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CAUSES OF UNRELIABILITY
The malfunctions that an engineering system can
experience can be classified into five general
categories.
Design mistakes:
Among the common design errors are failure to
include all important:
ooperating factors
oincomplete information on loads
oenvironmental conditions
oerroneous calculations
opoor selection of materials.
CAUSES OF UNRELIABILITY
Manufacturing defects:
Although the design may be free from error,
defects introduced at some stage in
manufacturing may degrade it.
Some common examples are
Poor surface finish or sharp edges (burrs) that
lead to fatigue cracks
Decarburization or quench cracks in heat-treated
steel.
CAUSES OF UNRELIABILITY
Elimination of defects in manufacturing
Responsibility of the manufacturing engineering
staff
Also involved R&D function is sometimes
required to achieve it.
Manufacturing errors
lack of proper instructions or specifications
insufficient supervision
poor working environment
unrealistic production quota
inadequate training
poor motivation.
CAUSES OF UNRELIABILITY
Maintenance:
Most engineering systems are designed on the
assumption they will receive adequate
maintenance at specified periods.
Neglected or is improperly maintenance, service
life will suffer. Since many consumer products do
not receive proper maintenance by their owners,
a good design strategy is to design products that
do not require maintenance.
CAUSES OF UNRELIABILITY
MARGIN OF SAFETY
The variability in the strength properties of
materials and in loading conditions (stress) leads
to a situation in which the overlapping statistical
distributions can result in failures.
The variability in strength of materials has a
major impact on the probability of failure, so
failure can be reduced with no change in the
mean value if the variability of the strength can
be reduced.
MARGIN OF SAFETY
Derating
The analogy to using a factor of safety in
structural design is derating electrical, electronic,
and mechanical equipment. The reliability of
such equipment is increased if the maximum
operating conditions (power, temperature, etc.)
are derated below their name plate values. As the
load factor of equipment is reduced, so is the
failure rate. Conversely, when equipment is
operated in excess of rated conditions, failure will
ensue rapidly.
MARGIN OF SAFETY
Redundancy
One of the most effective ways to increase reliability is with
redundancy. In parallel redundant designs the same
system functions are performed at the same time by two or
more components even though the combined outputs are
not required. The existence of parallel paths may result in
load sharing so that each component is derated and has its
life increased by a longer-than-normal time.
Another method of increasing redundancy is to have
inoperative or idling standby units that cut in and take
over when an operating unit fails. The standby unit wears
out much more slowly than the operating unit does.
Therefore, the operating strategy often is to alternate units
between full-load and standby service. The standby unit
must be provided with sensors to detect the failure and
switching gear to place it in service. The sensor and/or
switching units frequently are the weak link in a standby
redundant system.
MARGIN OF SAFETY
Durability
The material selection and design details should
be performed with the objective of producing a
system that is resistant to degradation from such
factors as corrosion, erosion, foreign object
damage, fatigue, and wear." This usually
requires the decision to spend more money on
high-performance materials so as to increase
service life and reduce maintenance costs. Life
cycle costing is the technique used to justify this
type of decision.
DAMAGE TOLERANCE
Crack detection and propagation have taken on
great importance since the development of the
fracture mechanics approach to design .
A damage-tolerant material or structure is one in
which a crack, when it occurs, will be detected
soon enough after its occurrence so that the
probability of encountering loads in excess of the
residual strength is very remote.
DAMAGE TOLERANCE
Figure 2 illustrates some of the concepts of
damage tolerance. The initial population of very
small flaws inherent in the material is shown at
the far left. These are small cracks, inclusions,
porosity, surface pits, and scratches. If they are
less than a1 they will not grow appreciably in
service.
Additional defects will be introduced by
manufacturing processes. Those larger than a2
will be detected by inspection and eliminated as
scrapped parts.
DAMAGE TOLERANCE
However, some cracks will be present in the
components put into service, and they will grow
to a size a3 that can be detected by the
nondestructive evaluation (NDE) techniques that
can be used in service. The allowable design
stresses must be so selected that the number of
flaws of
size a3 or greater will be small. Moreover, the
material should be damage-tolerant so that
propagation to the critical crack size a is slow.
In conventional fracture mechanics analysis, the
critical crack size is set at the largest crack size
that might be undetected by the NDE technique
used in service
critical
DAMAGE TOLERANCE
DAMAGE TOLERANCE
MINIMIZING FAILURE
Ease of Inspection
The importance of detecting cracks should be
apparent from Figure 2. Ideally it should be possible
to employ visual methods of crack detection, but
special design features may have to be provided in
order to do so.
In critically stressed structures, special features to
permit reliable NDE by ultrasonic's or eddy current
techniques may be required. If the structure is not
capable of ready inspection, then the stress level must
be lowered until the initial crack cannot grow to a
critical size during the life of the structure. For that
situation the inspection costs will be low but the
structure will carry a weight penalty because of the
low stress level.
MINIMIZING FAILURE
Simplicity
Simplification of components and assemblies
reduces the chance for error and increases the
reliability.
The components that can be adjusted by
operation or maintenance personnel should be
restricted to the absolute minimum. The simpler
the equipment needed to meet the performance
requirements the better the design.
RELIABILITY OF DESIGN
Specificity
The greater the degree of specificity, the greater the
inherent reliability of design.
Whenever possible, be specific with regard to material
characteristics, sources of supply, tolerances and
characteristics of the manufacturing process, tests
required for qualification of materials and
components, and procedures for installation,
maintenance, and use. Specifying standard items
increases reliability. It usually means that the
materials and components have a history of use so
that their reliability is known.
Also, replacement items will be readily available.
When it is necessary to use a component with a high
failure rate, the design should especially provide for
the easy replacement of that component.
RELIABILITY OF DESIGN
RELIABILITY OF DESIGN
Cost of Reliability
Reliability costs money, but the cost nearly always is less than the
cost of unreliability.
The cost of reliability comes from the extra costs associated with
designing and producing more reliable components, testing for
reliability, and training and maintaining a reliability organization.
Figure 3 shows the cost to a manufacturer of increasing the reliability
of a product.
The costs of design and manufacture increase with product reliability.
Moreover, the slope of the curve increases, and each incremental
increase in reliability becomes harder to achieve.
The costs of the product after delivery to the customer, chiefly
warranty or replacement costs and reputation of the supplier,
decrease with increasing reliability.
The summation of these two curves produces the total cost curve,
which has a minimum at an optimum level of reliability.
Other types of analyses establish the optimum schedule for part
replacement to minimize cost.
RELIABILITY OF DESIGN