Water Company Perspectives

On Dynamic and Real Time

Modelling
Efficient Water Workshop
Birmingham, 5th February
Rob Casey, Water Modelling Manager
Thames Water Utilities Ltd

Our Vision
Mission Statement
Efficient and accurate monitoring and control of the
Thames Water system with immediate alert and
resolution of any activity from source to tap for any
network operation that may impact our customers!
Live calibrated real
time models of our
entire network
Any genuine network
activity is highlighted
real time no false
alarms
Covers our own sites
Not just the network

The above is a long term ambition yet how can

we achieve this?

Clearly articulates what

the issue is i.e. Closed
valve/leakage increase.
2
Our customers are
key

How Are We Going to Achieve This?

Improved
information on
network

SCADA

AMR/Acoustic
noise logging

Efficient and effective

management
processes

INFORMATION
SYSTEMS

Financial &
performance
data

DATA

ANALYSIS

Data
validation
systems

Optimised
network activity,
leakage & energy
use

ACTION

Live
hydraulic
models

Real Time Modelling - Future Vision

Existing Components
Future Developments

SCADA
SYSTEM

DATA
VALIDATION

INFORMATION
SYSTEMS

GIS

MODEL
CALIBRATION

SYSTEM
MODELS

Automatic Data Validation and Model Calibration systems are

key to the success of real time modelling and future decision
support systems

DECISION SUPPORT
SYSTEMS

Benefits

Up to date models maintained on line and available for use

100% model coverage
Model maintenance costs reduced
Dependency on external consultants reduced
Network efficiency improved shut valves, breaches detected immediately
Optimal network & supply operation pressure, energy, leakage, resources
Leading to reduced network activity

Automatic Meter Reading

(Improved Information)

Household Meter penetration of 80% by 2025

One property, one connection, one meter with state

of the art AMR technology on all new installations and
replacements

Selective metering rollout across concentrated

geographic DMAs tying in with Mains Replacement
where possible

Proactively replace meters based on risk and asset

deterioration, alongside Selective Programme

Consumption information made available for

customers

AMR flow data to quantify usage, identify leakage and

select areas for further investment (regular water
balance)

Implementation of innovative and affordable tariff

solutions that positively influence customer behaviour
and SMART Network Management i.e. In built
acoustic and pressure loggers

Develop suite of services/products for commercial

customers based on AMR flow data

Trunk Main Monitoring

(Improved Information)

To reduce the risk of major bursts,

were installing two types of sensors
in access chambers on some of our
largest water mains
Ashridges Hydroguard system
monitors water pressure, flow rate
and noise to detect bursts
This technology, combined with
contingency planning, allows us to
respond more quickly to bursts:
less flooding and disruption
reduced interruptions to water
supply

Trunk Main Monitoring

(Improved Information)

Syrinixs TrunkMinder system acts

as a burst alarm too, but has the
added capability of detecting small
leaks as they develop
By repairing these hidden leaks we
can prevent them from gradually
washing away the supporting soil
reduced likelihood of major
bursts
scheduled repairs are less
disruptive than emergency
repairs

Data Validation - System Overview

USER INTERFACES

GIS

Alert
Generator

Flow
Pressure
Secure File Transfer

Data
Cleansing

Analysis

Event
Generator

Job

Records Operational
Data
8
8

Data Validation - Algorithmic Approach

e.g. TaKaDu
Algorithm example: Historical prediction

Prediction
across
space and
time

Cleaning
algorithms

Ignoring spiky data Automatically Identifying

deviations from norm

Data Analysis TaKaDu Pilot Scheme

Pilot scheme proved data analysis concepts and ability to identify leaks,
bursts, meter faults, shut valves and DMA breaches in real time

10

Real Time Modelling Network Potential

Earlier leak detection
(reducing visible leaks
and customer impact)
Improved leak location
Improved detection in
non-operable DMAs and
DMA00
Repair verification
Identification of DMA
breaches, meter failures
and valve operation
mistakes

Trunk Main Monitoring

Real-time alerts on
bursts and major
network events
Automated validation of
flow, pressure and
demand data

On line hydraulic
models with auto
calibration features
Network Optimisation

Playback of SCADA
pressure and flow data
via simulation tools to
identify network
constraints

11

Transmission Optimisation
3 Key Components
Plan/Monitor Weekly
1. Production/Transmission Savings
THREE
VALLEYS
52.0
55

FORTIS
GREEN

51.2
80

SEWARDSTONE
99.4
120
113.7

22.3
70

36.0
90
43.0
19.6
43
20.0
2.5
33
HOLLAND
20
20
40.0
PARK
43
BARROW HILL
127.1 Ml/d
0.0
18
PARK
LANE
17.0
25.0
38.0
25.0
17
25
38
30

EALING & BST

55.5 Ml/d

113.7
135

78.1
80

57.0
70

KEMPTON
170
159.4

ASHFORD
700
679

14.3
35
0.0
35

37.2
50
KEW
HAMMERSMITH
7.0
90

2.9

BARNES
43.0

HAMPTON
COUNTRY
77.3 Ml/d
HAMPTON
680
659.6

74.4
75

4.0
30

BISHOPSWD
27.0 Ml/d

SHOOT UP
118.2 Ml/d

KEMPTON 48
49.0 Ml/d

THREE
VALLEYS
10.0
10

3.0
4

8.0

13.0
50

2. Tariff/Triad Savings

24.0

52.8
60
PUTNEY
RES

70.0
90
7.0
-

PUTNEY
102.8 Ml/d
25.0
30

BATTERSEA

Enhanced Assets In Blue

Pinch Points In Red
WTW Output Capability v20.8
PR09 Demand Forecasts v3355
Outage 3%, PR09 Headroom

FORTIS GRN
PUMPED
64.6 Ml/d

BARROW
HILL

MAIDEN LANE
124.9 Ml/d
37.5
90
NRH

9.7
50

25.9
25.9

FINSBURY
PARK

WEEKDAY ELECTRICITY TARIFF

DARENTH ROAD WPS - DEC 2012

60.0
60

STOKE
NEWINGTON

60.0
60

HORNSEY
40
38.8

16.00
14.00

48.1
120
CROUCH HILL
151.6 Ml/d

3.0
8.0
10.0
SEWARDSTONE 20

FINSBURY
PARK

0.0
30

KEY

AREA
10Ml/d

Zone Group
Demand Ml/d

191.0
200

Transfer Ml/d
Capacity Ml/d

12.00
10.00

p/kWh

CRICKLEWOOD

Monitor In Real Time

10.0
10

MILL HILL/
KIDDERPORE
26.9 Ml/d

WD

8.00

Booster
TWRM
Shaft
WTW

6.00
4.00

Reservoir

Strategic Network Performance, R Casey 27/02/09 v1

2.00

00
:3
0
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0.00

3. Pump Efficiency Savings

Monitor In Real Time

TIME

MINIMAL ADDITIONAL SAVINGS

FROM ENHANCED NIGHT OR WEEKEND
PUMPING & INCREASED LEAKAGE RISK

MAJOR SAVINGS FROM

REDUCED PUMPING DURING
4-7 PM & TRIAD PERIODS

HEAD

FLOW

12

Production/Transmission Optimisation
Planned & Monitored Weekly By Production & Control
Using Cost Model, Production Plan & Cost Tracker
Key Performance Metric - /Ml

Marginal Cost Tracker

CURRENT
TARGET
UNIT COST
50.85 per Ml

Cost Model

Production Plan

13

Tariff/Triad Optimisation
Annual Plan Agreed By Production, Control & Networks
Actioned/monitored by Control Centre
Key Performance Metrics kWh, Energy Costs, Leakage Impact
Real Time Monitoring via SCADA
vital to highlight high tariff/triad costs
WEEKDAY ELECTRICITY TARIFF
DARENTH ROAD WPS - DEC 2012
16.00
14.00

Weekly summaries to highlight

overall performance

12.00

WD

8.00

CENTRAL & N LONDON TARIFF/TRIAD WEEKLY SUMMARY

6.00

700

00
:3
0
01
:3
0
02
:3
0
03
:3
0
04
:3
0
05
:3
0
06
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:3
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:3
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23
:3
0

0.00

TIME

MAJOR SAVINGS FROM

REDUCED PUMPING DURING
4-7 PM & TRIAD PERIODS

POTENTIAL TRIAD COST

2.00

MINIMAL ADDITIONAL SAVINGS

FROM ENHANCED NIGHT OR WEEKEND
PUMPING & INCREASED LEAKAGE RISK

800

60000

4.00

50000
600
40000
500
400

30000

300
20000
200
10000
100
0

0
DAILY AV. SCHEDULE

12/12/11

Potential Triad Cost

13/12/11

14/12/11

15/12/11

16/12/11

Peak-Av Tariff Daily Cost

14

PEAK-AV TARIFF DAILY COST

p/kWh

10.00

Pump Efficiency Optimisation

Current pump replacement plan under Business Improvement Plan
Real Time Pump Efficiency Savings
- Monitor pump group water power output versus energy input
- To be further developed under sub metering and information technology projects
Key Performance Metrics kWh input, water power output

Delivery Head
Flow
Suction Head

Monitor Pump Group

Water Power Output
Versus Energy Input
To Monitor Efficiency

Current Pump Operating Point

Pump Head Flow Curve
HEAD

Pump Efficiency

Control Gentre To
Optimise Pump
Efficiency Using
Most Efficient Pumps
15

FLOW

Real Time Modelling - Key Issues

Existing Components
Future Developments

SCADA
SYSTEM

DATA
VALIDATION

INFORMATION
SYSTEMS

GIS

MODEL
CALIBRATION

SYSTEM
MODELS

The development of automatic Data Validation

and Model Calibration systems are key to
achieving Sustainable Real Time Decision
Support Systems That Maximise Benefits for
both Network and Supply System Optimisation

DECISION SUPPORT
SYSTEMS

To justify the expenditure on automated data validation and model

calibration it is important to consider benefits right across the water
supply system rather than individual activities.

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