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Article history:
Received 8 April 2010
Revised 5 September 2011
Accepted 5 September 2011
Available online 18 October 2011
Keywords:
Decision making
Analytic hierarchy process
Renewable energy
Electricity
Pakistan
a b s t r a c t
In this paper some renewable energy options for electricity generation for Pakistan are explored from multiple perspectives comprising technical, economical, social, environmental and political aspects. Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) has been used for the rst time for the energy sector of Pakistan. An AHP model has been
presented for the selection and prioritization of various renewable energy technologies for electricity generation. After accessing potential of the country for generating electricity from renewable resources, reviewing
relevant scholarly literature and discussion with experts, an appropriate decision model has been formulated
consisting of goal, criteria, sub-criteria and alternatives. Wind energy, solar photovoltaic, solar thermal and
biomass energy options are used as the alternatives in the decision model. Besides ranking and prioritizing
of these technologies, results of the proposed decision model can also be used for the development of
long-term renewable energy policy and energy roadmap for the country. The ndings of this research
might also be highly relevant to other developing countries.
2011 International Energy Initiative. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Introduction
In this modern era, energy is a key element required for sustainable development and prosperity of a society. The total primary energy supply (TPES) of Pakistan was 62.6 million tonnes of oil equivalent
(MTOE) during nancial year 200809 (PEYB, 2009). Energy resources like natural gas, oil, hydro and nuclear, coal and liqueed petroleum gas (LPG) contribute to 48.3%, 32.1%, 11.3%, 7.6% and 0.6% of
primary energy supplies respectively (PEYB, 2009). Share of primary
energy supplies by various sources in MTOE is shown in Fig. 1.
Pakistan is an energy decient country facing problems due to
shortage of energy, especially electricity which is adversely affecting
the economy. Electricity decit of the country was over 4000 MW in
2008 and it is estimated to reach over 8000 MW by the end 2010
(Asif, 2009). This problem will further aggravate in future because national energy demand is also increasing at an average annual rate of
5.67% (EIA, 2009). Due to shortage of electricity in Pakistan, the industrial sector has been badly affected and overall exports of the country
have been reduced. Due to signicant increase in cost of fossil fuel,
the primary energy supplies witnessed a decrease by 0.6% in 2009
from 2008 (PEYB, 2009). Import of fossil fuel especially oil has put a
lot of burden on the national economy. Government of Pakistan is
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: tugrul@etm.pdx.edu (T.U. Daim).
0973-0826/$ see front matter 2011 International Energy Initiative. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.esd.2011.09.001
4.8
0.4
462MW
421
40 MW
7.1
Natural Gas
Oil
Thermal (fossil-fuels)
6,480 MW
Large Hydro Power Dams
Coal
LPG
20.1
30.2
12,478 MW
Fig. 1. Primary energy supplies by various sources in MTOE during nancial year 2008
2009 (PEYB, 2009).
In order to provide effective institutional support for the development and deployment of projects utilizing the renewable energy
technologies (RET), government of Pakistan has established two
main departments i.e. Alternate Energy Development Board (AEDB)
and Pakistan Council of Renewable Energy Technologies (PCRET).
AEDB provides institutional support, develops RE policies and facilitates deployment of RE projects in the country whereas PCRET conducts the R&D activities, develops pilot projects for demonstration
purposes and train human resource so that they can operate and
maintain RE based projects. The responsibilities of these two departments are mentioned below.
AEDB was established in 2003 to act as the central national body
on the renewable energy sector and its responsibility is to implement
various policies, programs and projects in the eld of renewable energy technologies (AEDB, 2010). AEDB is responsible for developing national RE policy and establishing short, medium and long-term policy
goals for renewable energy technologies in the country. In the RE policy a target has been established to ensure generation of 10% electricity from renewable energy sources by the year 2015 (AEDB, 2010).
AEDB also act as a one-window facility for processing RE power generation projects in order to ensure smooth execution and implementation of RE projects by private sector and foreign investors. In order
to facilitate RE projects AEDB has drafted standard power purchase
agreement and other project implementation agreements.
PCRET was established in 2001 and it has been assigned to conduct research and development activities in the eld of renewable
technologies in order to promote these technologies in the country
(PCRET, 2010). PCRET also coordinates the overall R&D activities in
this eld in the country. PCRET has initiated some pilot projects and
deployed wind turbines, photovoltaic cells, solar water heaters,
solar cookers, solar dryers, solar desalination systems and biomass
plants on a small scale to demonstrate their performance in the
local environment (Sheikh, 2010). PCRET also provides training for
operations and maintenance of these technologies.
Fig. 2. Electricity generation capacity in MW from different sources in 2008 (AEDB, 2010).
Wind energy
Wind power has been used from ancient times for grinding grains,
sailing ships and pumping water for irrigation purposes. Wind power
technology is the fastest growing renewable energy source having global installed capacity (both onshore and offshore) of 121 GW (Chandler
et al., 2009). During the last decade there has been an average annual
growth rate of 30% for the installed wind energy capacity and in 2008
more than 27 GW capacity of wind energy was installed in more than
50 countries (Chandler et al., 2009). Several European countries are
obtaining 10% or more electricity from wind energy (Chandler et al.,
2009; IEA, 2009). It indicates that wind energy is a rapidly growing, mature and proven renewable energy technology.
We have witnessed increase in capacity and height of wind turbines with time (Chandler et al., 2009). Generally wind speed is
higher and more stable at height. Increased height of the wind turbine allows increasing length of the blades so turbine can capture
more power due to larger area through which the turbine can extract
energy (known as swept area of the rotor). Moreover, the rotor can be
installed higher to take advantage of higher wind speed.
Various studies indicate that there is good potential for generating electricity from wind energy along the coastline and many
other regions of Pakistan (Chaudhry et al., 2009; Mirza et al., 2007;
Mirza et al., 2009; Mirza et al., 2010; Sheikh, 2009, 2010). Pakistan
422
Fig. 3. Wind map of Pakistan developed by NREL and USAID (NREL, 2010c).
Metrological Department (PMD) has installed many wind data collection centers along the costal line and in the northern areas of
the country. The collected wind data indicates that wind speed
from 5 m/s to 7 m/s persists in coastal regions of the country and
many valleys in the North West region of the country at a height of
50 m (PMD, 2007). In an effort of accessing worldwide potential of
wind resources, US National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
developed 50 m wind map of Pakistan shown in Fig. 3. This highresolution wind map also indicates that many regions of the country
have good potential for generating wind energy (NREL, 2010c).
Sheikh mentioned that many potential sites for wind energy generation in Pakistan have capacity factor of more than 25% which is internationally considered suitable for the installation of economically
viable commercial wind farms (Sheikh, 2009). Multiple studies indicate that there is very promising wind energy potential of more than
50,000 MW with an average wind speed of more than 7 m/s at 80 m
height in most of the coastal areas of the country (Ghayur, 2006;
Mirza et al., 2010). Therefore, coastal areas of Pakistan especially
the wind corridor around Gharo region is ideal for generating electricity from wind energy.
In the renewable energy policy announced by the government of
Pakistan in 2006, surety has been given for purchase of electric
power from wind farms. Moreover, a unique concept of wind risk
has also been incorporated in order to immune investors and project
developers from the risk of variability of wind resource i.e. wind
speed. This concept has been incorporated to overcome fear related
to the reliability and accuracy of available wind data and insulate
the investor from resource variability risk. This risk is absorbed by
the government i.e. power purchaser. Wind risk concept will ensure
that government will make monthly payments for the purchase of
power in accordance with the benchmark wind speed table (GoP,
2006). Benchmark wind speed is based on mean availability of wind
ow for every month, which has been determined for each project
site on the basis of independently monitored wind data. Subsequently
electricity generation levels corresponding to the benchmark wind
speed are calculated. So even if less power is generated in a particular
month due to wind speed lower than benchmark wind speed, government will make monthly payments to wind forms according to
the benchmark wind speed data. The principle behind wind risk concept is to make the wind farm developers and investors immune to
factors which are beyond their control (i.e. variability of wind
speeds). However, project developer will be fully responsible for factors within their control (i.e. the availability of the plant etc.) (GoP,
2006). Renewable energy policy also offers other attractive benets
including exemption from payment of income tax and exemption
from import duties and taxes for the power generation equipment.
Solar energy
Solar energy obtained from solar radiation is converted into other
forms of energy usually heat or electricity. For electricity generation
from solar energy, solar photovoltaic and solar thermal conversion
processes are commonly used. Photovoltaic cells directly convert sunlight into electricity. Solar thermal technologies use solar thermal collectors to heat liquid uid, convert it into steam and generate
electricity from steam in much the same way electricity is produced
423
Fig. 4. Solar map of Pakistan developed by NREL and USAID (NREL, 2010b).
from steam turbine power plants. Solar energy technologies experienced the second highest annual growth rate of 28% among RETs
after wind energy during last decade (IEA, 2007). According to the
European Photovoltaic Industry Association (EPIA), solar photovoltaic
power increased by 16 GW in 2010 around the world, approximately
doubled the increase seen in 2009 (EPIA, 2010). Also there is a growing interest for electricity generation from solar thermal energy and
in 2008 over 6 GW of solar thermal based projects has been announced by various countries (MMA, 2008).
Pakistan is situated in a very favorable location as far as solar radiation is concerned with long sunshine hours and high insolation
levels. In many parts of the country the sun shines for 7 to 8 h daily
and solar energy is available for approximately 23002700 h per
annum (Chaudhry et al., 2009; Sheikh, 2009) and there is sunshine
for more than 300 days in a year (Asif, 2009). US National Renewable
Energy Laboratory developed solar maps of Pakistan which indicates
that many regions of the country are blessed with higher solar insolation levels averaging from 5 kW h/m 2/day to 7 kW h/m 2/day (NREL,
2010b), shown in Fig. 4. Solar PV technology has good potential in
the country but due to high cost of electricity generation from solar
energy, it is difcult to widely deploy this technology on large scale.
Solar thermal electric power plants are the other option considered in this paper for electricity generation from solar energy. In
solar thermal plants, usually solar radiation is concentrated by mirrors or lenses to obtain higher temperatures for electricity production
commonly known as concentrating solar power (CSP) systems. In
contrast with the solar PV, the CSP plant rst generates heat, so it
can store the heat before conversion to electricity. With current technology, storage of heat is much cheaper and more efcient than storage of electricity. Therefore, the CSP plant can produce electricity day
and night and it is very suitable for a country like Pakistan having
abundance of solar energy resources.
Biomass energy
Biomass energy is renewable energy derived from any organic
material. US National Renewable Energy Laboratory dened biomass energy as the energy obtained from plants and plantderived materials. Major sources of biomass energy include
wood, food crops, grassy and woody plants, residues from agriculture or forestry, animal waste, organic component of municipal and industrial wastes and fumes from landlls (NREL,
2010a). Biomass combustion for heat and power is a mature
technology offering both economic fuel and disposal of waste.
Traditional biomass currently accounts for 7% of energy demand
of the world (IEA, 2007). However, this industry has remained
relatively stagnant over the last decade with 488 TW h of energy
obtained from biomass in 2004 (IEA, 2007).
Biomass is an important energy resource in Pakistan due to its agriculture based economy. Agricultural and livestock sector produces
biomass in the form of crop residues and animal waste, mainly consisting of rice husk, sugarcane bagasse and animal dung (Chaudhry
et al., 2009; GoP, 2006). There are approximately 57 million animals
in the country (Sheikh, 2009), so animal waste is an important
424
source for biomass energy. However most of waste from the livestock and the agriculture sectors is currently collected and utilized
in villages as unprocessed fuel for cooking and household heating.
Moreover, municipal solid waste produced by a large urban population is also presently not utilized, which can also be incinerated to
produce electricity (GoP, 2006). There are plans for generation of
500 MW electric power from municipal/agriculture solid waste and
pilot projects for generating electricity from biomass are also initiated in the country.
Large sugar industry in Pakistan also generates electricity from
biomass energy for utilization in sugar mills. In the present electricity crisis recently government allowed sugar mills to supply their
surplus power up to a limit of 700 MW to the national grid (GoP,
2006). It is estimated that sugarcane bagasse can potentially be
used to generate 2000 MW of electric power (Mirza et al., 2008).
However presently it is difcult to obtain more electricity from
sugar mills due to grid limitations because most of the sugar mills
are located in remote rural areas which are not even connected to
the national grid. Integration of electricity generated from biomass
energy to the national grid can ease the electricity shortage in the
country.
After briey reviewing the potential of wind, solar PV, solar thermal and biomass energy for electricity generation, these alternatives
are assessed from multi perspectives using AHP based model. It is
pertinent to mention that besides electricity generation, solar thermal
and biomass energy can also be used for many other purposes including heating, cooking, distillation, transportation etc. However, in this
paper these RE resources are only reviewed for the purpose of electricity generation.
Need of multi-perspective analysis
Long term decisions regarding the selection of sustainable energy
alternatives are very complex and crucial for a country. Due to
multiple-facets nature of these decision problems, it will be very useful and appropriate to use multi-perspective analysis approach for
making technology assessment, acquisition and deployment decisions of various available renewable energy options for a country. It
Table 1
Assessment, evaluation and prioritization of sustainable energy technologies from multi-perspective.
Publication year
2002
2004
2004
2004
2007
2007
2007
2007
2007
2008
2008
2008
2008
2008
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2010
Reference
Technical
Economical
Environmental
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Social
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Political
X
X
X
X
X
X
decision maker to decompose the complex decision problem in a logical manner into many small but related sub-problems in the form of
levels of a hierarchy (Saaty, 1980). AHP technique also allows the decision makers to incorporate both quantitative and qualitative judgments into a decision problem (Gerdsri and Kocaoglu, 2007). Thus
AHP methodology provides a comprehensive and rational framework
for structuring a decision problem. AHP technique has the following
three fundamental concepts (Saaty, 1980):
a. Structure complex decision problem as a hierarchy of goal, criteria, sub-criteria and alternatives, with goal at the top of the hierarchy, criteria and sub-criteria at lower levels and alternatives at
the bottom of the hierarchy
b. Pair-wise comparison of elements (criteria, sub-criteria and alternatives) at each level of the AHP model with respect to each criterion on the preceding level. Through pairwise comparison the
ratio-scaled importance of each alternative is calculated
c. Synthesizing the judgments over the different levels of the
hierarchy.
Pairwise comparisons are used to prioritize and rank the criteria and alternatives for decision making. Satty recommends to
use 19 scale measurements and eigenvector approach (Saaty,
1980). In contrast to this Kocaoglu recommends constant sum
approach by allocating 100 points between each pair (Kocaoglu,
1983). Constant sum method using 100 points is considered better than 19 scale measurement approach because user can state
their judgments without limiting to nine point scale (Gerdsri,
2009). By following these three steps AHP estimates the impact
of each alternative on the overall mission or goal of the decision
hierarchy. This approach also helps the decision-makers to compare conicting criteria and subsequently prioritize and rank the
alternatives.
AHP method employs a consistency test to screen out inconsistent
judgments by any expert and this is also considered as an advantage
of using AHP. It is important that the decision-makers should be consistent in their preference ratings expressed by pairwise comparisons.
It has been recommended that consistency ratio (CR) should be less
than 0.10 and mentioned that CR greater than 0.10 indicates serious
inconsistencies and in that case AHP may not provide meaningful results (Saaty, 1980).
425
AHP has become a very useful tool and has been used to resolve
multi-objective decision problems and this methodology has been
used in over 1000 articles and 100 doctoral dissertations (Forman
and Gass, 2001). AHP has been extensively applied to a wide variety
of decision problems in various domains including project selection
and evaluation, measuring business performance, technology evaluation and selection, technology policy, energy policy, new product
screening, portfolio management, customer requirement structuring,
arms control, transport systems, agriculture sector, real estate investment, conict resolution, quality management, public policy, and
heath care (Ahsan and Bartlema, 2004; Daim et al., 2009; Elkarmi
and Mustafa, 1993; Forman and Gass, 2001; Gerdsri and Kocaoglu,
2007; Kablan, 2004).
Fig. 5. Proposed decision model for selection, evaluation and ranking of renewable energy technologies for electricity generation.
426
Table 2
Criteria and sub-criteria of the decision model.
Criteria
Sub-criteria
Description
Reference
Economical
R&D cost
Capital cost
O&M cost
Economic value/
viability
Electricity cost
Technical
Technology
maturity
Efciency/capacity
factor
Reliability
Deployment time/
duration
Expert human
resource
Distribution grid
availability
Resource
availability
Social
Social benets
Job creation
Social acceptance
Environmental
Land requirement
Emissions
(greenhouse
gasses etc.)
Stress on ecosystem
Political
National energy
security
National economic
benets
(Kahraman et al., 2009; Lee et al., 2007b; Nava and Daim, 2007)
(GoP, 2006; Kahraman et al., 2009; Nigim et al., 2004; Sahir and
Qureshi, 2007)
Capital cost
($/MW h)
O&M cost
($/MW h)
Transmission investment
($/MW h)
83.9
194.6
259.4
55.3
9.6
12.1
46.8
13.7
3.5
4.0
5.8
1.3
427
Table 5
Average capacity factor of various technologies calculated by the U.S. Energy Information Administration based on U.S. data (EIA, 2011).
Type of power plant
Capacity factor %
Wind
Solar photovoltaic
Solar thermal
Biomass
34
25
18
83
Table 6
Land requirements for electricity generation using different RETs based on global data
(Chatzimouratidis and Pilavachi, 2008a; Muller-Steinhagen, 2008).
Type of power plant
Wind
Solar photovoltaic
Solar thermal
Biomass
100
35
40
5000
AHP model
After analyzing the renewable energy potential of Pakistan, conducting extensive literature review related to the use of AHP methodology for the selection and evaluation of renewable energy
technologies and interaction with experts, an AHP based decision
model has been formulated. This model consists of four tiers comprising of goal, criteria, sub-criteria and alternatives. The goal of the decision model is placed on the top of the hierarchical model. Selection,
Table 4
Cost of electricity generation from various RETs in U.S. cents () per kW h based on data obtained from the OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries (IEA, 2007).
Type of
Average
power plant
electricity cost
(US /kWh)
Wind
10
Solar
35
Photovoltaic
Solar
18
Thermal
Biomass
428
Table 7
Percentage of favorable public opinion toward various RETs in the European Union
countries (EWEA, 2009).
Type of power plant
Wind
Solar photovoltaic
Solar thermal
Biomass
71%
80%
80%
55%
Table 10
Relative weights of sub-criteria with respect to the goal.
Criteria
Sub-criteria
Relative weight
Economical
R&D cost
Capital cost
O&M cost
Economic value/viability
Electricity cost
Technology maturity
Efciency/capacity factor
Reliability
Deployment time/duration
Expert human resource
Distribution grid availability
Resource availability
Social benets
Job creation
Social acceptance
Land requirement
Emissions (greenhouse gasses etc.)
Stress on eco-system
National energy security
National economic benets
0.035
0.095
0.067
0.063
0.091
0.049
0.026
0.052
0.021
0.031
0.026
0.057
0.043
0.050
0.026
0.056
0.063
0.032
0.047
0.073
Technical
Social
Table 8
Average job creation by various technologies in U.S. (Chatzimouratidis and Pilavachi,
2008a; ESTIA, 2005).
Type of power plant
Wind
Solar photovoltaic
Solar thermal
Biomass
5635
5370
2793
36,055
Environmental
Political
Table 9
Relative weights of criteria with respect to the goal.
Economical
Technical
Social
Environmental
Political
0.35
0.26
0.12
0.15
0.12
Table 11
Ten (10) most important sub-criteria.
Sub-criteria
Relative impact
Capital cost
Electricity cost
National economic benets
O&M cost
Economic value/viability
Emissions (greenhouse gasses etc.)
Resource availability
Land requirement
Reliability
Job creation
9.50%
9.10%
7.30%
6.70%
6.30%
6.30%
5.70%
5.60%
5.20%
5.00%
429
Table 12
Priority weight of each alternative.
Alternatives
Priority weight
Biomass energy
Wind energy
Solar thermal
Solar photovoltaic
0.315
0.260
0.222
0.205
of the criteria with respect to the goal and sub-criteria with respect to
each criterion. Respondents were asked to express their relative judgment of one element versus another by distributing 100 points. Results indicate that economical and technical aspects are the most
important criteria identied by the experts with relative weights of
0.35 and 0.26 respectively (as shown in Table 9). The environmental
aspects emerged as the third most important factor for decision making. Both social and political aspects got the least but equal importance (0.12 relative weights). The overall disagreement was
observed to be 0.026 and inconsistency of the judgments by each expert was less than 0.01.
Relative weights of sub-criteria with respect to the goal of the decision model are also mentioned in Table 10.
Pakistan is a developing country with limited nancial resources,
therefore experts emphasized economical criterion. Capital/investment cost emerged as the most important sub-criterion from the economical aspects. Generation cost of electricity and O&M (operations
and maintenance) costs are also very critical because people cannot
afford to use power if generation cost is very high. From the technical
aspects availability of energy resource, reliability of technology and
technology maturity are the most important sub-criteria. It indicates
that there is a desire to invest in a mature and reliable technology
having abundance of resources available in the country. Moreover, it
also indicates that due to nancial constraints, decision makers are
not willing to take any technical risk and their behavior is more risk
averse.
Job creation is the most important sub-criterion from the social aspects followed by social benets. Due to high unemployment rate in
the country, there is more emphasis on the creation of new job opportunities. Electrication of the local community is considered as the
most important social benet for remote communities/villages that
don't have access to electricity. Emission of greenhouse gasses and
land requirement are important sub-criteria from environmental aspects and national economic benet is the most important subcriterion from the political aspects. Since more than 60% of the foreign
exchange of Pakistan is consumed to import energy, therefore, it is
expected that utilization of indigenous renewable energy resources
will yield economic benets to the country and reduce dependence
on imported energy. Table 11 highlights the ten most important
sub-criteria identied by experts having an impact of 5% or more on
the overall goal.
Based upon the relative weights of the sub-criteria, priority
weights of each alternative were calculated as shown in Table 12.
This calculation of priority weights ranking is partly based upon
the actual objective data related to the sub-criteria. However, for
some elements of sub-criteria actual data was not available, therefore subjective data was used obtained from the experts through
pairwise comparisons. Due to lowest capital cost, lowest electricity
generation cost, resource availability and higher employment opportunities, the biomass energy has the highest priority weight (0.315)
among other technologies. Wind energy has the second highest priority weight. Solar thermal and solar photovoltaic have the lowest
priority weights mainly due to highest capital cost and electricity
Conclusions
We have evaluated and compared four types of renewable energy technology options for electricity generation using multiperspective approach. AHP model has been used for the rst time
in the energy sector of Pakistan for the prioritization and ranking
of renewable energy technologies. In the model, several criteria
and sub-criteria were identied for the selection and ranking of
the best alternative. The survey instrument was distributed to experts from university and industry and experts were asked to give
their personal judgment, opinion and priority for the criteria, subcriteria and alternatives (survey instrument attached as
Appendix A). Experts quantied that the economical and technical
criteria are the most important factors for selecting and ranking of
these technologies. Due to the present economic recession and
weaker economy of Pakistan, experts emphasized more on investment cost, O&M cost and power generation cost from economical
aspects. The expected economic benets to country from these
technologies are also considered critical. Availability of renewable
energy resource, reliability and technology maturity were the
most important sub-criteria from technical aspects. The results indicate that experts give preference to the mature, reliable and
least expensive technology and decision makers want to reduce
technical and nancial risk.
Results further indicate that biomass energy and wind energy
emerged as the preferred alternatives. Utilization of biomass energy on large scale can reduce dependence on conventional fossil fuel
in the country. It will enhance energy security for the country, create job opportunities in the villages and reduce dependence on
imported fossil fuel. Wind energy can also play an important role
in overcoming the energy shortages in the country. There are thousands of villages in Pakistan without electricity and all these technology alternatives can be used for distributed energy generation
close to the load being served. However, it is pertinent to mention
that no single alternative is ideal for the whole country, but a combination of multiple suitable technologies offers diversity, system
redundancy, energy independence and long-term sustainable development. Utilization of these technologies can signicantly help
the country to overcome the electricity shortage, improve living
standards of the society, contribute to economic growth of the
country, improve rural economy, reduce energy import bill, and ensure environment sustainability. It is recommended to use AHP
based decision model for the formulation of the next national renewable energy policy and development of national and regional
renewable energy roadmaps for the country. The proposed model
can be used for the assessment of various green technologies for
electricity generation.
Acknowledgments
Authors acknowledge the valuable contribution of RISE (Research
Institute for Sustainable Energy) research team of the Engineering
and Technology Management (ETM) Department, Portland State University for the development of this AHP model.
Appendix A
Survey instrument.
Selection and evaluation of renewable energy alternatives for
Pakistan.
430
Name:
Occupation:
Apple
30
1) Complete the pairwise comparison for each of the pairings for selection, evaluation and ranking of renewable energy
alternatives for Pakistan.
Economical
Technical
Economical
Social
Economical
Environmental
Economical
Political
Technical
Social
Technical
Environmental
Technical
Political
Social
Environmental
Social
Political
Environmental
Political
Investment cost
R&D Cost
O&M Cost
R&D Cost
Economic value
R&D Cost
Electricity cost
Investment cost
O&M Cost
Investment cost
Economic value
Investment cost
Electricity cost
O&M Cost
Economic value
O&M Cost
Electricity cost
Economic value
Electricity cost
Orange
70
431
Name:
Occupation:
Apple
30
Efficiency/Capacity factor
Technology maturity
Reliability
Technology maturity
Deployment time
Technology maturity
Expert HR available
Technology maturity
Distribution grid
Technology maturity
Resource availability
Efficiency/Capacity factor
Reliability
Efficiency/Capacity factor
Deployment time
Efficiency/Capacity factor
Expert HR available
Efficiency/Capacity factor
Distribution grid
Efficiency/Capacity factor
Resource availability
Reliability
Deployment time
Reliability
Expert HR available
Reliability
Distribution grid
Reliability
Resource availability
Deployment time
Expert HR available
Deployment time
Distribution grid
Deployment time
Resource availability
Expert HR available
Distribution grid
Expert HR available
Resource availability
Distribution grid
Resource availability
Job creation
Social benefits
Social acceptance
Job creation
Social acceptance
Pollution / Emissions
Land requirement
Pollution / Emissions
Orange
70
432
Name:
Occupation:
Apple
30
7) Complete a pairwise comparison taking into account alternative with less R&D cost.
Wind energy
Solar PV energy
Wind energy
Wind energy
Biomass energy
Solar PV energy
Solar PV energy
Biomass energy
Biomass energy
8) Complete a pairwise comparison taking into account alternative with better economic viability.
Wind energy
Solar PV energy
Wind energy
Wind energy
Biomass energy
Solar PV energy
Solar PV energy
Biomass energy
Biomass energy
9) Complete a pairwise comparison taking into account alternative with higher technology maturity.
Wind energy
Solar PV energy
Wind energy
Wind energy
Biomass energy
Solar PV energy
Solar PV energy
Biomass energy
Biomass energy
10) Complete a pairwise comparison taking into account alternative with better reliability.
Wind energy
Solar PV energy
Wind energy
Wind energy
Biomass energy
Solar PV energy
Solar PV energy
Biomass energy
Biomass energy
Orange
70
433
Name:
Occupation:
Apple
30
11) Complete a pairwise comparison taking into account alternative with less deployment time.
Wind energy
Solar PV energy
Wind energy
Wind energy
Biomass energy
Solar PV energy
Solar PV energy
Biomass energy
Biomass energy
12) Complete a pairwise comparison taking into account alternative with more expert HR&D available.
Wind energy
Solar PV energy
Wind energy
Wind energy
Biomass energy
Solar PV energy
Solar PV energy
Biomass energy
Biomass energy
13) Complete a pairwise comparison taking into account alternative with better resource availability.
Wind energy
Solar PV energy
Wind energy
Wind energy
Biomass energy
Solar PV energy
Solar PV energy
Biomass energy
Biomass energy
14) Complete a pairwise comparison taking into account alternative with better social benefits.
Wind energy
Solar PV energy
Wind energy
Wind energy
Biomass energy
Solar PV energy
Solar PV energy
Biomass energy
Biomass energy
Orange
70
434
Name:
Occupation:
Apple
30
15) Complete a pairwise comparison taking into account alternative with less Emissions / Pollution.
Wind energy
Solar PV energy
Wind energy
Wind energy
Biomass energy
Solar PV energy
Solar PV energy
Biomass energy
Biomass energy
16) Complete a pairwise comparison taking into account alternative with less stress on eco-system.
Wind energy
Solar PV energy
Wind energy
Wind energy
Biomass energy
Solar PV energy
Solar PV energy
Biomass energy
Biomass energy
17) Complete a pairwise comparison taking into account alternative with better energy security.
Wind energy
Solar PV energy
Wind energy
Wind energy
Biomass energy
Solar PV energy
Solar PV energy
Biomass energy
Biomass energy
18) Complete a pairwise comparison taking into account alternative with better economic benefits.
Wind energy
Solar PV energy
Wind energy
Wind energy
Biomass energy
Solar PV energy
Solar PV energy
Biomass energy
Biomass energy
Orange
70
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