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t has been said before, but it bears repeat- bacteria). It is now thought that the Archaea of named species. Horizontal transfer raises
ing: evolutionary biology has been devel- are more closely related to us humans than severe questions about any analysis that is
oped, almost without exception “by sex- they are to bacteria. This finding shook tax- based on phylogeny because different genes
ually reproducing eukaryotes, for sexually onomy to its foundations. in a single organism can have different histo-
reproducing eukaryotes” (1). Given that the It is always easier to convince your fel- ries. Although the book raises in passing the
vast majority of living things on this planet, low scientists of something they think they notion that the tree of life should be replaced
both in numbers and biomass, are not sexu- know already. Woese’s work was emphati- by something like a worldwide web of life,
ally reproducing eukaryotes, this might be cally not in this category, and much of Sapp’s neither the evidence for this web nor its
considered an oversight. Jan Sapp certainly story describes the rocky road to its accep- implications are considered in any depth—
thinks so. In The New Foundations tance. Few obstacles were despite that fact that it strikes at the very
of Evolution: On the Tree of Life, greater than the opposi- heart of the phylogenetic approach to clas-
A
tomic Obsession is a contrarian book. deals with the threat of nuclear terrorism, 1968 Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of
John Mueller argues that Americans which, Mueller claims, has been greatly Nuclear Weapons. He is rightly skeptical
have worried too much about nuclear exaggerated: “any notion that the actual al- about claims that without the Non-Prolifera-
weapons and that their unwarranted anxiet- Qaeda enemy has the capacity to come up tion Treaty we would today have many more
ies have led to costly and dangerous policies. with nuclear weapons, even if it wanted to, nuclear states than now exist. Most states, he
Often witty and acerbic, his book offers a cri- looks far-fetched in the extreme, as does the rightly notes, do not want nuclear weapons.
tique of those who like to echo notion that they could effec- They are not champing at the bit to develop
the words of the Fat Boy in tively handle a pilfered one or them. They are, however, not indifferent to
Atomic Obsession
The Pickwick Papers: “I wants one given them by a state.” A the behavior of other states, and the fact that
Nuclear Alarmism from
to make your flesh creep.” nuclear terrorist attack on the all but three states signed the treaty shows
Hiroshima to Al-Qaeda
In Mueller’s view, we should United States, catastrophic how widely the norm of nonproliferation
look with a much cooler eye at by John Mueller though it would be, would not is accepted, even if some signatory states
nuclear weapons and the dan- Oxford University Press, lead to the extinction of the have organized clandestine nuclear weapon
gers they present. New York, 2010. 336 pp. United States, as many have programs. The treaty provides an element
According to Mueller (a $27.95, £16.99. 9780195381368. loosely asserted. It would be of predictability about the nuclear behavior
CREDIT: FWIS DESIGN/COURTESY OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS
political scientist at Ohio State very different from the mas- of other states as well as early warning of
University), the atomic obses- sive Soviet nuclear strike that attempts to go nuclear.
sion has existed since Hiroshima. In the first figured in Cold War scenarios. Mueller’s chief purpose in this thought-
part of the book, he contends that the bomb Mueller fears that hyperbolic rhetoric provoking book is to analyze rather than to
has had little impact on international politics. about nuclear threats is counterproductive in provide policy proposals. His main recom-
The Cold War would have happened any- at least two ways. In the first place, it gives mendation concerns North Korea and Iran.
way, and it would have taken the same basic encouragement to al-Qaeda. Second, it raises He has “nothing against making nonprolif-
form. The memory of World War II and the obstacles to thinking in a sensible and bal- eration a high priority,” he writes, but there is
devastation it caused would have prevented a anced way about allocating resources to meet a higher one: “avoiding policies that can lead
the threats the United States faces. to the deaths of tens or hundreds of thousands
There is much to agree with in the book. of people under the obsessive sway of worst-
The reviewer is at the Center for International Security and
Cooperation, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305– Mueller performs an important service in case scenario fantasies.”
6055, USA. E-mail: hollowdj@stanford.edu puncturing some of the inflated rhetoric about 10.1126/science.1186122