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Page 1

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 1

Q1. Can I just confirm, did you watch the TV election leaders' special with political leaders which finished minutes ago?
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

Yes

1288
100%

612
100%

676
100%

81
100%

314
100%

642
100%

251
100%

341
100%

397
100%

76
100%

165
100%

71
100%

50
100%

13
100%

6
100%

106
100%

319
100%

227
100%

69
100%

567
100%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

Other

DK/Ref

Region

Unweighted base

No

Lib Dem

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

156
370
291
236
100% 100% 100% 100%
-

North

Midlands Wales

South

Page 2

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 2

Q2. Which of the three leaders taking part do you think did best on the night?
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

David Cameron

489
38%

240
39%

249
37%

29
35%

113
36%

230
36%

117
47%

280
82%

31
8%

22
29%

70
42%

9
13%

10
21%

6
49%

Ed Miliband

419
33%

221
36%

198
29%

27
33%

117
37%

210
33%

65
26%

14
4%

277
70%

7
9%

27
16%

28
39%

8
15%

6
45%

Nick Clegg

207
16%

90
15%

117
17%

13
16%

41
13%

108
17%

45
18%

30
9%

50
13%

41
54%

22
13%

23
33%

13
27%

1
7%

Nobody

148
12%

56
9%

92
14%

13
16%

34
11%

81
13%

21
8%

12
3%

38
10%

5
7%

40
24%

11
15%

18
36%

24
2%

5
1%

19
3%

8
3%

13
2%

3
1%

5
2%

1
*

2
2%

7
4%

1
1%

Don't know

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

South

57 269
42
52
36% 73% 14% 22%

26
25%

118
37%

92
41%

26
37%

226
40%

3
46%

42
27%

29 187
78
8% 64% 33%

28
27%

111
35%

78
34%

28
40%

174
31%

1
9%

26
17%

35
30
75
10% 10% 32%

25
24%

42
13%

23
10%

12
17%

106
19%

3
45%

22
14%

28
31
28
7% 11% 12%

25
23%

41
13%

28
12%

2
3%

53
9%

9
6%

2
1%

8
2%

5
2%

2
3%

8
1%

9
2%

1
*

2
1%

Page 3

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 3

Q2. Which of the three leaders taking part do you think did best on the night?
Base : All respondents (excluding Nobody/Don't know)
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1124

576

548

23

131

722

248

334

354

75

138

47

42

113

388

267

259

97

277

192

59

South
499

Weighted base

1115

551

565

68

272

549

227

324

358

70

118

60

31

13

125

333

259

205

80

270

193

65

507

57 269
42
52
45% 81% 16% 25%

26
33%

118
44%

92
48%

26
39%

226
45%

David Cameron

489
44%

240
44%

249
44%

29
42%

113
42%

230
42%

117
51%

280
86%

31
9%

22
31%

70
59%

9
15%

10
33%

6
49%

Ed Miliband

419
38%

221
40%

198
35%

27
39%

117
43%

210
38%

65
29%

14
4%

277
77%

7
10%

27
23%

28
46%

8
24%

6
45%

3
84%

42
34%

29 187
78
9% 72% 38%

28
36%

111
41%

78
40%

28
43%

174
34%

Nick Clegg

207
19%

90
16%

117
21%

13
19%

41
15%

108
20%

45
20%

30
9%

50
14%

41
59%

22
18%

23
39%

13
43%

1
7%

1
16%

26
21%

35
30
75
11% 12% 37%

25
31%

42
15%

23
12%

12
18%

106
21%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

Page 4

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 4

Q3. And overall, how well or badly do you think each leader performed? Would you say... Summary table
Base : All respondents
David Cameron

Ed Miliband

Nick Clegg

Unweighted base

1288

1288

1288

Weighted base

1288

1288

1288

Very well

343
27%

274
21%

193
15%

Quite Well

490
38%

516
40%

611
47%

Quite badly

313
24%

332
26%

333
26%

Very badly

122
9%

153
12%

127
10%

Don't know

20
2%

13
1%

24
2%

NET: Well

833
65%

790
61%

804
62%

NET: Badly

435
34%

485
38%

460
36%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

Page 5

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 5

Q3. And overall, how well or badly do you think each leader performed? Would you say... David Cameron
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

South
552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

Very well

343
27%

175
29%

168
25%

13
16%

72
23%

159
25%

99
40%

210
62%

26
6%

20
26%

41
25%

3
4%

3
6%

2
13%

36 209
30
36
23% 56% 10% 15%

17
16%

83
26%

67
29%

15
21%

161
28%

Quite Well

490
38%

216
35%

274
41%

43
53%

126
40%

246
38%

75
30%

126
37%

136
34%

41
54%

74
45%

21
29%

12
23%

9
69%

1
23%

70 124 111
98
45% 33% 38% 41%

32
30%

130
41%

86
38%

39
57%

202
36%

Quite badly

313
24%

152
25%

161
24%

10
13%

79
25%

164
26%

60
24%

4
1%

158
40%

11
14%

34
20%

37
51%

24
49%

1
12%

4
68%

30
19%

24 111
71
6% 38% 30%

36
34%

69
22%

51
23%

14
20%

142
25%

Very badly

122
9%

61
10%

60
9%

9
11%

28
9%

68
11%

16
6%

1
*

68
17%

5
6%

16
10%

8
12%

11
22%

1
7%

1
9%

12
8%

9
36
31
2% 12% 13%

19
18%

32
10%

15
7%

2
2%

54
9%

Don't know

20
2%

7
1%

13
2%

6
7%

10
3%

5
1%

9
2%

1
1%

3
4%

2
2%

4
1%

7
3%

NET: Well

833
65%

391
64%

442
65%

55
69%

197
63%

405
63%

175
70%

336
98%

162
41%

61
80%

115
70%

24
33%

15
30%

10
82%

1
23%

48
46%

213
67%

153
68%

54
78%

364
64%

NET: Badly

435
34%

214
35%

221
33%

20
24%

108
34%

232
36%

76
30%

5
2%

226
57%

15
20%

49
30%

45
63%

35
70%

2
18%

5
77%

55
52%

102
32%

66
29%

16
22%

196
35%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

8
5%

4
1%

4
1%

105 332 141 133


68% 90% 48% 57%
42
27%

33 147 103
9% 50% 43%

7
1%

Page 6

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 6

Q3. And overall, how well or badly do you think each leader performed? Would you say... Ed Miliband
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

Very well

274
21%

135
22%

139
21%

21
26%

75
24%

126
20%

53
21%

14
4%

194
49%

9
11%

16
9%

8
11%

1
3%

5
39%

1
8%

Quite Well

516
40%

230
38%

286
42%

28
34%

124
39%

285
44%

79
32%

106
31%

174
44%

32
42%

60
36%

36
50%

19
39%

1
5%

Quite badly

332
26%

159
26%

174
26%

19
24%

77
25%

155
24%

81
32%

136
40%

22
6%

29
38%

56
34%

22
31%

15
31%

Very badly

153
12%

84
14%

69
10%

11
14%

34
11%

70
11%

37
15%

83
24%

3
1%

6
8%

31
19%

6
8%

Don't know

13
1%

3
1%

9
1%

2
3%

5
1%

5
1%

1
*

2
1%

4
1%

1
1%

NET: Well

790
61%

365
60%

425
63%

48
60%

198
63%

411
64%

132
53%

121
35%

368
93%

41
53%

NET: Badly

485
38%

243
40%

242
36%

30
38%

111
35%

226
35%

118
47%

218
64%

25
6%

36
47%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

25
16%

South

20 131
56
5% 45% 24%

18
17%

70
22%

53
24%

21
30%

112
20%

4
62%

77 120 120
94
50% 32% 41% 40%

45
42%

134
42%

79
35%

26
37%

232
41%

7
55%

2
30%

39 150
28
59
25% 41% 10% 25%

27
26%

77
24%

58
26%

17
25%

153
27%

14
28%

10
6%

77
21%

16
15%

35
11%

30
13%

5
8%

67
12%

5
3%

3
1%

3
1%

6
3%

76
46%

43
61%

21
41%

6
45%

4
70%

103 140 252 150


66% 38% 86% 64%

63
59%

205
64%

132
58%

47
67%

344
61%

88
53%

28
39%

29
59%

7
55%

2
30%

49 227
37
85
31% 61% 13% 36%

43
41%

111
35%

89
39%

23
33%

219
39%

9
26
3% 11%
2
1%

1
*

4
1%

Page 7

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 7

Q3. And overall, how well or badly do you think each leader performed? Would you say... Nick Clegg
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

Very well

193
15%

84
14%

109
16%

5
6%

44
14%

94
15%

50
20%

47
14%

43
11%

34
45%

17
10%

11
16%

6
11%

1
17%

Quite Well

611
47%

305
50%

305
45%

31
39%

127
41%

306
48%

146
58%

195
57%

188
47%

34
44%

79
48%

24
34%

20
40%

3
26%

1
9%

Quite badly

333
26%

161
26%

172
25%

29
36%

90
29%

172
27%

42
17%

67
20%

111
28%

6
7%

46
28%

31
44%

13
27%

5
39%

Very badly

127
10%

54
9%

73
11%

12
15%

39
12%

64
10%

12
5%

33
10%

37
9%

3
4%

22
13%

5
7%

11
22%

Don't know

24
2%

7
1%

16
2%

4
5%

14
5%

6
1%

17
4%

2
1%

NET: Well

804
62%

389
64%

415
61%

36
45%

171
54%

400
62%

197
78%

242
71%

232
58%

68
89%

95
58%

NET: Badly

460
36%

215
35%

245
36%

41
50%

129
41%

236
37%

54
22%

100
29%

148
37%

9
11%

68
41%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

34
22%

South

49
30
62
13% 10% 26%

17
16%

39
12%

28
12%

6
9%

103
18%

60 205 142 113


38% 55% 49% 48%

41
39%

152
48%

116
51%

36
51%

265
47%

5
74%

46
30%

85
85
42
23% 29% 18%

28
27%

89
28%

49
22%

22
32%

145
26%

4
35%

11
7%

26
25
18
7% 9% 8%

18
17%

33
10%

22
10%

5
7%

49
9%

5
3%

2
2%

5
2%

12
5%

35
50%

25
51%

3
26%

2
26%

94 254 171 175


60% 69% 59% 74%

58
55%

192
60%

144
64%

42
60%

368
65%

36
50%

24
49%

9
74%

5
74%

57 112 110
60
37% 30% 38% 26%

46
43%

122
38%

71
31%

28
40%

194
34%

4
10
1% 3%

1
*

5
1%

Page 8

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 8

VIQ2. PRE SURVEY DATA - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would fight a new election in your area.
If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?
Base : All respondents (Turnout Weighted)
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

Unweighted base

1183

601

582

17

129

776

262

330

365

77

173

53

60

114

415

290

293

122

298

205

58

501

Weighted base

1101

532

569

47

253

567

234

307

352

67

144

58

46

114

360

283

228

98

278

190

58

476

Conservative

307
28%

148
28%

159
28%

14
31%

61
24%

145
26%

86
37%

307
100%

Labour

352
32%

166
31%

186
33%

19
41%

84
33%

191
34%

59
25%

352
100%

67
6%

32
6%

36
6%

2
4%

21
8%

27
5%

17
7%

67
100%

144
13%

77
14%

67
12%

2
4%

16
6%

81
14%

45
19%

144
100%

Green

58
5%

30
6%

27
5%

3
6%

30
12%

21
4%

3
1%

58
100%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

46
4%

26
5%

20
4%

2
3%

6
3%

30
5%

8
3%

Plaid Cymru

9
1%

4
1%

4
1%

2
4%

2
1%

4
1%

1
*

Other

4
*

3
1%

1
*

2
1%

2
*

1
*

111
10%

46
9%

64
11%

29
11%

65
11%

13
6%

4
*

4
1%

3
1%

1
*

Liberal Democrat/
Liberal
UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

Don't know
Refused

4
8%
-

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

240
67%

North

Midlands Wales

South

15
5%

20
9%

13
13%

67
24%

60
31%

17
28%

150
31%

20
207
6% 73%

78
34%

25
25%

107
38%

63
33%

18
31%

139
29%

10
3%

5
2%

46
20%

6
6%

16
6%

5
3%

6
10%

34
7%

56
16%

13
5%

22
10%

1
1%

42
15%

31
16%

7
13%

64
13%

2
1%

7
3%

26
11%

2
2%

22
8%

3
2%

1
1%

30
6%

46
100%

1
*

10
4%

4
2%

46
47%

9
100%

1
*

1
*

9
15%

4
100%

3
1%

1
*

2
1%

111
97%

30
8%

21
7%

30
13%

23
8%

23
12%

4
3%

1
*

3
1%

7
7%
-

1
1%
-

3
1%
56
12%
-

Page 9

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 9

VIQ2. PRE SURVEY DATA - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would fight a new election in your area.
If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?
Base : All respondents expressing an intention to vote (Turnout Weighted)
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

552

518

15

115

694

247

330

365

77

173

53

60

382

271

252

116

271

177

57

448

Weighted base

987

486

501

43

222

501

221

307

352

67

144

58

46

330

262

198

91

254

164

58

420

Conservative

307
31%

148
30%

159
32%

14
34%

61
28%

145
29%

86
39%

307
100%

240
73%

Labour

352
36%

166
34%

186
37%

19
44%

84
38%

191
38%

59
27%

352
100%

67
7%

32
6%

36
7%

2
4%

21
9%

27
5%

17
8%

67
100%

144
15%

77
16%

67
13%

2
4%

16
7%

81
16%

45
20%

144
100%

Green

58
6%

30
6%

27
5%

3
7%

30
14%

21
4%

3
2%

58
100%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

46
5%

26
5%

20
4%

2
4%

6
3%

30
6%

8
4%

Plaid Cymru

9
1%

4
1%

4
1%

2
4%

2
1%

4
1%

1
*

Other

4
*

3
1%

1
*

2
1%

2
*

1
*

Liberal Democrat/
Liberal
UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

Other

DK/Ref

Region

1070

Unweighted base

Lib Dem

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

North

Midlands Wales

South

15
6%

20
10%

13
14%

67
27%

60
37%

17
29%

150
36%

20
207
6% 79%

78
39%

25
27%

107
42%

63
39%

18
32%

139
33%

10
3%

5
2%

46
23%

6
6%

16
6%

5
3%

6
10%

34
8%

56
17%

13
5%

22
11%

1
1%

42
16%

31
19%

7
13%

64
15%

2
1%

7
3%

26
13%

2
2%

22
9%

3
2%

1
1%

30
7%

46
100%

1
*

10
4%

4
2%

46
50%

9
100%

1
*

1
*

9
15%

4
100%

3
1%

1
*

2
1%

3
1%

Page 10

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 10

Q4. Based on what you saw or heard during the programme, have you changed your mind about who to vote for, or not?
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

South

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

Made no difference
Don't know

Other

83
6%

32
5%

51
8%

9
11%

27
9%

41
6%

6
2%

12
4%

20
5%

4
5%

8
5%

7
9%

1
6%

1124
87%

547
89%

577
85%

70
87%

257
82%

558
87%

239
95%

323
95%

361
91%

72
94%

147
89%

59
83%

50
100%

8
67%

6
100%

81
6%

33
5%

48
7%

2
2%

30
10%

43
7%

6
2%

6
2%

16
4%

1
1%

10
6%

6
8%

3
28%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

DK/Ref

Region

Unweighted base

Changed mind

Lib Dem

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

31
20%

15
11
22
4% 4% 9%

6
5%

18
6%

11
5%

2
3%

47
8%

86 337 266 198


55% 91% 91% 84%

100
94%

279
88%

200
88%

62
89%

483
85%

1
*

22
7%

16
7%

5
8%

37
7%

39
25%

17
15
16
5% 5% 7%

Page 11

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 11

Q5. Who are you now likely to vote for in the General Election on May 7th? Will you vote...
Base : All who have changed their mind about who to vote for
Total

Con

Lab

Lib Dem

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Green
Other

UKIP

Would not vote

Don't know

Refused

Unweighted base

77

12

14

10

31

Weighted base

83

12

20

31

Conservative

20
24%

6
29%

4
58%

1
100%

9
28%

Labour

16
19%

4
29%

2
46%

1
15%

1
100%

9
28%

Liberal Democrat

25
30%

3
20%

8
38%

4
63%

11
35%

UKIP

3
3%

2
13%

1
3%

Green

SNP

2
2%

2
5%

Plaid Cymru

1
1%

1
4%

13
16%

4
33%

2
12%

2
54%

2
27%

2
37%

4
5%

1
5%

3
17%

Or for another party


Don't know

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

Page 12

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 12

Q5. Who are you now likely to vote for in the General Election on May 7th? Will you vote...
Base : All who have changed their mind about who to vote for and who show an intention to vote
Total

Con

Lab

Lib Dem

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Green
Other

UKIP

Would not vote

Don't know

Refused

Unweighted base

74

11

12

10

31

Weighted base

79

12

16

31

Conservative

20
25%

6
35%

4
58%

1
100%

9
28%

Labour

16
20%

4
31%

2
46%

1
15%

1
100%

9
28%

Liberal Democrat

25
32%

3
21%

8
46%

4
63%

11
35%

UKIP

3
3%

2
13%

1
3%

Green

SNP

2
2%

2
5%

Plaid Cymru

1
1%

1
4%

13
17%

4
35%

2
14%

2
54%

2
27%

2
37%

Or for another party

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

Page 13

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 13

VIQ2. UPDATED POST PROGRAMME - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would fight a new election in your area.
If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?
Base : All respondents (Turnout Weighted)
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

1183

601

582

17

129

776

262

330

365

77

173

53

60

114

415

290

293

122

298

205

58

501

Weighted base

1101

532

569

47

253

567

234

307

352

67

144

58

46

114

360

283

228

98

278

190

58

476

309
28%

146
28%

162
29%

12
25%

60
24%

149
26%

88
38%

295
96%

4
1%

Labour

353
32%

173
32%

180
32%

19
40%

87
34%

188
33%

60
25%

3
1%

83
8%

35
7%

48
8%

2
4%

26
10%

40
7%

16
7%

140
13%

76
14%

64
11%

2
4%

16
6%

78
14%

44
19%

Green

53
5%

28
5%

26
4%

3
6%

28
11%

19
3%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

48
4%

27
5%

20
4%

2
3%

8
3%

30
5%

9
1%

4
1%

5
1%

2
4%

2
1%

Other

15
1%

10
2%

5
1%

3
6%

Don't know

87
8%

33
6%

54
9%

4
8%

4
*

4
1%

Liberal Democrat/
Liberal
UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

Plaid Cymru

Refused

Other

DK/Ref

Region

Unweighted base

Conservative

Lib Dem

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

4
3%

5
239
5% 67%

338
96%

2
3%

1
1%

1
8%

8
7%

2
1%

5
1%

63
94%

2
4%

2
1%

137
95%

3
1%

53
93%

8
3%

4
1%

1
*

1
*

3
1%

7
1%

3
1%

3
1%

2
1%

2
3%

22
8%

50
9%

11
5%

1
*

3
1%

3
1%

1
*

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

North

Midlands Wales

South

17
6%

19
8%

12
13%

68
24%

58
30%

17
28%

154
32%

21
206
6% 73%

85
37%

27
27%

109
39%

67
35%

18
32%

132
28%

11
9%

11
3%

7
2%

51
22%

6
6%

17
6%

7
4%

7
11%

47
10%

1
1%

55
15%

13
5%

20
9%

1
1%

41
15%

31
16%

7
13%

60
13%

2
1%

6
2%

25
11%

2
2%

20
7%

3
2%

1
1%

28
6%

46
100%

2
1%

2
1%

10
4%

4
2%

48
49%

8
92%

1
*

9
15%

1
1%

2
3%

4
100%

3
1%

4
2%

3
2%

5
2%

3
1%

8
2%

84
73%

26
7%

19
7%

19
8%

18
7%

18
9%

48
10%

4
3%

1
*

3
1%

3
3%
-

Page 14

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 14

VIQ2. UPDATED POST PROGRAMME - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would fight a new election in your area.
If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?
Base : All respondents expressing an intention to vote (Turnout Weighted)
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

1096

566

530

15

118

715

249

329

363

77

173

53

60

29

386

273

268

118

279

185

58

457

Weighted base

1010

499

511

43

229

516

223

306

350

67

144

58

46

27

334

263

209

95

259

170

58

429

309
31%

146
29%

162
32%

12
27%

60
26%

149
29%

88
39%

295
97%

4
1%

Labour

353
35%

173
35%

180
35%

19
43%

87
38%

188
36%

60
27%

3
1%

83
8%

35
7%

48
9%

2
4%

26
11%

40
8%

16
7%

140
14%

76
15%

64
13%

2
4%

16
7%

78
15%

44
20%

Green

53
5%

28
6%

26
5%

3
7%

28
12%

19
4%

Scottish National
Party/SNP

48
5%

27
5%

20
4%

2
4%

8
4%

30
6%

9
1%

4
1%

5
1%

2
4%

2
1%

15
2%

10
2%

5
1%

3
7%

3
1%

Liberal Democrat/
Liberal
UK Independence Party
(UKIP)

Plaid Cymru
Other

Other

DK/Ref

Region

Unweighted base

Conservative

Lib Dem

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

4
3%

5
239
19% 72%

338
97%

2
3%

1
1%

1
8%

2
1%

5
1%

63
94%

2
4%

2
1%

137
95%

3
2%

53
93%

8
4%

4
1%

1
*

1
*

7
1%

3
1%

3
1%

2
1%

2
3%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

North

Midlands Wales

South

17
6%

19
9%

12
13%

68
26%

58
34%

17
28%

154
36%

8
31%

21
206
6% 78%

85
40%

27
28%

109
42%

67
40%

18
32%

132
31%

11
40%

11
3%

7
3%

51
25%

6
6%

17
7%

7
4%

7
11%

47
11%

1
4%

55
17%

13
5%

20
10%

1
1%

41
16%

31
18%

7
13%

60
14%

2
1%

6
2%

25
12%

2
2%

20
8%

3
2%

1
1%

28
6%

46
100%

2
6%

2
1%

10
4%

4
2%

48
50%

8
92%

1
*

9
15%

1
1%

2
3%

4
100%

3
1%

4
2%

3
2%

5
2%

3
2%

8
2%

Page 15

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 15

Q6. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme,
as far as you are concerned which one of David Cameron or Ed Miliband do you think...?
Summary table
Base : All respondents
Came across as
having the more Would make the
Had the better
appealing
best Prime
arguments
personality
Minister
Unweighted base

1288

1288

1288

Weighted base

1288

1288

1288

David Cameron

599
47%

550
43%

624
48%

Ed Miliband

536
42%

555
43%

437
34%

Don't know

153
12%

183
14%

227
18%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

Page 16

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 16

Q6. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme,
as far as you are concerned which one of David Cameron or Ed Miliband do you think...?
Had the better arguments
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

Lib Dem

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

Other

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

Region
North

Midlands

Wales

South

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

David Cameron

599
47%

284
46%

316
47%

39
48%

137
44%

281
44%

143
57%

316
92%

33
8%

46
61%

93
57%

18
25%

13
27%

6
49%

2
30%

67 312
46
85
43% 84% 16% 36%

39
37%

136
43%

115
51%

33
48%

276
49%

Ed Miliband

536
42%

272
44%

263
39%

25
31%

145
46%

274
43%

91
36%

14
4%

328
83%

21
28%

40
24%

41
57%

22
44%

6
51%

4
70%

51
33%

36 219 119
10% 75% 51%

49
46%

138
43%

89
39%

33
48%

226
40%

Don't know

153
12%

56
9%

97
14%

17
21%

32
10%

87
13%

17
7%

12
4%

36
9%

9
12%

32
19%

13
18%

15
29%

37
24%

21
27
31
6% 9% 13%

18
17%

44
14%

23
10%

3
4%

65
12%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

Page 17

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 17

Q6. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme,
as far as you are concerned which one of David Cameron or Ed Miliband do you think...?
Came across as having the more appealing personality
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

Lib Dem

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

Other

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

Region
North

Midlands

Wales

South

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

David Cameron

550
43%

263
43%

287
42%

25
31%

119
38%

270
42%

136
54%

284
83%

49
12%

38
50%

82
50%

15
21%

14
28%

3
25%

Ed Miliband

555
43%

271
44%

284
42%

41
50%

154
49%

266
41%

94
37%

26
8%

321
81%

26
33%

44
26%

43
60%

20
41%

5
39%

Don't know

183
14%

78
13%

105
16%

15
19%

41
13%

106
16%

21
8%

31
9%

27
7%

12
16%

39
24%

14
19%

15
31%

5
36%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

60 278
50
76
39% 75% 17% 32%

37
35%

133
42%

102
45%

28
40%

250
44%

6
100%

60
38%

52 217 119
14% 75% 50%

47
44%

146
46%

96
42%

29
42%

238
42%

36
23%

40
24
41
11% 8% 17%

22
21%

40
13%

29
13%

13
18%

79
14%

Page 18

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 18

Q6. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard during the programme,
as far as you are concerned which one of David Cameron or Ed Miliband do you think...?
Would make the best Prime Minister
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

Lib Dem

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

Other

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

Region
North

Midlands

Wales

South

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

David Cameron

624
48%

302
49%

322
48%

40
49%

147
47%

293
46%

144
57%

327
96%

29
7%

49
63%

97
59%

22
31%

11
23%

6
49%

Ed Miliband

437
34%

209
34%

228
34%

24
29%

115
37%

220
34%

79
32%

4
1%

297
75%

13
17%

24
15%

31
43%

16
33%

6
45%

Don't know

227
18%

101
16%

127
19%

18
22%

53
17%

129
20%

27
11%

11
3%

71
18%

15
19%

43
26%

18
26%

22
45%

1
7%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

78 327
42
92
50% 88% 15% 39%

36
34%

148
46%

118
52%

35
50%

287
51%

4
60%

35
22%

20 193
99
5% 66% 42%

39
37%

117
37%

72
32%

25
36%

185
33%

3
40%

43
28%

23
56
45
6% 19% 19%

31
29%

54
17%

37
17%

10
14%

95
17%

Page 19

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 19

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron....?
Summary table
Base : All respondents
Will govern in
the interests Has changed his
of the many,
party for the
Is more spin
and not the few
better
than substance

Will be more
respected
around the
world

Is decisive

Has the courage


to say what is
right rather
than what is
popular

Understands
people like me

Is good in a
crisis

Is backed by
his party

Unweighted base

1288

1288

1288

1288

1288

1288

1288

1288

1288

Weighted base

1288

1288

1288

1288

1288

1288

1288

1288

1288

David Cameron

416
32%

419
33%

577
45%

737
57%

632
49%

490
38%

384
30%

589
46%

564
44%

Ed Miliband

656
51%

498
39%

481
37%

255
20%

414
32%

575
45%

543
42%

282
22%

431
33%

Don't know

216
17%

371
29%

230
18%

296
23%

242
19%

223
17%

361
28%

417
32%

293
23%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

Page 20

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 20

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron....?
Will govern in the interests of the many, and not the few
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

David Cameron

416
32%

188
31%

228
34%

18
22%

91
29%

189
29%

118
47%

275
81%

15
4%

22
29%

60
36%

5
6%

2
5%

1
8%

Ed Miliband

656
51%

340
56%

316
47%

48
60%

165
53%

340
53%

103
41%

27
8%

365
92%

33
43%

49
30%

57
81%

33
66%

11
86%

Don't know

216
17%

84
14%

131
19%

15
18%

58
18%

113
18%

30
12%

39
11%

18
4%

21
28%

56
34%

9
13%

14
29%

1
6%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

South

34 267
19
38
22% 72% 7% 16%

17
16%

93
29%

90
40%

16
23%

201
35%

6
91%

66
43%

47 251 156
13% 86% 66%

69
65%

169
53%

102
45%

41
59%

275
48%

1
9%

56
36%

55
21
41
15% 7% 17%

20
19%

57
18%

35
15%

13
18%

92
16%

Page 21

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 21

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron....?
Has changed his party for the better
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

David Cameron

419
33%

212
35%

207
31%

12
15%

112
36%

193
30%

101
40%

247
72%

28
7%

28
37%

47
29%

16
23%

5
10%

4
35%

Ed Miliband

498
39%

253
41%

245
36%

34
42%

119
38%

260
41%

86
34%

33
10%

304
76%

20
27%

45
27%

32
46%

12
25%

3
23%

Don't know

371
29%

146
24%

225
33%

35
43%

84
27%

189
29%

64
25%

61
18%

66
16%

28
37%

72
44%

23
32%

32
65%

5
42%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

South

41 235
34
57
27% 63% 12% 24%

25
23%

107
34%

71
31%

17
24%

199
35%

2
25%

39
25%

52 197 106
14% 68% 45%

33
31%

124
39%

99
43%

30
43%

213
38%

5
75%

75
48%

83
60
73
23% 21% 31%

48
45%

88
28%

58
25%

23
33%

155
27%

Page 22

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 22

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron....?
Is more spin than substance
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

David Cameron

577
45%

284
46%

294
43%

33
41%

153
49%

296
46%

96
38%

43
13%

300
75%

26
34%

54
33%

45
63%

31
63%

6
51%

6
91%

Ed Miliband

481
37%

225
37%

256
38%

23
29%

111
35%

223
35%

123
49%

248
73%

55
14%

35
45%

73
45%

8
11%

14
28%

2
14%

Don't know

230
18%

103
17%

127
19%

24
30%

51
16%

124
19%

31
13%

50
15%

43
11%

16
21%

38
23%

18
25%

5
9%

4
35%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

58
37%

South

58 207 134
16% 71% 57%

61
58%

147
46%

98
43%

34
49%

237
42%

43 256
50
60
27% 69% 17% 26%

36
34%

98
31%

102
45%

20
29%

224
40%

1
9%

55
35%

8
8%

73
23%

27
12%

15
22%

106
19%

55
34
42
15% 12% 18%

Page 23

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 23

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron....?
Will be more respected around the world
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

David Cameron

737
57%

355
58%

382
56%

43
54%

177
56%

359
56%

157
63%

322
94%

101
25%

55
72%

105
64%

31
44%

17
33%

9
70%

4
68%

Ed Miliband

255
20%

121
20%

134
20%

18
22%

72
23%

122
19%

44
17%

5
2%

181
46%

6
7%

11
6%

23
32%

7
13%

1
12%

Don't know

296
23%

136
22%

160
24%

20
25%

66
21%

161
25%

49
20%

13
4%

115
29%

16
21%

49
30%

17
24%

27
53%

2
18%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

South

87 326
86 125
56% 88% 30% 53%

47
45%

192
60%

132
58%

39
55%

327
58%

1
8%

19
12%

18 112
53
5% 38% 22%

20
19%

66
21%

44
19%

16
23%

110
19%

2
24%

50
32%

26
93
58
7% 32% 25%

39
37%

62
19%

51
22%

15
21%

130
23%

Page 24

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 24

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron....?
Is decisive
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

South
552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

David Cameron

632
49%

290
47%

341
50%

34
42%

140
45%

315
49%

143
57%

315
92%

64
16%

50
66%

89
54%

17
24%

19
38%

2
13%

2
30%

71 307
60
97
45% 83% 21% 41%

46
44%

151
47%

123
54%

28
40%

284
50%

Ed Miliband

414
32%

208
34%

206
31%

19
24%

96
31%

220
34%

79
31%

10
3%

273
69%

10
14%

29
18%

28
39%

11
22%

6
51%

3
51%

39
25%

26 189
90
7% 65% 38%

32
30%

99
31%

75
33%

28
41%

180
32%

Don't know

242
19%

114
19%

128
19%

28
35%

78
25%

107
17%

29
11%

17
5%

60
15%

16
21%

47
28%

27
37%

20
40%

5
36%

1
18%

46
30%

37
42
48
10% 15% 21%

28
26%

69
22%

29
13%

14
20%

104
18%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

Page 25

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 25

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron....?
Has the courage to say what is right rather than what is popular
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

David Cameron

490
38%

229
37%

261
39%

26
33%

102
33%

238
37%

124
49%

295
86%

19
5%

31
40%

66
40%

13
18%

8
15%

2
19%

Ed Miliband

575
45%

294
48%

280
41%

20
24%

147
47%

308
48%

100
40%

18
5%

341
86%

28
37%

50
30%

38
53%

22
45%

6
45%

Don't know

223
17%

89
14%

135
20%

35
43%

65
21%

96
15%

27
11%

29
8%

37
9%

18
23%

49
30%

21
29%

20
39%

5
36%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

South

52 277
33
57
33% 75% 11% 24%

28
26%

119
37%

92
41%

18
26%

233
41%

6
91%

59
38%

48 235 130
13% 81% 55%

53
50%

145
45%

101
45%

33
47%

243
43%

1
9%

45
29%

45
23
48
12% 8% 21%

25
23%

55
17%

34
15%

19
27%

91
16%

Page 26

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 26

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron....?
Understands people like me
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

David Cameron

384
30%

185
30%

199
29%

16
20%

91
29%

176
27%

101
40%

276
81%

5
1%

23
30%

42
25%

4
5%

2
4%

1
8%

Ed Miliband

543
42%

266
43%

277
41%

38
47%

134
43%

283
44%

88
35%

11
3%

359
90%

20
26%

31
19%

40
56%

13
27%

6
50%

Don't know

361
28%

161
26%

200
30%

27
34%

89
28%

183
28%

62
25%

55
16%

34
9%

34
44%

92
56%

28
39%

34
69%

5
42%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

South

29 252
19
31
19% 68% 6% 13%

13
12%

87
27%

83
37%

17
24%

184
33%

5
74%

50
32%

35 233 117
10% 80% 49%

44
42%

143
45%

98
43%

32
46%

225
40%

2
26%

77
49%

82
39
88
22% 13% 37%

49
46%

88
28%

46
20%

21
30%

157
28%

Page 27

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 27

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron....?
Is good in a crisis
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

David Cameron

589
46%

284
46%

305
45%

35
44%

132
42%

287
45%

134
54%

315
92%

43
11%

49
65%

81
49%

14
20%

8
17%

6
49%

Ed Miliband

282
22%

136
22%

146
22%

12
14%

77
25%

146
23%

48
19%

2
1%

207
52%

7
9%

12
7%

14
20%

8
15%

5
39%

Don't know

417
32%

192
31%

226
33%

34
42%

105
33%

209
33%

69
27%

24
7%

147
37%

20
27%

72
43%

43
61%

34
68%

1
11%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

South

68 301
50
88
43% 81% 17% 38%

34
32%

141
44%

112
49%

35
50%

266
47%

2
33%

19
12%

15 134
54
4% 46% 23%

21
20%

72
23%

55
24%

19
27%

114
20%

4
67%

69
44%

54 107
93
15% 37% 39%

51
48%

105
33%

60
26%

16
23%

186
33%

Page 28

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 28

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or David Cameron....?
Is backed by his party
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

David Cameron

564
44%

281
46%

283
42%

35
44%

116
37%

282
44%

130
52%

284
83%

48
12%

28
37%

86
52%

20
28%

24
48%

5
43%

Ed Miliband

431
33%

208
34%

223
33%

21
26%

115
37%

222
34%

73
29%

18
5%

272
68%

26
34%

26
16%

37
51%

9
18%

3
24%

Don't know

293
23%

123
20%

170
25%

24
30%

83
26%

138
22%

48
19%

39
11%

78
20%

22
29%

52
32%

15
21%

17
33%

4
33%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

South

66 271
56
79
42% 73% 19% 33%

49
46%

150
47%

101
45%

23
34%

241
42%

1
23%

32
21%

34 173 103
9% 59% 44%

26
25%

114
36%

83
36%

29
42%

179
32%

5
77%

58
37%

65
62
54
17% 21% 23%

31
29%

55
17%

43
19%

17
24%

148
26%

Page 29

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 29

Q8 And putting aside your own party preference, and basing your answer on what you saw or heard on the programme,
which of the following concerns would be especially important when it comes to casting your vote?
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

North
323

Midlands Wales
223

63

South
552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

The future of the NHS

686
53%

318
52%

368
54%

47
58%

162
51%

327
51%

151
60%

141
41%

263
66%

37
49%

74
45%

43
61%

33
66%

10
82%

3
51%

71
152
178
131
46% 41% 61% 56%

61
57%

173
54%

106
47%

40
58%

306
54%

The prospect of cuts to


public services,
benefits and tax
credits

474
37%

217
35%

257
38%

23
29%

106
34%

260
40%

84
34%

56
16%

210
53%

37
48%

37
22%

42
60%

29
58%

7
59%

4
63%

49
32%

73
147
101
20% 50% 43%

51
48%

125
39%

76
33%

29
41%

194
34%

Squeezed living
standards

312
24%

147
24%

165
24%

25
31%

82
26%

174
27%

31
12%

46
13%

150
38%

7
9%

30
18%

17
24%

14
28%

4
35%

1
9%

36
23%

50
107
13% 37%

59
25%

35
33%

86
27%

49
22%

22
31%

120
21%

The level of government


debt

275
21%

143
23%

132
20%

12
15%

55
17%

129
20%

79
31%

145
42%

35
9%

25
33%

38
23%

6
9%

1
3%

22
153
14% 41%

30
10%

43
18%

11
11%

57
18%

64
28%

13
18%

130
23%

The possibility of a
smaller party holding
the next government to
ransom

260
20%

136
22%

124
18%

3
4%

50
16%

124
19%

83
33%

128
38%

27
7%

12
16%

48
29%

9
13%

3
6%

1
7%

30
139
19% 37%

24
8%

43
18%

17
16%

65
20%

46
20%

11
16%

121
21%

The likelihood of tax


rises

191
15%

93
15%

98
14%

20
24%

65
21%

89
14%

17
7%

80
23%

45
11%

8
10%

15
9%

7
9%

6
12%

1
12%

30
19%

64
17%

36
12%

26
11%

13
12%

35
11%

34
15%

11
16%

97
17%

21
2%

5
1%

17
2%

4
5%

9
3%

6
1%

3
1%

5
2%

4
1%

2
2%

5
3%

2
3%

*
1%

2
1%

2
*

4
2%

2
1%

*
*

7
2%

6
3%

1
1%

7
1%

108
8%

56
9%

52
8%

10
13%

23
7%

52
8%

22
9%

17
5%

16
4%

6
8%

42
26%

6
8%

5
11%

1
9%

13
8%

35
9%

12
4%

23
10%

23
7%

22
10%

7
10%

50
9%

28
2%

13
2%

16
2%

4
5%

12
4%

13
2%

3
1%

2
*

3
5%

1
1%

19
12%

3
1%

3
1%

7
3%

7
2%

7
3%

13
2%

None of them
Something else
Don't know

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

6
6%
-

Page 30

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 30

Gender
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

South
552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

Male

612
48%

612
100%

29
36%

154
49%

298
46%

130
52%

164
48%

183
46%

34
44%

87
53%

35
49%

27
55%

6
51%

4
70%

64 184 137 127


41% 50% 47% 54%

61
57%

150
47%

101
45%

33
47%

267
47%

Female

676
52%

676
100%

52
64%

160
51%

344
54%

121
48%

177
52%

214
54%

43
56%

78
47%

36
51%

23
45%

6
49%

2
30%

92 186 154 108


59% 50% 53% 46%

45
43%

169
53%

126
55%

37
53%

299
53%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

Page 31

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 31

Age
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Lib Dem

Other

DK/Ref

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
Con Lab Dem Scotland

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

18 to 24

81
6%

29
5%

52
8%

81
100%

24
7%

30
8%

4
5%

3
2%

6
9%

3
6%

4
30%

7
4%

25 to 34

314
24%

154
25%

160
24%

314
100%

74
22%

92
23%

26
34%

19
12%

40
56%

6
13%

3
28%

4
59%

35 to 44

246
19%

113
18%

133
20%

246
38%

54
16%

89
22%

7
10%

33
20%

7
10%

12
24%

1
7%

45 to 54

210
16%

104
17%

106
16%

210
33%

50
15%

68
17%

11
15%

33
20%

6
9%

13
26%

55 to 64

186
14%

81
13%

105
16%

186
29%

51
15%

54
14%

10
14%

29
18%

8
11%

65 plus

251
19%

130
21%

121
18%

251
100%

88
26%

65
16%

18
23%

46
28%

3
5%

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

3
1%

4
1%

South

5
2%

8
7%

12
4%

21
9%

7
11%

33
6%

46
29%

70
87
56
19% 30% 24%

21
20%

75
23%

45
20%

21
30%

153
27%

42
27%

63
61
50
17% 21% 21%

18
17%

72
23%

49
21%

7
10%

100
18%

4
29%

1
9%

22
14%

67
47
40
18% 16% 17%

23
22%

52
16%

30
13%

14
20%

91
16%

7
14%

1
17%

23
15%

57
45
37
16% 15% 16%

17
16%

46
14%

37
16%

7
10%

80
14%

8
16%

1
8%

1
15%

16 108
47
47
10% 29% 16% 20%

19
18%

61
19%

46
20%

13
19%

111
20%

Page 32

BBC Question Time Election Leaders Special: Flash Poll


ONLINE Fieldwork : 28th-30th April 2015
Absolutes/col percents

Table 32

Region
Base : All respondents
Gender
Total

Age

Pre Poll Voting Intention


Other

Region

Male

Female

18-24

25-34

35-64

65+

Con

Lab

UKIP

Green

SNP

PC

North

Midlands

Wales

Unweighted base

1288

648

640

27

150

838

273

349

390

81

186

58

62

138

425

298

301

127

323

223

63

552

Weighted base

1288

612

676

81

314

642

251

341

397

76

165

71

50

13

156

370

291

236

106

319

227

69

567

Scotland

Lib Dem

Vote In 2010
General Election
Lib
DK/Ref Con Lab Dem Scotland

South

106
8%

61
10%

45
7%

8
9%

21
7%

58
9%

19
8%

14
4%

27
7%

6
8%

1
*

2
3%

50
100%

7
5%

18
29
17
5% 10% 7%

106
100%

North East

59
5%

30
5%

28
4%

5
6%

15
5%

27
4%

12
5%

9
3%

18
4%

6
8%

10
6%

7
10%

7
5%

14
12
13
4% 4% 5%

59
18%

North West

150
12%

68
11%

82
12%

2
2%

27
9%

85
13%

36
14%

41
12%

54
14%

8
11%

22
13%

7
10%

16
10%

41
41
30
11% 14% 13%

150
47%

Yorkshire and the


Humber

110
9%

51
8%

58
9%

6
7%

33
10%

59
9%

13
5%

23
7%

45
11%

4
5%

18
11%

10
14%

10
6%

30
33
24
8% 11% 10%

110
34%

East Midlands

105
8%

43
7%

62
9%

10
12%

24
7%

50
8%

21
8%

36
11%

31
8%

4
5%

16
10%

1
1%

17
11%

32
21
16
9% 7% 7%

105
46%

West Midlands

122
9%

59
10%

63
9%

11
13%

21
7%

65
10%

25
10%

38
11%

45
11%

1
2%

15
9%

3
4%

2
25%

14
9%

38
31
17
10% 10% 7%

122
54%

69
5%

33
5%

37
5%

7
9%

21
7%

28
4%

13
5%

17
5%

19
5%

8
10%

8
5%

1
1%

13
100%

5
3%

12
21
10
3% 7% 4%

69
100%

East of England

121
9%

44
7%

77
11%

10
12%

33
10%

56
9%

23
9%

32
9%

38
9%

5
7%

18
11%

10
14%

18
11%

39
19
26
10% 7% 11%

121
21%

London

169
13%

82
13%

86
13%

13
16%

45
14%

88
14%

22
9%

40
12%

57
14%

15
20%

18
11%

10
14%

23
15%

45
45
19
12% 15% 8%

169
30%

South East

165
13%

89
15%

76
11%

7
8%

50
16%

76
12%

33
13%

64
19%

41
10%

4
6%

18
11%

11
16%

27
17%

64
17
35
17% 6% 15%

165
29%

South West

112
9%

52
8%

60
9%

3
4%

25
8%

51
8%

33
13%

27
8%

24
6%

14
18%

22
13%

8
11%

5
75%

12
8%

38
22
28
10% 8% 12%

112
20%

Wales

Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Unlimited

Page 1
Page Table

Title

Q1. Can I just confirm, did you watch the TV election leaders' special with political leaders which finished Base : All respondents
minutes ago?

Base Description

Base
1288

Q2. Which of the three leaders taking part do you think did best on the night?

Base : All respondents

1288

Q2. Which of the three leaders taking part do you think did best on the night?

Base : All respondents (excluding Nobody/Don't know)

1124

Q3. And overall, how well or badly do you think each leader performed? Would you say... Summary table Base : All respondents

1288

Base : All respondents

1288

Q3. And overall, how well or badly do you think each leader performed? Would you say... David
Cameron
Q3. And overall, how well or badly do you think each leader performed? Would you say... Ed Miliband

Base : All respondents

1288

Q3. And overall, how well or badly do you think each leader performed? Would you say... Nick Clegg

Base : All respondents

1288

VIQ2. PRE SURVEY DATA - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would
fight a new election in your area.
If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?

Base : All respondents (Turnout Weighted)

1183

VIQ2. PRE SURVEY DATA - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other parties would
fight a new election in your area.
If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?

Base : All respondents expressing an intention to vote


(Turnout Weighted)

1070

10

10

Q4. Based on what you saw or heard during the programme, have you changed your mind about who to
vote for, or not?

Base : All respondents

1288

11

11

Q5. Who are you now likely to vote for in the General Election on May 7th? Will you vote...

Base : All who have changed their mind about who to


vote for

77

12

12

Q5. Who are you now likely to vote for in the General Election on May 7th? Will you vote...

Base : All who have changed their mind about who to


vote for and who show an intention to vote

74

13

13

VIQ2. UPDATED POST PROGRAMME - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other
parties would fight a new election in your area.
If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?

Base : All respondents (Turnout Weighted)

1183

14

14

VIQ2. UPDATED POST PROGRAMME - The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and other
parties would fight a new election in your area.
If there were a general election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?

Base : All respondents expressing an intention to vote


(Turnout Weighted)

1096

15

15

Q6. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard
during the programme,
as far as you are concerned which one of David Cameron or Ed Miliband do you think...?
Summary table

Base : All respondents

1288

Page 2
Page Table

Title

Base Description

Base

16

16

Q6. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard
during the programme,
as far as you are concerned which one of David Cameron or Ed Miliband do you think...?
Had the better arguments

Base : All respondents

1288

17

17

Q6. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard
during the programme,
as far as you are concerned which one of David Cameron or Ed Miliband do you think...?
Came across as having the more appealing personality

Base : All respondents

1288

18

18

Q6. Putting aside your own party preference and only basing your answer on what you saw or heard
during the programme,
as far as you are concerned which one of David Cameron or Ed Miliband do you think...?
Would make the best Prime Minister

Base : All respondents

1288

19

19

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or
David Cameron....?
Summary table

Base : All respondents

1288

20

20

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or
David Cameron....?
Will govern in the interests of the many, and not the few

Base : All respondents

1288

21

21

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or
David Cameron....?
Has changed his party for the better

Base : All respondents

1288

22

22

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or
David Cameron....?
Is more spin than substance

Base : All respondents

1288

23

23

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or
David Cameron....?
Will be more respected around the world

Base : All respondents

1288

24

24

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or
David Cameron....?
Is decisive

Base : All respondents

1288

25

25

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or
David Cameron....?
Has the courage to say what is right rather than what is popular

Base : All respondents

1288

Page 3
Page Table

Title

Base Description

Base

26

26

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or
David Cameron....?
Understands people like me

Base : All respondents

1288

27

27

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or
David Cameron....?
Is good in a crisis

Base : All respondents

1288

28

28

Q7. And putting aside your own party preference, from your own perception do you think Ed Miliband or
David Cameron....?
Is backed by his party

Base : All respondents

1288

29

29

Q8 And putting aside your own party preference, and basing your answer on what you saw or heard on
the programme,
which of the following concerns would be especially important when it comes to casting your vote?

Base : All respondents

1288

30

30

Gender

Base : All respondents

1288

31

31

Age

Base : All respondents

1288

32

32

Region

Base : All respondents

1288

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