total
424
New
Democratic
154
63
15
11
7
3
84
6
2
0
Liberal
49
Other
parties
20
11
32
4
82
3
0
6
3
85
3
14
23
25
6
Green
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
LisaMacLeod
voteforiftheProgressiveConservativeleaderwereLisaMacLeod?+Even
leaningtowardsatthistimeifLisaMacLeodwereProgressiveConservative
leader?
[Decided/Leaning]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Total
1834
3544
4554
5564
65+
Male
Female
1022
28
44
21
5
2
47
22
51
21
3
3
84
23
44
26
7
1
192
30
43
21
5
1
277
32
41
21
4
1
422
34
43
17
5
1
475
32
39
21
5
2
547
25
50
21
4
1
Region
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
Total
E.Ont
416
905
GTA
SW.Ont
N.Ont
1022
28
44
21
5
2
147
27
50
18
4
1
182
19
61
13
5
1
289
41
37
18
2
1
471
32
48
16
3
1
227
25
42
26
6
2
177
22
30
36
10
2
%
Sample
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
10
1022
Progressive
Conservative
371
28
44
21
5
2
Total
417
New
Democratic
154
79
10
6
3
2
92
3
1
0
Liberal
48
Other
parties
19
4
91
2
1
27
4
64
2
37
23
8
32
Green
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
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PatrickBrown
voteforiftheProgressiveConservativeleaderwerePatrickBrown?+Even
leaningtowardsatthistimeifPatrickBrownwereProgressiveConservative
leader?
[Decided/Leaning]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Total
1834
3544
4554
5564
65+
Male
Female
1019
26
45
21
6
2
47
21
47
23
8
2
80
20
48
25
6
1
192
29
44
18
7
2
278
30
44
21
4
2
422
31
44
18
6
1
469
29
38
22
8
2
550
24
52
19
4
1
Region
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
Total
E.Ont
416
905
GTA
SW.Ont
N.Ont
1019
26
45
21
6
2
146
25
45
19
9
1
182
19
63
11
5
1
286
37
39
20
3
1
468
29
49
16
4
1
227
21
45
25
6
3
178
23
29
35
12
2
%
Sample
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
11
1019
Progressive
Conservative
367
26
45
21
6
2
Total
420
New
Democratic
153
77
11
5
5
2
93
3
2
0
Liberal
48
Other
parties
19
5
91
2
0
28
1
67
3
6
35
29
30
Green
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
VicFedeli
voteforiftheProgressiveConservativeleaderwereVicFedeli?+Even
leaningtowardsatthistimeifVicFedeliwereProgressiveConservative
leader?
[Decided/Leaning]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Total
1834
3544
4554
5564
65+
Male
Female
1014
28
43
22
6
2
47
25
40
23
9
3
80
21
46
27
5
1
189
28
43
20
7
1
274
31
42
23
4
1
424
33
43
17
6
2
475
33
37
21
8
2
539
24
48
22
5
1
Region
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
Total
E.Ont
416
905
GTA
SW.Ont
N.Ont
1014
28
43
22
6
2
145
27
43
19
9
1
180
21
59
12
6
2
285
35
40
21
3
1
465
29
48
17
4
1
226
23
41
29
5
3
178
30
24
32
13
1
%
Sample
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
1014
Progressive
Conservative
365
28
43
22
6
2
Total
418
New
Democratic
153
80
5
9
4
1
92
3
1
0
Liberal
49
Other
parties
19
7
88
2
0
0
1
85
12
3
22
47
28
Green
12
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
MonteMcNaughton
voteforiftheProgressiveConservativeleaderwereMonteMcNaughton?+
Eventhoughyoumaynothavemadeupyourmind,whichpartywouldyou
beleaningtowardsatthistimeifMonteMcNaughtonwereProgressive
Conservativeleader?
[Decided/Leaning]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Total
1834
3544
4554
5564
65+
Male
Female
1021
28
43
23
4
2
48
24
40
31
2
3
83
25
46
24
4
1
192
28
44
21
6
2
276
31
44
21
3
1
422
33
42
17
6
1
476
32
38
22
6
2
545
26
47
23
3
1
Region
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
Total
E.Ont
416
905
GTA
SW.Ont
N.Ont
1021
28
43
23
4
2
143
27
49
18
3
3
471
29
47
20
3
1
184
17
59
19
4
1
287
37
38
21
2
1
231
29
38
25
5
3
176
28
28
33
9
1
%
Sample
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
1021
Progressive
Conservative
369
28
43
23
4
2
Total
420
New
Democratic
152
79
8
9
3
2
94
2
1
0
Liberal
48
Other
parties
20
14
14
5
92
0
0
5
27
52
3
3
19
20
43
Green
13
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
OliviaChow
voteforiftheNDPleaderwereOliviaChow?+Eventhoughyoumaynot
havemadeupyourmind,whichpartywouldyoubeleaningtowardsatthis
timeifOliviaChowwereNDPleader?
[Decided/Leaning]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Total
1834
3544
4554
5564
65+
Male
Female
1057
29
33
28
5
5
48
20
30
33
5
12
84
24
37
33
6
1
201
36
30
26
5
3
285
36
35
23
4
2
439
38
35
18
6
3
502
36
28
24
6
5
555
23
37
31
4
5
Region
%
Sample
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
Total
E.Ont
416
905
GTA
SW.Ont
N.Ont
1057
29
33
28
5
5
154
35
38
20
3
4
188
18
36
33
5
9
295
41
34
19
4
2
483
31
35
25
4
5
239
25
35
29
4
6
181
24
17
43
12
3
%
Sample
Progressive
Conservative
Liberal
NewDemocratic
Green
AnotherParty
1057
Progressive
Conservative
400
29
33
28
5
5
Total
421
New
Democratic
149
81
4
10
4
1
75
22
1
1
Liberal
51
Other
parties
21
5
81
9
0
2
28
34
33
0
5
1
86
Green
14
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
ExpectedProgressiveConservativeLeader
WhichcandidatedoyouexpecttobechosenProgressiveConservative
leaderinMay2015?
[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
ChristineElliot
LisaMacLeod
PatrickBrown
VicFedeli
MonteMcNaughton
DougFord
Don'tknow
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Total
1834
3544
4554
5564
65+
Male
Female
1104
26
7
5
5
5
18
35
49
19
4
7
8
8
23
32
88
32
8
3
3
1
17
36
209
25
7
4
5
4
21
34
297
27
10
3
3
4
14
39
461
31
8
4
4
4
14
35
517
23
7
7
6
4
22
32
587
29
7
3
3
5
15
38
Region
%
Sample
ChristineElliot
LisaMacLeod
PatrickBrown
VicFedeli
MonteMcNaughton
DougFord
Don'tknow
Total
E.Ont
416
905
GTA
SW.Ont
N.Ont
1104
26
7
5
5
5
18
35
158
25
16
3
5
0
16
33
196
28
2
1
1
10
29
30
309
38
6
2
3
2
12
37
505
33
4
2
2
5
19
34
249
14
5
11
4
9
15
42
192
17
10
7
16
1
21
29
%
Sample
ChristineElliot
LisaMacLeod
PatrickBrown
VicFedeli
Monte
McNaughton
DougFord
Don'tknow
15
1104
26
7
5
5
Progressive
Conservative
418
34
6
3
4
5
18
35
Total
426
32
6
3
3
New
Democratic
156
5
13
9
4
24
26
14
39
Liberal
51
7
6
5
15
Other
parties
21
13
0
0
26
30
15
47
14
24
51
10
Green
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
ApprovalofKathleenWynneasPremier
DoyouapproveordisapproveofthejobKathleenWynneisdoingas
premier?
[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Total
1834
3544
4554
5564
65+
Male
Female
1104
46
42
12
49
42
48
10
88
52
37
11
209
43
42
15
297
49
40
12
461
49
41
10
517
41
48
11
587
51
37
12
Region
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
Total
E.Ont
416
905
GTA
SW.Ont
N.Ont
1104
46
42
12
158
42
44
14
196
62
31
7
309
45
48
7
505
53
41
7
249
44
35
21
192
30
58
13
Income
Total
<$20K
$20$40K
$40$60K
$60$80K
$80$100K
$100$250K
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
1104
46
42
12
101
45
32
23
200
30
52
18
174
48
46
6
114
55
31
14
122
40
51
9
208
59
38
3
Total
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't
know
1104
46
42
Progressive
Conservative
418
13
79
12
16
426
80
8
New
Democratic
156
45
42
12
13
Liberal
51
22
62
Other
parties
21
27
63
16
10
Green
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
ApprovalofJimWilson
DoyouapproveordisapproveofthejobJimWilsonisdoingasinterim
leaderoftheOpposition?
[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Total
1834
3544
4554
5564
65+
Male
Female
1104
23
25
52
49
19
31
50
88
27
26
47
209
24
26
50
297
25
21
54
461
24
15
61
517
23
27
49
587
23
22
55
Region
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
Total
E.Ont
416
905
GTA
SW.Ont
N.Ont
1104
23
25
52
158
23
19
59
196
18
26
57
309
26
25
49
505
22
25
52
249
28
17
55
192
20
41
39
Income
Total
<$20K
$20$40K
$40$60K
$60$80K
$80$100K
$100$250K
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
1104
23
25
52
101
22
18
60
200
16
30
54
174
25
21
55
114
25
23
52
122
27
26
47
208
27
28
45
Total
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't
know
1104
23
25
Progressive
Conservative
418
32
21
52
47
426
22
19
New
Democratic
156
16
35
59
50
Liberal
51
6
59
Other
parties
21
27
31
35
42
Green
17
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
ApprovalofAndreaHorwath
DoyouapproveordisapproveofthejobAndreaHorwathisdoingasLeader
oftheNDP?
[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Total
1834
3544
4554
5564
65+
Male
Female
1104
31
44
26
49
23
54
24
88
36
40
23
209
37
34
30
297
33
42
24
461
28
44
29
517
32
46
22
587
30
41
29
Region
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
Total
E.Ont
416
905
GTA
SW.Ont
N.Ont
1104
31
44
26
158
33
35
32
196
26
57
17
309
33
38
28
505
30
46
23
249
33
40
27
192
25
50
25
Income
Total
<$20K
$20$40K
$40$60K
$60$80K
$80$100K
$100$250K
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
1104
31
44
26
101
31
29
40
200
21
39
41
174
40
39
21
114
40
43
17
122
29
62
9
208
30
50
21
Total
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't
know
1104
31
44
Progressive
Conservative
418
24
47
26
29
18
426
27
47
New
Democratic
156
58
21
26
21
Liberal
51
15
74
Other
parties
21
37
49
11
13
Green
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
Formoreinformation:
LorneBozinoff,Ph.D.
President
ForumResearchInc.
Tel:(416)9609603
Fax:(416)9609602
Email:lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
19
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
TORONTO
November 1st, 2014
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

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