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A similar process has been used by Southern california Edison in collaboration with Vemo
( Michael Manning, 2012 ) where a three year plan is suggested. Their basic structure is as
follows.
Year 1: Focus on planning and asking what
Year 2: Focus on planning and analytics insights to ask what and why
Year 3: Advanced planning to answer what , why and how
A global talent crisis looms. The reasons for imbalances may differ between economies at
various stages of development while mature economies struggle to replace retiring baby
boomers, developing economies seek the better-educated workers needed to power emerging
markets but the problem is one which is spreading across the worlds economic powerhouses.
The problem is particularly striking in Germany, which is set to suffer greater labor shrinkage to
2030 than any other major economy, but is still no more than the leading edge of a problem with
global dimensions. Talent crunches driven by a combination of labor shrinkage and
employability challenges will extend beyond mature western economies to afflict emerging
economic powers such as China and India. Boston Consulting Group (BCG) analysis of 26
leading economies, including every member of the G20, shows that Germany is one of five
countries whose labor supply is already shrinking. Along with Austria, Poland, Russia and Japan
it is projected to lose more workers than it gains over the period from 2011 to 2020 (see figure
Labor supply forecast). BCGs analysis shows that this problem will spread wider and deeper
over the subsequent decade. By 2030 it will afflict 12 of the 26 countries under review. All five
countries already suffering shrinkage will see this decline accelerate in Germany reaching more
than 1 percent annual compound contraction and in Austria more than 0.7 percent. They will be
joined by seven more countries. The addition of France, Netherlands, Spain, Switzerland and in
particular Italy, whose rate of shrinkage is projected to be second only to Germany, show that
this is a particularly acute problem for Europe. Only the United Kingdom and Sweden are
projected to experience continued, if tiny, labor supply growth.
It is not, though, an exclusively European problem. The implications, for a world which has
become accustomed to China as an engine of economic growth, of it falling into labor
contraction could be considerable. South Korea too will see shrinkage between 2020 and 2030.
And while countries like Brazil and Canada will continue to enjoy growth, this growth will be at
a much slower rate than in earlier decades.
Talent Crisis:
The talent crisis is a challenge for everybody involved in the development of workforces not
only employers but governments, academia and the wider international community. All have a
role to play in responding to this challenge. BCG and the World Economic Forum outlined
possible course of action in their joint work on global talent risk. In particular they defined seven
key responses, which are shown in figure Seven responses to global talent risk to manage the
global talent crunch.