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Colin Buchanan and Partners EC Contracts –Final Report
Contents Page
1. INTRODUCTION 1-1
1.1 Background 1-1
1.2 Report Structure 1-1
2. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS 2-4
2.1 Introduction 2-4
2.2 Dataset 2-4
2.3 Data issues and problems 2-5
2.4 Data Analysis 2-6
2.5 Impact on Demand Growth of Public Transport Usage 2-8
2.6 Conclusions 2-10
2.7 Commentary on the Results 2-10
3. CONTRACT SUMMARIES 3-12
3.1 Collection to date 3-12
3.2 Description of and Results from the Collected Contracts 3-14
3.3 Distribution of Contracts between Gross and Net Cost 3-15
3.4 Scope 3-16
3.5 Contract Length 3-16
3.6 Penalty and Incentive Regimes 3-16
4. CASE STUDIES 4-17
4.1 Introduction 4-17
4.2 Tendering Authorities 4-17
4.3 Services tendered 4-17
4.4 Bus services 4-18
4.5 Light Rail/Metros/Trams 4-18
4.6 Heavy rail 4-18
4.7 Ferry and air services 4-19
4.8 Other services 4-19
4.9 Operators 4-19
4.10 Tendering 4-20
4.11 Risks and Rewards 4-21
4.12 Quality Monitoring 4-21
4.13 Potential Improvements 4-22
5. GUIDE INTRODUCTION 5-23
5.1 Purpose and Organisation of Guide 5-23
5.2 Definitions 5-25
5.3 Other Information sources 5-25
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1. INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background
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1.2.4 The knowledge accrued from the contract summaries and case
studies has been used to develop guide to contract design and
management in Chapter 5. Its key objectives are to inform those
embarking on such ventures of the options available and to give guidance
on good practice when tendering and preparing contracts/franchises.
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Figure 1.1
1. Introduction
2. Statistical Analysis
4. Case Studies
5. Contract Guide
6. Conclusions
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2. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
2.1 Introduction
2.1.1 In 2001, the European Commission (EC) collected some data that
found that cities using controlled competition experienced a 1.8%
increase in the annual rate of change in numbers of passenger journeys
compared to a 0.7% decrease for cities without competition in public
transport. Cities using deregulation without significant control by public
authorities experienced a 3.1% per annum decrease in numbers of
passenger trips. The proportion of operating costs covered by fares
increased by 1.7% a year for cities using controlled competition whilst
cities without competition and cities using deregulation without
significant control experienced a 0.3% increase.
The next part of this chapter examines CBP’s data and looks at the
various performance indicators. The final part compares CBP’s analysis
with the EC’s and draws some conclusions.
2.2 Dataset
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end years for each city were used to give an annual average percentage
change.
• Passenger journeys
• Vehicle kilometres
• Number of employees
The data used had various associated problems which will have
influenced the findings. The key issues were :
2. The data may not always have been consistent. Changes in the
approach to data collection and changes to the network (number of
routes or lines) could have been made, both of which would result in
the start and end periods not being directly comparable.
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4. While the data may not necessarily match up with the timing of
introduction of changes to the market structure in all cases , it is
likely nonetheless that where the market change has taken place
during the time-series, it would expected that, given the short length
of the time-series, that the process of planning and implementing of
controlled competition would already be a strong influence on
performance.
The data collected have been broken down by the existence of different
forms of competition and by city. The changes in relevant indicators of
public transport performance have been calculated to provide an
indication whether there is an association between competition and
effectiveness.
The 4 deregulated cities were all taken from the UK, as this is the only
EU country where public transport operates in a deregulated market.
Table 2.1 shows the changes in passenger journeys, fare coverage ratios
and the number of employees for cities with no competition over the
range for which data were collected. Table 2.2 shows the same results
for cities where there is an element of controlled competition, or where
public transport has been deregulated.
The CBP analysis found that there has been a small average annual
decrease in passenger numbers of 0.2% for cities with no competition
and an annual increase of 1.7%, where controlled competition has been
introduced. There has been a drop of 2.6% each year with deregulated
competition.
The fare coverage ratio has increased at a slightly higher rate (1.2%) for
cities with controlled competition than cities with no competition (0.5%).
For de-regulated competition, there is also a low increase of 0.1%,
although in these cases fares tended to cover most of the operating costs
already.
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Passenger trips per capita are presented in tables 2.3 and 2.4, to show
demand in the cities. Population data were taken from Jane’s Urban
Transport Systems and are consistent with the other data gathered.
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The figures show that on average, demand for public transport is highest
in cities with no competition for public transport contracts, and is at its
lowest for cities that have deregulated. Some cities, for example, Paris,
show very high trips per capita. This is probably because trips in Jane’s
include trips by people (such as commuters and tourists) not included in
the overall population figures. The key to the impacts is the growth rate
in each city.
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2.6 Conclusions
A comparison between CBP and the commission’s data (see table 2.5)
shows that CBP’s data is broadly in line with the EC’s analysis, although
there are some discrepancies due to the expansion of the datasets.
The same trends are observed even if the magnitude is slightly different.
It is therefore reasonable to conclude that CBP’s analysis validates the
work undertaken by the EC.
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Employee Numbers
The chief impacts have come from the supply-side. In terms of absolute
numbers, cities with no competition have cut staff whilst maintaining
services, whilst employment in cities with controlled competition has
increased slightly.
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3. CONTRACT SUMMARIES
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Country
Contracts have been collated from six EU member states: UK, Germany,
Italy, France, Sweden and Ireland. In addition, there are three contracts
from outside the EU (Hong Kong and Australia). These are designated
as N (for Non-EU) contracts in the database.
Mode
Contracts have been collected covering several modes: heavy rail, light
rail/metro, bus, air, ferry and combined (principally bus and light rail).
There are therefore six mode classifications in the database.
Area
The area in the database enables the user not only to focus on
geographical areas of interest but also to determine whether a particular
contract is urban, regional or national in nature.
Contract Type
Classifying contracts needs to strike a happy medium between being
over-complex, which renders a classification system effectively useless,
and over-simplification, which will adversely affect the quality of any
queries made of the database.
The key factors used to determine contract type are risk, asset ownership,
scope, incentive regime and tariff freedom.
Risk
There are three major risks associated with transport operation: revenue
risk (demand is below expectation, service quality is poor, etc.),
operating cost risk (maintenance costs, fuel bills, and so on) and capital
cost risk (purchasing and replacing assets). This last category is dealt
with under asset ownership.
Asset Ownership
Assets (infrastructure, rolling stock, and vehicles) may either be the
responsibility of the contracted ownership or else the tendering authority
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may specify what vehicles should be used. Although there are “shades of
grey” in this area, the database will classify contracts as either
“Operator” in the first instance and “Authority” in the second.
Scope
Contracts range in scope from tendering a single bus route to an entire
multimodal urban network. Scope is therefore defined as follows:
• for buses, heavy rail and air: one (route), several (routes) or the
entire network;
• for metro and light rail, all contracts in the database are let on the
basis of the entire network; and
• combined networks will be classified as either several or entire, by
definition.
Incentive Regime
Certain contracts have explicit penalty and incentive regimes for operator
performance measured against targeted outputs. This classification is
therefore limited to yes or no.
Tariff Freedom
An overview of the contract summaries indicates that there are
effectively just two levels of freedom. Some freedom means that the
authority sets maximum fares and the operator is at liberty to price below
these maximum levels and/or introduce new promotional fares. None
applies to contracts in which the Authority sets all fares.
In the case of UK rail services, however, there are some fares which are
regulated by the Strategic Rail Authority, mainly season ticket and Saver
(advance purchase) fares. Other fares, such as “walk on” single fares on
long distance routes, are unregulated. These contracts are classified in
the data base as having some tariff freedom.
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Gross Net
Bus 15 8
Rail 7 10
3.4 Scope
The vast majority of contracts are for several routes or the entire
network. Single route contracts generally are only used in a rural (bus)
or regional rail context.
1
Standard deviation is a measure of variability about the mean.
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4. CASE STUDIES
4.1 Introduction
Ten Case Studies were undertaken based on discussions with operators,
tendering authorities and other stakeholders. The purpose of the case
studies was to ascertain how contracts have operated in practice, to
highlight areas of good practice and identify where improvements can be
made. Copies of the Case Studies are at Appendix B and cover
• London
• Helsinki
• Sweden
• Italian rail
• Strategic Rail Authority
• Arriva
• Emilia Romagna
• Strathclyde
• Rome
• Lombardy
This chapter provides a brief overview of the Case Studies main points of
interest.
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Stockholm), ferries (eg Strathclyde), air services (eg Ireland) and heavy
rail services (eg Great Britain). Rail is the area where the least progress
has tended to be made and outside Great Britain tends to be limited to
local rather than long distance services.
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4.9 Operators
A similar pattern has evolved in virtually all countries where public
transport services have been competitively tendered. In the bus sector
there tended to be a number of medium sized municipally owned
companies and a large number of small private operators. The former
were either privatised or allowed to bid for contracts outside their area.
This led to a large number of bids as the first contracts were let.
However, over time the sector has rapidly consolidated so that most
markets are dominated by 4-5 companies, often pan-European.
This has resulted in a reduction in competition for future contracts.
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The rail sector was very different with virtually no significant private
passenger operators in most countries before tendering started. This led
to new bidders (either existing management teams or the larger bus
companies). With a few exceptions, rail contracts are now
predominantly held by large multinational public transport operators.
The opposite position has tended to occur with air and ferry services:
these are mostly provided by local small companies rather than by
multinationals. In part, this is due to the small aircraft used for most
tendered air services which tends to favour smaller operators and the
need for local knowledge for many of the ferry services, with little
synergy arising from running a large number of operations that are
spatially very dispersed.
4.10 Tendering
In the vast majority of cases the Authority tendering the service provides
information on
• Service specification ie the route(s) and frequency which they wish to
be provided
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Authorities have also tried to identify barriers to entry and reduce them
wherever possible to increase the level of competition.
As the easiest cost cutting measures have already been achieved, the
level of competition reduced and the requirement in new contracts for
improved quality standards, tender prices have risen in the UK faster
than inflation in the last few years according to a report by the
Association of Transport Co-ordinating Officers.2
Where Authorities used the initial cost savings to reduce their overall
transport budget this has led to problems as they are unable now to
procure the same level of service provision as previously. More
enlightened authorities such as Helsinki used cost savings to the benefit
of all stakeholders by splitting them three ways to increase service
provision, reduce fares and reduce the overall level of subsidy. Tender
cost increases can therefore be more easily handled as the Authority has
retained within its budget the majority of past cost savings.
With the tendering of new light or heavy rail lines it is important to have
the operator involved during the construction stage to ensure the built
system can be operated efficiently. There are a number of examples
where the operator is unable to provide the level of service it desires due
to cost cutting measures during construction which in the long term result
in reduced revenues or higher operating costs. One example is the
Croydon Tramlink; because of cost over-runs, economies in the later
stage of development included putting in single rather than double track
in some places. The result is that the speed and frequency of service are
restricted.
2
please see http://www.atco.org.uk/policy/contpr00.htm for more details
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5. GUIDE INTRODUCTION
- tendering;
- negotiating contracts;
- designing contracts/franchises and
- managing those contracts once in place
In this first chapter: a number of important terms are defined; the various
types and categorisations for contracts are listed (and their defining
features summarised); and the decision-making process when designing a
contract is outlined.
(b) Analysis of the key policy issues and how these interact with
different contract types (Chapter 3);
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5.2 Definitions
For the purposes of this Guide the term:
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- Croydon Tramlink;
- Svenska BusbranchenRiksfoerbund
A full list of contacts made and meetings held by consultants:
Bruno Ginocchini, Gustavo Minguzzi, Regional Agency for LPT,
Bologna
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We are very grateful for the assistance provided by all the above
organisations, but the opinions presented are exclusively those of the
consultants.
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