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Chapter13
Chapter46
Chapter79
1.Preface
3.6Hedging
2.GettingStarted
3.7Leverage
3.GeneralTheory
3.8GeneralFuturesTerminology
AAA
Chapter1011
3.9GeneralOptionsTerminology
3.10SummaryAndReview
Ifyoudothemath,you'llseethatthehedgerhasapparentlybought$124,000worthofcorninSeptemberforaninvestmentof
$123,000inJuly.Still,that'snotareal$1,000profitifyouconsiderthecompanycouldhaveboughtthesameamountofgrainfor
thelowerpriceonthespotmarketatthetimeitboughtthefuture.Itmerelyeliminatedthecostofstoragewhileaddingon
transactioncosts.
LOOKOUT!
Theprofitandlossinadeallikethisistypicallynegligible.Thetransactionismoreaccuratelyviewedasaninsurancepolicy.Along
hedgeprotectsatraderagainstunanticipatedpricerises.Thatdidnotoccurinthisexample.TheSeptemberspotpricewasonlya
couplecentshigherthanthemarketthoughtitwouldbetwomonthsearlier.IftherehadbeenarashoftornadoesintheMidwest
orahugeorderplacedbyalargeoverseastradingpartner,thenSeptemberspotpricecouldhaverisento260cents/bushel,or
evenhigher,andthecompanywouldhavebeenveryhappyithadthelonghedge.
ShortHedging
Inashorthedge,thehedgersellsafuturescontractinordertolimitexposuretoapriceshortfall.Typically,thisisdoneby
farmers,minersoranyonewho,forwhateverreason,isholdingtheinventory(commercialhedgers).
Inashorthedge,thehedgersellsafuturescontract.Assumeyou'reanagentforthefarmingcooperativeinNebraskathatgrows
thecornunderlyingthecontractdescribedabove,inthesectiononlonghedging.Youwouldenterintothesamedealasthetortilla
chipmaker,butyourincentivewouldbetolimittheriskifcornpricesdeclinedsharply.Ifalargeexpectedorderdidnot
materialize,ifadevelopingnationshouldsuddenlydumplowercostcornontheworldmarketorifunusuallyfavorablesummer
weathershouldcauseasupplyglut,youknowthatthereareatleast50,000bushelsyoucansellatapriceyoucanlivewith.
LOOKOUT!
Mechanically,theshorthedgersellsthecontractsatthefuturespricetoopenthehedge,then,essentially,buysitbackatthe
prevailingspotpricetocloseit.
Next:Leverage