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time they are not acted upon. Most shippers dont have the stomach to follow through, he
said.
Can shippers expect carriers to speed up now that fuel prices are so low? If they do it wont be
by very much, Heaney says. I expect carriers to speed up slightly, but it wont start just yet
because its useful to keep load levels at reasonable levels.
The mega-alliances such as the 2M have increased their speeds slightly to 18.5 knots from 17.8
knots, Heaney said, as a consequence of low bunker fuel costsand perhaps more important
in order to impress shippers by getting their new services off to a good start. Going faster
would put extra capacity on trade routes, so it is unlikely that carriers will increase speeds
anywhere near their top speeds of 24-25 knots.
Another factor, barring an increase in speeds, is that many operators have modified their
vessels to travel at slower speeds. It would be too expensive to make the modifications needed
to increase speeds. They are also hesitant to speed up because slow steaming allows them to
employ their excess capacity; going faster could force them to lay up vessels.
Slow or fast, it is all problematic for shippers and supply chains. At the moment carriers seem
more interested in cutting capacity on oversupplied trade lanes. Maersk Line said it would cut
the capacity on the struggling Europe-South America trade lane as it battles with an oversupply
situation.
Next: Dealing with the EUs new shipper rules and the capacity crunch.