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Binomial, Poisson
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Probability Distribution
1
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Probability Distribution
1
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Probability Distribution
1
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Probability Distribution
1
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Probability Distribution
1
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Probability Distribution
1
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Probability Distribution
1
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Probability Distribution
1
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Probability Distribution
1
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Probability Distribution
1
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Probability Distribution
1
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Probability Distribution
1
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Frequency
8
10
22
9
1
50
Relative Frequency
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Frequency
8
10
22
9
1
50
Relative Frequency
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Frequency
8
10
22
9
1
50
Relative Frequency
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Frequency
8
10
22
9
1
50
Relative Frequency
8 = .16
50
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Frequency
8
10
22
9
1
50
Relative Frequency
8 = .16
50
.20
.44
.18
.02
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Frequency
8
10
22
9
1
50
Relative Frequency
8 = .16
50
.20
.44
.18
.02
1.00
Outline
Exercise 5-Mean
What is the mean number of calls per day?
X
X = E(X) =
xP (x)
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x P (x)
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Exercise 5-Mean
What is the mean number of calls per day?
X
X = E(X) =
xP (x)
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x P (x)
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Exercise 5-Mean
What is the mean number of calls per day?
X
X = E(X) =
xP (x)
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x P (x)
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Exercise 5-Mean
What is the mean number of calls per day?
X
X = E(X) =
xP (x)
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x P (x)
0.00
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Exercise 5-Mean
What is the mean number of calls per day?
X
X = E(X) =
xP (x)
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x P (x)
0.00
0.20
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Exercise 5-Mean
What is the mean number of calls per day?
X
X = E(X) =
xP (x)
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x P (x)
0.00
0.20
0.88
0.54
0.08
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Exercise 5-Mean
What is the mean number of calls per day?
X
X = E(X) =
xP (x)
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x P (x)
0.00
0.20
0.88
0.54
0.08
1.7
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Exercise 5-Variance
)
x
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x x
(x x )2
(x x )2 P (x)
0.30
1.30
2.30
0.09
1.69
5.29
0.0396
0.3042
0.1058
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Exercise 5-Variance
)
x
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x x
(x x )2
(x x )2 P (x)
0.30
1.30
2.30
0.09
1.69
5.29
0.0396
0.3042
0.1058
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Exercise 5-Variance
)
x
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x x
(x x )2
(x x )2 P (x)
0.30
1.30
2.30
0.09
1.69
5.29
0.0396
0.3042
0.1058
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Exercise 5-Variance
)
x
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x x
(x x )2
(x x )2 P (x)
0.30
1.30
2.30
0.09
1.69
5.29
0.0396
0.3042
0.1058
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Exercise 5-Variance
)
x
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x x
-1.70
(x x )2
(x x )2 P (x)
0.30
1.30
2.30
0.09
1.69
5.29
0.0396
0.3042
0.1058
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Exercise 5-Variance
)
x
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x x
-1.70
-0.70
0.30
1.30
2.30
(x x )2
(x x )2 P (x)
0.09
1.69
5.29
0.0396
0.3042
0.1058
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Exercise 5-Variance
)
x
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x x
-1.70
-0.70
0.30
1.30
2.30
(x x )2
2.89
0.49
0.09
1.69
5.29
(x x )2 P (x)
0.0396
0.3042
0.1058
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Exercise 5-Variance
)
x
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x x
-1.70
-0.70
0.30
1.30
2.30
(x x )2
2.89
0.49
0.09
1.69
5.29
(x x )2 P (x)
0.4624
0.0396
0.3042
0.1058
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Exercise 5-Variance
)
x
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x x
-1.70
-0.70
0.30
1.30
2.30
(x x )2
2.89
0.49
0.09
1.69
5.29
(x x )2 P (x)
0.4624
0.098
0.0396
0.3042
0.1058
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Exercise 5-Variance
)
x
all x
P (x)
0.16
0.20
0.44
0.18
0.02
1
x x
-1.70
-0.70
0.30
1.30
2.30
(x x )2
2.89
0.49
0.09
1.69
5.29
(x x )2 P (x)
0.4624
0.098
0.0396
0.3042
0.1058
1.01
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
n
x
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Binomial coefficient
Binomial coefficient, nx combination of n items selected x at a
time.
n
x is denoted as nCx (reads Cnx) counts the number of x
combinations from a set of n objects. The binomial coefficient
counts all possible ways of getting x successes in n trials.
One possible outcome with x successes and (n x) failures has
prob. of x (1 )nx . Then, the question is how to count such
outcomes?
Suppose that when a telemarketer makes 10 calls (to 10 different
customers). Count all the possible ways of making 7 sales next
hour.
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Binomial coefficient
Binomial coefficient, nx combination of n items selected x at a
time.
n
x is denoted as nCx (reads Cnx) counts the number of x
combinations from a set of n objects. The binomial coefficient
counts all possible ways of getting x successes in n trials.
One possible outcome with x successes and (n x) failures has
prob. of x (1 )nx . Then, the question is how to count such
outcomes?
Suppose that when a telemarketer makes 10 calls (to 10 different
customers). Count all the possible ways of making 7 sales next
hour.
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Binomial coefficient
Binomial coefficient, nx combination of n items selected x at a
time.
n
x is denoted as nCx (reads Cnx) counts the number of x
combinations from a set of n objects. The binomial coefficient
counts all possible ways of getting x successes in n trials.
One possible outcome with x successes and (n x) failures has
prob. of x (1 )nx . Then, the question is how to count such
outcomes?
Suppose that when a telemarketer makes 10 calls (to 10 different
customers). Count all the possible ways of making 7 sales next
hour.
Outline
n
n!
=
x
x!(n x)!
n! = n (n 1) 1 reads n-factorial.
8! = 8 7 6 2 1
0! = 1
Calculate
4
2
6
2
6
4
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
n
n!
=
x
x!(n x)!
n! = n (n 1) 1 reads n-factorial.
8! = 8 7 6 2 1
0! = 1
Calculate
4
2
6
2
6
4
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
n
n!
=
x
x!(n x)!
n! = n (n 1) 1 reads n-factorial.
8! = 8 7 6 2 1
0! = 1
Calculate
4
2
6
2
6
4
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
n
n!
=
x
x!(n x)!
n! = n (n 1) 1 reads n-factorial.
8! = 8 7 6 2 1
0! = 1
Calculate
4
2
6
2
6
4
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
n
n!
=
x
x!(n x)!
n! = n (n 1) 1 reads n-factorial.
8! = 8 7 6 2 1
0! = 1
Calculate
4
2
6
2
6
4
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
n
n!
=
x
x!(n x)!
n! = n (n 1) 1 reads n-factorial.
8! = 8 7 6 2 1
0! = 1
Calculate
4
2
6
2
6
4
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
X
all x
n x
nx
(x x )
(1 )
= n(1 )
x
2
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
The Bank of Hawaii reports that 20 percent of its credit card holders
will default at sometime in their life. The Hilo Branch just mailed out
12 new cards today.
How many of these new cardholders would you expect to default?
What is the standard deviation?
What is the probability that exactly 3 of the cardholders will
default?
What is the probability that at least 4 will default?
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
The Bank of Hawaii reports that 20 percent of its credit card holders
will default at sometime in their life. The Hilo Branch just mailed out
12 new cards today.
How many of these new cardholders would you expect to default?
What is the standard deviation?
What is the probability that exactly 3 of the cardholders will
default?
What is the probability that at least 4 will default?
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
The Bank of Hawaii reports that 20 percent of its credit card holders
will default at sometime in their life. The Hilo Branch just mailed out
12 new cards today.
How many of these new cardholders would you expect to default?
What is the standard deviation?
What is the probability that exactly 3 of the cardholders will
default?
What is the probability that at least 4 will default?
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
The Bank of Hawaii reports that 20 percent of its credit card holders
will default at sometime in their life. The Hilo Branch just mailed out
12 new cards today.
How many of these new cardholders would you expect to default?
What is the standard deviation?
What is the probability that exactly 3 of the cardholders will
default?
What is the probability that at least 4 will default?
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
The Bank of Hawaii reports that 20 percent of its credit card holders
will default at sometime in their life. The Hilo Branch just mailed out
12 new cards today.
How many of these new cardholders would you expect to default?
What is the standard deviation?
What is the probability that exactly 3 of the cardholders will
default?
What is the probability that at least 4 will default?
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
x e
x exp()
=
,
x!
x!
where
= the known average number of successes in a particular
interval of time or space, > 0,
a
+ a1 = 2.71828 , Or, e can be
The constant, e lima 1P
1
defined by the infinite series, a=0 a!
.
x = the number of successes = 0, 1, 2, 3, .
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
x e
x exp()
=
,
x!
x!
where
= the known average number of successes in a particular
interval of time or space, > 0,
a
+ a1 = 2.71828 , Or, e can be
The constant, e lima 1P
1
defined by the infinite series, a=0 a!
.
x = the number of successes = 0, 1, 2, 3, .
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
x e
x exp()
=
,
x!
x!
where
= the known average number of successes in a particular
interval of time or space, > 0,
a
+ a1 = 2.71828 , Or, e can be
The constant, e lima 1P
1
defined by the infinite series, a=0 a!
.
x = the number of successes = 0, 1, 2, 3, .
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
x e
x exp()
=
,
x!
x!
where
= the known average number of successes in a particular
interval of time or space, > 0,
a
+ a1 = 2.71828 , Or, e can be
The constant, e lima 1P
1
defined by the infinite series, a=0 a!
.
x = the number of successes = 0, 1, 2, 3, .
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
x e
x exp()
=
,
x!
x!
where
= the known average number of successes in a particular
interval of time or space, > 0,
a
+ a1 = 2.71828 , Or, e can be
The constant, e lima 1P
1
defined by the infinite series, a=0 a!
.
x = the number of successes = 0, 1, 2, 3, .
Outline
Poisson
x
X
2 e
=
(x x )
=
x!
all x
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
x
X
2 e
=
(x x )
=
x!
all x
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
x
X
2 e
=
(x x )
=
x!
all x
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Suppose 1.5 percent of the antennas on new Nokia cell phones are
defective. For a random sample of 200 antennas:
What is the probability distribution of the number of defective
antennas?
What is the probability that none of the antennas is defective?
What is the probability that three or more of the antennas are
defective?
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Suppose 1.5 percent of the antennas on new Nokia cell phones are
defective. For a random sample of 200 antennas:
What is the probability distribution of the number of defective
antennas?
What is the probability that none of the antennas is defective?
What is the probability that three or more of the antennas are
defective?
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Suppose 1.5 percent of the antennas on new Nokia cell phones are
defective. For a random sample of 200 antennas:
What is the probability distribution of the number of defective
antennas?
What is the probability that none of the antennas is defective?
What is the probability that three or more of the antennas are
defective?
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Suppose 1.5 percent of the antennas on new Nokia cell phones are
defective. For a random sample of 200 antennas:
What is the probability distribution of the number of defective
antennas?
What is the probability that none of the antennas is defective?
What is the probability that three or more of the antennas are
defective?
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
S
x
N S
nx
N
n
,
where
N = the population size,
S = the number of successes in the population,
N S = the number of failures in the population,
n = the number of trials,
x = the number of successes in the sample,
n x = the number of failures in the sample.
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
S
x
N S
nx
N
n
,
where
N = the population size,
S = the number of successes in the population,
N S = the number of failures in the population,
n = the number of trials,
x = the number of successes in the sample,
n x = the number of failures in the sample.
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
S
x
N S
nx
N
n
,
where
N = the population size,
S = the number of successes in the population,
N S = the number of failures in the population,
n = the number of trials,
x = the number of successes in the sample,
n x = the number of failures in the sample.
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
X = n
2
X
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
X = n
2
X
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
X = n
2
X
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
X = n
2
X
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric
Outline
Poisson
Hypergeometric