IOT Seminar - Yuichiro Tanioka

Lessons on seismic hazard in Sunda Trench
after the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami and

the 2011 great Tohoku-oki Tsunami
Yuichiro Tanioka, Haris Sunendar Hokkaido University,

Aditya R. Gusman (Tokyo University)
Ocean surface
deformation
Additional uplift near the trench

Gusman et al., 2012, Tanioka and Seno,
2001a)
From both faulting and

sediment uplift
From
faulting
From sediment
uplift
160 km
Simulated tsunami waveform
300 km
3
High peak
of 11 m
85 % of the
waveforms
From both faulting and

sediment uplift
15 % of the
waveforms
Along the
Japan Trench
Tanioka et al. (2012)
At other stations:
10 % - 25 %
Slip distribution of
the 2004 Indian Ocean
Earthquake
Very large slip near the Sunda Trench
Tanioka and Iwasaki (2006)

Hirata et al. (2006)
Coseismic Slip distirubution and afterslip distribution of

the 2005 Nias great earthquake
Hsu et al. (2006)
Comparison of the 1833 and 2007 earthquakes
1833
2010
Mentawai
2007
7
Mw 8.5
Natawidjaja et al., 2006
Gusman et al., 2010
Source area of the 1907

tsunami earthquake
Kanamori et al. (2010)
Tsunami Simulation
Introduction
Level
Distribution of tsunami heights and

location of main shock
(after Tsuji et al.,1995).
Dx
( second)
360.0
Dx
(meter)
11,118.0
120.0
3,706.0
40.0
1,235,3
13.3
411.8
4.4
137.2
34.3
Model Design
Tsunami
T
sunami propagation
propagation a
and
nd inundations
inundations m
model
odel using
using Geoclaw
Geoclaw
z
((R.
R. J.
J. LeVeque,
LeVeque, M
M.. J
J.. B
Berger,
erger, e
et.
t. a
al.,
l., <
<v
v4
4.62>)
.62>)
Malang-Jember
==>non-linear
==>non-linear
Tulungagung
==>finite v
ol um e
==>finite
volume
==>adaptive
==>adaptive mesh
mesh refinement
refinement
Banyuwangi
z
Tsunami
Tsu
una
nami source
Prigi
Gerangan
Ngliyep
Bambangan
Sendang Biru
Sempu
Sine
Tambakrejo
Geten
Ngapurger
Bali
Rambutsuiwi
Pakutatan
Bandialit
Pagraguan
RajekwesiPancer- GrajakanLampon G-LandTg. Purwa
Tanah Lot
Kuta
Source model from seismic data analysis

(Abercrombie ,2001)
Tulungagung
Malang
Banyuwangi
Slip distribution
Prigi
Gerangan
Surface deformation (m)
Tulungagung
Sine
Tambakrejo
Ngliyep
Tulungagung
Bambangan
Sendang Biru
Sempu
Geten
Ngapurger
Rambutsuiwi
Pakutatan
Bandialit
Pagraguan
Prigi
Gerangan
Tanah Lot
Kuta
Sine
Tambakrejo
Ngliyep
Tanah Lot
Kuta
Malang
Banyuwangi
Pagraguan
Geten
Ngapurger
Bali
Rambutsuiwi
Pakutatan
Bandialit
Bambangan
Sendang Biru
Sempu
Malang
Banyuwangi
Prigi
Gerangan
Ngliyep
Sine
Tambakrejo
Bali
Bambangan
Sendang Biru
Sempu
Geten
Ngapurger
Bali
Rambutsuiwi
Pakutatan
Bandialit
Pagraguan
Tanah Lot
Kuta
Source design from tsunami data analysis
Tanioka and Seno,

2001)
Tulungagung
Banyuwangi
Prigi
Gerangan
Ngliyep
Bambangan
Sendang Biru
Sempu
Sine
Tambakrejo
Additional Slip
Slip amount=3-20 m
Width =30 km
Length = 120 km
Malang
Geten
Ngapurger
Bali
Rambutsuiwi
Pakutatan
Bandialit
Pagraguan
Tanah Lot
Kuta
Sediment Uplift:
Width = 20 km
Height = 5 km
(Kopp, et. al ,2003)
Source model from tsunami data analysis
Tulungagung
Malang
Banyuwangi
Prigi
Gerangan
Ngliyep
Bambangan
Sendang Biru
Sempu
Sine
Tambakrejo
Geten
Ngapurger
Bali
Rambutsuiwi
Pakutatan
Bandialit
Pagraguan
Tulungagung
Malang
Tulungagung
Banyuwangi
Prigi
Gerangan
Sine
Tambakrejo
Ngliyep
Bambangan
Sendang Biru
Sempu
Geten
Ngapurger
Banyuwangi
Prigi
Gerangan
Pagraguan
Malang
Bali
Rambutsuiwi
Pakutatan
Bandialit
Tanah Lot
Kuta
Sine
Tambakrejo
Ngliyep
Tanah Lot
Kuta
Bambangan
Sendang Biru
Sempu
Geten
Ngapurger
Bali
Rambutsuiwi
Pakutatan
Bandialit
Pagraguan
Tanah Lot
Kuta
Tsunami Inundation
Rajekwesi
Pancer
Lampon
Malang
Tulungagung
Bali
Banyuwangi
Prigi
Gerangan
Sine
Tambakrejo
Bambangan
Ngliyep
Sendang Biru
Sempu
Geten
Ngapurger
Rambutsuiwi
Pakutatan
Bandialit
Pagraguan
Source model
Abercrombie
Tanah Lot
Kuta
Inundation result-Rajekwesi
Inundation result-Pancer
Source model
Abercrombie
Source model
Abercrombie+ 10 m additional
coastline/river
coastline/river
street
street
Swap/washed away
Swap/washed away
submerged
submerged
Tsunami height (m)
Inundation result-Lampon
Source model
Abercrombie+additional
Source model
Abercrombie
Source model
Abercrombie+additional
Source model of the 1994 East Java Tsunami Earthquake
Tanioka and Seno,

2001)
coastline/river
street
Swap/washed away
submerged
Tsunami height (m)
Tsunami height (m)
Additional Slip
Slip amount=10 m
Width =30 km
Length = 120 km
Estimated seismic moment is

3.6x1020Nm (modulus of rigidity
assumed to be 1.5x1010 N/m).
Mw 7.8

IOT Seminar - Yuichiro Tanioka

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IOT Seminar - Yuichiro Tanioka

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Lessons on seismic hazard in Sunda Trench

after the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami and

Yuichiro Tanioka, Haris Sunendar Hokkaido University,

Additional uplift near the trench

From both faulting and

From both faulting and

Tanioka et al. (2012)

Very large slip near the Sunda Trench

Tanioka and Iwasaki (2006)

Coseismic Slip distirubution and afterslip distribution of

Hsu et al. (2006)

Comparison of the 1833 and 2007 earthquakes

Natawidjaja et al., 2006

Gusman et al., 2010

Source area of the 1907

Distribution of tsunami heights and

Source model from seismic data analysis

Surface deformation (m)

RajekwesiPancer- GrajakanLampon G-LandTg. Purwa

Source design from tsunami data analysis

Tanioka and Seno,

Source model from tsunami data analysis

Tsunami height (m)

Source model of the 1994 East Java Tsunami Earthquake

Tanioka and Seno,

Tsunami height (m)

Estimated seismic moment is

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