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Introduction
Clearwater Seafood was a seafood exporting firm which suffered from a decline in sales
revenue due to the appreciation of Canadian dollars and other business risks. As a result, the
company failed to distribute dividends under income trust. The company had to hold a
conference for shareholders and adjust its strategy to tackle such problem it faces.
In the first part of this report, both exchange rate risk and business risk will be illustrated
according to its financial performance and operating process. The second part includes any
recommendation in my point of view.
Figures in Exhibit 8 can confirm the translation risks. The foreign currency translation cost
fluctuated from 2003 to 2005, which was $1.443m, $3,006m, and $1.236m in specific. An
abnormally high translation cost can be observed in 2004. Translation costs may not have
linear relationship with exchange rate, but they indicates the fluctuation of exchange rate
which may create extra risk when constructing sales or cost budget to make future risk
hedges.
Economic risk refers to the competitiveness in international market. In this case, the
exchange rate of USD and Euro to Canadian dollar played the main role. The companys
international competitiveness was obviously weakening because USD was depreciating
gradually. Not only the revenue converted to Canadian dollar, but also the sales revenue in
American market was shrunk. Take the end of 2005 for example, the company had $62
million and Euro 12 million contracts respectively, which meant that every one-cent change
in exchange rate of US dollar and Euro to Canadian dollar would trigger US$505,000 and
Euro 285,000 fluctuation in sales and gross profit. That is quite a lot considering the
companys whole sales and profits.
The company did implement an active foreign exchange risk management scheme through
forward contracts and options. 50% of the cash flows were hedged by forward contracts,
which can provide certainty in exchange rates in 12 months or longer. Also, it sold call
options. If options were exercised, the company could make the transaction under a predetermined exchange rate. Nevertheless, only 50% of cash flows can be covered by the
forward contracts. Moreover, the short position of call option also would brought about extra
risks if the value of home currency moved to an unexpected direction. Such potential loss
could be infinite. Also, $22.5 million unqualified forward contract was a high-risky factor.
Business Risk
1. Need stable funds to support its strategy against competitors
This kind of risk can be categorised to strategic risk in business risk. The company mainly
has three core strategies to maintain its competitiveness against peer companies: innovation,
management of value chain and diversity of products. They are all driven by not only a great
quantity, but also stable funds in every period. For instance, the cutting-edge technologies
are supported by edged equipment and high-quality research groups. To hire an expertise and
maintain the equipment require enormous cash inflow every year. Similarly, the management
of value chain also needs managers with high salary costs. On the other hand, to diversify
products requires a large number of cash inflows in one period. Digging new produce species
and entering new markets costs a lot, including installation cost, cost from political barriers,
discount costs to beat local competitors and so on. Unfortunately, as mentioned above, due to
the fluctuating exchange rate of other factors, its profits are not stable and sufficient enough.
It is doubtful that its core strategy can be implemented as expectation. A future decline in
sales revenue can be expected, following the failure of strategy.
2. The risky value-added processing in different countries
Value-added processing is a customer driven process which produces products in a manner
that enhances its value. It can bring more risks for Clearwater when it is applied in various
countries. There are 23 offshore harvesting vessels owned by Clearwater. Clearwater has
offices in China, the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan and Argentina, which apply
their own strategy and follow different logistics according to local conditions. Four
distribution hubs are located in London, Brussels, Louisville and Halifax. The company
defines the value added process as which is related to produce fresh, high quality and variety
of products to satisfy customers in different countries with efficient distribution.
Theoretically, diversity of market may significantly increase uncertainty of such process. Any
change in this business cycle can result a big problem. For example, a change in price of any
raw material in any countries may force the company to reconstruct its operating process.
Any change of local customers preference may influence the companys revenue in these
countries. A new entrant into the market or a change of local governments politics may make
the value-added process inefficient. In all, the flexibility of operating process makes the
monitoring more costly and it is more likely not to be in accordance with the companys
whole strategy.
3. The risks derived from the nature of product
The seafood harvesting plays a vital role in Clearwaters business because it is the base of
sufficient resources supply. Nevertheless, the seafood harvesting is seasonal in nature. As a
result, the transactions are more frequent in the second half of each year which may bring
about a liquidity risk. Also, a change in climate or natural environment can impact the quality
and quantity of fishery. As long as the resources supply is influenced, the whole business
process and value chain is uncertain.
4. Political risks from Canadian government
The industry is regulated by the Department of Fishery and Oceans (DFO). They determine
the firms volume and species to catch and quotas for every company. The regulators are
likely to cut down the companys quotas or reduce the total allowable catch amount due to the
decreasing amount of some species. Any change in TAC is a risky factor.
5. The uncertain future of the whole industry.
Recent years have seen an increasing number of people realizing the importance of ocean
protection. Hazard risk may emerge due to the exploiting ocean resources. It is entirely
possible that the range of fish catching may be limited because of both the pollution and
ocean protection. On the other hand, however, people also realize the nutritional value of
seafood. Farmed fish could be preference. More risks will ensure when the company modifies
its industrial structure.
utilized. It refers to getting receipts early and making payment late when the Canadian dollar
is less valuable and is expected to appreciate and vice versa.
Appendix 1
2.46
2.38
1.51
1.5 1.57
1.62
1.46
1.61
1.38
1.48
1.31
0.01
2003
0.01
2004
0.01
2005
2.19
1
0.5
0 0.01
2002
USD
JPY
Eur
GBP
Appendix 2
USD
50.00%
JPY
Eur
40.00%
GBP
30.00%
other
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
2002
2003
2004
2005
Appendix 3
Sales by Geography
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
2003
2004
USA
Canada
Europe
China
Aisa
Others
2005
Japan
Appendix 4
Sales by Species
40.00%
30.00%
20.00%
10.00%
0.00%
2003
2004
scallops
lobster
clams
shrimp
crab
others
2005
ground fish