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--
mack
1900 Powell Street
Suite 470
Emeryville, CA 94608
The purpose of this report is twofold. First, the City requested an assessment of options
for a phased renovation of Forest Theater as defmed in the schematic design documents
prepared by R.F. McCann & Company, Architects. The phasing options should consider:
1) the logical construction sequence, 2) the City's desire to focus on the ADA and
restroom improvements, and 3) limiting project expenses to $1.5 to $2 million dollars.
Secondly, the City requested an independent, comprehensive development cost estimate
identifying all expenses likely to be incurred to complete the project including
construction costs not identified in estimates provided by R.F. McCann & Company as
part of their schematic design services and other necessary supplemental project costs.
Such supplemental costs, frequently referred to as soft costs, include additional design
consultant fees, project management fees, permit fees, utility fees, testing and inspection
fees, furniture, fixture, and equipment (FFE) costs, telecommunication and data service
costs, and other miscellaneous costs specific to the project.
CONTEXT
For the purposes of this report, phasing recommendations and the construction cost
estimates are based on the scope of work defmed in the schematic design drawings.
Broadly defined, the scope of work includes: 1) demolition and reconstruction of all of
the stage area except the existing understage concrete structure which currently houses
the Children's Experimental Theater, dressing rooms, storage space, etc.; 2) demolition
and reconstruction of the audience seating area; 3) demolition and reconstruction of a
show production booth with a new subterranean level; 4) demolition and reconstruction
of the concession building, restrooms, box office, and pathways to the various buildings,
audience seating, and stage so all are ADA compliant; and 5) demolition and
reconstruction of the parking area. Of particular significance is the fact that the scope of
work at the stage area includes a new orchestra pit, a new secondary exit path from the
understage concrete structure, and new exiting and habitable spaces at the lower level of
the left and right wing structures of the stage as well as reconstruction of some of the
spaces within the existing understage structure.
When considering the cost estimate, it is important to understand the conceptual nature of
the design and attendant lack of specificity that necessitates broad assumptions by the
cost estimators about the ultimate development of the design. The cost estimate as
presented includes greater detail than can be discerned from the schematic drawings.
Many of the detailed line items in the estimate are assumptions made by the cost
estimators based on their experience with the designs of similar projects. In addition,
because the entirety of the scope cannot be known at this time, a contingency of 20% has
been included to cover the additional cost of design elements that have not been
anticipated in the estimate.
PROCESS
The phasing recommendations and cost estimates were developed not only from the
schematic design drawings, but also from a fairly thorough review of site conditions. Site
review participants included Benny Martino of the City , whose background and historical
knowledge of the existing facility and services proved very valuable, Mark Kelley of
MACKS, and Dennis Buskirk, a thirty-year employee of Otto Construction, who
volunteered his construction expertise to validate construction phasing and methodology.
Subsequently, telephone conversations with Richard McCann were initiated to validate
design and construction assumptions.
SUMMARY
Phasing
Given the design and apparent site restrictions, the project can logically be segmented
into two primary phases. The necessary phasing approach, however, will achieve neither
of the City's desired initial goals of providing ADA access and updated restroom
facilities, nor accomplishment of the first phase of work within the budget parameter of
$1.5 to $2 million . Construction logistics dictate that the fust phase of the project consist
of demolition and reconstruction of the stage, the audience seating area, and the show
production booth. The logical second phase is the ADA access path from the parking
area to the stage and audience seating area, the new restroom/box office and concession
buildings, and the parking area. There are components of both phases that can be
segregated and accomplished at later dates based on budgetary constraints , but none of
those segregations will alter the basic phasing approach summarized above.
Cost estimate
The estimated total cost of the project including both construction costs and soft costs is
$8.7 million, which is more than double the construction cost estimate provided by RF
McCann & Company. As a reminder, it was previously noted during Council meetings
that the McCann estimate was missing certain components of work, contractor fees, and
soft costs.
DISCUSSION
From a construction perspective, a contractor must have access to perform the work in a
sequence that will not cause damage and rework to previously accomplished work. For
the purpose of this report, it has been assumed that access to perform the work at the
audience seating area and the stage will be from the west side of the site. Materials and
equipment would enter the site at the comer of Guadalupe and Upper Mountain View and
proceed through the parking area and along the west side of the stage. It is assumed that
direct access for construction from the upper part of Guadalupe immediately east of the
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audience seating area is not feasible because of the impact to traffic, the proximity of
residences, and the necessity to remove a significant number of trees on the site to
provide both equipment and material access.
Phase 1
The need to construct the stage first is dictated by the excavation required for the
orchestra pit, the understage flex space, and the exit corridor proposed along the north
side of the 55 seat understage theater. Access for excavation equipment and construction
of the orchestra pit retaining wall immediately adjacent to the first row of audience
seating will necessitate at least partial demolition of the seating are.a. At that point, it is
necessary to reconstruct at least a portion of the audience seating area. Once some
portion of the audience seating area must be reconstructed, it becomes logical to perform
all of the remaining demolition, regarding, and seating replacement work. Because the
seating area wraps the show production booth, which as designed includes a subterranean
component, that building, too, should be excavated and constructed concurrent with the
seating area reconstruction.
The construction cost estimate for demolishing and reconstructing the stage, the audience
seating area, and the show production booth is approximately $4.7 million. This is,
obviously, well above the estimate prepared by Richard McCann and the amount the City
has targeted for the Phase I work. Neither does that amount take into consideration the
soft cost expenditures that would be necessary to allow that work to progress. The
greatest difference between the two cost estimates is associated with the work required at
the stage. This cost estimate contemplates the demolition and reconstruction of the entire
stage, including the understage area.
The design calls for the replacement of the entire stage floor and its supporting structure.
In addition, because of the work required at the lower level of both the stage left and right
wings, it will be most economical to demolish and reconstruct both of those wings in
their entirety. The only salvaged portion of the stage that will remain at that point is the
four-sided concrete understage structure that houses the Children's Experimental Theater,
dressing rooms, etc. Given the complexities and the cost of retaining that existing
structure, performing structural remediation, and bringing it up to current code standards,
a better allocation of funds would seemingly be to reconstruct the understage area in its
entirety. The cost estimate assumes that approach. If the understage structure were not
to be demolished and rebuilt, the estimated stage reconstruction cost could be reduced by
slightly more than $200,000. The estimated cost of the improvements to just the interior
of the understage area is approximately $800,000.
Phase2
After the stage, audience seating area, and show production booth work is complete, the
second phase of the work, consisting of an ADA access path west of the stage, new
restroom/box office and concession structures, and a new parking lot, could commence.
The existing box office, restroom and the concession stand will need to be demolished,
rough grading must be performed, and the locations of the new replacement buildings
identified. Work can then commence on those buildings. After those buildings are
constructed, the ADA path can be installed. The demolition and reconstruction of the
parking lot will likely overlap the end of the ADA path installation.
The construction cost estimate for this Phase 2 work is approximately $1.3 million . The
cost estimates for the two buildings and for the parking lot are close to the estimates
prepared by Richard McCann when contractor mark-ups for general conditions and fees
are applied to the McCann estimate. These costs were excluded from the McCann
estimate. There is a significant difference, however, between the estimates for the cost of
the ADA paths and associated site work. The reason for that difference is likely
attributable to varying assumptions about the need .for handrails, retaining walls, storm
drainage, and tree removal and replacement.
Cost estimate
Included as a part of this report is the schematic design conceptual estimate prepared by
MACKS, which is defmed as a Cost Model Manager (CMM). The CMM attempts to
identify all potential costs that might be associated with the renovation process, including
both "soft costs" as defined above and construction costs, from inception through
commissioning. Since it is impossible at this schematic design stage to identify all costs
that will ultimately be associated with the project, a 6% contingency has been applied to
all identified costs to cover any unanticipated costs. This contingency is in addition to
contingencies included within individual cost components of the CMM. The CMM
projects the total cost of the renovation at $8.7 million, of which $6 million is for
construction costs and the remaining $2.7 million for "soft costs."
Cost estimate and phasing assumptions
As with any project at this stage of design, key assumptions must be made which serve as
the foundation for the cost estimate. MACKS's estimate assumes that the project will be
publicly bid, will commence construction in 2010, and will be completed within a oneyear period. As a result, no cost escalation has been included. If the project start were to
be delayed, the impact of cost escalation would need to be considered at that time. The
estimate further assumes that, once commenced, the construction can occur during
regular work hours over a reasonable period of time without the need for premium or
shift time. Costs are not included for compression or acceleration of the construction
schedule, nor are costs included for limiting the contractor's access to the work to keep
the understage area or any other area functional during portions of the demolition and
reconstruction.
Additionally, it is important to identify work that is not included in the estimate. The
construction estimate is confined largely to the scope of the project defined on the
drawings. The estimate does not include rock removal (should rock be encountered at
any of the areas of excavation) or dewatering (if ground water is encountered at
excavated areas), slate shingle roofing (asphalt shingles are estimated instead),
P:H:rf'.
landscaping (beyond tree removal and replacement), irrigation, replacement of the entry
arch, replacement of the perimeter fence or edge retaining walls at the south end of the
site, or a new parking area trash enclosure.
Lastly, key assumptions that affect project phasing are that no construction access across
form the stage and audience seating area will be allowed from the upper portion of
Guadalupe and that no tree removal on the east side of the site will be allowed for
construction access or material storage. If that assumption is invalid, phasing could be
reconsidered with the likely result being that much of the ADA access pathway and new
restroom buildings could be constructed in advance of the work on the stage and seating
being performed.
ALTERNATIVE APPROACHES
While the estimated costs presented are well beyond the amount that the City has
demonstrated a willingness to allocate to this project, it is important to remember that the
estimate is based on the scope of the project as shown on the schematic design drawings.
With a reasonably detailed conceptual estimate now available, the City and the architect
can begin to assess adjustments to the project scope that might bring the project cost back
to a more acceptable level. Modifications in scope may also allow for a different phasing
approach.
Key areas of the schematic design affecting costs that the City may want to reconsider are
the areas that require significant excavation. Those areas include: 1) the entirety of the
new understage areas that include the orchestra pit, the flex area, the exit corridor, and the
lower levels of the stage left and right wings; and 2) the subterranean level of the show
production booth.
Additionally, the City may want to consider the level of investment it is willing to make
to upgrade the existing understage area. Does either the rental return or the community
benefit return validate the improvements necessary to retain the small understage theater
in lieu of using that space for other purposes?
Further, the City may want to consider whether a new concession stand is necessary or
whether the existing concession stand can be retained and relocated with only a minor
facelift that is compatible with a new restroom and box office structure.
:
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Forest Theater
COST MODEL MANAGER
September 8, 2009
Page
Commentary ...... .. ................................ .... ............. ... ............... ... ...... ........ .
Cost Model Manager. ........... ................... .. .................. ............... .. .............. 2 -10
manager . cmm)
The Cost Model Manager (CMM) includes project costs identified to date
including both the costs of construction and soft costs. This CMM is
conceptual and meant to be used as a basis for work from for project
f)tanning and budget management.
The CMM is divided into the following categories: Land Acquisition,
Construction, Design Planning and Management, Fixtures/Furnishings
and Equipment, Owner Costs, Data/Telecom and Project Contingency.
The CMM is meant to establish and manage project cost from project
inception through commissioning.
The CMM does not include operating costs.
land acquisition
construction
design, planning
and management
fixtures, furnishings
and equipment
data/telecom
project contingency
development costs
Page 1
Pt-.ase 1
Comments
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Construction Costs
6,893
5,397
1,495
Desi~n .
1,178
847
331
Development Costs
44
28
16
61
41
19
503
390
114
8,680
6,703
1,977
Project Contingency
TOTALS
!. _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Dollars x $1 ,000
-- - - - -
9.0G,
8,000
7 ,000
6,000
5,000
4.000
3,000
2,000
1,000
Total
Phase 1
Phase 2
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Comment
hAse 1
EXECUtiVE SUMMARY
BUDGET
BUDGET
BUDGET
as of
as of
as of
1-Sep-09
1-Sep-09
1-Sep-09
Comments
Dollars x $1,000
Land I Acquisition Costs
Construction Costs
6,893
5,397
1,495
1,178
847
331
61
41
19
Project Contingency
503
390
114
Development Costs
44
28
16
8,680
6,703
1,977
Page 3
DRAFT for
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Comment
Phase 1
LAND I ACQUISITION COSTS
Property Acquisition
BUDGET
BUDGET
as of
as of
as of
1-Sep-09
1-Sep-09
1-Sep-09
BUDGET
Comments
_______]
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DRAFT for
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Comment
Phase 1
CONSTRUCTION COSTS
BUDGET
as of
1-Sep-09
BUDGET
as of
1-Sep-09
BUDGET
as of
1-Sep-09
Comments
6,000,000
4,700,000
600,000
470,000
47,500
40,000
45,000
35,250
60,000
47,000
50,000
25,000
Environmental review
20,000
10,000
Traffic mitigation
10,000
10,000
PG&E
25,000
25,000
Water meters
35,000
35,000
6,892,500
5,397,250
Planning Fees
Planning Fee
Utility Fees
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L.
Subtotal Construction
1,495,250
-~
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DRAFT for
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Comment
Phase 'i
BUDGET
as of
1-Sep-09
BUDGET
as of
1-Sep-09
BUDGET
as of
1-Sep-09
Comments
626,000
470,000
Acoustical consultant
50,000
25,000
Theatrical consultant
Audio-Visual Consultant
10,000
10,000
50,000
30,000
5,000
5,000
15,000
10,000
Security Consultant
Landscape Architect
0
30,000
0
10,000
15,000
10,000
45,000
30,000
Reimbursable Expenses
Environmental Impact Report
Fixtures, furnishings and Equipment
Project Management
56,080
0
20,000
200,000
41,600
0
15,000
150,000
56,104
40,330
1,178,184
846,930
Renderings
Waterproofing Consultant
Traffic Consultant
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Management
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25,000
0 Included in base fee for Architect
331,254
___I
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Comment
BUDGET
as of
BUDGET
1.Sep-09
Office Furniture
Work stations
Systems furnishings
Tables, small
Chairs
File cabinets
Lobby
Miscellaneous items
BUDGET
as of
as of
1-Sep-09
Comments
1-Sep-09
Assumes all furnishings are owner provided
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Theatrical Equipment
Overhead rigging
Stage draperies
Theatrical and lighting controls
Theatrical light fixtures
Sound, video and communications
Box Office
Refrigerator
Disposer
Window blinds
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,500
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
None anticipated
None anticipated
Reuse existing
Reuse existing
0 Reuse existing
-- ,
1,500
1,500
~--------
-----~---J
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DRAFT for
Review and
Comment
Pha se 1
BUDGET
as of
1-Sep-09
BUDGET
as of
1Sep-09
BUDGET
as of
1-Sep-09
Comments
25,000
17,500
15,000
10,000
Desktop computers
Central SeNer
Security system
15,000
10,000
5,500
3,750
60,500
41 ,250
Contingency
19,250
_______]
Page 8
DRAFT for
Review and
Comment
Ptmse 1
CONTINGENCY
BUDGET
as of
10-Sep-03
503,303
BUDGET
as of
10-Sep-03
389,697
BUDGET
as of
10-Sep-03
Comments
Subtotal - Contingency
503,303
389,697
113,606
_j
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DRAFT for
Review and
Comment
Phase 1
DEVELOPMENT COSTS
BUDGET
BUDGET
BUDGET
as of
as of
as of
1-Sep-09
1-Sep-09
1-Sep-09
Comments
Move coordinator
10,000
2,000
5,000
5,000
Moving
Public Notification
8,000
0 Allow for business cards, public notification,
stationary
20,000
15,000
8,750
5,500
43,750
27,500
5,000
3,250 Allow 25% of above costs
16,250
Page 10
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Forest Theater Replacement
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1,101
448
141
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196
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Page 8
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Interior Finishes
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Fire Protection
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104
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90.88
25.68
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Site Improvement
Site Mechanical Utilities
Site Electrical Utilities
Other Site Construction
--
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18%
5%
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Superstructure
Enclosure
Roofing
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39.82
20.09
247
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Page 9