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ON-SITE POWER
POWER PLANT
PERFORMANCE
118
YEARS
A Report Card
on EPC Firms
1412PE_C1 1
12/15/14 11:35 AM
MATS regulations
Some clear, straightforward answers!
As were all aware, the MATS rule, efective in April 2015, mandates reduction of stack
emissions such as HCl, HF and Hg in coal-fred power plants. With compliance deadlines
so near, its time to ensure your power plants system satisfes the upcoming regulations.
Looking for answers to your regulatory questions? If you are considering whether to postpone
a plants retirement, or need assistance with technology and product choices, SOLVAir
Solutions years of practical experience in the feld may be of help. From cost-efective product
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you in fnding the answers you want.
For more information on Dry Sorbent Injection, sodium sorbents and independent tests
on HCl and SO2, go to www.solvair.us or call us at 800.765.8292.
1412PE_C2 2
12/15/14 11:35 AM
FEATURES 118
28
Power Engineering lists the 20 best performing nuclear, coal, and combinedcycle power plants based on generation, capacity factor, and heat rate. Also
evaluated are NOX and SO2 emission rates for coal and combined-cycle plants.
38
Power Engineering
1412PE_1 1
The EPAs Clean Power Plan calls for a 6-percent improvement in heat rates, or fuel
efficiencies, at coal-fired power plants. Power Engineering examines how a steam
turbine upgrade can help meet this mandate.
VOLUME
40
Learn about how a new CHP system installed at Baltimores Horseshoe Casino
uses captured heat from the engines jacket water and exhaust systems to
more than double energy efficiency.
45
Navigating the
Promises and Pitfalls of
Environmental Regulations
The U.S. power sector faces a host of new rules and regulations
governing air emissions, water intake structures, coal ash storage,
and discharge limits for effluent. The editors of Power Engineering
provide updates on where these and many other new rules for
power generators now stand.
DEPARTMENTS
2
4
8
10
Opinion
Industry News
Clearing the Air
Gas Generation
12
14
16
18
Industry Watch
View on Renewables
Energy Matters
Nuclear Reactions
Newscast:
20
49
56
Generating Buzz
Products and Literature
Ad Index
www.power-eng.com
Industry News:
Global updates
throughout the day
12/15/14 11:54 AM
OPINION
1412PE_2 2
the future.
To further illustrate the sense of urgency, here are some eye-opening statistics
compiled by the Center for Energy Workforce Development, a nonprofit consortium of electric utilities and associations:
Almost 62 percent of utility employees have the potential to retire or
leave over the next decade
Nine percent are ready to retire
now based on current assumptions
By 2015, 36 percent of employees in
positions that the industry deems as
critical may retire or leave for other
reasons
The good news is the industry is forming partnerships with universities and
other organizations that are designed to
tap the nations pool of talented younger
workers. The bad news is electric utilities
are losing workers at an increasing rate,
according to a report from PricewaterhouseCoopers.
The voluntary turnover rate at electric
utilities rose from 3.9 percent in 2010 to
4.9 percent in 2012. For high performers and tenured employees, the turnover
rate increased from 2.7 percent in 2010 to
3.7 percent in 2012. The 2013 report also
found that the turnover of utility employees during their first year was significantly higher, rising from 2.3 percent in 2011
to 5.5 percent in 2012.
This has created a turning point for
utilities precisely because they have had
so many decades of stability, the PwC
report found.
Other industries are better equipped
to retain employees, the report found.
Electric utilities should rethink their approach to employee retention as they
confront the increasing turnover of newer and high performers, as well as the
www.power-eng.com
12/15/14 11:53 AM
NO COMPANY IS
MORE
COMMITTED
TO SUPPORTING
OPERATING
NUCLEAR PLANTS
Westinghouse
Electric Company
@WECNuclear
1412PE_3 3
12/15/14 11:53 AM
INDUSTRY NEWS
Day & Zimmermann
lands maintenance contract
at Palo Verde
B&W Canada to
provide nuclear services
for Bruce Power units
Day & Zimmermann Engineering,
Construction & Maintenance group has
been awarded a three-year contract by
Arizona Public Service Co. (APS) to provide maintenance services at the 3,739MW Palo Verde Nuclear Generation Stationnear Phoenix.
Construction is scheduled to begin in
January 2015.
The nations largest nuclear power is
operated by APS and jointly owned by
APS, Salt River Project, Southern California Edison, El Paso Electric, Public
Service Co. of New Mexico, Southern
California Public Power Authority and
the Los Angeles Department of Water
& Power.
1412PE_4 4
Berkshire Hathaway
unit purchases AltaLink
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.s utility division completed its purchase of Canadian
power transmission provider AltaLink for
$2.7 billion.
The companies announced Monday
the deal was complete. Canadian regulators approved the deal last week.
AltaLink will keep its name and continue to run as a separate company under
Berkshire Hathaway Energy. Its headquarters will remain in Calgary.
Warren Buffetts Berkshire Hathaway
EPA proposes
smog standards under
Clean Air Act
The U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) proposed new smog, or
ozone, standards under the Clean Air Act
after recent scientifc evidence showed
harmful effects of ground-level smog.
Under the proposal, the EPA is seeking to strengthen air quality standards
between 65 to 70 parts per billion (ppb),
while taking comment on a level as low
as 60 ppb. The standards were last updated in 2008, setting them at 75 ppb.
Bringing ozone pollution standards
in line with the latest science will clean up
our air, improve access to crucial air quality information, and protect those most
at-risk. It empowers the American people
with updated air quality information to
protect our loved ones - because whether
we work or play outdoors we deserve to
know the air we breathe is safe, said EPA
Administrator Gina McCarthy.
More than 1,000 ozone standard studies were reviewed by EPA scientists. The
studies indicate that exposure to the
ozone at the current standard, below 75
ppb, can pose a signifcant threat to public health.
12/15/14 11:52 AM
1412PE_5 5
12/15/14 11:52 AM
1412PE_6 6
complained then that the EPA didnt consider costs in deciding whether regulation
of hazardous air pollutants from power
plants is appropriate.
The problem here is that EPA did not
even consider the costs, wrote Judge
Brett Kavanaugh of the U.S. Circuit Court
of Appeals for the District of Columbia.
And the costs are huge, about $9.6 billion a year - thats billion with a b - by
EPAs own calculation.
Dresser-Rand shareholders
approve merger agreement
with Siemens
Dresser-Rand Group Inc. stockholders
approved its merger agreement with Siemens Energy. At a stockholders meeting,
98.9 percent were in favor of the agreement.
In September, Dresser-Rand signed a
defnitive merger agreement in which
Siemens would acquire all outstanding
shares of Dresser-Rand common stock
for $7.6 billion.
Siemens plans to operate Dresser-Rand
as its oil and gas business and retain the
Dresser-Rand brand name and its executive leadership team.
Dresser-Rand is a global supplier of rotating equipment and aftermarket parts
and services.
The deal is expected to close in summer 2015 and is subject to regulatory approval in the U.S., Europe and other jurisdictions and other customary closing
conditions.
Montana-Dakota Utilities to
acquire wind farm
Montana-Dakota Utilities Co., a division of MDU Resources Group signed an
agreement to purchase a 107.5-MW wind
farm being developed by ALLETE Clean
Energy, a subsidiary of ALLETE, Inc.
The North Dakota Thunder Spirit
Wind Project will feature 43 turbines.
Our customer energy requirements
are expected to grow at fve percent
per year for the next fve years, said
Frank Morehouse, president and CEO
12/15/14 11:52 AM
1412PE_7 7
12/15/14 11:52 AM
1412PE_8 8
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12/15/14 11:52 AM
GAS GENERATION
he increasing abundance of
natural gas produced by alternative shale exploration and
drilling has lowered gas prices dramatically over the last few years, resulting in
a shift toward gas as a power-generating
fuel. However, coal still claims the lions
share of the power-generation mix and
is projected to do so for 20 years out, as
it still represents a significant portion of
the installed generating base.
Inexpensive gas has prompted many
utilities to change their traditional game
plan of coal-as-baseload fuel and gas as
fuel on the margin. Gas has traditionally been used for intermediate or peaking power, but many now argue that gas
could readily displace much of the existing baseload of fully dispatchable coal
power required to balance power grids
demand response on a 24/7 basis and
ensure their continuous reliability.
But there are those who urge caution
about jumping on the gas bandwagon.
They remember a not-too-distant time
when it looked as if gas was growing
scarcer, which prompted prices to spike
and utilities to start building coal-fired
capacity again. Today, the gas-coal debate has polarized along political lines,
as witnessed by the 2012 effort to pass
the Stop the War on Coal Act in Congress.
The export market has several major
variables. Gas producers want to export more of their product to Asia and
Europe, which would likely drive up
domestic prices. Coal producers, meanwhile, want to export their product to
10
1412PE_10 10
gas costs less this year. While some authorities have sounded the death knell
for coal as a power fuel source, others
have predicted that no more than 20
percent of coal-fired power capacity will
shift to gas within the next 20 years,
which would still leave coal with 25 to
30 percent of the capacity.
There are numerous variables in play
that affect the price and desirability of
power-generating fuels, and most of
them are difficult to control. While its
prudent to keep an eye on how things
are trending in the markets and political arenas, the best strategy is for plants
to diversify fuels, ensuring that each
of their units is profitable, no matter
which way the winds blow.
Whether plants burn gas or coal or a
combination of the two, they still have
control over unit efficiency, reliability, and dependability. Whichever way
prices and politics evolve over the next
decade, fuel will still account for 50 to
70 percent of a plants annual operating
budget, capital expenditures for 15 to
20 percent of that budget, and O&M for
10 to 15 percent. That basic formula is
not likely to change.
Increasing unit efficiency and
reducing fuel consumption and
emissions makes everybody happy.
At the end of the day, even small,
incremental upticks in performance
will dramatically improve annual
revenues and earnings especially as
new EPA requirements for heat rate
and emissions come on line.
www.power-eng.com
12/15/14 11:51 AM
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12/15/14 11:51 AM
INDUSTRY WATCH
We Can Do Better:
The Unintended
Consequences of EPAs
Clean Power Plan
BY STEVE CORNELI, SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT FOR POLICY AND STRATEGY, NRG ENERGY
1412PE_12 12
12/15/14 11:51 AM
Microgrid Momentum
Raises Legal and
Regulatory Uncertainty
Ram Sunkara
BY RAM SUNKARA, MICHAEL STOSSER AND JACKSON ALLEN, SUTHERLAND ASBILL & BRENNAN LLP
Authors:
Ram Sunkara is a
partner in Sutherland
Asbill & Brennans
Houston offce. He
chairs the frms
Distributed Generation
and Combined Heat
and Power (DG/CHP)
Practice and counsels
utilities and corporate
energy consumers.
Michael Stosser
advises on the
development and
fnancing of energy
storage systems and
on federal and state
regulation of electric
systems.
Jackson Allen is
an associate in
Sutherland Asbill &
Brennans Atlanta
offce and has
experience counseling
clients on the
development of DG/
CHP facilities.
MICROGRID DEFINITION
AND TECHNOLOGY VARIETY
A microgrid is a group of interconnected loads and distributed energy
resources that act as a single entity that
can connect and disconnect from the
grid, and thus operate either with the
grid or in an island mode.
Because a microgrid project can incorporate a variety of technologies, it
has the potential to provide less costly
and more reliable power than the grid.
Microgrid generation resources can
include conventional natural gas-fred
generation, combined heat and power
generation, and other energy sources.
Microgrid installations also can include the integration of renewable energy generation resources.
ENERGY STORAGE
Energy storage can be used with renewable resources, such as wind and
solar systems, to reduce the effects of
interruption of generation. It also can
provide a source of back-up power.
Energy storage is a critical aspect of a
www.power-eng.com
1412PE_13 13
OWNERSHIP ISSUES
Ownership issues also must be considered when developing a microgrid
MICROGRID FINANCING
Additional legal and commercial issues may arise relating to fnancing a
microgrid project. For example, project fnancing will require a developer
to secure a revenue stream through an
agreement with an end-user. Such an
agreement with a single end-user may
not present a challenge. But community-based systems for a large number
of end-users will be more complex,
especially if those projects are funded
through municipal bonds and other
types of government funding.
CONCLUSION
Grid reliability has become a concern in the wake of storms and natural
disasters. Microgrids provide reliable
energy, especially in times of emergency or grid service interruption. It is
imperative for project developers, utilities and customer-owners to carefully
consider all of the issues and possible
hurdles that a microgrid project will
encounter and be prepared to address
those issues appropriately.
13
12/15/14 11:51 AM
VIEW ON RENEWABLES
1412PE_14 14
distributed renewables. The solar industry has installed about four times as much
solar at about one-third of its cost four
years ago. As solar costs have dropped,
so have the costs of storage technologies
such as lithium and vanadium.
As reported by BBC News magazine,
vanadium is a metal that may soon be
powering your neighborhood. Vanadium, a critical element, is growing in
importance as an alloying metal used to
strengthen steel, as well as in emerging
uses with mass storage cells for renewable
energy and lithium-vanadium batteries
for electric vehicles.
Leading the way in new grid scale renewable energy storage solutions are
vanadium flow batteries. These batteries allow inherently intermittent energy
supplies to be regulated from moment to
moment. The electricity industry refers to
such energy as dispatchable energy or
dispatchable power, which enables the
grid to balance the amount of energy being put into the wires with the demand
arising from consumers. These mass
energy storage solutions are designed to
help America deliver on its objectives for
clean energy, energy independence and
self-sufficiency, as well as targets for the
reduction of CO2 and greenhouse gases.
Vanadium flow systems utilize vanadiums unique characteristics for rechargeable energy storage, which is critical to
renewable and dispatchable power systems. Research facilities around the world
are investing in vanadium flow battery
research and development to meet the
projected global demand. The vanadium
flow system has virtually unlimited storage capacity with the ability to scale the
12/15/14 11:56 AM
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12/15/14 11:56 AM
ENERGY MATTERS
Reflection
and Projection
BY ROBYNN ANDRACSEK, P.E., BURNS & MCDONNELL AND CONTRIBUTING EDITOR
s environmental oversight
changes, so does the power
production industry. 2014 saw
resolution of several existing issues as
well as initiation of new rules which
will continue into 2015. Regardless of
the outcome of the 2014 midterm elections, politics are unlikely to cause an
abrupt change in policy; there is too
much inertia in regulatory actions.
Obviously, the carbon pollution
standards dominate the forecasts and
worries of our industry. This trio of
regulations covers new, modifed and
existing power plants. The Clean Power
Plan (for existing power plants) poses
the most diffculties, as evidenced by
EPAs October 2014 request for even
more comments on the proposed rule.
EPA has incentive to write the most
robust rule possible; the legal troubles
of CAIR/CSAPR (Clean Air Interstate
Rule/Cross-State Air Pollution Rule)
and CAMR/MATS (Clean Air Mercury
Rule/Mercury and Air Toxics Standards)
are not diffculties the EPA is anxious to
repeat.
In the absence of a clear national energy policy, should EPAs Clean Power
Plan be the next best thing? The Clean
Power Plan is mandating that the industry move toward more natural gas
usage - a direction in which industry
was already going. However, instead of
continuing to let economic forces act,
EPA is codifying and accelerating the
shift. The Clean Power Plan dominated
the discussion in 2014 and will continue to do so in 2015. However, there are
many other issues that the power industry should not forget.
16
1412PE_16 16
CSAPR is back, but will have a minimal short-term industry impact. Many
plants can simply turn on their idled
or underutilized selective catalytic
reduction (SCR) systems and achieve
their target NOx reductions. However,
CSAPR was based on an annual PM 2.5
standard of 15 micrograms per cubic
meter (g/m3) and an 8-hour ozone
standard of 80 parts per billion (ppb).
In the long term, what will happen
to the CSAPR goals when the current
PM 2.5 standard of 12 g/m3 is incorporated? Additionally, it is likely that
the ozone standard will be lowered
during 2015 to 70 ppb, leading to a
3-fold increase in the number of nonattainment counties. CSAPRs goals
three to fve years from now will be
much more diffcult to meet than the
current goals.
The coal combustion residuals
(CCR) rule has been sent to the White
House Offce of Management and Budget (OMB) for regulatory review. Fly
ash, scrubber byproducts and bottom
ash will either be regulated as a solid
waste or as a hazardous waste, but either way, industry faces a billion dollar plus impact. Under both options,
EPA asserts that the benefcial reuse
of CCR, such as in concrete, will not
be regulated. However, industry is less
certain that reuse will not be economically prohibited or that so much legal
risk will be created that benefcial reuse will be impractical. Due to a courtmandated deadline, expect a fnal rule
to be published in the Federal Register
before the end of December 2014.
Finally, keep your eyes on the
12/15/14 11:50 AM
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12/15/14 11:50 AM
NUCLEAR REACTIONS
Vote of Confidence
BY MARY JO ROGERS, PH.D., STRATEGIC TALENT SOLUTIONS
1412PE_18 18
BACK TO WIPP
For the past 15 years WIPP has been
safely depositing transuranic or TRU
waste from multiple waste generator sites,
which include a number of the National
Nuclear Security Administration facilities. WIPPs disposal of TRU waste is a
key part of the nuclear modernization,
stewardship, and disarmament equation.
The clean-up of legacy material thus far
has resulted in over 90,000 cubic meters
of radioactive waste disposal in the panels and rooms of the WIPP salt repository 2,150 feet underground. WIPP is the
only geologic repository for nuclear waste
in the U.S. since the administration defunded the embattled Yucca Mountain
project.
The salt deposits found in the Permian
Basin, which stretches over west Texas
and the southeastern portion of New
Mexico where WIPP is located, have been
identified as scientifically ideal for deep
geologic disposal of long-lived radioactive waste due to its stable geology, lack of
water, and plastic quality that makes the
salt entomb, or close in on the waste over
time. Salt formations constantly move
under pressure so employees must work
to maintain disposal room and tunnel
openings in the WIPP underground.
MEANWHILE, IN
WASHINGTON D.C.
While the nations nuclear waste legacy goals make WIPPs recovery critical,
prior to the shutdown there were broader
missions being whispered. For instance,
in August of 2013 PBSs NOVA program
published an optimistic story about
WIPPsuggesting that WIPP may be
geologic repository for used commercial
nuclear fuel since the Yucca Mountain
site was dumped. No such similar stories
have appeared since February.
Moreover, the ultimate question of
what to do with used commercial nuclear
fuel has been tabled for now. The Nuclear
Regulatory Commission issued a proposed ruling that spent nuclear fuel can
be safely stored in spent fuel pools in the
short-term and in dry casks on-site in the
long-term. The pressure of finding an alternate geologic repository may be off.
Pressure or no pressure, you have to
hand it to the 1,000 or so employees at
the WIPP site for their quick response,
safe evacuation, and already approved recovery plan.
www.power-eng.com
12/15/14 11:50 AM
1412PE_19 19
12/15/14 11:50 AM
GENERATING BUZZ
State CO2 reduction targets under the proposed Clean Power Plan
2012
Emission
Rate (lbs/
MWh)
Interim
Goal (lbs/
MWh)
2012
Emission
Rate (lbs/
MWh)
Interim
Goal (lbs/
MWh)
Interim
Reduction
Target
Alabama
1,444
1,147
-21%
1,059
-27%
Montana
2,245
1,882
-16%
1,771
-21%
Alaska
1,351
1,097
-19%
1,003
-26%
Nebraska
2,009
1,596
-21%
1,479
-26%
Arizona
1,453
735
-49%
702
-52%
Nevada
988
697
-29%
647
-34%
Arkansas
1,640
968
-41%
910
-45%
N. Hampshire
905
546
-40%
486
-46%
California
698
556
-20%
537
-23%
Colorado
New Jersey
932
647
-31%
531
-43%
1,714
1,159
-32%
1,108
-35%
New Mexico
1,586
1,107
-30%
1,048
-34%
765
597
-22%
540
-29%
New York
983
635
-35%
549
-44%
Delaware
1,234
913
-26%
841
-32%
North Carolina
1,646
1,077
-35%
992
-40%
Florida
1,200
794
-34%
740
-38%
North Dakota
1,994
1,817
-9%
1,783
-11%
Georgia
1,500
891
-41%
834
-44%
Ohio
1,850
1,452
-22%
1,338
-28%
Hawaii
1,540
1,378
-11%
1,306
1,306
Oklahoma
1,387
931
-33%
895
-35%
Idaho
339
244
-28%
228
-15%
717
407
-43%
372
-48%
Illinois
1,895
1,366
-28%
1,271
-33%
Pennsylvania
1,540
1,179
-23%
1,052
-32%
Indiana
1,923
1,607
-16%
1,531
-20%
Rhode Island
907
822
-9%
782
-14%
Iowa
1,552
1,341
-14%
1,301
-16%
Kansas
1,940
1,578
-19%
1,499
-23%
South Carolina
1,587
840
-47%
772
-51%
Kentucky
2,158
1,844
-15%
1,763
-18%
South Dakota
1,135
800
-29%
741
-35%
Louisiana
1,466
948
-35%
883
-40%
Tennessee
1,903
1,254
-34%
1,163
-39%
437
393
-10%
378
-14%
Texas
1,298
853
-34%
791
-39%
1,870
1,347
-28%
1,187
-37%
Utah
1,813
1,378
-24%
1,322
-27%
925
655
-29%
576
-38%
Virginia
1,297
884
-32%
810
-38%
Michigan
1,696
1,227
-28%
1,161
-32%
Washington
763
264
-65%
215
-72%
Minnesota
1,470
911
-38%
873
-41%
West Virginia
2,019
1,748
-13%
1,620
-20%
Mississippi
1,130
732
-35%
692
-39%
Wisconsin
1,827
1,281
-30%
1,203
-34%
Missouri
1,963
1,621
-17%
1,544
-21%
Wyoming
2,115
1,808
-15%
1,714
-19%
State
Connecticut
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Interim
Reduction
Target
State
Oregon
Source: EPA
20
1412PE_20 20
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12/15/14 11:50 AM
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Special advertising opportunities available.
For more information, go to www.power-eng.com/power-gen200.
1412PE_21 21
12/15/14 11:50 AM
MARKET RESEARCH
POWER PRODUCERS
LIKELY TO RETROFIT
EXISTING PLANTS
Over one-half of executives we spoke
to indicated they are Very likely to
initiate work toward the retrofit of an
existing plant in the next 1 to 3 years.
This is a 25 percent increase compared
with the 2012 survey.
When asked which areas will be addressed in their retrofit activity, more
than 73 percent indicated they will
add equipment as a response to emission reduction requirements.
Other key retrofit activities being
planned by power producers include:
Replace existing equipment with
more efficient generating equip-
EPC FIRMS:
Are they Meeting
the Needs of Power
Generators?
1412PE_22 22
12/15/14 11:49 AM
SATISFACTION WITH
EPC FIRMS FALLS
In the 2012 article in Power Engineering, it was
noted that, given the anticipated surge in activity expected over the next five years in the power generation sector, it was somewhat disconcerting that that
so few power generators were Very Satisfied with
the EPC firms they used.
More disconcerting today is that power generator
satisfaction with the EPC firms they use has plunged
even further, dipping from 26 percent in 2012 to just
19.7 percent in our just completed survey.
Given this dip in satisfaction, it should come as no
surprise that one in five power generators indicate
they will hire a new EPC firm to replace a firm with
whom they are currently working. Additionally, 30
percent of power generators indicate they will engage new firms in an effort to better meet their expertise and customer satisfaction requirements.
Because there continues to be great demand for
EPC services, several EPC firms today are mistakenly rolling along under the misperception that everything is all right. After all, billings are growing, demand is high and many firms indicate they already
have trouble staffing up to complete the jobs already
awarded to them.
However, many of the firms who believe that all
is good simply because theyve got as much work as
they can handle will be in for an unpleasant surprise
when demand for services drops, or when a strong
competitor has some excess capacity.
FROM
ENGINEERING
ANALYSIS TO
ADVANCED NDE,
LOOK TO
STRUCTURAL
INTEGRITY
(877-4SI-POWER)
8 7 7 - 4 7 4 - 7 6 9 3
www.structint.com/power-eng
For info. http://powereng.hotims.com RS#11
1412PE_23 23
12/15/14 11:49 AM
Enercon Services
Zachary Holdings
Employs Superior
Internal Project
Management
Kiewit Corporation
Maintains Strong
Working Relationships
AMEC
Stanley Consultants
Delivers Quality
Products & Services
Evaluation Factor
Is an Exceptional
Company
Successfully employs
State of the Art
technology
Presents a Practical
Approach to Contracts
Provides Responsive
Service
Source:
Retrofts
How likely is your
company to initiate
work toward the
retrofit of an existing
plant in the next 1 to
3 years?
Source:
24
1412PE_24 24
2
Very Likely
50.9%
Somewhat Likely
18.9%
15.1%
Somewhat Unlikely
7.5%
Very Unlikely
7.5%
full of brilliant engineers who can calculate anything, except whether or not
were happy with the services they provide.
Perhaps the best measure of client satisfaction is Client Advocate Score (CAS).
In 2003, researchers everywhere
were stunned by an article in the Harvard Business Review titled The One
Number You Need to Grow by Frederick Reichheld, a director emeritus of
the consulting firm Bain & Co. What
Reichheld discovered in a study of
more than 4,000 consumers is that a
company can, very accurately, anticipate its success based on how customers answer the question: How likely is
it you would recommend (company X)
to a colleague?
If growth is what youre after, you
wont learn much from complex measurements of customer satisfaction
or retention, Reichheld writes. You
simply need to know what your customers tell their colleagues about you.
Based on the answers to this question,
a CAS is calculated. A companys CAS is
simply a net measure of whether or not
a companys clients are advocating usage
of the company to colleagues.
In this years survey, we asked power
executives how likely they would be to
recommend the EPC firms they currently use. The CAS for each of these
firms was then calculated. While the
average CAS for all professional-services industries we measure is, surprisingly, about 0, the average for insurers
in this survey is -1.5. In other words,
the typical EPC firm today will have a
greater proportion of clients cautioning against use of the firm than proportion recommending the firm.
There are, of course, EPC firms
whose clients are very happy.
The highest CAS in the survey was
57.1, for Foster & Wheeler. The lowest
CAS in the survey was -66.7.
A&E firms earning CAS scores of
15 or higher, in alphabetical order, are
ABB, AMEC, Babcock & Wilcox, Black
www.power-eng.com
12/15/14 11:49 AM
1412PE_25 25
New Construction
How likely is your
company to begin
work on development
of a new power plant
in next 5 years?
3
Very Likely
28.3%
Somewhat Likely
17.0%
24.5%
Somewhat Unlikely
5.7%
Very Unlikely
24.5%
Source:
Fuel of Choice
4
Gas - natural
79.2%
Petroleum
29.2%
Solar
25.0%
Wind
25.0%
Coal
20.8%
Hydroelectric
20.8%
Biofuel
12.5%
Gas - other
12.5%
Nuclear
12.5%
Wood
8.3%
Source:
Infuencers
5
Advice from peers
58.3%
40.0%
36.7%
36.7%
Industry Association
Meetings
33.3%
33.3%
Department of Energy
publications
21.7%
15.0%
Source:
12/15/14 11:49 AM
LOOKING AHEAD
A recent period of increasing demand
for EPC expertise has resulted in in a
sort of renaissance for firms active in the
26
1412PE_26 26
more carefully. Evidence that this is already happening is that the factor upon
which power generators rate EPC firms
the lowest is Offers Excellent Value.
This will play out the way it does in
most professional services markets, with
power generators increasingly looking at
responsive service and relationship
factors as being key in EPC firm evaluation and selection.
In short, the days are almost over
when all an EPC firm had to offer to be
successful was great technical expertise
and technology. Power generators today
also want excellent customer service and
strong relationships.
If you are an EPC firm interested in
learning more, contact Rick Flasphler
at rflaspohler@flaspohler.com.
www.power-eng.com
12/15/14 11:49 AM
THE WORLDS
LARGEST
POWER GENERATION EVENT
PRESENTED BY:
SUPPORTED BY:
12/15/14 11:49 AM
INDUSTRY REPORT
2013
Operating
Performance
Coal Comes Back Slightly in 2013
1412PE_28 28
12/15/14 11:45 AM
Owner/Operator
Plant
State
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Southern Co.
Southern Co.
FirstEnergy
Duke Energy Corp.
Ameren Corp.
Salt River Project
DTE Energy Co.
AEP
AEP
Luminant
NRG
MidAmerican Energy
AEP
TVA
Westar Energy
AES Corp.
PPL Corp.
NRG
PPL Corp.
FirstEnergy
Miller
Scherer
Bruce Mansfield
Gibson
Labadie
Navajo
Monroe
Rockport
Gen. J. M. Gavin
Martin Lake
W. A. Parish
Jim Bridger
John E. Amos
Cumberland
Jeffrey
J.M. Stuart
Ghent
Limestone
Colstrip
Harrison
AL
GA
PA
IN
MO
AZ
MI
IN
OH
TX
TX
WY
WV
TN
KS
OH
KY
TX
MT
WV
Top 20 Generating
EIA Reporting
Capacity
MW
Generation
GWh
2,675
3,423
2,510
3,157
2,447
2,250
3,135
2,600
2,598
2,455
2,499
2,111
2,900
2,522
2,179
2,308
1,932
1,689
2,094
1,984
20,446
20,259
17,489
17,331
17,295
17,132
16,183
15,808
15,677
15,253
15,222
14,817
14,312
13,569
13,372
13,314
13,154
12,872
12,738
12,707
Total
49,468
306,817
Total
308,950
1,548,977
Capacity
Factor
87.2%
67.6%
79.5%
62.7%
80.7%
86.9%
58.9%
69.4%
68.9%
70.9%
69.5%
80.1%
56.3%
61.4%
70.1%
65.9%
77.7%
87.0%
69.4%
73.1%
Fuel
Consumption
mmBtu
211,126,418
209,944,877
176,520,201
179,536,594
176,285,010
173,630,418
162,733,221
155,975,375
158,822,147
167,676,053
160,716,157
152,600,705
143,510,896
138,712,401
148,069,363
132,168,644
143,322,094
132,375,967
135,760,144
125,798,231
Heat Rate
mmBtu/
MWh
10.33
10.36
10.09
10.36
10.19
10.14
10.06
9.87
10.13
10.99
10.56
10.30
10.03
10.22
11.07
9.93
10.90
10.28
10.66
9.90
72.2%
57.6%
Total
3,185,284,916
16,130,063,115
Average
10.32
10.41
Average
2012
Rank
5
1
4
3
9
7
8
2
6
10
17
16
19
12
Source:
Owner/Operator
Plant
State
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Platte River
FirstEnergy Corp.
Black Hills Corp.
Black Hills Corp.
Yellowstone
MidAmerican Energy
Edison International
Minnesota Power
Big Rivers
Luminant
Suez
Great River Energy
Xcel Energy Inc.
Deseret Power Electric
Cooperative
Golden Valley Electric
Association
Southern Co.
AES
Colorado Springs
Utilities
NRG Energy Inc.
Salt River Project
Rawhide
Bay Shore
Wygen III
Neil Simpson II
Yellowstone
Naughton
Grant Town
Clay Boswell
D.B. Wilson
Sandow No. 5
Coleto Creek
Coal Creek
Tolk
Bonanza
CO
OH
WY
WY
MT
WY
WV
MN
KY
TX
TX
ND
TX
UT
Healy
15
16
17
18
19
20
280
136
100
80
55
687
80
965
417
570
592
1,138
1,067
458
2,352
1,140
836
655
449
5,534
641
7,724
3,325
4,536
4,694
8,837
8,279
3,509
95.9%
95.7%
95.4%
93.5%
93.1%
92.0%
91.5%
91.4%
91.0%
90.8%
90.4%
88.6%
88.6%
87.5%
Fuel
Consumption
mmBtu
23,446,241
14,580,328
9,321,775
8,388,548
4,969,447
59,140,736
8,554,444
81,853,994
35,183,097
48,768,416
46,107,188
93,361,183
83,170,653
36,157,080
AK
25
191
87.4%
2,589,081
13.53
Miller
AES Hawaii
Ray D. Nixon
AL
HI
CO
2,675
180
208
20,446
1,375
1,587
87.2%
87.2%
87.1%
211,126,418
13,883,001
16,811,020
10.33
10.10
10.60
Limestone
Navajo
TX
AZ
1,689
2,250
12,872
17,132
87.0%
86.9%
132,375,967
173,630,418
10.28
10.14
Total
13,652
306,817
Total
106,113
1,548,977
90.4%
57.6%
Total
1,103,419,036
16,130,063,115
Average
10.97
10.41
Capacity
MW
Generation
GWh
2
Capacity
Factor
Average
Heat Rate
mmBtu/
MWh
9.97
12.79
11.15
12.81
11.08
10.69
13.34
10.60
10.58
10.75
9.82
10.57
10.05
10.30
2012
Rank
6
3
8
19
2
15
Source:
www.power-eng.com
1412PE_29 29
29
12/15/14 11:45 AM
Owner/Operator
Plant
State
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
AEP
First Reserve Corp.
Great Plains Energy
LS Power Group
Duke Energy Corp.
Duke Energy Corp.
SCANA Corp.
Cleco Power LLC
Duke Energy Corp.
NRG Energy Inc.
WE Energies
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
LADWP
NRG Energy Inc.
Duke Energy Corp.
Xcel Energy Inc.
SCANA Corp.
CPS Energy
GenOn Energy
Associated Electric
Cooperative Inc.
Southern Co.
20
Capacity
MW
Generation
GWh
AR
WV
MO
TX
NC
NC
SC
LA
NC
PA
WI
609
700
881
939
2,270
1,381
415
628
2,078
1,700
1,268
3,846
4,457
6,042
3,366
12,536
6,220
2,446
4,042
8,360
12,455
3,351
Intermountain
Conemaugh
W.H. Zimmer
Valmont
Williams
J.K. Spruce
Avon Lake
New Madrid
UT
PA
OH
CO
SC
TX
OH
MO
1,800
1,700
1,300
184
610
1,340
710
1,199
12,387
11,760
9,362
994
3,344
7,536
2,892
8,194
Bowen
GA
Capacity
Factor
72.1%
72.7%
78.3%
40.9%
63.0%
51.4%
67.3%
73.5%
45.9%
83.6%
30.2%
Fuel
Consumption
mmBtu
34,069,108
40,623,185
55,152,398
30,806,238
114,913,240
57,064,445
22,481,012
37,893,807
79,052,567
117,876,401
32,085,709
Heat Rate
mmBtu/
MWh
8.858
9.115
9.128
9.151
9.167
9.174
9.192
9.376
9.456
9.464
9.576
78.6%
79.0%
82.2%
61.7%
62.6%
64.2%
46.5%
78.0%
119,400,452
113,575,163
91,014,788
9,669,147
32,517,385
73,363,174
28,221,235
80,128,109
9.639
9.658
9.722
9.724
9.725
9.735
9.757
9.779
3,232
12,037
42.5%
118,132,826
9.814
Total
135,627
Average
63.7%
Total
1,288,040,389
Average
Total
24,944
EIA Reporting
306,817
1,548,977
57.6%
16,130,063,115
2012
Rank
2
4
7
8
11
18
10
15
9
9.46
10.41
generation and CO2 levels wont continue, however, because some coal-fired
power plants will be retired in 2015
and 2016 as the Mercury and Air Toxics
Standards (MATS) take effect. The recently proposed Clean Power Plan also
will put more coal plants on the retirement list.
The Clean Power Plan will affect
coal-fired plants, said Tom Hewson,
principal at Arlington, Virginia,-based
Energy Ventures Analysis Inc. They
will be affected differently from state to
state.
The total amount of electricity generated by all reporting gas-fired combined-cycle power plants in 2013 is
nearly 100 GWh less than the total
amount reported by all generators in
2012a drop of some 11.4 percent. The
capacity of all reporting gas-fired combined-cycle power plants increased in
2013, however.
Energy Ventures Analysis, a market
analysis firm that specializes in energy
30
1412PE_30 30
top 20 list.
The few plants that are under construction are small enough that they
wont break into the top 20 generation
list, Hewson said. This list isnt likely
to change much in the next few years.
Unlike 2012 when the top 20 generating plants produced less electricity
than the year before, the top 20 in 2013
increased their production slightly and
generated 1,565 GWh more electricitya six-tenths of 1 percent increase.
Coal Capacity Factor: Table 2
Overall, the coal-fired capacity factors for 2013 were similar to 2012 because of continued natural gas displacement. The threshold to make the list
varied little86.9 percent in 2013 vs.
87.0 percent in 2012.
The plants with high capacity factors
generally fall into one of two categories,
Hewson said. They are either cogeneration units with steam contracts that require high utilization or they are Western coal units with highly competitive
www.power-eng.com
12/15/14 11:45 AM
Rank
Owner/Operator
Plant
State
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Ameren Corp.
Ameren Corp.
WE Energies
Southern Co.
Southern Co.
Dominion
Ameren Corp.
Lower Colorado
River Authority
Ameren Corp.
WE Energies
Public Service
Enterprise Group
Salt River Project
WE Energies
Westar Energy
Texas Municipal
Power Agency
Duke Energy Corp.
Iatan 2
Coffeen
South Oak Creek
Hammond
James H. Miller Jr
Virginia City
Iatan
Fayette
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
MO
IL
WI
GA
AL
VA
MO
TX
SO2
Mass tons
74
109
132
32
799
146
214
1,126
Heat Input
mmBtu
56,358,124
50,679,191
54,193,245
10,363,370
228,061,389
36,236,559
46,876,300
117,267,131
SO2 Rate
Lb./mmBtu
0.0026
0.0043
0.0049
0.0062
0.0070
0.0081
0.0091
0.0192
2012
Rank
Duck Creek
Elm Road
Hudson 2
IL
WI
NJ
231
378
133
23,561,777
35,102,373
12,012,446
0.0196
0.0215
0.0222
9
4
12
Coronado
Pleasant Prairie
Jeffrey
Gibbons Creek
AZ
WI
KS
TX
843
1,174
2,084
438
67,594,159
91,878,292
153,727,333
28,933,336
0.0249
0.0256
0.0271
0.0303
15
6
5
2
8
3
7
Cliffside
NC
859
56,371,256
0.0305
17
18
19
CPS Energy
Newmont Mining
Public Service
Enterprise Group
J. K. Spruce
TS Power Plant
Mercer
TX
NV
NJ
1,231
240
70
80,547,848
15,092,348
3,610,164
0.0306
0.0319
0.0389
11
14
20
Wygen II
WY
18
16
172
7,975,895
0.0430
Top 20
Total
10,487
Total
1,176,442,535
Average
0.02038
EIA Reporting
3,204,879
16,803,284,681
0.3815
Owner/Operator
Archer Daniels Midland
GenOn
Suez
Basin Electric
AEP
Black Hills Corp.
Rich Family Companies
Newmont Mining
Dominion
NRG Energy Inc.
Rich Family Companies
State
IL
MD
PA
WY
AR
WY
PA
NV
VA
TX
PA
12
13
14
15
16
Plant
Peoria
Morgantown
Northeastern
Dry Fork Station
John W. Turk, Jr.
Wygen III
St. Nicholas Cogen
TS Power Plant
Chesterfeld
W. A. Parish
John B. Rich Memorial
Power Station
Ameren
Iatan 2
Cargill
Corn Wet Milling
American Municipal Power Inc. Prairie State
Seminole
Seminole
Duke Energy Corp.
Cliffside
17
18
19
Cleco Corp.
WE Energies
JEA
20
AES Corp.
MO
TN
IL
FL
NC
1,448
2
2,388
2,064
1,607
56,358,124
88,039
87,695,475
74,403,181
56,371,256
0.0514
0.0522
0.0545
0.0555
0.0570
LA
WI
FL
1,248
1,016
1,009
43,537,445
35,102,373
34,551,625
0.0573
0.0579
0.0584
13
8
Deepwater
TX
0.0589
44
Total
Top 20
EIA Reporting
1,492,955
Total
2012 Rank
1
3
2
10
4
5
6
11
7
15
12
Average
19,399
770,418,174
0.04748
1,593,745
16,803,284,681
0.1897
1412PE_31 31
31
12/15/14 11:45 AM
Owner/Operator
Plant
Pinnacle West
Capital Group
TVA
Duke Energy Corp.
Luminant
Exelon Corp.
Exelon Corp.
Exelon Corp.
PSE&G
Duke Energy Corp.
Southern Co.
PPL Corp.
Palo Verde
AZ
Browns Ferry
Oconee
Comanche Peak
Braidwood
Byron
Limerick
Salem
Catawba
Vogtle
Susquehanna
AL
SC
TX
IL
IL
PA
NJ
SC
GA
PA
3,401
2,595
2,460
2,384
2,346
2,386
2,388
2,326
2,302
2,620
26,718
21,021
20,487
19,662
19,547
19,542
19,208
19,166
19,079
18,899
89.7%
92.5%
95.1%
94.1%
95.1%
93.5%
91.8%
94.1%
94.6%
82.3%
McGuire
Peach Bottom
LaSalle County
Sequoyah
Diablo Canyon
NC
PA
IL
TN
CA
2,312
2,326
2,313
2,333
2,240
18,898
18,835
18,760
18,526
18,012
93.3%
92.4%
92.6%
90.7%
91.8%
17
18
19
South Texas
Millstone
Donald C. Cook
TX
CT
MI
2,560
2,117
2,191
17,828
17,080
16,280
79.5%
92.1%
84.8%
20
Exelon Corp.
NY
1,785
15,846
101.3%
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Top 20 Generating
EIA Reporting
State
Capacity
Generation Capacity
MW
GWh
Factor
3,937
31,431
91.1%
Total
Total
Average
49,321
394,825
91.6%
102,374
789,117
88.0%
1412PE_32 32
12/15/14 11:45 AM
Graeter said.
The turnover on this list was low. Fourteen plants from
the 2012 list returned in 2013.
The extremely low emission rates indicate how difficult
it is to make it onto this list and remain on it, Hewson
said. Small control upsets are enough to throw a plant off
the list.
The average total emission rate of all reporting plants
dropped considerably from 2012 to 2013: 0.2270 lbs./
mmBtu vs. 0.1897 lbs/mmBtu.
Graeter said that total emissions of all reporting plants
will continue dropping as heavy emitters retire.
7 FINANCING
YRS
SPECIAL
RESTRICTIONS APPLY
NUCLEAR POWER
PLANT PERFORMANCE
Nuclear Generation: Table 6
The nuclear club is still as exclusive as ever, Hewson
said.
There isnt much new that can be said about plants on
this list. The units are heavily used because their fuel is
cheap and they are
at the top of the disIn the Clean
patch list.
Power Plan, the
The top four nuclear plants on the 2013
EPA is making the
generation list were
assumption that
the same four plants
all coal-fired plants in 2012 in the same
can improve their
order. Nineteen of the
plants on the 2013
heat rate by 6
top 20 generating list
percent,
appeared on the 2012
- Tom Hewson, Energy
list. The only plant
that did not return to
Ventures Analysis
the list in 2013 was
Quad Cities, which ranked No. 20 in 2012. It was replaced
by Nine Mile Point in 2013, also ranked at No. 20.
Hewson expects the list to remain much the same for the
next couple of years until new units come online.
Nos. 1 and 2 arent likely to change until the new Vogtle
units come online, Hewson said. Palo Verde and Browns
Ferry are large multi-unit plants.
In addition to Southern Co.s Vogtle units 3 and 4 in
Georgia, which are expected to come online in 2017 and
2018, three more nuclear units are under construction.
They are SCANA Corp.s and Santee Coopers V.C Summer
Units 2 and 3 in South Carolina, expected to come online
in 2017 and 2018, and TVAs Watts Bar Unit 2, expected to
come online in 2015. Once these units are brought online,
there will be some movement in the top 20 generation list.
The San Onofre Station in California and Kewaunee in Wisconsin retired in 2013, yet the total capacity of all reporting
units increased because some nuclear units were uprated.
B U D G E T F R I E N D LY FA B R I C S T RU C T U R E S
! !! !
!
!
! !
!! !!
!
!
!
!
!
!
fabric structures
1412PE_33 33
12/15/14 11:45 AM
Rank
Owner/Operator
Plant
1
2
3
Nebraska PPD
Exelon Corp.
Exelon Corp.
Cooper
Nine Mile Point
Dresden
NE
NY
IL
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
NextEra Energy
Exelon Corp.
NextEra Energy
Exelon Corp.
Entergy Corp.
FirstEnergy Corp.
TVA
SCANA Corp.
Seabrook
R.E. Ginna
Duane Arnold
Quad Cities
Indian Point 2
Davis-Besse
Watts Bar
V.C. Summer
NH
NY
IA
IL
NY
OH
TN
SC
1,247
582
622
1,819
1,031
908
1,179
992
10,927
4,993
5,321
15,554
8,785
7,680
9,968
8,370
100.1%
97.9%
97.6%
97.6%
97.2%
96.6%
96.5%
96.3%
12
13
14
15
16
Exelon Corp.
Luminant
WE Energies
Southern Co.
Exelon Corp.
Byron
Comanche Peak
Point Beach
Vogtle
Braidwood
IL
TX
WI
GA
IL
2,346
2,460
1,199
2,302
2,384
19,547
20,487
9,942
19,079
19,662
95.1%
95.1%
94.7%
94.6%
94.1%
17
18
19
Catawba
Calvert Cliffs
Limerick
SC
MD
PA
2,326
1,734
2,386
19,166
14,264
19,542
94.1%
93.9%
93.5%
20
Dominion
Surry
VA
1,750
14,321
93.4%
Uprates
are
usually
cheaper than new capacity,
Graeter said.
Nuclear Capacity Factor: Table 7
Most U.S. nuclear plants
run at extremely high capacity factors because of low fuel
and variable costs, Hewson
said.
The units on this list ran
flat out and were not down
for refueling, he said.
The threshold capacity factor for 2013 was higher than
in 2012: 93.4 percent vs. 92.3
percent. In addition, the capacity factor of all reporting
units rose from 86.3 percent
in 2012 to 88.0 percent in
2013.
Capacity
Generation Capacity
2012
MW
GWh
Factor
Rank
766
6,804
101.4%
1,785
15,846
101.3%
1,750
15,412
100.5%
7
17
20
11
Total
Total
Average
31,568
265,670
96.6%
102,374
789,117
GAS-FIRED
COMBINED-CYCLE
POWER PLANT
88.0%
Owner/Operator
Plant
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
NextEra Energy
Southern Co.
Duke Energy Corp.
NextEra Energy
Southern Co.
NextEra Energy
Duke Energy Corp.
NextEra Energy
Southern Co.
Southern Co.
Dominion
West County
Jack McDonough
Hines
Martin
Franklin
Sanford
Richmond
Forney
McIntosh
Barry
Fairless Energy
FL
GA
FL
FL
AL
FL
NC
TX
GA
AL
PA
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Southern Co.
TECO Energy
Duke Energy Corp.
NextEra Energy
Duke Energy Corp.
Exelon Corp.
North American
Energy Services
MidAmerican Energy
Duke Energy Corp.
MS
FL
FL
FL
OH
MA
CA
1,086
1,839
1,235
1,490
1,296
1,694
1,028
7,605
7,327
7,254
7,106
6,962
6,730
6,571
79.9%
45.5%
67.1%
54.4%
61.3%
45.4%
73.0%
53,746,443
54,431,154
53,377,345
54,566,490
55,593,462
49,909,999
47,080,756
7.067
7.429
7.358
7.679
7.985
7.416
7.165
Chuck Lenzie
H. F. Lee
NV
NC
1,170
1,049
6,554
6,548
64.0%
71.3%
47,146,080
45,860,854
7.193
7.004
19
20
Top 20 Generating
EIA Reporting
State
1
4
2
3
5
7
8
16
14
12
13
17
20
9
10
11
Total
Total
Average
Total
Average
33,718
183,057
63.5%
1,317,679,100
7.24
230,819
872,514
43.2%
6,418,167,373
7.36
34
1412PE_34 34
www.power-eng.com
12/15/14 11:45 AM
Rank
Owner/Operator
Plant
1
2
3
4
PA
CA
AL
CA
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
PPL Corp.
Tesoro Corp. / NRG Energy
Southern Co.
Sacramento Municipal
Utility District
Southern Co.
Entergy Corp.
International Paper Co.
Oklahoma Gas & Electric
Entergy Corp.
EIF Management
Santee Cooper
Barry
Louisiana 1
Riverdale Mill
McClain Energy
RS Cogeneration
Channelview Cogen
John S. Rainey
AL
LA
AL
OK
LA
TX
SC
1,064
389
40
459
447
874
530
7,818
2,846
290
3,309
3,215
6,281
3,801
83.9%
83.4%
82.8%
82.3%
82.2%
82.0%
81.9%
54,959,809
29,243,532
1,699,264
23,490,968
28,417,199
31,467,048
27,508,959
7.030
10.277
5.854
7.100
8.839
5.010
7.237
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
CA
NV
CA
MS
WA
TX
NY
NY
WA
549
105
52
1,086
248
677
358
496
154
3,914
742
362
7,605
1,730
4,660
2,440
3,372
1,042
81.4%
80.7%
80.3%
79.9%
79.6%
78.6%
77.8%
77.6%
77.2%
27,998,030
6,821,608
3,817,833
53,746,443
12,498,094
24,778,214
26,757,007
24,628,416
6,334,303
7.154
9.194
10.538
7.067
7.225
5.317
10.966
7.304
6.078
Total
Total
Average
Total
Average
9,091
65,669
82.4%
468,312,802
7.63
230,819
872,514
43.2%
6,418,167,373
7.36
PERFORMANCE
Combined-cycle Generation:
Table 8
For the first time since 2008, gas-fired
combined-cycle generation decreased in
2013. The total generation of all reporting plants in 2012 was 972,131 GWh vs.
872,514 GWh in 2013.
Natural gas combined-cycle generation decreased from 2012 to 2013 due to
higher natural gas prices throughout the
country, which allowed coal to displace
some of the units, Graeter said.
Like with coal and nuclear plants, to
make this top 20 generating list, units
must be large.
Size matters on this list, Hewson
said. The plants on this list are big and
they run hard.
Seventeen plants on the 2012 list returned in 2013. NextEras West County
plant in Florida kept the No. 1 spot, and
the four units that followed were also the
same with a slight variation in order.
Larger capacity multiple train units
have a distinct advantage, Graeter said.
For info. http://powereng.hotims.com RS#16
1412PE_35 35
12/15/14 11:45 AM
10
Rank
Owner/Operator
Plant
1
2
Harry Allen
Cosumnes
NV
CA
NV Energy
Sacramento Municipal
Utility District
NextEra Energy
FL
1,295
4,550
40.1%
31,060,897
6.827
4
5
6
7
8
9
Calpine
Duke Energy Corp.
Duke Energy Corp.
Southern Co.
CPS Energy
AEP
CA
NC
NC
GA
TX
OH
619
625
1,234
2,739
831
625
1,522
408
8,238
18,130
2,344
2,955
28.1%
7.4%
76.2%
75.6%
32.2%
54.0%
10,410,688
2,796,949
56,548,302
124,736,189
16,159,866
20,476,189
6.839
6.859
6.864
6.880
6.893
6.930
10
11
Tenaska Inc.
Sempra Energy
Cape Canaveral
Next Gen
Russell City
L. V. Sutton
Richmond
Jack McDonough
Rio Nogales
Dresden Energy
Facility
Covert
Palomar
MI
CA
1,233
570
1,909
3,774
17.7%
75.6%
13,234,075
26,321,481
6.932
6.975
12
20
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Southern Co.
Puget Sound Energy
WE Energies
Avista Corp.
Oglethorpe Power Corp.
Tenaska Inc.
Calpine
NextEra Energy
Portland General Electric
McIntosh
Goldendale
Port Washington
Coyote Springs II
Chattahoochee
Tenaska Frontier
Metcalf
West County
Port Westward
GA
WA
WI
OR
GA
TX
CA
FL
OR
1,302
282
1,150
305
508
926
597
4,019
392
7,920
1,434
3,351
1,796
2,798
4,615
3,132
21,363
2,384
69.4%
58.1%
33.3%
67.2%
62.9%
56.9%
59.9%
60.7%
69.4%
55,321,095
10,020,434
23,462,253
12,584,738
19,609,365
32,365,780
21,968,567
149,928,868
16,739,458
6.985
6.987
7.002
7.006
7.008
7.013
7.015
7.018
7.022
11
4
7
14
19
15
5
13
Total
Total
Average Total
Average
20,262
99,754
55.3%
692,245,543
230,819
872,514
43.2%
6,418,167,373
8
3
9
6.93
7.36
11
Plant
Occidental Petroleum
Elk Hills
State
CA
26,321,134
0.00322
GE
Inland Empire
CA
25
11,592,480
0.00430
OUC (Orlando)
Curtis H. Stanton
FL
25
11,280,066
0.00448
Atlantic Power
North Island
CA
2,919,865
0.00463
Linden
NJ
106
44,187,533
0.00482
Cosumnes
CA
70
27,289,339
0.00509
Walnut
CA
30
11,582,950
0.00524
Sempra Energy
Palomar
CA
70
26,519,792
0.00525
City of Redding
Redding
CA
1,243,775
0.00530
10
Mountainview
CA
107
39,478,078
0.00540
11
Lodi
CA
23
8,511,144
0.00541
10
12
Magnolia
CA
23
8,267,773
0.00560
15
13
Treasure Coast
FL
36
12,735,690
0.00560
14
Colusa
CA
52
18,163,251
0.00575
11
15
Calpine
Otay Mesa
CA
78
26,313,028
0.00596
14
16
Calpine
Pastoria
CA
105
35,354,434
0.00597
17
MS
26
8,663,044
0.00597
18
Sunrise
CA
28
9,209,373
0.00599
19
NV Power
Harry Allen
NV
70
23,336,565
0.00603
18
20
La Paloma
CA
142
46,858,702
0.00608
16
Total
Top 20
EPA Reporting
*
36
1412PE_36 36
Total
2012 Rank
Average
1,169
418,933,296
0.00553
67,720
6,984,115,965
0.0194
www.power-eng.com
12/15/14 11:45 AM
Gas-fired Combined-cycle
Capacity Factor: Table 9
The total generating capacity of all
reporting gas-fired combined-cycle
power plants increased from 210,592
MW in 2012 to 230,819 MW in 2013,
yet the utilization of all reporting
plants decreased because of higher gas
prices.
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12/15/14 11:45 AM
STEAM TURBINES
Steam Turbine
Rehabs Improve
Heat Rates
1412PE_38 38
dioxide (CO2) emissions 30 percent below 2005 levels by 2030. Although the
national average would be 30 percent below 2005 levels by 2030, the specific reduction target for each state varies. Under
the proposed rule, the benchmark year
would be 2012, which means any improvements completed during that year
or before will not be recognized.
A plants heat rate depends on its design, its operating conditions and its level
of output. For existing coal-fired power
plants, heat rates range from 9,000 to
11,000 Btu/kWh. A plant with the industry average heat rate of 10,300 Btu/
kwh will operate with an overall plant
www.power-eng.com
12/15/14 11:44 AM
A 500-MW class low pressure rotor with 40- steel Hitachi last
stage continuous cover blades. Photo courtesy: MD&A Hitachi
www.power-eng.com
1412PE_39 39
39
12/15/14 11:44 AM
Marylands
Newest Casino
Takes a Creative
Approach to
Power
longside
Baltimores
professional
sports
venues and the famed
Inner
Harbor,
the
citys south side has
welcomed Marylands second-largest
casino, the Horseshoe Baltimore. On
August 26, 2014, the $442 million
urban, two-story casino swung open
its doors with much fanfare to unveil a 122,000-square-foot gaming
floor, outdoor entertainment plaza
40
1412PE_40 40
CHP TECHNOLOGY
CHP systems are one of todays most
efficient, reliable and cost-effective
approaches to electricity and thermal
www.power-eng.com
12/15/14 11:44 AM
energy generation, providing smart solutions for businesses seeking to control heating, lighting and cooling costs.
CHP is the simultaneous production
of electricity and heat from the same
fuel source. For energy users with high
thermal loads, consistent electric and
thermal energy requirements and
around-the-clock operations, CHP
technology is a desirable solution. In
addition to cost-effectiveness, CHP
systems provide benefits that not only
serve the individual facility of service,
but also reach the communities in
which they operate by offering largescale energy efficiency improvements.
In the typical process of electricity generation, prime movers, such as
reciprocating engines, also generate
large quantities of waste heat. CHPs
capture this waste heat and put it to
use in industrial processes, space heating or absorption chillers, which can
more than double overall energy efficiency, reduce CO2 emissions by up
to 50 percent and decrease primary energy consumption over conventional
power plants by up to 40 percent. This
converts into huge savings for a companys bottom line.
MTU Onsite Energy offers CHP systems in four market clusters biogas,
landfill and wastewater treatment,
natural gas non-CHP and natural gas
CHP. Each has its unique attributes
and applications:
Biogas
Applications represented in this
cluster are those that use anaerobic digesters to produce methane rich biogas
from dairy, livestock and food waste.
The goal is to provide energy from
waste products. Because methane is
a far worse greenhouse gas than CO2,
the emphasis is to reduce the amount
that escapes to the atmosphere by using it in a CHP system. Electricity is
the main energy produced in this applicationeither for self-consumption
or to feed to the grid. Biogas quality is
www.power-eng.com
1412PE_41 41
critical to long unit life, as sulfur content in the fuel must be minimized.
Landfill and Wastewater Treatment
This specialty segment focuses on
converting waste to energy to produce
electricity for self-consumption or
TECHNOLOGY
TO
PROTECT
AND
PRESERVE
12/15/14 11:44 AM
Horseshoe Casino anticipates a savings of approximately $644,000 during production, thanks to the
installation of a new combined head and power (CHP)
system. CHP systems are one of todays most efficient,
reliable and cost-effective approaches to power generation. Photo courtesy: Curtis Engine
used to produce the gas may continually change. Gas composition must be
monitored continuously for methane
and siloxane content to provide quality gas for the module.
Natural Gas Non-CHP
Typical applications include peaking
plants, independent power producers,
industrial facilities and any other requirement for electric power generation.
Through onsite generation, the focus is to produce electricity more costeffectively than purchasing it from the
utility, enabling independence from
the grid.
Electrical efficiency and total lifecycle costs of the CHP system are critical
for the economics of onsite generation.
The mode of operation can be either
42
1412PE_42 42
PREPARING FOR A
POWERFUL START
Noise, vibration, location, mounting and temperatures are just a few of
12/15/14 11:44 AM
CHP BENEFITS
CHP systems deliver considerable economic and environmental benefits compared to using conventional utilities to purchase electricity and onsite-generated heat.
Performance and Reliability
According to the Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA), power disruptions can cost casinos more than $1
million a day in lost revenue. Safeguarding against power
reliability concerns is imperative for the high demands of
a casino offering continuous power 24 hours a day, 365
days a year.
CHP systems can also be integrated seamlessly into existing heating and electrical systems, providing a steady
supply of hot or chilled water as well as high quality, continuous power that can stabilize voltage and current sags,
spikes, transients and phase voltage imbalances while allowing a facility to remain operational in the event of a
utility outage.
Energy and Cost Savings
By utilizing heat that would otherwise be wasted from
the production of electricity, CHP systems require less fuel
than separate heat and power systems and can guarantee a
reduction in operating costs, while helping control rising
energy costs. Over the long term, CHP can significantly
reduce energy expenditures that can be applied to the bottom line.
The cost savings CHP systems provide are not just associated with the actual unit. As the benefits of CHP are
realized in the United States, states are increasingly providing incentives to support the use of this technology.
Horseshoe Casino took advantage of Marylands Baltimore
Gas and Electric (BGE) Smart Energy Savers Program. This
program offered the Casino three stages of incentives:
1) Design: $75 per kW
2) Installation: $175 per kW
3) Production: $0.07 per kWh for 18 months
Horseshoe Casino anticipates a savings of approximately $644,000 during the production phase.
CHP IN THE
www.power-eng.com
1412PE_43 43
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12/15/14 11:44 AM
UNITED STATES
In recent years, discussions on CHP
technology have increased steadily, particularly in the United States. However,
this technology is not new or untested. It
has been in use for more than 130 years
and its adoption is on a steady incline.
In 1882, Thomas Edisons first electric
generating plant the Pearl Street Station in New York City used waste
heat from the plants steam engines to
provide heating for nearby buildings. By
supplying both heat and power, Edison
was able to achieve an overall efficiency
of 50 percent.
According to the EPAs Climate Change
Indicators in the United States 2014 report,
At least 16 resort hotels and casinos
with more than 500 rooms in the United
States currently have CHP systems, and
an increasing number of hotels and casinos are choosing CHP systems to meet
their energy needs. The report further
notes that, More than 70 are likely to
meet simple payback on their investment within five years or less.
Rising interest in this energy solution
is partially fueled by an Executive Order
signed by President Obama in 2012 that
called for a national goal of deploying 40 gigawatts of new, cost-effective
industrial CHP in the United States by
the end of 2020. This order has played
a role in the increased adoption of environmentally friendly and cost-cutting
CHP systems by both the private and
public sectors, many through statebased incentive programs like the one
in Maryland. Additionally, an increasing
number of states are now treating CHP
solutions comparably to more widely
known renewable energy technologies.
1412PE_44 44
12/15/14 11:44 AM
Navigating the
Promises and Pitfalls
of Environmental
Regulations
www.power-eng.com
1412PE_45 45
45
12/15/14 11:42 AM
1412PE_46 46
costs associated with the many pend- application of the best system of emising environmental regulations will sion reduction.
Jacob Hollinger, a former EPA lawneed to be spread across a utilitys
load base. The danger is, these same yer currently with the international
regulations might also cause that load law firm McDermott Will & Emery,
base to begin to shrink. Distributed commented, The CPP is the biggest
game in town. Pubgeneration,
imlic comments conprovements in en- The CPP is the
cerning the rule are
ergy efficiency, and
biggest game in
due in December,
stagnation of load
town.
The
Obama
and the Obama
growth will erode
administration is
electricity sales and administration is on
on schedule to fidrive up per-capita
schedule to finalize
nalize the rule by
electricity
costs.
the
rule
by
June
June 2015. We can
As this per-capita
litigation
cost of electric- 2015. We can expect expect
following that date,
ity increases, more
litigation following
but this wont stop
customers will find
that
date,
but
this
the rule from takit advantageous to
ing effect.
further invest in wont stop the rule
According
to
energy efficiency,
from taking effect.
Hollinger,
the
or decouple from
EPAs position althe grid to self- Jacob Hollinger,
lows states to degenerate. This will McDermott Will & Emery
velop their own
leave still fewer rate
payers on the grid to cover mounting standards, and this is a good thing. It
costs, and could potentially create a encourages states to develop control
spiraling effect on rates, which could mechanisms that are out of the box,
further alienate customers and drive and it leaves room for considerable
them down alternative energy paths, flexibility in the execution of the rule,
which would further increase per-cap- he said. If states fail to develop a plan,
ita rates, and so on. These pressures the EPA will impose a Federal Implewill present significant challenges to mentation Plan, or FIP. Hollinger said
the power industry. The stagnant load that burdens under a FIP would fall
growth could also make it more diffi- very differently than they would under
a state-developed plan. This is because
cult to justify new power capacity.
a FIP would place all regulatory presClean Power Plan111(d)
Section 111(D) of the CAA, often sures on generating plants, perhaps rereferred to as the Clean Power Plan quiring them to procure a percentage
(CPP), regulates emissions of existing of their generated power from renewpower plants. The CPP does not pre- able sources, a process that would efscribe emissions reduction measures fectively amount to fuel switching. On
to states, as such. Rather, the rule man- the other hand, a state-implemented
dates that states should develop their plan would be allowed to give considown standards of performance for erable latitude to power generators by
existing power plants, and put into spreading the burden of the rule across
place plans to achieve those stan- not only generation, but also distribudards. The rule defines standards of tion and other areas.
Cross-State Air Pollution
performance as the degree of emisFinalized in July 2011, the Cross
sion limitation achievable through the
www.power-eng.com
12/15/14 11:42 AM
1412PE_47 47
CLEAN WATER
REGULATIONS
In recent years, the EPA has placed
greater importance on water quality
regulations, passing rules intended to
mitigate concerns about multiple water
pollutants produced by power plants.
12/15/14 11:42 AM
cooling purposes. Going into effect in decree that requires the agency to issue
October 2014, the rule requires quali- a revision to its current rules no later
fying facilities to choose one of seven than December 2014.
options to reduce enCoal ash is curMost
in
the
power
trapment of aquatic
rently
considered
life. It also mandates industry will agree
exempt waste under
that facilities that use
the Resource Conthat the road
more than 125 milservation and Recovto
this
cleaner
lion gallons of waery Act (RCRA), but
ter per day conduct environment
some parties have
studies to determine
voiced
concerns
makes the day to
which
site-specific
that coal ash pollucontrols are required day operations of
tion contained in
to reduce the num- power plants more
impoundments and
ber of aquatic life
landfills could leach
complex.
entrained by cooling
into groundwater.
systems.
Additionally, the structural failure
Coal Combustion Residuals
of an impoundment at the Tennessee
A proposed rule to regulate the dis- Valley Authoritys Kingston plant in
posal of coal combustion residuals, of- Harriman, Tennessee, which resulted
ten called coal ash, is currently being in 1 billion gallons of coal ash slurry
considered for implementation by the escaping a 40-acre containment pond,
EPA. In January 2014, the EPA and en- damaging 40 homes, and polluting
vironmental groups reached a consent two rivers, has placed further pressure
48
1412PE_48 48
12/15/14 11:43 AM
PRODUCTS
Cable Systems
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motion jobs.
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clearance
Automation
Sensors
multiple circuits to be
installed on a single
Software
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www.power-eng.com
1412PE_49 49
49
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Demolition/Decommissioning
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1412PE_50 50
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1412PE_51 51
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51
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1412PE_52 52
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ELIMINATE
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x
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Responsible for supervising a
rotating shift of bargaining unit
employees in the operation and
maintenance of steam and
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is one of America's largest
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located in Clewiston, Florida.
For applicants and inquiries, please contact:
Jdooley@ussugar.com
www.ussugar.com
UNITED STATES
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CLASSIFIEDS |
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For info. http://powereng.hotims.com RS# 452
1412PE_53 53
12/15/14 11:40 AM
| CLASSIFIEDS
WE ARE
BUYING!!!
Ferncroft
Management,LLC
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email:vavlebuyer@ferncroftmanagement.com
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We are also experts at solving ancillary
problems with flame scanners, igniters
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George H. Bodman
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1412PE_54 54
e-mail: sales@johnrrobinsoninc.com
www.johnrrobinsoninc.com
12/15/14 11:40 AM
Protect-Fast
Braided Sleeving
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and objectives.
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Call: 1-800-738-0134
# 464
1412PE_55 55
12/15/14 11:40 AM
INDEX
RS# COMPANY
Areva, Inc.
PG#
19
RS# COMPANY
us.areva.com
14 Clearspan Fabric
Structures
33
www.apollovalves.com
43
C2
33
www.spx.com
11 Structural Integrity
Associates
23
www.structint.com/power-eng
35
www.detroitstoker.com
16 Flexim Americas
Corporation
13 SPX
www.cormetech.com
17
www.solvair.us
18 Cormetech, Inc.
SALES OFFICE
www.sicknorthamerica.com
www.ClearSpan.com/ADPWRE
PG#
41
sspc.org
37
4
Tianjin Valvo Co
www.flexim.com
19 Hilliard Corporation
C3
Hilliardcorp.com
Orion Instruments
15
www.victoryenergy.com
11
2
www.jasc-controls.com
Victory Energy
Operations, LLC
WESTINGHOUSE
ELECTRIC CO
orioninstruments.com
10 POWER-GEN 200
21
www.power-eng.com/
power-gen200
12 Power-Gen
International 2015
27
power-gen.com
56
1412PE_56 56
C4
www.power-eng.com
12/15/14 11:40 AM
1412PE_C3 3
12/15/14 11:36 AM
EPC
Overhauls
High Voltage
Component Repairs
Fabrication Services
Technical Services
Field Services
Stafng
Controls
1412PE_C4 4
12/15/14 11:36 AM
WINTER 2014
A Perfect Storm:
Energy Retails
Winter of Discontent
Certification Do You
Get What You Pay For?
TRAINING INSIGHTS:
1411PEJEW_C1 1
11/5/14 5:03 PM
1411PEJEW_C2 2
11/5/14 5:03 PM
WINTER 2014
A P E N N W E L L P U B L I C AT I O N
EDITORS LETTER
TRAINING INSIGHTS
13
INDUSTRY INSIGHTS
19 Evidence-Based Management:
a Practical Management Approach
By Eric Scheller
23
ORGANIZATIONAL INSIGHTS
www.PennEnergyJOBS.com
Adver tisers
Index
Chevron C2
PennEnergy Jobs 10
PennEnergy Jobs 12
PennEnergy Research Services 14
PennWell Corporation
1421 South Sheridan Road
Tulsa, Oklahoma 74112
918 835 3161
PennWell.com
PennEnergy Jobs C4
1411PEJEW_REV_1 1
11/24/14 5:26 PM
Editor s
Letter
Hilton Price
1411PEJEW_2 2
11/5/14 5:02 PM
Cover STORY
N January
31st, Maryland-based
Clean Currents shut its doors
for good.
The renewable energy supplier sent
a minor shockwave through the industry by abruptly announcing it could no
longer serve its 8,000 residential and
business customers. Speaking to journalists about the closure, the company
president said the financials were fine.
None of us suspected that we would be
out of business in a week.
Clean Currents was a casualty of
wholesale price volatility during the Polar Vortex cold snap, which sent temperatures plummeting overnight in early January and massively disrupted life on the
East Coast and Mid-Western states.
Essential infrastructure simply seized
up: flights were cancelled, trains stalled,
schools were closed and white-outs were
common on icy, snow covered highways.
For energy retailers, it was the ultimate
black swan. Already dealing with colder-than-normal fall and winter temperatures, they quickly found themselves in
MICHAEL HINTON is Chief Customer
Officer and Senior Vice President, Products
and Solutions for Allegro Development
Corporation.
a vice-grip of spiking demand, diminished supply and a rapidly degrading operational capability.
PJM Interconnection, the largest US
grid operator, hit a record winter peak use
of 141,500 megawatts just as 20 percent
of its generators went offline due to the
freezing temperatures.
Coal-fired power plants accounted
for roughly half the outages, while diesel generators made up the other half.
There were instances of coal stacks being frozen solid and many diesel generators just wouldnt work in extreme cold.
Pipeline constraints also caused generation problems by driving up natural gas prices east of the Rockies. As the
most popular American heating fuel, utilities relying on gas for generation had to
compete with standard natural gas needs
when the vortex landed.
The wholesale energy market responded accordingly:
PJMs average on-peak power price
jumped from $50 to $278
Henry Hub spot prices spiked from
$3.95 to $8.15 MMBtu
Propane jumped from $2.08 to $4.20 gal.
North Sea Brent Crude spot price averaged $110 bbl for 8 consecutive months
Source: EIA
On the surface, surging demand for electricity should have meant increased revenues and profits for all. But peak power
isnt always preferred. For electricity retailers with customers on fixed-rate contracts, demand and price volatility bring
risks that can obliterate margins.
Overextended electricity systems
can spell disaster. At the depths of
deep freeze, our customer South Carolina utility SCE&G was forced to implement rolling 15-minute blackouts
to manage demand. Many others were
openly calling on customers to turn
down thermostats or even leave the curtains on South-facing windows open so
sunlight could heat their homes. Most
grid operators in the affected states
were compelled to draw on expensive
demand response resources from other
suppliers, putting further upward pressure on wholesale pricing.
Inadequate hedging against such extreme variability in wholesale pricing left
many retailers financially exposed and
scrambling to pay their bills. When it announced its closure, Clean Currents said
spot market prices during the Polar Vortex went up not by 20 or even 50 percent
some jumped by 500 percent. When
1411PEJEW_3 3
11/5/14 5:02 PM
Winters of Discontent
Is chaos the new normal? Extreme weather events can
are unanticipated and impossible to plan for
and recent history shows they are
2014
JAN 2014
2010
on the rise.
2011
A second
continent-wide
heatwave
strikes most of
North America
JANUARY 20 04
20 0 0
SPRING 2014
20 09
1990
FEB 10
20 06
A continent-wide heatwave
strikes most of North America
WINTER 1996
JANUARY
JAN 31
Heatwave affects
most of Eastern
North America
SUMMER 1995
20 0 0
Heatwave in the
Southern US
AUGUST 1998
JUNE 1998
JUNE 1998
JAN 06
Hedged Against
the Storm
Extreme weather events are now a fact
of life. How can energy retailers predict
future demand and react quickly when
unforeseen events do happen?
Black Swans
& Blackouts
Unprecedented
Heatwaves
By Mid-century
Heating oil
inventories in
the Northeast
drop by 6.9
million barrels
North Sea
Brent Crude
spot price
averages
$110 bbl for
8 consecutive
months
Henry Hub
spot prices
spike from
$3.95 to $8.15
MMBtu
October - February
Understand history repeats itself and a
long-term view is needed to react in
real-time
SOURCES: BP Energy Outlook 2030, January 2013. The Outlook for Energy, A View to 2040, 2013.
1411PEJEW_4 4
11/5/14 5:02 PM
PJM issued its collateral call the company simply couldnt afford to pay.
And Clean Currents wasnt the only
casualty. Virginia-based Dominion Resources abruptly exited the retail electricity market in January, while Illinois retailer FirstEnergySolutions announced
a coming June surcharge of $5 to $15 for
220,000 of its customers, to pay for spikes
in wholesale power costs during the deep
freeze. Its worth noting that New Jerseys
Systrum Energy lost 5,000 customers in
February when it tried a similar move and
passed on higher energy costs to its nonfixed-rate customers.
In the retail energy sector, unexpected weather and a dynamic book of customers means that the science behind insuring supply can meet demand has to be
nimble, sophisticated and reliable. While
grid operators and large utilities tend to
have robust energy trading and risk management (ETRM) tools in place to mitigate the impact of adverse weather, the
winter of 2014 caught many on the retail
side. With disruptive weather events becoming more frequent and intense, retail
providers need to take immediate steps to
prepare for the next one, and soon.
Extreme & unprecedented.
Welcome to the new normal
Extreme weather didnt start with the Polar Vortex. The eastern seaboard has endured a series of harsh winters and extreme
snowstorms from 2009-2011, including the
February 2010 snowmageddon in Washington that shut down the federal government for the better part of a week.
At the other end of the thermometer, storms mixed with high temperature
With a solid analytics component, historical data can then be turned quickly
into load forecasts for expected monthly, long-term, short-term, hourly and even
sub-hourly demand.
Once your ETRM system in place,
measuring usage against past weather parameters like daily minimum and maximum temperatures becomes much easier.
Forecasted demand, actual demand and
hourly weather can be displayed or charted in a single view.
These can then be applied to individual trades. By allowing multiple meters to
be assigned to a single retail power contract point, and including counterparty
information associated with each meter,
multiple meter-level demand forecasts can
be aggregated to form the contract-level
demand forecast for a trade.
Finally, you can run various scenarios
to stress demand versus supply and determine if you are within acceptable risk tolerances if not layer in hedges to offset unwanted risk.
Energy retailers will continue to face
events that force them to change their
hedging strategy. In a market where price
hikes can bankrupt you or send customers
fleeing for their incumbent utilities; and
in a regulatory environment where shaky
financial health could mean having your
operating licence pulled by a state monitoring agency, improving the trading and
risk management capability for energy retailers has become mission critical.
The retail sector needs to prepare
for more once in a generation extreme
weather conditions. The winter of 2014
provides a cautionary tale for all of us, despite the lights somehow staying on.
1411PEJEW_5 5
11/5/14 5:02 PM
N looking
1411PEJEW_6 6
11/5/14 5:02 PM
the change in the seasons by the fluctuation in NCRs. Welding processes are
sensitive to the environment in which
they are performed in. You can have a
perfect welding procedure, but changes
in humidity will have an adverse effect
on your weld.
One day I was talking to the lead
welding inspector and asked what did
he think was the cause of our problems.
He said that there are some welding
1411PEJEW_7 7
11/5/14 5:03 PM
1411PEJEW_8 8
11/5/14 5:03 PM
TRAINING
Insights
oil and gas industry is facing a bigger workforce challenge than ever before. The
recent boom has resulted in a widespread labor shortage, the baby boomer generation is near retirement, and
studies have found that the oil and
gas industry is struggling with effective leadership with just one in 20
professionals fitting the profile of an
effective leader today.
The so-called Big Shift Change,
when baby boomers will retire in
droves and leave 500,000 openings
in the oil and gas industry over the
next five years, presents a major risk
for companies as they lose decades of
institutional and industry knowledge.
Compounding the issue further is
the reduced number of students applying for and completing STEM university courses, the complex nature of the
industry, rapid changes in technology and unique safety concerns, which
means that were at a critical point in
time for companies to have robust talent programs to identify and train
high-potential (HiPo) employees.
HE
HiPos are identified by their leadership characteristics, and they are twice
as valuable as their non-HiPo peers
because they save their companies
millions through efficiency, leadership
and longer tenures.
Major U.S. corporations spend
an average of $3 million every year
on leadership and development programs for HiPo employees, often struggle with keeping them with the company -- more than half of will leave
within five years. Our research shows
companies can reduce flight risk and
improve the success of their HiPo pro-
JEAN MARTIN is an executive director and Eugene Burke is the chief scientist and
analytics officer at CEB, the leading member-based research and advisory firm.
1411PEJEW_9 9
11/5/14 5:03 PM
way up through the ranks from technical roles. While identifying employees with a record of high performance
is an important step in identifying them
as HiPos, it isnt enough by itself. CEB
research shows that assuming high performance equals high potential puts
the odds at six-to-one that the employee will fail in a development program.
Define potential clearly. While
attributes may vary slightly based on
company culture and practices, there
are three important aspects all companies should look for when defining
potential: employees need to have the
aspiration to rise to a more senior role,
the ability to manage and lead effectively, and commitment to the organization.
Measure potential objectively. Only
one-in-three organizations use assess-
Books, Books
So Many Books
PennEnergy.com is your best source
for the largest and most comprehensive
compilation of books related to the
energy industry.
Oil & Gas
Power Systems
Renewable Energy
Business Management
Mechanical & Chemical Engineering
www.PennEnergy.com
10
1411PEJEW_10 10
11/5/14 5:03 PM
TRAINING
Insights
1411PEJEW_11 11
11
11/5/14 5:03 PM
Got jobs?
Weve got people.
PennEnergy JOBS is the key to attracting the energy industry professionals you need to hire
to meet your business goals. Our process puts your recruitment message in front of the
industrys best talent whether its online, in print, or at an event. This approach offers you the
fexibility to create custom recruitment advertising campaigns best suited to meet your budget
and objectives.
| Learn More |
Visit: www.PennEnergyJOBS.com
Call: 1-800-738-0134
12
1411PEJEW_12 12
11/5/14 5:03 PM
INDUSTRY
Insights
BUDDY PHILLIPS is a line specialist for Georgia Power, in the Maintenance & Reliability
Department, has been with the company for 42 years, and is responsible for line maintenance
including: inspection of new line construction, steel structure repairs, evaluation of hardware
failures, helicopter inspections. He is also responsible for Transmission lines in Georgia and
live line training.
Linemen use this device by inserting the stainless steel bushing into the
attachment hole in the arm. Because
the attachment is made of a corrosion-resistant stainless steel, the workers no longer need to replace the entire
arm. As a result, it improves reliability and extends hardware life and has
also saved a significant amount of money in transmission and distribution
line repairs, and because of its success,
Georgia Power plans on installing the
1411PEJEW_13 13
13
11/5/14 5:03 PM
Companies Mentioned:
Diversified Products
www.diversifiedproducts.com
Georgia Power
www.georgiapower.com
The most trusted and utilized provider of GIS data to the pipeline industry for M&A and asset valuation analysis
analysis.
MAPSearch provides detailed pipeline and pipeline facility information for use in Merger and Acquisition Analysis such as:
14
1411PEJEW_14 14
11/5/14 5:03 PM
INDUSTRY
Insights
1. Shell
Based in Norway, Statoil is a major energy producer with 40 years of oil and gas
production experience on Norwegian
waters. Statoilsaid it had more than $26
billion in adjusted earnings and $25 billion in net operating income for 2013.
The company previously announced it
added 1.25 billion barrels of oil equivalent from exploration, recently achieving its highest organic reserve replace-
1411PEJEW_15 15
15
11/5/14 5:03 PM
16
Shell
http://reports.shell.com/annualreport/2013/servicepages/downloads/files/
entire_shell_ar13.pdf
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/05/08/
shell-gom-stones-idUSL2N0DP1I420130508
http://www.shell.com/global/aboutshell/
major-projects-2/mars-b.html
Statoil
http://www.statoil.com/en/investorcentre/annualreport/annualreport2013/pages/
default.aspx?redirectShortUrl=http%3a%2f%
2fwww.statoil.com%2f2013
http://www.statoil.com/en/NewsAndMedia/
News/2014/Pages/IORJune2014.aspx
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/07/03/
statoil-oil-idUSWEB00P7E20140703
http://www.statoil.com/en/InvestorCentre/
AnnualReport/AnnualReport2013/Pages/
CEOletter2013.aspx
http://www.statoil.com/en/InvestorCentre/
QuarterlyResults/2013/Downloads/Financial%20statements%20and%20review%20
4Q%202013.pdf
Chevron
http://www.chevron.com/annualreport/2013/
documents/pdf/Chevron2013AnnualReport.pdf
ExxonMobil
http://news.exxonmobil.com/press-release/
exxon-mobil-corporation-announces-estimated-fourth-quarter-2013-results
http://news.exxonmobil.com/press-release/
exxonmobil-oil-production-increase-timestartup-clov-project
http://www.offshoreenergytoday.com/exxonmobil-10-new-projects-to-come-in-production-in-2014/
ConocoPhillips
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/08/28/
us-usa-oil-offshore-idUSBRE97R0ZT20130828
http://www.conocophillips.com/
investor-relations/Company%20
Reports/2013_Annual_Report_CR.pdf
http://www.businesswire.com/news/
home/20131218005644/en/ConocoPhillipsAnnounces-Fourth-Oil-Discovery-Deepwater-Gulf#.U8mOooBdXXE
http://www.conocophillips.com/what-we-do/
producing-energy/oil-and-gas/offshore/Pages/going-deep-in-the-gulf-of-mexico.aspx
1411PEJEW_16 16
11/5/14 5:03 PM
INDUSTRY
Insights
A Career in Downstream
What do People in
Downstream Businesses do?
By Cheryl McKinney, EOR Strategy and Commercial Business Leader, BP
downstream oil and gas industry is leading the way in providing exciting career opportunities for talented engineers around the
globe. Our industry is critical to the oil
and gas value chain. We refine, manufacture and market fuels, lubricants
and petrochemicals for both industrial
and retail consumers. This is our fundamental purpose.
HE
1411PEJEW_17 17
17
11/5/14 5:03 PM
I often hear from our downstream engineers that they enjoy working in the
office environment, while still appreciating the opportunity to work with the
operational teams in the facilities. The
teams are made up of highly skilled
engineers and technicians, responsible for designing and developing plant
in a complex environment. Being located at a refinery or petrochemicals plant
allows employees to identify issues,
implement changes and examine ideas
and outcomes in a real world environment. These teams take things from the
hypothetical to reality and get to see the
tangible outcomes of their efforts.
While some roles may offer the
potential for significant international travel, the majority of roles are loca-
18
tion specific, with facilities often located near major consumption areas close
to major cities, which in turn provides a
stable work/ life balance.
What can recruits expect?
Downstream facilities are complex manufacturing sites with numerous functions all operating in unison. Therefore
roles in downstream are often suited to
inquisitive candidates, who tend to push
the boundaries in their thinking and
approach. Collaborative team players
suit this environment and can expect to
find an inclusive culture that encourages innovative thinking.
Downstream engineers are responsible for delivering often large-scale engineering projects and ensuring the safe
operation of the companys plants. BP,
in turn, provides compelling packages
and extensive learning opportunities in
the classroom and on the job. Through
1411PEJEW_18 18
11/5/14 5:03 PM
INDUSTRY
Insights
Evidence-Based Management:
a Practical Management
Approach for the Energy Industry
By Eric Scheller, Director at Sapient Global Markets
ERIC SCHELLER is subject matter expert within Sapient Global Markets Midstream
practice. He has over 25 years of experience in oil, gas, NGLs and chemicals. His practice
areas include business and asset operations strategy, development and business in distress
and corporate restructurings as well as commodity marketing and trading. He has served in
a variety of business development, consulting, commercial, operations and technical roles for
several major companies.
1411PEJEW_19 19
19
11/5/14 5:03 PM
connected assets to handle the technological advances and growing production volumes. This growth has spurred
business management complexity as
well as the amount of data to be analyzed to assess performance, which ultimately reduced available time to examine and seize opportunities. Throughout
this growth, companies recognized the
need to collect, validate, compartmentalize and digitize data into electronic data
Business
Operating assets
Supply chain
Control
Operate
Extend
Optimize
Ongoing operations
Turnarounds
Customers
Assets
Capacity
Portfolio
Control - Activities tied to the control aspect for the base drivers of the business.
Goal : All the processes necessary to operate the business assets are in place and
are valid to invoice and report against
Operate - Activities related to the physical operation of assets under management.
Goal : Achieve business development and growth goals to achieve a competitive advantage
FIGURE 1: Parsing the Business into its Core Functional Activities Focuses Attention
on Key Business Elements.
20
1411PEJEW_20 20
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1411PEJEW_21 21
21
11/5/14 5:03 PM
22
tool that:
Provides immediate and clear feedback
Ties performance to goals and objectives
Aligns operational activity with strategic activity
Summarizes the right set of metrics
decision makers can control
Allows for problem identification within the business
Shows how decisions affect business
success
Compels decision making based on
analytics, not instinct
One of the most effective tools to
achieve these results is the visualized
scorecard. Central to the success of
scorecard use is its design rationale and
an actionable purpose that furthers the
insights into the business. A user-centered
design for the scorecard will maximize
the value of the user experience (UX).1 A
well-designed scorecard with an appealing user experience will enhance the
Requirement, Market
And Customer Insight In
Business Expansion
Requirement: Capacity
management tracking and
reporting
Actionable Output:
Asset efficiency
Fuel management
Supply management
EBITOA performance
KPI tracking
Asset risk factors
FIGURES 5: Overarching Decision Management Portal
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ORGANIZATIONAL
Insights
SEMS Implementation
corporating High Reliability Management (HRM) processes into operations.6 There is a growing body of work
on HRM and those organizations that
embody these principles into operations. Those sectors where the cost of
failure can be very high, i.e., nuclear,
aviation and medicine are candidates
for HRM.
These traits include sensitivity to
operations by organizational leadership,
reluctance to accept simplistic explanation of issues, preoccupation with the
possibility of failures, deference to those
with expertise and knowledge regarding
an issue and organizational resilience.7
1411PEJEW_23 23
23
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In May 2013, BSEE issued its Final Safety Culture Policy Statement that contained nine characteristics of a robust
safety culture.
Processes
Preoccupation
with failure
Mindful infrastucture for high reliability
Reluctance to
simplify
interpretations
Mindfulness
Sensitivity to
operations
Capability to
discover and manage
unexpected
events
reliability
Commitment
to resilience
Underspecifcation
of structures
24
1411PEJEW_24 24
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tory verbiage.
Just like today, no one thinks it is
appropriate to drive home at the end of
the day while drinking a beer, behavioral modification driven by SEMS will
truly be part of how we do business.
Endnotes
1
http://www.bsee.gov/Regulations-andGuidance/Safety-and-Environmental-Management-Systems-SEMS/
Fact-Sheet/
http://www.gpo.gov/fds ys/pkg/FR-201304-05/pdf/2013-07738.pdf
Ibid.
http://ogjresearch.stores.yahoo.net/thestate-of-sems.html
http://www.chevron.com/
about/operationalexcellence/
managementsystem/
http://www.beckershospitalreview.com/hospital-management-administration/5-traitsof-high-reliability-organizations-how-tohardwire-each-in-your-organization.html
http://www.aml-safety.com.au/AMLstores/_images/pdf-files/Weick1987.pdf
Ibid.
10
http://www.bsee.gov/uploadedFiles/
BSEE/Final%20Safety%20Culture%20
Statement.pdf
11
http://www.bsee.gov/BSEENewsroom/Speeches/2013/
COS-Speech-04_25_13-final-website-(4)/
12
http://www.therrinstitute.com/assets/cosmaturity-model-2d-edition-adobeonline.pdf
13
http://www.pesa.org/index.php/news/c/
pesa-news/legal-2013/
14
http://www.iadc.org/
knowledge-skill-and-ability/
15
http://blogs.hbr.org/2013/05/
what-is-organizational-culture/
1411PEJEW_C3 3
25
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ALWAYS COMPREHENSIVE
Comprehensive coverage of transmission, gathering, and distribution
pipelines for petroleum and natural
gas and all associated facilities.
ALWAYS CURRENT
Regular updates keep you informed
of the latest pipeline developments.
ALWAYS COMPLETE
ALWAYS SUPPORTABLE
MAPSearch provides up-to-date
maintenance and support.
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