Linear Regression with No Selection (All Variables)

Dependent Variable = Pwins (Percentage of wins)

For linear regression, our dependent variable is the percentage of wins and because in some
seasons the number of games played was not the same for all teams.
o During the 2012-2013 season, a game between the Boston Celtics and Indiana Pacers
was cancelled due to the Boston Marathon bombings. As a result, both teams played 81
games instead of the standard 82 games.
o A lockout occurred at the beginning of the 2011-2012 season. As a result, the season
was shortened to 66 games.
The Model:
Pwins = 0 + 1*FG% + 2*3P% + 3*2P% + 4*FT% + 5*ORG/G + 6*DRB/G + 7*TRB/G + 8*AST/G +
9*STL/G + 10*BLK/G + 11*TOV/G + 12*PF/G + 13*PTS/G + 14*Age + 15*SE_Ind + 16*AT_Ind +
17*CE_Ind + 18*NW_Ind + 19*PA_Ind + 20*Coach Change
Fitted Model:
*Note TRB/G = ORB/G + DRB/G
Pwins = -4.68452 + 0.71935*FG% + 2.34154*3P% + 5.83236*2P% + 1.02186*FT% + 0.05388*ORG/G +
0.04154*DRB/G + 0*TRB/G + -0.01051*AST/G + 0.04506*STL/G + 0.00796*BLK/G + -0.04208*TOV/G + 0.00130*PF/G + -0.01500*PTS/G + 0.01897*Age + 0.01776*SE_Ind + -0.00619*AT_Ind +
0.03977*CE_Ind + 0.02268*NW_Ind + -0.02821*PA_Ind + -0.01975*Coach Change
Overall Significance Test of Linear Regression with No Selection:
The hypotheses are
HO: 1= 2== 20=0
vs.
Ha: j 0 for at least one j
With F-value = 30.25 and p-value < 0.0001, we reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative
hypothesis. That is, regression is overall significant.

Linear Regression Results

The REG Procedure
Model: Linear_Regression_Model
Dependent Variable: Pwins
Number of Observations Read120
Number of Observations Used120
Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source
DFSquares SquareF Value Pr > F
Model
19 2.489460.13102 30.25<.0001
Error
100 0.433120.00433
Corrected Total119 2.92259
Root MSE
0.06581R-Square0.8518
Dependent Mean 0.50001Adj R-Sq0.8236

Coeff Var

13.16214

TRB/G =ORB/G + DRB/G

Parameter Estimates
ParameterStandard
Variable
DF Estimate
Errort ValuePr > |t|
Intercept
1 -4.68452 0.49244 -9.51 <.0001
FG%
1 0.71935 1.34471 0.53 0.5939
3P%
1 2.34154 0.46297 5.06 <.0001
2P%
1 5.83236 1.30060 4.48 <.0001
FT%
1 1.02186 0.31148 3.28 0.0014
ORB/G
B 0.05388 0.00848 6.36 <.0001
DRB/G
B 0.04154 0.00582 7.14 <.0001
TRB/G
0
0
.
.
.
AST/G
1 -0.01051 0.00499 -2.11 0.0376
STL/G
1 0.04506 0.00821 5.49 <.0001
BLK/G
1 0.00796 0.01022 0.78 0.4379
TOV/G
1 -0.04208 0.00755 -5.57 <.0001
PF/G
1 -0.00130 0.00570 -0.23 0.8205
PTS/G
1 -0.01500 0.00338 -4.44 <.0001
Age
1 0.01897 0.00484 3.92 0.0002
SE_Ind
1 0.01776 0.02551 0.70 0.4879
AT_Ind
1 -0.00619 0.02310 -0.27 0.7893
CE_Ind
1 0.03977 0.02442 1.63 0.1066
NW_Ind
1 0.02268 0.02271 1.00 0.3204
PA_Ind
1 -0.02821 0.02340 -1.21 0.2309
Coach Change 1 -0.01975 0.01758 -1.12 0.2640
With a comparison of the kernel and normal density, we conclude that normal distribution is a good
candidate for residuals.

As predicted Pwins increases the variability of residuals seems to remain constant. Therefore, constancy
of variance is maintained.

Observing the Q-Q plot of residuals for Pwins, normality of residuals is overall supported.

The scatterplots of residuals by all regressors for Pwins confirms that constancy of variance is not
violated.

Correlation Analysis of 14 variables

FG%, 3P%, 2P%, FT%, ORG/G, DRB/G, TRB/G, AST/G, STL/G, BLK/G, TOV/G, PF/G, PTS/G, Age

Correlation Analysis
The CORR Procedure

14
FG% 3P% 2P% FT% ORB/G DRB/G TRB/G AST/G STL/G BLK/G TOV/G PF/G
Variables: PTS/G Age
Simple Statistics
Variable N MeanStd Dev
SumMinimumMaximum
FG%
120 0.45530 0.01591 54.63600 0.41400 0.49600
3P%
120 0.35346 0.02036 42.41500 0.29500 0.41200
2P%
120 0.48528 0.01956 58.23300 0.43900 0.53600
FT%
120 0.75714 0.02847 90.85700 0.66000 0.82800
ORB/G 12011.10218 1.23061
1332 7.71212 13.86364
DRB/G 12030.75502 1.43451
3691 27.19512 34.15854
TRB/G 12041.85719 1.69235
5023 38.41463 46.66667
AST/G 12021.46389 1.58296
2576 18.54545 26.67073
STL/G 120 7.50612 0.85929900.73468 5.58537 9.56098
BLK/G 120 4.98749 0.75810598.49915 3.58537 8.16667
TOV/G 12014.40042 0.95643
1728 11.18182 17.04878
PF/G
12020.24540 1.39452
2429 16.80303 23.21212
PTS/G 12098.60000 4.29665
11832 87.00000 110.20000
Age
12026.61000 1.81564
3193 23.20000 31.30000
Pearson Correlation Coefficients, N = 120
Prob > |r| under H0: Rho=0
ORB/ DRB/ TRB/ AST/ STL/ BLK/ TOV/
PTS/
FG% 3P% 2P% FT%
G
G
G
G
G
G
G PF/G
G Age
1.000 0.520 0.934 0.082
- 0.334
- 0.528 0.150 0.122
- 0.055 0.694 0.386
00
02
48
49 0.458
66 0.049
13
94
50 0.093
77
99
89
67 0.000
86 <.000 0.099 0.182
52 0.545 <.000 <.000
<.000 <.000 0.370
1
1
4 <.000
2 0.588
1
9
6 0.309
2
1
1
1
7
6
FG%
0.520 1.000 0.418 0.126
- 0.336 0.010 0.365 0.001
- 0.517 0.331
02
00
32
65 0.377
45
92
44
86 0.050 0.199 0.045
02
72
18 0.000 0.905 <.000 0.983
70
32
67 <.000 0.000
<.000
<.000 0.168
1
1
1 <.000
2
8
1
9 0.582 0.029 0.620
1
2
1
3
1
4
3P%
0.934 0.418 1.000 0.019
- 0.361
- 0.500 0.141 0.082
- 0.718 0.434
48
32
00
19 0.475
39 0.039
14
77
40 0.037 0.017
01
75
55 <.000
47 <.000 0.122 0.370
98
79 <.000 <.000
<.000 <.000
0.835
1
1
2 <.000
1 0.668
1
5
9 0.680 0.847
1
1
1
7
4
0
2P%
0.082 0.126 0.019 1.000
- 0.008
- 0.006 0.020 0.123
- 0.180 0.218
49
65
19
00 0.258
25 0.181
90
94
82 0.171
35
50 0.018
95 0.928
30 0.940 0.820 0.177
55 0.048 0.016
48
0.370 0.168 0.835
4
1
2
0.004
7 0.047
4
5
9 0.061
7
5 0.841
3
5
0
2
FT%
- 1.000
- 0.557
- 0.039 0.132 0.162 0.048
ORB/
0.458 0.377 0.475 0.258
00 0.200
14 0.338
40
13
17
09 0.129 0.412
G

67
<.000
1
0.334
66
0.000
2
DRB/
G
0.049
86
TRB/ 0.588
7
G
0.528
13
<.000
1
AST/
G
0.150
94
0.099
9
STL/
G
0.122
50
0.182
6
BLK/
G
0.093
52
TOV/ 0.309
6
G
0.055
77
0.545
2
PF/G
0.694
99
<.000
1
PTS/
G
Age 0.386

18
55
95
57
<.000 <.000 0.004
0.028
1
1
3
1
0.336 0.361 0.008
- 1.000
45
39
25 0.200
00
57
0.000 <.000 0.928
2
1
7 0.028
1
0.010
- 0.557 0.701
92 0.039 0.181
14
79
47
30 <.000 <.000
0.905
8 0.668 0.047
1
1
7
5
0.365 0.500 0.006
- 0.258
44
14
90 0.338
03
28 0.004
<.000 <.000 0.940
1
1
4 0.000
4
2
0.001 0.141 0.020 0.039
86
77
94
40 0.154
02
0.983 0.122 0.820 0.669
9
5
5
2 0.093
0
- 0.082 0.123 0.132 0.304
0.050
40
82
13
05
70 0.370 0.177 0.150 0.000
0.582
9
9
3
7
3
- 0.162 0.137
0.199 0.037 0.171
17
32
32
98
55 0.076 0.134
0.029 0.680 0.061
8
8
1
4
0
- 0.180 0.048
0.045 0.017
35
09 0.260
67
79 0.048 0.602
01
0.620 0.847
7
0 0.004
4
0
1
0.517 0.718 0.218
- 0.349
02
01
50 0.129
18
74 <.000
<.000 <.000 0.016
1
1
5 0.157
1
8
0.331 0.434
- 0.269

<.000
28 0.669 0.150 0.076 0.602
1 0.000
2
3
8
0
2
0.701 0.258
- 0.304 0.137
79
03 0.154
05
32 0.260
02 0.000 0.134
01
<.000 0.004
1
4 0.093
7
8 0.004
0
1
1.000
- 0.353 0.234
00 0.027 0.101
81
32 0.185
27
91 <.000 0.010
43
0.767 0.268
1
0 0.042
5
1
6
- 1.000 0.141
0.027
00
65 0.023 0.091 0.154
27
71
22
63
0.122
0.767
8 0.797 0.321 0.091
5
1
7
7
- 0.141 1.000 0.168 0.053 0.099
0.101
65
00
42
06
26
91 0.122
0.065 0.564 0.280
0.268
8
9
9
7
1
0.353
- 0.168 1.000 0.189 0.034
81 0.023
42
00
34
36
71 0.065
<.000
0.038 0.709
1 0.797
9
3
5
1
0.234
- 0.053 0.189 1.000 0.173
32 0.091
06
34
00
68
22 0.564 0.038
0.010
0.057
0 0.321
9
3
8
7
- 0.099 0.034 0.173 1.000
0.185 0.154
26
36
68
00
43
63 0.280 0.709 0.057
0.042 0.091
7
5
8
6
7
0.201 0.366 0.190 0.102
- 0.193
64
71
97
21 0.019
34
29 0.034
0.027 <.000 0.036 0.266
2
1
7
7 0.834
4
3
- 0.333 0.011
-

74
22
0.157 <.000
8
1
0.349 0.269
18
34
<.000 0.002
1
9
0.201
64 0.071
45
0.027
2 0.438
1
0.366 0.333
71
73
<.000 0.000
1
2
0.190 0.011
97
31
0.036 0.902
7
4
0.102
21 0.040
61
0.266
7 0.659
7
0.019 0.274
29
50
0.834 0.002
3
4
0.193
34 0.358
51
0.034
4 <.000
1
1.000 0.140
00
08
0.127
0
0.140 1.000

89
72
75 0.018 0.412
34 0.071
73
31 0.040 0.274 0.358
08
48
22
45
61
50
51
<.000 0.000 <.000
0.002
0.000 0.902
0.127
1
2
1 0.841 <.000
9 0.438
2
4 0.659 0.002 <.000
0
2
1
1
7
4
1

00

Principal Component Analysis of 14 Variables

After our initial analysis of the eigenvalues of the correlation matrix table and scree plot, we
decided to include the first 9 principal components into the regression model.
Including the first 9 principal components would result in 92.52% of total variability.

Principal Components Analysis

The PRINCOMP Procedure
Observations120
Variables
14
Simple Statistics
ORB/ DRB/ TRB/ AST/ STL/ BLK/ TOV/
PTS/
FG% 3P% 2P% FT%
G
G
G
G
G
G
G PF/G
G Age
M 0.4553 0.3534 0.4852 0.7571 11.10 30.75 41.85 21.46 7.506 4.987 14.40 20.24 98.60 26.61
ea 00000 58333 75000 41666 21753 50170 71924 38890 12231 49292 04158 53983 00000 00000
n
0
3
0
7
2
9
1
0
2
8
6
1
0
0
0.0159 0.0203 0.0195 0.0284
0.859 0.758
St 08667 58920 56409 74460 1.230 1.434 1.692 1.582 28592 10211 0.956 1.394 4.296 1.815
D
9
5
5
3 60569 50737 35097 95848
3
0 43164 52040 64712 63703
Correlation Matrix
ORB/ DRB/ TRB/ AST/ STL/ BLK/ TOV/
PTS/
FG% 3P% 2P% FT%
G
G
G
G
G
G
G PF/G
G Age
1.000 0.520 0.934 0.082
0.528 0.150
0.055 0.695 0.386
FG%
0
0
5
5 -.4587 0.3347 -.0499
1
9 0.1225 -.0935
8
0
9
0.520 1.000 0.418 0.126
0.010 0.365 0.001
- 0.517 0.331
3P%
0
0
3
7 -.3772 0.3364
9
4
9 -.0507 -.1993 .0457
0
7
0.934 0.418 1.000 0.019
0.500 0.141
- 0.718 0.434
2P%
5
3
0
2 -.4755 0.3614 -.0395
1
8 0.0824 -.0380 .0178
0
7
0.082 0.126 0.019 1.000
0.006 0.020
0.180 0.218
FT%
5
7
2
0 -.2589 0.0083 -.1813
9
9 0.1238 -.1715
4
5 .0185
ORB/
0.557
0.039
0.048
G
.4587 .3772 .4755 .2589 1.0000 -.2006
1 -.3383
4 0.1321 0.1622
1 .1297 .4122
DRB/ 0.334 0.336 0.361 0.008
0.701 0.258
- 0.349 0.269
G
7
4
4
3 -.2006 1.0000
8
0-.1540 0.3041 0.1373 .2600
2
3
TRB/
- 0.010
1.000
- 0.201
G
.0499
9 .0395 .1813 0.5571 0.7018
0 -.0273-.1019 0.3538 0.2343 .1854
6 .0714
AST/ 0.528 0.365 0.500 0.006 -.3383 0.2580 -.0273 1.000 0.141 -.0237 -.0912
- 0.366 0.333

G
1
4
1
9
0
7
.1546
7
7
STL/ 0.150 0.001 0.141 0.020
0.141 1.000
0.099 0.191 0.011
G
9
9
8
9 0.0394 -.1540 -.1019
7
0 0.1684 0.0531
3
0
3
BLK/ 0.122
- 0.082 0.123
0.353
0.168
0.034 0.102
G
5 .0507
4
8 0.1321 0.3041
8 -.0237
4 1.0000 0.1893
4
2 .0406
TOV/
0.234
0.053
0.173
G
.0935 .1993 .0380 .1715 0.1622 0.1373
3 -.0912
1 0.1893 1.0000
7 .0193 .2745
0.055
- 0.180
0.099
1.000 0.193
PF/G
8 .0457 .0178
4 0.0481 -.2600 -.1854 -.1546
3 0.0344 0.1737
0
3 .3585
PTS/ 0.695 0.517 0.718 0.218
0.201 0.366 0.191
0.193 1.000 0.140
G
0
0
0
5 -.1297 0.3492
6
7
0 0.1022 -.0193
3
0
1
0.386 0.331 0.434
0.333 0.011
- 0.140 1.000
Age
9
7
7 .0185 -.4122 0.2693 -.0714
7
3 -.0406 -.2745 .3585
1
0
Eigenvalues of the Correlation Matrix
Eigenvalue DifferenceProportionCumulative
14.065470951.81316095
0.2904
0.2904
22.252309990.54489566
0.1609
0.4513
31.707414330.53337314
0.1220
0.5732
41.174041200.14391996
0.0839
0.6571
51.030121230.08729108
0.0736
0.7307
60.942830150.27659578
0.0673
0.7980
70.666234370.07859120
0.0476
0.8456
80.587643170.06072172
0.0420
0.8876
90.526921460.07830904
0.0376
0.9252
100.448612420.04973914
0.0320
0.9573
110.398873270.23317606
0.0285
0.9857
120.165697210.13186697
0.0118
0.9976
130.033830240.03383024
0.0024
1.0000
140.00000000
0.0000
1.0000
Eigenvectors
PRIN PRIN PRIN PRIN PRIN PRIN PRIN PRIN PRIN PRIN PRIN PRIN PRIN PRIN
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
0.446 .0047 0.149 .1131 .0780 .0220 .2575 .1327 0.016 .1550 0.024 0.559 .5806 0.000
FG% 639
45 684
14
21
70
76
26 236
61 487 188
52 000
0.339 .0285 .0458 0.186 .1674 0.264 0.258 0.572 .4447 .1642 0.283 0.147 0.165 0.000
3P% 533
16
16 816
86 269 627 728
81
05 269 424 353 000
0.441 0.010 0.106 .1770 .0965 .0870 .3013 .1514 0.226 .1589 .0103 0.106 0.736 0.000
2P% 940 592 649
62
99
58
22
68 967
58
13 072 929 000
0.083 .1551 0.249 0.673 0.326 .0160 0.291 .1531 0.369 0.075 0.192 0.228 0.078 0.000
FT% 150
24 963 225 902
47 282
74 661 950 820 156 909 000
ORB
- 0.345 0.092
- 0.507
- 0.064 0.128 0.393 0.239 0.093 0.485
/G
.2921 676 142 .1561 .0012 098 .0859 .1432 428 719 546 970 467 068

93
DRB 0.252 0.445
/G
942 245
TRB 0.001 0.628
/G
934 769
AST 0.325 .0279
/G
174
21
STL/ 0.064 .0250
G
729
44
BLK 0.043 0.363
/G
764 206
TOV .0860 0.300
/G
03 286
.0494 .0901
PF/G
67
56
PTS/ 0.363 0.142
G
966 035
0.281 .1005
Age
936
18

02
37
.2115 0.237 .0395 .1717
13 322
61
10
.1122 0.087 .0344 0.223
86 653
33 192
.0726 .2440 0.028 0.011
77
70 266 355
0.343 .4720 0.561 0.166
099
33 504 420
0.202 0.136 0.545 .2720
524 621 665
94
0.247 .2298 .2595 .6127
978
52
14
93
0.604 0.122 .2936 .0117
164 861
18
71
0.312 0.051 .1537 0.319
140 180
72 789
.3845 .0880 0.236 .0749
14
50 372
23

29

83

0.132 0.108 0.057 0.083 .4958

348 022 769 208
00
0.049 .0126 0.095 0.164 .1340
700
25 817 130
91
0.536 .5802 .3451 0.273 0.069
633
55
97 160 691
0.272 0.346 0.147 0.002 .2998
201 045 673 046
30
.3219 .0790 .4895 .1257 0.197
51
53
37
43 204
0.314
375
.1777
67
.0256
67
.2587
35

0.199 0.208
052 234
0.076 .2702
894
02
.0191 0.260
86 889
0.258 0.178
860 956

.0031 .0259 0.565

52
40 440
0.171 0.045 .6670
825 978
74
.0552 0.036 0.000
62 642 000

0.076 0.013 0.000

979 846 000
.1738 0.014 0.000
56 977 000
0.024 0.400 0.032 .0388 0.000
090 331 779
61 000
0.586 .2457 0.055 0.074 0.000
055
05 308 520 000
.0856 0.128 .6831 .2487 0.000
05 445
00
01 000
0.652 0.304 .0720 .0633 0.000
476 004
06
53 000

Linear Regression with the First 9 Principal Components

With an adjusted R-square of 0.7548, we were unsatisfied with this particular model.

Linear Regression Results

The REG Procedure
Model: Linear_Regression_Model
Dependent Variable: Pwins
Number of Observations Read120
Number of Observations Used120
Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source
DFSquares SquareF Value Pr > F
Model
15 2.296240.15308 25.42<.0001
Error
104 0.626340.00602
Corrected Total119 2.92259
Root MSE
0.07760R-Square0.7857
Dependent Mean 0.50001Adj R-Sq0.7548
Coeff Var
15.52064
Parameter Estimates
ParameterStandard
Variable
DF Estimate
Errort ValuePr > |t|
Intercept
1 0.51011 0.01895 26.91 <.0001
PRIN1
1 0.05697 0.00392 14.53 <.0001
PRIN2
1 0.02483 0.00527 4.71 <.0001
PRIN3
1 -0.01735 0.00618 -2.81 0.0059
PRIN4
1 -0.00243 0.00677 -0.36 0.7210
PRIN5
1 0.04030 0.00741 5.44 <.0001
PRIN6
1 0.03171 0.00789 4.02 0.0001
PRIN7
1 -0.03789 0.00921 -4.11 <.0001
PRIN8
1 0.02935 0.00981 2.99 0.0035
PRIN9
1 0.00910 0.01069 0.85 0.3966
SE_Ind
1 -0.01325 0.02883 -0.46 0.6469
AT_Ind
1 -0.00224 0.02635 -0.08 0.9325
CE_Ind
1 0.01277 0.02801 0.46 0.6494
NW_Ind
1 0.01072 0.02647 0.40 0.6864
PA_Ind
1 -0.06513 0.02615 -2.49 0.0143
Coach Change 1 -0.00317 0.02021 -0.16 0.8756

Linear Regression with the First 11 Principal Components

We were unsatisfied with the previous model that included the first 9 principal components.
Therefore, we decided to include principal components 10 & 11.

Including the first 11 principal components would result in 98.57% of total variability
However, this model had an adjusted R-square of 0.7534 which was very similar to the previous
model.
In this case, there was no benefit in adding principal components 10 & 11 to the model.

Linear Regression Results

The REG Procedure
Model: Linear_Regression_Model
Dependent Variable: Pwins
Number of Observations Read120
Number of Observations Used120
Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source
DFSquares SquareF Value Pr > F
Model
17 2.304870.13558 22.39<.0001
Error
102 0.617720.00606
Corrected Total119 2.92259
Root MSE
0.07782R-Square0.7886
Dependent Mean 0.50001Adj R-Sq0.7534
Coeff Var
15.56379
Parameter Estimates
ParameterStandard
Variable
DF Estimate
Errort ValuePr > |t|
Intercept
1 0.50966 0.01903 26.78 <.0001
PRIN1
1 0.05692 0.00394 14.46 <.0001
PRIN2
1 0.02482 0.00533 4.65 <.0001
PRIN3
1 -0.01746 0.00621 -2.81 0.0059
PRIN4
1 -0.00250 0.00680 -0.37 0.7136
PRIN5
1 0.04031 0.00743 5.42 <.0001
PRIN6
1 0.03244 0.00800 4.05 <.0001
PRIN7
1 -0.03743 0.00926 -4.04 0.0001
PRIN8
1 0.02953 0.00984 3.00 0.0034
PRIN9
1 0.00879 0.01072 0.82 0.4142
PRIN10
1 0.01193 0.01151 1.04 0.3026
PRIN11
1 -0.00633 0.01185 -0.53 0.5942
SE_Ind
1 -0.00879 0.02956 -0.30 0.7669
AT_Ind
1 -0.00399 0.02685 -0.15 0.8820
CE_Ind
1 0.00929 0.02828 0.33 0.7433
NW_Ind
1 0.01345 0.02665 0.50 0.6148
PA_Ind
1 -0.06669 0.02661 -2.51 0.0138
Coach Change 1 -0.00104 0.02045 -0.05 0.9595

Linear Regression with Principal Components 1-9, 12, and 13

After including the first 9 principal components as well as principal components 12 & 13, we
observed a much better adjusted R-square value of 0.8237.

Linear Regression Results

The REG Procedure
Model: Linear_Regression_Model
Dependent Variable: Pwins
Number of Observations Read120
Number of Observations Used120
Analysis of Variance
Sum of Mean
Source
DFSquares SquareF Value Pr > F
Model
17 2.480980.14594 33.71<.0001
Error
102 0.441610.00433
Corrected Total119 2.92259
Root MSE
0.06580R-Square0.8489
Dependent Mean 0.50001Adj R-Sq0.8237
Coeff Var
13.15947
Parameter Estimates
ParameterStandard
Variable
DF Estimate
Errort ValuePr > |t|
Intercept
1
0.49606 0.01634 30.35 <.0001
PRIN1
1
0.05710 0.00332 17.18 <.0001
PRIN2
1
0.02221 0.00448 4.95 <.0001
PRIN3
1 -0.01599 0.00524 -3.05 0.0029
PRIN4
10.00003589 0.00576 0.01 0.9950
PRIN5
1
0.04077 0.00629 6.49 <.0001
PRIN6
1
0.03119 0.00670 4.66 <.0001
PRIN7
1 -0.03448 0.00783 -4.40 <.0001
PRIN8
1
0.02536 0.00834 3.04 0.0030
PRIN9
1
0.01368 0.00909 1.50 0.1356
PRIN12
1
0.09077 0.01570 5.78 <.0001
PRIN13
1
0.10673 0.03360 3.18 0.0020
SE_Ind
1
0.01564 0.02502 0.63 0.5331
AT_Ind
1 -0.00259 0.02272 -0.11 0.9094
CE_Ind
1
0.04234 0.02423 1.75 0.0836
NW_Ind
1
0.01985 0.02262 0.88 0.3821
PA_Ind
1 -0.02860 0.02302 -1.24 0.2169
Coach Change 1 -0.02084 0.01740 -1.20 0.2337

The Model:
Pwins = 0 + 1*PRIN1 + 2*PRIN2 + 3*PRIN3 + 4*PRIN4 + 5*PRIN5 + 6*PRIN6 + 7*PRIN7 + 8*PRIN8
+ 9*PRIN9 + 10*PRIN12 + 11*PRIN13 + 12*SE_Ind + 13*AT_Ind + 14*CE_Ind + 15*NW_Ind +
16*PA_Ind + 17*Coach Change
Fitted model using linear regression:
Pwins = 0.49606 + 0.05710*PRIN1 + 0.02221*PRIN2 0.01599*PRIN3 + 0.00003589*PRIN4 +
0.04077*PRIN5 + 0.03119*PRIN6 0.03448*PRIN7 + 0.02536*PRIN8 + 0.01368*PRIN9 +
0.09077*PRIN12 + 0.10673*PRIN13 + 0.01564*SE_Ind 0.00259*AT_Ind + 0.04234*CE_Ind +
0.01985*NW_Ind 0.02860*PA_Ind 0.02084*Coach Change
Overall Significance Test of Final Model for Linear Regression:
The hypotheses are
HO: 1= 2== 17=0
vs.
Ha: j 0 for at least one j
With F-value = 33.71 and p-value < 0.0001, we reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative
hypothesis. That is, the final model for linear regression is overall significant.
With a comparison of the kernel and normal density, we conclude that normal distribution is a good
candidate for residuals.

As predicted Pwins increases the variability of residuals seems to remain constant. Therefore, constancy
of variance is maintained.

Observing the Q-Q plot of residuals for Pwins, normality of residuals is overall supported.

The scatterplots of residuals by all regressors for Pwins confirms that constancy of variance is not
violated.