Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
2013
18
YE
AR
DO
Post-Soviet
Communist
Recovery
OU
RB
EDITION
ECONOMICS
ING
EST
, SO
YO
U
CA
N
ECONOMICS
POWER GUIDE
EDITOR
Christina Minich
the World
Scholars Cup
ALPACA-IN-CHIEF
Daniel Berdichevsky
DO
YO
U
RS
ECONOMICS
POWER GUIDE
AUTHORS WELCOME...................................................................................................................................... 1
CURRICULUM OVERVIEW ............................................................................................................................... 2
FUNDAMENTAL ECONOMIC CONCEPTS......................................................................................................... 3
MICROECONOMICS ........................................................................................................................................ 14
MACROECONOMICS ....................................................................................................................................... 56
COMMUNIST ECONOMIC SYSTEMS .............................................................................................................. 98
REFORM UNDER MIKHAIL GORBACHEV...................................................................................................... 103
REFORM UNDER BORIS YELTSIN.................................................................................................................. 109
VLADIMIR PUTIN & DMITRI MEDVEDEV ..................................................................................................... 115
SECTION I - III SUMMARIES .......................................................................................................................... 119
SECTION IV SUMMARY ................................................................................................................................ 123
PRACTICE TEST ANALYSIS ........................................................................................................................... 150
ABOUT THE AUTHOR ................................................................................................................................... 152
BY
EDITED BY
CATHERINE TRAN
ROBB DOOLING
2012 DEMIDEC
DemiDec, The World Scholars Cup, Power Guide, and Cram Kit are registered trademarks of the DemiDec Corporation.
Academic Decathlon and USAD are registered trademarks of the United States Academic Decathlon Association.
.
AUTHORS WELCOME
You hold the Economics Power Guide in your hands. This may look like a pile of paper with some
words and numbers on it, but this pile of paper came into your hands through hundreds of
individual decisions. Every step of the way, someone performed a cost-benefit analysis and with
stars in their eyes said this is worth it. And you, my starry-eyed friend, will too. I promise you. So
love it. Cherish it.
My name is Catherine Tran, but you can call me Cat. I joined the Academic Decathlon at Seven
Lakes High School in search of a challenge, and I found a surplus of challenge in the Economics
event.
Mastering Economics requires the ability to harmonize concepts and facts. If you study right,
everything should click together and just make sense. The Power Guide helps you achieve this goal
by organizing all these concepts and facts in a logical way.
Critical words, names, numbers, and other testable terms are bolded throughout the guide. You
can find definitions for these terms in the Power Lists at the end of the guide, broken up into
understandable and manageable sub-lists. In addition, Power Tables synthesize related information
for efficient studying sans 1 page flipping. Here, I will integrate all bolded Russian reforms into a
table and all bolded events and years into a timeline.
See that little number one in the previous paragraph? Prepare to see many more of these floating,
little numbers. This guide includes three kinds of footnotes. First, enrichment footnotes (such as
the first footnote) provide information that will not be tested but help increase your understanding
of the material. Second, Demi footnotes include my signed comments on the material. They serve
as presumed comic relief and desperate pleas for attention 2. You will also see some signed
comments from last years authors and past and present beta testers. Last, I use unsigned
miscellaneous footnotes for instructional comments about the curriculum and guide.
A high score in economics demands commitment. Fortunately, this guide will supply you with a
lot to commit yourself to learning. To minimize the costs and maximize the benefits of your study
time, I suggest you first read through the entire guide once. Then focus on really understanding
the models. Being able to sketch out and manipulate models is the most powerful tool to use on
economics tests. Quizzing yourself on the terms in the Power Lists will also help.
The investment you put into internalizing this guide will bring you great rewards in the future.
You are entering a planned economy in which your target output is a 1000 on economics.
1
2
CURRICULUM OVERVIEW
Section I: Fundamentals of Economics = 10% (5 questions)
Section I discusses the study of economics as a whole. This section covers basic
assumptions about human behavior. These core ideas form the basis for the study of both
microeconomics and macroeconomics.
Section II: Microeconomics = 40% (20 questions)
Section II narrows in on microeconomics, which focuses on the behavior of individual
markets. This section covers different types of competition, supply and demand, absolute
and comparative advantage, market failure, roles of government, and classification of
goods.
Section III: Macroeconomics = 30% (15 questions)
Section III moves to macroeconomics, which explains how to analyze a national economy.
This section covers measurement of GDP, inflation, unemployment, financial markets,
short-run fluctuations, and government policy.
Section IV: Economics of Communist and Post-Communist Russia = 20% (10 questions)
Section IV focuses on the economics of this years theme, Russia. This section covers the
economics of Russia before and after the fall of the Soviet Union as well as its recent (and
controversial) transition from a planned to market-based economy. It outlines the effects of
its economic reforms under various leaders.
If you have the time, focus on concepts, because these take the longest to learn. Once you
understand what demand really is, its not as hard to grasp what can impact it.
If you run short on time, look for the areas of greatest marginal benefit to you as a Decathlete.
Focus on the Power Lists and Power Tablesor consult the Cram Kit. Read through the section
summaries at the end of this guide and spot-check concepts that give you trouble. Good luck!
Section IV - Russia
20%
Section I Fundamentals
10%
Section II Microeconomics
40%
POWER NOTES
10% of the exam (5 questions) will be from this section, but
the concepts in this section can appear in questions on
other sections.
5 questions from the USAD practice test are on topics from
this section.
This section loosely covers pgs. 5 8 of the USAD
Economics Resource Guide, including the Introduction.
Introduction3
Why Economics?
USAD is not supposed to test on anything covered just in the Introduction. This has not stopped them from doing so in the past. I
recommend reading the Intro once or twice, but not to fret about it a great deal.
4
This is just the sort of obscure detail USAD would test on, even though the number is likely outdated by now.
3
Farmer
grew wheat
Milling
company
bought the
wheat and
ground it
into flour
Bakery
bought the
flour to
make a loaf
Loaf
delivered in
a timely
manner to a
store
Someone
bought the
loaf of bread
At each step along the way, each person made decisions for his or her own self interest
This example is only one supermarket out of thousands across the country
Supermarkets are only one of the millions of businesses in our economy
Economics explains why our economy functions and why it does not
To get one thing we want, we must give up something else, since we have limited wealth
Individuals maximize utility within their budget constraints
A free lunch would lead to a benefit without a trade-off
This benefit would quickly be used to the point of scarcity
9
There can only be so many free lunches in the world
The ability to identify policies that offer free lunches is a necessity for all economists 10
We all make trade-offs every day, even if we do not realize it
11
Instead of reading this Power Guide, you could be sleeping
If you decide to play video games for an hour, that is one less hour to watch Digimon
If you choose to spend $50 on Portal 2, then you have $50 less to save for college
Opportunity cost
The opportunity cost of something is what you give up to get something else 12
More formally, opportunity cost is the lost benefit of the next best alternative to a choice
The opportunity cost of reading this Power Guide is spending the same amount of time
(and effort) on the next best alternative activity
That other activity may pay you $50, which will enter into the opportunity cost of
reading this Power Guide
Opportunity cost is not just monetary
The other activity may only give you utility, but that benefit enters into opportunity
cost as well
If a friend gives you a ticket to a soccer game, then the ticket is free
The opportunity cost of going to the game is the value of what you would have
been doing during that time had you not gone to the soccer game
Note that the costs of an alternative do not enter opportunity cost, just its benefits
Applying opportunity cost can be tricky
Suppose you go to college
The cost of attending college includes tuition, books, room, and board
This sum excludes the cost of time
By choosing to attend college and study, you give up time spent working
If you did not go to college, however, you still need somewhere to live and things to eat
Room and board therefore are not really part of the cost of college
Factoring them into the monetary cost of college can overstate its true expense
Human rationality
Economists assume human beings maximize their utility given limited resources and options
13,14
In other words, human beings are rational
People compare the benefits of each action with the opportunity costs of the action, and
pick the action with the greatest perceived benefit
Each person derives different amounts of benefit from certain actions
Rationality is facilitated by cost-benefit analysis
Going along with how Zurich is really, really, really, really, really expensive: very morning, I make myself an extra sandwich or two
or three at my hostels free buffet breakfast. See, there really is such thing as a free lunch. Sophy
10
Alternatively: The ability to identify places that offer free lunches is a necessity for all economics degree candidates. Sophy
11
I think Jessica knew Id be beta testing this guide at 3 A.M. Tad
12
There is a very subtle distinction between trade-offs and opportunity cost. Trade-offs are the choices made. Opportunity cost is the
benefit you forgo to do something else.
13
Whether humans are actually rational is a thriving area of economic research.
14
An excellent book to read is The Social Animal by David Brooks. If you still believe humans are rational by the end of that book,
you and I need to have a chat. Sophy
9
This process entails making a list of the pros and cons of a decision and weighing them
Benefits come in the form of utility for consumers or profits for producers
Rational agents have to consider the full economic cost of a decision
Cost-benefit analysis is often intuitive and approximate
Most people are not born with the ability to calculate costs and benefits without fail
By studying economics, we can become better decision makers
Gains from trade
Individuals differ in their interests, abilities, and resources
Therefore, we excel at and get more pleasure from differing activities
By specializing and then trading with someone else, both parties are better off
As long as an exchange is voluntary, everyone involved benefitsotherwise, why make it?
This section was originally named International Trade and buried deep in microeconomics, after the material on taxes. I relocated
it here because the concept of comparative advantage ties in very closely with gains from trade.
16
Our team had a board where we would jot down some notes while studying. When we got to this subject, we drew a visual of
Robinson and Crusoe. It was veryinteresting. Robinson was a scrawny guy, and he was so happy with his fish and coconuts.
Crusoe was an extremely scary, muscular girl with a serious face and a spear. Amanda
17
It makes me feel better to imagine this island on a disk-shaped world, on the back of four elephants, on the back of a turtle flying
through space. I havent been reading the Discworld novels while writing this power guide, not at all
15
However, since the two are extremely gifted and artistic, they can both produce mangosteens
and durians
Will the two benefit from trade?
The Production Possibility Frontier
A production possibilities frontier (PPF) summarizes an economys production options
Because there are a finite number of hours in a day and a finite amount of exertion, Ivan
and Olga must choose between producing mangsoteens and durians
Ivan may make a table of his possible production combinations for a day
Mangosteens Durians
24
21
18
15
12
36
32
28
24
12
20
16
16
20
12
24
28
32
36
Olga produces both more mangsoteens and durians than Ivan at any given point
Moving along the PPF curve substitutes production of one good for another
Points inside the curve are inefficient because there is a corresponding point on
the frontier that maintains the same ratio of production
Mangosteens
A
Durians
Both have the same ratio of durians to mangosteens, but B has more output
Any point outside the curve cannot be produced with current resources
The slope of the curve measures the opportunity cost of production
In this case, the slope reflects the opportunity cost of mangsoteens in terms of durians
If the slope were, say, -3, Ivan would have to give up three mangosteens to get
one durian
Their opportunity costs of production are constant since their curves are linear
PPFs are typically linear if the two goods are perfectly interchangeable in
production
Most PPF curves usually bow
out from the origin
A Bowed Out PPF
Resources are typically suited for producing only one type of good
Using the same resources to produce another good will decrease efficiency 18
Ivan can select any point he wishes along the curve
The point he chooses depends on his relative preferences for durians and
mangosteens
The example my coach always used was guns and butter. Gun factories and butter factories simply are not suited for producing
the other good, and so a higher opportunity cost is paid.
18
One Mangosteen
Ivan
3 mangosteens
1/3 durians
Olga
1 mangosteens
1 durian
Ivan
Olga
"How so? I grow more durians and mangosteens than you do."
Ivan
Olga
Ivan
"Yep. Since we are better at different things, we could pick another combination of
numbers and still benefit from trading."
Olga
So if we stick to what we're good at doing, more gets done for everyone?"
Ivan
"Yes, ma'am!"
Even though both traders could live by themselves, they have a very tangible benefit
associated with interdependence
We like to be interdependent because there are economic advantages in doing so!
Interdependence facilitates specialization in what we are good at as we can rely on
other people for everything else
Building models
Economic analysis relies on four things
(1) Careful observation
(2) Description
(3) Measurement of economic theory
(4) Theory
We build theoretical models to capture details of economic interactions while stripping away
unnecessary detail
In doing so, we better understand how observed economic phenomena fit together
Models come in different forms
Simplicity
Models are diagrams or mathematical formulas
These models may appear too simplistic
The simplicity allows us to identify what assumptions and characteristics are important
The true test of a model is how well it captures what we want to understand
Positive economics
Positive economics uses economic theory to make provable statements about economic
phenomena
Positive statements present reality with simple models
They also work in the reverse fashion, predicting the result of a potential action
A critic can disprove a positive economic statement
Positive statements do not have to be true, but they must be able to be proven one way or
the other
Example: The sun never sets on the British Empire
This statement can be proven false by finding a counterexample, or a time at which the
British Empire is in the dark
Example: Spending money on technological research will increase the interest rate
Finding a historical counterexample could disprove this statement
An economist could also disprove this statement by applying a theoretical model and
proving a different result
Positive economics does not contain value judgments
The economist just presents the information
He does not express an opinion on the merits of different choices
Normative economics 19
Normative economics fill the gap left by positive economics and introduce opinion
I remember the difference because our coach used to yell Youre positive about your facts at us to help us differentiate. Normative
statements are always opinion based so look for words like should to tell you which one it is. Tad
19
Pros
Increase income of minimum wage
workers
Better standard of living
Cons
Some minimum wage workers would
lose jobs
Others would be unable to find
employment
Less profits for employers
Costs may be passed on to
consumers
Efficiency as a Goal
Pareto efficient
An economic state satisfies Pareto efficiency if no one benefits without hurting someone else
Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto (1848-1923) was the first to make use of this concept
Pareto efficient states do not have to be equal
Example: If one person has everything in a society, the state is Pareto optimal
In order for someone else to benefit, something must be taken away from the person
who has everything
There is a lot of Pareto optimal distributions in an economy
Moving from one state to another requires redistribution
A change in a competitive market can redistribute wealth and move from one Pareto
optimal distribution to another
Pareto efficiency provides no way to judge whether one distribution is superior to another
Value judgements remain a part of normative economics
Economists will often offer their own opinions with positive analysis
Maximizing well-being
Efficiency is an important step in maximizing well-being
When using resources, we should not waste them
Microeconomics
Microeconomics addresses the economy on the individual level and works its way up
Microeconomists make assumptions about individuals and their behavior
These assumptions create models of decision patterns for firms and households
By putting models of firms and households togther, microeconomics can explain the
behavior of markets
Putting models of markets together creates a model for the whole economy
Microeconomics internalize changes on an individual level, such as changes in consumer
preferences
Large scale phenomena, such as the money supply, are more difficult to analyze with a
strictly microeconomic approach
Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics takes a top-down approach
It tries to make sense of economy-wide fluctuations
Macroeconomists make models of broad components of the economy rather than
individual elements
Models typically use aggregated variables, such as the price level
Similarities
Microeconomics and macroeconomics are closely linked
Both share common assumptions about human behavior
Looking at economic activity on different scales means different aspects of human behavior
become important
Microeconomics and macroeconomics differ enough to consider separately
MICROECONOMICS
POWER PREVIEW
POWER NOTES
Microeconomic Basics
Overview of microeconomics
Microeconomics centers on supply and demand
In our economy, the interaction between
supply and demand produces a highly
coordinated market
The actions of buyers and sellers dominate the
market
They determine the price and quantity of
each product or service bought or sold
Consumers, or buyers, demand goods and
supply factors of production
Firms, or suppliers supply goods and
demand factors of production
Microeconomics focuses on the economic
decisions of individual agents
Agents are typically individual consumers,
groups of consumers, and producers
Microeconomics explains how these agents
behave and interact
Microeconomics answers the question of how to distribute scarce resources
It involves the determining price through the interacting behavior of economic agents
Consumers distribute resources through utility maximization
Producers distribute resources based on profit maximization
Markets
A market consists of all of the buyers and sellers of a particular good or service
Some markets are highly organized
In an organized market, buyers and sellers come together at a single location
An auctioneer sets a price at which exchanges take place
Examples include the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Chicago Mercantile
Exchange (CME)
Usually, markets are less formal than the NYSE and CME
Consider gasoline
Buyers are vehicle owners in town and anyone passing through that needs gas
In the same way, no one buyer can affect market price and quantity of gasoline
either
The price and quantity sold are determined by the combined actions of all buyers and
sellers
22
Each buyer and seller is a price taker and must accept the price set by the market
Only a few markets conform to the assumptions of perfect competition
However many real world markets are characterized by a high degree of competition so the
perfectively competitive model can be useful
Perfect competition is useful to compare with the outcomes of other types of markets
Demand
Law of demand
The quantity demanded for any good is the amount that buyers (consumers) are willing and
able to purchase
One of the most important factors in deciding quantity demanded is the goods price
If the price is low, then consumers will demand more
If the price is high, then buyers will demand less of the good
The law of demand refers to the negative relationship between a goods price and the
quantity demanded of the good
Alternatively, the two are inversely related
The law of demand results from the cost-benefit analysis that rational decision-makers use
As the price of a good increases, the opportunity cost of consuming that good also
increases
The consumer must cut back on consuming other goods in order to afford the higher price
Therefore, as price increases, they will want less of that good and more of other goods
This is not explicitly stated in the Power Guide, but might as well be: Imperfect competition arises because of barriers to entry in
the market (page 56, right column). Barriers to entry will be discussed later in microeconomics.
21
If no barriers to entry exist, firms can easily enter and leave the market until economic profits fall to zero. In imperfectly
competitive markets, economic profits exist because barriers to entry prevent other firms from entering the market to take them.
22
The term price taker is not in the main text, but it is in the glossary, under the description of a competitive market.
20
Because scarcity limits wealth, consumers must decide how much of each good they want
The consumers preference determines the marginal utility of a good
Consuming more of a good will decrease this bang for the buck, thanks to
diminishing marginal utility (also called diminishing returns)
The goal of a consumer is to equate all ratios of marginal utility to price
If all bangs for the buck are the same, there is no extra bang for the buck to be
derived from substituting one good for another
If we all got the same benefit from chocolate chip cookies as from spinach, no one
would care which one they ate
More formally, substituting between goods cannot increase the consumers utility
Increasing the price of a good must be accompanied with an increase in the marginal
utility of that good to keep the ratios equal
Therefore, an increase in the price of a good will lead to a decrease in the amount
of that good wanted
Demand curve
The law of demand relates the price of a good to how much the consumer wants
23
Applied to a range of prices, this relationship leads to a table called a demand schedule
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
Quantity Demanded
20
15
10
Plotted on a chart with quantity and price as the axes, the schedule becomes a curve
The Demand Curve
Price
Quantity Demanded
23
Occasionally, the demand function (curve) is referred to as a demand schedule, but USAD uses the different terms.
Note that this assumes an individuals purchasing patterns do not affect others
To create a market demand curve, add up the quantity that every consumer demands
at each possible price
The result is adding the demand curves horizontally to obtain the market demand
Shifts in the demand curve
The law of demand only accounts for price as a variable that alters quantity demanded
Many other things can influence the quantity demanded
If one of these factors changes, the demand curve shifts
A shift represents a change in the quantity demanded at all prices, or a whole new
demand curve
An inward shift (to the left, or toward the origin) means that the quantity demanded at
all prices has decreased
An outward shift (to the right, or away from the origin) means that the quantity
demanded at all prices has increased
A change in price will lead to movement along the demand curve
Price
Price
Quantity Demanded
Quantity Demanded
24
As a consumers income increases, he will buy more normal goods and fewer
inferior goods
Consumers prefer to buy normal goods over inferior goods if they have the income
to do so
27
For normal goods, an increase in consumer income will lead to an increase in
demand
If Car-Crazy Carmen doesnt have much money and decides to buy a car, shell
probably get a used car rather than a new one
If Carmen gets a raise and starts doing better financially, shell be more likely to
buy a new car
(2) The prices of related goods also affect demand for a good
Demand for a good can change due to a change in the price of a substitute good
Utility functions for substitute goods are the sum of the individual goods
Since the consumer can use both goods equally, the utilities just add up
A consumer can switch from one good to the other without a decrease in utility
If the price of Pepsi increases, the quantity demanded of Pepsi will decrease in
accordance with the law of demand
To avoid the higher price of Pepsi, many consumers will switch to Coca-Cola
because Coca-Cola is just as satisfying
As a result, the demand of Coca-Cola increases; its demand curve shifts to
the right
A decrease in the price of Pepsi will result in a decrease in the demand of CocaCola; the demand curve for Coca-Cola shifts to the left
A rise in the price of one good leads to a decrease in demand for its substitute
A fall in the price of a good leads to an increase in demand for its substitute
Demand for a good can change because of a change in the price of a complement
Complementary goods are goods that are required for each others use
Because people buy mechanical pencils and pencil lead together, fewer people
will buy pencil lead
27
28
As a result, the demand for pencil lead will decrease, and the demand curve for
pencil lead will shift to the left
On the other hand, a decrease in the price of mechanical pencils will shift the
demand for pencil lead outward
Note that the market for mechanical pencils moves along the same demand curve,
while the market for pencil lead gets a new demand curve through a shift 29
(3) Changes in consumer preferences or tastes can affect demand
Preferences reflect the utility value that consumers assign to goods
A good that is preferred is popular or in style
If the popularity of electric cars increases it will lead to an increase in demand for
electric cars
A shift of preferences away from vinyl records, for example, will lead to a decrease in
demand for vinyl records
(4) Changes in consumer expectations can also affect demand
If consumers expect a newer, better good to emerge in the near future, the demand for
the current good will decrease 30
If consumers expect a decrease in the price of a good in the future, the current demand
for that good will decrease
Normal goods
Income
Inferior goods
Substitutes
Prices of related
goods
Complements
Consumer tastes
Consumer
expectations
Number of
consumers
Elasticity of demand 31
The shape of the demand curve is related to its elasticity
29
Changes in price are reflected through movement along the demand curve. Changes in income, related goods, expectations, tastes,
and the number of buyers are reflected through movement of the entire curve.
30
For example, knowing the iPhone 5 is coming out next month might decrease your demand for an iPhone 4 this week. Cat
31
I split up the Elasticity section into the elasticity of demand and elasticity of supply.
% Quantity
% Pr ice
Qi
Pf - Pi
Pi
The graph for an inelastic good goes up and down like an inelastic brick wall
The graph for an elastic good, on the other hand, looks like an elastic rubber band
flying sideways through the air
The price elasticity of demand measures how sensitive quantity demanded is to price changes
QD f - QD i
E denand =
% Quantity demanded
% Pr ice
QD i
Pf - Pi
Pi
32
Example: Diabetics need insulin but they will eventually be entirely unable to pay
for it
If demand elasticity is greater than one, the good is price-elastic (or just elastic)
An elastic good is sensitive to changes in price
Increasing the price of a good will lead to a decrease in total revenue
A price-elastic good is usually a luxury or has readily available substitutes
If its price increases, consumers can stop purchasing the item or switch to a
substitute with a lower price
Example: If the price of Bentleys goes up, consumers can choose to switch to
BMWs or not buy a luxury car at all
Graphically, an elastic demand curve is very flat
If demand elasticity equals infinity, a good is perfectly price-elastic
Any change in price will result in an infinite change in the quantity demanded
33
Consumers will only demand goods at one price
Like perfectly inelastic goods, perfectly elastic goods are purely theoretical
If elasticity is equal to one, a good is said to be unit elastic
Perfectly Elastic
Perfectly Inelastic
Price
Price
Quantity Demanded
Quantity Demanded
Inelastic
Price
Price
Price
Quantity Demanded
Elastic
Unit Elastic
Quantity Demanded
Quantity Demanded
33
If the price of Sprite rises, consumers can easily switch to another brand
Conversely, when close substitutes do not exist, elasticity of demand tends to be lower
(2) A goods degree of necessity affects its elasticity as well
Necessities tend to have lower price elasticities of demand than luxuries
Since people need the good, they will continue to buy it at any price until they cannot
afford it
Perfectly competitive markets have perfectly elastic demand. Consumers only demand the good at the market price.
Even if the price of gas increases, people have no choice but to fill up
They can drive less and carpool more, but their overall demand for gas does not
change dramatically
In the long run, however, consumers can buy electric cars, relocate closer to their
jobs, take public transportation, and so on
(4) The scope of the demand market affects its elasticity
Scope refers to the size of the market
Example: The market for beverages is bigger in scope than the market for Gatorade
Markets with a larger scope tend to have lower elasticities
In other words, the broader the good category, the more inelastic the good
Example: It is easier to find a substitute for Gatorade than for beverages as a whole. 34
Substitutes
Necessity
Factors influencing
demand elasticity
Scope of market
Time horizon
34
e=
The ratio
P and Q in this case are for a specific point along the demand curve
Moving down the demand curve, P is falling and Q is rising
Therefore,
b=
Q 1
= = b is naturally also a constant
P
e
P
must be falling
Q
1
is constant, since the demand curve is linear
e
I cant even imagine what a substitute for beverages would be. Cat
P
b
Q
Name
Relation to Total
Revenue (TR)
Graphical
Representation
Other Notes
E=0
Perfectly
inelastic
Perfectly vertical
line
Purely theoretical
Inelastic
Steep line
Unit elastic
Line with
a slope of -1
Changes in quantity
demanded are
exactly proportional
to changes in price
Perfectly
horizontal line
Purely theoretical
E<1
E=1
E>1
Elastic
E=
Perfectly elastic
Supply
Law of supply
The quantity supplied of any good is the amount sellers are willing and able to produce
The most important factor affecting quantity supplied is the price suppliers receive
The higher the price received, the more suppliers are willing to produce
The law of supply is the positive relationship between price and quantity supplied
The law of supply results from the cost-benefit analysis performed by rational suppliers
Suppliers compare the benefits of the marginal good sold with the opportunity cost of their
time, effort, and expense
As price rises, it is rational to devote more resources to supply that good
As long as price received exceeds opportunity cost, they will be willing to supply
Supply curve
The law of supply relates the price of a good and how many units a profit-maximizing
producer will be willing to supply
Supply is the quantity of a good or service that producers are willing and able to produce
at any given price
The quantity supplied is the amount of a good supplied at a specific price
Price and quantity supplied are directly or positively related
Quantity supplied is a point on the supply curve
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
Quantity Supplied
10
15
20
Price
Quantity Supplied
Just as with demand, the vertical axis represents price and the horizontal axis quantity 35
The supply curve slopes upward: the slope of the curve is positive
The supply curve slopes upward because producers are more willing to supply a good at
higher prices
Thus, the quantity supplied increases as price increases
The market supply curve is obtained by adding all the quantities supplied at each price by all
suppliers within that market
Like the market demand curve, this is the same as adding the individual supply curves
horizontally
Shifts in the supply curve
A movement along the supply curve indicates a change in quantity supplied
A movement along the curve is from one point to another on the curve
A shift of the entire supply curve indicates a change in supply
When the supply curve shifts, the quantity supplied of a good at all prices changes
An inward shift (left, or toward the origin) means that the quantity supplied at any given
price decreases
An outward shift (right, or away from the origin) means that the quantity supplied at any
given price increases 36
Four important factors cause shifts in the supply curve
Anyone else think it odd that we say supply and demand but learn about demand first 99% of the time?
Economists often use the terms left and right to describe decreases and increases in supply. Be careful not to use up and
down: a shift upward in the supply curve actually represents a decrease in supply. This gets confusingso stick to left and right.
35
36
(1) If the cost of the factors of production increases or decreases, the supply curve will shift to
the left or right, respectively
Firms cannot produce as much for a given price, so they must supply less quantity
If the price of inputs decreases, firms are willing to produce more goods at existing
prices, pushing the supply curve to the right
(2) If technological progress occurs, the supply curve will shift outward 37
A breakthrough in productive technology will decrease the cost of producing a good,
shifting supply to the right
(3) Expectations of price changes can shift the supply curve
An expected decrease in the price of a good will lead firms to supply more so they can
sell the good at the current higher price
An expected increase in prices will lead firms to decrease supply now so they can wait
for the higher prices
(4) A change in the number of firms supplying a good will shift the markets supply curve
If the number of firms supplying a good increases, the supply curve shifts to the right
If the number of firms supplying a good decreases, the supply curve shifts to the left
Cost of
inputs
Technology
Things that
shift the
supply
curve
Expectation
s
Number of
suppliers
A change in the price of a good only leads to a movement along the supply curve for that
good, not a shift in the curve itself
When solving supply shift problems, remember that all other factors will remain the same
Shift in the Supply Curve
Price
Price
Quantity Supplied
Quantity Supplied
Elasticity of supply
The price elasticity of supply describes the shape of the supply curve
37
Technological regression would supply to decrease, but, unless all the electricity in the world stops working, it is unlikely.
QS f - QS i
E sup ply =
QS i
Pf - Pi
Pi
(1) The difficulty of entry and exit into a market relates to elasticity
If few barriers to entry exist, supply tends to be more elastic
(2) Elasticity for supply curves typically has a time factor
In the short run, firms will have already made their production decisions
Firms cannot change the quantity supplied much, if at all, to respond to price changes
Quantity supplied is thus often inelastic (not very responsive) to changes in price
In the long run, firms are able to plan all of their production decisions
Firms will enter or leave the market if the market price is different than the price
that yields normal profit
Perfectly Elastic
Perfectly Inelastic
Price
Price
Quantity Supplied
38
Quantity Supplied
For example, suppliers cannot make any more antique cabinets from the year 1850.
Using elasticity 39
If a good is inelastic, an increase in price will cause a smaller decrease in either quantity
demanded or quantity supplied
The firm can increase the price thereby increasing revenue
Revenue equals price multiplied by quantity
Revenue is graphically depicted as a rectangle
The intersection of supply and demand form one corner of this rectangle
The increased price makes up for the lost quantity
If a good is unit elastic, an increase in price will cause an equivalent decrease in quantity
Inelastic
Price
Price
Price
Quantity Supplied
Elastic
Unit Elastic
Quantity Supplied
Quantity Supplied
Number
Range
Name
Representation
E=0
Perfectly
inelastic
Perfectly vertical
line
E<1
Inelastic
Steep line
E=1
Unit elastic
Line with
a slope of 1
E>1
Elastic
E=
Perfectly
elastic
Perfectly
horizontal line
Equilibrium
What is equilibrium?
Most people first hear of equilibrium in their science classes
39
This is adapted from the Using Elasticity section, starting on page 28 of the USAD Resource Guide.
social sciences
Equilibrium is the point at which all the
forces in a system are balanced
40
Something at equilibrium is stable
For economics, equilibrium is the point where
no participant in the market has any reason to
change their behavior
The price in a competitive market acts as a
signal between producers and consumers
If the price is right, consumers will
signal this by purchasing the
equilibrium quantity of product
On the other hand, if the price is too high, consumers will refuse to buy the product
Where is equilibrium?
Market equilibrium occurs where the market supply curves and demand curves meet
Market equilibrium is when the price and quantity are at the intersection point
Since the two curves slope in opposite directions, there can only be one point of intersection 41
Characteristics of competitive market equilibrium
Consumers and producers interact in markets
Potential buyers and potential sellers form a market when they come into contact with one
another to exchange goods or services
Perfectly competitive markets rely on the assumptions discussed earlier
These four assumptions hold true for all perfectly competitive markets
(1) The good or service in question is homogenous
(2) The number of buyers and sellers is large
(3) Everyone involved is well informed about the market price
(4) The market has no barriers to entry
Happily, competitive markets tend to gravitate toward the equilibrium quantity and price
This tendency has two desirable effects
(1) Competitive markets effectively allocate resources
The price tells suppliers about the value consumers place on a good
Likewise, prices inform demanders about the opportunity cost of supplying the good
This way, scarce goods and services are produced at the lowest cost and allocated to
those who value them the highest
(2) Competitive equilibrium maximizes benefits for both buyers and sellers
The available supply goes to those who value the good the highest
The ones who supply the good are those who supply it at the lowest cost
Buyers receive a number of benefits from participating in the market
The height of the demand curve at each point reveals the willingness of the marginal
buyer 42 to pay
Suppose four fans of an extremely popular card game want to buy new booster packs
Each fan values the booster pack at different prices
Buyer
Willingness to Pay
Yugi
$100
Joey
$80
Tristan
$70
Ta
$50
The other three duelists will buy a pack, but each receives a different benefit from
purchasing the booster pack
The consumer surplus is the surplus benefit received by consumers
Buyer
Yugi
$40
Joey
$20
Tristan
$10
The difference between the height of the demand curve and this line is the
consumer surplus
It is triangle shaped
Suppliers benefit from participating in the market
The height of the supply curve at each quantity measures the willingness of the marginal
seller 44to supply
It also measures the opportunity cost to the marginal seller
If the market price exceeds the opportunity cost, the difference is the producer surplus
The total producer surplus is found by adding the surplus of all suppliers in the market
Similar to the consumer surplus, the area above the supply curve and below the market
price graphically illustrates producer surplus
Supply and demand graphs include consumer and producer surplus between the supply and
demand curves
Consumerand
andProducer
ProducerSurpluses
urpluses
Consumer
Price
Supply
A
B
Demand
Quantity
43
44
This section stands for those who are willing to pay more than the market price
The vertical difference between the demand curve and the market price is in dollars per
good
The horizontal base of the triangle is the quantity sold of the product
46
Therefore, the area of the triangle is in dollars
This section stands for the sellers who would be willing to sell at cheaper prices
than the market price
The base of the triangle is the quantity sold in the market
Just as with consumer surplus, producer surplus is measured in dollars
The sum of triangles A and B is the total market surplus
Total market surplus measures the total benefits that market participants receive
One goal of a benevolent social planner is to maximize total market surplus
In theory, this will produce the greatest good
Maximizing total surplus satisfies Pareto efficiency
When total market surplus is maximized, no way exists to make anyone better off
without reducing making someone else worse off
To achieve efficiency, a market planner needs to know two things
(1) The value that each consumer places on the good
(2) The cost of producing each unit of the good
In addition, the market planner must answer the
three fundamental questions of economics
How
How much should be produced?
much
to
Who should produce the good?
produce?
Who should receive the goods?
Answering these questions and calculating these
values would be difficult
A competitive market answers these questions
The self-interested actions of the markets
participants leads the market to equilibrium
These participants only respond to changes in
the market price
45
I remember that consumer surplus is above producer surplus because C comes before P in the alphabet. Cat
We will use dollars, but any currency would work (as long as its used consistently). The assumption is that the United States
Academic Decathlon would most likely use dollars as well.
46
Supply
MC
Price
Demand = MR = Price
Demand
Quantity
Quantity
If supply increases, the price will fall but quantity will increase
If supply decreases, the price will increase and quantity will decrease
If supply and demand shift in the same direction, then the change in exchange
price is ambiguous
47
Marginal revenue will be further discussed in the section on the profit motive and the behavior of firms.
If supply and demand both increase, quantity will increase, but the change in
the price is uncertain
If supply and demand both decrease, exchange quantity will decrease, but the
effect on price is uncertain
If supply and demand shift in opposite directions, the change in exchange quantity
will be ambiguous
If supply increases but demand decreases, then price will decrease, but the
change in quantity is uncertain
If supply decreases but demand increases, then the price will increase, but
quantity is uncertain
These shifts are ambiguous because they contain two opposing forces moving in
opposite directions
For example, if both supply and demand shift outward, the increase in demand
tries to raise the price
We do not know which effect will take over unless we have quantitative data
(which USAD will not expect you to crunch)
Both the supply and demand shifts agree to increase quantity
Market Equilibrium
Price
B
2
4
Quantity
In the graph above, line A represents the original demand curve, line C the original
supply curve, and point 1 the original market equilibrium
If demand shifts from A to B and supply (line C) remains the same, then the new
market equilibrium is at point 2
If supply shifts from C to D while demand (line A) remains the same, then the new
market equilibrium is point 3
If both curves shift (demand from A to B and supply from C to D), then the new
market equilibrium is point 4
If you are not convinced that the change in price is ambiguous, try shifting the
curves different amounts
If you shift demand more, the price is higher than the original value
Inversely, if you shift demand less than the graph did, the price is lower
Rather than memorize all the different combinations, break up shifts into their
individual parts
Draw one graph in which you shift only demand and one in which you shift only
supply
One of the two will change in the same direction in both graphs while the other
will change in the opposite direction
The one which changes in the opposite direction is indeterminate
In addition to price and quantity, surplus changes when curves shift
The effects of curve shifts on surplus are analyzed graphically
To analyze shifts and their effect, remember that surpluses are triangle-shaped
Shift the supply and demand curves as needed
Compare the size of the new triangle-shaped surpluses to the old ones
Remember that quantitative data will clear ambiguities
USAD will not expect you to crunch such data
Shift
Result
Supply
Demand
Producer
surplus
Consumer
surplus
Total
surplus
No shift
ambiguous
No shift
ambiguous
No shift
ambiguous
No shift
ambiguous
ambiguous
ambiguous
ambiguous
ambiguous
ambiguous
ambiguous
ambiguous
ambiguous
ambiguous
ambiguous
You know, in case you want to memorize the shifts and their effects anyway
In this chart, an means increase and means decrease. Otherwise, shifting supply upwards means supply is decreasing and
shifting supply downwards means supply is increasing. Jimmy
50
The section Evaluating Government Policy was relocated to after this one.
48
49
Total revenue is the amount the firm receives from selling its goods or services
Mathematically, total revenue is equal to the total quantity of output multiplied by its
price
Total costs are the cost of supplying the good or service
Accounting costs include actual monetary costs
In the long-run, economic profits are always equal to zero (more in the next
section)
Economic Analysis
Accounting Analysis
Economic profit
Accounting profit
Revenue
Revenue
Implicit costs
Total
opportunity
costs
Explicit costs
Explicit costs
In this graphic, the top, green squircles 53 represent the profits associated with each analysis
The lower, red ones are the costs subtracted to get revenue
Explicit costs are costs with direct monetary value, like wages
Implicit costs are opportunity costs, like what the shop owner could get if he ran a
different business
Firms evaluate their position by examining their marginal costs
Marginal costs have two components
Fixed costs are costs a firm must pay regardless of how many units it produces
The more a firm produces, the lower its average fixed cost for each additional
unit 54
A lease on a factory is a fixed cost; the firm must pay the cost regardless of how
many units or even if no units are produced
In the long run, however, the firm considers all costs (including fixed costs)
Variable costs change with the amount produced
Variable costs increase as the firm adds more variable inputs (such as labor) to fixed
inputs (such as capital)
Examples of variable costs include wages (firms can hire and fire workers) and
purchases of raw materials
Producing more units of goods requires more laborers and more raw materials
If no units are produced, then a firm will not incur any variable costs but will
still have fixed costs
The producer will produce until marginal revenue is equivalent to marginal cost 55
Average cost is the sum of fixed costs and total variable costs divided by the total
number of units produced
The more a firm produces, the lower the average fixed cost (fixed cost per unit
of output)
Variable costs drag average cost upward after a certain point of production
As more and more variable inputs enter the production process, they become
less productive
Adding more workers in a factory, for example, doesnt help boost production
if there are no machines for them to use
In the long run, all factors are variable, so all costs are variable
A fixed cost in the short run is always a variable cost in the long run
For all short-run decisions, firms face a mix of fixed costs and variable costs
The marginal cost curve is usually U-shaped and resembles a rounded checkmark
If a firm initially produces more of a good, the marginal cost drops because the
fixed costs of production are spread over more units
This effect was not captured in our model of production above but is a closer
approximation of reality
After a certain point, the marginal cost curve climbs upward as variable costs increase
The graph 56 below features all the different types of costs discussed
55
56
Cost Curves
Marginal cost
Average
total cost
Price
Average
variable
cost
AFC
Average
fixed cost
Quantity Produced
This reflects the fact that average fixed costs continue to decline as the firm
produces more and more units
Since average total cost (ATC) is equal to average variable cost (AVC) plus average
fixed costs (AFC), the distance between the ATC and AVC curves is the AFC
This distance decreases as the AFC decreases and more units are produced.
It is important to observe that the MC curve intersects the ATC and AVC curves at
the minimum of each
He wants to know the grade he needs on the final to get an A in the class
Through his calculations, he realizes that any score above 90% on the final will
raise his average
Izzys class grade is the average, and his prospective score on the final is the
marginal increase
On the graph, we can see how minimums and maximums come into play at a firm
Profit Maximization
$
Average
total cost
Marginal
Profit
maximization
Average
variable cost
Average
fixed cost
Quantity
To the left of the intersection of MC and AVC curves, MC is less than AVC at
all points
Find the intersection of the marginal cost and marginal revenue curves
Maybe their friends Mimi and Daisuke started making much fancier eggs that have
the same function as these crests
Friends Tai, Hikari, and Joe have no reason to enter the market, as economic profits
are zero
Two points are worth bearing in mind
(1) In a competitive market, in the long run, all owners will earn zero economic profits and
be content with it
The owners are earning their opportunity wage
Whatever business they are engaged in remains their best alternative
(2) Prices not only ration scarce goods but allocate productive resources between different
activities
Say prices exceed production costs while Mimi and Daisuke are initially making their
egg accessories
Positive economic profits cause their buddies Yolei and Iori to enter the market
The positive profits means that additional resources should be deployed to fake-egg
production 6061
This is not the case in a market that doesnt follow competitive market principles, but well get to that in another section.
Go with it
59
+10 awesome if you can guess where these and the following names are from.
57
58
Price controls
Economists use surplus to explain the effects of government intervention in the market
The government can implement price controls through price ceilings or price floors
Price ceilings and floors affect the market, are binding, if they are below or above the
market price, respectively 62
Price ceilings set a maximum price on a good
A binding price ceiling will create a shortage as the price will be below the marketclearing price
Quantity supplied will decrease because firms are not as willing to supply the
good at the lower price
Consumers who would be willing to buy the good at the current price are unable
to do so because firms will not supply enough
Price
Price
Ceiling
Quantity
Note that the original triangle of consumer surplus is choked by the limited
supply
The triangle is heavily contracted due to the decreased price and quantity
Deadweight loss is the surplus that someone would have received if the market
was in equilibrium
It is lost to inefficiency
Price floors set a minimum price on a good
A binding price floor will create a surplus since the price will be above the market
price
And then Ken enters the market and slaughters them all, until Takeru/T.K. punches some sense into him. Oops, spoilers.
Thank goodness this is after the time of those pesky black gears. Imagine those running rampant in this already fragile theoretical
economy. Those poor DigiDestined. :P Ariel
62
Imagine that you are in a house. Like equilibrium price, you are below the ceiling and above the floor. Cat
60
61
Quantity supplied will increase because firms are willing to supply more at the
higher price
Consumers will not buy all of the goods, and the market will not clear
Price Floor
A
Price
Floor
Price
B
Quantity
B is producer surplus
C is deadweight loss
Note that any deviation from the competitive market price in a closed economy
leads to a deadweight loss
Landlords will supply fewer apartments, so some renters will not be able to find a
place to live
Landlords may stop maintaining their apartments, since they are not worthwhile
investments
(2) Total surplus is reduced, since the price ceiling prevents some mutually beneficial
transactions from taking place
Everyone who wants an apartment at or above the market price can get one
Rent controls can lower the price of apartments without creating a large excess of
demand
Over time, supply and demand become much more elastic
Taxes
All levels of government use taxes to raise revenue to pay for public expenditures
An important issue is who should bear the burden of a particular tax
Governments attempt to control the distribution of burdens through legislation, but things
are never that simple
A marginal tax creates a different price for producers than consumers
Example: A $20 tax on a $600 computer would lead to consumers paying $620
and producers only receiving $600
Marginal taxation policies have the effect of setting a fixed quantity below market
quantity
Marginal Taxation
Price
Tax
Consumer
price
C
Producer
price
B
Quantity
Ironically, increased demand and decreased supply increase the price and has an ambiguous effect on quantity. Even here, the
market tries to get to equilibrium.
64
Im mad craving an orange right now. Sophy
63
Deadweight loss occurs because both consumers and producers move less
quantity than they would without the tax
D is tax revenue
Tax revenue is the tax per unit multiplied by the number of unitsthe area of
box D
(1) Shift the market demand curve down by the amount of the tax
(2) Shift the market supply curve up by the amount of the tax
(3) Find the point where the distance between the curves is equal to the amount of
the tax
Therefore, taxes have two main effects
(1) Taxes reduce social welfare
(2) The government collects revenue
The government usually does not, however, collect as much revenue as expected
By introducing a tax, price naturally increases and people will demand less
If either the supply or demand curves flatten out, or become more elastic, tax revenue
decreases
The right hand side of the tax revenue box gets pushed to the left, decreasing the area
The deadweight loss triangle increases in area as it becomes longer
Therefore, goods with elastic demands and/or supplies are not very effective to tax
66
On the other hand, the government can tax inelastic goods effectively
Notice that even though the government levied the tax on consumers (only their price
went up), both consumers and producers paid for the tax in lost surplus
In a competitive market, a marginal tax cannot target only consumers or producers
The elasticities of supply and demand distribute the burden of taxation between producers and
consumers
The more inelastic party will bear more of the tax
If the elasticities are the same, the tax splits equally between consumers and producers
Note that market elasticities are typically outside of the direct influence of government
The political economy of trade 67
We can extend the perfectly competitive market model to situations with international trade
We will assume the domestic economy is small and does not greatly influence the world
economy
The domestic economy acts as a price taker
The world price for a good is taken as a given
The domestic economy cannot affect the world price of the good
Therefore, international trade is equivalent to the price controls discussed before
The difference is that the international market buys up the surplus or provides goods
for the shortage
If the world price is higher than the domestic equilibrium price, the economy exports
Exporting Economy
A
C
Price
World
Price
B
D
Quantity
Producer surplus includes domestic surplus plus the gains from international trade
This situation is analogous to a price floor, which would usually leave a surplus of
goods
Importing Economy
Price
A
C
B
World
Price
Quantity
Consumers gain surplus because they have access to the lower world price
Triangle B is producer surplus
Producers lose customers to imports and have to produce at the lower world
price
Triangle C represents the gains from trade, which all go to the consumer, who gets
to enjoy lower prices
Market failures
A market failure is when competitive markets fail to produce socially desirable outcomes
Two types of market failures exist
(1) Externalities
(2) Public goods
Addressing these market failures is one of the most prominent roles of government in our
economy
No externalities
Externalities are costs or benefits that affect a third party uninvolved in the activity or
transaction in question
Individuals usually do not factor externalities into their decision-making because they do
not pay the costs or receive the benefits
Externalities take two forms
Negative externalities occur when an individuals (or firms) decision imposes some harm
on others
The individual does not have to pay for this harm and, consequently, does not factor it
into his or her decision
Negative externalities thus lead to situations that are not socially optimal
Example: Jons Wall of Sound may produce noise pollution (a negative externality) as a
byproduct of its being loud
When Lame Lucius walks by, he incurs a cost in the form of hearing damage
Ideally, Jon would factor the social cost of noise pollution into his decision-making
and turn his volume down
Since Jon does not factor in this cost, however, Jon is louder than is optimal for
society
Positive externalities result when an individuals (or firms) decision results in positive
effects for society or other individuals
Since the individual does not benefit from these effects,
he does not factor them into his decision
Positive externalities also lead to suboptimal situations
68
Assuming the strangers dont have allergies to roses or overzealous shnen stereotypes.
Garys neighbors, Ash and Misty, of course, want him to plant more roses so they
can enjoy even more of the scent
The positive externality (their happiness) does not, however, encourage Gary to
plant more roses
Consequently, Gary plants fewer roses in his lawn than is socially optimal
Externalities enter the competitive market model when agents internalize costs or benefits
An individual internalizes a cost when he pays it directly (building it into the market)
In our example, a loudness tax may encourage Jon to turn down his Wall of Sound
Subsidies, tax incentives, and other inducements can internalize some of the benefits
from positive externalities
Gardener Gary would be more likely to plant more roses in his garden if Ash and
Misty chipped in to help cover the cost of the flowers
Internalizing externalities help move the individual (or firm) toward the socially
optimal level of activity
Even for a negative externality, the optimal level is not zero
The activity that generates the externality still has a positive value
The cost of reducing this activity too much outweighs the additional benefits of reducing
the externality
We can depict the true social cost of production by shifting the supply curve left (for
negative externalities) or right (for positive) by the cost of the externality
Market participants have incentives to attempt solving problems that externalities create
Often, the two parties pay off one another to prevent or encourage the externality
Another approach is to internalize the externality
According to the Coase Theorem developed by Ronald Coase, private parties should be
able to resolve inefficiencies created by externalities
But the parties need to be able to negotiate with each other
And property rights need to be clearly defined
Despite these simple conditions, externalities are a major problem
Many people suffer mininal harm from pollution, so the total effect is large
But because the individual effects are small no one has any incentive to negotiate,
and a lawsuit would be long and drawn out
Where private negotiations fail, governments step in
Some use taxes or subsidies to correct externalities
Using taxes is most effective when the externalitys value is easily estimated
Otherwise, using a quota works as well
One problem with using a quota is that the people who value the good or service
the most may not get it
This can be resolved by creating a market where people buy and sell the permit for
that good or service
Property rights and public goods
One of the most prominent institutions is property
69
Even though property is a very familiar concept, it is incredibly nuanced
For most of us reading this, the property rights seem natural
Property rights are not natural, however, but are a social innovation
Goods in general fall under one of four categories
Rival
Non-Rival
69
70
Excludable
Non-excludable
Private Goods
Common Resources
Collective Goods
Public Goods
Example: If Colin is using the floor microwave to heat up his lunch, his suitemate
Creevey cannot use the microwave
Example: Suppose Rincewind loves orange juicehe buys five gallons of it per week
Rincewind can prevent Twoflower, who also loves orange juice, from buying his OJ
Owners of private goods have the right to dispense, rent out, or lease their own
private property to others
Individual users may exploit or overuse a common resource, thus degrading (or
even destroying) that resource
People do better when they decide collectively what to do with these goods, since
externalities are internalized
Since public goods are non-rival, the marginal cost of providing them is near zero
Public goods include publicly funded transportation systems (like highways), public
education, public parks, clean water, and the global environment
When public goods are provided, the quantity supplied will be too low
Since public goods are available to consumers at no marginal cost, there is a rational
incentive to overuse or abuse them 71
Collective goods are non-rival but highly excludable
72
Collective goods are easily privatized and tend to be natural monopolies
Since these goods are non-rival in consumption, the marginal cost of producing them
is nearly zero
Monopolies can profitably supply these goods, but have the tendency to set prices
too high and supply too little
For this reason, governments like to regulate or directly provide collective goods
Good examples are satellite radio and pay-per-view television
As mentioned before, public goods are a major source of externalities 73
Government intervention usually helps negate the effects of the externalities
Imperfect Competition
Market power
large firms
Computer operating systems
Commercial airplanes
Automobiles
Air travel
Mobile phones
Other times, only one supplier of a good exists
Electricity
Water
Cable television
Markets with only one or a few suppliers are imperfectly competitive
Just like firms in perfectively competitive markets, firms in imperfectly competitive
markets want to maximize profits
Unlike perfectly competitive firms, however, these other firms face a downward sloping
demand curve
Their decisions about how much to supply affect the price they get
Firms with a downward sloping demand curve possess market power
71
Because clean air is totally overrated. I was never a huge fan of breathing anyway. Christina
These are discussed in the next section on imperfect competition.
73
Public goods cause the free-rider problem. Consider roads, which are neither rival nor excludable. Who would pay for the
construction and maintenance of roads? The answer is no one. Everyone would just wait for someone else to pay for it and then use it
for free. Government solves this by forcing everyone to pay taxes to fund the roads.
72
Monopoly
If the number of firms decrease to one, we are left with a monopoly
Monopolies can purposefully create scarcity, called contrived scarcity
Under contrived scarcity, the monopolist produces less than what consumers demand
at the given market price
Contrived scarcity drives up profits while simultaneously leaving some consumer
demand unmet (thus decreasing the general welfare)
In other words, monopolies produce less and charge more than is socially optimal
Monopolies impose a welfare loss on society primarily through contrived scarcity
By producing less and charging more, monopolies are able to capture some of the
consumer surplus as producer surplus
Until early this millennium, the DeBeers company owned 80% of the worlds
diamond mines
(2) Government-created
These barriers to entry include patents, copyrights, and other property protections
If the government gives someone a patent, the inventor gets the exclusive right to
use the technology for 20 years in exchange for revealing the details
Natural monopolies emerge when economic conditions make it practical for one seller
to operate in a given market
Usually, there are large fixed costs that cause the firms average costs to fall as
more goods are produced
In this case, the government usually works to regulate the natural monopolist to
ensure public welfare
Natural monopolies often result from market forces or the nature of producing
certain goods
Example: Train services and utility companies (electricity, gas, water, etc.) are
typically natural monopolies
Ownership of a
key resource
Government
intervention
Natural
monopolies
Like a firm in a perfectively competitive market, a monopoly will set their price and
quantity supplied where marginal revenue equals marginal cost
Unlike a perfectively competitive firm, increasing supply until marginal revenue equals
marginal cost increases economic profits
No other firms can enter the market and drive economic profits to zero
The presence of monopolies has two effects
(1) Consumer surplus is transferred to the monopolist
Demanders still buy the good at the monopolys price
These same demanders, however, would have been able to purchase the same product
at a lower price in a perfectly competitive market
(2) Overall social well-being decreases
In a monopoly, supply is restricted to be less than the competitive quantity
The additional quantity would cost less to supply than the amount that consumers
value it
The monopolist will not supply that amount, since doing that would reduce the
revenue it gets from those willing to pay the monopoly price
Governments have devised their own methods for dealing with monopolies
(1) Use of legislation
In 1890, the Sherman Anti-Trust Act was passed in the United States
Large mergers and acquisitions are reviewed to ensure they do not reduce competition
in certain markets
Water
Sewer
Sanitation
Firms separate their customers into different groups
This strategy is called perfect price discrimination
Price discrimination is the act of charging different consumers different prices
Obviously, each consumer values certain goods at different prices
Ideally, a firm could choose to charge different prices to customers based on how much
they valued that good
The firm could avoid negative effects of expanding sales
In other words, those who are buying the good for less than others must not be
able to resell the good to those who would otherwise pay more
Example: Assume Farsighted Farah plans to vacation in San Francisco on April 10
She books her flight a month in advance with Generic Airlines and pays $150 for
her round-trip ticket
Brandon and Farah are purchasing the same good, but Brandon is paying more
He has to go on a specific day, and there are not many days left before the flight by
the time he buys his seat
Because of their differing demand elasticity, Brandon is willing to pay more for
a ticket than Farah is
The airline price discriminates by charging these two customers different amounts
in attempting to capture each consumers surplus
Price discrimination restores some efficiency lost when firms with market power increase
the price above the market price
Price discrimination allows consumers who would not be able to afford the higher
price to purchase the product
It is not as efficient as pricing in a perfectly competitive market
Movie theatres often have discounts for children and for seniors
Colleges offer need-based financial aid, effectively reducing tuition for needy
students
Oligopoly
Few industries are truly monopolies
In most cases, a small number of producers supplies most of the market
Tennis balls
Breakfast cereals
Aircraft
Electric light bulbs
Washing machines
Cigarettes
A market with a few interdependent firms is an oligopoly
Firms in an oligopoly feature highly differentiated products or homogenous products
In either case, oligopolistic markets have long periods of price stability
There is almost no price competition, only non-price competition
Oligopolies are common in the real world
The car market is an oligopoly of highly differentiated products
The market for steel is an oligopoly of homogenous products
The most notable oligopoly is OPEC
Doing so, however, would drive up the market supply and, in turn, decrease the
market price
The other firms in the oligopoly would have to follow suit and lower their prices,
resulting in price competition
In 1986, oil prices collapsed back to $13 a barrel when the OPEC countries
ceased limiting production
Due to the threats of a price war and the incentive to maintain profits, oligopolies
generally work together (outside the United States)
Firms in an oligopoly benefit from working together, making them interdependent
Each firm relies on other firms to maintain the same prices
But given incentives to cheat, oligopolies become very unstable
Oligopolies become more stable when members have a way to sanction cheaters such as
imposing costs or punishments
Oligopolies, like all other firms, maximize profits by equating marginal revenue and
marginal cost
For an oligopoly, the outcome will be between the extremes of monopoly and perfect
competition
Without numbers or knowing the specifics of each market, we cannot say exactly
where
We can say that an oligopolistic market results in some reduction to social welfare, but
the degree of reduction depends on the market
Monopolistic competition
The most common type of market is the monopolistically competitive model
Book publishing
Restaurants
Clothing
75
Breakfast cereals
Local service industries
Markets with a large number of firms and product differentiation are in monopolistic
competition
Product differentiation is the difference between similar goods in the market
Example: Computers all do the same thing, but consumers differentiate between Apple
computers, HP computers, and so on
Many competing sellers exist in the market, so firms do not have absolute market power
Some barriers to entry exist, giving monopolistic firms some control over price (some
market power)
Firms in a monopolistically competitive market still produce at a point that maximizes profits
In a monopolistically competitive market, a firm can charge a price above the market price
74
75
Like all other firms, they will produce where marginal revenue equals marginal cost
Since the firms demand curve slopes downward, marginal revenue is less than price
At this point (where marginal revenue equals marginal cost), market price is greater
than marginal cost of production
A firm in a monopolistically competitive market will not earn economic profits
Barriers to entry in a monopolistically competitive market are at most low
Firms can easily enter and start supplying similar goods and services
Existing firms will see their demand curves shift left, and profits fall
Product differentiation causes firms to engage in non-price competition
Advertising, branding, and other activities allow a firm to make its product stand out
from alternatives
Doing so allows a firm to charge consumers a high price for its differentiated product
Monopolistic firms use advertising and marketing to gain market power so they can
imitate monopolist pricing techniques
Advertising does not make sense in a perfectly competitive market because all
goods are the same
Advertising is also not necessary for a monopolist because there are no other sellers
Advertising may play other roles, however, such as boosting demand for the
product among consumers who may not otherwise demand it
Differentiated products present a barrier to entry for new firms because they must be able
to differentiate their product successfully before they can compete
Product differentiation is an extremely expensive advertising process
The fashion industry is a great example of monopolistic competition
Brands spend huge sums on advertising to differentiate their products from the rest
Several points must be noted about monopolistically competitive markets
(1) Since price is greater than marginal cost, some social inefficiencies exist
Some consumers value a product at more than the marginal cost of more production
The failure to take advantage of this is a failure to exploit mutually beneficial exchanges
Monopolistically competitive firms have an incentive to restrain production
(2) Diversification of products in a monopolistically competitive market gives consumers
more choices
Types of Markets
Monopoly
Oligopoly
Less competitive
Less efficient
Monopolistic Competition
Perfect Competition
More competitive
More efficient
Creative Destruction: the Profit Motive and the Sources of Economic Change76
Economic profits
Economic profits, as seen, are a payment above and beyond the opportunity wage
Self-interested economic agents want to identify opportunities to earn economic profits
Economic agents can achieve economic profits by escaping the constraints of competitive
markets
76
Collective decision-making
Collective decision-making institutions are used to overcome the effects of departures from
perfect competition
Analyzing how collective decision-making processes emerged in modern economies is
extremely complex
But, analyzing them is important
Economists believe that worldwide variations in standards of living and how to deal with
such differences stem from challenges in collective decision-making
Institutions and organizations
So far, we have analyzed human interaction and decision making in a vacuum
We state that markets organize buyers and sellers together
However, we have not really given a good description of how they do so
Markets rely upon institutions to ensure that they function properly
Institutions are formal or informal rules that structure human interaction
Institutions set the rules of the game
They ensure functioning of markets by facilitating exchange
Institutions can include government institutions, private institutions, laws, regulations,
and even general codes of conduct or social norms
If they do not like the level of taxation in one area, they can move elsewhere
European Union members are free to move from one country to another
Usually though, international mobility is limited
In most cases, this ability compels citizens to act in ways that are not in the
individuals immediate self-interest
77
78
Even in the United States, men over 18 register for Selective Service. Its not a draft, but it could become one if needed.
Its our wonderful, condescending economics resource guide. Of course it isnt.
MACROECONOMICS
POWER PREVIEW
This section covers the basics of
macroeconomics. We will construct two
different models in the process of
understanding the economy better. These
models will then be applied to government
policy and international trade.
POWER NOTES
30% of the exam (15 questions) will focus on
macroeconomics
18 questions from the USAD practice test are on topics
from this section
This section loosely covers pgs. 57-103 of the USAD
Economics Resource Guide
Macroeconomic Basics
Macroeconomic Issues
Price level
Inflation
Economic growth and living standards
Real Gross Domestic Product (Real GDP)
measures the total quantity of goods and services
produced in an economy in a given year, adjusted to remove inflation 80
Since 1900, real GDP for the United States has increased by a factor of nearly 32
79
80
Unemployment is a state of being, unemployment rate is a number (glossary). These will be touched on later.
GDP and its variations will be studied more in-depth later.
The United States population has only increased by a factor of four since 1900
This data implies average output per person since 1900 has risen by a factor of eight
Output (or GDP) per person is also termed output per capita
The phrase per capita comes from Latin
Literally, it means per head
Per capita is commonly used to denote averages for entire populations
Average output per capita naturally indicates what the typical person can consume
Average labor productivity is a measure of how much the typical worker can produce
Mathematically, average labor productivity is equivalent to the economys total output
divided by the total number of workers employed 82
In 2008, the average output per person in the United States was $43,000
Chinas population is five times that of the United States
Chinas total output is only a fraction of the United States
Production per person is about one-fifth (20%) of the United States
This value is just over 1% of output per capita in the United States
81
PSA to all my 2011 Decathletes: Grapes of Wrath. The New Deal. Ella Fitzgerald. Artesian wells. Okay, Im done. Cat
Output per capita would be total output divided by the entire population. After all, not everyone works.
83
On a multiple choice test, I guess itd be smart to rule out any options that dont have a 5 in them.
82
As opposed to the Pretty Bad Depression, Mediocre Depression, and That Wasnt Bad At All Depression Cat
Stay-at-home moms and dads, retired persons, children, those serving in the armed
forces, and other individuals not looking for work are not counted as part of the labor
force
A critical factor impacting the participation rate is the number of women in the workforce
The entry of more women into the workforce over the last half-century has significantly
increased the participation rate in the United States
The employment rate is the number of persons employed divided by the number of persons in
the labor force
The unemployment rate is the number of persons unemployed (but still in the labor force)
divided by the number of persons in the labor force, 85 usually expressed as a percentage
The number of unemployed persons in a given economy is equal to the number of people
in the labor force minus the number of people who are employed
Adding the employment rate and the unemployment rate should always yield 100%
(barring statistical discrepancies)
With a high unemployment rate, finding work is difficult
People who do have jobs find it harder to get promoted or to get a pay raise
This phenomenon goes hand-in-hand with the fact that the unemployment rate goes
up during recessions and down during expansions
Keep in mind two important things
(1) Unemployment is never zero
85
86
Group
236,086
154,577
Labor force
Employed
139,649
Unemployed
14,928
81,509
Unemployment
All workers
9.7%
Teenagers
25.5%
15.1%
Hispanic or Latino
13%
Adult men
10.1%
White
8.9%
Adult women
7.6%
87
88
Structural unemployment is unemployment which results from changes in the goods that
consumers demand or changes in technology
For workers experiencing structural unemployment, the rest of the economy may be in
perfect health while they are out of work
Not enough jobs exist in a specific market for the number of workers who want jobs
Structural unemployment ultimately results from a mismatch between the skills a
worker possesses and the skills demanded by the market
In the 1980s, the U.S. steel industry contracted while the computer industry expanded
Unfortunately, laid-off steel workers were mostly located in the industrial northeast
Many of these workers lacked the skills to pursue jobs in the new industries
Structural unemployment can only be reduced by retraining workers for new jobs
Structural unemployment is persistent unless the labor force catches up with demand
Cyclical unemployment is unemployment which results from changes in the business cycle
If the economy is in recession, unemployment will be above normal
If the economy is growing, then unemployment should be lower than normal
Example: Unlucky Ulysses works at United Steel
Faced with a severe recession, United Steels sales fall drastically, and fires hundreds
of workers, including Unlucky Ulysses
So just stick three zeros onto the end of each number and youre good.
This data is from August 2009.
To attract new workers, firms have to increase wages (or other benefits), which
increases labor costs
As labor costs increase, the price of goods will also increase, increasing inflation
Frictional unemployment will always exist to some degree as workers switch jobs
During the 1970s and 1980s, women entered the labor force and subsequently
raised the natural rate of unemployment
Seasonal unemployment is not covered in the USAD resource guidebut it is relatively intuitive. The job market for men who
look like Santa Claus dies in January and revives in November; some jobs only exist, in other words, seasonally. People who rely on
these jobs are seasonally unemployed when their job is out of season.
90
We will return to inflation when discussing CPI/GDP Deflator and money.
89
Macroeconomic MeasurementGDP
Aggregation
Aggregation is the process of combining different things into one variable
Well-constructed aggregates allow us to see the big picture
Aggregation often obscures other important details
Developing economic aggregates is an important branch of macroeconomics
To understand these aggregates and what they tell us, we need to take them apart
Measuring total output: GDP
Economists developed Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) as a way to measure the
The market value of all final goods and
services
produced within a country during a
total output in an economy
specified period of time
While this seems simple, there are several
The formal definition of GDP
important points to note
Market value
In the United States, most goods and services are priced in dollars
It follows that to combine all the different types of things the U.S. produces, we just add up
their dollar values
We have to multiply by the quantity of each good before adding them all up
Since we use market prices, more expensive goods contribute more to GDP
91
Market prices reflect the value the marginal consumer places on that good or service
Goods that have a higher value to consumers have higher prices
These goods contribute more to total output
Final goods and services
Everything we consume results from a complex chain of production activities
Only end products count toward GDP
Intermediate goods are those goods used up in the production of a final good
Intermediate goods are not counted
Excluding intermediate goods ensures GDP is not affected by vertical integration
Vertical integration occurs when industries that manufacture different aspects or parts of a
product are combined
For example, Toyota may own both car assembly factories and steel refineries
The steel is used to make cars
The value of the steel is included in the final price of the cars
Even if another company sold steel to Toyota, the value of the steel would still be
counted in the cars value
91
Marginal consumers value a certain good or service the least and will leave the market if the price rises by any amount.
GDP has risen twofold as a result, but the childcare would have taken place anyway
Anything sold on the black market will not be counted in GDP
(3) Measuring GDP ignores activities that deplete natural resources or pollute
Measuring the value of natural resources and the environment is difficult
Only normative economics provides a way to judge what goes into GDP
92
Automobiles
Washing machines
Furniture
Consumer nondurables are used more quickly
Food
Clothing
Services are intangible
Education
Legal services
Purchase of houses falls under investment, not consumption
Spending by firms on final goods and household purchase of houses are termed investment
Investment is also subdivided
Business fixed investment includes the purchase of capital equipment by firms
Factories
Offices
Machinery
Residential fixed investment is the purchase of new homes and apartment buildings
Inventories are the addition of unsold goods to company inventories
94
Investment does not include purely financial assets (stocks, bonds)
Purchase of these transfers ownership, but does not create new assets
Purchases by federal, state, or local governments are government purchases
These include wages and expenditures on goods
Military spending falls under government purchases
Transfer payments do not fall under government purchases
Transfer payments are the transfer of money from one party to another
Nothing is created during the transfer
93
94
eventually. :P Sophy
This can be confusing, because in common conversation/understanding, we refer to stocks and bonds as investments.
NX = exports imports
When exports exceed imports, the nation is running a trade surplus and GDP increases
When imports exceed exports, the nation is running a trade deficit and GDP decreases
95
The United States is slightly less dependent on trade than other countries due to its size
But trade has been increasing in recent years
96
In the long run, the levels of imports and exports move in similar ways
There have been shifts in levels of imports and exports relative to each other
Up until the late 1950s, the U.S. exported more than it imported
GDP = expenditures = C + I + G + NX
Services
C is consumption
I is investment
G is government purchases
NX is net exports 97,98
Consumer
nondurables
Consumer
durables
Household
consumption
Net exports
Government
purchases
Firm
investment
Inventories
Residential
fixed
investment
Business
fixed
investment
Real GDP
Measuring Inflation
The CPI
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the method governments use to measure inflation
In the U.S., it is calculated each month by the Bureau of Labor Statistics
The CPI compares the prices of a basket of goods between the current year and a base year
The CPI basket includes the goods which an average household would buy on a
regular basis
The main component is housing
For the CPI to work, the variety and quantity of individual items in the basket must be
the same
Changing the make-up of the basket of goods from year to year would make
comparing prices impossible because the comparisons would be between different
goods 99
The baskets vary by income and geographic region, to show differences in
consumption patterns
Every month, the BLS employees visit stores and websites for the items in each basket
The Consumer Expenditure Survey dictates what will be in each basket
The CPI in the base year is always 100
99
Like comparing apples and oranges. Or Star Wars and Star Trek. -Christina
CPI year =
100
Over time, changing consumer demands, technology, or other factors may render
the fixed CPI basket inaccurate or irrelevant
For example, VCRs were a significant consumer good ten years ago but are not
important today due to the emergence of DVD players
Goods are not added to the CPI until they gain wide market penetration
The CPI does not account for substitution biases
If one good in the basket becomes too expensive, consumers may switch to a
substitute good
The fixed nature of the CPI does not account for this
The CPI does not account for changes in quality
While the price of cars is certainly more today than it was 15 years ago, part of this
increase is due to the use of more expensive (improved) technology
In 1996, economist Michael Boskin headed the Boskin Commission
This commission reviewed the methods used to calculate CPI
They found that the CPI overstated the rate of price inflation by 1.3% a year
The GDP deflator
An alternative to the CPI is the GDP deflator
The GDP deflator is a broad price index used to correct for price increases in nominal
GDP
The GDP deflator allows us to convert nominal GDP to real GDP
No min al GDP =
GDP deflator
100
Re al GDP
Alternatively,
GDP deflator =
No min al GDP
Re al GDP
100
Since oil was mainly produced overseas, the GDP deflator was not affected
(2) The GDP deflator and CPI weight goods and services differently
The CPI uses a fixed basket of goods, while the GDP deflator weights prices by
production level
Therefore, the GDP deflator adjusts to changing consumption patterns over time
The GDP deflator has some shortcomings
This value is difficult to accurately calculate
As a result, it is only published once each year
Consequently, it cant track inflation very quickly
Like CPI, the GDP deflator fails to account for changes in quality
Though the GDP deflator presents a more accurate picture of inflation across the economy, it
is not suitable for guiding government policyit takes too long and is too difficult to calculate
Money100
What is money?
Money is anything with the following three functions
(1) A medium of exchange used by buyers to purchase goods and services
Sellers need to be confident they can use the money they earn selling things to buy things
Therefore, people are willing to hold onto money even if it accrues no interest, because
they gain the ability to complete transactions quickly
(2) A unit of account is a yardstick to establish the values of goods
Unit of account allows us to make comparisons.
Money as a medium of exchange is closely linked to money as a unit of account
If we had a common unit of account, the prices of the Pokball and the Digivice
would be easier to express and compare
100
(3) A store of value is just what it sounds like, something that keeps its purchasing power
into the future
Sellers can hold onto money for weeks, months, or years before becoming a buyer
Money pays no interest
Wealth is all the value in an economy
To distinguish what makes wealth, economists use liquidity
Liquidity measures how an asset can be converted into that economys particular medium
of exchange
Currency is the most liquid asset
Checking accounts, most stocks and bonds, and shares of mutual funds are highly
liquid
Real estate and antiques are more difficult to sell and therefore less liquid
Commodity and fiat money
Commodity money is money with intrinsic value
The moneys component material has worth
Money made of gold or silver is considered commodity money
During World War II, prisoners of war used cigarettes as money
Fiat money is money with no inherent worth
A fiat is an order or decree
Likewise, fiat money is money by government decree
Medium
of
exchange
Unit of
account
Store of
value
Commodity
money
Money
Fiat money
Measuring money
To analyze the effects of money on the economy, we must know how much there is
In the United States, the stock of money is made up of several things
The money supply is the stock of liquid assets in an economy that can be exchanged for goods
Currency is money in the form of paper or coins and is used in everyday transactions
We are most familiar with currency
Currency can be made of something valuable (a commodity), backed by a commodity,
or based purely on fiat (or faith)
In early America, the government exchanged currency for silver
When trying to memorize things like what is in M1 and M2(explained on the next page), a really good trick is thinking of a scene,
or a story, that involves elements from whatever youre memorizing. Like for M1, I think about a traveler at a bank, who is currently
demanding that he check his deposits. Tad
102
M1
M2
Dollar amount
(in billions)
Currency
758.7
Nonbank travelers
checks
6.3
Demand/checking
deposits
294.8
306.8
M1
1366.6
Savings deposits
3033.7
1218.9
959.9
Total
6579.1
The longer the maturity of the bond, the greater the risk of changes in price
103
104
This section was before the money stuff in the resource guide.
Both bond and debt have the letter b in them!
To compensate for this, a borrower must offer high enough rates of interest to their
bond buyers
The United States government is a safe credit risk 105, so it can borrow at lower rates
than private companies
Financially insecure companies must pay high interest rates to attract bond
purchasers
A stock represents a share in ownership for a firm
The sale of stock shares is termed equity finance
A company will sell stocks to make money
Shareholders enjoy benefits if the company succeeds through the payment of dividends
or an increase in the value of their shares
The company will only make money on the initial sell of the stock, not any subsequent
resellings
These new transactions do not contribute to the nations investment
Stocks can be sold on an organized stock exchange, such as NASDAQ (National
Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System) or New York Stock
Exchange (NYSE)
The prices of these shares depend on the supply and demand for shares in the company
The supply and demand for shares of stock respond to the current profits and future
prospects of the company
The ease with which shareholders can buy and sell stock on organized exchanges
contribute to the shareholders willingness to hold assets
Most companies use equity and debt finance
Shareholders receive dividends or more valuable shares if a company does well
The bondholders only get interest payments
If the company runs into trouble, bondholders are paid before shareholders
Financial intermediaries
An intermediary is a third party, acting as a link between two others
Two important intermediaries are banks and mutual funds
Small businesses are likely to turn to banks in order to get the funds they need
Banks get their funds from people who wish to save their money in deposits
Banks give their depositors interest and charge borrowers more than they pay to depositors
Deposits have little risk, since most banks deposits are fully insured and can fund can be
withdrawn whenever the account holder wishes
Banks facilitate purchases of goods and services with checking accounts
Mutual funds allow savers with little money to purchase stocks and bonds
Mutual funds purchase portfolios of stocks and bonds, and then sell the shares to savers
The shareholders of mutual funds assume the risks of decline in the value of the stocks and
bonds in the portfolio
Savers like mutual funds for two reasons
(1) Mutual funds make a high degree of diversification possible
When someone holds the stock or bonds of just one company, that person takes on
a high degree of risk 106
105
Even with all the current concern about the national debt, it remains just about the worlds safest currency for investors. That may
change someday, of course.
106
Putting all of your eggs in one basket.
(2) Mutual funds provide their savers access to the knowledge and insight of
professional money managers
Buying bonds takes securities out of the economy and injects money into it
107
108
Selling bonds takes money out of the economy and replaces it with securities 109
(2) Adjustments to the discount rate and the federal funds rate by the Board of Governors
are the next most-utilized ways of conducting monetary policy
The discount rate is the rate of interest which the Federal Reserve charges commercial
banks for loans
Commercial banks will seek loans to meet cash shortfalls or to maintain reserve
requirements
As the lender of last resort, the Federal Reserve acts as the bank for commercial
banks
Lowering the discount rate encourages commercial banks to make loans because
borrowing from the Federal Reserve in case of a shortfall will be less costly
Increasing the discount rate increases the cost of borrowing from the Fed, which
will discourage commercial banks from making loans
The more banks loan, the more money is injected into the economy
The Federal Reserve exercises direct control over the discount rate and can set the
rate as it wishes
If a bank is forced to borrow from the Federal Reserve, others will think that
bank is experiencing financial difficulty
The federal funds rate is the overnight rate of interest charged on loans between banks
As with the discount rate, banks will loan more at a lower rate, less at a higher rate
The Federal Reserve does not set the federal funds rate directly
Buying and selling government securities impacts the interest rate as well as directly
influencing how much money is in the economy
(3) The final way the Federal Reserve can conduct monetary policy is by changing the
reserve requirement
The reserve requirement (also known as the reserve-deposit ratio) is the percentage of
deposits which a bank must have on hand at any given time
When banks loan money, the money is taken from deposits given to them by
customers
If all deposits are loaned out, depositors will be unable to withdraw their money
when they want to do so
Reserves are the extra money that banks keep on hand to be able to pay
depositors
If banks run out of deposits, they can collapse and savers may lose their money
Ensuring that banks always have a certain amount of money on hand means that
depositors will always be able to withdraw their deposits
109
A nice mnemonic for you: Buy Bonds = Bigger Bucks, and Sell Bonds = Smaller Bucks Lawrence
Making reserve requirements legally binding means that banks will always have to
meet these requirements
If reserves dip below the required amount, banks have to borrow money from
other banks or Federal Reserve to restore required levels
This is one way changes in discount and federal funds rates affect money supply
The impact of changes in the reserve ratio on the money supply can be measured
through the money multiplier (MM)
MM =
For example, if the reserve requirement is 20% of total deposits, then the money
multiplier will be 5: 1 .2 = 5
To calculate the impact of a new deposit in a bank on the money supply, multiply
the amount of the deposit by the money multiplier
If the reserve ratio is 20% and someone deposits $1 million in a bank, the net
result will be a $5 million increase in the money supply:
$1 million x 5 = $5 million
Theoretically, the bank will loan out $800,000 (80%) of the initial $1 million deposit
Of this $800,000 that is re-deposited, 80% ($640,000) will be loaned out again
Consequently, they can loan out more funds, increasing the money supply
If the reserve ratio is increased, banks have to keep more money on hand
They cant loan out as much money, and the money supply decreases
Unlike open-market operations and changes in interest rates, changes in the reserve
requirement are initiated by the Federal Reserves Board of Governors, not the FOMC
The reserve requirement is not usually utilized as a policy tool because it alters the
banking system, which creates difficulties for banks
Banks can hold reserves beyond what is required, so as to more easily pay depositors
The reserve requirement is enabled by fractional reserve banking
Depositors still own the money they have deposited in the bank, but banks can
loan this money to borrowers
1
RR
M-C
R
+C=
R C+M-C
R
M + (R - 1) C
R
Policy Tool
Who
Acts?
What Happens?
Expansionary/
Contractionary
Used How
Often?
Open-Market
Operations
FOMC
E: Buy securities
C: Sell securities
Daily
Discount Rate
(DR)
Board of
Governors
E: DR
C: DR
Rarely
Federal Funds
Rate (FFR)
Board of
Governors
E: FFR
C: FFR
About once
per quarter
Reserve
Requirements
(RR)
Board of
Governors
E: RR
C: RR
Very rarely
Note that the Federal Reserve does NOT change the money supply by actually creating new
Investment Rates
Interest
Rate
Money
Supply
Money
Demand
Quantity of Money
Investment
Demand
Quantity of Investment
All of the monetary policy tools serve to increase or decrease the effective money supply
The money supply curve shifts to the left or right if the policy tool is contractionary or
expansionary, respectively
Contractionary monetary policy decreases the money supply
Expansionary monetary policy increases the money supply
A change in the interest rate through monetary policy influences the amount of investment
in an economy
Expansionary monetary policy leads to lower interest rates, which encourages investment
Remember that investment is a component of GDP
Expansionary monetary policy, therefore, increases GDP through increases in investment
Contractionary monetary policy decreases GDP through decreases in investment
Think of the curves as the market for money and the market for investment, respectively
Do not forget that monetary policy refers to changes in the money supply which can only be
done by the Federal Reserve
Bank runs
Fractional reserves are problematic when the public decides it wants to hold more currency
A bank run is a rush of depositors to a bank in order to withdraw their deposits prior to other
depositors
Banks only hold reserves equal to a fraction of their liabilities
Even the solvent banks will be unable to pay all of their depositors
A solvent banks assets exceed its liabilities
Banks will be forced to shut their doors until loans are repaid or borrow more funds
At points like this, the Fed must act as a lender of last resort to prevent disruptions
In the past, bank runs were a frequent source of financial disruption
Saving and investment in aggregate 110
Remember that GDP equals production, income, and expenditures
This equality is an identity
By virtue of being an identity, it is always true
Let us assume that the economy in question is closed to trade
Therefore, GDP = Y = C + I + G
Naturally, I = Y C G
The right side (Y C G) is national savings
This implies another identity, that savings equals investment (S = I)
We can subtract net taxes (T) from each side
S = (Y C T) + (T G) = I
This means that savings is equal to the sum of private savings and government saving
Private savings is the amount of money that households have left over after taxes and
consumption spending
For households, taxes are an expense, but they are income for the government
If government savings (T G) is positive, the government is running a budget surplus
Otherwise, the government is running a budget deficit
Note that whenever the government runs a deficit, it reduces investment, which in turn
reduces the growth of living standards
International capital flows in an open economy
In an open economy, domestic savings no longer have to equal domestic investment
There are two types of international capital flows
(1) Foreign direct investment describes when a company or individual acquires assets in a
foreign country that they will actively manage
Mitsubishi bought Rockefeller Center in 1989
110
The next few sections are actually from after everything on the Fed.
(2) Portfolio investment occurs when an individual or company purchases stocks or bonds
issued by a foreign corporation
Similar to net exports, we now must consider net capital outflow
Net capital outflow (NCO) equals the purchase of foreign capital or financial assets by
domestic residents minus foreign purchase of domestic assets
In an open economy, NCO always equals NX
This holds true because it is an identity
Recall that Y = C + I + G + NX
Rearrange so that Y C G = S = I + NX
Since NCO and NX are the same, S = I + NCO
This means that in an open economy, savings can differ from investment only to the extent
by which the difference is offset by net capital outflow
How financial markets coordinate saving and investment
We will consider a closed economy, the situation will be quite similar
Even though there is a large number of financial markets, they are all closely linked
111
Individuals with excess savings
can easily move their funds between markets to get
the most return
Borrowers have many different markets to choose from
Therefore, we can merge these markets into a single financial market when analyzing them
The financial market features the supply of savings and the demand for savings
The demand for savings is equivalent to investment
The supply and demand for savings are equalized through adjustments of the interest rate
We graph quantity on the horizontal axis and the real interest rate on the vertical axis
In the financial market, the real interest rate acts as the price of a loan
The real interest rate is how much borrowers pay for the loan and how much savers
receive for making the loan
For a lender (saver), saving is a decision to postpone consumption until the future
Lenders do this because they know that by receiving interest, they can consume
more in the future
We graph the real interest rate because that is
Financial Market
what lenders and borrowers consider
Real
Supply of
The real interest rate is the nominal
Interest
Savings
Rate
interest rate minus the rate of inflation
The higher the real interest, the greater
the amount that people will save
This is why the supply of savings is
upward sloping
Savings
The lower the real interest, the more
Demand
investment projects businesses will pursue
Businesses only borrow and invest if
Quantity of Money
they believe the new revenues they can
earn will exceed the cost of borrowing
This is why the demand for savings is downward sloping
Consider three possible changes 112 in market equilibrium
111
112
I dont think I would ever have excess savings, but this is probably a personal failing on my part. Jessica
There are more, but these are the only three USAD mentions.
(1) New, more productive technology shifts the money demand curve out
Interest rates rise and more people save and invest
(2) The government increases its deficit and causes the supply of savings to shift left
Interest rates are higher, but the total amount of saving and investment decreases
(3) The government gives a tax credit that ends up encouraging savings
Interest rates fall, while saving and investment increase
At this point, the value of money (1/P) and the quantity of money in the market will settle
where the money supply and money demand intersect
1/P (the value of money) belongs on the vertical axis
Money Market
Value of
money
(1/P)
Money
Supply
Money
Demand
Quantity of Money
Suppose the Fed decides to double the money supply
People will find they have more money than they want 113
114
Many people will put their extra money into a bank, increasing the supply of savings
Increasing the supply of savings will cause interest rates to fall
In turn, businesses and consumers will increase spending
Therefore, demand for goods and services in the economy will increase
Since the supply of goods and services remains unchanged, higher demand will cause the
price level to increase
Prices will continue rising until they have risen enough for money demand to equal money
supply
At this new point, the value of money has fallen by half (the price level doubled)
In short, the change in the money supply initiated by the Fed, in the long run, is equal to
the increase in the price level
The long-run neutrality of money means that changes in the quantity of money have no effect
on real quantities in the nations economy
Monetary changes will only affect real quantities
Real quantities, measured in physical units, will not be affected by monetary changes
The money supply multiplied by the number of times money is used should be equal to the
output in the economy at current prices
115
The quantity theory of money states that M x V = P x Y
This equation is also known as the equation of exchange
M is the stock of money or money supply (how much money exists)
Velocity is how often a dollar bill is spent or changes hands in a given period
113
It varies over time but will always average out to its equilibrium value
Y (or T or Q) is the output of goods and services
Relative prices will not always accurately reflect the costs of production
If that person cannot predict the rate of inflation, they will not be able to calculate
future purchasing power
Economic growth
Sustained economic growth began over 200 years ago in the United States and Western
Europe
During the 19th and 20th centuries, economic growth spread to Japan and portions of Latin
America
The 1950s brought economic growth to many more countries around the world
The circular flow model
The circular flow model shows the relationship between different sectors of the economy
(1) Households
(2) Firms
116
(3) Government
The circular flow model goes two ways, and we will separate the different flows for simplicity
Goods and services move clockwise, while money moves counter-clockwise
Factor
Markets
Land, capital
labor
Households
Factors of
production
Transfer
payments
Government
Firms
Goods and
services
Goods and
services
116
Goods and
Services
Markets
Goods and
services
Income (GDP)
Households
Factor
Markets
Wages and
rent
Government
Firms
Taxes
Government
purchases
Consumption
Goods and
Services
Markets
Revenue
Both households and firms borrow from financial markets, to pay for consumer
durables and capital equipment
(2) Firms (also referred to as the business sector) consume resources to produce goods to sell to
households in the market
Firms use income to pay for the factors of production they purchase from households
(3) The government sits between consumers and the goods market
The government taxes households, earning income
The government borrows from financial markets
It uses both of these sources of income to purchase goods and services
The circular flow model has two basic markets, both of which are governed by the forces of
supply and demand
The market in which firms buy factors of production from households is the factor market
The market in which households buy final goods and services from firms is the market for
goods and services
The only places at which new wealth enters the cycle are households
Households provide human labor that can be used to work
This model assigns ownership of inputs such as land to individuals in households, who
rent it out to businesses
I remember using the mnemonic CELL to remember the factors of production: capital, entrepreneurship, land, and labor.
USAD does not emphasize this as much as in previous years, but I do recall seeing a couple of questions on which one was NOT a
factor of production (money would be the answer).
117
Real GDP per capita = real GDP per worker x fraction of population employed
GDP GDP
N
=
POP
POP
N
is real GDP per capita or the amount of goods and services available to be
The time spent learning and training could be used in productive activities
(3) Natural resources
The wealth of many countries depends on their vast natural resources
Saudi Arabia and Kuwait gain much wealth from their oil fields
Other natural resources like iron ore and petroleum contribute to a countrys wealth
In a global world, domestic natural resources are not essential to a high standard of
living or maintaining a high average labor productivity
Semiconductors
Integrated circuits
Lasers
Genetic engineering
The growth of living standards in countries like Japan, South Korea, and China
illustrates that countries can advance rapidly if they borrow and adapt
The fact that some countries are persistently poor indicates that significant barriers
to successfully borrowing and creating new ideas still exist
Dysfunctional political and legal systems prevent many countries from exploiting the
potential of modern manufacturing techniques
After World War II, North and South Korea had similar resources, populations,
and standards of living
Today, South Korea enjoys a standard of living like that in other developed nations
118
I recommend a documentary called Inside North Korea if you want an inside look at how the North Korean government operates.
Its moving and disturbing. National Geographic has it on their YouTube channel: http://tinyurl.com/37atf8q Cat
Tax credits
Subsidies
Economic fluctuations
Business cycles and their accompanying fluctuations have been a characteristic of industrial
societies since at least the late 18th century
Recessions occur when real GDP declines for two consecutive quarters (six months)
The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) is responsible for researching these
short-run fluctuations
The Great Depression lasted for 43 months, starting in August 1929
The nations real GDP fell by more than 25%
Since World War II, recessions have generally been short
Only three have lasted longer than twelve months
119
Recessions since World War II have been mild in terms of drop in real GDP
Expansions lasted longer than most recessions
Most lasted more than two years
Real GDP has trended upward
Characteristics of short-run fluctuations
The two most important correlates of fluctuations in the economys aggregate growth are
unemployment and inflation
Recessions are characterized by increased unemployment
Businesses are slow to increase hiring in the early phases of an expansion
Increased employment tends to lag behind the next stage of economic growth
Periods of expansion feature accelerating inflation
Between 1960 and 1979, the rate of inflation trended upward with the business cycle
Periods of recession are linked to slowing inflation 120
Potential Output, the Output Gap, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment
Output gap
Think of the actual level of GDP as having two parts
(1) The potential output of the economy
119
The USAD guide (except the Russia portion) predates the recent Great Recession.
If inflation occurs during a recession, an economy is experiencing stagflationhigh inflation and unemployment. A stagflation
crisis plagued the United States in the late 1970s, when the rising price of oil knocked the economy off-kilter.
120
Potential output is the quantity of goods and services that the economy could produce
when using all its resources at normal rates
The level of potential output can increase over time as technology improves and the
country obtains more resources
The variable Y* will be used to denote potential output
If cyclical unemployment increases from 1% to 2%, the output gap would increase
from 2% to 4%
Explaining short-run fluctuations
Variations in the growth of output over time can be caused by two things
(1) Changes in the growth rate of potential output
(2) Actual output falling above or below potential output
Changes in the growth rate of potential output depend on three factors
(1) Growth rate of the population
(2) Rate at which the capital stock increases
(3) Changes in the pace of technological advances
In the long run, changes in the growth rate of potential output can affect economic growth
In the short-run, variation is mostly due to divergence between actual and potential output
In a magical world where prices adjust immediately to balance supply and demand, the
economys actual output wouldnt deviate from potential output
Firms do not constantly adjust their prices to respond to changes in market demand
Instead, most firms set their prices and sell what is demanded
Only after a sustained period of imbalance between demand and desired supply do firms
change their prices
Since firms respond to variations in demand by changing production rather than prices in the
short-run, output in the economy in the short-run is determined by the level of aggregate
demand
Aggregate demand is the total desired spending on final goods and services by all of the
people in the economy
Mathematically, like GDP, aggregate demand equals the sum of consumption, investment,
government purchases, and net exports
121
This was discussed in the earlier section on unemployment, toward the beginning of macro.
Over the long run, firms will adjust prices to move back to the normal level of production
These price changes eliminate the gap between actual and potential output
Since adjustments take time, government policies can eliminate output gaps more quickly
Variations in rate of growth of output
LONG RUN
Changes in growth rate of potential output
Growth rate
of population
Rate of
increase of
capital stock
Changes in
pace of
technological
advances
SHORT RUN
Actual output
relative to
potential
output
British economist John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946) developed a model to explain short-run
economic fluctuations
He first established his theory in his 1936 book, The General Theory of Employment,
Interest, and Money
Keynes believed current microeconomic models were inadequate to account for the events
of the Great Depression
This is called the Keynesian model
Similarities to microeconomics
The intersection of supply and demand in microeconomics gave us an equilibrium price and
quantity
The intersection of aggregate supply and aggregate demand in the macroeconomic AD/AS
model yields an equilibrium price level and level of real output (GDP)
Curves and axes
According to Keynes, short-run fluctuations in the level of activity in an economy can be
summarized with the interaction of two curves
Aggregate demand (AD) curve
SR
Short-run aggregate supply (SRAS or AS )
Additionally, there is a long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) curve that is perfectly inelastic,
drawn at the point where Y = Y* (where output equals potential output)
The horizontal axis measures real GDP
The vertical axis measures the aggregate price level
While the Keynesian model looks very similar to the supply and demand diagrams that analyze
individual markets, the reasons for the shapes of the curves are different
Price Level
SRAS
AD
Full Employment
Output
Aggregate Demand
Real Level of
Output
As the price level decreases, incomes increase, allowing consumers to buy more goods
Remember that real incomes are adjusted for the price level
If the price level goes down but nominal wages stay constant, the real value of the
nominal wages increase
122
When people have more money than they want, they will save in financial markets
Increased savings cause interest rates to fall and encourages households and
firms to borrow more
(3) The third is the foreign exchange effect, analogous to the substitution effect
When domestically-produced goods grow cheaper at home, they are also cheaper abroad
The result is more consumption and exports, increasing the level of output demanded
The end result is a downward sloping curve that relates real output to price level
Firms increase planned investment spending because they expect to do well in the
future or see future opportunities for which to prepare
If firms expect rough times ahead, they will decrease planned investment, which shifts
aggregate demand to the left
During the dot.com boom of the 1990s, many of the companies made substantial
investments, which shifted the AD curve right temporarily
(3) Consumer sentiment can change
Consumer sentiment affects consumption spending and shifts the AD curve left or right
In the wake of the 9/11 attacks, consumer confidence and stock prices dropped
Wealth was reduced and consumers reduced their spending at each price level
(4) Governments can spend directly or impose taxes
By increasing or decreasing spending, the government directly changes one of the
elements of aggregate demand, shifting the curve itself
Many state governments cut spending during the 2008-2009 recession, which shifted
the AD curve left
123
USAD only lists some of these changes, so dont worry about learning everything you would in AP Macro.
When the government cuts taxes, consumers have more income to spend, which shifts
the AD curve right
Remember that a shift in the aggregate demand curve represents a change in the level of
output demanded at all price levels
A change in the price level itself only causes a movement along the aggregate demand curve
Aggregate Supply
A decrease in the expected price level will cause SRAS to shift down
125
(2) Aggregate supply shocks also shift the aggregate supply curve
Positive weather and climate conditions affect agricultural production
A good harvest means that more agricultural commodities are available at each
price, which shifts SRAS rightward 126
In 1973, OPEC initiated an oil embargo
When economists (or USAD, for that matter) say aggregate supply, they are generally referring to short-run aggregate supply.
The resource guide apparently decided to combine a bunch of shifts under this generic cause.
126
If the climate and weather are permanently beneficial to agricultural production, then LRAS would eventually shift right.
124
125
Level of Output
Over time, technological progress can cause the LRAS to shift rightward
This increase in potential output accounts for the long-run growth of real GDP
Remember that changes in the price level cause a movement along the aggregate supply curve
Only the factors listed above cause the curve itself to shift
Intersection point
The LRAS is drawn where Y = Y*
The long-run aggregate supply curve is determined by the availability and productivity of
the factors of production
Supply is independent of the price level and fixed at the full employment level of output
The long-run aggregate supply curve as a whole is perfectly inelastic, or vertical
Changes in the aggregate supply curve can only come from real changes in the productivity
of an economy
The perfect inelasticity of the long run aggregate supply curve is really a statement
about monetary neutrality
An Economy in Long-Run Equilibrium
LRAS
Price Level
SRAS
AD
Full Employment
Output
Real Level of
Output
The output level of the long-run aggregate supply curve is at the point of full employment
If the LRAS curve passes through the intersection of the SRAS curve and the aggregate
demand curve, the economy is in long-run equilibrium (see graph above)
If the LRAS curve does not pass through this point, the economy is either experiencing
inflation or recession
A recession occurs when the production level of long-run aggregate supply is greater
than the current level of production
According to classical economic theory, prices will fall, consumption and production
will increase, and the economy will move back toward long-run equilibrium
Declining investment, along with the events of 9/11, decreased aggregate demand
Some businesses will lower prices, causing the aggregate price level to decrease
SRAS
LRAS
SRAS
New equilibrium
AD2
AD1
Real Level of
Output
Eventually, the economy returns to equilibrium at a lower price level (but the
same potential output)
Recessions can also occur when SRAS decreases
In 1973, OPEC significantly reduced the supply of oil to the United States
SRAS decreased
An Economy in Recession
Price Level
LRAS
SRAS1
SRAS2
AD
Real Level of
Output
LRAS
SRAS1 / SRAS3
SRAS2
New equilibrium
(that happens to be
the same as the old)
AD
Real Level of
Output
An economy returns to equilibrium at the same price level and potential output 127
Inflation occurs when the production level of long-run aggregate supply is less than the
current level of production
According to classical economic theory, prices will rise, consumption and production
will drop, and the economy will move back toward long-run equilibrium
This is because all the SRAS is doing is shifting. Note the direction of the arrows. Graphically, shifting left is the same as shifting
down, and shifting right is the same as shifting up.
127
An Overheated Economy
SRAS
Price Level
AD2
LRAS
AD1
Real Level of
Output
Price Level
SRAS1
New
equilibrium
AD2
LRAS
AD1
Real Level of
Output
Fiscal policy
Fiscal policy allows the government to impact overall economic activity
Fiscal policy is government spending and taxation used to influence the economy
Increased government spending results in increased aggregate demand and, thus, higher GDP
Remember: C + I + G + NX = production = GDP = AD
C = consumption spending
I = investment spending
G = government spending
NX = net exports = Exports Imports = X M
Expansionary fiscal policy (increased government spending and/or lowered taxes) offsets
recessions and restores full employment
Contractionary fiscal policy (decreased government spending and/or increased taxes) cools
down expansions and brings employment back down to the natural rate
The two types of fiscal policy are direct or indirect spending through taxes
Cutting taxes increases income, which increases spending
Increased spending, in turn, shifts AD to the right
Arguments 130 for and against government intervention
Supporters of intervention argue that deviations of actual output from potential output are costly
When resources are not fully employed, the economy loses what could have been produced
Unemployment causes significant hardships
Whenever resources are overemployed, inflation results
Detractors have two arguments against government intervention
(1) It is difficult to identify what the potential output is and what interventions are needed
It takes time to collect information about the aggregate economy
The first estimates of GDP for a given year take three months to calculate
effectively the period of time in which the performance of the economy deviates from the predictions of the long-run model. Judging
from the length of typical economic cycles, this is usually from one to three years.
130
Normative economic statements ahead! Cat
Cons
May not be
practical to
carry out
economic
policy
Hard to
identify when
and what
interventions
are needed
POWER NOTES
According to the USAD outline, 10
questions should come from Section IV.
10 questions (20%) come from Section IV
on the USAD Economics Practice Test
This subsection covers pgs. 104-107 of the
USAD Economics Resource Guide
Planned Economy
131
According to Marxist theory, socialism is a state that exists between the overthrow of capitalism and establishment of communism.
Both socialism and communism emphasize public ownership of property and means of production. The Soviet Union could be
described as both socialist and communist. http://tinyurl.com/7oj9xgm
Forms of Property
132
133
For simplicitys sake, all enterprises, companies, corporations, and businesses will be referred to as firms in this guide.
For example, economies of scale can be achieved by increasing production to take the most advantage of fixed overhead costs.
State
Committee/Ministry
of Planning (Gosplan)
writes plans
Central Committee of
the Communist Party
approves plans
Council of Ministers
and its respective
ministries execute
plans
134
Number of cars to
produce
Machines
required to mine
iron ore
Labor required to
work machines
137
138
Economic distortions
A chronic shortage economy emerged in almost every sector
The planning system misestimated the supply and demand for goods
In a free market economy, changes in price eliminate excess demand and supply
This shortage condition affected consumer goods
Managers had built-in incentives to underreport production
This ensured that plan targets for the next year would not exceed the firms capabilities
A firm that could produce 150% of the target plan might produce only 101%
This signaled improvement but not enough to cause expectations of it to increase
Managers hid extra output and sold it on the black market
Outputs differed in proportion to inputs
Target plans only specified that firms meet a goal, not fully utilize the allocated inputs
As a result, excess inputs existed in some sectors while shortage existed in others
This caused poor allocation of resources and waste
Socialism overemphasized rapid growth
Quantity of production took precedence over quality
Inferior quality of goods still impedes Russias ability to compete in world markets
The state prioritized industrial production over consumer production
A black market emerged in response to the chronic shortage state
A black market is called a shadow economy
It consists of economic activity that lacks official state approval
In the socialist system, private property and private means of production do not exist
Black market participants circumvented price lists and other restrictions of the system
Some analysts believed the black market kept the system alive
The black market remedied some of the failures of the planning system
It also fueled corruption at every level of the economy
Russia still feels the effects of the black market today
POWER NOTES
According to the USAD outline, 10
questions should come from Section IV.
10 questions (20%) come from Section IV
on the USAD Economics Practice Test
This subsection covers pgs. 107-111 of the
USAD Economics Resource Guide
Mikhail Gorbachev
Mikhail Gorbachev (b. 1931) became the General
Secretary of the Communist Party in March 1985
139
A coup was attempted against him coup in 1991
The Soviet Union collapsed later that year
Problems facing Gorbachev upon entering office
Soviet Russias stagnating economy was the greatest
challenge
Its planning system lacked flexibility
The complexity of calculating economic needs
exceeded the capabilities of state planners
Tim Colton believed planners could not
anticipate the need for computerization
As the economys size and complexity increased, so did planning failures
Values and motivation suffered under the overbearing state
Reform and reconstruction
Gorbachev immediately recognized a need for an overhaul of the economy
This goal was referred to as perestroika, literally translating to reconstruction
He did not intend to establish a market-based liberal system
He sought to reform the existing communist system
Criticism
Many critics argued that Gorbachev ignored the Soviet economy
They compared his actions to Chinese leader Deng Xiaopings actions in the 1980s
They accused him of sequencing reform
This practice involves favoring easier political reforms
In contrast, Gorbachev began his reforms with the economic challenge
Gorbachevs economic policies between 1985 and 1991 followed four phases 140
139
In August 1991, parts of the Soviet government and military trapped Mikhail Gorbachev in his house and demanded he resign.
Boris Yeltsin and thousands of Russians demanded he be restored to office. The coup failed. Gorbachev returned, but the coup
damaged his reputation and his authority over the Soviet Union soon dissolved. He resigned in December 1991.
140
Gorbachev doesnt actually execute policies in all of the phases, but it may be helpful to learn his term in four parts.
Anti-alcohol campaign
First, Gorbachev tackled worker absenteeism and low labor productivity
He initiated an anti-alcohol campaign to reduce chronic alcoholism among workers
The campaign closed down some alcohol factories
Some Russians resorted to producing bootleg liquor
The consumption of bootleg liquor also meant that productivity remained low
Uskorenie
Gorbachev attempted to invest in old infrastructure
He launched a project called uskorenie, literally meaning acceleration
Uskorenie referred to the acceleration of investment in old plants and factories
The Soviet Union lagged behind the Wests technological progress
Poor infrastructure impeded labor productivity
Failure of both reforms
Both initiatives failed socially and economically
The anti-alcohol campaign worked against the investment project
Closed alcohol factories reduced state revenue
Decreased revenue hindered increases in investment
Neither initiative improved worker discipline, economic productivity, or infrastructure
Workers still consumed bootleg liquor
The budget deficit increased 141
Glasnost
Glasnost142 refers to a policy that allowed greater public discussion
Gorbachev initiated it at the Central Committee of the Communist Party plenum in
1987
A plenum is a planning meeting
Glasnost allowed citizens to openly discuss the merits of the communist and market systems
The Soviet Union had never allowed this level of free speech
Glasnost enabled the Soviet media and politicians to discuss issues freely
143
Politicians of this time comprised a new super parliament
in 1989
More importantly, glasnost jumpstarted discussion on private property
The subject had always remained taboo
Demokratizatsiia
Demokratizatsiia introduced limited accountability into Soviet politics
The term demokratizatsiia translates to democratization
It enabled greater participation of interest groups in the political process
Introduction of private property rights
Cooperative enterprises represented the introduction of quasi-property rights
These firms operated in the commercial and service sectors
141
Mikhail Gorbachev gets a gold star for trying. And by gold star I mean an attempted coup by his own Politburo. Cat
I remember glasnost because it kind of has glass in it, which is transparent like discussion was intended to be. Also, you make
windows out of glass, and you can open windows. Whatever works! Cat
143
Mikhail Gorbachevs democratization reforms allowed non-Communist candidates to compete against Communist Party
candidates in the March 1989 election for positions in the new Parliament Congress of Peoples Deputies.
142
Phase III: 1989: Stagflation and the Fall of Communism in Eastern Europe
Collapse of communism in Eastern Europe
Gorbachevs reforms met a receptive audience in Eastern Europe
The Berlin Wall 145 fell in November 1989
Several satellite communist governments 146 in Eastern Europe followed suit
The collapse destroyed guaranteed markets for inferior Soviet goods
This loss further damaged the Soviet economy
Gorbachevs indecision
Gorbachev attempted to please both radical reformers and conservatives
As a result, his inconsistent policies deepened the economic crisis
Reform efforts created larger budget deficits
Sustained subsidies to industry drained the states funds
Inflation plagued the economy even as growth declined
144
Because the system of imperfect information wasnt bad enough already! Marin Young
The Soviet Union built the Berlin Wall in 1961 to separate Soviet-controlled East Berlin from democratic West Berlin.
146
Satellite states refer to countries heavily influenced by another country. Soviet Russias satellite states included Poland, Bulgaria,
Czechoslovakia, Romania, Hungary, and East Germany. Discuss: what are American satellite states?
145
147
The Five Hundred Days Plan reminds me of 500 Days of Summer. It was written in the summer of 1990 too! Cat
Convertibility describes the ability of a currency to be exchanged for another currency (or gold).
149
The ruble is the currency used in Russia. Several other countries in Eastern Europe influenced by the Soviet Union also used
currencies called the ruble, though they were all different. http://tinyurl.com/8hkvs7q
148
Pre-existing problems
Although Gorbachev may have fallen short, the Soviet Unions system deteriorated on its own
Production levels declined throughout the late 1970s
They hit a free fall in the late 1980s under Gorbachev
The growing state sector presented problems for future policymakers
The state controlled almost every economic activity
By 1991, most people were on the state payroll
Although the economy appeared fully employed, many people did nothing
We pretend to work and you pretend to pay us became a popular saying 150
Post-Soviet policymakers feared increasing unemployment
Minimal pensions and wages necessitated that people work after retirement
Chronic shortages caused by sub-optimal planning was an enduring problem
Industrial production far outstripped consumer production
This imbalance contributed to the low standard of living
Economic growth under the planning system carried high costs
The system created inefficiency
Because of the systems emphasis on economies of scale, monopolies dominated the economy
Massive firms operated efficiently as monopolies
150
Before 1989 151, the Soviet Union rarely traded with non-communist countries
152
These conditions exposed the Soviet Union to the resource curse
Flaws of the Soviet system
Money had no real value since prices did not reflect supply and demand
Price lists determined prices for everything sold in the Soviet Union
Additionally, the ruble could not be converted in international markets
About 3,000 different exchange rates existed for almost every item in foreign trade
The state controlled conversion rates
Two types of rubles with different values existed in the economy
Enterprise accounts used one type
Consumers used the other
The Soviet economy lacked important financial institutions and markets
These missing essentials included a private banking system, a real estate market, a stock
market, and private companies
Negative growth rates
Exacerbated by Gorbachevs reforms, these conditions 153 stunted growth
By the collapse of the Soviet Union on December 25, 1991 154, growth rates hit -17%
Growth rates had declined from +3% in 1989
151
Remember, this is when the Berlin Wall and the communist governments of Eastern Europe fell. The Soviet Union pretty much
lost all its guaranteed markets that year. They lost their training wheels but didnt know how to ride the bike! Cat
152
The resource curse doesnt become a huge problem for Russia until the early 2000s. Ill elaborate more then.
153
A beta tester would also like to add that the dismal state of the economy of the USSR wasnt solely due to their policies; they were
also busy building weapons, lending aid to other possible Communist countries, and researching science that could be used in
warfare, during this period, known as the Cold War. http://tinyurl.com/8uzg3
154
Merry Christmas, Russia! Jared
155
Now if only we could manage that in our Decathlon team. Jared
POWER NOTES
According to the USAD outline, 10
questions should come from Section IV.
10 questions (20%) come from Section IV
on the USAD Economics Practice Test
This subsection covers pgs. 111-117 of the
USAD Economics Resource Guide
Stabilization
End of subsidies to
unprofitable industries
Control of budget
deficit
Liberalization
Elimination of price controls
Exposure of domestic markets to
competition (both foreign and
domestic)
Establishment of convertibility of
the ruble
Privatization
Separation of ownership and
management
Introduction of new profitmotivated practices
These three key policies 157158 inflicted a short-term shock on the population
156
The main tenets closely match the Five Hundred Day Plan, but there are extra details to remember.
Stabilization. Liberalization. Privatization. Slap? Single Ladies Party? Find a way to remember this! Cat
158
How about SLIP (Stabilization LIberalization Privatization)? Adeolu
157
In the early 1990s, barter economies existed in both agriculture and industry
The end of shock therapy
To assuage opposition, the state issued Central Bank credits to firms in the spring of 1992
They also increased printing of the ruble
This compromise caused spikes in the budget deficit and inflation
These effects especially hurt consumers
This violation of fiscal austerity and deficit control signaled the end of shock therapy 159
All other areas of the reform plan receded as well
Russia opted for more gradual reforms after 1992
This path necessitated abandoning several aspects of liberal market reform
Privatization in Theory
No more than one third of national employment can exist in the public sector
Third, separation of ownership from management
In the planned economy, managers did not legally own their firms
They only controlled them because of their access to information about the firm
This system of ministerial control declined under Gorbachev in the late 1980s
159
In essence, firms could not survive the initial shock. The lack of anticipation for this problem spelled the end of shock therapy.
Gaidar was a little too ambitious and optimistic, in my opinion, but it was a start. Cat
160
USAD doesnt list a fourth goal.
161
Political pluralism is the view that power should be spread among a variety of groups representing different interests as opposed to
concentrating power among one group of elites.
They pocketed extra money from selling excess products on the black market
Yeltsin hoped to introduce managerial accountability to a board of directors
This principle was referred to as corporatization
He intended to incentivize managers with the principles of supply and demand
Directors would assess managers on profit and loss, instead of political criteria
Privatization in Practice
Classification of privatization
Gaidar and Yeltsin passed the privatization legislation in June 1992
They initiated the program a month later, in July 1992
The program attempted to satisfy conflicting ownership claims between managers, local
governments, and workers
It created the State Committee on Property to oversee the process
162
This committee was also called the Goskomimushchestvo
They classified firms eligible for privatization as small, medium, or large
Wholesale trade
Retail trade
Food services
Construction
Consumer services
Privatization options
Firms could choose between three different paths of privatization
These options differed in the percentage of shares owned by insiders
Insiders include managers and workers of the firm
The firm auctioned off their remaining shares or traded them for vouchers
All three options granted insiders favored access to shares
They allowed for over 25% insider ownership
Gaidar made this sacrifice to incentivize managers to participate in privatization
162
Vouchers had to be claimed by the end of January 1993 and invested by July 1, 1994
The state distributed privatization vouchers to every man, woman, and child 163
The effort hoped to involve public sector workers in the process of privatization
Doctors and teachers did not privatize their firms but could still participate
Citizens could trade their vouchers for shares of privatizing firms
This feature aimed to create a vibrant stock market
Initially, each voucher held a value of 10,000 rubles in shares
When the first privatization legislation passed in June 1992, vouchers were worth $84
Russians received an average of $50 a month in wage
163
No matter what I tell him, little Boris only seems to want to invest in candy! Cat
This is an example of leakage, the failure to make a rational decision. Marin
165
Makes you wonder why he chose to be the Minister of Privatization - Cat
166
This can be thought of as the third stage of privatization, though USAD doesnt explicitly say so. Cat
167
A blue-chip company refers is a nationally known, well-established company with reliable earnings and dividends.
164
Non-inflationary measures
By 1996, inflation and the ruble exchange rate stabilized
The years 1996 and 1997 were characterized by stabilization and low inflation
The ruble reached a semi-convertible state
Russia achieved stabilization by stopping the Central Bank from printing money
168
169
In return, the state allowed them to export without paying taxes and tariffs
In 1996 and 1997, the state fell behind on payment of wages and pensions
Russians worked for no pay
Growing debt
By late spring and summer of 1998, the state started borrowing foreign currency
These loans financed their troubling domestic short-term debt
In the first eight months of 1998, Russias foreign debt increased by 18.5 million dollars
This reduced the foreign currency reserves required to support the ruble
On July 20, 1998, the International Monetary Fund offered Russia aid
The package they offered aimed to finance wages and domestic short-term debt
Instead, Russia used the package to attempt to save the ruble and failed
Effects
The financial crisis occurred on August 17, 1998
On this day, Russia devalued the ruble
It defaulted on its domestic and international debts
The crisis eliminated all savings in Russia
Devaluation of the ruble made imported goods too expensive
Russians returned to purchasing domestic products
171
This increase in consumption boosted the recovery of domestic industry
By 1999, Russias economy started to grow for the first time since the collapse of the Soviet
Union
The recovery of domestic manufacturing played a part
Increases in prices for raw material exports also contributed greatly
Growth continued until the global financial crisis in 2008
170
171
The International Monetary Fund is an organization of 188 countries that encourages cooperation, stability, and trade.
Every cloud has a silver lining. Think about Russias domestic industry next time youre having a bad day. - Cat
# Growth GDP
Year
# Growth GDP
2000
8.5%
2004
7%
2001
6%
2005
7%
2002
6%
2006
7%
2003
7%
2007
9%
Economic growth
Between 1999 and the summer of 2008, Russias economy grew rapidly
The result: budget surpluses, no foreign debt, and sizeable hard-currency reserves
Inflation remained modest
GDP growth reached an all-time high in 2000
Rising oil prices
Russias growth coincided with a rise in prices for Urals crude oil
This crude oil blend was Russias chief export
The value of a barrel increased from $12 USD in 1998 to $70 in 2007
This rise in prices increased government and personal income
Higher incomes increased demand for manufactured goods and commercial services
Professor Philip Hanson states that, It is by their indirect effects that oil and gas
price rises fuelled Russian growth.
172
This involved removing requirements for special bank accounts and making the ruble fully convertible to other currencies.
Resource Curse
Export natural
resources
Increase
quantity of
foreign currency
Increase value
of domestic
currency
Domestic goods
become too
expensive
Consumers
demand fewer
domestic goods
Imported goods
replace
domestic goods
Domestic
manufacturing
worsens
The term Dutch disease was first used to describe how the discovery of natural gas fields in the Netherlands seemed to cause the
decline of its manufacturing sector.
The state pressured firms to invest instead of allowing market forces to provide incentives
State ownership of oil expanded considerably
174
The state-controlled natural gas
company Gazprom 175 purchased Sibneft 176
The government also took over gas company Yukos and oil company Rosneft
Government control of oil rose from 19% in 2004 to over 50% by 2008
The Russian gas industry has not undergone privatization yet
The growth rate of oil production fell between 2004 and 2007
Exports fell proportionally
Year
% Rise in Oil
Production
2004
+ 10%
2005
+ 5%
2006
+ 3%
2007
+ 2%
174
Though both are fossil fuels, oil is liquid from petroleum and natural gas consists (mostly) of gaseous methane.
In 1989, the Soviet Unions Ministry of Gas Industry transformed into a corporation named Gazprom. Gazprom is Russias largest
industry and the worlds largest natural gas extractor. The state still owns most of Gazprom.
176
Sibneft, Russias fifth largest oil producing and refining company, was created in 2005. Gazprom bought 80% of Sibnefts shares
in 2005; Sibneft is now called Gazpromneft.
175
Russia experienced budget deficits for the first time since the 1998 economic crisis
Stunted recovery
By the first quarter of 2009, Russia exhibited
the same ailments as it did in the 1990s
Negative growth
High unemployment
High inflation
Low oil export prices
Weak manufacturing
Prudent fiscal policy 177 and rising oil prices
aided Russias transition out of the 1998 crisis
Boris Yeltsins administration established
these policies before Putin entered office
Putin introduced a more authoritarian
developmental model
He implemented more autocratic and stateled economic policies
Russias growth did not result from these policies
In fact, Putins approach stunted Russias ability to transition out of the 2008 crisis
Recovery depended on several factors that would prove difficult to achieve
Domestic consumer demand would have to increase
High unemployment and inflation strongly worked against this goal
World oil prices would have to rise
The global recession suppressed demand for oil
The state would have to implement prudent fiscal policy
Russia Today
Enduring problems
Russias manufacturing sector fails to compete in the
global marketplace
Russia can only compete in raw materials exports
Russias GDP over-relies on oil and gas
The economy is at the mercy of world markets
Modernization
Dmitri Medvedev initiated a new modernization
The effects of the global economic crisis
necessitated that Russia diversify its economy
Dependence on oil exports made Russias economy fragile
Medvedev launched the construction of a Russian Silicon Valley called Skolkovo
This project intended to use Russias educated labor force to innovate new products
Medvedev located the site in a new economic zone outside Moscow
Skolkovo will probably not contribute significantly to GDP for years or decades
Medvedev promised to stabilize Russias legal regime and approach to property
This change would encourage and protect foreign investors
177
POWER NOTES
According to the USAD outline, 40 questions
should come from Sections I III.
40 questions (80%) come from Sections I III on
the USAD Economics Practice Test
Section I-III Summaries cover pgs. 8, 55 56, and
102-103 of the USAD Economics Resource Guide
Section I: Fundamentals
Definitions
Economics studies how individuals make choices and how these choices interact
These choices revolve around how to allocate scarce resources
Scarcity describes the inescapable limited nature of resources
Humans desire unlimited goods and services
Every choice requires a trade-off
An individual must give something up, his opportunity cost, to get something else
Rationality states that people use cost-benefit analysis to choose the most beneficial actions
All voluntary trade benefits everyone involved
These benefits are called gains from trade
Economic models illustrate economic phenomena by depicting only essential details
Positive economics analyzes economic phenomena objectively
It predicts future outcomes based on certain circumstances
Normative economics analyzes economic phenomena subjectively
It compares the costs and benefits of different outcomes
Pareto efficiency describes a situation in which resources are fully used
No person can be made better off without making others worse off
The law of supply states that quantity supplied increases as price increases
The position of the supply curve depends on several factors
Price of inputs
Technology
Expectations
Number of sellers
Elasticity
Elasticity measures how responsive supply and demand are to changes in price
This measure ignores units when calculating price and quantity
Perfect competition
A perfectly competitive market meets three important criteria
Large number of buyers and sellers
Homogenous goods or services
Market participants are informed of the market price
A competitive market reaches equilibrium when market participants have no reason to change
their behavior
Equilibrium maximizes total surplus
This point occurs where the supply and demand curves intersect
The competitive market model illustrates equilibrium price and quantity
The model can determine how economic conditions affect equilibrium
It can also measure changes in consumer and producer surplus
Firms enter and exit competitive markets until all firms make zero economic profits
Imperfect competition
Barriers to entry cause the creation of imperfect competition
Three main types of imperfectly competitive markets exist
Monopolies have one producer
Oligopolies have few producers
Monopolistic competition has many producers of similar but differentiated products
The outcome of imperfect competition differs from perfect competition in a few main ways
Lower equilibrium quantity
Higher equilibrium price
Lower total surplus
Trade
Trade makes all participants better off
International trade increases total surplus
However, free trade hurts some members of the economy
Free trade often faces opposition
Market failure
Market failure is the inability of a market to reach a socially efficient outcome
This happens when externalities occur or private property breaks down
Externalities describe economic interactions that occur outside of markets
Creating a market for externalities can solve this problem
Government regulation can also resolve externalities
Categorization of goods
All goods and services are classified by their rivalry and excludability
They are categorized as private, common, collective, or public
Government
Institutions, organizations, and governments organize human interaction through rules
Governments are unique in that they can tax citizens and use force
Governments increase well-being by protecting private property and market transactions
They impose price ceilings and floors, taxes, and subsidies
Revenues from taxes pay for important services
They also increase inefficiencies through pork barrel politics and rent-seeking
Main topics
The study of macroeconomics seeks to answer two questions
What causes the long-run growth and size of an economy?
What causes and results from short-run changes in economy activity, employment, and
inflation?
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
GDP measures the total output or production of an economy
This includes the market value of all final goods produced domestically within a specific
period of time
Production equals expenditures equals income
Expenditures fall into four categories
Consumption
Investment
Government
purchases
Net exports
Natural resources
Technological knowledge
GDP
Money supply
Money is a medium of exchange, unit of account, and store of value
Economists categorize money as M1 and/or M2
The Federal Reserve System serves as the central bank of the United States
The Fed was established in 1913
12 district banks and a Federal Reserve Board comprise the Fed
The district banks are located in major cities across the nation
The Federal Reserve Board is located in Washington, D.C.
The Fed manipulates the economys money supply
It lends money to banks as a last resort
In the long run, changes in money supply do not affect real quantities
They only affect prices
In the short run, changes in money supply affect saving and borrowing
They also affect economic activity
Unemployment
The unemployment rate measures the percentage of the labor force who would like to work
but cannot find jobs
Economists divide unemployment into frictional, structural, and cyclical unemployment
Inflation
Inflation describes an increase in all prices in an economy
The Consumer Price Index and Gross Domestic Product Deflator measure inflation
Short-run fluctuations
Economists distinguish between potential output and actual output
Potential output is the quantity produced with all resources fully employed
The difference between potential and actual output is the output gap
In the long run, an economy produces at potential output
In the short run, firms set prices and sell based on demand
An economys level of output depends on its aggregate demand
Aggregate demand may or may not equal potential output
Differences between actual and potential output cause aggregate price level to change
Changes in aggregate price level return the economy to potential output
The government can use monetary and fiscal policy to help close the output gap faster
But the effects of government policy often occur too late
This setback often worsens the economic situation
SECTION IV SUMMARY
POWER PREVIEW
This section covers the summary of Section IV, which
encompasses the portion of the curriculum pertaining to the
economies of the Soviet Union and Russia. This section
divides Russias history based on its leadership and succinctly
examines the mechanics and effects of various economic
reforms.
POWER NOTES
According to the USAD outline, 10
questions should come from Section IV.
10 questions (20%) come from Section IV
on the USAD Economics Practice Test
Section IV Summary covers pgs. 121-123 of
the USAD Economics Resource Guide
Planned economy
Marxism-Leninism provided the ideological backbone of the Soviet economy
This ideology emphasized public ownership of all means of production
Stalin collectivized farms in the 1930s
The state took every Russian farmers private property
Nationalizing property gave the bureaucracy immense economic control through planning
Shifting to a planned economy had three main aims
Remove the anarchy of the market
Organize the economy on a national scale
Distribute goods equitably
From 1928 until the late 1980s, the Soviet economy operated on five-year plans
Each plan coordinated bureaucratic commands among several agencies
Firms made exactly the amount stated in individual target plans
Managers lacked incentives to innovate
The bureaucracy controlled prices through price lists for every product sold
Planning caused dire economic distortions
Every sector experienced chronic shortage
Consumer goods particularly suffered from shortage
Shortage and scarcity necessitated the creation of a black market (shadow economy)
Rampant illicit activity fueled economic corruption
Mikhail Gorbachev
Perestroika
Mikhail Gorbachev came to power in March 1985
Gorbachev aimed to reform and reconstruct the communist system
This policy was called perestroika
He did not intend to transition to a market-based liberal system
Gorbachevs first reforms consisted of an anti-alcohol campaign and uskorenie
These reforms targeted economic productivity
Uskorenie, meaning acceleration, involved increasing investment in old infrastructure
The anti-alcohol campaign worked against investment efforts
Both policies failed to increase economic productivity
Gorbachev then launched a policy for social openness called glasnost
This effort included a policy called demokratizatsiia
Communist Legacy
Boris Yeltsin
Shock therapy
In 1992, Boris Yeltsin, Russias new president, adopted a policy called shock therapy
This reform package was brought forth by a group of economists led by Yegor Gaidar
Shock therapy involved three major changes
Stabilization of the macro-economy
Liberalization of trade
Privatization of property
The implementation of these changes would cause short-term negative changes (shock)
But the economy would eventually latch on to market mechanisms and grow
The shock therapy policies had significant backlash
Industrial managers, who no longer received subsidies, demanded credits
Yeltsins compliance to this request ended shock therapy
Issuing credits violated the initial goal of fiscal austerity and minimizing deficit spending
Voucher system
In August 1992, the Russian state distributed privatization vouchers to every Russian citizen
Russians could use these vouchers in a variety of ways
Buy shares of privatizing firms directly
Buy shares of privatizing firms through mutual funds
Buy shares in a voucher fund
Sell them
Give them away
State auctions
In July 1994, Yeltsin initiated the second stage of privatization
The second stage involved selling remaining state holdings for cash at auctions
Vladimir Putin
Economic growth
Vladimir Putin replaced Boris Yeltsin as president of Russia in 2000
Between 1999 and the summer of 2008, Russias economy improved in many ways
Increasing budget surpluses
Elimination of foreign debt
Increasing hard-currency reserves
Low inflation
Resource curse
Increasing oil and gas prices commanded Russias growth
Russia experienced many symptoms of the resource curse
The economy depended heavily on revenues generated from exporting oil
Russia suffered from Dutch disease
Dutch disease involves a high exchange rate caused by large inflows of foreign currency
used to purchase natural resources
This phenomenon causes domestic manufacturing to become expensive
Consumers import goods instead of purchasing domestic goods
The result: more and more reliance on natural resources
Putins government ignored the ailing manufacturing sector while oil prices rose
In 2008, extractive commodity prices fell
Dmitri Medvedev
POWER TABLES
Factors Of Production
Factor
What Is It?
Examples
Land
Natural resources
Rent
Labor
Human resources
Wages
Capital
Interest
Entrepreneurship
Profits
An intelligent businessman
invents a new, more efficient
production process for
microchips
Relationship to Supply
Cost of Inputs
Negative/Inverse:
Increase in costs leads to decrease in supply
Technological Progress
Positive/Direct:
Increase in technology (technological development) leads to more supply
Number of Suppliers
Positive/Direct:
Increase in number of suppliers leads to increase in supply
Relationship to Demand
Other Notes
Number of Demanders
N/A
Consumer Income
Tastes or Preferences
N/A
Relationship to Demand
Other Notes
Expectations
N/A
Supply Shifts
Effect on Price
Effect on Quantity
To the right
No shift
Increase
Increase
To the left
No shift
Decrease
Decrease
No shift
To the right
Decrease
Increase
No shift
To the left
Increase
Decrease
To the right
To the right
? Ambiguous
Increase
To the right
To the left
Increase
? Ambiguous
To the left
To the left
? Ambiguous
Decrease
To the left
To the right
Decrease
? Ambiguous
Elasticity
Name
Graphical
Representation
Other Notes
Perfectly inelastic
Perfectly vertical
line
E<1
Inelastic
Steep line
E=1
Unit elastic
None
E>1
Elastic
Flat line
E=
Perfectly elastic
Perfectly
horizontal line
Purely theoretical
Number Range
E=0
Number of
Producers
Kind of
Competition
Barriers to Entry
Special
Traits
Monopoly
One
None
No entry possible
Price-setter
Oligopoly
A few
Primarily non-price
competition
Medium barriers
(difficult entry)
N/A
Monopolistic
Competition
Many
Non-price
competition; price
competition
Low barriers
(easy entry)
Price-maker
Product
differentiation and
branding
Perfect
Competition
A great many
Price competition
No barriers
(free entry)
Price-taker
Perfectly elastic
demand
Calculating GDP
Method
Process
Expenditures Approach
Income Approach
Types of Unemployment
Type of Unemployment
Definition
When It Occurs
Frictional
Structural
Cyclical
What Happens?
Expansionary/
Contractionary
How Does It
Work?
Utilized When?
Open-Market
Operations
FOMC
E: Buy
securities
C: Sell
securities
Injects or removes
money from the
economy
Daily
Discount Rate
(DR)
Board of
Governors
E: DR
C: DR
Rarely
Policy Tool
Federal Funds
Rate (FFR)
Board of
Governors
E: FFR
C: FFR
Reserve
Requirements
(RR)
Board of
Governors
E: RR
C: RR
Changes the
amount of
reserves banks
must maintain
Very rarely
Russian Reforms
Policy
Enactor
Year(s)
Goal(s)
Details
Result
Perestroika
Mikhail
Gorbachev
1985-1991
Restructure the
communist system
Anti-alcohol
campaign
Mikhail
Gorbachev
1985-1986
Eliminate chronic
alcoholism
Decrease worker
absenteeism
Increase worker
productivity
Failed to reduce
alcoholism or improve
worker productivity
Russians produced
liquor illegally
Caused sugar shortages
Uskorenie
Mikhail
Gorbachev
1985-1986
Increase investment in
decaying infrastructure
Glasnost
Mikhail
Gorbachev
1987-1988
Included demokratizatsiia
Spurred introduction of
private property
Allowed politicians and
media to discuss
important issues
pertaining to the
election of the 1989
super parliament
Demokratizatsiia
Mikhail
Gorbachev
1987-1988
Introduce some
accountability and
democratic aspects to
the political process
Shock therapy
Boris
Yeltsin
January 1992
Transition Russia to a
liberal market-based
economy
Rapidly stabilize the
economy, liberalize
trade, and privatize
property
Corporatization
Boris
Yeltsin
July 1992
N/A
Voucher
program
Boris
Yeltsin
August 1992
Transfer ownership of
firms from public to
private hands
Succeeded in part
Opposed by many firms
because they did not
receive money
Sold 20% of all shares
for vouchers
State auctions
Boris
Yeltsin
July 1994
Modernization
Dmitri
Medvedev
2008
Diversify Russias
economy
Use educated labor to
innovate new
technologies
Constructed a Russian
equivalent of the Silicon
Valley called Skolkovo
N/A
Economics Timeline
1920
1920s
late 1970s
late 1980s
March 1985
Mikhail Gorbachev becomes the General Secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union
1987
November 1989
1990
summer of 1990
A group of economists presents the Five Hundred Day Plan to Mikhail Gorbachev
fall of 1990
early 1990s
1990s
1991
June 1991
August 1991
The Soviet Politburo oust Mikhail Gorbachev from office through an attempted coup
fall of 1991
January 2, 1992
April 1992
spring of 1992
The Russian Central Bank responds to opposition by issuing credits to firms, ending shock therapy
Economics Timeline
June 1992
Yegor Gaidar and Boris Yeltsin pass legislation initiating the process of privatization
July 1992
August 1992
December 1992
January 1993
May 1993
Boris Yeltsin issues a decree stating that firms must trade 29% of all shares for vouchers
July 1994
July 1, 1994
1995
1996
September 1, 1996
Earliest date banks could sell the shares they received from the loans for shares scheme
1996-1997
late spring, summer 1998 Russia starts borrowing foreign currency to finance domestic debt
July 20, 1998
The International Monetary Fund offers Russia a package to pay wages and short-term debt
The state uses it to defend the rubles value and fails
1999
The Russian economy starts growing for the first time since the Soviet Unions collapse
Unemployment is at 12%
2000
2004
2008
Unemployment is at 6%
Oil prices fall
Russian government divides the Stabilization Fund into the National Prosperity Fund and the Reserve Fund
spring of 2008
June 2008
September 2008
October 2008
January 2009
Russias stock market loses 70% of its value since June 2008
February 2009
2011
POWER LISTS
PERCENTAGES
-0.2% (119)
2% (118)
3% (111, 118)
5% (118)
6% (119)
9.7% (72)
12% (#)
13%
Flat income tax rate imposed by Vladimir Putin during his first term (2000-2004)
-17% (111)
Percent growth of the Soviet Unions GDP by the time of its collapse in 1991
19% (118)
20% (114)
Average percent of shares sold by each firm during Boris Yeltsins voucher program
24% (117)
28% (119)
29% (114)
Percent of shares that had to be sold during the voucher program under Boris
Yeltsins decree
35% (117)
41% (119)
50% (118)
66% (72)
70% (119)
Percent decline in the value of Russias stock market between June 2008 and
January 209
75% (115)
90% (115)
99% (107)
100% (111)
245% (112)
Average percent increase in prices the day after Boris Yeltsin freed prices on January
2, 1992
NUMBERS
2 (59)
Amount (in U.S. dollars) that the average inhabitant of Ghana earns per day
12 (114, 117)
Number of blue-chip companies auctioned off in the loans for shares scheme
Price of a barrel (in US dollars) of Urals crude oil blend in 1998
13 (105)
13.9 (119)
15 (110)
Number of countries created from the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991
20 (104)
29.6 (86)
43 (92)
Length of decline (in months) of the Great Depression, starting August 1929
50 (114)
Average monthly wage (in US dollars) during Boris Yeltsins voucher program
70 (107, 117)
84 (114)
200 (113)
215.3 (86)
458 (59)
1,000 (113)
3,000 (111)
The number of exchange rates for every item in the Soviet Union
10,000 (114)
43,000 (58)
47,000 (6)
100,000 (104)
15 million (72)
Increase of Russias foreign debt (in US dollars) over the first 8 months of 1998
When one party can produce a good at a lower opportunity cost than
another
Economics (6)
Marginal
Marginal utility
Economic analysis that focuses on what should be, rather than what
actually is or can be; involves opinion
The cost of what is given up when you make a decision; the cost
(monetary or otherwise) of the next best alternative
Production Possibilities
Frontier (PPF) (36)
Rational (7)
Scarcity (6)
Trade-offs (7)
The idea that in order to get something, we must give up something else
The assumption that all people have unbounded desires that can never
be fully fulfilled
Utility (76)
TERMS MICROECONOMICS
Binding (34)
Describes a price floor above the equilibrium price, or a price ceiling below
the equilibrium price
Cartel (45)
Collusion (45)
Complement (15)
Two goods for which a rise in the price of one leads to decline in demand
for another
Contracts (54)
Contrived scarcity
Depicts the relationship between quantity demanded and the goods price
Elasticity (25)
Entrepreneurs (46)
Individuals who take on risk when creating new goods and services, and are
rewarded with economic profits
Equilibrium (17)
Excludability (53)
Externalities (48)
When the actions of one person affects anothers well-being, but neither
party pays or is paid for these effects
Firms (39)
The economic actors who supply goods and services for an economy
Homogenous
Goods for which quantity demanded falls as income of the buyers rises
Innovate (46)
Institutions (54)
Internalize (50)
Logrolling (55)
Marginal tax
Market (10)
Microeconomics (10)
Concerns itself with the interaction of supply and demand within markets
Monopolistic competition
(45)
Monopoly (43)
Oligopoly (45)
Organizations (54)
When firms can sell their product to each customer at the exact value the
customer placed on the product
Perfectly competitive market Market characterized by price taking behavior, lack of market power,
(10)
homogenous goods, no barriers to entry, no transaction costs, perfect
information, and rational behavior
The tendency for elected officials to steer money to their constituents via
pet projects
Price taker
For a perfectly competitive market; when buyers and sellers must accept the
market price
The surplus that producers receive when selling something for more than
they would be willing to
Distinguishing between different goods that serve the same purpose in the
same market
Property
The amount of a good that consumers are willing and able to buy
The amount of a good that sellers are willing and able to produce
Quota (51)
Revenue
Rivalry (53)
If one person consumes a good, then that reduces the amount available for
everyone else
Shortage
Specialization (36)
Substitute (15)
Goods for which an increase in the price of one increases the demand of
the other
Surplus
Tax revenue
The tax per unit times the quantity of units; sits as a rectangle between
producer and consumer surplus
The sum of producer and consumer surplus; the total benefit market
participants receive from buying and selling
TERMS MACROECONOMICS
Total demand in the economy at all price levels; reflects the total
expenditures in the economy
Total supply in the economy at all price levels; maps price levels to the
real output supplied by firms
Aggregation (63)
Assets
Banks (77)
Bond (77)
Agency that calculates the Consumer Price Index (CPI) every month
When firms buy factories, offices, machinery, and other capital goods
Business sector
A model that traces the path of money, goods, and services through an
economy
Consumption (95)
Consumption expenditures
(95)
Currency (83)
Bills and coins owned by the public; the most liquid asset
Default (77)
When the borrower of a bond fails to pay some or all of the principal or
interest
Depression
The interest rate that the Federal Reserve charges on loans to banks
Dividends (77)
Downturn
Employment
The state of either working for pay or being on leave from a regular job
Employment rate
The percentage of the labor force that has a job or is on leave from a
regular job
Equation of exchange
Eurodollars
Expansion (91)
Periods when the economy grows faster than its long-run trend
Exports
The market where labor, land, and capital are bought and sold
Fed
The interest rate that banks charge when loaning to other banks
Serves as the central bank of the United States; created in 1913 and
consists of 12 regional banks
Financial institutions
Institutions where savers can supply their savings to those who wish to
borrow the money for investment
Government spending
A type of banking where the bank will loan out some of the deposits,
keeping only some in reserve
The market value of all final goods produced within a country during a
certain period of time
Identity (78)
Imports
Inflation (61)
Interest effect
At a low price level, people will have more money than they want and
will try to acquire less liquid assets, increasing the supply of savings; this
decreases interest rates and causes people to borrow more; one of the
reasons aggregate demand slopes downward
Intermediary (77)
Inventories (67)
Investment (76)
Liabilities
Liquidity (83)
Long run
M0
M1 (83)
M2 (83)
The best definition of the money supply; includes M1, savings deposits,
small time deposits, and retail money funds
Macroeconomics (57)
The market where firms sell and households buy final goods
Instrument used by the Federal Reserve to alter the money supply and
offset short-run economic fluctuations
Money (82)
The reciprocal of the reserve ratio; determines the effect of altering the
reserve ratio on the stock of money in the economy
In the long run, changes in the quantity of money have no effect on real
quantities in the economy
Nominal
Every 1% that the unemployment rate is off from the natural rate of
unemployment, the output gap deviated by 2%
The buying and selling of bonds by the Federal Reserve to change the
money supply
Peak
The quantity of goods that can be produced when the economy is using
all of its resources at normal rates; not fixed over time
Price level
Principal (77)
Real
Recession (60)
The amount of money banks are required to have in their vaults to pay
back depositors
Also called the reserve ratio; the percentage of deposits banks are
required to keep as reserves
Reserves
The portion of deposits that banks must hold to ensure depositors can
withdraw from their accounts
Saving (76)
The difference between what a person earns and what that person
spends
Savings deposits
Services (67)
Solvent (86)
Stock (77)
An item that people can use to transfer purchasing power from the
present into the future
Knowledge about the techniques that transform inputs into goods and
services to be purchased by households
Time deposits
Redistributes money but does not create anything; does not count
toward government purchases and GDP
Travelers checks
A preprinted check
Trough
The lowest point on the business cycle; signals the start of an expansion
Unemployment (57)
Percentage of people who would like to work but cannot find jobs
Upturn
Wealth (76)
Barter (112)
Bureaucracy (105)
Capitalists (104)
Collectivization (104)
Communism (104)
Convertibility (110)
Small businesses created by Mikhail Gorbachev that introduced quasiproperty rights and competitive practice but lacked clear ownership
Cooperatives (105)
One form of property under the Soviet system, huge mostly agricultural
firms, includes social services
Cradle-to-grave (104)
Downward flow of
information (106)
Kolkhoz (105)
Collective farm
Liberalization (110)
Removal of restrictions
Managers (106)
Marxism (105)
Karl Marxs highly diverse theories on society and politics, used by his
followers to develop the practice of communism
Marxism-Leninism (104)
Government control
Mobility (104)
Nationalization
Oligarchs (115)
Plenum (108)
A planning meeting
Propiska (104)
Sabotage (106)
Socialism (104)
Socioeconomic stratification
(112)
Stagflation (110)
One form of property under the Soviet system, huge mostly heavy
EVENTS
Lasted from August 1929 to 1933 (43 months); most severe episode of
economic decline observed to date; during this time, real GDP declined
by nearly 25%
PEOPLE
Reached the insight that the private market ought to be able to resolve
externalities, as long as the parties involved can negotiate and property
rights are clearly defined
Stated that, It is by their indirect effects, that oil and gas price rises
fuelled Russian growth.
British economist; lived from 1883 to 1946; wrote the 1936 book The
General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money
Economist and Gorbachev advisor; helped produce the 500 Day Plan
Economist and author of the 1776 An Inquiry into the Nature and
Causes of the Wealth of Nations
ORGANIZATIONS
Faction that came to power after the Russian Civil War, eventually
became the Communist Party of the Soviet Union
Approved plans
Enacted plans
Gazprom (118)
Russias largest company, largest natural gas extractor in the world, also
controls companies many other sectors such as media and finance
Goskomimushchestvo (113)
Gosplan (105)
Politburo (109)
Rosneft (118)
Sibneft (118)
The oil branch of Gazprom, fifth largest oil company in Russia, now
called Gazpromneft
Classified and oversaw firms eligible for privatization under Boris Yeltsin
Yukos (118)
TEXTS
MISCELLANEOUS
BRIC (119)
Abbreviation for rapidly rising markets of Brazil, Russia, India, and China
NASDAQ (77)
National Prosperity Fund (118) One of the two parts the Stabilization Fund was divided into in 2008
Simon Kuznets received this award in 1971 for his contributions to the
measurement of national production
Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC)
One of the two parts the Stabilization Fund was divided into in 2008
Skolkovo (120)
U.S. Department of Commerce In 1932, commissioned Simon Kuznets to develop a system to measure
(67)
national output
POWER EQUATIONS
MICROECONOMICS
% change in QD
E=
E=
General equation
E=
General maximization
condition
% change in P
(QD1 - QD 0 ) QD 0 )
(P1 - P0 ) P0
% change in QS (QS1 - QS 0 ) QS 0 )
=
% change in P
(P1 - P0 ) P0
% change in dependent var iable
% change in independent var iable
MR = MC
MACROECONOMICS
Y = C + I + G + NX
CPI =
Re al GDP =
GDP Deflator
GDP deflator =
Money supply
Money multiplier
Equation of exchange
(quantity theory of money)
100
No min al GDP
so GDP Deflator =
GDP Deflator
No min al GDP
Re al GDP
100
Money supply
= deposits + C
=
M-C
R
MM =
+C=
1
RR
MV = PQ
R C+M-C
R
M + (R - 1) C
R
No min al GDP
Re al GDP
Question 36 requires understanding the difference between aggregate demand and quantity demanded.
Remember that changes in the price of the goods in one market affect quantity demanded or quantity
supplied, not aggregate demand or aggregate supply. This type of distractor will probably show up at least
once on each test later on, so know the difference!
Question 40 requires the application of concepts to a model. You should be able to eliminate B and E
right off the bat because nothing (at least in the resource) causes the supply curve to rotate. For future
reference, nothing will cause the supply curve to do anything (like steepen, flatten, etc.) but shift, so you
can eliminate those choices as distractors. Remember that increases in supply (such as a positive supply
shock) shift the curve right and vice versa.
The last 10 questions (41-50) cover the Russian economy. All of these questions test fill-in-the-blank
factual information verbatim from the resource. Only one of the 10 questions tests information from after
the fall of the Soviet Union. Even though Section IV covers pages 104-121, half the questions come from
pages 104-107, about the mechanics of the Soviet system. Spend most of your time studying the details of
this portion of the guide. But also have a firm grasp on each Russian leaders reforms and the effects of
these reforms. There may not be as many questions on post-Soviet Russia, but the questions are specific.
Q#
Topic
USAD PG.
Q#
Topic
USAD PG.
Scarcity I
26
58, 59
Opportunity cost I
27
60
Pareto efficiency I
28
62
Positive economics I
29
65
30
68
Markets II
10
31
69
15
32
67
15
33
71
15
34
72
10
17
35
77
11
Calculating equilibrium II
19
36
97
12
Law of demand II
12
37
101
13
Calculating equilibrium II
19
38
99
14
25
39
101
15
Graphing elasticity II
27
40
99
16
Price floors II
34
41
Introduction IV
104
17
Deadweight loss II
34
42
104
18
Comparative advantage II
39
43
106
19
Comparative advantage II
39
44
Black market IV
107
20
Oligopolies II
45
45
107
21
Diminishing returns II
41
46
Anti-alcohol campaign IV
108
22
Marginal cost II
41
47
Boris Yeltsin IV
110
23
53
48
Soviet system IV
111
24
Positive externalities II
48
49
Resource curse IV
117
25
Government corruption II
55
50
Shock therapy IV
111
178
179
Competed with Seven Lakes High School at the Texas State competition in 2011
Team placed 2nd at State with a score of 48,862
Achieved an 8,382 individual score at State
Decathlon philosophy in a phrase: Its like mental weight-lifting.
Joined DemiDec in June 2012