Mason-Dixon

Polling & Research

Wash in gton, DC 202.548 .2680

Jackson ville, FL 904.261 .2444

MASON-DIXON MISSISSIPPI POLL

APRIL 2015
ANALYSIS
By: J. Bradford Coker, Managing Director
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.
2015, All Rights Reserved

GOVERNOR BRYANT SOLID RE-ELECTION FAVORITE

Republican Phil Bryant appears to be a safe bet for re-election in November. Statewide,
Bryant holds commanding leads over each of his potential Democratic opponents topping
Vickie Slater by a 61%-30% margin and Valerie Short by 63%-28%.
Mississippi voters simply like the way Bryant is running the state. Overall, 72% approve of his
job performance and only 20% disapprove. Such popularity is almost impossible for a
challenger to overcome, barring some major unforeseen event or scandal.
QUESTION: If the 2015 general election for governor were held today, for whom would you
vote if the candidates were: Vicki Slater the Democrat, Phil Bryant the Republican, Shawn
OHara of the Reform Party?

SLATER
STATE
SEX

30%
SLATER

Men
Women

24%
36%

RACE

SLATER

White
Black

12%
72%

PARTY ID
Democrat
Republican
Independent

SLATER
74%
3%
19%

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BRYANT
61%
BRYANT
65%
58%
BRYANT
80%
18%
BRYANT
17%
92%
61%

OHARA
2%
OHARA
1%
2%
OHARA
2%
1%
OHARA
2%
1%
3%

UNDECIDED
7%
UNDECIDED
10%
4%
UNDECIDED
6%
9%
UNDECIDED
7%
4%
17%

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Mason-Dixon
Polling & Research

Wash in gton, DC 202.548 .2680

Jackson ville, FL 904.261 .2444

QUESTION: If the 2015 general election for governor were held today, for whom would you vote if
the candidates were: Valerie Short the Democrat, Phil Bryant the Republican, or Shawn OHara of
the Reform Party?

SHORT
STATE
SEX

28%
SHORT

Men
Women
RACE

63%
BRYANT

20%
35%
SHORT

White
Black

BRYANT

69%
57%
BRYANT

7%
78%

PARTY ID
Democrat
Republican
Independent

SHORT

83%
15%
BRYANT

70%
2%
17%

19%
94%
65%

OHARA
3%
OHARA
3%
3%
OHARA
4%
1%
OHARA
4%
1%
6%

UNDECIDED
6%
UNDECIDED
8%
5%
UNDECIDED
6%
6%
UNDECIDED
7%
3%
12%

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Phil Bryants job performance as governor?

APPROVE
STATE
SEX

72%
APPROVE

Men
Women
RACE

74%
71%
APPROVE

White
Black

83%
47%

PARTY ID
Democrat
Republican
Independent

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APPROVE
41%
96%
67%

DISAPPROVE
20%
DISAPPROVE
19%
21%
DISAPPROVE
14%
33%
DISAPPROVE
40%
3%
25%

NOT SURE
8%
NOT SURE
7%
8%
NOT SURE
3%
20%
NOT SURE
19%
1%
8%

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Mason-Dixon
Polling & Research

Wash in gton, DC 202.548 .2680

Jackson ville, FL 904.261 .2444

HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Jacksonville, Florida
from April 21 through April 23, 2015. A total of 625 registered Mississippi voters were
interviewed statewide by telephone.
Those interviewed on land-lines were selected by the random variation of the last four
digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to
ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Those interviewed on cell phones were
selected from a list of working cell phone numbers. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter
registration by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more
than 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the
"true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed. The margin for error
is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or racial grouping.
DEMOGRAPHICS

PARTY REGISTRATION:
Democrat
Republican
Independent or Other

212 (34%)
298 (48%)
115 (18%)

18-34
35-49
50-64
65+
Refused

85 (14%)
174 (28%)
202 (32%)
162 (26%)
2 (<1%)

AGE:

RACE/ETHNICITY:

SEX:

White/Caucasian
Black/African American
Other/Refused

418 (67%)
190 (30%)
17 (3%)

Male
Female

303 (48%)
322 (52%)

1st Congressional District

2nd Congressional District
3rd Congressional District
4th Congressional District

157 (25%)
152 (24%)
156 (25%)
160 (26%)

REGION:

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