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A PROJECT REPORT ON
IPO GRADING
SUBMITTED BY
2013 2014
UNDER THE GUIDANCE OF
DATE OF SUBMISSION
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IPO Grading
DECLARATION
_______________
_________
ANKITA
NARESH TRIVEDI
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IPO Grading
CERTIFICATE
I, Miss
_________________________
_________________________
Miss.
Dr. Chakrobarty
Project Guide
Principal
_______________________________
EXAMINER
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IPO Grading
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
IPO Grading
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IPO Grading
PREFACE
Change is a natural phenomenon. Time cycle necessitates a
change in perception because almost all of us dont venture to go against the
wind. It is said that the equity market is more risky than any other investment
alternative, but also high return. So the phrase HIGHER THE RISK, HIGHER
THE RETURN is suitable for equity market.
Yesterday, the scenario of the market was different compare to
today, where investors blindly invest in IPO. Today investors are more
conscious about their investment plans in IPO. Also SEBI plays very
important role in money market. As per the rules and regulation of SEBI ACT
1992, there are many steps which a company has to follow in order issue IPO
to the investors. One of them is IPO GRADING which is very important. After
introducing IPO grading the risk of bogus IPO is minimized. This has the
whole concept of IPO.
Sky is the limit. Whatever the perception we perceive today
regarding even tomorrow. The increasing safety measurement taken by an
investor and SEBI has been found playing a big role in shaping the IPO. We
dont find a boundary for perfection. I have made best of my efforts to make
this project, to view on newly concept IPO Grading. We find sky the only limit
for quality; whatever the lapses and short coming identified would be
welcome.
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IPO Grading
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
When a business entity needs money the general course of action that it
follows is that it goes to the bank. However banks may not be ready to
provide huge finance for a long time especially if the returns are not fixed.
The best way to raise money is through offer of shares. The securities
which the companies issue for the first time to the public and other
financial institutions either after incorporation or on conversion from
private to public company is called INITIAL PUBLIC OFFERING or
IPO. Raising equity gives boost to economical development of the
country.
Raising money through IPO is a very complex process. It requires
analysis and implementation of various commercial laws applicable to
IPO-Prospectus. These laws are Companies Act, Income Tax Act, FEMA,
Securities Contract Act and SEBI Guidelines on Disclosure and Investor
Protection. It is also necessary to implement circulars from time to time
by SEBI. The introduction of SEBI attracted Foreign Institutional
Investors to invest money in stock market in India. It has also helped
Indian Companies to offer securities in most scientific method to Indian
and Foreign investors. One of the rules and regulations of the SEBI ACT ,
1992 is IPO GRADING which is very important for the new investors,
as it helps them for investing purposes. Investors can have a secured
feeling by investing in a high graded company. Thus, let us understand
the process and methodology of IPO GRADING , its advantages and
disadvantages and whether it is help or hindrance for the investors.
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IPO Grading
INDEX
SR.
NO..
TITLE
PAGE NO.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
LITERATURE REVIEW
10
11
PRIMARY MARKET
13
IPO - INTRODUCTION
14
PRICING OF IPO
17
IPO BASICS
18
10
19
11
20
12
GRADING PROCESS
21
13
23
14
GRADING METHODOLGY
24
15
GRADING SCALE
27
16
28
17
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39
IPO Grading
18
SURVEY REPORT
44
19
CONCLUSION
50
20
RECOMMENDATION
51
21
BIBLIOGRAPHY
52
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RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Primary Data:
Primary Data consists of survey done by meeting people who are either
customers in share market or who have idea about it. The data can be collected
by laymen to find out their needs. The sample size taken consists of 20 people
who responded. It also includes case analysis of some corporate houses IPOs.
Secondary Data:
Secondary Data would consists of widely available resources through
Magazines
Newspapers
Journals
Websites
Books etc.
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IPO Grading
LITERATURE REVIEW
1. Initial Public Offerings By Richard P. Kleeburg 3 rd Edition In Year
2005, Which Published By South Western Educational Publishing.
This valuable resource is for the executives and advisers of any firm
considering making the transition from a private to public company.
An IPO is not just a short-term financial transaction. It often marks the turning
point in the life of a company, enabling it to launch new products, enter new
markets, accelerate its growth, and attract valuable employees. If an IPO is the
way to grow, then a balanced scorecard" approach needs to be used - an honest
evaluation of the process and consideration of whether an IPO, despite its
glamour, will or will not produce the desired results. Initial Public Offerings
uncovers many of the successful approaches and common pitfalls to going
public. It helps officials decide whether an IPO or other financing alternatives
is the right strategy, determine which stock market to use, plan and execute the
IPO, and stay on track following the IPO - helping companies reach their true
potential for success.
2. Ipo: Concepts And Experiences-By Arindam Banerjee Published; ByIcfai University Press
One of the striking features that makes any capital market an attractive
investment avenue is its liquidity. In this regard, the importance and relevance
of Initial Public Offers (IPOs) go beyond explanation. Simply speaking, IPOs
serve the purpose of companies going public; the process by which the
business owned by one or several individuals is converted into a business
owned by many. Several experts are of the opinion that, IPOs strengthen the
financial architecture of the entire capital market by enhancing liquidity, while
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IPO Grading
others say, that they bring along with it an array of fraudulent practices that
have a strong potential of eroding the investors confidence. From the
companys point of view, an IPO can even mark the turning point in an
organizations life. Following an IPO, a company can increase its growth
potential, launch its new products as well as enter new markets. IPOs are a
general feature of any booming capitalization. Of late, the global capital
markets have performed considerably well and one primary reason attributed
to the same is the surge of public offers that have flooded the markets. This
book titled IPOs: CONCEPTS AND EXPERIENCES deals with various
conceptual parameters of IPOs such as their pricing mechanisms, valuation
methods, timing of the offers, technology impact on IPOs and various other
related issues. In its entirety, the book itself is a comprehensive guide to the
various trends witnessed in the IPO market amidst the volatile environment.
Thus they perform the crucial function of bringing together the entries
who are either financially scarce or who are financially slush. This
helps generally in a smoother economic functioning in the sense that
economic resources go to the actual productive purposes. In modern
economic systems Stock Exchanges are the epicenter of the financial
activities in any economy as this is the place where actual trading in
securities takes place.
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IPO Grading
Modern day Stock Exchanges are most of the centers to trade in the
existing financial assets. In this respect, they have come a long way in
the sense that these days, they act as a platform to launch new
securities as well as act as most authentic and real time indicator of the
general economic sentiment.
Primary Market comprises of the new securities which are offered to the
public by new companies. It is the mechanism through which the resources of
the community are mobilized and invested in various types of industrial
securities. Whenever a new company wants to enter the market it has to first
enter the primary market.
IPO Grading
formation of securities to enable investors to buy and sell them with ease. The
volume of activity in the Secondary Market is much higher compared to the
Primary Market.
The Primary Market deals with the new securities which were previously not
tradable to the public. The main function is to facilitate the transfer of
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IPO Grading
What is an IPO?
The securities which the companies issue for the first time to the public either
after incorporation or on conversion from private to public company is called
IPO or INITIAL PUBLIC OFFERING.
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Establishes value for the firm: This can be very useful in attracting
key employees with stock options because the underlying stock have a market
value and a market for them to be traded that allows for liquidity for them.
Other advantages:
Additional incentive for employees in the form of the
companies stocks. This also helps to attract potential employees.
Window of opportunity.
Control: Owning less than 50% of the shares could lead to a loss of
PRICING OF IPO
Historically, IPOs both globally and in the US have been under
priced. The effect of under pricing an IPO is to generate additional interest in
the stock when it first becomes publicly traded. This can lead to significant
gains for investors who have been allocated shares of the IPO at the offering
price. However, under pricing an IPO results in "money left on the table"
lost capital that could have been raised for the company had the stock been
offered at a higher price.
IPOs can be a risky investment. For the individual investor, it is
tough to predict what the stock will do on its initial day of trading and in the
near future since there is often little historical data with which to analyze the
company. Also, most IPOs are of companies going through a transitory growth
period, and they are therefore subject to additional uncertainty regarding their
future value.
IPO BASICS
Going public raises cash and provides many benefits for a company.
The dotcom boom lowered the bar for companies to do an IPO. Many
startups went public without any profits and little more than a business
plan.
The only way for you to get shares in an IPO is to have a frequently
traded account with one of the investment banks in the underwriting
syndicate.
Lock-up periods prevent insiders from selling their shares for a certain
period of time. The end of the lockup period can put strong downward
pressure on a stock.
Road shows and red herrings are marketing events meant to get as
much attention as possible. Don't get sucked in by the hype.
IPO GRADING
In a situation where public issues are priced aggressively, retail investors often
suffer the most due to lack of knowledge and research. In order to avoid this
and restrict bogus listings (like we saw in the early 90s), the SEBI last
fortnight made it mandatory for all companies raising money through the
equity route to get their IPOs graded by an independent credit rating agency.
The views and feedback of the regulator, market participants, investors and
investor forums have been core inputs in the development of IPO grading. The
debt market has benefited on immensely from the availability of such an
assessment in the form of credit rating a representation of a relative
assessment of the fundamentals of the debt security i.e., likelihood of timely
repayment of interest and principal.
Investment decisions for IPOs are at present based on voluminous and
complex disclosure documents, which pose challenge to investors to arrive at
decisions. Though seemingly there is a lot of information available on IPOs
through free research on websites, media and other sources, investors often
look for structured, consistent and unbiased analysis to aid their investment
decisions.
Moreover, information available on new companies varies with the size of the
issue, the market conditions and the industry that the issuing company belongs
to. IPO grading aims to bridge this gap and facilitate more informed
investment decisions.
This is followed by the site visits and discussions with the key
operating personnel of the company concerned.
Apart from official of the company, agency also meets its bankers,
auditors, merchant bankers, and appraisal authority (if any).
Usually, the assignment of Grade takes three to four weeks after all the
necessary information has been provided to agency.
Agency does not carry out unsolicited Grading; the process involves
the full cooperation of, and the interaction with, the issuer company
concerned. IPO Grading is one a one-time exercise, not subject to
subsequent surveillance.
The report for each IPO grading will contain a summary and a detailed report.
Management quality
Financial performance
Corporate governance
Other factors:
Compliance track record
Litigation history
Capital history.
GRADING METHODOLOGY
The emphasis of the IPO Grading exercise is on evaluating the prospects of
the industry in which the company operates, the companys competitive
strengths that would allow it to address the risks inherent in the business and
effectively capitalize on the opportunities available as well as the companys
financial position. In case the IPO proceeds are planned to be used to set up
projects, either Greenfield or Brownfield, agency evaluates the risks inherent
in such projects, the capacity of the companys management to execute the
same and likely benefits accruing from the successful completion of the
projects in the terms of profitability and returns to shareholders. Due weight
age is given to the issuer companys management strengths and weakness and
issues, if any, from the corporate governance perspective. Normally, grading
agencies methodology examines the following key variable:
Management Quality
The assessment is designed to evaluate a companys management depth, the
profile of its key operating personnel, the adequacy of the organization
structure and systems in place as well as the managements stated plans and
policies towards earnings growth and shareholder returns.
Grading agency also evaluates the managements approach towards risks and
long term business plans in place.
systematic shocks and determines the extent of system support that can be
expected for the entity. Diversity in product portfolio, business lines and
customer base are also positively factored in by CRISIL.
The CRAMEL model comprises the following:
Capital adequacy
Resource-raising ability
Asset quality
Earnings potential
Capital adequacy
An entitys capital provides it with the necessary cushion to withstand credit
risks and other risks in its business. While assigning a rating, CRISIL analyses
the capital adequacy level and its sustainability in the medium to long term.
This assessment is significantly influenced by the perception of relative
profitability, the entitys risk profile and its asset quality. The analysis
encompasses the following factors:
Size of capital
The absolute size of capital imparts flexibility to a bank/FI to withstand shocks
and thus, an entity with higher absolute capital is viewed favorably.
Resource-raising ability
CRISIL analyses the resources position of the bank/FI in the terms of its
ability to maintain a low-cost, stable resource base. In the domestic context,
the resource composition of banks and FIs is very different. Banks are
significantly deposit-funded whereas FIs have to depend on wholesale funds.
Although some FIs do raise retail funds, compared to the banking sector, they
are at a natural disadvantage while raising retail deposits in terms of the
restrictions on the minimum tenure and interest rates, the absence of a chequeissuing facility and a relatively smaller branch network. In general, the
dependence on wholesale funding attaches a degree of risk to the funding
profile of FIs. These risks (especially stability of resources) are partly
mitigated by the access that the All India Financial Institutions (AIFIs) have to
resources from provident funds and the insurance sectors. Such resources have
a retail origin.
Given this basic distinction in their funding profiles, the funding risk profile of
baks and FIs too are evaluated distinctively.
The following issues are considered while analyzing the resources position of
a bank:
Size of deposit base
A large deposit base provides stability to a bankers resources position by
diversifying the depositor base and ensuring a continuous stable source of
funds.
Diversity in deposit base and the geographical spread
The diversity of the deposit base in the terms of the number of small deposits,
the geographical spread and the optimal rural/urban mix lends stability to the
resources position of a bank. The number of branches and their geographical
spread lend diversity to its deposit base. Thus, a bank with a large number of
branches dispersed all over India and with an optimal rural/urban mix is
viewed favorably.
Deposit mix
A banks deposit mix has an impact on its cost of deposits. A high proportion
of savings and current deposits lead to a low-cost resource base. CRISIL also
analyses the trends to in deposit mix to form an opinion on future stability and
costs.
Growth in deposits
Accretion to deposits in the main source of funding asset growth and
managing liquidity risks in banks. CRISIL compares the growth in deposit of a
bank with industry trends to make relative judgments.
Cost of deposits
Cost of deposits is a function of the banks deposit mix, its region of
operations and its ability to attract deposits at lower rates. Banks that have a
low cost of resources not only benefit through higher profitability but also
have greater flexibility to increase deposit rates in order to maintain their
resources position.
Asset quality
A bank or FIs asst quality is a measure of its ability to manage credit risks.
Besides studying the banks credit appraisal mechanisms, portfolio monitoring
procedures and problem asset resolution strategies, CRISIL analyses asset
quality on the basis of the following parameters:
Geographical diversity and diversity across industries
Geographical diversity of asset base and diversity across industries, along with
single risk concentration limits, are important inputs in determining the assert
quality of banks/FIs. Regional banks with limited operations and branch
network have lesser flexibility to diversify their advances portfolio than banks
with a national presence and are thus susceptible to adverse economic
conditions in a particular region.
The industry exposure and single risk concentration is monitored by the
central bank, that is the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), through exposure
guidelines. However, some banks/FIs show a high degree of exposure to
certain industries, making themselves vulnerable to downturns in those
industries. To ascertain the importance of individual borrowers, CRISIL
reviews the rated banks largest credit exposures.
Client profile of the corporate asset portfolio
The credit quality of a banks corporate portfolio (funded as well as nonfunded) is an important input in analyzing asset quality. CRISIL analyses the
profile of clients in the asset portfolio to make a judgment on portfolio quality.
The ability of a bank/FI to attract better credit quality clients is an important
indicator of its future credit quality. The size (of capital) of a financial sector
entity lends considerably flexibility in attracting larger and better quality
clients given its sheer ability to take on larger exposures on its balance sheet.
Also, a bank or FIs ability to attract and retain good quality clients by
providing value-added services would enhance asset quality in future.
Quality of non-industrial lending
Banks in India have an obligation to lend a proportion of their funds to the
priority sector that primarily encompasses agriculture and small-scale
industries. To this extent, FIs are better placed than banks because they do not
have any such obligations. CRISIL analyses the credit quality of this nonindustrial portfolio in arriving at a judgment on the overall asset quality of a
bank. The credit quality of the asset portfolio is also indicated by the segmentwise non-performing asset (NPA) levels of the portfolio, revealing the
performance of the bank in each segment. This helps in gauging the banks
relative strength in each of its loan segments.
In recent times, banks as well as FIs are increasingly focusing on retail
consumer loans, primarily vehicle and housing loans. CRISIL looks at the
quality of retail consumer credit growth, the underwriting standards and
recovery mechanisms to arrive at the asset quality implications of the retail
foray.
NPA levels
The asset quality of a bank depends not only on the credit quality of its clients
but also on its ability to manage its asset portfolio. The gross NPA level helps
to benchmark the bank/FIs ability to manage its asset portfolio on a relative
scale. Gross NPA levels are an indicator of the inherent quality of the entitys
asset portfolio and thus, of its credit appraisal capabilities. Net NPA levels are
an indicator of the balance-sheet strength of the bank, the proportion of
earning assets held by it and the potential credit loss. The proportion of
earning assets and the potential credit loss would have a bearing on the banks
future earnings capability.
Movement of provisions and write-offs
Some banks/FIs follow a practice of writing off a large portion of their bad
loans in order to clean up their balance sheets. Thus, the present NPA numbers
are not a true indicator of the inherent credit quality of a banks asset portfolio.
Hence, NPA levels alone cannot be a criterion to assess a banks future asset
quality. Average provisioning, including write-offs, over a five-year time
frame is an indicator of the level of cleaning up done by a bank over a period
of time. This average provisioning level and its movement is an indicator of
the portfolios credit risk and the expected future write-offs and provisioning,
which would further affect the banks earnings capability.
Growth in advances
High growth rates in the financial sector bring the risks associated with the
establishment of collection systems, tracking of asset quality and lack of
seasoning of the lending portfolio. CRISIL closely analyses the pattern and
nature of such growth, studying entities with higher growth rates more
carefully to look at nature of the growth, the reasons for it and its implications
on the asset quality. An entity that has grown by attracting good quality clients
from its competitors would be viewed more favorably than one that has grown
just by increasing its geographical presence or diluting credit criteria.
evaluation
CRISIL attaches significance to the operating systems for data capturing and
MIS reporting in a bank. A banks balance sheet that has a large volume of
transactions pending reconciliation reflects its lack of operating systems and is
viewed negatively. CRISIL also analyses expenses made on technology during
the recent period and the banks strategy of using technology effectively as a
delivery platform to reduce costs and improve service levels.
Appetite for risk
CRISIL also analyses the bank managements attitude towards risk and the
level of interest rate, foreign exchange and equity risks in the balance sheet. A
high risk propensity typically reflects in higher volatility in earnings in both
the fund-based and the fee businesses. A management with a higher propensity
to take risks is viewed cautiously.
Motivation levels of the staff
Employee motivation levels could be a function of remuneration, management
involvement and job satisfaction. Such motivation levels would directly affect
a banks service levels, which is a key success factor in a market-driven
environment.
Earning potential
CRISIL analyses a bank/FIs earning on the basis of the level, diversity and
stability of earnings.
Level of earnings
The level of earnings as measured by the return on total assets (ROTA)
provides the bank/FI a cushion for its debt servicing and also increases its
ability to cover its asset risk. ROTA is a function of interest spreads expense
levels, provisioning levels and the non-interest income earned by the bank.
The size of net profit is also factored in while raring the entitys earnings.
Earnings of banks/FIs have been affected due to volatility in interest rates.
Thus, the trend in profitability at gross profit levels is examined over the past
years to take a view on the sustainability of earnings. The various elements
leading to profitability like interest spread, fees levels, expense levels and
provisioning levels are also analyzed to take a view on the profitability trend
and the sustainability of profits in the future.
Diversity of income sources
Diversity of income sources is an important input in analyzing the stability of
earnings. Diversity in fund-based income is achieved by focusing on different
borrower segments like industries, trade and retail. Banks also diversify their
income streams through non-interest or fee income like guarantees, cash
management facility, service charges from retail customers and trading
income. Fee income provides a cushion to probability, especially in times of
pressure on interest spreads.
CRISIL also views the composition of interest revenue streams while
analyzing the earnings position of a bank/FI. Banks relying on short-term,
non-repetitive income sources like bills financing and trading income are
viewed less favorably than banks with long term credit relationships with
companies through cash credit or term loan exposures and the like. CRISIL
also analyses the composition of the non-interest income while evaluating a
bank/FIs earnings. Non-interest income also includes income from trading
activities, which tend to be volatile. A closer analysis of the competition of
revenue streams helps in forming an opinion on the sustainability of the
earnings.
Efficiency measures
CRISIL looks at the levels and trend of operating expenses and degree of
automation in the bank/FI. CRISIL looks at salary expenses and total noninterest expenses as a proportion of total income and average assets.
Liquidity/Asse
t liability management
CRISIL assesses the asset liability maturity profile of the rated entity to form
an opinion on the liquidity risk as well as the interest rate risk. The entitys
general philosophy of asset and liability management is discussed.
Liquidity risk
The liquidity risk rating factors in the banks resources strength and the
liquidity support available to it in the form of access to recall/repo borrowings
and the extent of refinance available from the RBI. Banks are the primary
channelisers of retail savings into the economy. Most public sector banks
having a widespread branch network act as conduits for mobilizing retail
savings. CRISIL views most of the public sector banks favorably on these
parameters due to stable accretion to deposits and the liquidity support
available to them.
An FIs liquidity position is a position is a function of its managements policy
of maintaining treasury portfolios to meet asset and liability side liquidity
demands. However, on account of their significance to the domestic financial
sector, FIs enjoy a high degree of financial flexibility that reduces liquidity
risks too fairly low levels.
The specific liquidity parameters analyzed by CRISIL are:
Liquid assets/ Total assets
To arrive at this ratio, CRISIL looks at the percentage of sovereign
investments in an entitys books to its total assets. This can also be roughly
derived from the credit-deposit ratio.
Proportion of small deposits
CRISIL looks at the proportion of deposits below Rs. 150 million to the banks
total deposit base. This small sized retail deposits tend to be inherently more
stable.
Interest rate risk
The rating factors in the volatility of the bank/FIs earnings to interest rate
changes. CRISIL analyses the entitys asset liability maturity profile to judge
the level of interest rate risk carried by it. In the Indian banking systems, the
interest rate and maturity profile of the assets and liabilities have an inherent
mismatch. The floating rate advances portfolio (linked to prime lending rates)
and the relatively long duration investment portfolio are funded through short
to medium tenure liabilities, which exposes the bank to an element of interest
rate risk.
FIs score over banks in this regard due to the wholesale nature of their
operations and policies that link the nature of borrowing (fixed/floating) with
correspondingly matched lending. On an overall basis, FIs carry relatively
fewer interest rate risks compared to banks.
Government
support
guidance tool
powerful
Disincentives
Given the improved quality of information content in the marketplace after the
introduction of IPO assessments, there will be a stratification of the market on
fundamental lines.
Fundamentally sound companies will command commensurate valuations,
while companies whose fundamentals are not very strong will be impeded in
building up speculative demand among investors, and will need to offer
pricing, which will adequately compensate investors for the risks they take.
Increased
investor sophistication
In today's markets, with free pricing, it is just as easy to lose money on listing
as it is to make it.
An independent and informed opinion on the fundamental quality of the
company, along with clear and concise information, will go a long way
towards making the process far more scientific. With a clear view on the
quality and risk drivers of the company the investor is getting into, he can
choose the level of risk he is comfortable with.
He will then take investment decisions, which reflect his outlook on factors
such as product prices and input costs and are in line with his target portfolio
composition. Such analysis is today beyond all but the most sophisticated
investors.
The assessment is not a recommendation to buy - or not buy - a stock. It is,
instead, a powerful tool to assist the investor in making up his mind about the
quality of a company offered as an IPO investment option.
However, there are several arguments against the proposal. Equity, by its very
nature, is risk investment'. 'Caveat emptor' or 'buyers beware' hold true
especially for equity investments.
Pricing of shares is the most critical factor in evaluating IPOs. By refusing to
comment on pricing, the rating's value is immediately diminished. Markets do
not always take the rating on its face value. For example, in the case of debt
instruments, instruments with same ratings have different prices/YTMs.
Issuers to pay
A strong case exists for reducing issue expenses drastically right from the
preparation of the offer document (prospectus) to the allotment stage.
Regulatory measures since the advent of SEBI in the early 1990s have in fact
taken note of the disproportionately large bill that issuers of capital have to
meet. At the same time, insistence on fuller disclosures, a key area of
regulation, cannot be wished away.
Simplification of the offer document and incorporating its key provisions in an
easy-to-read format in the application form has been major steps forward. But
it is difficult to see how a rated IPO will enhance investor protection further.
However, it appears that all major investor associations have pitched for
equity ratings. Initial opposition, according to them, is mainly from merchant
bankers and others who are now directly involved with the public issue. Their
role could be threatened by the new development.
A rating exercise is specific to a scheme or instrument. The company issuing
the security is not rated. Its fixed deposit schemes, debentures and other debt
instruments are. It will be wrong to read larger meanings applicable to the
whole company from the rating for any of its schemes.
Debt instruments are more amenable to rating. Safety of the money invested in
a particular scheme and correspondingly the company's ability to repay the
debt are two of the key factors covered by the rating exercise.
Different
exercise
Though by no means fool proof, rating agencies have over time acquitted
themselves creditably in rating debt instruments. Although it was regulatory
rules that provided the impetus for the rating of debt instruments, the facts is
that the grading given 5, 4 and so on are now easily recognized by
investors.
Rating agencies will naturally have to go through the learning curve before
they get a handle on rating equities. Starting with the IPO, rating of a
company's equity issue is likely to be a continuous affair. Hence secondary
market investors too can use the rating in their decisions.
Even granted that rating agencies can equip themselves soon, the question
remains whether (a) a rating so arrived at is of much relevance to investors and
(b) they will not induce a sense of false complacency among investors.
There is no way that a grading will obviate the need for looking at the offer
document and the various disclosures, especially in issues by new promoters.
For blue chip issues, there will be no need to look at either the disclosures or
the rating.
Realty sector
long been cautioning banks against reckless lending to the real estate sector. It
has also asked them to treat lending to special economic zones as exposure to
commercial property and incorporate more onerous terms in loan agreements.
Short selling
Short selling by institutions is an idea whose time has come. Institutions can
go short if they are convinced that the price of a particular share will go down.
At lower levels, they can buy the share and square the position. This is of
course the opposite of what an investor does when he is betting on a higher
price: he will borrow money, take a position and hopefully come out when the
price is right.
SEBI has made it mandatory for short-sellers to back their actual action by
borrowing the relevant shares. That presupposes the existence of a vibrant
stock lending mechanism to be operated by a depository or a custodian.
Beneficial owners of the shares will of course be compensated.
Institutional short selling, according to its critics, will aggravate, not minimize,
volatility and will further tighten the hold institutions have in today's share
market. Like many other recent moves of SEBI, this one too will need to be
examined in detail. Conceptually, however, it looks extremely sound.
25-40 years
40-60 years
Retired
Share / Equity
Banks
Real Estate
Others
NO
NO
Study
Broker
Market
Others
NO
CARE
ICRA
FITCH
NO
NO
Comments:
NO
SURVEY ANALYSIS
Q.1) WHAT IS YOUR AGE?
25 Years and Below
40-60 Years
25-40 Years
Retired
PARTICULARS
25 Years and Below
25-40 Years
40-60 Years
Retired
TOTAL
RESPONSE
11
16
12
11
50
TOTAL RESPONSE
Out of the responded almost 32% of them were from the age group of 2540 years. Fewer almost 22% were from the age group of below 25 years
and above 65 years almost on retirement age.
Q.2) WHAT IS YOUR PREFERRED AREA OF INVESTMENT?
Mutual Funds
Shares/Equity
Banks
Real Estate
Gold
Others
PARTICULARS
Mutual Funds
Shares/ Equity
Banks
Real Estate
Gold
Others
TOTAL
RESPONSE
8
11
10
6
12
3
50
TOTAL RESPONSE
Mutual Funds
Shares / Equity
Banks
Real Estate
Gold
Others
PARTICULARS
Yes
No
TOTAL
No
RESPONSE
40
10
50
YES
NO
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
No
PARTICULARS
Yes
No
TOTAL
RESPONSE
23
27
50
90%
TOTAL RESPONSE
YES
NO
Almost 46% responded that they know about IPO and rest had no idea.
Study
Broker
Market
Others
PARTICULARS
Website
Study
Broker
Market
Others
TOTAL
RESPONSE
7
8
15
17
3
50
TOTAL RESPONSE
Others
Market
Broker
Study
Website
0.00%
5.00%
No
RESPONSE
40
10
50
TOTAL RESPONSE
YES
NO
ICRA
CARE
FITCH
PARTICULARS
CRISIL
ICRA
CARE
FITCH
TOTAL
RESPONSE
25
18
3
4
50
TOTAL RESPONSE
25
20
15
10
5
0
CRISIL
ICRA
CARE
FITCH
PARTICULARS
Yes
No
TOTAL
No
RESPONSE
31
19
50
TOTAL RESPONSE
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
NO
YES
No
No Comments
PARTICULAR
Yes
No
No Comments
TOTAL
RESPONSE
29
6
15
50
TOTAL RESPONSE
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
YES
NO
NO COMMENTS
YES After grading is published, an investor can take its decision as per
the companys report. And finally go for that companys IPO whose
report is satisfactory according to investor.
NO Because investors think that they can too analyze as per their
knowledge.
Q.10)
DO
YOU
THINK
THAT
IPO
GRADING
SHOULD
MANDATORY?
Yes
PARTICULARS
Yes
No
TOTAL
No
RESPONSE
45
5
50
TOTAL RESPONSE
YES
NO
SECONDARY DATA
IPO grading: Help or hindrance?
BS Smart Investor Bureau | May 10, 2004
Q: Do you want comment on that?
Tandon: I have no doubt that any rating agency, with their track record,
and with their own experience of various markets, will find ways of rating
new companies. My fear is exactly is that is that the goalpost that we are
trying to set for ourselves, is it the job of the rating agency to decide
whether or not the business which you should invest in? As I said you
come back to the basic purpose; purpose is to simplify give a one point yes or no investment decision to the common man (aam aadmi).
Ravimohan: No, thats not the agenda and cant be the agenda because if
you take a very simplistic view all I am saying is all of this research that
we all put is leading to very simplest some idea of the EPS and there are
two investors with completely different outlook, different confidence
levels, different philosophy of life, different liquidity position would come
up with completely different PE ratios by with which you multiple the EPS
to come to the valuation.
I personally think valuation is dependent on so many factors other than
fundamentals, fundamental is one part and where we are getting to with
the IPO grading is to get a realistic estimation of where the fundamentals
are and then leave it to the market to judge whether the EPS or the
valuations that they want to put on that fundamentals to their own
judgment. So we cannot go to the end result, which is where we are today
which is to say whether to buy or not.
I think it is so customized, that even I will add one more twist to the
question that raised Anand raised that its a great company but is the
valuations stretched and then let say we have a third question that it is a
great company valuation is not stretched but I still may not be right
investor in that entity because I am a widow and I want to be more
concerned about monthly income rather than equity upsides. So I think we
cannot simplify equity investment process to a single point agenda it is a
complex issue and I think more that we disintegrate into its components fundamentals, valuations and investment advice I think we are better off
and I think we will be able to give better service to the investors at large.
Q: How does that work exactly, doesnt that leave more gray
for an investor when you talk about the management quality
or corporate governance, which might be great, the brand
which might be great but the price might be completely out
of
whack?
Ravimohan: I hope that is something, which will evolve faster. The fact of
the matter is that fundamentals are one area which today gets subsumed in
the overall equity research including the valuations.
Whereas what I am saying is that once you have a good indications for
where the fundamentals are. If the pricing goes out of whack, that is a
good indication for investors to stay away from that issue at the IPO grade
and hope to pick it up if he thinks the price is too high and is likely to fall
after the listing and pick it up in the secondary market.
SEBI is taking steps to change the way companies tap investors for funds,
way institutions trade and at cut down on cost and time for a number of
market participants,
M Damodaran, chairman, SEBI said.
This decision was taken to avoid situations like in the 1990s when a large
number of companies had tapped the IPO market for funds but soon the
companies as well as its promoters vanished leaving investors with
worthless
papers.
SEBI proposed for a change of rules that will make disclosure norms for
valuing land banks of real estate companies more detailed and strict.
The SEBI chief also said the board had given its nod for institutions to
short sell in the market and soon detailed guidelines will be in place.
SEBI has also tried to take future projections and subjectivity out of realty
IPOs. Of late a number of real estate companies have been rushing with
their IPO plans, valuing their shares much higher than their listed peers.
SEBI chief said real estate companies going for IPOs should value their
land bank at present prices and not at prices going forward.
SEBI also said that it was putting a cap on the regulatory charges that
market transactions like large IPOs and big-size mergers & acquisitions
attract.
CONCLUSION
Price is an important factor for any investment. What this means is that a
company listing at 10-15 times its price earning can be a good investment,
but the same company at 40-50 price times earning can be a terribly bad
investment.
If we look at the recent history of the IPO market, all real estate companies
got huge responses at the time of the issue, but the sector could not sustain
these high valuations. Price plays an important role in investments and the
market itself throws enough clues periodically. It is necessary to catch
these in time.
RECOMMENDATIONS
After making the project, I would like to say SEBI is playing very
important role in regulating the risk and financial aspects of the investors.
Also the DIP guideline is framed in such a manner, which can be
understood by any individual. Overall the process and the various
intermediaries, which are involved in IPOs or initial public offering, are
doing very important task.
I found the following points very important from the investor point of view
while doing this project:
The IPOs should be consumer friendly: Any investor should be
able to analyze the IPO in its simplest form and should be able to
understand of whether to apply for it or not.
IPOs should be graded which is already started. But I think such
kind of grading is not enough because it doesnt give enough
information about the company; it only says what the level of
grade that a company deserves is.
I would suggest shortening the time between application and
allocation or listing. We know SEBI and other intermediaries has
done great job in doing so in the past, but looking at the current
scenario we think its very important to do so. This would help
investor in investing the same money in other IPOs if he is not
allotted shares in that particular company.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Internet websites
www.crisil.com
www.capitalmarket.com
www.goggle.com
www.icra.com
www.moneycontrol.com
Magazines
Capital Market
India Today
Dalal Street
Newspapers
The Times Of India
The Financial Express