Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
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Learning Outcomes
By the end of this topic students will be able to:
recall the rules of simple probability
use key probability distributions:
-
Binomial distribution
Poisson distribution
Exponential distribution
Normal distribution
calculate z-scores
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Probability
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Event
- One or more outcomes
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Rules of Probability
Mutually exclusive events
- events that cannot occur
together
E1
E2
E1 E1 E2 E2
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Rules of Probability
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Probability Distribution
Discrete
- Number of customers per hour
Number
Frequency
Empirical
Probability
0
1
2
3
4
5
10
17
42
34
12
5
120
0.0833
0 1417
0.1417
0.3500
0.2833
0.1000
0.0417
1
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Probability Distribution
Continuous
- height of customers
Height
163 -165
166 -168
169 -171
172 -174
175 -177
178 -180
181 -183
184 -186
187 -189
190 -192
Frequency
1
4
14
29
44
46
35
18
7
2
200
Empirical
Probability
0.005
0.020
0.070
0.145
0.220
0 230
0.230
0.175
0.090
0.035
0.010
1
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Q ~ B(n, p)
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P(X = x)
0.0001
0.0016
0.0106
0.0425
0.1115
0.2007
0.2508
0.2150
0.1209
0.0403
0.0060
P(X x)
0.0001
0.0017
0.0123
0.0548
0.1662
0.3669
0.6177
0.8327
0.9536
0.9940
1.0000
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A ~ Po ()
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Poisson Distribution
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P(X = x)
0.0025
0.0149
0.0446
0.0892
0.1339
0.1606
0.1606
0.1377
0.1033
P(X x)
0.0025
0.0174
0.0620
0.1512
0.2851
0.4457
0.6063
0.7440
0.8472
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= 0.1474
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=1
=0
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P(Z < z)
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Example
-2.5
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Recap
By the end of this topic students will be able to:
recall the rules of simple probability
use key probability distributions;
-
Binomial distribution
Poisson distribution
Exponential distribution
Normal distribution
calculate z-scores
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