I Universiti

JMalaysia
PAHANG
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FACULTY OF INDUSTRIAL SCIENCES & TECHNOLOGY

FINAL EXAMINATION
COURSE

APPLIED STATISTICS

COURSE CODE

BUM2413IBSU1023IBCT2053'3313'
BKU20321BAM3022/BMM2122

LECTURER

: AZLYNA BINTI SENAWI

FARAHANIM BINTI MISNI
NOR AZILA BINTI CHE MUSA
NORYANTI BINTI MUHAMMAD
NOOR FADRILAH BINTI AHMAD R&D!
ROSLINAZAIRIMAH BINTI ZAKARIA
SITI ROSLINDAR BINTI YAZIZ

DATE

04 JANUARY 2012

DURATION

3 HOURS

SESSION/SEMESTE R :

SESSION 2011/2012 SEMESTER I

PROGRAMME CODE : BSB1BSKAA/BAE[BCN1BCGi'BCS/BPP'BPT/

ME/
BPSfBFFfBFMfBKC1BKG/BK
BMF/BMA/BEE/BEPLBEC
INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
1.
2.
3.
4.

This question paper consists of SEVEN (7) questions. Answer ALL the questions.
All answers to a new question should start on a new page.
All the calculations and assumptions must be clearly stated.
Candidates are not allowed to bring any material other than those allowed by the
invigilator into the examination room.

EXAMINATION REQUIREMENT S:
1.
2.

Statistical Table
Scientific Calculator
DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU ARE TOLD TO DO SO
This examination paper consists of TEN (10)printed pages including front page.

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QUESTION 1
A study on an operating system for a portable computer has been carried out thoroughly
to estimate the mean and variance of response time. A random sample of six portable
computers from Brand A and a random sample of nine portable computers from Brand B
are chosen. The recorded data (in milliseconds) for both brands are as follows.

Brand A:

25

23

22

25

23

24

Brand B:

28

24

25

26

23

27

26

24

25

By assuming that the response time follows normal distribution,

(a)

construct a 95% confidence interval on the ratio of variances for both brands of
portable computer.
(7 Marks)

(b)

test the hypothesis whether the variance response time for portable computer from
Brand A is smaller than the variance response time for portable computer from
Brand B at 0.05 level of significance using the traditional method. Based on the
analysis, which brand of portable computer should be chosen? State your reason.
(10 Marks)

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QUESTION 2
Two extrusion machines that manufacture steel rods are being compared. In a sample of
1000 rods taken from Machine X, 930 rods met specifications regarding length and
diameter. In a sample of 600 rods taken from Machine Y, 570 rods met the specifications.
Machine Y is more expensive to run, so it is decided that Machine X will be used unless
it can be convincingly shown that Machine Y produces a larger proportion of rods
meeting specifications.

(a)

Find a 99% confidence interval on the difference between two proportions of rods
meeting specifications for both machines.
(5 Marks)

(b)

Conduct a necessary analysis at 1% significance level for making the decision as

to which machine to use. Based on the analysis, which machine should be used?
(Note: Use the traditional method of hypothesis testing)
(8 Marks)

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QUESTION 3
Ahmad and Jasonprepare a report to an engineer in a textile mill who studies the effects
of temperature and time in a process involving dye on the brightness of a synthetic fabric
(brightness is measured on a 50-point scale). Three observations were taken at each
combination of temperature and time.

Time (cycles)

350

Temperature (F)
375

I

400

40

38, 32, 30

37, :35, 40

36, 39, 43

50

40, 45, 36

39, 42, 46

39, 48, 47

The results of the analysis of variance are summarized as follows.

Source of variation

SS

Time

150.222

Temperature

80.778

Interaction

3.444

Error

186.000

Total

420.444

d.f

MS

(a)

Completethe ANOVA table.

(b)

At a = 0.05, conduct an analysis of variance (ANOVA) for the given data.

(8 Marks)

(15 Marks)

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QUESTION 4
Mechanical engineers, testing a new arc-welding technique, classified welds both with
respect to appearance and an x-ray inspection.

Appearance

X-ray

Bad

Normal

Good

Total

Bad

20

30

Normal

13

51

16

80

Good

12

21

40

Total

40

70

40

150

Test for independence at 5% significance level and show all calculations in three
decimal places.
(8 Marks)

QUESTION 5
Acme Toy Company prints baseball cards. The company claims that 30% of the cards are
rookies, 60% veterans, and 10% are All-Stars. The cards are sold in packages of 100.
Suppose a randomly selected package of cards has 50 rookies, 45 veterans, and 5 AllStars. Is this consistent with the Acme's claim? Use a 0.1 level of significance.

(8 Marks)

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QUESTION 6
A fast-food chain decided to carry out an experiment to assess the influence of
advertising expenditure on sales. Different relative changes in advertising expenditure,
compared to the previous year, were made in eight regions of the country, resulting
changes in sales levels were observed. The accompanying table shows the results.
Increase in advertising
expenditure (%)
Increase insales(%)

2.4

7.2

10.3

9.1

10.2

4.1

7.6

3.5

(a)

Compute the value of the correlation coefficient for the above data.

(b)

What can you conclude from the value of the correlation coefficient obtained from

(9 Marks)

part (a)?
(1 Mark)
(c)

Assuming that there is a significant linear relationship between the percentage

increase in advertising expenditure and the percentage increase in sales, find the
equation of the regression line for the data.
(5 Marks)

(d)

Estimate the percentage increase in sales when the percentage increase in

advertising expenditure is 20%.
(2 Marks)

(e)

Explain your answer in part (d).

(1 Mark)

n.

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QUESTION 7
A study is conducted to assess the quality of staffs in a company based on their quality of
letters of recommendation. There are three predictor variables used to determine the
quality of letters of recommendation, namely college GPA, high school GPA and TOEFL
total. The following Excel output shows a multiple regression analysis when all the three
predictor variables are used to predict the quality of letters of recommendation.
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
'Multiple R
.
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0.6304
0.3974
0.3785
1.17891
100.

ANOVA

MS

df
Regression
Residual
Total

87 9735
96 133.4165
- ....... 1
.- ...........
99 221.39001
3

Coefficients
-Intercept
College GPA
High school GPA
:TOEFL total

(a)

2.8793
0.0907
13192
-0.0006

29.3245

'Significance

211005

1.3898
. - ------

Standard
tStat
Error
-- 0.5760 - 4.9991
0.4449
0.2039
65967
02000
1
-0.8616
0.0007

1.3967E-10.
-----

1-

...........................

. Upper
P-value . Lower 95% . 95%
0.0000
0.674
00000
0.3911

1.73360 --0.3140 09222

-0.0019 -

Upper
Lower
1
95.0%
95.0%

405 - 1.7360 1
-0.3140 j
095
09222
17161
-0.0019
0.0007

State the Coefficient of Multiple correlation, R for this study andinterpret

thisvalue.
(2 Marks)

(b)

Write the multiple regression equation.

(2 Marks)

4.0225

0.4955 -.
17161
0.0007

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(c)

Interpret theintercept value and the coefficient of TOEFL total when the other
variables are remained constant.
(2 Marks)

(d)

Ata = 0.02,can we conclude that neither of the independent variables is related to

the dependent variable?
(5 Marks)

(e)

State the value of coefficient of determination and interpret this value.

(2 Marks)

END OF QUESTION PAPER


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APPENDIX - Table of Formulas

Confidence Intervals, Sample Sizes and Hypothesis Testing
Confidence intervals for p,
a
a -
X+1
Jfl

sJfl

, X+ta/2,n_IT)

Xtai2 , n_i

( ,k Zal2

, X+Za/2T

Confidence intervals for p1 - p

( fCj

For

X- 2

J^

t^

Za/2

For a1 = a2.
FL

)ZaI2 S+
For a1 = a2:

For a1 a2:

)ta/2ni+2 S

2) ta/2v_:_]

where v =

1!i_+.-n2
2)2

(
n1 -1

n2-1
Pooled estimator, S

= f_1)s+(n2-1)s
SP

+r2 2

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Confidence intervals for p

[_Za/2

Fn

+Za/2

H Confidence interals for

n_J

Confidence intervals for cr1 /o

Confidence intervals for a 2

((n_l)s2 (n_l)s2')

(2

' ,2
,2
I
ita/2,n-I L1-a/2,n-1)

2
S2

p1 -

Sample sizes
(Zai2OJ2

52

1
a/2,n1-1,n2-1

' 2 'I2,n2-I,n1-1
S2

Za/2 )2
P)

Analysis of Variance (ANOVA), Goodness of Fit Test and Contingency Tables

Two-way ANOVA

Goodness of Fit Test

a b n

SST=

k(OE)
2

2
Ztest -

1=1 j=l k=1

Li

1=1

I
SSA

where v = ki

bn

i=1 j1

X2

i2
abn

1
1 b
SSB=x2.--X2
'

n.xn.
'i

j1

xk--X2
abn

an

abn

i a b

2ssAB=_x,_x2-SSA-SSB
abn
n 1=1 3=1

-E I

JLL

SSE = SST _SSA-SSB-SSAB

where v=(R-1)(C-1)

10

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