METODO DE NASH

m
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17

Ao
198
4
198
5
198
6
198
7
198
8
198
9
199
0
199
1
199
2
199
3
199
4
199
5
199
6
199
7
199
8
199
9
200
0

Qi

T/(T1)

413.30

T
31.00
0
15.50
0
10.33
3

406.25

7.750

1.148

379.54

6.200

1.192

356.60

5.167

1.240

333.00

4.429

1.292

320.92

3.875

1.348

305.45

3.444

1.409

296.49

3.100

1.476

295.63

2.818

1.550

287.10

2.583

1.632

244.78

2.385

1.722

216.97

2.214

1.824

213.98

2.067

1.937

204.69

1.938

2.066

200.91

1.824

2.214

489.85
422.75

1.033
1.069
1.107

X
1.851
1.538
1.355
1.222
1.118
1.030
0.954
0.887
0.827
0.772
0.720
0.672
0.627
0.583
0.542
0.502
0.462

Q X
-906.71
-650.19
-560.02
-496.44
-424.33
-367.30
-317.68
-284.66
-252.61
-228.89
-212.85
-192.93
-153.48
-126.49
-115.98
-102.75
-92.82

Q
239953.
03
178717.
56
170816.
88
165039.
06
144050.
62
127163.
56
110889.
00
102989.
66
93299.7
1
87906.3
1
87397.1
0
82426.4
1
59917.2
5
47075.9
8
45787.4
4
41898.0
0
40364.8
3

X
3.426
2.365
1.836
1.493
1.250
1.061
0.910
0.787
0.684
0.596
0.518
0.452
0.393
0.340
0.294
0.252
0.213

18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

200
1
200
2
200
3
200
4
200
5
200
6
200
7
200
8
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3

0.423
0.385
0.347
0.308
0.270
0.231
0.190
0.147
0.101
0.051

194.67

1.722

2.385

164.15

1.632

2.582

154.75

1.550

2.818

153.87

1.476

3.101

145.76

1.409

3.445

142.66

1.348

3.874

115.09

1.292

4.425

101.23

1.240

5.167

95.53

1.192

6.208

78.45

1.148

76.60

1.107

76.48

1.069

54.80

1.033

7.757
10.34
6
0.006
15.49
3
0.076
31.30
3
0.175

6942.25
0

N AOS:
T=
T=
T=

30
25 Aos
50 Aos
75 Aos

17.85
8

-14.88

37896.4
1
26945.2
2
23947.5
6
23675.9
8
21245.9
8
20351.8
8
13245.7
1
10247.5
1

-9.65

9125.98

0.010

-4.00

6154.40

0.003

0.46

5867.56

0.000

5.81

5849.19

0.006

9.59

3003.04

0.031

-5839.62

2033248.
82

17.646

-82.35
-63.20
-53.70
-47.39
-39.36
-32.95
-21.87

0.179
0.148
0.120
0.095
0.073
0.053
0.036
0.022

De la Tabla se obtiene :

6942.2
5

203324
8.82

X -17.858
X 17.646
Q
5839.6
X
2
231.41

-0.595
Calculo de

Parametros de a y b :
86.56
-243.33

Calculo del
:

Caudal Maximo

512.71

m/s

T= 50 AOS

587.04

m/s

T= 75 AOS

630.25

m/s

T= 25 AOS

Calculo de la Desviacion Estandar y Covarianza :

210.472
12802629.16
-51213.90

Calculo de X Para T:
T = 25AOS
T= 50 AOS
T= 75 AOS

-1.751
-2.057
-2.234

Calculo del intervalo de Confianza :

T = 25

47.658

T = 50

49.560

T = 75

50.829

Clculo del Caudal de diseo :

Para T = 25 aos
Qd

560.37 m3/s

Para T = 50 aos
Qd

636.60 m3/s

Para T = 75 aos
Qd

681.08 m3/s

METODO DE GUMBEL
N

AO

Qi

Qi

1
2
3
4
5

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

95.53
153.87
216.97
422.75
489.85

9125.98
23675.98
47075.98
178717.56
239953.03

6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013

Qm

296.49
333.00
244.78
287.10
356.60
379.54
406.25
413.30
200.91
142.66
204.69
145.76
305.45
115.09
164.15
295.63
194.67
320.92
213.98
101.23
154.75
54.80
76.60
78.45
76.48
6942.25
231.408

87906.31
110889.00
59917.25
82426.41
127163.56
144050.62
165039.06
170816.88
40364.83
20351.88
41898.00
21245.98
93299.71
13245.71
26945.22
87397.10
37896.41
102989.66
45787.44
10247.51
23947.56
3003.04
5867.56
6154.40
5849.19
2033248.82

Calculo de la desviacion Estandar de los Caudales:

121.31

Calculo de los coeficientes

N y N :

De la tabla 6,13 , para N = 30aos , se tiene :

N = 30

Yn

0.53622 1.11238

Obtencion del caudal maximo :

Para T = 25
Q max =
Para T = 50
Q max =

523.96 m3/s
599.55 m3/s

Para T = 75
Q max =

643.77 m3/s

Calculo del Factor de correcion :

Para T = 25
=

0.96

m3/s

Para T = 50
=
Para T = 75
=

0.98

m3/s

0.99

m3/s

Calculo del Intervalo de Confianza :

124.32

Calculo del Caudal de diseo :

Para T = 25
Qd=
Para T = 50
Qd =
Para T = 75
Qd =

648.28 m3/s
723.87 m3/s
768.09 m3/s

METODO DE LEBEDIEV
AO

Qi

Qi
1
Qm

Qi
1
Qm

Qi
1
Qm

1984

95.53

-0.5872

0.3448

-0.2025

1985

153.87

-0.3351

0.1123

-0.0376

1986

216.97

-0.0624

0.0039

-0.0002

1987

422.75

0.8268

0.6837

0.5653

1988

489.85

1.1168

1.2473

1.3929

1989

296.49

0.2812

0.0791

0.0222

1990

333.00

0.4390

0.1927

0.0846

1991

244.78

0.0578

0.0033

0.0002

1992

287.10

0.2407

0.0579

0.0139

1993

356.60

0.5410

0.2927

0.1583

1994

379.54

0.6401

0.4098

0.2623

1995

406.25

0.7555

0.5708

0.4313

1996

413.30

0.7860

0.6178

0.4856

1997

200.91

-0.1318

0.0174

-0.0023

1998

142.66

-0.3835

0.1471

-0.0564

1999

204.69

-0.1155

0.0133

-0.0015

2000

145.76

-0.3701

0.1370

-0.0507

2001

305.45

0.3200

0.1024

0.0328

2002

115.09

-0.5027

0.2527

-0.1270

2003

164.15

-0.2907

0.0845

-0.0246

2004

295.63

0.2775

0.0770

0.0214

2005

194.67

-0.1588

0.0252

-0.0040

2006

320.92

0.3868

0.1496

0.0579

2007

213.98

-0.0753

0.0057

-0.0004

2008

101.23

-0.5626

0.3165

-0.1780

2009

154.75

-0.3313

0.1097

-0.0364

2010

54.80

-0.7632

0.5825

-0.4445

2011

76.60

-0.6690

0.4475

-0.2994

2012

78.45

-0.6610

0.4369

-0.2888

2013

76.48

-0.6695

0.4482

-0.3001

SUMA

6942.25

(m3/s)

7.9693

1.4743

Qm

231.41

(m3/s)

Calculos:

2
Q
1 =
Qm

3
Q
1 =
Qm

7.97

1.47

T
( Aos)
=
T
( Aos)
=
T
( Aos)
=

Qm = 231.41

m3 /s
Aos

N = 30

25
50
75

Coeficiente de Variacin (Cv) =

0.5154

Determinacin del coeficiente de asimetra (Cs)

Opcion 1:

0.3589

Opcion 2:

Considerando que la avenida es producida por una tormenta, se tiene:

1.5462
De estos dos valores se escoge el mayor, por lo tanto se tiene:
Cs =
1.5462
Obtencin del coeficiente K y Er
perodo de retorno : P

P=

1
=0,040=4.0
25

T=
25 aos:
T=
50aos:
T=
75aos:

P=

P
4.0

1
=0,020=2.0
50

Cs

Cv

Er

1.546

2.180

0.515

0.72

1.546

2.760

0.515

0.78

1.546

3.180

0.515

0.80

2.0
%
1.3
%

Tabla 6.17 para hablar K

Calculo de K para T = 25 aos

P= 4% con el Cs = 3.45 y 3.5 (son iguales valores)
Cs

a calcular

1
=0,013=1,3
75

Tablas 6.3 para hallar Er

Ingresar
Cs

P=

factor

3.45

----------

3.464

----------

3.5

----------

Calculo del Caudal Maximo:

2.18
x = 2.18
2.18

317.28

T= 25 aos
T= 50 aos
T= 75 aos

324.44
326.82

Calculo del intervalo de confianza:

Para N = 30
Se puede tomar A =

0.85

T = 25 aos

T = 50
aos

T = 75 aos

35.45

39.27

40.58

Calculo del Caudal de Diseo:

Para T= 25 aos :
Qd =
352.74 m3/s
Para T= 50 aos :
Qd =
363.71 m3/s
Para T= 75 aos :
Qd =
367.40 m3/s