1

Corrib Onshore Pipeline: Qualitative Risk Assessment

Risk Assessment Matrix

Consequence Scale:
Shell Matrix
1

Slight injury

AS2885 Matrix
Trivial

Minimal impact

Minor injury

Minor

Injuries requiring 1st

aid

Major injury

Severe

Injury requiring
hospital treatment

1 to 3 fatalities

Major

Few fatalities

More than 3 fatalities

Catastrophic Multiple fatalities

Corrib Onshore Pipeline: Qualitative Risk Assessment

Risk Assessment Matrix

Likelihood Scale:
Shell Matrix
A

Highly unlikely - never heard

of in the industry

Heard of in the industry

Has happened in UIE* (or

more than once per year in
the industry)

Has happened at the location

(or more than once per year in
UIE*)

Frequent - has happened

more than once per year in
the location

*UIE= Upstream International Europe

AS2885 Matrix
Hypothetical

Theoretically possible
but has never occurred
on a similar pipeline

Remote

Not anticipated for this

pipeline at this location

Unlikely

Unlikely to occur within

the life of the pipeline,
but possible

Occasional

May occur occasionally

in the life of the pipeline

Frequent

Expected to occur once

a year or more

Corrib Onshore Pipeline: Qualitative Risk Assessment

Overall Risk Assessment Matrix

Comparison
AS2885 Matrix
Catastrophic

Major

Severe

Minor

Trivial

Frequent

Extreme

Extreme

High

Intermediate

Low

Occasional

Extreme

High

Intermediate

Low

Low

Unlikely

High

High

Intermediate

Low

Negligible

Remote

High

Intermediate

Low

Negligible

Negligible

Low

Negligible

Negligible

Negligible

Hypothetical Intermediate

Corrib Onshore Pipeline: Qualitative Risk Assessment

Overall Risk Assessment Matrix Comparison

Shell Matrix

Frequent

Has happened at
location

Has happened in
UIE

Heard of in
industry

Highly unlikely

More
than 3
fatalities

1 to 3
fatalities

Major
injury

Minor
injury

Slight
injury

Corrib Onshore Pipeline: Qualitative Risk Assessment

Overall Risk Assessment Matrix Comparison

Shell Matrix vs AS2885
5

More
than 3
fatalities

1 to 3
fatalities

Major
injury

Minor
injury

Slight
injury

Extreme

Extreme

High

Intermediate

Low

Frequent

Has happened at
location

Extreme

High

Intermediate

Low

Low

Has happened in
UIE

High

High

Intermediate

Low

Negligible

Heard of in
industry

High

Intermediate

Low

Negligible

Negligible

Highly unlikely

Intermediate

Low

Negligible

Negligible

Negligible

Corrib Onshore Pipeline: Qualitative Risk Assessment

Overall Risk Assessment Matrix Comparison

AS2885

Frequent
Occasional
Unlikely
Remote
Hypothetical

Catastrophic

Major

Severe

Minor

Trivial

Extreme

Extreme

High

Intermediate

Low

Extreme

High

Intermediate

Low

Low

High

High

Intermediate

Low

Negligible

High

Intermediate

Low

Negligible

Negligible

Intermediate

Low

Negligible

Negligible

Negligible

Corrib Onshore Pipeline: Qualitative Risk Assessment

Potential Risk
Shell Matrix

Frequent

Has happened at
location

Has happened in
UIE

Heard of in
industry

Highly unlikely

More
than 3
fatalities

1 to 3
fatalities

Major
injury

Minor
injury

Slight
injury

1
2

Corrib Onshore Pipeline: Qualitative Risk Assessment

Potential Risk
AS2885
Catastrophic

Major

Severe

Minor

Frequent

Occasional
Unlikely
Remote
Hypothetical

Trivial

Corrib Onshore Pipeline: Qualitative Risk Assessment

Risk Treatment Actions

Shell Matrix

Frequent

Has happened at
location

Has happened in UIE

B
A

More than 3
fatalities

1 to 3
fatalities

Major injury

Minor injury

Indentify & implement controls

to reduce risk to ALARP and
provide a documented
demonstration of ALARP
Slight injury
1

Heard of in industry

Highly unlikely

1
Identify & implement controls to
reduce risk to As Low As
Reasonably Practicable
(ALARP)
Manage for continuous
improvement through effective
implementation of the Safety
Management System (SMS)

Corrib Onshore Pipeline: Qualitative Risk Assessment

10

Risk Treatment Actions

Reduce risk to intermediate or
lower

AS2885
Catastrophic

Major

Severe

Minor

Trivial

Frequent
Occasional

Unlikely

Remote

Hypothetical

1
If possible:
Quantify risk
Reduce risk to low or
negligible; otherwise
Demonstrate ALARP.
Determine management plan for
prevention and monitoring for
changes (i.e. SMS)
Review at next review interval

Corrib Onshore Pipeline: Qualitative Risk Assessment

11

Risk Treatment Comparison

Shell

Reduce risks
to ALARP = 31

Manage via
SMS = 14

AS2885

Reduce risks to
intermediate or lower = 15
Reduce to low or
demonstrate ALARP = 15
Determine SMS = 13
Review next time = 2