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11/21/2014

IAPM
PGP17
Portf Manag Tools(Nov19)

DifficultieswithProtectivePuts
Notradedputsontheshareswewishtoinsure
Portf insuranceonamorecomplicatedbasketofassets
Putsareavailable,butnotwiththerequired

strike/expiry

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EnterBlackScholes formula
Black
BlackScholes
Scholes formulabesidesprovidingaformulafor

thepriceofanoption,alsotellsushowthatoptioncan
bereplicatedusingstocksandbonds.
Wewillusethispartoftheformulatoconstructa
portfolioinsurancestrategy

BlackScholes Putoptionpremiums
The price of a put (with strike K) in the BlackBlack

Scholes model is given by

P = [PV (K ) N (d2)] [S0 N (d1)],


where d1 and d2 are

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ThusbuyingaPutisequivalentto

investingPV(K)xN(d2)inariskfreeasset
plus
investingS0 N(d1) inthestock.
BSformulagivesthecompletereplicationportfoliofor

theoption

Useofthisinmanagingaportfolio
Ifyouwanttobuyaspecificportfolioofassetsandand

aninsurancepolicyguaranteeingthatyourtotal
investmentwillnotbeworthlessthanK,youcan
achievethisbyinvestingacertainproportioninthe
portfolioandtheremaininginriskfreeassets.

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Supposeyoudecidetoinvest$1000inNFYstock

(currentlysellingatRs.56)andinprotectiveputsof
thestockwithanexercisepriceofRs.50,foraoneyear
period.
The stock pays no dividends; you are hoping for a large capital

gain at the end of the year, but you want to guard against
NFY
NFYss prices declining

SupposethatthereisnotradedputonNFY,howdo

youimplementatradingstrategythatwillbeapprox
equivalenttotheprotectiveput?
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PRNG PseudoRandomNumber
Generators
WhatgoesbehindRAND()PRNG
P d
d
b
Pseudo-random
numbers
Whatistheseedofarandomnumber?
Considerthis:Midsquaremethod(oneoftheearliestPRNG)

Xo=0.9876
9753537
Xo^2=0.97535376
X1= 0.5353
X1^2=0.28654609
X2=0.6546

X0istheseedofthisRandomnumbergenerator.
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PortfolioPerformanceEvaluation(Nov20)

AdjustingReturnsforRisk
Thesimplestandmost

popularwaytoadjust
returnsforriskisto
comparetheportfolios
returnwiththereturns
onacomparison
universe(groupoffunds
orportfolioswithsimilar
riskcharacteristics)

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11/21/2014

IsQbetterthanP?
Should I transfer some of my funds from P to Q?
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WhichMeasureisAppropriate?
Itdependsoninvestmentassumptions
p
p
1) Iftheportfoliorepresentstheentireriskyinvestment,then
usetheSharpemeasure.
2)Iftheportfolioisoneofmanycombinedintoalarger
investmentfund,usetheJensenortheTreynor measure.
TheTreynor measureisappealingbecauseitweighsexcess
returnsagainstsystematicrisk.
i
i i k

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FurtherReading
ReadCh.18,pages644647foranicehistorical
ReadCh.18,pages644 647foranicehistorical

perspectiveofPortfolioInsurance
InvestmentsandRiskManagement:
Aaron Brown: Building the wings on your way down

ImplicationsofMultifactormodelstopractice
Cochrane: Portfolio advice for multifactor world
(http://info.freeman.tulane.edu/breese714/Investments%20Spr
ing%202006/Readings/cochrane2.pdf)

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