Documente Academic
Documente Profesional
Documente Cultură
Project
Development of Export Strategy
ASHISH
KHOLA
12A
DEEPIKA
RASTOGI
15A
KHUSHIT
MEHTA
21A
Table of Contents
Indian Dairy Industry An Overview
Production Policy and Regulation of Dairy products
Export Scenario of HS 040210
Value Chain Analysis
Incentives for exports
Challenges of Export of SMP
Export Potential of India
Potential destination Russia
Export to Russia - Vital information
References
12A_15A_21A
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The Dairy industry in India has witnessed a remarkable journey in last few decades.
From being a laggard and net importer of dairy products in 1950s and 1960s, India has
covered a lot of ground. India now is worlds largest producer of milk and a net
exporter of milk products. The credit of this transformation is largely attributed to
Operation Flood (a co-operative led movement started in 1970s which took in its fold
millions of small holding farmers who joined the three tier co-operative structure and
increased Indias milk output at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.7%
since 1969, up from a 0.7% CAGR from 1947 to1969) and other important schemes by
the government such as establishment of institutions like the National Dairy
Development Board (NDDB), de licensing of dairy sector MMPO etc.
Table 1. Milk production in various countries w.r.t ECM and Natural content
Now India ranks first in the world in milk production accounting for around 17% of
the global milk production, which has gone up from 53.9 million tons in 1990- 1991 to
127.9 million tons in 2012-13. It also has the largest cattle (185.2 million, 2.1 kg dairy
yield/animal and contributed 38% of total milk production) and buffalo population
(97.9 million, 2.6 kg dairy yield/ animal and contributed 54% of total milk production)
total population in the world. Besides being the largest producer it is also the largest
consumer due to which it is a very minor player in the world dairy market, accounting
for a miniscule 0.08% of the world dairy exports. Vast majority of the milk seldom
crosses the nations border and the focus of the dairy industry mainly remained local.
ITOD
Report
HS
040210
12A_15A_21A
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
But the brighter part is that the per capita availability of milk has also increased from
176 grams per day in 1990s to 295 grams per day in 2013-14 vowing to various schemes
like
The Intensive Dairy Development Programme
Strengthening infrastructure for quality and clean milk production
Assistance to Cooperatives, and Dairy Entrepreneurship Development Scheme
Dairy Venture Capital Fund
Dairy Entrepreneurship Development Scheme
The National Project for Cattle and Buffalo Breeding which has been under
implementation since 2000.
A new scheme called the National Dairy Plan Phase I has also been initiated in 2013-14.
ConsumpEon
In
India
4%
2%
1%
7%
6%
46%
6%
28%
Fluid Milk
Ghee
BuNer
Yogurt
Khoa
Milk Powder
Paneer
Others
The per capita availability of 290 grams per day is comparable with the world per capita
availability of milk at 289.31 grams per day for 2012. This represents sustained growth
in the availability of milk and milk products for the growing population of the country.
Also the price of milk in India is lower as compared to various countries of the world.
For instance Price in India is half that of USA. Hence promoting milk and its products
as exports is a viable option which the cooperatives and private players can make it
together. The rapidly rising integration of global production patterns and markets and
reducing trade barriers add a boost to the trade.
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red by the private sector through activities such as artificial insemination services, trainin
g for veterinary care and other livestock management skills.
In 2010, the government and the National Dairy Development Board have drawn up a
National Dairy Plan (NDP) that proposed an expenditure of around USD 378 million to
nearly double Indias milk production by 2020. This plan will endeavour to increase the
countrys milk productivity, improve access to quality feeds and improve farmer access
to the organised market. These goals will be achieved through activities that focus on
increasing cooperative membership and growing the network of milk collection facili
ties throughout India.
In addition, the new Food Safety and Standards Authority of India has consolidated var
ious previous policies that set the sanitary requirements for food safety, machinery, pre
mises, quality control, certification, packing, marking and labelling standards for all foo
d products, including milk and milk products and aims to regulating food safety in I
ndia through one overarching regulation.
The forthcoming regulation, named The Food Safety and Standards Regulation, is imple
mented in 2011. Although the Food Safety and Standards Authority of India sets the
safety standards for both domestically produced and imported milk and dairy pro
ducts, the Ministry of Agricultures Department of Animal Husbandry, Dairying and Fi
sheries is the entity that is responsible for issuing sanitary permits for the import of live
stock and dairy products into India.
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Thousands
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Major Countries in which the product is exported from India are Bangladesh, Egypt,
Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Yemen and Pakistan. These are the six major countries in which
the milk powder with fat not exceeding 1.5% is exported. Bangladesh is the leader
importer of HS 040210 from India.
20
40
60
80
100
120
Thousands
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52
-75
36
379
-82
1003
2007-2008
2008-2009
2009-2010
2011-2012 2012-2013
2013-2014
2010-2011
Now comparing the major Export growth in Quantity from India to the whole world for
HS 040210, 2011-2012 saw a major rise in growth from the last year while there is
negative growth for 2010-2011 and 2013-2014. There is a steep decline after 2012 in the
export of HS 040210 from India.
-200
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Now comparing the exported unit value in US Dollar/Tons we get to know that it is
almost in the range of 3200-3600 except 2009 and 2010 in which it is around 2200. It is
maximum in 2014(3581 with a growth of 15%). The growth on an average for the whole
years is around 12.5%
12A_15A_21A
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Now the Major countries in which milk powder is exported majorly is shown in the
map below.
The share of different countries by value in the export of India is compared for the
recent 5 years and Bangladesh is the leader in the same and Nepal is least among the
top countries.
12A_15A_21A
10
20
2014
30
40
50
60
2013
2012
2011
2010
70
80
90
100
Trade Balance of India for HS 040210 with top 5 countries is compared and again, we
have a positive trade balance with Bangladesh and Egypt is ranked after Bangladesh.
Algeria remained at third position.
Trade
Balance
in
2013
for
top
6
Countries
in
USD
1000
34395
30285
95559
35700
39236
Bangladesh
Egypt
74706
Algeria
Saudi Arabia
Yemen
Pakistan
12A_15A_21A
Export Trends
India exported more than 50 percent of its total dairy products shipments to the United
States, Bangladesh, U.A.E., China, Egypt and Singapore during 2008-09. The trend in
direction of exports indicates that Asia is the major destination of dairy exports from
India. During1991 to 2008 India has exported dairy products to the world market worth
US $ 162.93 million, while the corresponding figure for Asia is US $ 132.86 million. The
exports were made to 105 countries in the world, at least for one year. Among these 40
are Asian countries.
Although the number of non Asian countries is comparatively more than the
Asian destinations, yet the percentage share of all Asian countries together is much
more than the rest of the world export partners. The average share of Asian countries
during the past period 1991 to 2008 is about 80 & 82% on quantity & value basis
respectively. Among the Asian markets, Egypt & UAE are the most top two
destinations of our dairy products. For the past 10 years, 1998 to 2008, UAE is the
largest importer of milk & milk products from India. Singapore and Bangladesh are also
two attractive destinations for dairy exports. The shares of Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia,
Singapore, South Korea & Nepal have shown an upward trend after 1997, while
Philippines, Kuwait, Bahrain & Afghanistan suffered a downward trend in their share
of total Indias export to Asia.
Chart
Title
25
20
15
10
5
0
Figure 10. Exports Across major destinations during 2008-09 (000 million tons)
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6.
Trade in dairy products is very volatile, as dairy trade flows can be affected by
(a) Overall economic a situation in a country,
(b) Fluctuations in supply and demand,
(c) Changing exchange rates and
(d) Political measures.
Additional volatility is introduced by the fact that the global dairy market is extremely
concentrated in terms of buyers and sellers; hence, supply or demand shocks are not
easily absorbed.
Increasing Domestic Demand:
Demand for milk & milk products in India are estimated to grow at the fastest pace
amongst major food commodities. Therefore, with huge domestic market & buoyant
demand, there is limited scope for large scale exports of milk & milk products from the
country.
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prices will fall," said S Nagarajan, MD of Mother Dairy. The flush season runs from
October to March, when milk production increases across the country.
Infrastructural Aspects:
There are a lot of Infrastructural issues that plague the Indian dairy sector,
Shortage of water
Lack of education and understanding of hygiene factors
Inadequate power supply
Dairy Producers Face Distribution Challenges
Strong producer prices and government incentives have helped increase Indian milk
production and have attracted new investment to dairy processing. Despite strong
investment and growing procurement, India still faces fluid milk distribution
challenges (with the exception of some Indian dairy cooperatives). Given that demand
growth is being driven by the fluid milk category, one of the most important challenges
in India is delivering fluid milk to consumers at a competitive rate. Industry sources
indicate that with an unstable export market and a highly competitive informal sector,
new entrants to the dairy industry are challenged to find a remunerative market for
their efforts. As a result, processors are producing increasing quantities of SMP as they
struggle to serve the fluid milk market.
Stocks Will Remain Unchanged
Industry sources forecast SMP stocks to remain unchanged over the next six months, at
approximately 150 thousand metric tons. In addition to the upcoming flush production
season, producers face weak export prospects due to export policy uncertainty. With
strong forecasted production and large stocks, questions are rising on the short term
stability of new dairy investment in India.
12A_15A_21A
Quality Aspects:
As the world is getting integrated into one market, quality certification is becoming
essential However, there are very few plants in the country, which have successfully
obtained the ISO and the HACCP certification. This noncompliance with international
quality and food safety norms such as International Product Standards, HACCP, and
GMP/GHP is a major bottleneck, which becomes a barrier to India's competitiveness in
exports.
Heavy domestic support adds to the woes of developing countries dairy producers:
National policies that support domestic prices or subsidised production often
encourage over- production. This squeezes out imports or lead to export subsidies and
dumping at much lower prices in international markets to dispose of the excess
production.
Developed countries imposing heavy tariffs on imports as compared to developing:
Another point to lay new focus on developing countries as new export markets is the
heavy imports tariffs by the developing countries which are nearly double as compared
to the developing countries.
In addition they also provide export subsidies for their milk and allied products to
dump in foreign markets.
7.
India is on of the verge of assuming an important position in the global dairy industry.
The 50,000 tones branded butter market, valued at US $ 133 million is estimated to be
growing at 8.10% annum. The cheese market is estimated to be US $ 110 million in
value terms & has been growing at a compounded annual growth rate of 8 9 % during
1999 2003. The growth in urban areas has been higher at about 15% per annum. The
ice cream market in India is estimated to be about US $ 199 million per annum. A few
corporate players including MNCs are now focusing this market. For example, Nestle &
Britannia have forayed into emerging segments such as Ultra Heat Treatment &
Flavored milk.
Dairying has become an important secondary source of income for millions of rural
families and for millions has played the most important role in providing employment
and income. The per capita availability of the milk has also increased to a level of about
245 gm per day, but this is still low as compared to developed nations or the world
average 285 gm per day. Government of India is making efforts to increase the
productivity of milk animals and thus increase the per capita availability of milk.
The export potential of any product depends largely on two factors: size of the foreign
market & bargaining power of the exporting country.
Changing food habits will have an important role to play in the increase in the demand
for the dairy production in the Asian market. In the times to come, demand will more
for products which are high in poly unsaturated fatty acids, more proteins & lactose.
12A_15A_21A
Specifically, dairy products are more popular in south Asia & there demand is likely to
grow at a faster rate than any other animal products. Cheese & whey based products
will be in the commanding position, thereby replacing fat based products in South &
East Asian market. Due to differences in regional income & population growth rates,
increase in dairy products consumption may occur especially in central & coastal areas,
where potential trade opportunities may exist.
1.
Russias
ban
on
EU,
US
foodstuff
(Source:
Exim
News
Service
-
Mumbai,
Aug.
12)
Exporters
of
dairy
products
will
see
increased
opportunities
in
the
Russian
market
post
banning
of
food
imports
from
the
US
and
EU
in
retaliation
against
the
Western
sanctions
over
Ukraine.
Amul,
owned
by
the
Gujarat
Co-operative
Milk
Marketing
Federation
(GCMMF),
which
was
indirectly
exporting
skimmed
milk
powder
(SMP)
to
Russia,
may
now
launch
its
own
brands
there
in
butter,
cheese
and
milk
powder.
Indias
SMP
exports
to
Russia
grew
ten
times
to
about
3,120
tonnes
worth
Rs
67.16
crore
in
2013-14
from
the
previous
years
310
tonnes
valued
at
Rs
4.53
crore.
India
was
also
trying
to
export
other
items
like
fresh
vegetables
and
poultry
products,
sources
said.
Russia,
which
imports
43
per
cent
of
its
foodstuff
from
the
West,
spends
$
2.7
billion
a
year
on
European
fruit
and
vegetables
alone,
and
also
brings
in
large
amounts
of
meat,
dairy
products
and
processed
foods.
The
Federation
of
Indian
Export
Organisations
(FIEO)
is
hopeful
of
the
EU
and
US
sanctions
facilitating
a
better
opportunity
for
Indian
exporters
to
enhance
their
presence
in
the
Russian
market.
FIEO
is
organizing
a
"Made
in
India"
show
in
Moscow
from
September
24-26
to
promote
exports.
2.
Restrictions
Uplifted
on
Imports
of
Milk
,
Cheese
and
Other
Dairy
products
Russia
has
lifted
restrictions
on
the
import
of
milk,
cheese
and
other
dairy
products
from
India
less
than
a
week
after
allowing
buffalo
meat
from
the
country.
Russian
President
Vladimir
Putin
and
Indian
Prime
Minister
Narendra
Modi
are
likely
to
announce
a
Joint
Study
Group
for
a
feasibility
study
on
a
Free
Trade
Agreement
between
the
two
countries,
which
would
boost
trade
further.
Exporters
are
excited
about
the
opportunities
that
Russia
holds
as
Indias
exports
to
the
country
during
the
last
fiscal
year
were
just
$2.15
billion,
a
small
fraction
of
Russias
total
imports
of
$318
billion.
12A_15A_21A
We
are
in
a
position
to
export
dairy
items
worth
$400
million
in
the
first
year
itself.
It
is
likely
to
go
up
several
fold
subsequently,
said
Ajay
Sahai,
Director-General
and
CEO
of
FIEO.
Amul
is
already
exploring
opportunities
to
enter
the
Russian
market
and
is
in
talks
with
Russian
company
Galaktika
for
export
of
cheese
and
dried
milk.
Processing
units
inspected
and
certified
by
Russias
Ministry
of
Agriculture
can
export
their
products
to
the
country.With
Russia
now
formally
allowing
import
of
dairy
items,
more
such
partnerships
will
follow.
There
are
hopes
that
restrictions
on
poultry
products
and
egg
powder
will
also
be
removed
soon
as
the
Russian
Government
has
indicated
its
interest.
Russia
imports
more
than
$40
billion
worth
of
food
items
from
Western
countries,
and
a
large
chunk
of
that
business
can
gradually
come
to
India,
the
Commerce
Ministry
official
said.
3.
Russia
is
expected
to
increase
imports
of
fruits,
vegetables,
meat
and
dairy
products
from
India
starting
December
2014
Under
an
agreement
reached
between
Russias
phytosanitary
watchdog
Rosselkhoznadzor
and
Indias
Agricultural
and
Processed
Food
Products
Export
Development
Authority
(APEDA)
this
week.
Russian
veterinary
experts
are
expected
to
arrive
next
month
and
may
stay
in
India
to
control
the
production
chain
and
shipment
of
products
to
Russia,
as
is
being
done
in
China.
The
move
will
help
boost
Indias
meat
and
seafood
exports
to
Russia
as
well.
India
is
the
worlds
largest
producer
of
milk,
and
a
top
exporter
of
meat
and
seafood
products,
but
exports
to
Russia
are
negligible,
partly
due
to
the
strict
quality
standards
and
Russias
preference
for
agriculture
products
from
Europe
and
neighboring
countries.
It
is
estimated
that
Russia
will
have
to
source
food
products
worth
$16
billion
as
a
substitution
for
products
from
EU
alone.
Russias
annual
milk
and
milk
products
import
requirements
are
estimated
at
above
5,000
million
tonnes
,
and
the
country
used
to
buy
50%
of
its
dry
milk
and
cheese
from
the
former
Soviet
Baltic
republics
and
Finland.
The
ban
has
led
to
huge
opportunities
for
the
Indian
dairy
sector,
allowing
Indias
largest
exporter
of
milk
products,
Amul,
to
become
the
first
Indian
dairy
company
to
enter
the
Russian
market.
4.
The
Interest
of
AMUL
to
export
to
Russia
Recently,
GCMMF
had
said
it
is
in
discussion
with
Galactika
Group
to
export
dairy
products
to
Russia
and
once
sealed,
Amul
would
become
the
first
Indian
dairy
products
maker
to
enter
into
that
market.
Amul
officials
have
realized
that
Russia
is
going
to
be
a
very
good
market
for
Indian
dairy
products
exporters.
We
can
start
exports
to
Russia
after
the
approvals
come.
He
said
Russia
presents
huge
potential
for
country's
exports
as
30
per
cent
of
that
country's
requirements
(dairy
products)
are
imported.
12A_15A_21A
Russia
imports
about
8-10
lakh
tonnes
of
milk
powder
and
20
lakh
tonnes
of
cheese
per
annum.
"Amul's
exports
stood
at
Rs
540
crore
last
year.
At
present,
the
international
prices
of
milk
commodities
are
very
low.
We
right
now
focussed
more
on
Indian
market.
In
India,
milk
and
milk
products
are
growing
in
double
digit.
Amul
is
growing
at
over
24
per
cent
per
annum.
On
Amul's
revenues,
he
said
the
aim
is
to
touch
Rs
50,000
crore
mark
by
2020
and
this
year
the
turnover
may
reach
Rs
22,000
crore.
"Around
45
per
cent
revenues
come
from
fresh
milk
sales.
Presently,
we
have
got
the
processing
capacity
of
230
lakh
litres
of
milk
and
in
the
next
two
years
we
are
expanding
it
to
320
lakh
litres.
5.
WTO
Accession
Russia
became
a
full
member
of
the
WTO
in
2012.
Its
now
expected
to
follow
WTOrules
and
become
integrated
into
the
global
economic
system.
Russia
has
committed
to:
change
customs
duty
rates
to
permit
access
to
the
Russian
services
market
apply
recognised
food
safety,
and
animal
and
plant
health
measures
simplify
import
licensing
procedures
6.
Growing
demand
in
Russia
along
with
growing
exports
from
India
Russia
is
currently
the
eighth
largest
economy
in
the
world.
Its
been
predicted
to
become
the
largest
consumer
market
in
Europe
by
2020.
According
to
data
with
the
Russian
Federal
Customs
Service,
import
of
milk
and
products
made
from
Western
countries
to
Russia
rose
10.4
per
cent
in
the
first
quarter
of
2014
to
1,423
million
tonnes
on
a
year-on-year
basis.
Import
of
milk
and
dairy
products
rose
in
Russia
because
of
shortage
of
raw
milk
and
cheaper
import
prices.
Indias
exports
to
Russia
stood
at
about
$2.15
billion
in
financial
year
ended
March.
This
was
a
fraction
of
Russias
total
import
of
$318
billion.
Of
this,
about
$40
billion
was
spent
to
import
food
items
from
Western
countries.
Experts
have
estimated
India
could
export
about
$400
million
worth
of
dairy
products
to
Russia
in
the
first
year
itself.
12A_15A_21A
Value in 2014
Value in 2013
Series1
Value in 2012
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
9.
Export
to
Russia
Vital
information:
Tariff
13.73%
(on
HS
040210)
Documents
required
BIS
Certification
(mandatory),
in
addition
to
the
regular
documents.
9
documents
are
required
for
export
to
Russia,
with
a
lead
time
of
36
days.
A
COO
is
not
required
at
this
stage,
since
it
wont
lead
to
preferential
treatment.
The
Federal
Customs
Service
regulates
all
goods
imported
into
Russia.
Customs
duty
can
be
calculated
and
paid
in:
percentage
of
customs
value
of
goods
imported
specific
value,
charged
for
one
piece
of
the
relevant
goods
category
combined
volume,
a
combination
of
the
above
Import
customs
duties
are
collected
based
on
the
classification
code
and
the
country
of
origin
of
the
goods
being
imported.
In
the
majority
of
cases,
they
are
5%,
10%
and
15%.
Certain
goods
are
exempt
from
import
customs
duties.
The
import
of
certain
goods
require
a
licence.
Russia
is
a
geographically
vast
market,
spanning
nine
time
zones
and
encompassing
over
17
million
square
miles.
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12A_15A_21A
References
http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/amul-to-be-first-dairy-firm-toexport-to-russia-114122400485_1.html
http://www.eximin.net/NewsDetails.aspx?name=26384
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/eu-to-end-milkquota-system-indias-exports-to-take-a-hit-as-dairy-supply-torise/articleshow/46657130.cms
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/international/after-buffalo-meat-russiaopens-doors-to-milk-dairy-products-from-india/article6680023.ece
http://www.indiantradeportal.in/vs.jsp?lang=0&id=0,10,567
http://businesstoday.intoday.in/story/exports-to-russia-may-start-after-regulatoryapprovals-says-amul/1/214197.html
http://in.rbth.com/economics/2014/10/01/indias_food_exports_finding_niche_in_ru
ssia_38711.html
http://www.dairyreporter.com/Manufacturers/Russian-dairy-Galactika-and-Indiancoop-Amul-hold-export-talks
http://in.rbth.com/economics/2014/09/18/indian_dairy_meat_products_may_be_ava
ilable_in_russia_from_december_38389.html
www.trademap.org
www.apeda.gov.in
www.zauba.org
www.google.co.in
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