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EVOLUTION
Edited by Kenneth I. Berns, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville, FL, and approved November 24, 2004 (received for review
September 13, 2004)
VP2 FPLV
clade
VP2 CPV
clade
VP2 FPLV3CPV
branch
VP2 CPV2a
subclade
NS1 FPLV
clade
NS1 CPV
clade
NS1 FPLV3CPV
branch
Constant
Logistic
Exponential
Constant
Exponential
1581
28
19621996
1581
63
19782004
1581
19681978*
1581
56
19802004
2004
16
19671995
2004
19
19782004
2004
19681978*
16
1.6
9.4 105
20
2
1.7 104
7.1 103 to
0.7 103*
20
2
1.7 104
20
2
7.9 105
40
4
7.9 105
2.7 103 to
0.3 103*
2.1 105,
1.6 104
116
47, 161
1.2 104,
2.3 104
36
30, 45
0.1
1.1 104,
2.3 104
28
24, 33
0.3
1.1 107,
1.5 104
212
37, 215
3.4 105,
1.3 104
46
28, 72
0.2
0.0, 0.2
5.0
0.2, 0.5
2.3
0.0, 0.3
3.2
, not applicable.
*Dates inferred, conservatively, from parameters estimated with CPV VP2 data. These dates were then used to estimate substitution rates along the FPLV3 CPV
branch.
Estimating Selection Pressures. We determined the ratio of nonsynonymous to synonymous nucleotide changes per site (dNdS)
for the VP2, NS1, and NS2 data sets, with dN dS indicative of
positive selection. We used the ML method in the PAML package
[CODEML (28, 29)], which involved the comparison of four
evolutionary models that differ in how dN and dS vary among
codons or lineages. To analyze selection pressures at specific
codons, we compared the M7 and M8 models. The former
specifies that individual codons take 1 of 10 categories of dNdS,
all estimated from the data but where no category has dNdS
1 so that the model allows only neutral evolution. The M8 model,
however, allows positive selection by specifying an 11th category
of codons in which dNdS can exceed 1.0. Evidence for positive
selection is obtained if M8 rejects M7 in a likelihood ratio test
and at least one category of codons in M8 has dNdS 1. To
analyze selection pressures along individual lineages, we compared (again using a likelihood ratio test) M0, in which each
branch has the same dNdS ratio, with the free ratio model, in
which branches are allowed to take on individual values of dNdS.
Results
Phylogenetic Analysis. We collected 91 carnivore parvovirus VP2
Assuming that the time interval over which CPV emerged was
between 1 and 10 years (19681978; see below), the substitution
rate on this branch ranges from 7.1 103 to 0.7 103
substitutions per site per year. These rates are within the range
seen for a number of RNA viruses, including HIV-1 (30).
With these substitution rates, it was possible to estimate key
dates in the evolutionary history of the canine parvoviruses. The
mean age of the FPLV group was estimated to be 116 years.
Although this estimate is consistent with epidemiological observations, the large HPD associated with this date necessitates
caution. In contrast, the mean age estimated for the CPV clade
was 36 years, and the range was far tighter, suggesting that CPV
had been in the canine population for 10 years before it was
first recognized in 1978. Indeed, a retrospective report from
Greece cites evidence for CPV antibodies in dog sera from 1974.
However, there was no accompanying disease, and the virus did
not appear to be highly contagious, because most dogs tested
were seronegative (31). Our analysis, therefore, supports the
idea that a CPV-like virus was present in some localities a
number of years before its association with large-scale canine
disease.
After CPV diverged into CPV2 and CPV2a, the dominant
CPV2a lineage gave rise to the variants N426D (designated
CPV2b), S297A, G300D, and ND426E, all of which now
cocirculate among canines. This subclade, which is still designated CPV2a but includes the point variants, has a mean age of
28 years, implying that by 1976, 8 years after CPV first
emerged, the CPV population had already split into the CPV2
and the CPV2a subclades.
The same rate analysis was performed on the NS1 data. The
more limited data set and weaker temporal structure of the
phylogeny resulted in less precise rate estimates but with trends
consistent with VP2 (Table 1). The FPLV and CPV clades both
showed a mean substitution rate of 7.9 105 substitutions per
site per year, whereas the branch separating them showed an
elevated rate of 2.7 103 to 0.3 103 substitutions per site
per year.
Population Dynamics. Strikingly different models of growth were
VP2, NS1, and NS2 genes and lineages to determine the amount,
location, and timing of positive selection. The overall dNdS ratio
in VP2 was 0.121, indicating that most sites are subject to strong
purifying selection. However, because the M8 model significantly rejects M7 (P 0.0002) and four sites (101, 232, 300, and
426) have dNdS values 1, we conclude that positive selection
is acting on specific amino acids in VP2. In the case of NS1, M8
does not significantly reject M7 (P 0.0781), so there is no
evidence for positive selection in this gene.
Although informative, this analysis is unlikely to detect selecPNAS January 11, 2005 vol. 102 no. 2 381
EVOLUTION
Fig. 1. ML phylogenetic tree of 91 VP2 gene sequences from carnivore parvoviruses. The tree is rooted with the oldest sampled sequence. Bootstrap values
are shown for relevant nodes. Other nodes with 70% support are marked with an asterisk. Horizontal branch lengths are drawn to scale. The name of each
isolate is followed by the location and year of isolation. Locations are coded as follows: UK, United Kingdom; US, United States; JA, Japan; FR, France; AU,
Australia; FI, Finland; GE, Germany; TA, Taiwan; NZ, New Zealand; VI, Vietnam; EU, Europe (no further information available); PO, Poland; IT, Italy; SA, South
Africa. The FPLV clade is shown in blue, the CPV2 subclade is shown in yellow, and the CPV2a subclade is shown in red. BFPV, blue fox parvovirus.
dNdS
NdNSdS*
Nonsynonymous
Synonymous
FPLV3CPV
CPV3CPV2a
0.382
2.353
K80R (A239G)
K93N (A279C)
V103A (T308C)
V300AG (T899GC)
D323N (G967A)
N564S (A1691G)
A568G (C1703G)
V82V (A246G)
F212F (G694A)
Y233Y (T699C)
A541A (A1623C)
M87L (A259T)
AG300G (GC899C)
D305Y (G913T)
Amino acid changes along each branch are given, followed by the underlying nucleotide change.
*NdNSdS total nonsynonymous changestotal synonymous changes.
EVOLUTION
Measure
384 www.pnas.orgcgidoi10.1073pnas.0406765102
Shackelton et al.
FPLV clade
FPLV-b.US.1967
CPV clade
FPLV-pli-IV.FR.1968
MEV-aba.JA.1978
CPV-N.US.1978
CPV-d.US.1979
CPV-15.US.1984
CPV-y1.JA.1982
CPV-31.US.1983
74
CPV-402.US.1998
CPV-412.US.1998
79
83
CPV-436.US.2004
CPV-133.US.1990
CPV-39.US.1984
CPV-24.US.1990
CPV-339.NZ.1994
97
CPV-407.US.1999
90 CPV-193.US.1991
CPV-431.US.2003
CPV-395.US.1998
FPLV CPV
92
0.00268
CPV-435.US.2003
substitutions/site
CPV-U6.GE.1995
CPV-447.GE.1995
FPLV-obi.JA.1974
FPLV-tu10.JA.1979
FPLV-193.AU.1970
86 FPLV-tu2.JA.1975
FPLV-tu4.JA.1975
FPLV-ao1.JA.1994
FPLV-tu12.JA.1979
FPLV-fkg.JA.1993
FPLV-tu8.JA.1976.5
FPLV-483.JA.1990
FPLV-941.JA.1994
93
FPLV-som1.JA.1994
0.0005 substitutions/site
FPLV-som4.JA.1995