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Chapter 4
Continuous Random Variables
and Probability Distributions
Fill-in-the-Blank Questions
Section 4.1
1.
A random variable whose set of possible values is an entire interval of numbers is a __________
random variable, as opposed to __________.
ANSWER: continuous, discrete
2.
3.
The graph of the probability density function f(x) of the continuous random variable X is often
referred to as the __________ .
ANSWER: density curve
4.
The total area under the grapy of the probability density function f(x) of any continuous random
variable X is always equal to __________ .
ANSWER: 1
5.
A continuous random variable X is uniformly distributed on the interval [0,5], then the probability
density function between 0 and 5 is equal to __________.
ANSWER: .2
6.
If the assembly time for a product is uniformly distributed between 15 to 20 minutes, then the
probability of assembling the product between 16 to 18 minutes is __________.
ANSWER: .4
55
CHAPTER FOUR
Section 4.2
7.
The cumulative distribution function F(x) for a continuous random variable X is the area under the
density curve to the __________ of x.
ANSWER: left
8.
If X is a continuous random variable with probability density function f(x) and cumulative
distribution function F(x) , then at every x at which the derivative F ( x) exists, F ( x) =
__________.
ANSWER: f(x)
9.
Let p be a number between 0 and 1. The (100p)th percentile of the distribution of a continuous
random variable X, denoted by ( p) and __________% lies to the __________.
ANSWER: left, 100 (1-p), right
10.
A continuous distribution is said to be __________ if the graph of its probability density function
to the left of some point is a mirror image of the graph to the right of that point.
ANSWER: symmetric
11.
The expected or mean value of a continuous random variable X with probability density function
f(x) is defined by E ( X ) __________.
x
ANSWER:
x f ( x)dx
Section 4.3
12.
1
2
e( x )
/ 2 2
ANSWER: normal
13.
The normal distribution with parameter values 0 and 1 is called a __________ normal
distribution.
ANSWER: standard
14.
15.
56
17.
18.
In your book, the author used the notation z to denote the value on the measurement axis for
which of the area under the z curve lies to the __________ of z .
ANSWER: right
19.
In terms of the z notation used in your book, z.05 is the __________th percentile of the standard
normal distribution, so z.05 = __________.
ANSWER: 95, 1.645
20.
21.
In general, as long as the binomial probability histogram is not too skewed, binomial probabilities
can be well approximated by __________ probabilities. In practice, the approximation is adequate
provided that both __________ and __________ are satisfied, where q 1 p .
ANSWER: normal, np 10, nq 10
Section 4.4
22.
23.
The expected value of a random variable X having a gamma distribution with parameters and
is E(X) = __________.
ANSWER:
24.
The variance of a random variable X having a gamma distribution with parameters and is
V(X) = __________.
ANSWER: 2
25.
The parameter in the probability density function (pdf), f ( x; , ), of the gamma distribution
is called the __________parameter because values other than 1 either stretch or compress the
pdf in the x direction.
ANSWER: scale
57
CHAPTER FOUR
26.
27.
When X is a standard gamma random variable, the cumulative distribution function of X is called
the __________ gamma function.
ANSWER: incomplete
28.
The mean of a random variable X having the exponential distribution with parameter
.5 is __________ .
ANSWER: 2
29.
The standard deviation of a random variable X having the exponential distribution with parameter
.5 is __________ .
ANSWER: 2
30.
The mean of a random variable X having the chi-squared distribution with 3 degrees of freedom is
__________ .
ANSWER: 3
31.
The variance of a random variable X having the chi-squared distribution with 5 degrees of freedom
2
is __________ .
ANSWER: 10
Section 4.5
32.
A nonnegative random variable X is said to have a lognormal distribution if the random variable
Y = ln(X) has a __________ distribution.
ANSWER: normal
33.
34.
Suppose the random variable X has a Weibull distribution with parameters 2 and 10, then
P ( X 15) is approximately __________.
ANSWER: .895
35.
If the random variable Y = ln(X) Is normally distributed with parameters 1 and 2 , then the
expected value of X is approximately __________.
ANSWER: 20.086
58
Section 4.6
36.
An effective graphical method to check if the population distribution is of a specified type (e.g.,
from normal distribution) is to construct what is called a __________.
ANSWER: probability plot
37.
The 90th percentile of a continuous distribution is a number ( p) on the measurement scale such
that the area under the density curve to the __________ of ( p) is .90 and to the __________ is .
10.
ANSWER: left, right
38.
39.
The fiftieth sample percentile should separate the smallest __________% of the sample from the
largest __________%.
ANSWER: 50, 50
40.
A plot of the n pairs: [100 (i .5) / n] th z percentile, i th smallest observation} on a twodimensional coordinate system is called a __________ plot.
ANSWER: normal probability
41.
The parameters 1 and 2 are said to be __________ and __________ parameters, respectively, if
the cumulative distribution function F(x; 1 , 2 )is a function of (x - 1 ) / 2
ANSWER: location, scale
59
CHAPTER FOUR
Multiple-Choice Questions
Section 4.1
42.
Unquestionably, the most important and useful distribution in probability and statistics is the
A.
B.
C.
D.
binomial distribution
normal distribution
gamma distribution
exponential distribution
ANSWER: B
43.
Which of the following is (are) true is X is a continuous random variable, and f(x) is the
probability density function of X?
b
f ( x) 0
C.
ANSWER: A
45.
If X is a continuous random variable defined on the interval [A,B], and the probability density
function of X is
A x B
1/( B A)
f ( x; A, B )
otherwise
0
then X is said to have
A.
B.
C.
D.
gamma distribution
normal distribution
uniform distribution
Weibull distribution
ANSWER: C
60
f ( x)
0 x2
otherwise
then, P (1 x 1.5) is
A.
B.
C.
D.
.5625
.3125
.1250
.4375
ANSWER: B
47.
f ( x)
0 x2
otherwise
2
.25
.375
any positive value greater than 2
ANSWER: C
48.
A continuous random variable X is uniformly distributed on the interval [A,B], then the probability
density function between A and B has a value of
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
1/(A-B)
(A+B)/2
A-B
B-A
A+BX
ANSWER: A
49.
A continuous random variable X is uniformly distributed on the interval [35, 45]. The probability
that X is between 40 and 50 is
A.
B.
C.
D.
.1
.7
.6
.5
ANSWER: D
61
CHAPTER FOUR
Section 4.2
50.
Let X be a continuous random variable with probability density function f(x) and cumulative
distribution function F(x). Then for any two numbers a and b with a<b, which of the following
inequalities is true?
A.
B.
C.
D.
P (a X b) F (a ) F (b)
P ( X a ) 1 F (a )
F ( x) ( x a ) /(b a)
P ( X b) F (b) 1
ANSWER: B
51.
The cumulative distribution function F(x) for a continuous random variable X is defined for every
number x by which of the following inequalities?
A.
B.
C.
D.
F ( x) P( X x)
F ( x) 1 P( X x)
F ( x) P( X x)
F ( x) P( X x) P( X x)
ANSWER: C
52.
Which of the following is true about the median %of a continuous distribution?
A. %is the 50th percentile
B. %is the 75th percentile
C. The area under the density curve to the right of %is larger than the area to the left of %
) 1
D. %satisfies F ( %
ANSWER: A
53.
A continuous distribution whose probability density function f(x) is symmetric has median %
equal to
A.
B.
C.
D.
0
1
f(.5)
the point of symmetry
ANSWER: D
54.
A continuous random variable X is uniformly distributed over the interval [10, 16]. The expected
value of X is
A.
B.
C.
D.
16
13
10
7
ANSWER: B
62
A continuous random variable X is uniformly distributed over the interval [12, 18]. The variance
of X is
A.
B.
C.
D.
15
6
3
9
ANSWER: C
Section 4.3
56.
often abbreviated X
: N ( , 2 ) .
2
B. If the random variable X is normally distributed with parameters and , then
E ( X ) and V ( X ) 2 .
C. The graph of any normal probability density function is symmetric about the mean and bellshaped, so the center of the bell (point of symmetry) is both the mean of the distribution and
the median.
2
D. If the random variable X is normally distributed with parameters and , then a large
implies that a value of X far from may well be observed, whereas such a value is quite
unlikely when is small.
E. All of the above statements are correct
ANSWER: E
57.
58.
59.
P ( Z 1.25) .8944
P ( Z 1.25) .1056
P ( Z 1.25) .8944
P (1.25 Z 1.25) .7888
ANSWER: A
Which of the following statements about the z notation used in your book is correct?
63
CHAPTER FOUR
A. of the area under the standard normal curve lies to the left of z .
B. 1 of the area under the standard normal curve lies to the right of z .
C. z is the 100 (1 ) th percentile of the standard normal distribution
D. z is the 100 th percentile of the standard normal distribution
ANSWER: C
60.
Which of the following statements about the z notation used in your book is not correct?
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
ANSWER: D
61.
If X has a normal distribution with mean and standard deviation , and Z is the standard
normal random variable whose cumulative distribution function is P ( Z z ) ( z ) , then which
of the following statements are not correct?
A. Z ( X ) /
B. P (a X b) [(b ) / ] [a ) / ]
C. P ( X a ) 1 [(a ) / ]
D. P ( X b) 1 [(b ) / ]
E. All of the above statements are not correct
ANSWER: C
62.
Roughly 68% of the values are within one standard deviation of the mean.
Roughly 95% of the values are within two standard deviations of the mean.
Roughly 99.7% of the values are within three standard deviations of the mean.
All of the above statements are correct.
ANSWER: D
63.
If X is a normally distributed random variable with a mean of 10 and standard deviation of 4, then
the probability that X is between 6 and 16 is
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
.9332
.7745
.6587
.0668
.8413
ANSWER: B
64
.7357
.2643
.6250
.3750
None of the above answers are correct
ANSWER: A
65.
If X is a normally distributed random variable with a mean of 80 and a standard deviation of 12,
then the P(X = 68) is
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
.1587
.0000
.6587
.8413
None of the above answers are correct
ANSWER: B
66.
Which of the following statements about the percentiles for the standard normal distribution are
correct?
A.
B.
C.
D.
E.
ANSWER: C
Section 4.4
67.
1 x
A. For any > 0, ( ) 0 x e dx
68.
65
CHAPTER FOUR
A. The gamma family is a family of probability density functions that yields a wide variety of
skewed distributional shapes.
B. The expected value of a random variable X having the gamma distribution f ( x; , ) with
parameter values 2 and 2 is E(X) = 2
C. The standard deviation of a random variable X having the gamma distribution with parameter
values 1 and 2 is 4
D. A continuous random variable X having a gamma distribution with parameters and
satisfy 0 and 0 is said to have a standard gamma distribution if 1 and 0 .
E. All of the above statements are true.
ANSWER: A
69.
70.
Which of the following statements are not true if the probability density function of a continuous
5 x
random variable X is f ( x) 5e ; x 0 ?
A. E(X) = .20
B. V(X) = .02
5 x
C. The cumulative distribution function of X is F ( x) 1 e ; x 0
D. P ( X 1) .9933
E. All of the above statements are not true.
ANSWER: B
71.
Section 4.5
66
ANSWER: E
73.
If X is a nonnegative random variable and the random variable Y = ln(X) is normally distributed
with parameters and , then which of the following statements are not true?
A.
B.
C.
D.
( ) 1
x (1 x) 1 , 0 x 1
( )( )
If the random variable Y = ln(X) is normally distributed with parameters .50 and =.25 , then
the variance of X is approximately
A.
B.
C.
D.
2.8936
0.0645
0.1866
.04320
ANSWER: C
67
CHAPTER FOUR
Section 4.6
76.
77.
If we order the n-sample observations from smallest to largest, then the i th smallest
observation in the list is taken to be the [100 (i - .5)/n] th sample percentile.
Using linear interpolation, the 25th percentile of the standard normal distribution is
approximately .675
Percentile for a normal ( , ) distribution corresponding z percentile.
All of the above statements are correct
None of the above statements is correct
ANSWER: A
78.
79.
Which of the following statements are correct about a nonnormal population distribution?
A. It can be symmetric and has lighter tails than does a normal distribution; that is, the density
curve declines more rapidly out in the tails than does a normal curve.
B. It can be symmetric and has heavy tails compared to a normal population.
C. It can be skewed.
D. All of the above statements are correct
E. None of the above statements is correct.
ANSWER: D
68
Let X denote the amount of time for which a book on 2-hour reserve at a college-library is checked
out by a randomly selected student and suppose that X
.5 x 0 x 2
0 otherwise
f ( x)
P ( X 1)
P (.5 X 1.5)
P ( X 1.5)
ANSWER:
81.
a.
P ( X 1)
b.
c.
2
P ( X 1.5) f ( x)dx .5xdx .25 x 2 ]1.5
.438
1.5
.5
1.5
1.5
A college professor always finishes his lectures within 2 minutes after the bell rings to end the
period and the end of the lecture. Let X = the time that elapses between the bell and the end of the
lecture and suppose the pdf of X is
2
kx
0
f ( x)
a.
b.
c.
d.
0 x2
otherwise
Find the value of k. [Hint: Total area under the graph of f(x) is 1.]
What is the probability that the lecture ends within 1minutes of the bell ringing?
What is the probability that the lecture continues beyond the bell for between 60 and 90
seconds?
What is the probability that the lecture continues for at least 90 seconds beyond the bell?
ANSWER:
2
3
2
a. 1 f ( x) dx 0 kx dx k ( x / 3)]0 k (8 / 3) k 3 / 8 .375
1
2
3 1
b. P (0 X 1) 0 .375 x dx .125 x ]0 .125
1.5
2
3 1.5
c. P (1 X 1.5) 1 .375 x dx .125 x ]1 .2969
1.5
2
3 1.5
d. P ( X 1.5) 1 0 .375 x dx 1 .125 x ]0 .5781
69
CHAPTER FOUR
82.
The time X (minutes) for a lab assistant to prepare the equipment for a certain experiment is
believed to have a uniform distribution with A = 20 and B = 30.
a.
b.
c.
d.
ANSWER:
1
for 20 x 30 and 0 otherwise
a. f ( x)
10
30 1
b. P ( X 27) 27 dx .3
10
30
1
x2
c. E ( X ) x dx
20
10
20
30
25
20
25 2 is from 23 to 27 minutes:
27
27 1
x
P (23 X 27)
dx .40
23 10
10 23
a2
d. P (a x a 2) a
83.
1
dx .2, since the interval has length 2.
10
Time headway in traffic flow is the elapsed time between the time that one car finishes passing a
fixed point and the instant that the next car begins to pass that point. Let X = the time headway for
two randomly chosen consecutive cars on a freeway during a period of heavy flow. The following
pdf of X is
.15e .15 x .5
0
f x
x .5
otherwise
At most 6 seconds?
At least 6 seconds?
At most 5 seconds?
Between 5 and 6 seconds?
ANSWER:
6
5.5
b.
P X 6 1 P X 6 1 .562 .438
c.
4.5
.5
e .15u
d.
70
4.5
0
after u x .5
1 e.675 .491
Section 4.2
84.
The cdf of checkout duration X for a book on a 2-hour reserve at a college library is given by:
x0
x
0 x2
4
1 2 x
F ( x)
P ( X 1)
P (.5 X 1)
P ( X .5)
)]
The median checkout duration % [ H int : solve .5 F ( %
ANSWER:
a. P ( X 1) F (1)
1
.25
4
3
.1875
16
15
.9375
c. P ( X .5) 1 P( X .5) 1 F (.5)
16
%2
d. .5 F ( %
)
%2 2 % 2 1.414
4
x
for 0 x 2, and = 0 otherwise
e. f ( x) F ( x)
2
b. P (.5 X 1) F (1) F (.5)
85.
Let X denote the amount of space occupied by an article placed in a 1 ft 3 packing container. The
pdf of X is
90 x8 (1 x) 0 x 1
otherwise
0
f ( x)
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
f.
71
CHAPTER FOUR
ANSWER:
x
8
8
9
a. F ( x) f ( y )dy 0 90 y (1 y )dy 90 0 ( y y )dy
1 9 1 10 x
y y ]0 10 x 9 9 x10
10
9
90
Therefore,
0
F x 10 x9 9 x10
1
for x o
for 0 x 1
for x 1
9
10
b. F (.5) 10(.5) 9(.5) .0107
9
10
c. P (.25 X .5) F (.5) F (.25) .0107 [10(.25) 9(.25) ]
.0107 .0000 .0107
th
d. The 75 percentile is the value of x for which F(x) = .75
e.
9 x10
90 11 1 9
x ]0
.8182
11
11
86.
ANSWER:
xa
p x (100 p)th percentile a (b a ) p
ba
b
1
1 x2 b 1 1
ab
dx
]a
b2 a2
b. E ( X ) x
a
ba
ba 2
2 ba
2
2
2
1
1
a
ab
b
E( X 2 )
b3 a 3
3 ba
3
2
2
2
a ab b
(b a )2
(b a )
(a b)
V (X )
, so x
3
2
12
12
a.
F ( x)
b
1
b n 1 a n 1
n
n
dx
c. E ( X ) a x
ba
(n 1)(b a )
72
Let X be the temperature in oC at which a certain chemical reaction takes place, and let Y be the
temperature in oF (so Y = 1.8X + 32).
a.
b.
c.
If the median of the X distribution is 2 , show that 1.8 % + 32 is the median of the Y
distribution.
How is the 90th percentile of the Y distribution related to the 90th percentile of the X
distribution? Verify your conjecture.
More generally, if Y = aX + b, how is any particular percentile of the Y distribution related to
the corresponding percentile of the X distribution?
ANSWER:
) .5
a. P (Y 1.8% 32) P (1.8 X 32 1.8% 32) P ( X %
th
b. 90 percentile for Y 1.8 (.9) 32 where (.9) is the 90th percentile for X , since
P (Y 1.8 (.9) 32) P (1.8 X 32 1.8 (.9) 32) ( X (.9) .9 as desired.
c. The (100p)th percentile for Y is 1.8 ( p) 32 , verified by substituting p for .9 in the argument
of b. When Y = aX + b, (i.e. a linear transformation of X), and the (100p)th percentile of the X
distribution is ( p) , then the corresponding (100p)th percentile of the Y distribution is
a ( p ) b. (same linear transformation applied to Xs percentile)
Section 4.3
88.
Let Z be a standard normal random variable and calculate the following probabilities:
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
P (0 Z 2.25)
P (0 Z 1)
P(2.0 Z 0)
P (1.50 Z 1.50)
P ( Z 1.32)
f. P Z 1.70
g. P (1.50 Z 2.00)
h. P (1.50 Z 2.50)
i. P Z 1.50
j. P ( Z 2.40)
ANSWER:
a. P (0 Z 2.25) (2.25) (0) .4878
b. P (0 Z 1) = (1) (0) .3413
c. P(2.0 Z 0) = (0) (2.0) .4772
d. P (1.50 Z 1.50) = (1.50) (1.50) .8664
e. P ( Z 1.32) = (1.32) .9066
f. P Z 1.70 = 1 1.70 .9554
g. P (1.50 Z 2.00) = (2) (1.50) .9104
h. P (1.50 Z 2.50) = (2.50) (1.50) .0606
i. P Z 1.50 = 1 (1.50) .0668
73
CHAPTER FOUR
89.
In each case, determine the value of the constant c that makes the probability statement correct.
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
(c) .9838
P (0 Z c) .195
P ( Z c) .117
P (c Z c) .668
P | Z | c .0202
ANSWER:
a. c .9838 c 2.14
b. P (0 Z c) .195 (c) .6950 c .51
c.
d.
e.
90.
If X is a normal random variable with mean 85 and standard deviation 10, compute the following
probabilities by standardizing.
a.
b.
c.
d.
e.
P( X 100)
P ( X 80)
P (65 X 100)
P ( X 70)
P (85 X 95)
f. P( X 80 10)
ANSWER:
a. P ( X 100) P ( Z 1.5) (1.50) .9332
b. P ( X 80) P ( Z .5) (.5) .3085
c. P (65 X 100) P(2 Z 1.5) (1.5) (2.0) .9332 .0228 .9104
d. P ( X 70) P ( Z 1.50) 1 (1.50) .9332
e. P (85 X 95) P (0 Z 1.0) (1.0) (0) .3413
f.
91.
The distribution of resistance for resistors of a certain type is known to be normal, with 10% of all
resistors having a resistance exceeding 10.634 ohms, and 5% having a resistance smaller than
9.7565 ohms. What are the mean value and standard deviation of the resistance distribution?
ANSWER:
74
92.
th
Since 1.28 is the 90th z percentile ( z.1 1.28) and 1.645 is the 5 z percentile ( z.05 1.645) ,
the given information implies that (1.28) 10.634 and (1.645) 9.7565 , from which
(2.925) ..8775, .30, and 10.25
Let X have a binomial distribution with parameters n = 25 and p. Calculate each of the following
probabilities using the normal approximation (with the continuity correction) for the cases p = .5
and .6, and compare to the exact probabilities calculated from the cumulative binomial
probabilities table available in your text.
a. P (10 X 15)
b. P ( X 10)
c. P ( X 15)
ANSWER:
P:
.5
:
12.5
:
2.50
.6
15
2.45
a.
P
Binomial
P (10 X 15)
.5
.6
12.5
15
2.5
2.45
.770
.562
.5
.60
12.5
15
P
.5
.6
Normal Approximation
P(9.5 X 15.5)
P(1.20 Z 1.20) = .7689
P(2.25 Z .20) = .5671
b.
Normal Approximation
P ( X 10.5)
2.5
2.45
Binomial
P ( X 10)
.212
.034
Binomial
P ( X 15)
Normal Approximation
P( X 14.5)
12.5
15
2.5
2.45
.212
.586
P ( Z .80) = .2119
P ( Z 1.84) = .0329
c.
93.
P( Z .80) = ..2119
P( Z .20) = .5793
Suppose only 40% of all drivers in Florida regularly wear a seatbelt. A random sample of 500
drivers is selected. What is the probability that
a.
b.
Between 170 and 220 (inclusive) of the drivers in the sample regularly wear a seatbelt?
Fewer than 175 of those in the sample regularly wear a seatbelt?
ANSWER:
n 500, p .4, 200, 10.9545
a. P (170 X 220) P (19.5 normal 220.5) P (2.87 Z 1.78) .9666
b. P ( X 175) P ( X 174) P (normal 174.5) P( Z 2.33) .0099
75
CHAPTER FOUR
Section 4.4
94.
P ( X 5)
P ( X 5)
P ( X 8)
P (3 X 8)
P (3 X 8)
P( X 4 or X 6)
ANSWER:
a. P ( X 5) F (5; 6) .384
b. P ( X 5) P ( X 5) .384
c. P ( X 8) 1 P( X 8) 1 F (8; 6) .191
d. P (3 X 8) F (8; 6) F (3; 6) .725
e. P (3 X 8) .725
f. P( X 4 or X 6) 1 P(4 X 6) 1 [ F (6; 6) F (4;6)] .661
95.
Suppose that when a transistor of a certain type is subjected to an accelerated life test, the lifetime
X (in weeks) has a gamma distribution with mean of 40 and variance of 320.
a.
b.
What is the probability that a transistor will last between 1 and 40 weeks?
What is the probability that a transistor will last at most 40 weeks? Is the median of the
lifetime distribution less than 40? Why or why not?
ANSWER:
40, 2 320 40, 2 320 8, 5
a. P (16 X 40) F (5;5) F (2;5) .507
b. P ( X 40) F (5;5) .560, so while the mean is 40, the median is less than 40.
( P( X %
) .5); This is the result of the positive skew of the gamma distribution.
96.
Let X = the time between two successive arrivals at the drive-up window of a local bank. If X has
an exponential distribution with = 1 (which is identical to a standard gamma distribution with
=1), compute the following:
a.
b.
c.
d.
ANSWER:
a. E ( X ) 1/ =1
b. 1/ =1
(1)(5)
1 e 5 = .9933
c. P ( X 5) 1 e
76
97.
Extensive experience with fans of a certain type used in diesel engines has suggested that the
exponential distribution provides a good model for time until failure. Suppose the mean time until
failure is 25,000 hours. What is the probability that
a.
b.
A randomly selected fan will last at least 20,000 hours? At most 30,000 hours? Between
20,000 and 30,000 hours?
The lifetime of a fan exceeds the mean value by more than 2 standard deviations? More than 3
standard deviations?
ANSWER:
1
Mean = 25, 000 implies .00004
1
25,000, so P( X 2 ) P( x 75, 000) 1 F (75, 000;.00004) .05.
Section 4.5
98.
The lifetime X (in hundreds of hours) of a certain type of vacuum tube has a Weibull distribution
with parameters 2 and 3. Compute the following:
a.
b.
c.
ANSWER:
1
1 1
a. E ( X ) 3 1 3
2
2 2
2.66 , and
b. P ( X 3) 1 e (3 / ) 1 e (3 / 3) 1 e 1 .632
(6 / 3)
1 e (1.5 / 3)
c. P (1.5 X 6) 1 e
99.
e.25 e 4 .760
Let X = hourly median power (in decibels) of received radio signals transmitted between two
cities. It is believed that the lognormal distribution provides a reasonable probability model for X.
If the parameter values are 3.5 and 1.2, calculate the following:
a.
b.
c.
77
CHAPTER FOUR
ANSWER:
3.5 (1.2)
a. E ( X ) e
/2
x 122.0949
ln(250) 3.5
ln(50) 3.5
P z
b. P (50 X 250) P z
1.2
1.2
c. P ( X 68.0335) P z
P ( Z .60) .7257.
1.2
Suppose the proportion X of surface area in a randomly selected quadrat that is covered by a
certain plant has a standard beta distribution with 5 and 2.
a.
b.
c.
d.
ANSWER:
a. E ( X )
5
5
10
.714, V ( X )
.0255
(5 2) 7
(49)(8)
b. f ( x)
(7)
x 4 (1 x) 30( x 4 x 5 ) for 0 X 1,
(5)(2)
2
4
5
so P( X .2) 0 30( x x )dx .0016
.4
4
5
c. P (.2 X .4) .2 30( x x )dx .03936
d. E (1 X ) 1 E ( X ) 1
101.
5 2
.286
7 7
Stress is applied to a 20-in. steel bar that is clamped in a fixed position at each end. Let X =
distance from the left end at which the bar snaps. Suppose Y/20 has a standard beta distribution
100
.
with E(Y) = 10 and V(Y) =
7
a. What are the parameters of the relevant standard beta distribution?
b. Compute P (8 Y 12).
c. Compute the probability that the bar snaps more than 2 in. from where you expect it to.
ANSWER:
1
100
100
1
Y
Y
2 ; Var(Y)= 7 Var 20 2800 28
20
a. E (Y ) 10 E
8
12
;3,3 F
;3,3
F (6;3,3) F (.4;3,3).
20
20
b. P (8 X 12) F
78
Section 4.6
102.
172.0
216.5
172.5
234.9
173.3
262.6
193.0
422.6
Construct a normal probability plot and comment on the plausibility of the normal distribution as a
model for bearing lifetime.
ANSWER:
The z percentiles and observations are shown on the normal probability plot below. The
accompanying plot is quite straight except for the point corresponding to the largest observation.
This observation is clearly much larger than what would be expected in a normal random sample.
Because of this outlier, it would be inadvisable to analyze the data using any inferential method
that depended on assuming a normal population distribution.
103.
Construct a normal probability plot for the following sample of observations on coating thickness
for low-viscosity paint. Would you feel comfortable estimating population mean thickness using a
method that assumed a normal population distribution?
.83
1.48
.98
1.49
1.06
1.51
1.14
1.62
1.20
1.65
1.25
1.71
1.29
1.76
1.40
1.83
ANSWER:
The z percentile values and observations are shown on the normal probability plot below. The
accompanying probability plot is reasonably straight, and thus it would be reasonable to use
estimating methods that assume a normal population distribution.
79
CHAPTER FOUR
104.
The propagation of fatigue cracks in various aircraft parts has been the subject of extensive study
in recent years. The accompanying data consists of propagation lives to reach crack size in
fastener holes intended for use in military aircraft.
.736
1.011
.863
1.064
.865
1.109
.913
1.132
.915
1.140
.937
1.153
.983
1.253
1.007
1.394
Construct a normal probability plot for the data. Does it appear plausible that propagation life has
a normal distribution? Explain.
ANSWER:
The z percentile and observations are shown on the normal probability plot below. The
accompanying probability plot is very straight, suggesting that an assumption of population
normality is extremely plausible.
80
81