Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
consumption)
Fisher Equation: = /1+ Real discount rate dont use
inflation
Determinants of interest rates: r = r * + IP + TP + DP + LP(liquidity) + OP(callable, convertible)
Yield Curve: as time horizon deepens, rates increase as a reward for additional exposure to the risk
of default
Risk free rate: companies use 30YR, For projects use appropriate term, always term premium
Treasury Info: T-Bill(1-2YRS), Notes(2-10), Bonds(10YRS)
Pure Expectations Hypothesis: There is no maturity term premium long-term rates are an average
of short-term rates.
EAR = [1+(APR/N)^N]-1 Ordinary Annuity PV = Cash flows/R*[1-(1/(1+r)^N)] only use EAR if
specified, adjust N to months. IF problems ask for outstanding balance =Find PV. Look how to
rearrange #s.
Two things needed for valuation: Cash flow and discount rates
CAPM Model: The expected return for all assets is determined by the assets correlation to the
market portfolio and the risk free return. rA = rf+A (rm-rf ) - makes assumption that markets are
efficient (a market in w/ an investor cant beat the market in the 10YR term) is a good assumption and
holds true
Rm-Rf= Market Risk Premium or Equity Risk Premium Use long-run measure of the market
premium. historical data surveys Use the Beta that is: most closely associated with the
cyclicality and risk components going forward may differ from the published companys Beta how
might we adjust? Use appropriate term risk-free rates, which follow these rules: 1. match term 2.
adjust for any term premium
Beta stocks volatility in relation to the market, is slope Rm all risky assets available to investors,
use SP 500 as proxy
Alpha = E(re) Re what a manger adds to fund, if markets are efficient alpha = 0 (expected
return-required return)
CAPM Controversy: Limitation in measuring the market portfolio; therefore it is difficult to calculate
a market premium. Betas vary over time. The model is hard to prove or disprove. The model has
competitors.
Capital Sources: common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and any other LT debt always use market
values or target capital structure. R= cost, required return, market value
WACC = wd rd (1-T) + wP rP + we re (debt is the cheapest, equity is the most expensive)
*LOOK AT MKT VALUES*
MVD = PPB X # outstanding Rd =Assume semi-annual coupons, coupon pmt = cpn% X FV/N Find I/Y
or YTM of bond for
MVP = PPS X outstanding Rp = (Div/P0) no growth rate. If it doesnt give Dividend take Par x %
dividend on preferred
MVE = PPS X outstanding or Enterprise Value debt + Excess cash. Re = (D1/P0)+ g(dividend growth
rate) - Or use CAPM
Only can use WACC for companies in the same industries use target rates if you cant use CAPM
Calculating betas (comparative) 1. Find the betas of comparable firms. 2. Un-lever their betas.
(remove the effect of capital structure) 3. Find their weighted average by weighting them according to
similarity to target company. 4. Re-lever the new beta to reflect the target capital structure for the
target firm.
Note: You can use R(costs)
in place of Beta Unlevering Beta = ((1-T)*Wd*Bd+We*Be) / (1-T)*Wd+We
Relever Beta: e BU (1T)(D / E)(BU Bd ) ------- can use all Bs as Rs
How do we value a firm? 1. NPV with WACC 2. Adjusted Present Value (APV) 3. Flow-to-Equity (FTE)
Pro-Forma Cash Flows: Cash flow at year 0 & change in WC not considered for company or
recuperated, is for a project
Sales/Revenue COGS = Gross Profit OPEX(SGA) DEP = EBIT- Interest = EBT TAX = NI NOPAT =
EBIT(1-Tax)
OCF = NOPAT + Depreciation and Amortization FCF = OCF + Change in WC(decrease = positive, vice
versa)+ CAPEX
Terminal Value (At some point, we assume the cash flows become a perpetuity or a growing
perpetuity)
TV = FCFn+1(take last year and grow to next)/WACC G **add terminal value to the last CF in
Enterprise Value
Salvage Value: Sell Price-Book Value= Gain/Loss. If you lose you get a tax credit and add back to
salvage value
Enterprise Value = NPV of FCF YRS 1-year n before constant growth + TV. MVE = EV Debt +
Excess Cash
MACRS is different value every year. Uses depreciation percentages.
PPS = MVE/# of outstanding shares
TAXES Marginal rate is relevant, next dollar, tax is bracket by bracket of income. Taxtreatmentofsources
anduses:Interest&DividendsPaidInterest&DividendsReceivedCapitalgainsTaxLossCarryBackandCarryForward
WACC = 16.9%
What is the current price of Moser stock using the NPV/WACC method? ANSWER: $0.26 per share FCF
= 500,000*.6 + $250,000 - $100,000 - $350,000 = $100,000 EV Firm = $100,000/(.169-.15) =
$5,263,157.90 MVE = $5,263,157.90 - $5,000,000 = $263,157.90 PPS = $263,157.90/1M shares =
$.26