Sunteți pe pagina 1din 27

AMP

ANTIQUES MORNING PRESENTATION

STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL

4 July 2014

Market Snapshot
FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Global Indices

Closing

% Chg

% YTD

INITIATING COVERAGE

Dow Jones

17,068

0.5

3.0

KPIT Technologies Limited


Back on the growth track; Buy

NASDAQ

4,486

0.6

7.4

FTSE

6,865

0.7

1.7

CAC

4,490

1.0

4.5

COMPANY UPDATE

DAX

10,029

1.2

5.0

Strides Arcolab Limited


High growth in unsold business

Russia

(3.6)

Global News

Dow Jones index rose above 17,000 for the first time following job report that
suggested hiring in the country accelerated last month. The jobs report is the
latest piece of data to show the US economy continues to improve steadily.
Japanese stocks dropped on Thursday, snapping a three-day winning streak
as investors took a breather from recent gains as they awaited the outcome of
the U.S. jobs data.

Sector & Corporate News

Sesa Sterlite Ltd: India's largest private iron ore miner, expects to resume
production in the country's Goa state in September. The miner expects its total
iron ore output at 9.29 MT in the current fiscal year to March 2015.
Sun Pharma: The Company is recalling 200 vials of the chemotherapy
drug gemcitabine in the United States due to a lack of assurance of sterility.
The voluntary recall was initiated in April and was classified by the FDA as
Class II, meaning that use of or exposure to the recalled drug may cause
temporary or medically reversible adverse health consequences.
SAIL: The new government could sell a 5% stake in the state-run SAIL in the
last week of this month. The marketing roadshows for the stake sale, valued
at about USD340mn at the current market price, will begin soon after the
presentation of the federal budget scheduled for July 10.
HDIL: The Company has sold its multiplex business, HDIL Entertainment which
runs 33 multiplexes under the brand name Kulraj Broadway, to Carnival
Films for INR1.05bn.

1,391

0.0

Bovespa

53,875

1.6

4.6

Nikkei

15,348

(0.1)

(5.1)

Hang Seng

23,531

(0.1)

1.0

2,063

0.2

(2.5)

Closing

% Chg

% YTD

25,824

(0.1)

22.0

7,715

(0.1)

22.4

501

(0.4)

23.1

Shanghai Composite

Indian Indices
Sensex
Nifty
MSCI India
CNX Midcap

11,360

0.1

40.7

BSE Smallcap

10,419

(0.1)

59.0

Flows (USDm)
FII

Prev. Day

MTD

(688)

(313)

12

(25)

Locals

Provisional flows

(USDm)

FIIs

159

Locals

Volumes
Cash (NSE + BSE)
F&O (net)

FII F&O
Net ($ mn)

(105)

USDbn

% Chg

3.5

(12.2)

17.5

(17.5)

Stock Fut

Index Fut

(113)

(45)

2.2

(1.0)

ADR/GDR Gainers

Last

% Chg

Tata Motors

42.1

2.4

8.9

2.3

Open Int (%)

Ranbaxy
ICICI Bank

50.8

1.3

Wipro

12.2

0.7

HDFC

49.7

0.5

ADR/GDR Losers

Last

% Chg

Reliance

33.9

(1.3)

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 2

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Sectoral indices

Delivery Spike
Closing

% Chg

% MTD

% YTD

Company

BSE Auto

16,093

0.8

5.5

31.3

Adani

BSE Bank

17,695

(0.3)

1.3

36.1

Glenmark

BSE Cap Goods

Volume

Spike (%)

Chg (%)

779,758

358%

0.56

1,246,376

197%

5.64

16,674

(0.0)

2.9

62.4

BPCL

971,516

179%

(0.37)

BSE Cons dur

9,129

0.6

2.9

56.8

HCLTech

969,505

131%

(0.94)

BSE FMCG

6,793

0.3

1.7

3.4

Rel Capital

711,190

113%

0.44

BSE IT

9,294

0.3

(0.6)

2.3

Tata Motors

4,126,633

103%

3.06

2,521,591

99%

1.94

483,550

74%

0.68

BSE Health

11,763

1.1

2.6

18.0

Sun Pharma

BSE Metal

13,560

(0.5)

3.5

36.1

TCS

BSE Oil

11,065

(1.2)

(0.8)

25.2

GMR Infra

31,054,580

71%

(7.70)

BSE Power

2,350

(0.9)

1.3

38.1

JP Associate

14,368,813

45%

(4.64)

BSE PSU

8,688

(0.5)

0.6

47.0

BSE Realty

2,076

(1.5)

(0.1)

44.8

BSE TECK

5,254

0.1

(0.2)

4.0

Nifty Outperformers

Derivatives Update
Long Build Up
Company

Last

% Chg

% Chg OI

OI (in 000)

UCOBANK

113

BIOCON

543

5.8

5.1

25,072

3.9

10.6

ARVIND

5,404

244

3.7

9.7

7,542

BHARATFORG

672

1.2

14.6

3,054

Price

% Chg

% MTD

% YTD

Tata Motors Ltd

470

3.1

8.9

24.8

Short Build Up

Wipro Ltd

556

2.7

1.7

(0.7)

Company

Last

% Chg

% Chg OI

OI (in 000)

Sun Pharmaceutical Indus

707

1.9

2.7

24.6

GMRINFRA

31

(7.5)

46.4

229,760

Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd

1,236

1.3

7.7

30.9

JPASSOCIAT

72

(5.1)

15.4

151,616

Cipla Ltd

448

0.8

2.2

11.7

Lupin Ltd

1,082

0.7

3.2

19.1

SAIL

96

(3.3)

3.4

54,408

Tata Consultancy Svcs Ltd

2,418

0.7

(0.3)

11.3

276

(3.1)

9.2

6,240

Last

% Chg

% Chg OI

OI (in 000)

M&MFIN

Short Covering
Company

Nifty Underperformers

TATAMOTORS

469

2.8

(4.0)

20,312

AUROPHARMA

774

2.3

(3.6)

9,746

HDIL

103

1.4

(5.5)

33,120

IRB

252

1.0

(5.3)

12,956

Company

Last

% Chg

% Chg OI

OI (in 000)

33

(4.6)

(5.3)

188,445

Price

% Chg

% MTD

% YTD

2,588

(3.4)

(1.8)

24.7

Hindalco Industries Ltd

174

(2.5)

5.8

41.7

Tata Power Co Ltd

107

(2.3)

(0.9)

21.2

2,300

(2.1)

(0.7)

20.4

Profit Booking

418

(2.0)

(1.6)

44.7

Hero Motocorp Ltd

Bajaj Auto Ltd


Oil & Natural Gas Corp Ltd
Indusind Bank Ltd

573

(1.9)

0.3

36.3

UNITECH

Cairn India Ltd

361

(1.6)

(1.0)

11.6

IBREALEST

96

(3.9)

(5.6)

31,996

NHPC

27

(2.0)

(3.5)

74,232

576

(1.8)

(2.3)

5,381

INDUSINDBK

Bulk Deals
Date

Security Name

Client Name

Buy/Sell

Qty

Price

3-Jul-14

AmtekAuto-Roll Sett

Citigroup Global Markets Mauritius Private Ltd

SELL

2,070,947

255.93

3-Jul-14

Jagran Prakashan Limited

Jagran Prakashan Employee Welfare Trust

SELL

2,500,000

129.01

3-Jul-14

HDIL

Standard Chartered Bank (Mauritius) Limited

BUY

2,950,000

102.25

3-Jul-14

Amtek India Limited

Asia Investment Corporation Limited

SELL

2,000,000

101.01

3-Jul-14

Marico Kaya Entrprses Ltd

Indivest Pte Limited

SELL

403,310

224.30

3-Jul-14

Marico Kaya Entrprses Ltd

Jyoti Portfolio Limited

BUY

150,000

214.40

3-Jul-14

Aagam Cap

Ivory Consultants Pvt Ltd

BUY

146,605

174.87

3-Jul-14

Aagam Cap

Eversight Tradecomm Private Limited

SELL

117,000

174.23

3-Jul-14

Pokarna

Premier Investment Fund Limited

BUY

96,000

241.04

3-Jul-14

Asian Hotels (East) Ltd

Jesmin Investments Limited

SELL

85,000

208.20

3-Jul-14

Aries Agro Limited

Templeton Stock Growth Private Limited

SELL

135699

86.70

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 3

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Nifty

Nifty P/E

7900

Nifty P/B

24

3.6

22

7050

3.2

20
6200

18

2.8

16
5350

2.4
14

4500

12

Jun-10

Jun-11

Jun-12

Jun-13

Jun-14

2.0

Jun-10

Jun-11

Jun-12

Jun-13

Jun-14

Jun-10

Jun-11

Jun-12

Jun-13

Jun-14

Source: Bloomberg

Sensex

FII Provisional Flows (INRcr)

26000

DII Provisional Flows (INRcr)


1,500

4,000

24000
22000

750

2,000

20000

18000

-750

16000

-2,000
Jul-13

14000
Jun-10

Jun-11

Jun-12

Jun-13

Jun-14

Nov-13

Mar-14

Jul-14

-1,500
Jul-13

Nov-13

Mar-14

Jul-14

Source: Bloomberg

Economy, Money & Banking


Forex Rate

Commodities Update

Last

% Chg

% MTD

% YTD

Commodities

Last

% Chg

% MTD

INR~USD

59.7

(0.1)

0.7

3.4

Gold ($/Ounce)

INR~EUR

81.6

0.0

0.8

4.3

Crude Oil ($/Bl)

INR~GBP

102.4

0.1

0.3

(0.3)

% YTD

1,320

0.0

(0.6)

9.5

104

(0.0)

(1.3)

8.8

Aluminium ($/t)

1,907

0.5

2.7

8.7

Copper ($/t)

7,186

0.7

2.1

(2.6)

Bond Market

Last

Chg (bps)

MTD (bps)

YTD (bps)

Zinc ($/t)

2,232

(0.5)

0.8

8.7

10 Year Bond

8.7

(0)

(9)

(17)

Lead ($/t)

2,167

(0.6)

1.0

(1.1)

Interbank call

7.1

10

(150)

(165)

19,800

1.3

4.4

43.1

INR/USD

Nickel ($/t)

Gold and silver prices

70
68
66
64
62
60
58
Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14

Crude prices

2000

60

1500

45

1000

30

500

15

110
100
90
80

Jun-11

Jun-14

Jun-12

Jun-13

Go ld (LHS)

Jun-14

Silver (RHS)

70
Jun-11

Jun-12

Jun-13

Jun-14

Source: Bloomberg

Inflation vs 10 year yield


10
9
8
7
6
5
4
Sep-12

Nifty premium/discount
40
30

NSE volatility index (%)


20

35.1
27.9
23.0

24.7

21.3

17
16

20
10
Feb-13
Inflatio n (%)

Source: Bloomberg

Jul-13

Dec-13 May-14
10 Yr Yield (%)

19
18

15

0
27-Jun 30-Jun 01-Jul

02-Jul

03-Jul

3Jun

9Jun

15Jun

21Jun

27Jun

3Jul

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

INITIATING COVERAGE

Reco

: BUY

CMP

: INR170

Target Price

: INR230

KPIT Technologies Limited


Back on the growth track; Buy

Potential Return : 35%

Sagar Lele

+91 22 4031 3419


sagar.lele@antiquelimited.com

Pratish Krishnan

+91 22 4031 3427


pratish.krishnan@antiquelimited.com

Market data
Sensex

Sector

IT

Market Cap (INRbn)

33.7

Market Cap (USDbn)

0.6

25,824

O/S Shares (m)

194.9

52-wk HI/LO (INR)

190/117

Avg Daily Vol ('000)

569

Bloomberg

KPIT IN

Source: Bloomberg

Valuation
FY14

FY15e

FY16e

EPS (INR)

13.2

15.9

19.1

PE (x)

12.9

10.7

8.9

2.5

2.0

1.7

14.3

8.6

7.8

Dividend Yield (%) 0.6

0.8

0.9

P/BV (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
Source: Bloomberg

Returns (%)
1m

3m

6m

12m

Absolute

44

Relative

(8)

(19)

We initiate coverage on KPIT Technologies with a Buy rating and target price of
INR230 per share. KPIT is a leading player in the automotive engineering space
making it well-positioned to capture growth opportunities from increasing
adoption of electronics in automobiles. We have a positive outlook on the
company led by: 1) Earnings CAGR of 20% over FY14-16e on account of strong
revenue growth and likely margin expansion, 2) Revenue CAGR of 14% (FY1416e), led by leadership in the automotive engineering space, stabilisation of
decline in top client (Cummins) and turnaround in SAP practice, 3) Increased
focus on key clients and re-organisation leading to improved client mining. The
management expects key accounts to contribute to 65-70% of its goal of USD
1bn in revenues by 2017, 4) Potential to expand margins, given tailwinds from
profitability in SAP SBU; higher offshoring; and increased utilisation.
The stock trades at 11x FY15e and 9x FY16e earnings, which is ~15% discount
to its peers. In its peer set, it is the third largest player in terms of revenues
(after Mphasis and Mindtree). However, it trades at a FY16e EV/Sales of
1.2x, which is lower than Mphasis (1.5x) and Mindtree (1.6x). Post a dismal
FY14, margins and earnings are set to improve and we see scope for rerating. We recommend a Buy with a target price of INR230 per share.
Turnaround in top client and SAP SBU
In FY14, KPIT's YoY revenue growth slowed to 8% from 20% CAGR over FY08-13. It saw a
5% decline in revenues from its top client and 10% dip from the SAP SBU. Together these two
areas constitute to 42% of revenues. Going ahead, revenues from Cummins are likely to
stabilise as the company's outlook improves. On the SAP front, KPIT has successfully aligned
its services with SAP's transformed product mix and has closed multiple deals recently, showing
signs of recovery. We expect the SBU to grow at a 10% CAGR over FY14-16e.
Well positioned in the automotive engineering space
KPIT provides product engineering services for every sub-domain of automobiles, from invehicle networks to powertrain. The total spend on electronics in vehicles is expected to rise to
~30% in the next five years from 12-13%. Outsourcing in this area is still nascent at 8% (rest
in-house) and is growing faster by 250-300bps than captives. KPIT's leadership will aid its
growth in this segment. This SBU constitutes for 25% of revenues and we expect organic
CAGR of 21% over FY14-16e.
See significant tailwinds to margins
In FY14, the SAP SBU reported negative margins of 5-6%. With this business turning around,
we expect 5% EBITDA margins in the SBU for FY15e. In addition, the margin levers available
are: 1) Likely increase in offshoring to 52-53% in 2-3 years from 46% in FY14; 2) Likely higher
utilisation to ~74% in FY15e from 71% in FY14; 3) Employee pyramid rationalisation; and 4)
likely growth in IP revenues with monetisation of products like Revolo.

Valuations and outlook

Source: Bloomberg

Shareholding pattern
Promoters

22%

FII

33%

DII

7%

Others

38%

Source: Bloomberg

Price performance vs Nifty


160
140
120
100
80
Jun-13

The stock trades at 11x FY15e and 9x FY16e. Considering its likely recovery and positioning
compared to midcap peers, we see potential for a re-rating. We are valuing the company at
12x FY16e earnings, which is a 20% discount to Persistent. We are valuing midcap IT stocks
at a discount of 15-30% to Tier-I vendors. We initiate a Buy on KPIT with a target price of
INR230 per share.
Key financials
Year ended March (INRm)

2014

2015e

2016e

313

410

445

505

579

15,000

22,386

26,940

30,305

34,711

2,166

3,641

4,208

4,845

5,875

14.4

16.3

15.6

16.0

16.9

PAT

Source: Bloomberg

2013

Revenues (INRm)
EBITDA margin (%)

KPIT Tech

2012

Revenues (USDm)
EBITDA

Oct-13 Feb-14

4 July 2014 | 4

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

1,450

2,367

2,515

3,005

3,595

Jun-14

Net profit margin (%)

9.7

10.6

9.3

9.9

10.4

NIFTY

EPS

8.1

12.1

13.2

15.9

19.1

Source: Company, Antique

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 5

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Investment thesis
KPIT is an IT services and product engineering company, which specialises in automotive and
transportation, manufacturing and energy, and utilities. It provides product engineering services
for every sub-domain of an automobile, including in-vehicle networks, body electronics, safety,
infotainment, powertrain, vehicle diagnostics, etc. It works with 10 of the top 12 automotive
original equipment manufacturers in the world. It is also a leading provider of application
services for Oracle and SAP. From FY08-14, its revenues have organically and inorganically
grown at 20% CAGR.
We initiate coverage on KPIT with a Buy rating and target price of INR230 per share, an
upside of 23% from current levels. From FY08 to FY13, KPIT saw revenue and earnings
CAGR of 23% and 35%, respectively. However, it faced some headwinds in FY14, which
slowed revenue and earnings growth to 8% and 9%, respectively. Going forward, we expect:
1. The company's performance is likely to pick-up, with the pain areas behind it. Top client
revenues (which declined 5% in FY14) are likely to stabilise while the SAP SBU (which
declined 10% in FY14) is likely to turnaround.
2. Leadership in the fast-growing automotive product engineering market (25% of revenues)
will help boost growth. We expect organic growth from automotive and engineering to
be 14% for FY15e and 16% for FY16e.
3. Changed organisation structure, sales approach, and focus areas to penetrate clients
wider and deeper are likely to support growth in the coming years. The company intends
to mine ~50 strategic and potential strategic accounts in order to reach its goal of USD1bn
in revenues by 2017.
4. The company has potential to expand margins given the turnaround in its SAP business,
prospective offshoring, higher utilisation, and pyramid rationalisation.
5. The stock is trading at 11x FY15e and 9x FY16e, which is at a ~15% discount to its
peers. Going forward, likely recovery in problem areas and higher margins, and improving
growth trajectory are likely to lead to a re-rating.
Key assumptions
FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

FY15e

Revenue (USDm)

147

174

154

222

313

410

445

505

579

YoY growth (%)

43%

19%

-12%

44%

41%

31%

8%

13%

15%

EBITDA margin (%)

13%

23%

22%

15%

14%

16%

16%

16%

17%

EBITDA margin change (bps)

-270

1055

-105

-703

-60

183

-74

46

94

EPS (INR)

6.56

8.41

10.80

5.49

8.08

12.07

13.21

15.94

19.07

YoY growth (%)

20%

28%

28%

-49%

47%

49%

PE (x)

FY16e

9%

21%

20%

12.87

10.66

8.91

Target PE (x)

12.00

YoY growth (%)


Integrated Enterprise Solutions

49%

22%

16%

13%

16%

Auto and Engineering

36%

22%

11%

23%

17%

SAP

38%

24%

-10%

8%

12%

32%

7%

11%

Business Transformation Unit


Source: Company, Antique

Valuations attractive, re-rating likely


KPIT under-performed its peers throughout the last 12 months
On account of headwinds from Cummins and the SAP SBU, KPIT saw a decline in revenue
growth rate, and thus profitability. Revenue growth declined to 8% YoY in FY14 from 31% in
FY13. EBIT margin fell to 13.5% in FY14 from 14.2% in FY13. The stock has underperformed
the NSE IT index by 12% over the last 12 months. It has under-performed by 27% and 44%
relative to largecap and midcaps vendors, respectively. It has also under-performed its peers
throughout the year.

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 6

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Reduced under-performance in recent times


Indices
Large caps

1 month

3 months

6 months

12 months

Nifty

15

21

35

NSE IT Index

50

TCS

10

10

61

Infosys

-1

-9

34

Wipro

-3

-4

52

HCL Tech

14

85

12

11

11

94

-2

13

Tech Mahindra
Mid caps under coverage

Other mid caps

Mphasis
Hexaware

-1

15

83

KPIT

-1

-4

38

Persistent

11

13

122

MindTree

30

36

18

120

Cyient

30

95

NIIT Tech

16

22

60

58

83

Polaris
Source: Bloomberg

Expect valuation gap with peers to narrow


KPIT's valuation (one-year forward) discount vs its peers has gradually reduced as its
performance has been robust from FY08-13. During this period, KPIT saw revenue and
earnings CAGR of 23% and 35%, respectively. This strong outperformance led to a valuation
premium of 6% in FY13 from a discount of 55% in FY08. However, in FY14, KPIT again
started to trade at a discount (of ~12%) as compared to peers, as its performance was
hampered. Going forward, as KPIT's performance revives; we expect the valuation gap with
its peers to narrow.
KPIT's valuation discount to its peers
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
-20%
-40%
-60%
-80%
-100%
FY08

FY09
Mindtree

FY10
Persistent

FY11

FY12

Hexaware

FY13
Mphasis

FY14
Cyient

YTD
NIIT Tech

Source: Bloomberg, Antique

Attractive valuations compared to peers


With revenue CAGR of 14% and earnings CAGR of 20% over FY14-16e, KPIT is well-positioned
amongst its peers. Trading at 11x FY15e earnings and 9x FY16e earnings, it is attractive at
current levels. Moreover, its trading at an EV/Sales of 1.2x FY16e, which is lower compared
to 1.6x for Mindtree. In its peer-set, considering it is the third largest player in terms of
revenues (after Mphasis and Mindtree), we see further scope for re-rating.

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 7

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Midcap synopsis
Recommendation
Target Price
CMP

KPIT

Mindtree

Cyient

NIIT Tech

Hexaware

Mphasis

Persistent

BUY

na

na

na

SELL

BUY

BUY

230

na

na

na

125

520

1,400

170

864

653

449

152

425

1,087

35%

na

na

na

-18%

22%

29%

FY13

410

436

345

372

364

1,025

238

FY14

445

502

363

382

388

420

274

FY15e

505

589

429

419

397

1,020

329

Upside/ (Downside) %
Revenue (USD)

FY16e

579

694

480

467

445

1,143

387

CAGR (%) (FY13-15e)

10.9%

16.2%

11.5%

6.2%

4.4%

na

17.6%

CAGR (%) (FY14-16e)

14.1%

17.7%

15.0%

10.6%

7.1%

na

18.8%
15%

Revenue YoY (USD)


FY14

8.3%

15.1%

5.3%

2.7%

6.4%

na

FY15e

13.5%

17.4%

17.9%

9.7%

2.5%

na

20%

FY16e

14.7%

17.9%

12.1%

11.5%

12.0%

12%

18%

FY13

3,641

4,864

3,416

3,380

4,074

10,335

3,349

FY14

4,183

6,100

4,101

3,631

5,123

4,778

4,262

FY15e

4,845

6,635

4,779

4,155

4,885

11,044

5,217

FY16e

5,875

8,224

5,369

4,750

5,484

12,997

6,171

FY14

15.5%

20.1%

18.6%

15.8%

22.4%

18.2%

25.5%

FY15e

16.0%

19.0%

18.6%

16.5%

20.2%

17.9%

26.2%

FY16e

16.9%

20.0%

18.6%

16.9%

20.4%

18.8%

26.4%

2,276

3,393

2,311

2,184

3,276

7,437

1,876

EBITDA (INRm)

EBITDA %

PAT (INRm)
FY13
FY14

2,490

4,508

2,660

2,382

3,791

3,472

2,493

FY15e

3,005

4,664

3,474

2,644

3,512

8,160

3,209

FY16e

3,595

5,798

3,956

3,022

4,088

9,686

3,957

EPS (INR)
FY13

12

41

21

36

11

35

47

FY14

13

54

24

38

13

15

62

FY15e

16

55

31

43

12

39

80

FY16e

19

68

35

49

14

46

99

9%

31%

15%

7%

16%

na

33%

21%

2%

29%

13%

-7%

na

29%

YoY %
FY14
FY15e
FY16e

20%

23%

15%

14%

16%

19%

23%

CAGR (%) (FY13-15)

15%

15.5%

21.8%

10.2%

4%

na

31%

CAGR (%) (FY14e-16e)

20%

12.0%

21.9%

13.7%

4%

na

26%

Valuations
EV/ Sales
FY14

2.1

1.6

1.3

1.0

1.9

1.6

2.3

FY15e

1.4

1.9

1.3

1.0

1.8

nm

1.8

FY16e

1.2

1.6

1.1

0.9

1.6

1.5

1.4

EV/ EBITDA
FY14

14.5

8.0

7.1

6.2

8.3

9.1

8.9

FY15e

8.7

10.1

6.8

6.2

8.7

nm

6.7

FY16e

8.0

8.1

6.1

5.5

7.8

8.5

5.2

FY15e

10.7

15.6

21.3

10.4

12.8

10.9

13.5

FY16e

8.9

12.7

18.5

9.1

11.0

9.2

11.0

PE (x)

Source: Company, Bloomberg, Antique

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 8

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Recent downgrades hold scope for re-rating as performance improves


Historically, the company has provided annual revenue and net profit guidance. While it has
missed its revenue guidance twice: FY09 (by 6-8%) and FY14 (by 4-7%), it has met its profit
guidance in all years. The street has downgraded FY15 and FY16 earnings estimates by ~79% over the last six months. We are slightly ahead of street estimates and see scope for
upgrades, with KPIT's performance reviving in FY15e.
Lower street estimates in recent times
25
20
15
10
5

FY11
FY15e

FY12
FY16e

FY13
Antique FY15e

Jun-14

Mar-14

Dec-13

Sep-13

Jun-13

Mar-13

Dec-12

Sep-12

Jun-12

Mar-12

Dec-11

Sep-11

Jun-11

Mar-11

Dec-10

Sep-10

Jun-10

Mar-10

Dec-09

Sep-09

Jun-09

FY14
Antique FY16e

Source: Bloomberg, Antique

Re-rating likely given an improvement in performance


Although KPIT saw its FY14 revenue growth decline to 8% YoY from 31% in FY13, and FY14
EBIT margin dip to 13.5% from 14.2% in FY13, it sustained its base valuations. At present, it
is trading at 11x and 9x FY15e and FY16e earnings, respectively. Revenue and earnings
CAGR of 14% and 20% over FY14-16e, respectively, marks a significant improvement from
FY14. The recovery and likely growth hold scope for a potential re-rating. We value the stock
at 12x FY16e earnings, targeting the stock at INR230 per share.
KPIT's P/E band
200
180
FY09 revenue guidance missed

160

Low guidance for FY14 (13-16%)

140
120
100

Valuations
sustained
despite
relatively
lower
performance
in FY14

80
60
40
20

KPIT
Source: Bloomberg, Antique

3X

5X

7X

Jan-13
Apr-13
Jul-13
Oct-13
Jan-14
Apr-14

Apr-12
Jul-12
Oct-12

Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct-11
Jan-12

Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Oct-10

Oct-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct-09

Oct-07
Jan-08
Apr-08
Jul-08

Apr-07
Jul-07

9X

11X

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

Revenue CAGR of 14% over FY14-16e

EPS CAGR of 20% over FY14-16e

20%
Persistent
Mindtree
Cyient
KPIT

18%
16%
14%
12%
Polaris

10%

NIIT Tech

8%

Hexaw are

6%
4%
2%

30%
EPS CAGR (FY14-16e) (%)

Revenue CAGR (FY14-16e) (%)

4 July 2014 | 9

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Persistent

25%

Cyient
KPIT

Polaris

20%
15%

NIIT Tech
Mindtree

10%
5%

Hexaw are

0%

0%
0.0

5.0

10.0

0.0

15.0

5.0

PE (x)

10.0

15.0

PE (x)

Source: Bloomberg, Antique

Source: Bloomberg, Antique

Turnaround likely in the pain areas of FY14


Over the last six years, KPIT has seen 20% revenue CAGR. However, revenue growth slowed
in FY14, wherein revenues were USD445m. It fell shy of its annual guidance of USD465475m (13-16% growth), having grown 8% over FY13. The drag came in because of a 5%
decline in revenues from its top client - Cummins (17% of revenues), and a decline of 10%
from its SAP practice (25% of revenues). In effect, the company saw a decline in 42% of its
business. Going forward, we expect: 1) Decline from Cummins to stabilise and grow
moderately in FY15e; and 2) Revenues from SAP to turnaround on account of re-alignment of
KPIT's SAP offerings, with SAP's changed product mix and strong deal closures. This is likely
to accelerate revenue growth. We expect 13% and 15% revenue growth for FY15e and
FY16e, respectively.
Growth slows to 8% YoY in FY14

FY14 revenues from Cummins declines by 5%

500

50%

450

40%

400

90

40%

80

30%

70

20%

350

30%

300
250

20%

50

200

10%

40

150

0%

100

-10%

50

-20%

0
FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11

Revenue (USDm) - LHS


Source: Company, Antique

FY12

FY13

FY14

YoY growth (%) - RHS

60

10%
0%
-10%

30
20

-20%

10

-30%
-40%

0
FY09

FY10

FY11

Revenue (USDm) - LHS


Source: Company, Antique

FY12

FY13

FY14

YoY grow th (%) - RHS

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

FY14 revenues from SAP SBU declines by 10%

Strong FY14 growth in manufacturing and energy and utilities


32%

35%
30%

4 July 2014 | 10

27%

30%
25%

25%
20%

20%
16%

16%

15%
11%

15%
10%
5%

10%
5%

-3%

0%

0%
-5%

-5%
-10%

-10%
-15%

-10%
Integrated
Enterprise
Solutions

Auto and
Engineering

SAP

-15%

-14%

-20%

BTU

Automotive & Manufacturing


Transportation

Source: Company, Antique

Energy and
Utilities

Others

Source: Company, Antique

a) Stabilisation of top client


Cummins, KPIT's top client, contributed 17% of total revenues in FY14, a decline of 5% YoY.
It also saw a declining revenue growth rate in 2012 and 2013. Cummins faced significant
headwinds, leading to cost pressures and budget cuts. However, outlook on the performance
of Cummins for coming years is positive, and business from the client is expected to stabilise
from 2HFY15e onwards. This would help KPIT achieve higher growth in FY15e over FY14.
The management is expecting the Cummins account to grow in single-digits in FY15e.
5% decline in FY14 revenues from Cummins

Cummins revenue composition (%)

90

40%

80

30%

70

20%
30

60

10%

50

0%

40

-10%

30
20

-20%

10

-30%

70

-40%
FY09

FY10

FY11

Revenue (USDm) - LHS


Source: Company, Antique

FY12

FY13

FY14

YoY grow th (%) - RHS

Automotive and engineering

Integrated Enterprise Solutions (Oracle)

Source: Company, Antique

Improved outlook for Cummins


Cummins saw positive growth in 2010 and 2011. However, 2012 and 2013 were dull
years as revenues declined 4% in 2012 and remained flat in 2013. The company underwent
substantial cost rationalisation during this period. The KPIT management said the cut was
deeper in its IT services spend compared to engineering services. In 2013, its research and
development expense, as a percentage of sales, dropped marginally to 4.1% from 4.2% in
2012. However, the street has a positive outlook on Cummins and expects revenue growth of
9% and 11% for 2014 and 2015, respectively. KPIT expects growth from Cummins to
bounceback by 2Q or 3Q of FY15e.

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

Bounceback anticipated in Cummins


25,000
20,000

Minor cut in 2013 R&D expense

36%
22%
15%
10%

9%

11%

15,000
-4%

40%

800

30%

700

20%
10%

0%

0%
-10%

-25%

0
Revenue (USDm)

3.5%

3.1%

2.9%

3.0%

2.5%

2.5%
2.0%

200

-30%

4.5%
4.0%

300

100

1.5%
1.0%
2007

YoY grow th (%)

Source: Bloomberg

4.1%

3.5%

3.4%

500

-20%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e

4.2%

600

400

10,000
5,000

4 July 2014 | 11

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

2008

2009

2010

R & D expense (USDm)

2011

2012

2013

R & D expense (% of sales)

Source: Bloomberg

b) Turnaround in SAP SBU


KPIT's revenues from the SAP SBU (25% of revenues) saw a 10% decline in FY14. This
occurred after two consecutive years of strong growth: 38% in FY12 and 24% in FY13. SAP
has been seeing major transformation over the last couple of years. The products SAP acquired
have been growing at a faster rate, thus changing KPIT's business mix significantly. While
the enterprise resource planning products continue to maintain momentum, products around
human resource management, customer relationship management, and supplier relationship
management were quickly moving to the cloud.
KPIT had to align its offerings in line with the changes at SAP. This involved investments in
training, resources, and capabilities, which led to a decline in revenues till its services were
aligned with the changes at SAP. Moreover, there were delays in the closure of deals in the
SBU (~USD12m), which impacted the company's revenue growth. The business is now picking
up and is expected to see a revival in FY15e. We expect SAP revenues to grow 8% and 12%
over FY15e in FY16e, respectively.
Decline in revenues from SAP SBU since the last six quarters
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%

1QFY13

2QFY13

3QFY13

4QFY13

1QFY14

2QFY14

3QFY14

4QFY14

-20%
Integrated Enterprise Solutions

Auto and Engineering

SAP

Source: Company, Antique

To align its offerings with the changes at SAP, KPIT undertook steps that included:
1. Expanded geographically, and made significant investments in Asia and Europe to
increase footprint
2. Focused on increasing its footprint in the support and maintenance part of the SAP SBU.
KPIT has been winning large and long-term on-premise application management services
deals in North America and Europe. It is hoping to convert some of its large deal wins in

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 12

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Asia to AMS on-premise deals. It intends to receive 60-70% of AMS revenues from ~20%
currently, which is more profitable and stable
3. Offerings specific to the energy and utilities vertical turned mature, with KPIT seeing
increased traction in this space, due to the go-to-market strategy with SAP
4. Added a team of 25 SuccessFactors' certified consultants, under a business transfer
agreement with an SF specialist company: Learn2Perform. As per the deal, all employees
and customers of L2P were transferred to KPIT, thus adding growth capability in the SAP
SBU
5. Incurred heavy investments in the cloud aspect of SAP. This area has been seeing
tremendous traction. KPIT expects 4x growth from the cloud business in FY15e
6. Invested in the High-Performance Analytic Appliance suite, where SAP is seeing significant
progress. It is beginning to see increased traction here, and expects it to auger well
going forward.
SAP SBU back on track led by strong deal flows
For FY15e, KPIT aims to: 1) Concentrate on profitability in the SAP SBU; and 2) Usher growth
back. In FY15e, it expects to return to modest profitability in the SAP SBU. Over the last few
quarters, it has progressed in terms of deal flows. These include:
1. Closed orders worth USD50m and built a healthy pipeline in the SAP SBU during 3QFY14
2. KPIT won over 17 deals in 4QFY14, with a total value of USD78.5m (on-premise and
cloud together). The company is seeing very high traction in the geographies of US and
Asia-Pacific
3. AMS support services have been a major area of focus, where KPIT has landed seven
multi-year, multi-million dollar deals to support SAP and other technologies for large
customers

Leadership in the fast-growing automotive and engineering segment


KPIT is a leading player in the A&E space. It works with 10 of the top 12 global OEMs in
developing automotive solutions in multiple areas. In India, KPIT is the largest player in this
space. It had revenues of USD110m (25% of its total revenues) in FY14. The automotive
product engineering space is fast-growing. Being a market leader in the segment, KPIT will
benefit from this growth trend. We expect KPIT's A&E revenues to grow organically by 14%
and 16% during FY15e and FY16e, respectively.
Expect 14% CAGR in A&E over FY14-16e
160

40%

140

35%

120

30%

100

25%

80

20%

60

15%

40

10%

20

5%

0%
FY12

FY13

FY14

Auto and Engineering revenue (USDm) - LHS


Source: Company, Antique

FY15e

FY16e

YoY grow th (%) - RHS

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 13

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Opportunity in the A&E space


The automotive electronics market refers to the embedded systems space, wherein electronic
control units are installed in a vehicle for purposes ranging from entertainment to powertrain
and chassis control. As many as 100 ECUs are used in a vehicle, connected via several invehicle networks. KPIT develops solutions in the areas of AUTOSAR and in-vehicle networks,
body electronics, chassis and driver assistance systems, engineering design, functional safety,
infotainment, instrument clusters, powertrain, and vehicle diagnostics. This is a fast growing
area on account of: 1) Increasing R&D spend in the auto industry; 2) Higher
usage of electronics in vehicles; 3) Growing offshoring in the automotive
product engineering space; 4) Consolidation of ECUs by selling to OEMs;
and 5) Standardisation of product development and higher adoption of
AUTOSAR (Automotive Open System Architecture).
1. Increasing R&D expenditure in the automotive space
R&D expenditure has been growing at a fast pace since the last few years. While global
auto sales grew at a CAGR of 5% over 2010 to 2013, R&D expenditure of 25 top automobile
OEMs saw a CAGR of 9% from 2010 to 2013. This signifies increased investments in product
development, which would auger well for KPIT.
R&D expenditure growing faster than auto sales
78,000,000

5% CAGR in global auto sales

76,000,000

70,000
65,000

74,000,000

9% CAGR in R&D expenditure


60,000

72,000,000
70,000,000

55,000

68,000,000

50,000

66,000,000
45,000

64,000,000
62,000,000

40,000
2010

2011

Global auto sales (LHS)

2012

2013

R&D expenditure (USDm) (RHS)

Source: Bloomberg

Automobile R&D a major component in key geographies


Contribution of North Am erica to
R&D
9%

Contribution of Japan to R&D

5%4%

3%

8%

7%
35%

13%

Contribution of Europe to R&D

10%
54%

17%

49%
43%

20%
23%

ISV
Automotive
Aerospace
Source: Zinnov Research

Semiconductor
Telecom
Others

Automotive
Aerospace
ISV

Telecom
Semiconductor
Others

Automotive
Semiconductor

Consumer electronics

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

4 July 2014 | 14

2. Increasing use of electronics in vehicles


The usage of electronics in vehicles has been increasing at a rapid rate. According to the
KPIT management, overall spend on electronics has reached 12-13% of the car's total value
from ~5% in the past. In the next five years, the management expects 35% of the vehicle's
value to be electronics. Each car and truck built in North America now contains over USD3,200
worth of electric equipment, up from just under USD1,500 a decade ago. A multi-fold increase
is expected over the next five years. Worldwide sales of automotive electronic technology are
expected to soar to USD274bn in 2017 from USD189bn in 2012. This is likely to put KPIT in
a sweet spot, being the segment leader.
3. Offshoring of product engineering in the automotive space is growing
250-300bps faster than captives
The management said 92% of the product engineering in the automotive space is undergone
in captives. Only 8% of the total spend is outsourced. While the total spend in this space is
increasing, the pie of outsourcing is growing at a faster rate. Outsourcing of product engineering
in the automotive space is growing faster than captives by 250-300bps. This provides players
like KPIT a bigger opportunity in the already fast-growing segment.
4. Consolidation of ECUs
The number of ECUs in a car has nearly doubled in the last 10 years. A car is likely to have
up to 100 separate ECUs, with separate software, CPUs, code bases, and multi-layered
runtime environments. Consolidation of ECUs would result in increased efficiency in terms of
space, power usage, and hardware and software integration. The industry is moving towards
consolidation, with increased standardisation. For instance, the GENIVI alliance has been
developed to reduce complexity from the development process, by creating standards for
Linux-based in-vehicle infotainment systems. This approach reduces the overall cost of
development, minimises project risks, and timelines. This is likely to result in higher growth and
benefits accruing out of supplying solutions to OEMs directly. At present, 60% of KPIT's
customers in the A&E space are OEMs, while 40% are Tier I and II suppliers. Going forward,
KPIT intends to focus on direct supplies to OEMs to reap the benefits of higher opportunities
from consolidation of ECUs.
KPIT's customer composition in the A&E SBU

40%

60%

OEMs

Tier-I and II suppliers

Source: Company, Antique

5. Standardisation of product development and higher adoption of AUTOSAR


At the onset of the 90s, vehicle manufacturers developed software standards for electronics
such as OSEK (open systems and their interfaces for the electronics in vehicles) to ease
management of the increasingly complex bus systems in vehicle electronics. Later, AUTOSAR
was introduced as embedded electronics and software systems attained a new level of
complexity, and required a wider reaching model of standardisation. The adoption of

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

4 July 2014 | 15

AUTOSAR has been fast growing as:


1. Increases scalability to different vehicle and platform variants
2. Allows transferability of functions throughout the network
3. Enables OEMs to drive the process of software development, rather than it being led by
suppliers
4. OEMs can share intellectual property with multiple suppliers over a standardised platform
5. Helps saves costs and time for implementation
6. Enables maintenance, software updates, and upgrades
Higher adoption of AUTOSAR will lead to increased outsourcing of automotive software
product development, implementation, and testing. KPIT offers migration solutions, end-toend development, and integration of microcontroller abstraction layers (MCAL), Bootloader,
and OEM-specific modules with the basic software. It has successfully implemented AUTOSAR
and related services in 20 OEMs and Tier Is, and has leadership position in this arena. With
increasing adoption of AUTOSAR, KPIT is likely to benefit.
AUTOSAR software architecture

Source: Company

Focus on client mining likely to propel growth


KPIT has acquired a lot of accounts in the last two-to-three years through its go-to-market
strategy in the areas of SAP, Oracle, and A&E. However, these accounts are under-penetrated.
It also offers potential for KPIT to cross-sell its offerings and grow its existing customer base. In
order to mine these accounts, it has put in place a vertical-specific reorganisation of functions
and a strategy to focus on key clients. With these initiatives being worked on, KPIT's revenue
per client in its top 10 accounts grew 29% in FY14, while its total revenues grew 8%. Going
forward, these initiatives are likely to yield results in increasing KPIT's revenues from existing
accounts.
Vertical-oriented reorganisation put in place
For the past three years, KPIT has focused on three industry verticals: automotive, manufacturing,
and energy and utilities. However, organisationally, the company was structured by its offerings:
Engineering (A&E SBU), Oracle (IES SBU), SAP (SAP SBU), and consulting (BTU SBU). The
offering-led approach caused under-penetration of services among customers across verticals.

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 16

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

For example, a domain expert from the A&E SBU would sell solutions but would be unable to
extend it to application services. This left customers under-penetrated, with gaps in service
provided to accounts. This is evident from the high concentration of certain services in KPIT's
verticals, leaving potential areas for growth.
KPIT: Vertical/SBU split
FY14 revenues (USDm)

Automotive

Manufacturing

A&E

55%

10%

0%

SAP

15%

30%

60%

IES

30%

60%

40%

100%

100%

100%

Total

Energy and utilities

Source: Company, Antique

To ensure consolidated offerings, KPIT reorganised its business to focus on verticals. With this,
sales and account management functions were organised by verticals and backed by offerings
provided by SBUs. Recently, the company hired some high-level people to strengthen its
vertical leadership. KPIT is in the process of reorganising its structure, and expects full
implementation to be complete by 1QFY15.
Focus on key accounts
With the new organisation in place, KPIT has identified ~26 strategic accounts and ~20
potentially strategic clients, which are aligned with the verticals. It will focus on ~50 top
accounts to penetrate deeper, by partnering in multiple areas. In the last two-to-three years,
it has acquired a lot of accounts through its go-to-market strategy in the areas of SAP, Oracle,
and A&E. Now, the whole focus will be to bring collaboration and cross-selling across business
units. To aid this process, it also formed the Business Transformation Unit, which will bring
together the strengths of all SBUs and create larger deals for strategic accounts. According to
the management, these accounts have the potential of contributing 65-70% of the USD1bn
revenue goal that KPIT aims to achieve by 2017.
Faster growth from key customers in FY14
KPIT's focus on penetrating clients deeper can be seen as growth in its Top 10 clients and star
customer accounts were more in FY14 than overall revenues. In FY14, while overall revenues
grew 8% YoY, revenues from the Top 10 clients, excluding Cummins, grew 29%. The same
from star customers (excluding Cummins) grew 14%. We have excluded Cummins as the
account witnessed a 5% decline in FY14.
Faster growth in Top 10 accounts (excluding Cummins)
than overall growth
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0

29%

Faster growth in star customer accounts (excluding Cummins)


than overall growth
50%

200

40%
30%

150

50%
40%
14%

20%

100

10%
8%

FY09

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

0%
-10%

50

-20%

20%
10%

8%

0%
-10%

FY14

-20%
FY09

Revenue from top 10 clients (ex. Cummins)


YoY grow th in top 10 clients, ex. Cummins (%)

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

Star customer revenues (ex. Cummins) (USDm)


Grow th in star customer revenues (ex. Cummins)
Revenue grow th (%)

Revenue grow th (%)


Source: Company, Antique

30%

Source: Company, Antique

Increasing revenue per client


Increasing client penetration can also be seen from the rising average size of its key clients.
Revenue per client of the Top 10 customers (excluding Cummins) grew 29% to USD14.9m in
FY14 from USD11.5m in FY13. This is much faster than the 8% revenue growth, indicating
high focus on its key clients and validating potential results of its main account strategy.

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

4 July 2014 | 17

Revenue per client for Top 10 clients grew 29%


44%

16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0

33%

50%
40%

29%

30%
20%
10%
0%

17%
3%
-7%

-10%
-20%
FY09

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

Revenue per client (top 10, ex. Cummins) (USD'000)


Grow th in revenue per client (top 10, ex. Cummins) (%)
Grow th in non top-10 clients (%)
Source: Company, Antique

Potential margin expansion


In FY14, lower revenue growth was accompanied by a 55bps decline in EBIT margins to
13.6%. This occurred on account of losses at the operating level in the SAP SBU on delays in
closure of three deals by up to four months, cost overruns in certain projects, higher investments
and training costs, and increase onsite bench. In FY14, EBITDA for the SAP SBU stood at a
negative 5-6%. From FY13, profitability in the SAP SBU swung negatively by ~10% from 45% last year. This is much lower than historical levels and compared to other SBUs. Going
forward, KPIT can see margin expansion resulting out of: 1) Turnaround in SAP profitability;
2) Higher offshoring; 3) Increased utilisation; and 4) Pyramid rationalisation.
Margins likely to trend higher
6,000

20%

5,000

18%
16%

4,000

14%

3,000

12%

2,000

10%

1,000

8%
6%

0
FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11

EBIT (INRm) - LHS

FY12

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

EBIT margin (%) - RHS

Source: Company, Antique

1. Turnaround in SAP SBU profitability


The SAP SBU saw negative EBITDA margins of 5-6% in FY14, a sharp decline compared to
4-5% in FY13. Towards FY14-end, margins in the SAP SBU had come close to breaking even.
Going forward, margin improvement is likely to take place given: 1) Profitability in the SAP
SBU is the management's top priority; 2) Volumes in the business are perking up; 3) The
management intends to take the onsite-offshore ratio in the SBU to 70:30/75:25 in FY15e
from 85:15 in FY14. We expect 5% EBITDA margins for the SAP SBU in FY15e.
SBU margins for FY13 and FY14
EBITDA margin (%)
SBU

FY13

FY14

A&E

24-25

22-23

IES

18

18-19

BTU

nm

19-20

SAP

4-5

(5-6)

Source: Company

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

4 July 2014 | 18

2. Higher offshoring likely going forward


KPIT has a high level of onsite work in its SAP SBU, and elevated level of offshore work in its
A&E SBU. While offshore revenues constitute 15% of SAP SBU revenues, 75% of A&E revenues
are offshore. At the company level, FY14 offshore revenues stood at 46%. Going forward,
overall offshoring is expected to increase to 52-53% as:
1) A&E is expected to grow faster than other SBUs, leading to increased composition of
offshore revenues. We expect growth in A&E to be 23% for FY15e and 17% for FY16e,
which is higher than the overall revenue growth of 13% for FY15e and 15% for FY16e.
2) KPIT's FY15 priority is to increase profitability in the SAP SBU. As part of this effort, the
company intends to increase offshoring in the SAP SBU to 25-30% in FY15e from 15% in
FY14.
Offshore component in SBUs
Offshore (%)

FY14

In 2-3 years

A&E

75

75

SAP

15

25-30

IES

59

70

Total

46

52-53

Source: Company

3. Headroom left on utilisation


On account of delays in deal closures, shifts in technology, higher bench, and increased
people on training in the SAP SBU, KPIT's utilisation levels saw a decline through FY13 and
FY14. Onsite utilisation declined to 90% in 4QFY14 from 95% in 4QFY12. Offshore utilisation
fell to 71% in 4QFY14 from 74% in 4QFY12. With a bounce back anticipated in the SAP SBU
and increased traction across all other SBUs, the company sees headroom for expansion
here. It intends to take its onsite and offshore utilisation level to over 90% and ~74%, respectively.
Decline in FY14 utilisation levels
76%

96%

75%

94%

74%
92%

73%

90%

72%
71%

88%

70%
86%

69%
68%

84%
4QFY12 1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14 2QFY14 3QFY14 4QFY14
Onsite - LHS

Offshore - RHS

Source: Company, Antique

4. Pyramid rationalisation
Of KPIT's total hiring, 50% constitutes freshers hired in the last three years. This has led to
significant pyramid rationalisation in recent years. As of FY14, 35% of KPIT's employee base
was in the within three year work experience bracket. This number is expected to go higher,
as KPIT intends to maintain 50% of its hires as freshers for the next two-to-three years. This
would lead to further margin expansion going forward.

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 19

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Financials
Profit and loss account (INRm)

Cash flow statement (INRm)

Year ended 31 Mar

2012

2013

2014 2015e

Revenues

15,000

22,386

26,940

30,305

34,711

PBT

Expenses

12,834

18,745

22,732

25,460

28,837

Depreciation & amortisation

2,166

3,641

4,208

4,845

5,875

EBIDTA
Depreciation
EBIT
Other income

445

472

540

606

694

1,721

3,170

3,669

4,239

5,181

138

117

-78

224

93

Interest expense
Profit before tax
Taxes including deferred taxation
Extra ordinary items & others
Profit after tax

2016e

Interest expense
Interest/dividend received

Tax paid

(Purchase)/sale of Investments
Income from investments
CF from investing activities
Inc/(dec) in share capital

(998)

(941)

(1,227)

1,203

1,292

1,981

3,352

(609)

(701)

(696)

(1,073)

(1,030)

(2,285)

(2,875)

413

(915)

(66)

66

72

77

93

(2,828)

(3,503)

(283)

(1,911)

(1,003)

65

1,662

1,160

1,332

1,177

(667)

(552)

(141)

(273)

(258)

(231)

(211)

126

(1,841)

1,210

2,726

(921)

(898)

(762)
1,587

2013

357

387

387

387

387

Reserves & surplus

7,094

10,246

12,364

15,369

18,964

CF from financing activities

Net worth

7,451

10,633

12,751

15,756

19,351

Net cash flow

Debt

2,139

3,213

4,390

3,722

3,171

375

143

233

273

313

Capital employed

9,965

13,988

17,374

19,752

22,835

Gross fixed assets

3,822

4,335

5,273

6,073

7,073

Accumulated depreciation

2,155

2,573

3,112

3,719

4,413

Year ended 31 Mar

2012

2013

Net assets

1,668

1,762

2,161

2,355

2,661

Revenue

52.0

49.2

20.3

12.5

14.5

958

1,498

1,182

1,928

2,158

EBITDA

45.9

68.1

15.6

15.1

21.3

Deferred tax liability & others

Capital work in progress & others


Investments

2016e

Inc/(dec) in debt

(268)
1,008

2012

Share capital

2014 2015e

(93)

(1,468)

Capital expenditure

Balance sheet (INRm)

211
-

1,468

19.1

231

(1,055)

1,227

15.9

258

(1,784)

941

13.2

142

(1,995)

766

12.1

694

73

5,063

(1,083)

437

8.1

606

(870)

CF from operating activities

540

(Inc)/dec in working capital

211

3,595

472

5,063

445

(77)

231

3,005

2016e

4,232

122

4,232

258

2,515

3,430

(72)

3,334

-13

2014 2015e

(104)

142

2,367

2,847

(54)

3,146

100

2013

1,886

(204)

73

1,450

2012

Other adjustments

1,786

Recurring EPS

Year ended 31 Mar

Year ended 31 Mar

Dividends & interest paid


Others

(610)

426

88

(829)

Opening balance

2,080

1,467

1,921

1,908

1,079

Closing balance

1,470

1,893

2,009

1,079

2,666

2014 2015e

2016e

Growth indicators (%)

582

2,154

1,741

2,656

2,722

PAT

53.0

63.3

6.3

19.5

19.6

3,623

4,423

5,994

5,994

5,994

EPS

47.2

49.5

9.4

20.7

19.6

6,450

8,010

10,156

10,850

13,533

Debtors

4,233

4,673

6,743

7,473

8,369

Cash & bank balances

1,473

1,921

1,908

1,079

2,666

Year ended 31 Mar

2012

2013

2014 2015e

2016e

745

1,417

1,505

2,299

2,499

PE

21.0

14.1

12.9

10.7

8.9

Current liabilities & provs

3,315

3,860

3,860

4,032

4,234

P/BV

4.1

3.0

2.5

2.0

1.7

Creditors

1,757

1,904

1,021

1,143

1,295

EV/EBITDA

7.9

18.6

14.3

8.6

7.8

Other liabilities & provisions

1,559

1,956

2,839

2,889

2,939

EV/Sales

1.7

2.8

2.1

1.4

1.2

Dividend Yield (%)

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.8

0.9

2014 2015e

2016e

Goodwill
Current assets, loans & adv

Loans & advances and others

Net current assets

3,135

4,151

6,296

6,818

9,299

Application of funds

9,965

13,988

17,374

19,752

22,835

Valuation (x)

Financial ratios

Per share data

Year ended 31 Mar

2012

2013

Year ended 31 Mar

RoE (%)

19.5

22.3

19.7

19.1

18.6

RoCE (%)

21.7

26.0

24.2

24.5

25.7

No. of shares (m)


BVPS (INR)
CEPS (INR)
DPS (INR)

2012

2013

2014 2015e

2016e

180

188

188

188

188

41.4

56.4

67.7

83.6

102.7

Debt/Equity (x)

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.2

EBIT/Interest (x)

23.5

22.4

14.2

18.4

24.6

11.4

21.6

19.4

19.8

28.6

0.7

0.9

1.1

1.3

1.6

2014 2015e

2016e

Margins (%)
Year ended 31 Mar

2012

2013

EBIDTA

14.4

16.3

15.6

16.0

16.9

EBIT

11.5

14.2

13.6

14.0

14.9

9.7

10.6

9.3

9.9

10.4

PAT
Source: Company, Antique

Source: Company Antique

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 20

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

COMPANY UPDATE

Current Reco

: BUY

Previous Reco

: BUY

CMP

: INR673

Target Price

: INR861

Strides Arcolab Limited


High growth in unsold business

Potential Return : 28%

Strides has received a series of ANDA approvals like Methoxsalen (soft gel
approval), Pramipexole, and Imiquimod (first dermatology approval) in the
last one month. The recently approved ANDAs, along with other pending
ANDAs, should result in an EBITDA CAGR of 31.9% from FY14-16e for its
unsold Pharma business. The recently awarded tenders for Arthemether and
Lumefantrine (A+L) should also be meaningful driver in the medium-term.
We are raising our target price by 21% to INR861/share, incorporating Lovaza
and Avodart in our estimates, and also raising target multiple to 12x from
11x (inline with other midcap).

Hitesh Mahida

+91 22 4031 3429


hitesh.mahida@antiquelimited.com

Consistent ANDA launches to deliver high growth


Market data
Sensex

25,824

Sector

Pharma

Market Cap (INRbn)

40.0

Market Cap (USDbn)

0.7

O/S Shares (m)

59.6

52-wk HI/LO (INR)

675/239

Avg Daily Vol ('000)

265

Bloomberg

STR IN

FY15e

FY16e
56.1

Source: Bloomberg

Valuation
FY14
EPS (INR)

16.4

37.8

PE (x)

29.6

12.8

8.6

2.6

2.1

1.7

12.7

9.4

6.0

P/BV (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)

The company has already received two positive approvals - Methoxsalen and Imiquimod after the recent USFDA clearance for its Bangalore and Italian plants. Strides's partners are
also gaining share in older products like Vancomycin and Ergocalciferol, which have not
seen any new competition despite over two years of genericisation, due to complexity in
development and manufacturing. With recent approvals and pending ANDAs like Combivir,
Tacrolimus, Lovaza and Avodart the US business is on a high growth phase. The company
also has three more soft gel filings and one more dermatology filing pending approval.
Majority of the products in these two segments enjoy limited competition. Lovaza launch in
FY16 will be a game changer, with total brand sales of USD1.1bn and only 4-5 players.
A+L tender to provide further fillip
It has won tenders for A+L from global humanitarian funds. The overall market size of A+L is
close to USD350m. Even a 15% market share could result in annualised sales of USD20m for
the company. It had started supplies only in 2HFY14, and the drug had generated sales of
less than USD8m in FY14.
SoTP-based target price
Sr.

Particular

Source: Bloomberg

1.

Pharma business 12x FY16e

Returns (%)

2.

PV of USD100m kept in escrow account for tax purpose (INR per share)

3.

Value of contingent payment from Mylan on resolution of warning letter


(INR per share) (deducted for DDT)

Dividend Yield (%) 106.0

1m

3m

6m

12m

Absolute

27

59

84

77

Relative

22

39

48

31

INR/share
673
69
237

4.

Assuming 50% probability of receipt of contingent payment (INR per share)

119

Source: Bloomberg

5.

Target price (1+2+4)

861

Shareholding pattern

6.

Total excluding contingent payment (1+2)

Promoters

28%

Source: Antique

FII

49%

DII

3%

Others

20%

Key financials

Source: Bloomberg

Year ended 31 Mar

Price performance vs Nifty

Revenue (INRm)

150
130
110
90
70
Jun-13

CY11

CY12

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

25,245

23,073

13,410

13,818

17,951

4,878

5,353

2,234

2,847

4,057

19.3

23.2

16.7

20.6

22.6

1,976

3,061

946

2,225

3,298

EPS (INR)

34.2

53.0

16.4

37.8

56.1

P/E (x)

14.2

9.1

29.6

12.8

8.6

ROCE

9.2

9.5

4.3

12.8

17.7

15.4

22.3

4.7

20.5

25.2

EBITDA (INRm)
EBITDA Margin (%)
PAT (INRm)

Oct-13 Feb-14

Strides Arcolab
Source: Bloomberg

Jun-14
NIFTY

742

ROE
Source: Company, Antique

Year ending changed to March from FY14. FY14 is a 15-month period.

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 21

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Key ANDA launches expected from Strides Arcolab


Brand name

Launch
status

Methoxsalen

Launched

Lovaza

FY16

Avodart
Combivir

Brand
size
(USDm)

Number
of
players

Expected
sales
(USDm)

Expected
EBITDA
(USDm)

Comments

14

Soft gel product. Only generic to receive approval

1,100

22

Teva has already launched in Apr-14 since it was


awarded FTF. Apotex has settled for 1QCY15 launch.
Par is other known filer

Nov-15

580

Patent expires in Nov-15

2QFY15

275

Tacrolimus

2QFY15

955

10

Calcitriol

2QFY15

30

Soft gel

Source: Company, Antique

Strides Arcolab's partners Alvogen and Paddock have gained positive market share in Vancomycin and Ergocalciferol
Oral Vancomycin TRx share
Akorn
12%

Ergocalciferol TRx share

Others
12%

Others
2%

Paddock
14%

Teva
43%

Alvogen
48%

Prasco
17%

Breckenridge
15%

Actavis
21%
Source: Company, Antique

Rising
16%
Source: Company, Antique

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 22

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Financials
Profit and loss account (INRm)

Revenue Mix (INRm)

Year ended 31 Mar

CY11

CY12

FY14 FY15e

Net Sales

25,245

23,073

13,410

13,818

17,951

Generic

3,560

4,218

5,490

8,792

Material costs

12,638

9,980

7,147

7,600

9,711

Branded

2,180

2,736

3,283

3,940

Employee cost

2,801

2,809

1,572

1,575

1,993

Institutional

3,520

4,446

5,045

5,219

Other Expenses

4,929

4,931

2,457

1,796

2,190

Total

9,260

11,400

13,818

17,951

FY14 FY15e

FY16e

Operating expenses

FY16e

20,367

17,720

11,175

10,972

13,894

EBITDA

4,878

5,353

2,234

2,847

4,057

Depreciation

1,043

1,095

565

507

593

EBIT

3,835

4,258

1,669

2,339

3,464

526

583

602

663

729

Interest

1,903

1,934

1,089

220

70

PBT

2,459

2,907

1,183

2,782

4,123

387

1,021

3,245

556

825

2,072

3,072

946

2,225

3,298

95

11

Net profits

1,976

3,061

946

2,225

3,298

AEPS

34.2

53.0

16.4

37.8

56.1

Other income

Tax
APAT
Minority interest & prior period items

Share capital
Reserves & surplus
Net Worth
Minority interest
Total borrowings
Other liabilities

FY13

Year ended 31 Mar

CY12

584

588

FY14 FY15e
588

588

FY16e
588

13,131

19,674

10,265

12,490

15,788

13,715

20,263

10,853

13,078

16,376

465

719

719

719

719

25,664

14,161

2,711

1,611

511

93

287

287

287

287

Total liabilities

39,937

35,429

14,570

15,696

17,894

Gross block

16,622

18,239

6,239

6,739

7,879

FY16e

CY11

CY12

Net profit

1976

3061

946

2225

3298

Depn and w/o

1043

1095

565

507

593

Change in working cap

-5354

-445

748

607

90

Others

1933

8670

CF from operations (a)

6,481

1,344

763

2,126

3,801

Capital expenditure

6,720

508 (13,853)

545

1,243

Chg in investments and others


CF from investing (b)
Free cash flow (a+b)
Debt

CY11

FY14 FY15e

Cash flow statement (INRm)

(18)

4,430

(6,565)

(8,065)

46,714

(545)

(1,243)

(83)

(6,722)

47,478

1,581

2,559

(11,504) (11,449)

(1,100)

(1,100)
0

Equity raised/(repaid)

Balance sheet (INRm)


Year ended 31 Mar

Year ended 31 Mar

Dividend (incl. tax)

5,566
136

137

34,744

(6,446)

21,541

CF from financing (c)

(1,017)

9,900

(46,193)

(1,100)

(1,100)

Net chg in cash (a+b+c)

(1,100)

3,179

1,284

481

1,459

FY14 FY15e

FY16e

Others

Growth indicators (%)


Year ended 31 Mar

CY11

CY12

Revenue

48.9

(8.6)

(41.9)

3.0

29.9

EBITDA

49.4

9.7

(58.3)

27.4

42.5

-4,572

-4,976

-1,541

-2,048

-2,641

PAT

62.2

54.9

(69.1)

135.1

48.2

12,050

13,264

4,699

4,692

5,239

AEPS

62.2

54.9

(69.1)

130.9

48.2

3,523

2,414

562

607

709

20,046

16,919

16

16

16

4430

4430

4430

CY11

CY12

FY14 FY15e

FY16e

18,921

15,378

11,323

12,301

15,429

14.2

9.1

29.6

12.8

8.6

Inventories

4,799

4,423

1,797

1,974

2,564

2.0

1.4

2.6

2.1

1.7

Debtors

5,384

4,832

3,618

3,937

5,016

10.5

7.7

12.7

9.4

6.0

Cash and bank balances

2,597

1,657

2,942

3,422

4,881

EV/Sales (X)

2.0

1.8

2.1

1.9

1.3

Other current assets

1,597

1,872

374

374

374

Dividend Yield (%)

0.4

0.4

106.0

CY11

CY12

FY14 FY15e

FY16e

15.4

22.3

4.7

20.5

25.2

RoCE

9.2

9.5

4.3

12.8

17.7

Debt/Equity (x)

1.9

0.7

0.2

0.1

0.0

EBIT/Interest (x)

2.0

2.2

1.5

10.6

49.6

FY14 FY15e

FY16e

Less: Acc. depreciation


Net block
CWIP
Others
Investments
Current assets

Loans & Advances

4,543

2,592

2,592

2,592

2,592

11,449

11,147

6,040

5,930

7,509

Provisions

3,257

1,399

420

420

420

Net current assets

4,216

2,831

4,863

5,951

7,500

101

39,937

35,429

14,570

15,695

17,893

CY11

CY12

FY14 FY15e

FY16e

58

59

59

59

59

BVPS (INR)

235

345

185

222

278

CEPS (INR)

52

71

26

46

66

DPS (INR)

591

Current liabilities

Others
Total Assets

Per share data


Year ended 31 Mar
No.of Shares (Mn)

Source: Company, Antique


* Company had paid high dividend due to payment from Mylan
Year ending changed to March from FY14. FY14 is a 15-month period.

Valuation (x)
Year ended 31 Mar
PE (X)
P/BV (X)
EV/EBITDA (X)

Financial ratios
Year ended 31 Mar
RoE

Margins (%)
Year ended 31 Mar

CY11

CY12

EBITDA

19.3

23.2

16.7

20.6

EBIT

15.2

18.5

12.4

16.9

19.3

7.8

13.3

7.1

16.1

18.4

APAT
Source: Company Antique

22.6

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 23

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Valuation Guide
Company

Reco

CMP

TP

(INR)

(INR)

Return

M.Cap

M.Cap

(%) (INRbn) ( U S D b n )

Net profit (INRbn)


FY14

FY15

FY16

EPS (INR)

PE (x)

FY14

FY15

FY16

(1.8)

(0.6)

1.6

FY14

EV/EBITDA (x)

P/BV (x)

RoE (%) RoCE (%)


FY15

FY15

Absolute (%)

FY15

FY16

FY14

FY15

FY16

FY15

1m

12m

(19.9) (62.3)

21.7

80.1

22.1

10.5

2.7

(7.8)

0.4

77

16.2

15.1

13.8

12.2

5.8

32.5

45.7

17

22

AUTOMOBILES
Ashok Leyland

HOLD

36

32

(10)

95

1.6

(4.8)

(1.5)

4.4

Bajaj Auto

HOLD

2,300

2,156

(6)

666

11.1

32.4

36.6

41.2

112.0 126.5 142.4

20.5

18.2

Bosch

HOLD

13,700

10,689

(22)

430

7.2

8.8

10.2

13.4

281.8 324.9 427.6

48.6

42.2

32.0

36.0

32.2

25.1

6.1

14.4

23.9

12

56

Eicher Motors

BUY

8,583

12,039

40

233

3.9

7.4

11.3

17.1

273.0 416.3 633.5

31.4

20.6

13.5

20.8

13.8

9.4

6.4

31.0

35.2

19

139

Exide Industries

HOLD

159

132

(17)

135

2.3

4.9

5.9

6.7

27.6

22.8

20.0

16.3

14.1

12.5

3.3

14.3

19.5

10

32

Hero MotoCorp

HOLD

2,588

2,827

517

8.7

21.1

28.6

36.3

24.5

18.1

14.3

18.9

13.9

10.9

7.5

41.8

57.4

56

M&M

BUY

1,236

1,316

761

12.7

38.5

40.5

49.2

58.6

74.9

21.1

20.0

16.5

14.5

12.6

10.0

4.0

20.0

24.5

26

Maruti Suzuki

BUY

2,630

2,443

(7)

794

13.3

27.8

33.7

45.0

92.1 111.6 148.8

Tata Motors

BUY

470

575

22

1,415

23.7 161.4 188.1 233.1

5.7

7.0

7.9

105.6 143.2 181.6


61.7

28.5

23.6

17.7

13.7

11.5

8.6

3.3

14.2

21.7

13

68

50.1

58.4

72.4

9.4

8.0

6.5

4.8

4.1

3.3

1.8

22.7

20.5

12

65

Balkrishna Industries Limited

BUY

736

822

12

71

1.2

4.9

6.0

6.6

50.5

62.3

68.5

14.6

11.8

10.7

10.6

8.4

7.2

3.1

27.7

18.9

19

246

Ceat Limited

BUY

661

597

(10)

24

0.4

2.8

3.4

3.6

78.1

94.5

99.5

8.5

7.0

6.6

5.2

4.7

4.6

1.7

25.6

25.8

53

537

Apollo Tyres Limited

HOLD

212

212

107

1.8

9.6

11.2

11.9

19.0

22.2

23.5

11.1

9.5

9.0

6.2

5.5

5.4

1.8

20.6

29.5

15

252

Bharat Forge

BUY

672

628

(7)

156

2.6

4.2

5.7

7.6

18.0

24.4

32.7

37.5

27.6

20.5

16.8

14.0

11.2

5.0

19.6

17.5

29

210

FMCG & RETAIL


Asian Paints

HOLD

582

539

(7)

558

9.3

12.2

14.3

17.3

12.8

14.9

18.0

45.4

39.0

32.4

27.6

23.7

19.4

13.3

34.1

43.4

14

27

Colgate

HOLD

1,608

1,338

(17)

219

3.7

4.8

5.3

6.1

35.0

39.1

44.6

46.0

41.1

36.1

34.2

29.3

24.2

33.3

81.2

102.1

14

22

Dabur India

BUY

192

195

337

5.6

9.2

10.8

13.1

5.3

6.2

7.5

36.5

30.9

25.6

29.9

25.3

20.8

10.3

33.5

30.9

23

Radico Khaitan

BUY

113

136

21

15

0.3

0.9

1.0

1.2

6.8

7.6

8.8

16.6

14.9

12.8

10.9

9.9

8.9

1.7

11.6

11.3

18

Godrej Consumer

HOLD

807

789

(2)

275

4.6

7.6

9.0

10.7

22.9

26.3

31.6

35.2

30.7

25.6

24.6

21.2

17.6

6.2

20.2

20.4

(0)

HUL

HOLD

624

592

(5)

1,350

22.6

35.5

38.2

42.7

16.4

17.6

19.7

38.0

35.4

31.6

29.7

27.0

23.5

40.7

115.0

140.3

ITC

BUY

331

397

20

2,635

44.1

87.9 102.1 122.1

11.0

12.8

15.3

30.0

25.8

21.6

21.5

18.4

15.2

8.8

33.9

43.2

(1)

Jyothy Labs

BUY

180

240

33

33

0.5

1.1

1.7

1.9

6.0

9.6

10.4

30.0

18.7

17.2

23.9

19.2

13.9

3.2

16.9

7.6

(4)

Marico

HOLD

249

232

(7)

161

2.7

5.2

5.3

6.2

8.1

8.1

9.7

30.9

30.6

25.8

21.8

19.8

16.3

8.7

28.6

30.0

26

Nestle India

HOLD

4,998

4,430

(11)

482

8.1

11.2

11.4

14.2

42.5

42.4

33.8

25.1

25.0

20.3

16.2

38.2

39.5

(1)

Titan Company

BUY

361

420

16

320

5.4

7.6

9.2

12.4

8.6

10.4

14.0

42.1

34.8

25.8

33.6

27.7

19.5

9.9

28.5

32.0

13

60

TBZ

BUY

209

258

24

14

0.2

0.5

0.8

1.1

8.3

12.2

17.2

25.3

17.1

12.1

14.8

11.6

7.9

2.7

16.0

10.9

16

17

United Spirits

SELL

2,491

2,203

(12)

362

6.1

0.5

2.6

5.7

3.4

18.1

39.5

730.8 137.9

63.1

38.7

32.6

23.6

4.3

3.1

Tilaknagar Ind

BUY

59

71

21

0.1

0.6

0.7

1.1

4.8

6.0

8.6

12.3

9.7

6.9

8.6

7.9

6.6

1.1

11.4

11.1

21

V- Mart

BUY

390

366

(6)

0.1

0.3

0.4

0.5

14.0

21.8

28.7

27.8

17.9

13.6

13.8

9.5

7.4

3.3

18.7

25.7

27

188

87

117.6 117.9 147.7

7.1 (12)

(1)

INDUSTRIALS
ABB

HOLD

1,137

706

(38)

241

4.0

1.8

2.9

4.3

8.3

13.6

20.2

136.2

83.5

56.4

51.9

39.0

30.1

8.5

10.1

15.8

21

BGR

HOLD

221

125

(43)

16

0.3

1.5

1.7

2.0

20.2

23.9

27.8

11.0

9.2

7.9

7.1

5.9

5.2

1.1

12.7

11.4

76

BHEL

BUY

261

315

21

639

10.7

32.3

34.4

38.6

13.2

14.0

15.8

19.8

18.6

16.6

11.5

11.8

8.7

1.8

9.9

10.1

46

Crompton Greaves

BUY

205

203

(1)

129

2.2

2.4

6.0

7.6

3.9

9.5

12.0

52.8

21.6

17.1

21.6

12.8

10.2

2.6

11.8

11.3

127

Cummins India

BUY

687

811

18

191

3.2

6.2

7.2

9.0

22.3

26.0

32.5

30.8

26.4

21.2

27.1

24.1

19.0

6.9

25.0

25.5

55

Havells India

HOLD

1,193

1,043

(13)

149

2.5

4.5

6.2

7.4

35.7

49.5

58.9

33.4

24.1

20.3

22.6

22.7

22.1

7.3

33.2

32.3

13

64

Larsen & Toubro

BUY

1,752

1,810

1,626

27.2

45.7

55.3

68.8

49.3

59.6

74.2

35.6

29.4

23.6

25.5

21.8

18.3

4.3

14.1

14.2

89

Siemens

BUY

988

892

(10)

352

5.9

5.1

7.7

10.5

14.2

21.5

29.5

69.6

45.9

33.5

36.4

25.2

18.2

7.6

16.5

23.9

82

KEC

HOLD

132

90

(32)

34

0.6

0.7

1.7

2.3

3.3

6.5

9.0

40.1

20.5

14.7

10.3

8.0

6.7

2.6

12.8

17.1

12

312

Voltas

BUY

218

242

11

72

1.2

2.2

3.2

4.5

6.8

9.7

13.4

32.2

22.5

16.2

27.2

20.1

14.0

3.6

16.1

14.7

175

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
HCL Tech

HOLD

1,466

1500

1,026

17.2

60.1

69.2

77.7

85.7

98.6 110.6

17.1

14.9

13.3

11.1

9.4

8.0

4.0

30.3

29.2

91

Hexaware Tech

SELL

152

125

(18)

46

0.8

3.8

3.5

4.1

12.8

11.8

11.9

12.8

11.0

7.6

8.1

6.9

2.9

22.9

22.6

74

Infosys Ltd.

BUY

3,211

3,900

21

1,844

16.9

15.2

13.1

11.6

9.8

8.1

3.3

23.4

22.9

34

KPIT

BUY

170

210

23

33

12.9

10.7

8.9

8.1

6.8

5.3

2.0

19.1

24.5

42

30.9 108.7 120.9 140.5


0.6

2.5

3.0

3.6

13.8

189.8 211.1 245.2


13.2

15.9

19.1

MphasiS

BUY

426

510

20

89

1.5

3.5

8.2

9.7

14.7

38.8

46.1

29.0

11.0

9.2

18.9

8.1

6.8

1.6

15.4

12.1

15

Persistent Sys

BUY

1,087

1,400

29

43

0.7

2.5

3.2

4.0

62.3

80.2

98.9

17.4

13.5

11.0

10.1

7.9

6.4

3.0

21.9

26.8

125

97.0 112.9 132.3

24.9

21.4

18.3

18.3

15.8

13.3

6.6

30.9

36.6

14

62

110.6 136.7 159.2

19.1

15.5

13.3

11.5

9.5

8.2

4.2

30.7

35.3

11

112

17.5

14.9

13.3

13.5

10.9

9.5

3.3

22.3

24.4

12

62

TCS

BUY

2,418

2,550

4,736

Tech Mahindra

BUY

2,113

2,350

11

495

8.3

25.8

31.9

Wipro

HOLD

556

585

1,371

22.9

78.4

92.0 103.1

UR: Under Review

79.3 189.9 220.9 259.0


37.2

31.8

37.4

41.9

contd...

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 24

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Valuation Guide
Company

Reco

CMP

TP

(INR)

(INR)

Return

M.Cap

M.Cap

(%) (INRbn) ( U S D b n )

Net profit (INRbn)


FY14

FY15

FY16

EPS (INR)

PE (x)

FY14

FY15

FY16

FY14

FY15

EV/EBITDA (x)

P/BV (x)

FY16

FY14

FY15

FY16

FY15

RoE (%) RoCE (%)


FY15

FY15

Absolute (%)
1m

12m

39

MEDIA
Den Networks

BUY

237

235

(1)

42

0.7

0.8

1.5

2.4

3.4

8.3

13.4

68.8

28.4

17.8

12.3

8.6

5.4

2.1

7.4

7.7

Dish TV India

BUY

61

70

14

65

1.1

(0.9)

1.3

3.8

(2.0)

1.3

3.6

(31.1)

49.0

17.1

13.5

9.0

7.1

(36.0)

nm

16.5

18

(1)

Hathway Cable

BUY

318

360

13

48

0.8

0.14

1.35

2.23

1.0

9.5

15.6

318.0

33.7

20.4

15.3

9.1

6.6

3.6

10.0

13.7

15

Just Dial Ltd

BUY

1,486

1,650

11

104

1.7

1.21

1.32

2.16

17.2

18.8

30.7

86.2

78.9

48.3

68.6

61.5

35.4

16.1

20.4

20.6

13

134

Sun TV Network

BUY

463

495

182

3.1

7.5

9.3

10.7

19.2

23.6

27.2

24.2

19.6

17.0

15.2

12.5

10.8

5.1

25.9

33.6

22

Zee Ent

HOLD

296

270

(9)

285

4.8

8.9

10.4

11.4

9.2

10.8

11.8

32.1

27.3

25.1

23.2

21.6

19.4

5.1

18.7

20.3

22

Hindalco Industries

HOLD

174

133

(24)

359

6.0

25.7

29.1

28.1

12.5

14.1

13.6

14.0

12.3

12.8

10.6

9.0

7.3

0.9

7.1

5.2

12

76

Hindustan Zinc

BUY

168

182

709

11.9

69.7

70.4

74.8

16.5

16.7

17.7

10.2

10.1

9.5

6.5

5.7

4.7

1.7

17.6

42.9

(0)

65

JSW Steel

HOLD

1,289

1,318

312

5.2

21.6

23.3

31.1

89.6

96.3 128.5

14.4

13.4

10.0

7.1

6.9

5.9

1.4

10.5

8.0

111

SAIL

HOLD

96

85

(11)

395

6.6

16.6

26.8

33.1

4.0

6.5

8.0

23.9

14.8

11.9

15.1

11.4

9.2

0.9

6.1

4.5

92

TATA Steel

BUY

539

535

(1)

524

8.8

36.2

38.9

57.3

37.3

40.0

59.0

14.5

13.5

9.1

7.4

7.4

6.6

1.2

9.1

5.7

100

NMDC

HOLD

185

176

(5)

735

12.3

63.7

66.9

74.3

16.1

16.9

18.7

11.5

11.0

9.9

7.0

6.7

6.0

2.2

21.3

40.9

85

Nalco

BUY

59

56

(6)

153

2.6

6.9

6.5

7.5

2.7

2.5

2.9

22.1

23.5

20.2

10.7

10.3

8.6

1.2

5.3

3.8

11

102

BPCL

BUY

600

700

17

434

7.3

36.5

30.0

35.0

55.7

45.7

53.3

10.8

13.1

11.2

6.5

6.7

6.3

1.8

13.8

12.2

68

Cairn India

HOLD

361

350

(3)

689

11.5 124.3 110.5 116.9

65.9

57.8

60.9

5.5

6.3

5.9

4.9

5.1

4.4

1.1

21.9

19.8

25

Essar Oil

HOLD

107

82

(23)

155

2.6

1.3

16.7

13.8

0.9

11.5

9.5

123.3

9.3

11.2

6.7

7.1

6.7

3.8

40.8

12.8

12

63

GAIL India

HOLD

459

405

(12)

582

9.7

41.4

40.5

44.7

32.6

31.9

35.2

14.1

14.4

13.0

9.8

9.1

8.1

2.0

13.7

13.3

20

39

Gujarat State Petro

BUY

93

108

17

52

0.9

4.2

4.9

5.5

7.4

8.8

9.7

12.4

10.5

9.5

6.3

5.7

5.3

1.4

13.3

16.6

21

64

HPCL

BUY

414

460

11

140

2.3

14.4

10.4

14.9

42.3

30.6

44.0

9.8

13.5

9.4

8.4

7.6

6.5

0.9

5.5

2.2

(2)

69

Indian Oil Corp

BUY

343

445

30

832

13.9

57.8

62.3

90.7

24.4

26.3

38.3

14.0

13.0

9.0

10.5

8.1

5.8

1.1

8.7

6.3

(5)

52

Indraprastha Gas

BUY

365

450

23

51

0.9

3.6

3.8

4.2

25.7

27.4

29.8

14.2

13.3

12.3

6.6

6.2

5.5

2.5

19.1

22.1

10

30

MRPL

SELL

73

57

(21)

127

2.1

6.0

5.0

11.4

3.4

2.9

6.5

21.2

25.2

11.1

11.2

10.3

6.5

1.7

6.8

6.5

99

Oil India

BUY

591

900

52

355

5.9

28.8

32.1

50.7

48.0

53.3

84.4

12.3

11.1

7.0

8.4

6.8

4.2

1.6

14.2

11.3

59.9 226.4 287.6 366.1

METALS & MINING

OIL & GAS

ONGC

BUY

418

600

43

3,577

Petronet LNG

BUY

171

170

(1)

129

Reliance Industries

HOLD

1,007

950

(6)

3,254

Cipla

HOLD

448

407

(9)

359

Dr Reddy's

BUY

2,639

2,994

13

Lupin

BUY

1,082

1112

Sun Pharma

BUY

707

783

11

31.7

39.1

48.2

13.2

10.7

8.7

7.9

6.3

5.0

2.4

18.9

23.0

34

7.8

9.5

10.8

10.3

18.1

15.9

16.6

9.9

8.4

8.9

2.3

14.5

15.5

41

54.5 224.9 257.5 277.1

69.6

79.6

85.7

14.5

12.6

11.7

12.2

11.7

11.1

1.3

11.5

7.1

(8)

18

13.7

19.2

24.6

32.6

23.3

18.2

20.0

15.3

12.1

3.1

14.2

12.0

15

13

122.7 136.4 166.3

2.2

7.1

8.1

PHARMACEUTICALS
6.0

11.0

15.5

19.8

449

7.5

20.8

23.2

28.2

21.5

19.4

15.9

14.5

12.9

10.5

4.5

23.0

18.9

13

19

485

8.1

17.8

22.7

24.9

39.7

50.8

55.6

27.3

21.3

19.5

16.1

13.4

11.9

5.7

29.8

26.6

18

30

1,464

24.5

57.2

63.0

74.8

27.6

30.4

36.1

25.6

23.2

19.6

19.5

16.5

13.2

6.4

27.5

29.2

17

39

Aurobindo

HOLD

768

638

(17)

224

3.7

11.7

13.8

15.5

46.8

47.2

53.2

16.4

16.3

14.4

11.5

10.9

9.6

4.5

31.4

16.7

23

316

Cadila Health

BUY

1,119

1243

11

229

3.8

8.8

10.7

14.1

41.7

52.5

69.1

26.8

21.3

16.2

19.4

15.3

11.9

5.4

26.6

17.6

22

45

Strides

BUY

671

709

40

0.7

0.9

2.1

2.8

16.4

36.2

47.4

41.0

18.6

14.2

17.8

14.0

10.6

3.0

19.6

12.2

27

77

Glenmark

BUY

608

663

165

2.8

7.3

10.0

12.6

27.4

35.7

47.0

22.2

17.0

12.9

14.4

11.4

8.9

4.2

25.9

23.3

12

Biocon

BUY

544

477

(12)

109

1.8

4.1

5.2

6.6

20.4

26.2

32.8

26.6

20.8

16.6

16.6

13.1

10.5

3.2

16.4

9.7

23

98

Unichem

BUY

239

230

(4)

22

0.4

0.9

1.5

1.9

11.8

16.1

20.9

20.3

14.9

11.4

12.0

9.3

7.3

2.4

16.1

14.2

21

50

1,279

1,283

249

4.2

10.1

11.5

13.9

51.7

58.7

71.3

24.7

21.8

17.9

18.7

15.7

12.5

3.2

14.5

20.9

77

SHIPPING AND LOGISTICS


Container Corp.

HOLD

GE Shipping

HOLD

367

372

55

0.9

4.6

5.7

7.4

30.8

38.1

48.9

11.9

9.6

7.5

5.8

5.1

4.4

0.8

6.8

7.6

74

Adani Port and SEZ

BUY

270

232

(14)

560

9.4

20.1

21.5

26.9

9.6

10.3

12.9

28.1

26.2

20.9

23.0

17.8

14.8

5.4

20.1

16.5

13

81

Gujarat Pipavav

HOLD

119

81

(32)

58

1.0

1.8

2.1

2.3

3.6

4.4

4.8

32.8

27.3

25.0

22.7

20.1

16.4

3.9

14.3

13.9

(2)

164

UR: Under Review

contd...

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

4 July 2014 | 25

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

Valuation Guide
Company

Reco

CMP

TP

(INR)

(INR)

Return

M.Cap

M.Cap

(%) (INRbn) ( U S D b n )

Net profit (INRbn)


FY14

FY15

FY16

6.5

6.7

EPS (INR)

PE (x)

EV/EBITDA (x)

P/BV (x)

FY14

FY15

FY16

FY14

FY15

FY16

FY14

FY15

FY16

FY15

7.1

39.2

42.6

64.8

18.2

16.7

11.0

11.6

8.7

6.5

21.7 114.0 103.6 109.6

13.8

12.6

13.3

11.4

12.5

11.8

9.6

9.5

9.2

57.6

8.6

9.7

11.0

16.3

14.4

12.8

11.8

10.9

RoE (%) RoCE (%)

Absolute (%)

FY15

FY15

1m

12m

1.6

9.6

7.2

18

108

1.4

11.1

7.8

(4)

10

9.9

1.9

13.2

7.5

12

30

UTILITIES
CESC

HOLD

714

501

(30)

89

NTPC

HOLD

157

141

(10)

1,297

1.5

Power Grid

BUY

141

152

735

12.3

45.0

50.9

PTC India

BUY

97

125

29

29

0.5

3.6

2.7

3.7

8.5

5.9

8.7

11.4

16.3

11.1

3.4

5.1

1.1

0.3

6.7

10.2

11

105

Tata Power

BUY

107

90

(16)

289

4.8

10.4

16.9

17.9

4.4

6.2

6.6

24.5

17.1

16.1

8.2

6.9

6.4

1.8

10.6

10.8

34

Coal India

BUY

396

442

12

2,502

41.9 151.1 177.4 210.4

23.9

28.1

33.3

16.6

14.1

11.9

12.5

10.4

7.8

5.1

36.3

32.6

33

Supreme Industries

BUY

550

553

70

1.2

2.9

3.6

4.3

22.8

28.1

33.5

24.1

19.5

16.4

12.7

10.6

9.3

4.2

31.5

31.9

65

Cera Sanitaryware

BUY

1,297

863

(33)

16

0.3

0.5

0.7

0.8

41.6

55.1

66.4

31.2

23.5

19.5

18.6

14.4

12.0

5.8

27.5

32.2

(7)

163

Kajaria Ceramics

BUY

545

417

(23)

41

0.7

1.2

1.7

2.2

15.6

21.3

27.8

34.9

25.5

19.6

15.5

12.3

9.6

6.7

26.4

30.2

(6)

133

Finolex Industries

BUY

288

340

18

36

0.6

1.7

2.4

2.8

13.7

19.4

22.7

21.0

14.9

12.7

11.5

8.9

7.7

4.0

28.5

24.5

12

123

Astral Poly Technik Limited

HOLD

732

490

(33)

41

0.7

0.8

1.1

1.6

14.0

20.4

28.8

52.1

35.8

25.4

26.1

20.9

16.0

9.9

31.3

37.2

22

221

Company

Reco

Return

M.Cap

M.Cap

FY16

FY14

FY15

FY16

FY14

OTHERS

CMP

TP

(INR)

(INR)

Net profit (INRbn)

(%) (INRbn) ( U S D b n )

FY14

FY15

FY16

EPS (INR)
FY14

FY15

PE (x)

NNPA Ratio (%)


FY15

P/AdjBV (x) RoE (%) RoA (%)

FY16

FY15

FY15

FY15

Absolute (%)
1m

12m

FINANCIALS
Axis Bank

HOLD

1,926

2,200

14

908

15.2

62.2

71.4

81.6

132.3 151.9 173.7

14.6

12.7

11.1

0.4

0.5

2.1

17.2

1.7

51

Bank of Baroda

BUY

876

1,007

15

376

6.3

45.4

50.6

58.9

105.4 117.5 136.8

8.3

7.5

6.4

1.5

1.8

1.6

1.1

13.3

0.7

61

Bank of India

HOLD

304

268

(12)

195

3.3

27.3

34.1

38.7

7.2

5.7

5.0

3.2

3.2

3.1

0.8

10.8

0.6

(4)

38

Canara Bank

HOLD

447

315

(30)

206

3.5

24.4

33.3

42.2

HDFC

HOLD

1,008

904

(10)

1580

26.4

54.4

63.4

76.5

HDFC Bank

BUY

837

780

(7)

2015

33.7

84.8 106.8 135.6

ICICI Bank

BUY

1,454

1,575

1681

28.1

98.1 111.5 130.2

IndusInd Bank

BUY

573

550

(4)

302

5.0

14.1

18.0

22.4

Kotak Mahindra

HOLD

891

806

(10)

687

11.5

15.3

18.4

PNB

HOLD

991

785

(21)

359

6.0

33.4

43.1

SBI

BUY

2,696

3,045

13

2013

42.4

53.0

60.2

52.9

72.1

91.5

8.5

6.2

4.9

2.0

1.8

1.7

0.8

10.7

0.6

25

34.9

40.6

49.0

28.9

24.8

20.6

0.2

0.2

0.2

5.0

21.0

2.9

10

18

35.5

44.5

56.5

23.6

18.8

14.8

0.3

0.2

0.2

3.9

22.4

2.0

29

84.5

95.9 112.1

17.2

15.2

13.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

2.2

13.7

1.7

(0)

37

26.9

34.5

42.7

21.3

16.6

13.4

0.3

0.4

0.4

2.9

18.4

1.9

23

21.6

20.5

24.6

28.9

43.5

36.2

30.9

1.1

1.4

1.8

5.8

15.8

1.6

28

52.1

92.3 119.0 144.0

10.7

8.3

6.9

2.8

2.6

2.3

1.2

11.4

0.7

59

33.7 108.9 154.4 213.7

145.9 206.8 286.3

18.5

13.0

9.4

2.1

2.1

2.0

1.9

12.4

0.8

42

Union Bank

HOLD

231

150

(35)

145

2.4

17.0

22.4

26.7

26.9

35.5

42.3

8.6

6.5

5.4

2.3

2.4

2.5

1.0

12.5

0.6

35

YES Bank

BUY

563

653

16

233

3.9

16.2

18.3

21.1

44.9

50.7

58.4

12.5

11.1

9.6

0.0

0.0

0.0

2.3

23.1

1.5

(3)

21

Bajaj Auto Fin

BUY

2,176

2,157

(1)

109

1.8

7.2

8.6

10.3

144.5 172.9 207.0

15.1

12.6

10.5

0.2

0.3

0.3

2.3

19.9

3.2

53

Chola Invst & Fin.

HOLD

406

301

(26)

58

1.0

3.3

4.5

5.4

25.4

31.3

37.9

16.0

13.0

10.7

0.8

1.1

1.3

2.2

19.0

1.9

18

69

Gruh Finance

BUY

198

305

54

71

1.2

1.8

2.3

2.8

9.8

12.6

15.8

20.2

15.8

12.6

4.7

33.6

3.5

73

LIC Housing Fin

BUY

324

310

(4)

164

2.7

13.1

16.5

20.3

26.0

32.7

40.3

12.5

9.9

8.0

0.1

0.1

0.1

1.9

20.2

1.6

(3)

35

M&M Fin.

BUY

274

290

156

2.6

8.9

10.9

13.7

15.8

19.3

24.4

17.4

14.2

11.2

1.9

2.2

2.5

2.6

21.3

3.4 (10)

Manappuram

HOLD

23

24

20

0.3

2.3

1.7

2.1

2.7

2.0

2.4

8.7

11.7

9.5

0.4

0.4

0.4

0.8

8.0

Muthoot Finance

BUY

189

232

23

75

1.3

7.8

9.1

10.8

21.0

22.9

27.2

9.0

8.3

7.0

1.1

0.9

0.9

1.6

PFC

HOLD

319

338

421

7.1

54.2

63.8

72.9

41.0

49.5

56.4

7.8

6.4

5.7

0.5

1.0

1.0

1.3

Repco Home Fin.

HOLD

473

391

(17)

29

0.5

1.1

1.5

1.8

17.7

24.4

29.6

26.7

19.3

16.0

0.7

0.7

0.7

3.4

REC

HOLD

369

374

365

6.1

46.8

54.3

63.3

47.4

56.5

65.6

7.8

6.5

5.6

0.1

0.3

0.5

Shriram Transport

HOLD

936

759

(19)

212

3.6

13.6

15.0

18.0

60.0

66.4

79.4

15.6

14.1

11.8

0.5

0.7

1.5

SKS Microfinance

Hold

276

355

29

35

0.6

0.7

1.6

2.1

6.5

13.1

17.0

42.6

21.0

16.2

0.1

0.2

0.3

UR: Under Review

1.6

11

127

18.8

4.1

(7)

94

20.9

3.1

133

19.5

2.6

85

1.5

23.6

3.5

13

86

2.2

16.6

2.9

(2)

38

5.6

19.3

5.1

(8)

155

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

Events Calendar
Monday

7 Jul

Jul/Aug 2014
Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

Friday

Saturday

Sun

1 Jul

2 Jul

3 Jul

4 Jul

5 Jul

6 Jul

9 Jul

10 Jul

11 Jul

12 Jul

13 Jul

Cera Sanitaryware
Infosys

Unichem Lab

18 Jul

19 Jul

20 Jul

26 Jul

27 Jul

8 Jul

IndusInd Bank

14 Jul

21 Jul

15 Jul

22 Jul

16 Jul

17 Jul

Bajaj Finance
Kotak Mahindra Bank

Bajaj Auto

23 Jul

24 Jul

25 Jul

Biocon
M&M Financial

Colgate Palmolive

31 Jul

1 Aug

2 Aug

3 Aug

8 Aug

9 Aug

10Aug

Exide Ind

28 Jul

4 July 2014 | 26

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

29 Jul

30 Jul
MphasiS

4 Aug

5 Aug

6 Aug

7 Aug

11 Aug

12 Aug

13 Aug

14 Aug

ANTIQUE STOCK BROKING LIMITED

FROM THE RESEARCH DESK

4 July 2014 | 27

Important Disclaimer:
This report is prepared and published on behalf of the research team of Antique Stock Broking Limited (ASBL). ASBL, its holding company and associate
companies are a full service, integrated investment banking, investment advisory and brokerage group. Our research analysts and sales persons provide
important inputs for our investment banking and allied activities. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the
information contained herein, so far as it relates to current and historical information, but do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. The opinions
expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing in the material and may be subject to change from time to time without any notice. ASBL or any
persons connected with it do not solicit any action based on this report and do not accept any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients
of this material should rely on their own judgment and take their own professional advice before acting on this information. The research reports are for
private circulation and are not to be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Unless otherwise noted, all research reports
provide information of a general nature and do not address the circumstances of any particular investor. The distribution of this document in certain
jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and persons in whose possession this document comes, should inform themselves about and observe, any such
restrictions. ASBL its holding company and associate companies or any of its connected persons including its directors or employees shall not be in any way
responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained, views and opinions expressed in
this publication. ASBL its holding company and associate companies, officers, directors, and employees may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions
in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn
brokerage or other compensation or act as advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any
recommendation and related information and opinions. ASBL, its holding company and associate companies, directors, officers or employees may, from time
to time, deal in the securities mentioned herein, as principal or agent. ASBL its holding company and associate companies may have acted as an Investment
Advisor or Merchant Banker for some of the companies (or its connected persons) mentioned in this report. The research reports and all the information
opinions and conclusions contained in them are proprietary information of ASBL and the same may not be reproduced or distributed in whole or in part
without express consent of ASBL. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views
about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to
specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.

Analyst ownership in stock

Yes for Strides Arcolab

Antique Stock Broking Limited

Nirmal, 2nd Floor, Nariman Point, Mumbai 400 021.


Tel. : +91 22 4031 3444 Fax : +91 22 4031 3445
www.antiquelimited.com

S-ar putea să vă placă și