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Electrical Engineering Department, American University of Sharjah, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates
Kinectrics Inc., Transmission & Distribution Technologies, Toronto, Canada
c
Electrical and Computer Engineering Department, University of Tehran, Iran
b
a r t i c l e
i n f o
Article history:
Received 10 September 2007
Received in revised form 11 February 2008
Accepted 24 February 2008
Available online 8 April 2008
Keywords:
Outdoor insulators
Aging
Leakage current
Neural network
a b s t r a c t
The paper presents a neural network based prediction technique for the leakage current (LC) of nonceramic insulators during salt-fog test. Nearly 50 distribution class silicone rubber (SIR) insulators with
three different voltage classes have been tested in a salt-fog chamber, where the LC has been continuously
recorded for at least 100 h. A boundary for early aging period is dened by the rate of change of the LC
instead of a xed threshold value. Consequently, the Gaussian radial basis network has been adopted to
predict the level of LC at the early stage of aging of the SIR insulators and is compared with a classical
network. The initial values of LC and its rate of change at 10 min intervals for the rst 5 h are selected as
the input to the network, and the nal value of LC of the early aging period is considered as the output of
the network. It is found that Gaussian radial basis function network with a random optimizing training
method is an appropriate network to predict the LC with a 3.55.3% accuracy, if the training data and the
testing data are selected from the same type of SIR insulators.
2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
One of the main causes of aging of silicone rubber (SIR) insulators is the development of leakage current (LC) on the insulator
surface leading to dry-band arcing. Therefore, LC is usually monitored to evaluate the insulators surface condition under both eld
and accelerated aging test conditions. Several studies have been
conducted to understand the relation between the LC and degradation of SIR insulators [111]. It has been found that the level of
LC low frequency harmonics (mainly the fundamental and third
harmonic components) is highly correlated to the degree of insulator surface damage [2,3]. When the fundamental component of
LC exceeds 1 mA during salt-fog test, erosion is evident on the surface of the SIR [2]. Another study has been carried out by using
the rotating wheel dip test as the accelerating aging technique to
monitor the early aging period of SIR insulators [6]. It has been
reported that if the peak value of the LC attains 1 mA, the insulators lose their hydrophobicity and the damage on the surface begins
when the LC approaches 4 mA [6]. Kumagai and Yoshimura [11] separated the leakage current during salt-fog test into three different
components: sinusoidal, transition, and local arc. They have shown
that the cumulative charges of these components are sensitive to
the hydrophobicity and the contamination level of the insulating
surfaces.
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: aelhag@aus.edu (A.H. El-Hag).
0378-7796/$ see front matter 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.epsr.2008.02.010
1687
Fig. 1. Typical time and frequency snap shot of LC, (a) during the early aging period, (b) during transition period and (c) during the late aging period.
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010
1020
2030
3040
4050
5060
6070
7080
8090
90100
100110
110120
120130
130140
140150
150160
160170
170180
180190
190200
0.1805
0.1808
0.1816
0.1828
0.1844
0.1864
0.1885
0.1907
0.1932
0.1963
0.1999
0.2041
0.2083
0.2119
0.2156
0.2199
0.2255
0.2323
0.2399
0.2500
0.0001
0.0003
0.0007
0.0013
0.0016
0.0019
0.0022
0.0021
0.0025
0.0031
0.0036
0.0042
0.0042
0.0037
0.0037
0.0044
0.0055
0.0068
0.0077
0.0100
Output If (mA)
1.15
Table 2
Typical LC parameters of insulators at the end of EAP
Insulator
If (mA)
Tf (min)
di/dt at t = Tf (mA/min)
1
2
3
4
5
0.46
0.94
1.15
0.62
1.34
1250
720
4500
2540
3150
0.035
0.025
0.038
0.021
0.053
Table 3
Specications of the tested silicone rubber insulators
Type
Nominal voltage
(line to line, kV)
Creepage distance,
(mm)
Number of
insulators
A
B
C
15
10
17
350
160
280
8
18
22
3. Experimental setup
Forty-eight distribution class SIR insulators from three different voltage ratings were tested in a salt-fog chamber to study the
LC. Details of the tested insulators are mentioned in Table 3 and a
Fig. 4. Derivation of the LC of Fig. 1, where a jump in di/dt determines the boundary
of EAP and transition period.
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rate was 1.5 L/min with the air pressure of 0.35 MPa and the water
conductivity was selected to be 0.25 S/m.
A 15 kVA single-phase distribution transformer (480 V/16 kV)
with leakage reactance of 4% was designated as the high voltage
source. The measurement instrumentation consisted of a National
Instruments TM PCI 6110E data acquisition card, three shunt 100
resistors to measure the LC of three insulators and one resistor
divider (1000:1) to monitor the applied voltage.
4. Articial neural network and training methods
In a previous study conducted by the authors, a simple feedforward ANN with two hidden layers was selected to predict the
value of the fundamental component of LC after 10 h, knowing
the LC average values of the rst hour [12]. It has been shown
that the ANN scheme is capable of predicting the level of the LC
within 12% accuracy, compared with that of the actual measured
test results. The method was limited to predict the LC of only one
type of insulators. So, in this paper, the work has been extended to
include more insulators to improve the forecasting accuracy. After a
careful study and investigation, the Gaussian radial basis function
(GRBF) was selected for this application [1821]. In order to use
these networks, a modication has been done by using a new error
function and an improved gradient equation for weight modifying
purposes.
connecting arcs, and the rst layer connections are not weighted.
Therefore, each hidden node receives each input value unaltered.
The output layer is one neuron. The idea of the GRBF network is that
any function can be approximated by an interpolation composed by
the sum of N Gaussian functions. The Gaussian function shown in
Fig. 6 is given by:
fj (xi ) = exp
1 (xi Cij )
2
2
N
i=1
(1)
ij
where Cij and ij are the center and variance of the Gaussian radial
basis function network, respectively. The use of the Gaussian function allows the local characteristics to facilitate the training and
improve the function generalization. The principle advantage of
the technique is that the network has only one hidden layer. The
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where J = (If Ifn )/2, If is the target (monitored data), and Ifn is the
network output. Each parameter has a proper learning rate, .
A developed error function is employed to increase the speed
of the convergence instead of the conventional error function, as
follows:
60
e=
(6)
i=1
This logarithmic error function reduces the convergence time considerably, and also compels a given network to learn more complex
tasks, compared to the standard error function, without increasing
network size.
4.3. Random optimization training method
A random search technique is employed to train the GRBF. This
technique is guaranteed to converge to the global minimum error
value. Also, the technique has a higher rate of convergence than
that of the back propagation [20]. The idea of the algorithm is to
add a white noise sequence to the weights of the net, and compute
the network output. If the target output error is less than the last
error, the new weights are kept, until the desired error is obtained.
For training with random optimization and to uniformly cover the
data input space a technique consists of the arrangement of centers
in a regular trellis and to be computed as follows:
= exp
2
8 2
(7)
In Eq. (7), is the covering rate, is the distance between two neighbor centers, and is the variance of the GRBF. In order to increase
the reception of the output neurons, normalization is employed.
Fig. 7 exhibits the random optimization algorithm, employed for
this study. The rst value of the data array is omitted to improve the
prediction quality after each future prediction value, and to keep
the number of trained data constant.
Fig. 7. Flow chart of the random optimization training method, adjusting the
weights.
60
Ifn =
i=1
Wi fi (v)
60
f (v)
i=1 i
(2)
J
,
wi
(3)
Cij = C
J
Cij
(4)
ij = C
J
ij
(5)
Insulator
type
Measured If
(mA, RMS)
Predicted LC GRBF
(mA, RMS)
1
2
3
4
5
A
A
B
B
C
0.46
1.34
0.88
1.08
0.91
0.35
1.53
0.77
0.8
0.81
0.41
1.41
0.8
0.96
0.85
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case and the rest as the training data. This process is repeated 10
times for each group of insulators, and the average of the results is
presented in Table 5. Except for one case (item 8), it is evident from
Table 5 that the error of the random optimizing training is much
less than the error of the back propagation. In the case of items 1,
5, and 9 of Table 5, for which f the network is trained and tested by
the same type of insulator data, the average error of prediction is
lower than using different types of insulators. For example, considering type-C insulator, if the same type of insulator is used both for
training and testing, the average error of prediction error is 3.5%.
However, the use of certain data of a specic insulator to predict the LC of other types resulted in errors as high as 33.1% with
the random optimizing method, and approximately 50% with backpropagation method. If the data of different insulator is mixed, such
Table 5
Prediction error for different combinations of data using GRBF with backpropagation and optimization methods
Item
Train
data
Test
data
Number
of runs
Error %, back
propagation
Error %, random
optimizing
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
A
A
A
B
B
B
C
C
C
Mixed
A
B
C
A
B
C
A
B
C
Mixed
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
20
28.4
33.6
50.4
19.0
12.9
40.5
26.1
18.4
10.5
38.3
5.3
14.6
24.3
9.8
4.2
33.1
15.7
20.4
3.5
18.9
Fig. 10. Sensitivity analysis of the output error versus number of input sets.
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