Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
REFERENCE
LIBRARY
A project of Volunteers
sow to Perform
by:
G. Stuart
in Asia
Aaricultural
Expeximzxk
Pettygrove
Published
by:
Volunteers
in Technical
Assisknce
1815 North Lynn St. Suite
200
P.O. Box 12438
Arlington,
VA 22209 USA
Paper
copies
are
$ 2.95.
Available
from:
Volunteers
in Technical
Assistance
1815 North Lynn St. Suite 200
P.O. Box 12438
Arlington,
VA 22209 USA
Reproduced by permission
Technical
Assistance.
of Volunteers
Reproduction
of this microfiche
document
form is subject
to the same restrictions
of the original
document.
in
in any
as those
Vohmteersfor laternationalTechnicalAssfstmce
HOWTOPERFORMAN AGRICUL!lTJRAL
EXPERIMENT
CL Stuart
Pettygrove
bY
G. Stuart
July
Pettygrove
1971
Volunteers
In Technical Assistance,
37r)6 Rhode Island Avenue
Mt. Painfer,
MD 2r)822 U.S.A.
Inc.
FOREWORD
Local
called
technicians
upon to test
national
level.
extension
Improved varieties,
before
being
by researchers
at the
new fertilizer
practices,
innovations
procedures
by
methods.
Often,
sonnel,
level
are increasingly
measures developed
countries
pesticides,
are just
tested
innovative
or regional
irrigation,
in developing
local
research
but by extension
community development
distributors,
an understanding
agents,
agents,
and large
The purpose
out,
teachers
foreign
not by trained
and training
technicians,
research
center
per-
workers,
fertilizer
and seed
farmers.
of this
paper is to provide
of the basic
is carried
are available
considerations
of an agricultural
analysis,
for
this
and it
purpose.
local
agriculturalists
in the design,
experiment.
is assumed that
with
execution,
This
paper
trained
CONTENTS
FOREWORD..........................
iii
SOMEBASIC CONCEPTS
The Need for
Experiment
Local
versus
Research
..........
Demonstration
........
.......
Some Basic Concepts in Statistics
..........
A. The normal distribution
............
B. The null hypothesis
........
difference"
c. The "significant
III.
SECTION II.
I.
II.
III.
IV.
APPENDIX:
Research
..............
;"4
16
17
. .
22
23
BIBLIOGRAPHY .......................
ii
..
LIST OF FIGURES
I.
II.
III.
IV.
V.
VI.
VII.
VIIX.
NormalCurve................
Normal Curves with
Completely
and without
Randomized Design
Fertilizer.
. . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . .
. . . . .
. .
. . . . . . . . . . . . .
10
Shape . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
13
Design
Square Design
..-
-.-
IX-A.
. . . . . . . . . .
15
IX-B.
16
IX-C.
16
Anqle . . . . . . . . . I
iii
SECTION I
SOME BASIC CONCEPTS
I.
Many countries
(1) it
that
of operation,
countries,
regional
research
schools,
have carried
responsibility
practices
so that
tion
untrained
to bring
community.
has
In many
at the national
are being
and
success-
level
on
at
is the following:
affect
enterprise
in our area,
to adopt a beneficial
extension
in testing
farmers
Local
because
those who
personnel
and evaluating
If great
expert
so, to
because it
practice
such mistakes.
and, if
practice
local
many benefits
(3) it
of flux.
practices
experimenters
to become skilled
personnel
state
tested
practice
or if
tested,
out experiments
a great
cised,
local
fail
locally,
to the market;
but before
segment of agricultural
If farmers
and on farms.
problem facing
what extent?"
(2) it
and innovative
particular
"agricultural
for agriculture:
been established
stations,
The basic
"Will
facilities.have
at these facilities,
farm production,
things
is in a continuous
New varieties
level.
tested
is not simply
but it
research
means three
it
is,
what is called
more complex;
to home consumption
become dynamic,
fu!ly
this
oriented
level
Basically,
development".
Research
have
new
II.
Experiment
versus Demonstration
What is an experiment?
An experiment
an unbiased
results
is a test
No assumptions
manner.
we still
must accept
In an experiment,
are arranged
in test
An observation
but is a device
that
carried
are replicated,
or units
in a procedure
out in
the outcome;
the results
perform
treatments
plots
trial
If we suspect
typical,
again.
if
are not
the experiment
or repeated,
and they
of randomization.
the
a practice
conclusions,
is worth
testing.
A result
trial
practice
is still
unproven.
or demonstration
of a single
mind
What is a demonstration?
A demonstration
an experiment.
It is not conducted
an experiment,
and therefore
it
The statistical
for
the expected
results,
it
is ignored,
perhaps
If it
plowed
of results
hypothesis,
to the specifications
III.
concepts
according
been proven in
briefly
the statistician's
described
of some basic
analysis
concepts
difference.
if we want to be
of our experiment.
paper,
The three
the null
3
A.
plots
will
giving
the yields
will
yield
close to a middle
median to either
successively
of plots
a higher
a particular
yield,
figure,
is plotted
the familiar
recorded
for
or lower yield
If the yield
fewer plots.
conditions
and as we mcve
figure,
we will
against
the number
bell-shaped
narmal curve
is obtained.
no. of plots
FIGURE I.
NORMALCURVE
of a fertilizer
for
there
plots,
will
still
with
the
be a wide range of
curve will
have
FIGURE II.
Note that
with
treatment,
conditions
and without
the fertilized
overlap
will
yield
in the crosshatched
the same.
it
area;
If only
is possible
that
a small
just
some plots
number of
by chance
4
alone the plots
selected
determine
of proper
whether
or whether
begins
had no effect,
Next,
shifted
us to
the observed
the observed
any effect
quality
processes
effect
of the treatment
will
to be due to chance,
the null
was significant
the null
the validity
hypothesis,
was probably
which
indicates
and probably
hypothesis
and conclude
not
that
due to chance.
by an asterisk
These all
indicate
a double asterisk
of the treatment
difference"
indicates
due to
If we flip
of the treatment
The "significant
hypothesis.
the
of the coin.
He may reject
effect
in fact,
hypothesis.
due to chance,
by assuming that,
the statistician
of the null
this
is to allow
This brings
his analysis
and that
This assumption
chance.
had really
there
We
hypothesis
treatments
that
design
have actually
we observe
The statistician
that
experimental
the treatments
the effect
chance.
the fertilizer
area.
the yield.
The purpose
The null
in the hatched
(**)
that
that
(*)
or by the phrase
the statistician
the observed
is only a 1% probability
"significant
has determined
difference
significant",
there
of many experiments.
also
was due to
indicated
by
at the 1% level",
that
the observed
effect
5
This discussion
indicates
carefully
designed
treatment
has a significant
repeating
experiments.
that
and executed,
a single
experiment,
cannot conclusively
This points
effect.
no matter
"prove"
that
to one reason
how
a
for
SECTION iI
HOWTO PERFORMAN AGRICULTURAL EXPERIMENT
Preliminary
I.
A thorough
job at this
of the available
save a great
laid
The preliminary
(1)
should
tion
research
and irrigation
a search
persons,
should
on the life
Economic factors
crop?
Has this
clear,
experiments,
cycle
treatments
in the final
informa-
be obtained.
especially
affect
been performed
already?
The preliminary
soil
if
a new crop
experiment
similar
points:
experiments,
be studied,
Will
has been
Also in
the local
should
experiment
a similar
be made.
will
not be afraid
be studied.
this
should
is being introduced.
included
of experienced
The experimenter
later.
study
fertilizer
(3)
including
A careful
(2)
and interviews
deal of trouble
help
out.
literature
to ask for
Research
experiments
research
report.
been carried
should
out.
so that
likely,
experiment?
out in other
be recorded,
Quite
Have
districts?
it
may be
6
II.
In any experiment,
control
there
variation
soil
variability,
in moisture
(when experiments
marily
proper
competition
within
of harvested
plants,
by careful
variability,
variations
and shape
can be reduced,
of treatments,
selection
which
climate
but it
and randomization
beyond the
pri-
by the correct
of the location,
and by the
of plots.
Replication
Replication
is the repetition
Replication
trial
In field
one plot
several
experiments , a single
is accomplished
times
replicate
in a rather
by repeating
to obtain
blocks.
generally
compact
. -.
A non-replicated
is not an experiment.
desired
for field
plots.
than annual
used.
heterogeneity.
is not enough.
often
of a treatment
of each treatment
8.
plant
cannot be eliminated,
of treatments,
design
by factors
by the replication
selection
introduced
heterogeneity,
plant
content
This error
of plots.
the Experiment
is error
of the experimenter:
is due to genetic
A.
Designing
The smaller
results
of Agronomy suggests
number will
suffice
plots,
two replicati
ons
3-6 replicati
ons
where average
are desired.
Generally,
rather
4-6 replications
are
Randomization
Randomization
a random fashion
randomization
assigned
simply
means that
or are randomized
is the elimination
treatments
to plots
treatments
within
are assigned
a block.
to plots
The reason
in either
a haphazard
or a regular
.
in
for
if we
fashion.
7
The randomization
be accomplished
a specially
appendix
prepared
of this
trials
slips
of randomized
quite
determined
plants.
Treatments
from a deck,
and may
or by using
design.
design
consists
on animals,
with
of random numbers,
types
randomized
to a previously
cards
objective
paper.
This design
treatments
table
are four
The completely
should be completely
a co-in, drawing
by flipping
Following
1.
procedl:re
simply
It
number of plots.
but it
Its
of the assignment
may be assigned
is useful
main advantage
to plots
is its
by drawing
or by using
of treatments
for
some types
design
simplicity
for
field
and flexibility.
drawing
of random numbers in
the appendix.
A, B, and C represent
Example:
tested
Plot
on wheat.
no..
Treatment
FIGURE III.
2.
The randomized
In this
and the blocks
possible,
with
levels
4 reps X 3 treatments
910
P.
Ill
12
of nitrogen
= 12 plots.
Row direction
B
block
treatments
are replicated.
are assigned
The blocks
the objectives
different
COMPLETELYRANDOMIZEDDESIGN
complete
design,
three
of the trial.
at random within
should
of
a block,
be kept as compact as
consistent
Example:
fertilizer
each treatment
6 treatments
Block
from it
block
and its
design
is the
hiqh suitability
for
V.).
complete
treatments
occurs
X 5 replications
on sugar beets.
I
II
Row direction
III
IV
V
RANDOMIZEDCOMPLETE
FIGURE IV.
. --
-.-
FIGURE V. RANDOMIZEDCOMPLETEBLOCK
SUITABLE FOR DEMONSTRATION
The Latin
square design
In this
design,
treatments
are randomized
in both directions.
in two directions
complete
the randomized
complete
always
in a Latin
block,
but it
while
square design.
It
is more precise
treatments.
i
-_
Columns
514
Rows
Step 1.
HOWTO RANDOMIZE
THELATIN SQUAREDESIGN
FIGURE VI.
Step 3.
Step 2.
are assigned
the order
to the plots
one place
that
in regular
alphabetical
square,
treatments
simply
square,
we
by randomizing
the
in the right-hand
order,
In the middle
numbered from 1 to 5,
we have now
is completed.
Note
column.
4. The splft-plot
desiqn
This design
is used to test
most precise
design
operations.
For example,
conveniently
applied
If different
dates of harvest
easier
to harvest
a few feet
for
this
some field
to relatively
in strips
this
design.
The basic
strips
through
through
designs
person should
design
involves
rows for
which
being
tested,
area rather
another
be contacted
for
are more
the experimental
small
vary in precision.
assigning
physical
such as irrigation,
the experimental
across
is not the
used to facilitate
an experienced
treatments,
large
It
in combination.
hJo factors
advice
one factor
it
area.
may be
than harvest
harvest
area.
If at all
before
one uses
to main plots
10
which are arranged
in randomized
those treatments
The treatments
precision.
random to sub-plots
within
Planting
Example:
complete
blocks
square.
to
are assigned
at
3 planting
or in a Latin
dates
(sub-plots)
treatments
(main plots)
X 3 replications
ClAiCl
on tomatoes.
X 4 fertilizer
treatments
= 36 plots
Block
Block
II
Block III
FIGURE VII.
C.
Selection
of treatments
Many factors
an experiment
spraying
which influence
as contrasting
and dusting
preparation,
mixtures,
vs. furrow
vs. cultivation,
In selecting
which differ
fertilizer
by equal
per acre.
intervals,
the farmer's
practices.
treatments,
surface
by herbicides
nitrogen
SPLIT-PLOT DESIGN
fall
can be applied
Rate of seeding,
vs. spring
application
fertilizer
profit
plowing,
of irrigation
treatments,
date of planting,
method of seed-bed
water,
pasture
rates,
it
is desirable
weed control
grass-legume
in
ones.
to use rates
would be inadequate
11
would be well
including
range,
untreated
two or three
control
understood
plot
that
a control
In a factorial
in a fertilizer
which represents
experiment,
3 levels
try
many factors
Selecting
the effect
is a highly
to grow
will
the local
be enhanced
practice.
simple
is
of 4 levels
is
of nitrogen
critical
in the area,
as possible
consideration
many different
misconception.
combinations.
to study
too
believed
soil
The soil
but within
with
in selecting
that
"the
a location
is soil
experimental
field
types to be representative."
should
be representative
the experimental
respect
of an experiment.
to topography,
This
of that
should
is a
generally
hetero-
the subsoil,
found
be as uniform
and previous
management.
The causes of soil
(I)
and
'
It was formerly
geneity.
of fertilizer
An
at once.
the location
This
the entire
where it
of phosphorus.
You should
plot
studied.
contain
plot
test
is not necessary
the demonstration
if we designate
D.
levels
However,
well.
We should
in excess of optimum.
heterogeneity
hillsides
topography:
down of nutrients;
the subsoil
(2)
moisture
(3)
variability
(4)
wide variation
will
content
will
result
in gullies
in the texture
variation.
from foot
in the penetration
in available
and washing
to foot.
of irrigation
soil
nutrients.
water.
of
12
(5)
competition
(6)
and shading
from trees
inc :Iuding
and hedgerows.
previous
appl ications
and previous
varietal
of organic
and cultural
matter,
fertilizer,
land with
of draws,
(2)
lowlands,
Where previous
as uniformly
(4)
Select
(5)
All
iize
1.
Plot
size
information
This will
before
field
soil
experimenting.
a small
grain--grown
to "smooth out"
others
plots.
from trees,
be recorded
assist
experiment
to take into
multiple
sugar beets,
necessary
trials"
affect
of land.
hedgerows,
and present
and included
and roads.
condi-
in the final
in interpreting
the results.
and shape
stations
is a matter
or schools
where land
of convenience;
is limited,
but there
are con-
account.
plot
short
20-30 yards
pieces
angle to previous
cone erning
often
irregularly-shaped
at a right
land at least
In most local
siderations
Plot
slope.
crop--preferably
as possible
variations.
report.
uniform
is a single
(3)
E.
and other
trials
A blank trial
tion
(l-2%),
uniformity,
soil
a slight
heterogeneity?
sizes:
(a) nursery
farm machinery.
long,
small
Commonly, larger
than for
or strains
plots,
plots,
plots
grains.
adapted
Small plots
may be
13
of seed of a new variety
be agreement
among researchers
an increase
decrease
in plot
in error
border
2.
Plot
size will
is less
in harvest
effects
up to about
l/40
or errors
in measurement,
but that
acre
There seems to
above that
by an increase
size,
the
in the number
and
are greater.
shape
Plot
shape generally
long narrow
soil
plots
variation
with
makes no difference,
the long dimension
overcome soil
render
should
plot
not important
sizes
by E. L. Leclerg,
considerations
wide to allow
shape.
removal of border
Second, field
strips
plots
or to
should
be
crops
(from
Field
Plot Technique
J
l-4
First,
farm lnachinery.
Soybeans:
for
in plot
et al)
Small grain:
Corn:
PLOT SHAPE
practical
of the greatest
be sufficiently
borders
in the direction
relatively
FIGURE VIII.
plots
that
sandy
subsoil-
Wrong
except
heterogeneity.
3.
that
Small plots
of replications.
(b) losses
is limited,
(center
rows harvested)
2 rows X 10 hills
apart)
X I6 feet
14
Sorghum:
Alfalfa:
7 feet
X 60 feet
(center
(center
rows harvested
5 ft.
5-8 drilled
3-5 drilled
harvested
with
with
12-14" alley
with
18" alley
mower)
between border
and entire
rows
plot
harvested
4 rows (20-24"
Sugarbeets:
apart)
12" apart
4.
X 30-60 feet
(plants
thinned
to
in row)
is competition
especially
introduced.
small
reason,
In semi-arid
grain
yields
single
row plots
itself
may allow
inside
rows.
Fertilizer
competition
border
border
by plant
serious
areas"
is a serious
requires
l-2
feet
error
may be
competition,
for yield.
rows should
often
vari-
and for
this
are grown
Where alfalfa
factor.
still
rows are
If alleys
between
"guard
habits,
application
rows of different
to 14",
Therefore
affected
interplot
plots
in growth
or sub-humid
are greatly
field.
between adjacent
controlled
on the
and the
are
thrown out.
III.
A.
If the corners
plots
will
Execution
of the Experiment
angle
of the plots
cover a different
out at exactly
they do.
90 degrees,
The following
..
15
procedure
forms a perfect
Equi pmnt
right
that
a triangle
with
sides
in a 3:4:5
ratio
angle.
needed:
50 ft.
cloth
Stakes
String
Procedure:
(1)
with
total
should
Place a third
stake
40
FIGURE IX-A.
(3)
Have a co-worker
while
(4)
plot
width,
corner
exactly
40 ft.
from
stakes.
A'
ape*
You should
across
the approximate
with
a radius
is,
be as
posts.
following
that
This should
and strinq.
be two corner
30
T
stakes
radius
as in step
(3),
on the
arc
pass.
a 30 ft.
stake A
B; and
place
a stake
(C).
16
1A
FIGURE IX-B.
Tie a string
(5)
A'
FIGURE IX-C.
B.
Labeling
the process
at A'.
and mapping
Accurate
look it
pulls
the entire
before
is a simple
procedure;
experiment,
if,
the experiment
. --
but to over-
for example,
someone
is completed,
_-
and you
or tractor
to locate
labels
building
treatment
exactly,
received
Field
washed off
label
standpipes,
each separate
ments should
plot
drivers.
plots;
treatments
markers
and described;
are often
refer
to permanent
corners,
all
by
structures,
You should
etc.
even if
Also at this
obliterated
stakes,
stage,
be able
strings,
the planned
indicate
and
treatwhich
which treatment.
markers
should
be written
in the rain
or by irrigation
cardboard
are applied,
agree.
in grease
pencil,
water.
which will
used in orchards.
not be
At the time
the field
markers,
17
C.
Uniform
application
Failure
of mistake
to apply treatments
whicn greatly
care should
decreases
are applied
etc.,
exactly
Application
equipment
apply
would consist
without
Carefully
of a plot
through
application
you think
you are.
planted.
treatments,
For example,
plant
growth.
when fertilizer
is
The proper
rig
untreated
check
should
be compared with
weigh all
calibrate
seed treatments,
affect
Extreme
will
the material.
common type
between trials.
are being
add factors.
on a row crop,
and this
and uniformly
is applying
side-dressed
pesticides,
be cleaned
varieties
Do not inadvertently
the roots,
fertilizer,
should
is an extremely
as specified
worker
uniformly
materials
equipment
Fertilizer
is required
to allow
should
time for
and
on the amount
be mixed several
any chemical
reactions
weeks
to take
place.
Obtain
plants
a uniform
are missing,
not "fill
desired
in".
Small grains
will
tiller
One solution
is to plant
thick,
where adjacent
the existing
then thin
stand will
down to the
stand.
Uniform
yields
stand.
care of plots
and should
is important.
be removed early
Weeds greatly
in the trial.
influence
crop
18
Measuring
IV.
Considerable
and Recording
experimenters
fail
the results.
The experimenter
terms;
but fail
things
A.
correctly
the affected
attributes,
the results
to put all
time,
results
in numerical
in
terms,
or he may do all
in simple,
or
these
but complete
form.
measurements be taken?
Different
varieties
not be harvested
and harvest
maturity
to measure all
When should
improperly
yet many
the Results
all
mature at different
each variety
for
as it
times,
and therefore
The experimenter
matures.
He must record
should
days to
each variety.
The rate
at which results
seed germination,
the rate
are reached
is sometimes important.
of emergence as well
For
as the percentage
should
be recorded.
B.
What should
This
be measured?
is an extremely
important
considered
by inexperienced
may simply
harvest
factors
Even at a local
sophisticated
measured.
measuring
For example,
experimenters.
question
no consideration
experiment
station
there
fertilizer
treatments
but also
and shape,-and
susceptibility
must always
or a school,
equipment,
yield,
other
for
workers
to diseases.
where there
be kept in
that
is no
can be
may affect
the color,
not
the size
19
should be counted,
measured,
using
and if
facilities
are available,
moisture
all
sizes
percentage
and with
kernels
and horticultural
examples of measurable
when deciding
what to measure,
Put all
observations
ment in numerical
of quality
do not readily
after
keep in
we put everything
lend themselves
pesticide
in numerical
"moderate",
terms,
to measure-
treatments
we may
It may seem
But unless
we should always
terms
For example,
terms.
of oats
on the market.
in numerical
Many attributes
of
crops:
attributes
and "heavy".
a statistician
cannot
be set up.
from 0 to 10.
represents
scales
For example,
0 represents
a potato
or insect
to measure potato
a potato
entirely
damage, a convenient
completely
covered with
or 1-7--and
scab.
scab,
free
numerical
set a scale
of scab,
In general,
ranging
and 10
In some places,
photographs
scale
standard
representing
the following
may be made:
Try to design
distributed,
observed.
the scale
that
is,
so that
the middle
observations
are normally
each
20
(2)
There should
observer
(3)
A report
try
to avoid
seldom determine
report
sample format,
the following
Title
page:
the title
location
background
this
format.
the test
in a file
If there
is no
clearly
indicate
the nature
and
must include
this
out,
including
all
or basic
experiments
Results:
with
these should
the results
soil
and climatic
of the treatments
be in both tabular
of the statistical
pre-
of the problem.
pertinent
description
of literature
similar
and a definition
must include
and a careful
a review
and graphic
analysis.
con-
and how
with
acceptable:
page should
information,
carried
Procedure:
ditions
be a standard
and
must be included.
Introduction:
viously
as
some attention.
is to be placed
The experimenter's
of the experiment.
the ;-esults
as well
is generally
Single
If the report
may already
reason,
must receive
complex.
tested,
process.
but rather
For this
effect.
there
practices,
of our experiment
reports,
is a continuous
new farming
took place,
level,
have a cumulative
the written
concisely
(3)
in making observa-
person collect
It must be complete,
(2)
is involved
If this
of experiments
(1)
as an experienced
procedure
experiments
similar
judgment
observations.
Research,
others,
in the scale
can distinguish.
D.
be as many steps
form
21
(5)
Conclusion
experiments
(6)
Appendix:
calculations.
and recommendations:
called
this
for
by the results
may include
a plot
should
be mentioned.
22
APPENDIX:
TABLE OF RANDOMNUMBERS'
c
.
23
.
-.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
on Farms.
1951.
Let [erg,
Little,
Washington,
Plot
Methods for
of California
D. C.:
Technique.
Extension